Realized P&L
Unrealized P&L
+$226
Hit rate
Resolved
0
Trades
207
lifetime
Volume
$46.4K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$224
Open exposure
$5.86K
6 positions
First seen
2026-03-30
last 07-03 20:01
Equity curve
Not enough resolved markets yet to plot a curve.
Categories
Tech
94%
Politics
5%
Other
0%
Crypto
0%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
35 active days in 12wk • peak 30 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
GPT-5.6 released by July 31, 2026? Yes -4,587 $-4,540 99¢ $-4520 +$19 07-03 16:36
Will GPT-6 be released by September 30, 2026? No +1,635 $1,087 77¢ $1.3K +$172 07-03 12:01
Will Anthropic flip BTC by December 31? Yes +56 $35 82¢ $45 +$10 06-06 03:31
Will GPT-6 be released by December 31, 2026? Yes -19 $-15 68¢ $-13 +$2 06-18 17:14
GPT-5.6 released by July 31, 2026? No -717 $-32 $-10 +$22 06-18 17:49
Will OpenAI release a new frontier model on or before September 30, 2026? Yes +9 $9 98¢ $9 $-0 07-03 16:50