Will Rafael López Aliaga win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
open
Total volume
$1,692
$76,293 in 24h
Trades
38
Unique wallets
30
Liquidity
$159,377
Latest YES mid
3¢
Latest NO mid
97¢
End date
2026-06-07
First seen
2026-05-04
last 05-05 21:54
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🦐 Shrimp | 30 | $3 | $560 | $558 |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Below median | 1 | $2 | — | +$2 |
| unranked | 29 | $1 | $560 | $559 |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Illiterate-Authorisation 0x3208…5872 | No | +61 | $59 | $59 | 1 | 05-05 18:33 |
| Thankful-Restriction 0xe3e0…4c3f | No | +58 | $57 | $57 | 1 | 05-05 18:58 |
| Disloyal-Few 0x0e0c…b93e | No | +53 | $52 | $52 | 1 | 05-04 21:09 |
| Imaginative-Poetry 0x2327…bb63 | No | +52 | $51 | $51 | 1 | 05-05 02:44 |
| Handy-Physics 0x5262…1dff | No | +51 | $49 | $49 | 1 | 05-04 22:19 |
| Wilted-Civilisation 0xd262…9ac4 | No | +50 | $49 | $49 | 1 | 05-05 11:06 |
| Deadly-Demand 0x3ae3…faab | No | +47 | $46 | $46 | 1 | 05-05 16:22 |
| Monthly-Property 0xf303…bd35 | No | +44 | $43 | $43 | 1 | 05-05 19:42 |
| (anonymous) 0xa31c…e7dc | Yes | +34 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-05 21:54 |
| Giddy-Grape 0x833c…4a4a | No | +25 | $25 | $25 | 1 | 05-04 20:44 |
| Big-Asparagus 0x6268…6031 | Yes | +25 | $0 | $3 | 2 | 05-05 00:54 |
| (anonymous) 0xacc1…9970 | No | +15 | $15 | $15 | 1 | 05-05 04:10 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05-05 21:54:38 | (anonymous) 0xa31c…e7dc | Yes | BUY | 34 | 3¢ | $1 | 0x9fb422… |
| 05-05 19:57:44 | Cold-Badger 0xf040…3a86 | Yes | SELL | 54 | 2¢ | $1 | 0x2cc99a… |
| 05-05 19:53:04 | Putrid-Partridge 0x507a…be1f | Yes | SELL | 54 | 2¢ | $1 | 0xaa2e6e… |
| 05-05 19:42:56 | Monthly-Property 0xf303…bd35 | No | BUY | 44 | 98¢ | $43 | 0x3f5989… |
| 05-05 19:17:06 | Quixotic-Prisoner 0x3d4c…9f98 | Yes | SELL | 86 | 2¢ | $2 | 0xcac021… |
| 05-05 18:58:20 | Thankful-Restriction 0xe3e0…4c3f | No | BUY | 58 | 98¢ | $57 | 0x5c3807… |
| 05-05 18:34:32 | Likely-Automation 0xb85b…ee18 | No | SELL | 10 | 98¢ | $10 | 0x545775… |
| 05-05 18:33:14 | Illiterate-Authorisation 0x3208…5872 | No | BUY | 61 | 98¢ | $59 | 0x7acd6f… |
| 05-05 18:14:06 | Cold-Badger 0xf040…3a86 | Yes | SELL | 75 | 2¢ | $2 | 0xda893a… |
| 05-05 17:22:38 | Bright-Textbook 0x1716…3802 | No | SELL | 50 | 98¢ | $49 | 0x27b98d… |
| 05-05 16:34:48 | Subdued-Article 0x2da0…ebe4 | No | BUY | 45 | 98¢ | $44 | 0xa1fe07… |
