Will Trump announce a tariff reduction on China?
open
Total volume
$731
$5,305 in 24h
Trades
84
Unique wallets
30
Liquidity
$19,864
Latest YES mid
63¢
Latest NO mid
37¢
End date
2026-05-22
First seen
2026-05-11
last 05-14 10:54
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
YES holders
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐟 Fish | 1 | $165 | — | +$165 |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 29 | $218 | $125 | +$92 |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🏆 Top 5% | 4 | $15 | $2 | +$13 |
| ✅ Top 10% | 2 | $15 | — | +$15 |
| Median | 3 | $10 | $2 | +$8 |
| Below median | 3 | — | $89 | $89 |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 3 | $165 | $1 | +$164 |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 4 | $40 | $12 | +$27 |
| unranked | 11 | $138 | $20 | +$118 |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Glum-Hop 0x670d…3f3f | Yes | +147 | $50 | $50 | 1 | 05-11 20:58 |
| Portly-Begonia 0x645a…fd84 | No | +96 | $50 | $50 | 50 | 05-12 19:42 |
| Petty-Osprey 0xb848…62c0 | No | +63 | $20 | $20 | 1 | 05-13 23:22 |
| Courteous-Invite 0x5062…2c3d | Yes | +45 | $30 | $30 | 1 | 05-14 06:00 |
| Raw-Loggia 0x8e81…9e88 | Yes | +38 | $24 | $24 | 1 | 05-14 09:34 |
| Imperturbable-Spelt 0x9e36…508f | Yes | +38 | $27 | $27 | 1 | 05-13 23:34 |
| Babyish-Protest 0xe09b…0a70 | No | +36 | $31 | $46 | 3 | 05-14 06:43 |
| Slight-Ferry 0x6bfe…bfb7 | No | +25 | $10 | $10 | 1 | 05-14 08:59 |
| Orderly-Ischemia 0xf348…a82e | Yes | +19 | $10 | $10 | 1 | 05-12 21:01 |
| Mixed-Entity 0x1e0f…9556 | Yes | +18 | $10 | $10 | 1 | 05-13 13:43 |
| Sniveling-Miss 0x36a3…2e00 | Yes | +17 | $10 | $10 | 1 | 05-12 07:26 |
| Ready-Space 0x58fe…77dd | Yes | +15 | $10 | $10 | 1 | 05-14 06:07 |
| Elegant-Guacamole 0x7dd1…a7f6 | Yes | +10 | $6 | $6 | 1 | 05-13 06:00 |
| Watery-Principle 0x1b07…96fe | Yes | +8 | $6 | $6 | 1 | 05-13 22:15 |
| Nocturnal-Eyestrain 0x32b6…f9e6 | Yes | +8 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 05-14 09:19 |
| Corrupt-Faculty 0x7faa…4a9e | Yes | +8 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 05-14 07:19 |
| Junior-Burn 0xc77b…a526 | No | +7 | $3 | $3 | 1 | 05-14 10:54 |
| (anonymous) 0x07dd…ae34 | No | +5 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 05-14 09:14 |
| Pleasing-Elm 0x4ffe…9f71 | No | +5 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 05-14 00:09 |
| Vital-Vision 0x1c14…6342 | Yes | +3 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 05-14 10:49 |
| Useless-Kebab-Sweatshop 0x096c…b0e6 | No | +2 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-11 16:37 |
| Notable-Pressroom 0x139c…a6f2 | Yes | +2 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-12 03:23 |
| Woozy-Loafer 0x7626…ec5a | Yes | +2 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-14 07:49 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05-14 10:54:03 | Junior-Burn 0xc77b…a526 | No | BUY | 7 | 39¢ | $3 | 0x8b2a1a… |
| 05-14 10:49:13 | Vital-Vision 0x1c14…6342 | Yes | BUY | 3 | 65¢ | $2 | 0x57d253… |
| 05-14 09:34:19 | Raw-Loggia 0x8e81…9e88 | Yes | BUY | 38 | 63¢ | $24 | 0x0ff796… |
| 05-14 09:19:31 | Nocturnal-Eyestrain 0x32b6…f9e6 | Yes | BUY | 8 | 63¢ | $5 | 0x5953e7… |
| 05-14 09:14:20 | (anonymous) 0x07dd…ae34 | No | BUY | 5 | 38¢ | $2 | 0x1658c9… |
