Will Anthropic flip BTC by December 31?
open
Total volume
$29,591
$1,313 in 24h
Trades
559
Unique wallets
144
Liquidity
$11,275
Latest YES mid
66¢
Latest NO mid
34¢
End date
2026-12-31
First seen
2026-05-27
last 08-04 12:26
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
YES holders
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
SMI:
-82.1¢
(top1%: 0% YES on $24
vs crowd: 82% YES on $10.7K)
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐋 Whale | 15 | $4.0K | $759 | +$3.2K |
| 🐬 Dolphin | 26 | $2.2K | $575 | +$1.6K |
| 🐟 Fish | 32 | $1.5K | $473 | +$1.0K |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 71 | $1.2K | $118 | +$1.1K |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🎯 Top 1% | 4 | — | $24 | $24 |
| 🏆 Top 5% | 11 | $831 | $180 | +$651 |
| ✅ Top 10% | 4 | $400 | — | +$400 |
| Median | 13 | $1.4K | $274 | +$1.1K |
| Below median | 17 | $333 | $189 | +$144 |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 5 | $43 | $4 | +$40 |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 18 | $2.5K | $415 | +$2.1K |
| 💀 Bottom 1% | 5 | $663 | $538 | +$125 |
| unranked | 67 | $2.6K | $301 | +$2.3K |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Worthwhile-Hockey 0x9b06…0b42 | Yes | +1,219 | $719 | $719 | 1 | 05-31 23:26 |
| Kaleidoscopic-Hemisphere 0x9ad0…bf3d | Yes | +1,019 | $700 | $1,816 | 36 | 07-23 15:50 |
| Distinct-Kale 0x46a1…2736 | Yes | +807 | $542 | $542 | 4 | 06-21 17:42 |
| Sociable-Pendulum 0xdec2…b015 | No | +800 | $238 | $238 | 5 | 06-12 15:30 |
| Blond-Wriggler 0xd950…ad1b | No | +700 | $196 | $196 | 16 | 07-03 02:51 |
| (anonymous) 0x6cf9…cffd | Yes | +519 | $349 | $349 | 2 | 07-25 07:58 |
| Woozy-Internet 0xa28c…e10f | Yes | +501 | $388 | $388 | 6 | 07-16 22:14 |
| (anonymous) 0x6795…c55d | Yes | +500 | $390 | $390 | 2 | 07-17 05:22 |
| (anonymous) 0xd1a8…fb82 | No | +494 | $134 | $134 | 6 | 06-24 20:01 |
| Thunderous-Fillet 0xdf0d…c7be | No | +486 | $100 | $100 | 1 | 07-07 18:40 |
| Experienced-Carpeting 0xbdcb…e811 | Yes | +406 | $223 | $1,126 | 4 | 08-02 16:18 |
| Tough-Investigator 0x6630…2f4e | No | +292 | $83 | $153 | 13 | 07-28 15:46 |
| Zany-Vitamin 0x4552…0333 | No | +276 | $102 | $124 | 18 | 08-02 19:45 |
| Mysterious-Yin 0xb8e6…9767 | Yes | +236 | $179 | $179 | 3 | 07-19 13:38 |
| Alert-Charlatan 0x5de7…540c | No | +202 | $100 | $237 | 8 | 07-17 05:25 |
| (anonymous) 0x130d…3205 | Yes | +200 | $124 | $124 | 1 | 07-28 15:46 |
| Better-Smith 0xca52…0cdf | Yes | +177 | $145 | $145 | 2 | 07-08 16:38 |
| (anonymous) 0x7d18…9d98 | Yes | +138 | $100 | $100 | 1 | 06-26 20:35 |
| Unwilling-Evocation 0xfa7e…f37e | Yes | +76 | $43 | $43 | 1 | 08-02 10:25 |
| Frivolous-Nest 0x3c48…5456 | No | +73 | $30 | $30 | 4 | 07-31 01:50 |
