Will Anthropic flip BTC by December 31?
open
Total volume
$13,714
$1,313 in 24h
Trades
277
Unique wallets
86
Liquidity
$11,275
Latest YES mid
65¢
Latest NO mid
35¢
End date
2026-12-31
First seen
2026-05-27
last 06-19 21:40
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
YES holders
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
SMI:
-71.9¢
(top1%: 0% YES on $19
vs crowd: 72% YES on $4.7K)
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐋 Whale | 10 | $1.6K | $342 | +$1.2K |
| 🐬 Dolphin | 19 | $977 | $484 | +$493 |
| 🐟 Fish | 20 | $424 | $421 | +$3 |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 37 | $391 | $67 | +$323 |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🎯 Top 1% | 4 | — | $19 | $19 |
| 🏆 Top 5% | 9 | $524 | $115 | +$409 |
| ✅ Top 10% | 3 | $8 | — | +$8 |
| Median | 7 | $465 | $178 | +$287 |
| Below median | 12 | $15 | $154 | $139 |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 4 | — | $1 | $1 |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 12 | $116 | $329 | $213 |
| 💀 Bottom 1% | 6 | $1.1K | $449 | +$652 |
| unranked | 29 | $1.1K | $68 | +$1.1K |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Worthwhile-Hockey 0x9b06…0b42 | Yes | +1,219 | $719 | $719 | 1 | 05-31 23:26 |
| Sociable-Pendulum 0xdec2…b015 | No | +800 | $238 | $238 | 5 | 06-12 15:30 |
| Kaleidoscopic-Hemisphere 0x9ad0…bf3d | Yes | +502 | $333 | $595 | 13 | 06-16 02:04 |
| Alert-Charlatan 0x5de7…540c | No | +500 | $169 | $169 | 7 | 06-07 06:16 |
| Ornate-Grocery 0x17b2…87a1 | Yes | +442 | $270 | $270 | 1 | 06-15 02:03 |
| Blond-Wriggler 0xd950…ad1b | No | +400 | $120 | $120 | 13 | 06-10 22:19 |
| Tough-Investigator 0x6630…2f4e | No | +394 | $118 | $118 | 10 | 06-05 06:21 |
| (anonymous) 0xd1a8…fb82 | No | +366 | $100 | $100 | 5 | 06-13 12:42 |
| Zany-Vitamin 0x4552…0333 | No | +301 | $113 | $113 | 15 | 06-02 16:18 |
| Distinct-Kale 0x46a1…2736 | Yes | +300 | $201 | $201 | 1 | 06-19 12:01 |
| Flaky-Shadow 0xd1ee…a8ae | Yes | +258 | $179 | $179 | 4 | 06-07 06:16 |
| (anonymous) 0x0082…5fc4 | Yes | +105 | $72 | $72 | 4 | 06-03 05:47 |
| Woozy-Internet 0xa28c…e10f | Yes | +56 | $35 | $35 | 4 | 06-06 03:31 |
| (anonymous) 0x6491…e77a | Yes | +33 | $22 | $22 | 2 | 06-15 09:55 |
| Boring-Pumpkinseed 0xeb2d…20f6 | No | +29 | $10 | $10 | 1 | 06-16 02:04 |
| Appropriate-Dime-Dagger 0x36e7…bd1a | No | +24 | $7 | $7 | 2 | 06-13 08:34 |
| Famous-Corporal 0x219f…12d8 | Yes | +14 | $10 | $10 | 1 | 06-08 15:09 |