| 05-05 16:22:30 | Deadly-Demand 0x3ae3…faab | No | BUY | 47 | 98¢ | $46 | 0x8bbf22… |
| 05-05 13:16:58 | Flippant-Networking 0xcf54…2c93 | No | SELL | 1 | 98¢ | $1 | 0x368695… |
| 05-05 12:36:52 | Snarling-Incident 0x3a9c…b7cf | No | SELL | 19 | 98¢ | $19 | 0xa552d2… |
| 05-05 11:06:22 | Wilted-Civilisation 0xd262…9ac4 | No | BUY | 50 | 98¢ | $49 | 0x3fa937… |
| 05-05 10:41:26 | Stimulating-Blocker 0x475e…eac8 | No | SELL | 54 | 98¢ | $52 | 0x74b1be… |
| 05-05 08:10:54 | Another-Photograph-Activist 0xd5d7…4952 | No | SELL | 225 | 98¢ | $220 | 0x938857… |
| 05-05 07:55:42 | Another-Photograph-Activist 0xd5d7…4952 | No | SELL | 494 | 98¢ | $484 | 0x1c07fa… |
| 05-05 06:10:34 | Putrid-Partridge 0x507a…be1f | Yes | SELL | 13 | 2¢ | $0 | 0x95100a… |
| 05-05 06:10:08 | Woozy-Half 0xd2d1…bba8 | Yes | SELL | 149 | 2¢ | $3 | 0xfe0aae… |
| 05-05 05:55:06 | Aching-Fox 0xa429…db0d | Yes | SELL | 22 | 2¢ | $0 | 0xe01dc8… |
| 05-05 05:35:46 | Snarling-Incident 0x3a9c…b7cf | No | BUY | 19 | 98¢ | $19 | 0x5d48f0… |
| 05-05 05:35:00 | Stimulating-Blocker 0x475e…eac8 | No | BUY | 54 | 98¢ | $52 | 0xa65a4c… |
| 05-05 05:25:50 | Creamy-Blouse 0x10ad…18b1 | No | SELL | 57 | 98¢ | $56 | 0x394f6e… |
| 05-05 04:55:50 | Woozy-Half 0xd2d1…bba8 | Yes | SELL | 510 | 2¢ | $10 | 0x6a89c3… |
| 05-05 04:10:36 | (anonymous) 0xacc1…9970 | No | BUY | 15 | 98¢ | $15 | 0xf9c1a1… |
| 05-05 04:00:26 | Subdued-Article 0x2da0…ebe4 | No | SELL | 49 | 98¢ | $48 | 0xad5a9d… |
| 05-05 03:50:34 | Cheap-Wren 0xf3d0…59b9 | No | SELL | 42 | 98¢ | $41 | 0x04de63… |
| 05-05 02:44:36 | Imaginative-Poetry 0x2327…bb63 | No | BUY | 52 | 98¢ | $51 | 0x5d7bea… |
| 05-05 02:19:48 | Innocent-Widow 0xc9b1…e62c | Yes | SELL | 20 | 2¢ | $0 | 0x4eb277… |
| 05-05 00:54:26 | Big-Asparagus 0x6268…6031 | Yes | SELL | 50 | 2¢ | $1 | 0x853f68… |
| 05-05 00:34:24 | Big-Asparagus 0x6268…6031 | Yes | BUY | 75 | 2¢ | $2 | 0x85be76… |
| 05-04 22:19:36 | Handy-Physics 0x5262…1dff | No | BUY | 51 | 98¢ | $49 | 0x291688… |
| 05-04 21:09:26 | Disloyal-Few 0x0e0c…b93e | No | BUY | 53 | 98¢ | $52 | 0xb890f5… |
| 05-04 20:59:34 | Excellent-Spectacle 0x698c…ddc8 | Yes | SELL | 47 | 2¢ | $1 | 0x260355… |
| 05-04 20:44:50 | Giddy-Grape 0x833c…4a4a | No | BUY | 25 | 98¢ | $25 | 0x83de93… |
| 05-04 20:44:46 | Demanding-Highland 0xcc01…6f1a | No | SELL | 65 | 98¢ | $63 | 0xc3fdb4… |
| 05-04 20:34:38 | Prickly-Guideline 0x4299…92ff | No | SELL | 65 | 98¢ | $64 | 0x8b73d0… |