| Blond-Wriggler 0xd950…ad1b | Yes | +42 | $22 | $22 | 1 | 07-31 01:50 |
| (anonymous) 0x5d62…e937 | Yes | +41 | $30 | $30 | 1 | 06-25 16:32 |
| (anonymous) 0xea2e…1e57 | Yes | +27 | $20 | $20 | 4 | 06-25 13:39 |
| Appropriate-Dime-Dagger 0x36e7…bd1a | No | +24 | $7 | $7 | 2 | 06-13 08:34 |
| (anonymous) 0xfb64…c2ab | No | +24 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 07-15 11:10 |
| (anonymous) 0x0c9b…e768 | Yes | +23 | $18 | $18 | 1 | 07-05 22:25 |
| (anonymous) 0x0c9b…e768 | No | +23 | $16 | $48 | 7 | 07-06 14:13 |
| (anonymous) 0x3236…7051 | No | +17 | $7 | $7 | 1 | 08-02 19:45 |
| Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | No | +16 | $5 | $5 | 2 | 07-29 18:22 |
| Bossy-Interchange 0xb6e3…4c92 | Yes | +14 | $10 | $10 | 1 | 06-13 12:42 |
| Famous-Corporal 0x219f…12d8 | Yes | +14 | $10 | $10 | 1 | 06-08 15:09 |
| (anonymous) 0xe20a…d74f | No | +13 | $5 | $38 | 16 | 08-01 13:05 |
| (anonymous) 0x2119…413a | Yes | +12 | $10 | $10 | 1 | 07-09 07:50 |
| Flowery-Thaw 0x014b…2a28 | No | +12 | $4 | $4 | 2 | 05-29 11:51 |
| Kaleidoscopic-Hemisphere 0x9ad0…bf3d | No | +10 | $1 | $257 | 7 | 07-19 13:38 |
| (anonymous) 0xdf4f…8fe8 | No | +9 | $3 | $3 | 1 | 07-22 08:59 |
| (anonymous) 0xaa14…854f | No | +9 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 07-03 11:51 |
| (anonymous) 0xc506…39fd | Yes | +9 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 08-04 12:26 |
| (anonymous) 0x8519…2fa8 | Yes | +8 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 05-29 06:10 |
| Dense-Wont 0x6013…777b | No | +7 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 06-29 00:11 |
| Subdued-Revenant 0xcf07…c770 | Yes | +5 | $3 | $3 | 1 | 06-17 15:43 |
| (anonymous) 0xaf05…33e2 | No | +5 | $2 | $15 | 6 | 08-01 12:51 |
| Arctic-Kickoff 0xa667…ceb3 | No | +5 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 07-27 19:59 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-04 12:26:30 | (anonymous) 0xc506…39fd | Yes | BUY | 9 | 57¢ | $5 | 0xf12c58… |
| 08-04 12:26:30 | Tinted-Sentencing 0xa9e6…1dc2 | Yes | SELL | 9 | 57¢ | $5 | 0xf12c58… |
| 08-02 19:45:17 | Zany-Vitamin 0x4552…0333 | No | SELL | 17 | 44¢ | $7 | 0x53065d… |
| 08-02 19:45:17 | (anonymous) 0x3236…7051 | No | BUY | 17 | 44¢ | $7 | 0x53065d… |
| 08-02 16:18:21 | Experienced-Carpeting 0xbdcb…e811 | Yes | BUY | 400 | 57¢ | $228 | 0x3ee056… |
| 08-02 16:18:21 | Tinted-Sentencing 0xa9e6…1dc2 | Yes | SELL | 400 | 57¢ | $228 | 0x3ee056… |
| 08-02 10:25:53 | Unwilling-Evocation 0xfa7e…f37e | Yes | BUY | 76 | 57¢ | $43 | 0x7279c2… |
| 08-02 10:25:53 | Tinted-Sentencing 0xa9e6…1dc2 | Yes | SELL | 76 | 57¢ | $43 | 0x7279c2… |
| 08-01 13:05:32 | (anonymous) 0xe20a…d74f | No | BUY | 3 | 44¢ | $2 | 0x42aaa7… |
