Will Anthropic flip BTC by December 31?
open
Total volume
$21,420
$1,313 in 24h
Trades
445
Unique wallets
122
Liquidity
$11,275
Latest YES mid
80¢
Latest NO mid
20¢
End date
2026-12-31
First seen
2026-05-27
last 07-13 22:28
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
YES holders
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
SMI:
-76.2¢
(top1%: 0% YES on $24
vs crowd: 76% YES on $7.5K)
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐋 Whale | 12 | $2.8K | $496 | +$2.3K |
| 🐬 Dolphin | 23 | $1.7K | $563 | +$1.1K |
| 🐟 Fish | 27 | $607 | $641 | $34 |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 60 | $654 | $96 | +$558 |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🎯 Top 1% | 4 | — | $24 | $24 |
| 🏆 Top 5% | 9 | $831 | $115 | +$716 |
| ✅ Top 10% | 4 | $400 | — | +$400 |
| Median | 9 | $944 | $266 | +$678 |
| Below median | 16 | $193 | $189 | +$4 |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 4 | — | $4 | $4 |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 13 | $562 | $413 | +$149 |
| 💀 Bottom 1% | 6 | $1.4K | $538 | +$861 |
| unranked | 57 | $1.4K | $247 | +$1.2K |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Worthwhile-Hockey 0x9b06…0b42 | Yes | +1,219 | $719 | $719 | 1 | 05-31 23:26 |
| Distinct-Kale 0x46a1…2736 | Yes | +807 | $542 | $542 | 4 | 06-21 17:42 |
| Sociable-Pendulum 0xdec2…b015 | No | +800 | $238 | $238 | 5 | 06-12 15:30 |
| Blond-Wriggler 0xd950…ad1b | No | +700 | $196 | $196 | 16 | 07-03 02:51 |
| Experienced-Carpeting 0xbdcb…e811 | Yes | +606 | $446 | $446 | 2 | 07-01 10:09 |
| Kaleidoscopic-Hemisphere 0x9ad0…bf3d | Yes | +576 | $393 | $1,494 | 26 | 07-13 22:28 |
| Alert-Charlatan 0x5de7…540c | No | +500 | $169 | $169 | 7 | 06-07 06:16 |
| (anonymous) 0xd1a8…fb82 | No | +494 | $134 | $134 | 6 | 06-24 20:01 |
| Thunderous-Fillet 0xdf0d…c7be | No | +486 | $100 | $100 | 1 | 07-07 18:40 |
| Ornate-Grocery 0x17b2…87a1 | Yes | +442 | $270 | $270 | 1 | 06-15 02:03 |
| Tough-Investigator 0x6630…2f4e | No | +391 | $117 | $118 | 11 | 07-01 09:57 |
| Long-Term-Overhead 0xbd14…76b4 | Yes | +321 | $278 | $1,975 | 6 | 07-13 22:28 |
| Zany-Vitamin 0x4552…0333 | No | +301 | $113 | $113 | 15 | 06-02 16:18 |
| Kaleidoscopic-Hemisphere 0x9ad0…bf3d | No | +210 | $51 | $207 | 6 | 07-01 10:09 |
| Better-Smith 0xca52…0cdf | Yes | +177 | $145 | $145 | 2 | 07-08 16:38 |
| Flaky-Shadow 0xd1ee…a8ae | Yes | +158 | $61 | $696 | 13 | 07-13 11:25 |
| (anonymous) 0x7d18…9d98 | Yes | +138 | $100 | $100 | 1 | 06-26 20:35 |
| (anonymous) 0x0082…5fc4 | Yes | +105 | $72 | $72 | 4 | 06-03 05:47 |
| Woozy-Internet 0xa28c…e10f | Yes | +56 | $35 | $35 | 4 | 06-06 03:31 |
| (anonymous) 0x5d62…e937 | Yes | +41 | $30 | $30 | 1 | 06-25 16:32 |
| (anonymous) 0xea2e…1e57 | Yes | +27 | $20 | $20 | 4 | 06-25 13:39 |