| Bossy-Interchange 0xb6e3…4c92 | Yes | +14 | $10 | $10 | 1 | 06-13 12:42 |
| Flowery-Thaw 0x014b…2a28 | No | +12 | $4 | $4 | 2 | 05-29 11:51 |
| Tinted-Sentencing 0xa9e6…1dc2 | Yes | +10 | $6 | $6 | 1 | 06-01 14:30 |
| Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | No | +10 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 06-05 08:30 |
| Tired-Acoustics 0x61f2…e77a | No | +10 | $3 | $3 | 1 | 06-18 14:52 |
| Frivolous-Nest 0x3c48…5456 | No | +8 | $3 | $3 | 2 | 06-17 15:43 |
| (anonymous) 0x8519…2fa8 | Yes | +8 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 05-29 06:10 |
| Modest-Frigate 0xe98d…8fe0 | Yes | +6 | $4 | $4 | 1 | 05-29 06:30 |
| Subdued-Revenant 0xcf07…c770 | Yes | +5 | $3 | $3 | 1 | 06-17 15:43 |
| Kaleidoscopic-Hemisphere 0x9ad0…bf3d | No | +5 | $-0 | $156 | 4 | 05-29 13:33 |
| Frivolous-Charm 0xed19…cb5e | No | +5 | $1 | $4 | 3 | 06-12 15:30 |
| (anonymous) 0x9474…5091 | No | +1 | $0 | $2 | 2 | 06-06 18:38 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06-19 21:40:05 | Distinct-Kale 0x46a1…2736 | No | SELL | 86 | 34¢ | $29 | 0x18734f… |
| 06-19 21:40:05 | (anonymous) 0xf8a6…495d | Yes | SELL | 86 | 66¢ | $57 | 0x18734f… |
| 06-19 20:56:19 | Snappy-Rooster 0xc602…7fc1 | No | SELL | 225 | 32¢ | $72 | 0x6befe8… |
| 06-19 20:56:19 | (anonymous) 0x60c4…8627 | Yes | SELL | 225 | 68¢ | $153 | 0x6befe8… |
| 06-19 12:01:41 | Distinct-Kale 0x46a1…2736 | Yes | BUY | 300 | 67¢ | $201 | 0xe9f59a… |
| 06-19 12:01:41 | Slippery-Doll 0x1d7c…51b6 | Yes | SELL | 300 | 67¢ | $201 | 0xe9f59a… |
| 06-19 09:03:22 | Slippery-Doll 0x1d7c…51b6 | Yes | SELL | 8 | 67¢ | $5 | 0x0186d2… |
| 06-19 09:03:22 | (anonymous) 0xe20a…d74f | No | SELL | 8 | 33¢ | $3 | 0x0186d2… |
| 06-18 18:54:16 | (anonymous) 0x60c4…8627 | Yes | SELL | 100 | 68¢ | $68 | 0xb4d2d1… |
| 06-18 18:54:16 | Buoyant-Molasses 0xc6ba…b46d | No | SELL | 100 | 32¢ | $32 | 0xb4d2d1… |
| 06-18 14:52:22 | (anonymous) 0xe20a…d74f | No | BUY | 8 | 33¢ | $3 | 0x263ea4… |
| 06-18 14:52:22 | (anonymous) 0x60c4…8627 | Yes | SELL | 135 | 68¢ | $92 | 0x263ea4… |
| 06-18 14:52:22 | Tired-Acoustics 0x61f2…e77a | No | BUY | 10 | 33¢ | $3 | 0x263ea4… |
| 06-18 14:52:22 | Weepy-Sorbet 0x8d02…2753 | No | SELL | 154 | 32¢ | $49 | 0x263ea4… |
| 06-17 15:43:07 | Frivolous-Nest 0x3c48…5456 | No | BUY | 5 | 38¢ | $2 | 0x6c37ff… |
| 06-17 15:43:07 | Subdued-Revenant 0xcf07…c770 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 62¢ | $3 | 0x6c37ff… |
| 06-17 06:43:23 | Rotten-Cathedral 0xeae1…65ec | Yes | SELL | 83 | 62¢ | $52 | 0xfbbba0… |