| 08-01 13:05:32 | Zany-Vitamin 0x4552…0333 | No | SELL | 3 | 44¢ | $2 | 0x42aaa7… |
| 08-01 12:51:35 | (anonymous) 0xaf05…33e2 | No | BUY | 5 | 45¢ | $2 | 0x78b606… |
| 08-01 12:51:35 | Zany-Vitamin 0x4552…0333 | No | SELL | 5 | 45¢ | $2 | 0x78b606… |
| 08-01 12:46:56 | (anonymous) 0xe20a…d74f | No | BUY | 5 | 44¢ | $2 | 0x5403d3… |
| 08-01 12:46:56 | Smooth-Spectrum 0x730f…7026 | No | SELL | 5 | 44¢ | $2 | 0x5403d3… |
| 07-31 01:50:59 | Blond-Wriggler 0xd950…ad1b | Yes | BUY | 42 | 52¢ | $22 | 0xf142ac… |
| 07-31 01:50:59 | Frivolous-Nest 0x3c48…5456 | No | BUY | 42 | 48¢ | $20 | 0xf142ac… |
| 07-29 18:22:47 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | No | BUY | 6 | 40¢ | $2 | 0xc895ba… |
| 07-29 18:22:47 | (anonymous) 0x56a3…1caf | No | SELL | 6 | 40¢ | $2 | 0xc895ba… |
| 07-28 15:46:46 | Ugly-Platinum 0x5c91…5ccc | Yes | SELL | 4 | 60¢ | $2 | 0xd7e491… |
| 07-28 15:46:46 | Tough-Investigator 0x6630…2f4e | No | SELL | 4 | 40¢ | $2 | 0xd7e491… |
| 07-28 15:46:23 | Ugly-Platinum 0x5c91…5ccc | Yes | SELL | 196 | 61¢ | $120 | 0x684779… |
| 07-28 15:46:23 | Jam-Packed-Dividend 0xc456…8996 | No | SELL | 196 | 39¢ | $76 | 0x684779… |
| 07-28 15:46:05 | Ugly-Platinum 0x5c91…5ccc | Yes | BUY | 200 | 62¢ | $124 | 0xdbc81b… |
| 07-28 15:46:05 | (anonymous) 0x130d…3205 | Yes | BUY | 200 | 62¢ | $124 | 0xdbc81b… |
| 07-28 15:46:05 | Sad-Catalysis 0x5a7b…e9eb | Yes | SELL | 401 | 62¢ | $249 | 0xdbc81b… |
| 07-28 15:46:05 | Tired-Acoustics 0x61f2…e77a | No | SELL | 1 | 37¢ | $1 | 0xdbc81b… |
| 07-28 01:53:30 | Tired-Acoustics 0x61f2…e77a | No | SELL | 9 | 37¢ | $3 | 0x5b2183… |
| 07-28 01:53:30 | (anonymous) 0xb486…214b | Yes | SELL | 9 | 63¢ | $5 | 0x5b2183… |
| 07-28 00:55:28 | Tinted-Sentencing 0xa9e6…1dc2 | Yes | SELL | 9 | 64¢ | $5 | 0xe9f79b… |
| 07-28 00:55:28 | (anonymous) 0xb486…214b | Yes | BUY | 9 | 64¢ | $5 | 0xe9f79b… |
| 07-27 19:59:07 | (anonymous) 0x40c7…b1e8 | No | SELL | 5 | 37¢ | $2 | 0xdc5b16… |
| 07-27 19:59:07 | Arctic-Kickoff 0xa667…ceb3 | No | BUY | 5 | 37¢ | $2 | 0xdc5b16… |
| 07-27 03:33:06 | (anonymous) 0xe8c4…ea5c | No | SELL | 20 | 36¢ | $7 | 0xea62b2… |
| 07-27 03:33:06 | Tinted-Sentencing 0xa9e6…1dc2 | Yes | SELL | 20 | 64¢ | $13 | 0xea62b2… |
| 07-26 18:23:58 | Ringed-Fertilizer 0x46a3…032e | No | SELL | 196 | 32¢ | $63 | 0xcff56e… |
| 07-26 18:23:58 | Jam-Packed-Dividend 0xc456…8996 | No | BUY | 196 | 32¢ | $63 | 0xcff56e… |
| 07-25 14:40:19 | (anonymous) 0xaf05…33e2 | No | SELL | 5 | 35¢ | $2 | 0xdc6f95… |
| 07-25 14:40:19 | Smooth-Spectrum 0x730f…7026 | No | BUY | 5 | 35¢ | $2 | 0xdc6f95… |
| 07-25 07:58:13 | Snappy-Rooster 0xc602…7fc1 | Yes | SELL | 105 | 68¢ | $71 | 0x32919c… |
| 07-25 07:58:13 | (anonymous) 0x6cf9…cffd | Yes | BUY | 105 | 68¢ | $71 | 0x32919c… |