| (anonymous) 0x6491…e77a | Yes | +26 | $18 | $46 | 5 | 06-23 21:08 |
| Appropriate-Dime-Dagger 0x36e7…bd1a | No | +24 | $7 | $7 | 2 | 06-13 08:34 |
| (anonymous) 0x0c9b…e768 | Yes | +23 | $18 | $18 | 1 | 07-05 22:25 |
| (anonymous) 0x0c9b…e768 | No | +23 | $16 | $48 | 7 | 07-06 14:13 |
| (anonymous) 0xaf05…33e2 | No | +15 | $5 | $5 | 2 | 06-23 21:08 |
| Euphoric-Headline 0x377d…dddd | No | +15 | $3 | $3 | 3 | 07-03 05:26 |
| Famous-Corporal 0x219f…12d8 | Yes | +14 | $10 | $10 | 1 | 06-08 15:09 |
| Bossy-Interchange 0xb6e3…4c92 | Yes | +14 | $10 | $10 | 1 | 06-13 12:42 |
| (anonymous) 0x2119…413a | Yes | +12 | $10 | $10 | 1 | 07-09 07:50 |
| Flowery-Thaw 0x014b…2a28 | No | +12 | $4 | $4 | 2 | 05-29 11:51 |
| Tired-Acoustics 0x61f2…e77a | No | +10 | $3 | $10 | 3 | 06-22 15:37 |
| Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | No | +10 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 06-05 08:30 |
| Frivolous-Charm 0xed19…cb5e | No | +10 | $2 | $13 | 9 | 07-13 22:28 |
| (anonymous) 0xf528…7e5b | Yes | +10 | $8 | $26 | 7 | 07-13 11:35 |
| (anonymous) 0xaa14…854f | No | +9 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 07-03 11:51 |
| Frivolous-Nest 0x3c48…5456 | No | +8 | $3 | $3 | 2 | 06-17 15:43 |
| (anonymous) 0x8519…2fa8 | Yes | +8 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 05-29 06:10 |
| Dense-Wont 0x6013…777b | No | +7 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 06-29 00:11 |
| (anonymous) 0x56a3…1caf | No | +6 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 07-09 09:08 |
| Subdued-Revenant 0xcf07…c770 | Yes | +5 | $3 | $3 | 1 | 06-17 15:43 |
| Beloved-Laryngitis-Hunger 0xb2d5…ff8b | No | +5 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 06-28 11:33 |
| (anonymous) 0xe20a…d74f | No | +5 | $1 | $34 | 14 | 07-03 05:26 |
| Popular-Culture 0x7641…eafc | No | +4 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 06-25 05:55 |
| (anonymous) 0xf3f7…c259 | No | +3 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 06-25 13:15 |
| (anonymous) 0x5da8…e7dd | No | +3 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 06-25 12:30 |
| (anonymous) 0xa2b6…4451 | No | +2 | $0 | $2 | 2 | 07-09 09:08 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-13 22:28:59 | (anonymous) 0xad99…dbab | No | SELL | 110 | 22¢ | $24 | 0x867110… |
| 07-13 22:28:59 | Kaleidoscopic-Hemisphere 0x9ad0…bf3d | Yes | BUY | 205 | 79¢ | $162 | 0x867110… |
| 07-13 22:28:59 | (anonymous) 0x4a7f…3797 | No | SELL | 50 | 19¢ | $9 | 0x867110… |
| 07-13 22:28:59 | (anonymous) 0x933c…b820 | Yes | SELL | 1,659 | 79¢ | $1,313 | 0x867110… |
| 07-13 22:28:59 | Pleasing-Elm 0x4ffe…9f71 | No | SELL | 336 | 20¢ | $67 | 0x867110… |
| 07-13 22:28:59 | Weird-Freedom 0xeca0…e8f8 | No | SELL | 374 | 22¢ | $82 | 0x867110… |