| 06-17 06:43:23 | Snappy-Rooster 0xc602…7fc1 | No | SELL | 83 | 38¢ | $32 | 0xfbbba0… |
| 06-16 15:05:23 | Pleasing-Elm 0x4ffe…9f71 | No | SELL | 18 | 32¢ | $6 | 0x3f60ff… |
| 06-16 15:05:23 | (anonymous) 0x60c4…8627 | Yes | SELL | 18 | 68¢ | $12 | 0x3f60ff… |
| 06-16 02:04:00 | Kaleidoscopic-Hemisphere 0x9ad0…bf3d | Yes | BUY | 2 | 68¢ | $1 | 0x82c6f1… |
| 06-16 02:04:00 | Boring-Pumpkinseed 0xeb2d…20f6 | No | BUY | 29 | 35¢ | $10 | 0x82c6f1… |
| 06-16 02:04:00 | Pleasing-Elm 0x4ffe…9f71 | No | SELL | 27 | 35¢ | $9 | 0x82c6f1… |
| 06-15 17:16:46 | Pleasing-Elm 0x4ffe…9f71 | No | BUY | 41 | 29¢ | $12 | 0x698093… |
| 06-15 17:16:46 | Kaleidoscopic-Hemisphere 0x9ad0…bf3d | Yes | SELL | 95 | 72¢ | $69 | 0x698093… |
| 06-15 17:16:46 | Both-Correspondence 0x6ae1…1e7e | No | SELL | 136 | 28¢ | $39 | 0x698093… |
| 06-15 13:09:54 | Frivolous-Nest 0x3c48…5456 | No | BUY | 3 | 32¢ | $1 | 0x04faae… |
| 06-15 13:09:54 | Kaleidoscopic-Hemisphere 0x9ad0…bf3d | Yes | BUY | 3 | 68¢ | $2 | 0x04faae… |
| 06-15 09:55:06 | Pleasing-Elm 0x4ffe…9f71 | No | BUY | 4 | 29¢ | $1 | 0x146e86… |
| 06-15 09:55:06 | (anonymous) 0x6491…e77a | Yes | BUY | 4 | 71¢ | $3 | 0x146e86… |
| 06-15 02:03:48 | Puny-Cheesecake 0xaca4…b335 | No | SELL | 5 | 38¢ | $2 | 0x558cfd… |
| 06-15 02:03:48 | Ornate-Grocery 0x17b2…87a1 | Yes | BUY | 442 | 61¢ | $270 | 0x558cfd… |
| 06-15 02:03:48 | Kaleidoscopic-Hemisphere 0x9ad0…bf3d | Yes | BUY | 205 | 70¢ | $144 | 0x558cfd… |
| 06-15 02:03:48 | (anonymous) 0xc8b8…d073 | Yes | SELL | 652 | 64¢ | $416 | 0x558cfd… |
| 06-14 22:43:49 | Physical-Beggar 0xa6dc…12ec | No | SELL | 50 | 28¢ | $14 | 0x541936… |
| 06-14 22:43:49 | Sorrowful-Samovar 0x2843…b3d2 | Yes | SELL | 200 | 71¢ | $142 | 0x541936… |
| 06-14 22:43:49 | Energetic-Gasp 0xcceb…f030 | Yes | BUY | 150 | 71¢ | $107 | 0x541936… |
| 06-14 22:01:39 | Flat-Monastery 0x2921…1706 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 72¢ | $4 | 0x57f1e4… |
| 06-14 22:01:39 | Physical-Beggar 0xa6dc…12ec | No | SELL | 5 | 28¢ | $1 | 0x57f1e4… |
| 06-13 23:42:39 | Snappy-Rooster 0xc602…7fc1 | No | SELL | 85 | 28¢ | $24 | 0x2757a5… |
| 06-13 23:42:39 | (anonymous) 0xf301…71fa | Yes | SELL | 85 | 72¢ | $61 | 0x2757a5… |
| 06-13 12:42:13 | (anonymous) 0xd1a8…fb82 | No | BUY | 14 | 27¢ | $4 | 0xe5d5b4… |
| 06-13 12:42:13 | Bossy-Interchange 0xb6e3…4c92 | Yes | BUY | 14 | 73¢ | $10 | 0xe5d5b4… |
| 06-13 08:34:12 | Appropriate-Dime-Dagger 0x36e7…bd1a | No | BUY | 14 | 28¢ | $4 | 0x4af8c8… |