| 07-25 07:55:25 | Snappy-Rooster 0xc602…7fc1 | Yes | SELL | 389 | 67¢ | $260 | 0xa99d88… |
| 07-25 07:55:25 | (anonymous) 0x6cf9…cffd | Yes | BUY | 414 | 67¢ | $277 | 0xa99d88… |
| 07-25 07:55:25 | (anonymous) 0xe8c4…ea5c | No | BUY | 20 | 33¢ | $7 | 0xa99d88… |
| 07-25 07:55:25 | (anonymous) 0x40c7…b1e8 | No | BUY | 5 | 34¢ | $2 | 0xa99d88… |
| 07-24 03:21:45 | Tired-Acoustics 0x61f2…e77a | No | BUY | 10 | 31¢ | $3 | 0x0d1fff… |
| 07-24 03:21:45 | (anonymous) 0xaf05…33e2 | No | BUY | 5 | 31¢ | $2 | 0x0d1fff… |
| 07-24 03:21:45 | Euphoric-Headline 0x377d…dddd | No | SELL | 15 | 31¢ | $5 | 0x0d1fff… |
| 07-23 16:41:06 | Dimpled-Overcoat 0x82ae…4325 | Yes | SELL | 157 | 66¢ | $103 | 0x0e91ab… |
| 07-23 16:41:06 | Tough-Investigator 0x6630…2f4e | No | SELL | 96 | 34¢ | $32 | 0x0e91ab… |
| 07-23 16:41:06 | Monthly-Foxglove 0xad11…24a5 | No | SELL | 46 | 34¢ | $16 | 0x0e91ab… |
| 07-23 16:41:06 | (anonymous) 0xaf05…33e2 | No | SELL | 15 | 33¢ | $5 | 0x0e91ab… |
| 07-23 15:52:01 | Tired-Acoustics 0x61f2…e77a | No | SELL | 10 | 32¢ | $3 | 0xb5b164… |
| 07-23 15:52:01 | (anonymous) 0xc1f4…dd7c | Yes | SELL | 55 | 66¢ | $37 | 0xb5b164… |
| 07-23 15:52:01 | Monthly-Foxglove 0xad11…24a5 | No | SELL | 45 | 34¢ | $15 | 0xb5b164… |
| 07-23 15:50:40 | Kaleidoscopic-Hemisphere 0x9ad0…bf3d | Yes | BUY | 205 | 69¢ | $141 | 0x01f788… |
| 07-23 15:50:40 | (anonymous) 0xc1f4…dd7c | Yes | SELL | 205 | 69¢ | $141 | 0x01f788… |
| 07-23 15:50:18 | (anonymous) 0xc1f4…dd7c | Yes | SELL | 140 | 70¢ | $98 | 0x6970e3… |
| 07-23 15:50:18 | Beloved-Laryngitis-Hunger 0xb2d5…ff8b | No | SELL | 5 | 30¢ | $2 | 0x6970e3… |
| 07-23 15:50:18 | Kaleidoscopic-Hemisphere 0x9ad0…bf3d | Yes | BUY | 135 | 70¢ | $94 | 0x6970e3… |
| 07-22 08:59:28 | Kaleidoscopic-Hemisphere 0x9ad0…bf3d | Yes | BUY | 9 | 70¢ | $7 | 0xc53e90… |
| 07-22 08:59:28 | (anonymous) 0xdf4f…8fe8 | No | BUY | 9 | 30¢ | $3 | 0xc53e90… |
| 07-21 11:27:15 | Kaleidoscopic-Hemisphere 0x9ad0…bf3d | Yes | BUY | 23 | 70¢ | $16 | 0xe651a3… |
| 07-21 11:27:15 | Frivolous-Nest 0x3c48…5456 | No | BUY | 23 | 30¢ | $7 | 0xe651a3… |
| 07-21 08:35:10 | (anonymous) 0x6491…e77a | Yes | SELL | 26 | 70¢ | $18 | 0x9a7bd3… |
| 07-21 08:35:10 | Kaleidoscopic-Hemisphere 0x9ad0…bf3d | Yes | BUY | 26 | 70¢ | $18 | 0x9a7bd3… |
| 07-21 00:01:51 | Kaleidoscopic-Hemisphere 0x9ad0…bf3d | Yes | BUY | 10 | 70¢ | $7 | 0xb95911… |
| 07-21 00:01:51 | Euphoric-Headline 0x377d…dddd | Yes | SELL | 10 | 70¢ | $7 | 0xb95911… |
| 07-20 10:00:57 | Popular-Culture 0x7641…eafc | No | SELL | 4 | 26¢ | $1 | 0x0460de… |
| 07-20 10:00:57 | Snappy-Rooster 0xc602…7fc1 | Yes | SELL | 4 | 74¢ | $3 | 0x0460de… |
| 07-19 17:40:54 | Dimpled-Overcoat 0x82ae…4325 | Yes | BUY | 157 | 71¢ | $111 | 0x081bf6… |