| 07-13 22:28:59 | Frivolous-Charm 0xed19…cb5e | No | SELL | 20 | 22¢ | $4 | 0x867110… |
| 07-13 22:28:59 | Long-Term-Overhead 0xbd14…76b4 | Yes | BUY | 321 | 80¢ | $257 | 0x867110… |
| 07-13 22:28:59 | Snappy-Rooster 0xc602…7fc1 | No | SELL | 244 | 21¢ | $51 | 0x867110… |
| 07-13 11:35:35 | (anonymous) 0xf528…7e5b | Yes | BUY | 5 | 83¢ | $4 | 0xbfa69b… |
| 07-13 11:35:35 | Frivolous-Charm 0xed19…cb5e | No | BUY | 5 | 17¢ | $1 | 0xbfa69b… |
| 07-13 11:32:08 | Pleasing-Elm 0x4ffe…9f71 | No | SELL | 5 | 17¢ | $1 | 0xb83334… |
| 07-13 11:32:08 | Weird-Freedom 0xeca0…e8f8 | No | BUY | 5 | 17¢ | $1 | 0xb83334… |
| 07-13 11:30:08 | Weird-Freedom 0xeca0…e8f8 | No | BUY | 5 | 19¢ | $1 | 0x48f53b… |
| 07-13 11:30:08 | (anonymous) 0xf528…7e5b | Yes | BUY | 5 | 81¢ | $4 | 0x48f53b… |
| 07-13 11:25:01 | (anonymous) 0xffe3…62ad | No | SELL | 441 | 2¢ | $9 | 0x8d99a4… |
| 07-13 11:25:01 | Pleasing-Elm 0x4ffe…9f71 | No | BUY | 341 | 1¢ | $3 | 0x8d99a4… |
| 07-13 11:25:01 | Flaky-Shadow 0xd1ee…a8ae | Yes | SELL | 50 | 95¢ | $48 | 0x8d99a4… |
| 07-13 11:24:26 | Flaky-Shadow 0xd1ee…a8ae | Yes | SELL | 50 | 92¢ | $46 | 0x4dd59d… |
| 07-13 11:24:26 | (anonymous) 0xffe3…62ad | No | SELL | 100 | 9¢ | $9 | 0x4dd59d… |
| 07-13 11:23:44 | Kaleidoscopic-Hemisphere 0x9ad0…bf3d | Yes | SELL | 244 | 81¢ | $197 | 0xa72c8d… |
| 07-13 11:23:44 | Flaky-Shadow 0xd1ee…a8ae | Yes | SELL | 25 | 89¢ | $22 | 0xa72c8d… |
| 07-13 11:23:44 | (anonymous) 0x4a7f…3797 | No | BUY | 50 | 18¢ | $9 | 0xa72c8d… |
| 07-13 11:23:44 | Snappy-Rooster 0xc602…7fc1 | No | BUY | 244 | 19¢ | $46 | 0xa72c8d… |
| 07-13 11:23:44 | (anonymous) 0x395e…34e2 | Yes | SELL | 3 | 89¢ | $2 | 0x852acf… |
| 07-13 11:23:44 | Frivolous-Charm 0xed19…cb5e | No | BUY | 5 | 18¢ | $1 | 0xa72c8d… |
| 07-13 11:23:44 | (anonymous) 0xffe3…62ad | No | SELL | 3 | 11¢ | $0 | 0x852acf… |
| 07-13 11:23:44 | (anonymous) 0xffe3…62ad | No | SELL | 568 | 19¢ | $105 | 0xa72c8d… |
| 07-12 22:33:10 | (anonymous) 0x395e…34e2 | Yes | SELL | 1 | 78¢ | $1 | 0x2dfa66… |
| 07-12 22:33:10 | Weird-Freedom 0xeca0…e8f8 | No | SELL | 1 | 22¢ | $0 | 0x2dfa66… |
| 07-12 22:33:08 | (anonymous) 0x7a40…aa03 | Yes | BUY | 1 | 81¢ | $1 | 0x2cf1a3… |
| 07-12 22:33:08 | Kaleidoscopic-Hemisphere 0x9ad0…bf3d | Yes | SELL | 1 | 81¢ | $1 | 0x2cf1a3… |
| 07-11 13:00:38 | (anonymous) 0xf539…114f | Yes | SELL | 6 | 78¢ | $5 | 0x8109ea… |
| 07-11 13:00:38 | Weird-Freedom 0xeca0…e8f8 | No | SELL | 6 | 22¢ | $1 | 0x8109ea… |
| 07-09 09:08:07 | (anonymous) 0x56a3…1caf | No | BUY | 6 | 19¢ | $1 | 0x362162… |
| 07-09 09:08:07 | (anonymous) 0xa2b6…4451 | No | SELL | 6 | 19¢ | $1 | 0x362162… |
| 07-09 07:50:53 | Weird-Freedom 0xeca0…e8f8 | No | BUY | 5 | 18¢ | $1 | 0x78e1e9… |