| 06-13 08:34:12 | Snappy-Rooster 0xc602…7fc1 | No | SELL | 14 | 28¢ | $4 | 0x4af8c8… |
| 06-13 04:16:00 | Appropriate-Dime-Dagger 0x36e7…bd1a | No | BUY | 10 | 28¢ | $3 | 0xbf028c… |
| 06-13 04:16:00 | Snappy-Rooster 0xc602…7fc1 | No | SELL | 10 | 28¢ | $3 | 0xbf028c… |
| 06-13 00:53:46 | Ideal-Nasal 0xa146…038b | Yes | SELL | 21 | 72¢ | $15 | 0x515b4f… |
| 06-13 00:53:46 | Snappy-Rooster 0xc602…7fc1 | No | SELL | 21 | 28¢ | $6 | 0x515b4f… |
| 06-12 15:30:31 | Frivolous-Charm 0xed19…cb5e | No | BUY | 5 | 27¢ | $1 | 0x6f4ed0… |
| 06-12 15:30:31 | Sociable-Pendulum 0xdec2…b015 | No | BUY | 200 | 27¢ | $54 | 0x6f4ed0… |
| 06-12 15:30:31 | (anonymous) 0x47e7…ecbf | No | SELL | 772 | 27¢ | $209 | 0x6f4ed0… |
| 06-12 15:30:31 | (anonymous) 0xd1a8…fb82 | No | BUY | 34 | 27¢ | $9 | 0x6f4ed0… |
| 06-12 14:53:25 | Snappy-Rooster 0xc602…7fc1 | No | SELL | 61 | 28¢ | $17 | 0xacd972… |
| 06-12 14:53:25 | Kaleidoscopic-Hemisphere 0x9ad0…bf3d | Yes | BUY | 33 | 72¢ | $24 | 0xacd972… |
| 06-12 14:53:25 | Moist-Transparency 0xe679…871f | Yes | SELL | 94 | 72¢ | $68 | 0xacd972… |
| 06-11 18:56:25 | Kaleidoscopic-Hemisphere 0x9ad0…bf3d | Yes | BUY | 5 | 72¢ | $4 | 0xbf5659… |
| 06-11 18:56:25 | Puny-Cheesecake 0xaca4…b335 | No | BUY | 5 | 28¢ | $1 | 0xbf5659… |
| 06-11 17:26:03 | Sociable-Pendulum 0xdec2…b015 | No | BUY | 9 | 27¢ | $2 | 0x142222… |
| 06-11 17:26:03 | (anonymous) 0xd865…96ba | No | SELL | 9 | 27¢ | $2 | 0x142222… |
| 06-11 16:57:04 | Considerate-Breastplate-Success 0x3ad5…74b4 | Yes | SELL | 1 | 72¢ | $1 | 0x7dc4c4… |
| 06-11 16:57:04 | Kaleidoscopic-Hemisphere 0x9ad0…bf3d | Yes | BUY | 1 | 72¢ | $1 | 0x7dc4c4… |
| 06-10 22:19:21 | Sociable-Pendulum 0xdec2…b015 | No | BUY | 58 | 27¢ | $16 | 0x82613b… |
| 06-10 22:19:21 | Worthy-Lament 0xfe72…f18c | No | SELL | 108 | 27¢ | $29 | 0x82613b… |
| 06-10 22:19:21 | Blond-Wriggler 0xd950…ad1b | No | BUY | 50 | 27¢ | $14 | 0x82613b… |
| 06-10 22:01:07 | Kaleidoscopic-Hemisphere 0x9ad0…bf3d | Yes | BUY | 50 | 72¢ | $36 | 0xe7009c… |
| 06-10 22:01:07 | Buoyant-Molasses 0xc6ba…b46d | No | BUY | 50 | 28¢ | $14 | 0xe7009c… |
| 06-10 08:33:27 | (anonymous) 0xd1a8…fb82 | No | BUY | 100 | 28¢ | $28 | 0x87c2b4… |
| 06-10 08:33:27 | Kaleidoscopic-Hemisphere 0x9ad0…bf3d | Yes | BUY | 100 | 72¢ | $72 | 0x87c2b4… |
| 06-10 08:19:55 | (anonymous) 0xd1a8…fb82 | No | BUY | 18 | 28¢ | $5 | 0x292eb2… |
| 06-10 08:19:55 | Weird-Freedom 0xeca0…e8f8 | No | SELL | 3 | 28¢ | $1 | 0x292eb2… |