| 07-19 17:40:54 | Energetic-Gasp 0xcceb…f030 | Yes | SELL | 200 | 71¢ | $142 | 0x081bf6… |
| 07-19 17:40:54 | Kaleidoscopic-Hemisphere 0x9ad0…bf3d | Yes | BUY | 43 | 71¢ | $31 | 0x081bf6… |
| 07-19 13:38:07 | Mysterious-Yin 0xb8e6…9767 | Yes | BUY | 200 | 76¢ | $152 | 0xba3a10… |
| 07-19 13:38:07 | Kaleidoscopic-Hemisphere 0x9ad0…bf3d | No | SELL | 200 | 25¢ | $50 | 0xba3a10… |
| 07-19 13:38:07 | Energetic-Gasp 0xcceb…f030 | Yes | BUY | 200 | 75¢ | $150 | 0xba3a10… |
| 07-19 13:38:07 | Experienced-Carpeting 0xbdcb…e811 | Yes | SELL | 600 | 75¢ | $452 | 0xba3a10… |
| 07-18 03:52:52 | Mysterious-Yin 0xb8e6…9767 | Yes | BUY | 0 | 76¢ | $0 | 0xe69746… |
| 07-18 03:52:52 | Murky-Chow 0x6406…bc04 | Yes | SELL | 0 | 76¢ | $0 | 0xe69746… |
| 07-17 13:34:42 | Murky-Chow 0x6406…bc04 | Yes | SELL | 36 | 76¢ | $27 | 0xe216b0… |
| 07-17 13:34:42 | Mysterious-Yin 0xb8e6…9767 | Yes | BUY | 36 | 76¢ | $27 | 0xe216b0… |
| 07-17 05:25:37 | Long-Term-Overhead 0xbd14…76b4 | Yes | SELL | 298 | 77¢ | $229 | 0x538b6a… |
| 07-17 05:25:37 | Alert-Charlatan 0x5de7…540c | No | SELL | 298 | 23¢ | $68 | 0x538b6a… |
| 07-17 05:22:37 | Long-Term-Overhead 0xbd14…76b4 | Yes | BUY | 298 | 78¢ | $232 | 0xdffbd8… |
| 07-17 05:22:37 | Quirky-Fencing 0x337a…672d | Yes | SELL | 755 | 78¢ | $589 | 0xdffbd8… |
| 07-17 05:22:37 | Snappy-Rooster 0xc602…7fc1 | Yes | BUY | 201 | 78¢ | $157 | 0xdffbd8… |
| 07-17 05:22:37 | (anonymous) 0x6795…c55d | Yes | BUY | 246 | 78¢ | $192 | 0xdffbd8… |
| 07-17 05:22:37 | Frivolous-Charm 0xed19…cb5e | No | SELL | 10 | 22¢ | $2 | 0xdffbd8… |
| 07-16 22:14:35 | Snappy-Rooster 0xc602…7fc1 | Yes | BUY | 296 | 79¢ | $234 | 0x7dc0b4… |
| 07-16 22:14:35 | Woozy-Internet 0xa28c…e10f | Yes | BUY | 340 | 79¢ | $269 | 0x7dc0b4… |
| 07-16 22:14:35 | Flaky-Shadow 0xd1ee…a8ae | Yes | SELL | 917 | 79¢ | $722 | 0x7dc0b4… |
| 07-16 22:14:35 | Weird-Freedom 0xeca0…e8f8 | No | SELL | 27 | 22¢ | $6 | 0x7dc0b4… |
| 07-16 22:14:35 | (anonymous) 0x6795…c55d | Yes | BUY | 254 | 78¢ | $198 | 0x7dc0b4… |
| 07-16 16:59:14 | (anonymous) 0x0082…5fc4 | Yes | SELL | 105 | 80¢ | $84 | 0xd64d67… |
| 07-16 16:59:14 | Woozy-Internet 0xa28c…e10f | Yes | BUY | 105 | 80¢ | $84 | 0xd64d67… |
| 07-15 11:10:50 | Murky-Chow 0x6406…bc04 | Yes | BUY | 24 | 79¢ | $19 | 0xb004af… |
| 07-15 11:10:50 | (anonymous) 0xfb64…c2ab | No | BUY | 24 | 21¢ | $5 | 0xb004af… |
| 07-15 08:37:32 | Past-Principal 0x1605…43bf | Yes | SELL | 13 | 79¢ | $10 | 0x0990b5… |
| 07-15 08:37:32 | Murky-Chow 0x6406…bc04 | Yes | BUY | 13 | 79¢ | $10 | 0x0990b5… |
| 07-14 21:32:37 | Possible-Satin 0xedcb…54b1 | Yes | SELL | 1 | 78¢ | $1 | 0xc99e95… |
| 07-14 21:32:37 | Weird-Freedom 0xeca0…e8f8 | No | SELL | 1 | 22¢ | $0 | 0xc99e95… |