| 07-09 07:50:53 | (anonymous) 0x2119…413a | Yes | BUY | 12 | 83¢ | $10 | 0x78e1e9… |
| 07-09 07:50:53 | (anonymous) 0xa2b6…4451 | No | BUY | 7 | 17¢ | $1 | 0x78e1e9… |
| 07-09 04:12:53 | (anonymous) 0xf539…114f | Yes | BUY | 5 | 80¢ | $4 | 0x382366… |
| 07-09 04:12:53 | Murky-Chow 0x6406…bc04 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 80¢ | $4 | 0x382366… |
| 07-08 18:48:08 | Murky-Chow 0x6406…bc04 | Yes | SELL | 1 | 88¢ | $1 | 0x085b9e… |
| 07-08 18:48:08 | (anonymous) 0xf539…114f | Yes | BUY | 1 | 88¢ | $1 | 0x085b9e… |
| 07-08 16:38:11 | Murky-Chow 0x6406…bc04 | Yes | SELL | 32 | 82¢ | $26 | 0xe34674… |
| 07-08 16:38:11 | Frivolous-Charm 0xed19…cb5e | No | BUY | 5 | 18¢ | $1 | 0xe34674… |
| 07-08 16:38:11 | Better-Smith 0xca52…0cdf | Yes | BUY | 37 | 82¢ | $30 | 0xe34674… |
| 07-08 03:52:22 | Murky-Chow 0x6406…bc04 | Yes | SELL | 140 | 82¢ | $115 | 0xa9bfbb… |
| 07-08 03:52:22 | Better-Smith 0xca52…0cdf | Yes | BUY | 140 | 82¢ | $115 | 0xa9bfbb… |
| 07-08 02:22:58 | Weird-Freedom 0xeca0…e8f8 | No | SELL | 137 | 22¢ | $30 | 0x9f2376… |
| 07-08 02:22:58 | (anonymous) 0x9474…5091 | No | SELL | 6 | 21¢ | $1 | 0x9f2376… |
| 07-08 02:22:58 | (anonymous) 0x4ddb…cd80 | Yes | SELL | 143 | 78¢ | $112 | 0x9f2376… |
| 07-08 01:42:20 | Frivolous-Charm 0xed19…cb5e | No | BUY | 5 | 18¢ | $1 | 0xa86eaf… |
| 07-08 01:42:20 | Boring-Pumpkinseed 0xeb2d…20f6 | No | SELL | 29 | 18¢ | $5 | 0xa86eaf… |
| 07-08 01:42:20 | Murky-Chow 0x6406…bc04 | Yes | SELL | 22 | 82¢ | $18 | 0xa86eaf… |
| 07-08 01:42:20 | Weird-Freedom 0xeca0…e8f8 | No | BUY | 1 | 18¢ | $0 | 0xa86eaf… |
| 07-07 18:40:31 | Weird-Freedom 0xeca0…e8f8 | No | SELL | 51 | 22¢ | $11 | 0xa0cf7b… |
| 07-07 18:40:31 | Long-Term-Overhead 0xbd14…76b4 | Yes | SELL | 51 | 78¢ | $40 | 0xa0cf7b… |
| 07-07 18:40:17 | Kaleidoscopic-Hemisphere 0x9ad0…bf3d | Yes | BUY | 235 | 79¢ | $186 | 0xe028d7… |
| 07-07 18:40:17 | Long-Term-Overhead 0xbd14…76b4 | Yes | BUY | 51 | 79¢ | $40 | 0xe028d7… |
| 07-07 18:40:17 | Thunderous-Fillet 0xdf0d…c7be | No | BUY | 486 | 21¢ | $100 | 0xe028d7… |
| 07-07 18:40:17 | Murky-Chow 0x6406…bc04 | Yes | BUY | 200 | 80¢ | $160 | 0xe028d7… |
| 07-06 16:20:35 | Weird-Freedom 0xeca0…e8f8 | No | BUY | 4 | 18¢ | $1 | 0x889d82… |
| 07-06 16:20:35 | Tasty-Encyclopedia 0x118f…2d39 | No | SELL | 4 | 18¢ | $1 | 0x889d82… |
| 07-06 14:13:02 | Tasty-Encyclopedia 0x118f…2d39 | No | BUY | 4 | 12¢ | $0 | 0x25afb4… |
| 07-06 14:13:02 | (anonymous) 0x0c9b…e768 | No | SELL | 4 | 12¢ | $0 | 0x25afb4… |
| 07-05 23:14:59 | Miserable-Somewhere 0x7d8f…973b | No | SELL | 9 | 20¢ | $2 | 0xd85000… |
| 07-05 23:14:59 | Frivolous-Charm 0xed19…cb5e | No | BUY | 5 | 20¢ | $1 | 0xd85000… |
| 07-05 23:14:59 | (anonymous) 0x0c9b…e768 | No | BUY | 4 | 20¢ | $1 | 0xd85000… |
| 07-05 22:25:44 | (anonymous) 0x5f1c…c5dd | Yes | SELL | 23 | 79¢ | $18 | 0xb98834… |