| 06-10 08:19:55 | Kaleidoscopic-Hemisphere 0x9ad0…bf3d | Yes | BUY | 15 | 72¢ | $11 | 0x292eb2… |
| 06-10 07:06:04 | Weird-Freedom 0xeca0…e8f8 | No | SELL | 2 | 28¢ | $1 | 0xa27fea… |
| 06-10 07:06:04 | (anonymous) 0xc916…61a4 | Yes | SELL | 2 | 72¢ | $2 | 0xa27fea… |
| 06-10 06:29:42 | Considerate-Breastplate-Success 0x3ad5…74b4 | Yes | BUY | 1 | 73¢ | $1 | 0xb2d44c… |
| 06-10 06:29:42 | Blond-Wriggler 0xd950…ad1b | No | BUY | 1 | 27¢ | $0 | 0xb2d44c… |
| 06-09 21:09:27 | Parched-Freckle 0xaf4a…763c | No | SELL | 96 | 27¢ | $26 | 0x16606e… |
| 06-09 21:09:27 | Blond-Wriggler 0xd950…ad1b | No | BUY | 96 | 27¢ | $26 | 0x16606e… |
| 06-09 15:37:06 | Physical-Beggar 0xa6dc…12ec | No | SELL | 1 | 28¢ | $0 | 0x650d3f… |
| 06-09 15:37:06 | Gray-Sitar 0xae1f…04f1 | Yes | SELL | 1 | 72¢ | $1 | 0x650d3f… |
| 06-09 03:41:37 | Blond-Wriggler 0xd950…ad1b | No | BUY | 17 | 27¢ | $5 | 0xac4008… |
| 06-09 03:41:37 | (anonymous) 0x0431…30a5 | No | SELL | 17 | 27¢ | $5 | 0xac4008… |
| 06-09 03:22:27 | Physical-Beggar 0xa6dc…12ec | No | SELL | 65 | 28¢ | $18 | 0xc87795… |
| 06-09 03:22:27 | Slim-Houseboat 0x5e3f…b289 | Yes | SELL | 65 | 72¢ | $47 | 0xc87795… |
| 06-08 22:01:39 | Physical-Beggar 0xa6dc…12ec | No | SELL | 17 | 28¢ | $5 | 0x8c7d26… |
| 06-08 22:01:39 | (anonymous) 0x0431…30a5 | No | BUY | 17 | 28¢ | $5 | 0x8c7d26… |
| 06-08 22:01:37 | Blond-Wriggler 0xd950…ad1b | No | BUY | 7 | 27¢ | $2 | 0xcc60d1… |
| 06-08 22:01:37 | (anonymous) 0x0431…30a5 | No | SELL | 7 | 27¢ | $2 | 0xcc60d1… |
| 06-08 19:16:25 | Blond-Wriggler 0xd950…ad1b | No | BUY | 0 | 27¢ | $0 | 0xf29a94… |
| 06-08 19:16:25 | Uniform-Dancing 0xc8fd…6b3a | No | SELL | 0 | 27¢ | $0 | 0xf29a94… |
| 06-08 15:40:25 | Blond-Wriggler 0xd950…ad1b | No | BUY | 7 | 27¢ | $2 | 0x642d05… |
| 06-08 15:40:25 | Pleasing-Elm 0x4ffe…9f71 | No | SELL | 7 | 27¢ | $2 | 0x642d05… |
| 06-08 15:15:45 | Frivolous-Charm 0xed19…cb5e | No | SELL | 5 | 27¢ | $1 | 0x8ac4f0… |
| 06-08 15:15:45 | Blond-Wriggler 0xd950…ad1b | No | BUY | 5 | 27¢ | $1 | 0x8ac4f0… |
| 06-08 15:15:09 | Blond-Wriggler 0xd950…ad1b | No | BUY | 10 | 27¢ | $3 | 0x91872d… |
| 06-08 15:15:09 | Weird-Freedom 0xeca0…e8f8 | No | SELL | 10 | 27¢ | $3 | 0x91872d… |
| 06-08 15:09:37 | Weird-Freedom 0xeca0…e8f8 | No | BUY | 3 | 27¢ | $1 | 0x7c9c25… |
| 06-08 15:09:37 | (anonymous) 0x0431…30a5 | No | BUY | 7 | 28¢ | $2 | 0x6f7082… |
| 06-08 15:09:37 | Frivolous-Charm 0xed19…cb5e | No | BUY | 5 | 27¢ | $1 | 0x7c9c25… |
| 06-08 15:09:37 | Famous-Corporal 0x219f…12d8 | Yes | BUY | 14 | 73¢ | $10 | 0x7c9c25… |