Tough-Transit 0x8fff01…770482
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← all wallets
Realized P&L
+$308
Unrealized P&L
+$52
Hit rate
81.9%
Resolved
1,665
Trades
4,951
lifetime
Volume
$36.8K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$7
Open exposure
$1.31K
30 positions
First seen
2026-02-19
last 10-30 23:39
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 245 days
Categories
Other
45% 75% +$99
Politics
29% 74% +$124
Sports
12% 70% +$52
Crypto
11% 66% +$30
Tech
2% 79% +$4
Pop-Culture
0% — —
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
82 active days in 12wk • peak 48 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will XRP reach $4.00 in October? No +100 $100 100¢ $100 +$0 10-20 13:04
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by October 31? No +100 $100 100¢ $100 +$0 10-29 01:02
Will Bitcoin reach $105,000 in October? No +100 $100 100¢ $100 +$0 10-30 13:56
Will Ethereum reach $3,100 in October? No +100 $100 100¢ $100 $0 10-30 10:00
Will Ethereum reach $3,200 in October? No +100 $100 100¢ $100 $0 10-30 09:59
Will Ethereum reach $3,000 in October? No +100 $100 100¢ $100 $0 10-30 12:01
Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in October? No +100 $100 100¢ $100 $0 10-30 11:43
Will Anthropic IPO by October 31, 2026? No +96 $95 100¢ $95 +$0 10-28 14:06
GTA VI released by October 31? No +50 $50 100¢ $50 +$0 10-28 12:18
Will Ethereum reach $3,500 in October? No +50 $50 100¢ $50 $0 10-28 15:34
Will Bitcoin reach $102,500 in October? No +50 $50 100¢ $50 $0 10-30 11:45
Will the Republicans win the Idaho Senate race in 2026? Yes +25 $24 96¢ $24 +$0 10-22 06:22
US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 8? No +84 $20 29¢ $24 +$4 10-30 21:31
Will the Republican Party hold 47 or fewer Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections? Yes +45 $19 48¢ $22 +$3 10-28 00:03
Israel Election: Any Coalition Wins a Majority? No +20 $20 99¢ $20 +$0 10-30 21:07
Will Steve Hilton win the California Governor Election in 2026? No +20 $20 98¢ $20 +$0 10-30 23:39
Will Xavier Becerra win the California Governor Election in 2026? Yes +20 $20 98¢ $20 +$0 10-25 23:27
Will the Republicans win the Massachusetts governor race in 2026? No +20 $19 98¢ $20 +$0 10-29 15:25
Will the Democrats win the Massachusetts governor race in 2026? Yes +20 $19 98¢ $20 +$0 10-29 21:13
Will the Democrats win the Minnesota governor race in 2026? Yes +20 $20 98¢ $20 $0 10-29 17:34
Will the Democrats win the New York governor race in 2026? Yes +20 $19 97¢ $19 +$0 10-14 14:04
Will the Democrats win the New Mexico governor race in 2026? Yes +20 $19 97¢ $19 +$1 10-21 16:49
Will Todd Achilles win the Idaho Senate race in 2026? No +20 $19 96¢ $19 +$0 10-22 05:32
Will Likud win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? Yes +19 -$25 99¢ $19 +$44 10-28 05:40
Will Hyperliquid perform an airdrop by December 31, 2026? No +20 $18 94¢ $19 +$1 09-14 12:54
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by October 31? No +19 $18 100¢ $19 +$0 10-28 05:49
Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026? No +56 $20 29¢ $16 -$4 10-25 14:29
Will the Republicans win the Minnesota governor race in 2026? No +15 $15 98¢ $15 $0 10-29 15:04
Will the U.S. invade Venezuela by December 31, 2026? No +15 $14 97¢ $15 +$1 06-27 04:02
Kanye West performs in Russia by October 31? No +12 $12 100¢ $12 +$0 10-30 10:42