| 07-05 22:25:44 | (anonymous) 0x0c9b…e768 | Yes | BUY | 23 | 79¢ | $18 | 0xb98834… |
| 07-05 22:25:44 | Kaleidoscopic-Hemisphere 0x9ad0…bf3d | Yes | BUY | 22 | 79¢ | $17 | 0xa20ebb… |
| 07-05 22:25:44 | (anonymous) 0x0c9b…e768 | No | BUY | 22 | 21¢ | $5 | 0xa20ebb… |
| 07-05 01:40:16 | (anonymous) 0x0c9b…e768 | No | SELL | 130 | 12¢ | $16 | 0x5db0cd… |
| 07-05 01:40:16 | Flaky-Shadow 0xd1ee…a8ae | Yes | SELL | 25 | 89¢ | $22 | 0x5db0cd… |
| 07-05 01:40:16 | Weird-Freedom 0xeca0…e8f8 | No | BUY | 5 | 20¢ | $1 | 0x5db0cd… |
| 07-04 23:31:43 | (anonymous) 0x0c9b…e768 | No | BUY | 31 | 21¢ | $6 | 0x7a2677… |
| 07-04 23:31:43 | Snappy-Rooster 0xc602…7fc1 | No | SELL | 31 | 21¢ | $6 | 0x7a2677… |
| 07-04 22:21:37 | Weird-Freedom 0xeca0…e8f8 | No | SELL | 6 | 22¢ | $1 | 0xd01b29… |
| 07-04 22:21:37 | (anonymous) 0xf528…7e5b | Yes | SELL | 6 | 78¢ | $5 | 0xd01b29… |
| 07-03 11:51:56 | (anonymous) 0x9474…5091 | No | SELL | 3 | 22¢ | $1 | 0x8dbebe… |
| 07-03 11:51:56 | (anonymous) 0xaa14…854f | No | BUY | 9 | 22¢ | $2 | 0x8dbebe… |
| 07-03 11:51:56 | (anonymous) 0xf528…7e5b | Yes | BUY | 6 | 78¢ | $5 | 0x8dbebe… |
| 07-03 05:26:26 | Euphoric-Headline 0x377d…dddd | No | BUY | 5 | 17¢ | $1 | 0x0a66b2… |
| 07-03 05:26:26 | (anonymous) 0xe20a…d74f | No | SELL | 5 | 17¢ | $1 | 0x0a66b2… |
| 07-03 04:36:58 | (anonymous) 0xe20a…d74f | No | SELL | 5 | 17¢ | $1 | 0xdac304… |
| 07-03 04:36:58 | Euphoric-Headline 0x377d…dddd | No | BUY | 5 | 17¢ | $1 | 0xdac304… |
| 07-03 03:53:13 | Euphoric-Headline 0x377d…dddd | No | BUY | 5 | 17¢ | $1 | 0x18df74… |
| 07-03 03:53:13 | (anonymous) 0xe20a…d74f | No | SELL | 5 | 17¢ | $1 | 0x18df74… |
| 07-03 02:51:55 | Snappy-Rooster 0xc602…7fc1 | No | BUY | 31 | 19¢ | $6 | 0xf073cb… |
| 07-03 02:51:55 | (anonymous) 0x0c9b…e768 | No | BUY | 50 | 20¢ | $10 | 0xf073cb… |
| 07-03 02:51:55 | (anonymous) 0xe20a…d74f | No | BUY | 20 | 20¢ | $4 | 0xf073cb… |
| 07-03 02:51:55 | Blond-Wriggler 0xd950…ad1b | No | BUY | 100 | 20¢ | $20 | 0xf073cb… |
| 07-03 02:51:55 | Flaky-Shadow 0xd1ee…a8ae | Yes | BUY | 250 | 80¢ | $200 | 0xf073cb… |
| 07-01 10:09:43 | Kaleidoscopic-Hemisphere 0x9ad0…bf3d | No | BUY | 204 | 25¢ | $51 | 0x605366… |
| 07-01 10:09:43 | Experienced-Carpeting 0xbdcb…e811 | Yes | BUY | 204 | 75¢ | $153 | 0x605366… |
| 07-01 09:57:20 | (anonymous) 0x0d4f…a1d5 | Yes | SELL | 3 | 74¢ | $2 | 0x534798… |
| 07-01 09:57:20 | Tough-Investigator 0x6630…2f4e | No | SELL | 3 | 26¢ | $1 | 0x534798… |
| 07-01 01:43:19 | Kaleidoscopic-Hemisphere 0x9ad0…bf3d | No | BUY | 1 | 25¢ | $0 | 0xe438e8… |
| 07-01 01:43:19 | Parallel-Permit 0xed4d…1a9d | Yes | BUY | 1 | 75¢ | $1 | 0xe438e8… |
| 07-01 00:03:46 | Tinted-Sentencing 0xa9e6…1dc2 | Yes | SELL | 402 | 73¢ | $293 | 0xd7fbb1… |