(anonymous) 0xea2e36…8b1e57
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Realized P&L
—
Unrealized P&L
-$99
Hit rate
—
Resolved
0
Trades
2,082
lifetime
Volume
$13.8K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$7
Open exposure
$389
26 positions
First seen
2026-06-21
last 07-13 20:10
Equity curve
Not enough resolved markets yet to plot a curve.
Categories
Other
78% — —
Politics
15% — —
Crypto
5% — —
Tech
2% — —
Sports
1% — —
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
22 active days in 12wk • peak 269 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
US strike on Cuba by December 31? Yes +352 $146 29¢ $100 $-46 06-29 03:28
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? No +80 $70 90¢ $72 +$2 06-30 07:27
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31? Yes +156 $50 22¢ $34 $-16 06-25 06:16
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30? No +26 $25 96¢ $25 +$0 06-26 05:37
Will Anthropic flip BTC by December 31? Yes +27 $20 80¢ $22 +$2 06-25 13:39
Will Iran legalize gay marriage? No +21 $20 98¢ $20 $-0 06-25 21:33
Will Russia capture Lyman by December 31, 2026? No +38 $8 42¢ $16 +$8 06-27 11:06
Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026? No +17 $8 54¢ $9 +$1 06-27 11:33
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026? Yes +10 $8 94¢ $9 +$1 07-01 10:16
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by September 30? Yes +10 $8 90¢ $9 +$1 06-27 16:33
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026? No +10 $8 86¢ $9 +$1 06-27 05:44
US national Bitcoin reserve before 2027? Yes +42 $10 20¢ $8 $-2 06-24 15:40
Will AfD win an absolute majority of seats in Sachsen-Anhalt? Yes +20 $8 40¢ $8 +$0 07-01 12:01
Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by December 31, 2026? No +9 $5 79¢ $7 +$2 06-30 17:47
Will FISA Section 702 reauthorization become law this year? Yes +22 $5 24¢ $5 +$0 06-30 12:33
Will HYPE flip SOL by December 31? No +6 $5 92¢ $5 +$0 06-26 12:13
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? No +5 $5 96¢ $5 +$0 07-01 14:03
UK announces transfer of Falklands to Argentina in 2026? No +5 $5 95¢ $5 $-0 06-24 00:47
Will MetaMask launch a token by September 30, 2026? No +5 $5 93¢ $5 $-0 06-25 10:47
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30? No +6 $5 84¢ $5 $-0 06-26 21:14
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? Yes +140 $54 3¢ $4 $-50 06-30 20:25
Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026? Yes +24 $5 12¢ $3 $-2 06-24 15:09
Serbian Parliamentary Election called before 2027? Yes +3 $2 81¢ $2 +$0 06-27 17:12
Opensea FDV above $5B one day after launch? No +1 $1 95¢ $1 $-0 06-29 07:05
US strike on Mexico by December 31? Yes +2 $1 12¢ $0 $-1 06-26 17:10
Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by December 31, 2026? Yes +1 $0 21¢ $0 $-0 06-30 18:54