| 05-14 08:59:36 | Slight-Ferry 0x6bfe…bfb7 | No | BUY | 25 | 38¢ | $10 | 0xfdb90b… |
| 05-14 07:49:03 | Woozy-Loafer 0x7626…ec5a | Yes | BUY | 2 | 64¢ | $1 | 0x67a669… |
| 05-14 07:19:14 | Corrupt-Faculty 0x7faa…4a9e | Yes | BUY | 8 | 64¢ | $5 | 0xc97f8f… |
| 05-14 06:43:55 | Babyish-Protest 0xe09b…0a70 | No | SELL | 22 | 34¢ | $7 | 0xed6c22… |
| 05-14 06:07:21 | Ready-Space 0x58fe…77dd | Yes | BUY | 15 | 66¢ | $10 | 0x4042ee… |
| 05-14 06:00:59 | Courteous-Invite 0x5062…2c3d | Yes | BUY | 45 | 66¢ | $30 | 0x738565… |
| 05-14 02:43:16 | Constant-Optimization 0x7db8…ed19 | Yes | SELL | 25 | 61¢ | $15 | 0x121b9b… |
| 05-14 02:05:23 | Shady-Night 0xb43b…2a91 | Yes | SELL | 18 | 60¢ | $11 | 0xee6d53… |
| 05-14 00:09:56 | Pleasing-Elm 0x4ffe…9f71 | No | BUY | 5 | 33¢ | $2 | 0x4c9a08… |
| 05-13 23:34:25 | Imperturbable-Spelt 0x9e36…508f | Yes | BUY | 38 | 70¢ | $27 | 0xc05847… |
| 05-13 23:22:59 | Petty-Osprey 0xb848…62c0 | No | BUY | 63 | 32¢ | $20 | 0x6fd7f9… |
| 05-13 22:15:52 | Watery-Principle 0x1b07…96fe | Yes | BUY | 8 | 72¢ | $6 | 0x90507e… |
| 05-13 13:43:30 | Mixed-Entity 0x1e0f…9556 | Yes | BUY | 18 | 54¢ | $10 | 0x57fc19… |
| 05-13 06:00:53 | Elegant-Guacamole 0x7dd1…a7f6 | Yes | BUY | 10 | 55¢ | $6 | 0x4dd173… |
| 05-13 03:43:34 | (anonymous) 0x02f7…dd8f | Yes | SELL | 300 | 52¢ | $156 | 0x5ff546… |
| 05-13 03:43:32 | (anonymous) 0x02f7…dd8f | Yes | BUY | 300 | 55¢ | $165 | 0xd1b9e0… |
| 05-13 02:17:09 | Official-Security 0x8c65…dcf7 | No | SELL | 8 | 46¢ | $4 | 0xf8b6fe… |
| 05-12 22:16:42 | Shady-Night 0xb43b…2a91 | Yes | BUY | 18 | 54¢ | $9 | 0x566778… |
| 05-12 21:10:34 | Constant-Optimization 0x7db8…ed19 | Yes | BUY | 25 | 52¢ | $13 | 0x9e574f… |
| 05-12 21:01:35 | Orderly-Ischemia 0xf348…a82e | Yes | BUY | 19 | 54¢ | $10 | 0xad3f35… |
| 05-12 19:42:38 | Portly-Begonia 0x645a…fd84 | No | BUY | 2 | 52¢ | $1 | 0xfb2826… |
| 05-12 19:42:38 | Portly-Begonia 0x645a…fd84 | No | BUY | 2 | 52¢ | $1 | 0xa84102… |
| 05-12 19:42:38 | Portly-Begonia 0x645a…fd84 | No | BUY | 2 | 52¢ | $1 | 0x80394b… |
| 05-12 19:42:38 | Portly-Begonia 0x645a…fd84 | No | BUY | 2 | 52¢ | $1 | 0x54b200… |
| 05-12 19:42:36 | Portly-Begonia 0x645a…fd84 | No | BUY | 2 | 52¢ | $1 | 0x028f52… |
| 05-12 19:42:36 | Portly-Begonia 0x645a…fd84 | No | BUY | 2 | 52¢ | $1 | 0x45c20f… |
| 05-12 19:42:36 | Portly-Begonia 0x645a…fd84 | No | BUY | 2 | 52¢ | $1 | 0xbc24f5… |
| 05-12 19:42:36 | Portly-Begonia 0x645a…fd84 | No | BUY | 2 | 52¢ | $1 | 0x571112… |
| 05-12 19:42:36 | Portly-Begonia 0x645a…fd84 | No | BUY | 2 | 52¢ | $1 | 0xa76dff… |
| 05-12 19:42:36 | Portly-Begonia 0x645a…fd84 | No | BUY | 2 | 52¢ | $1 | 0x5240c4… |
| 05-12 19:42:36 | Portly-Begonia 0x645a…fd84 | No | BUY | 2 | 52¢ | $1 | 0x70ee3b… |
| 05-12 19:42:35 | Portly-Begonia 0x645a…fd84 | No | BUY | 2 | 52¢ | $1 | 0xe08024… |
| 05-12 19:42:35 | Portly-Begonia 0x645a…fd84 | No | BUY | 2 | 52¢ | $1 | 0xfd7667… |
| 05-12 19:42:35 | Portly-Begonia 0x645a…fd84 | No | BUY | 2 | 52¢ | $1 | 0x33720c… |
| 05-12 19:42:33 | Portly-Begonia 0x645a…fd84 | No | BUY | 2 | 52¢ | $1 | 0x0e4282… |
| 05-12 19:42:33 | Portly-Begonia 0x645a…fd84 | No | BUY | 2 | 52¢ | $1 | 0xca2cde… |
| 05-12 19:42:33 | Portly-Begonia 0x645a…fd84 | No | BUY | 2 | 52¢ | $1 | 0x9af1c8… |
| 05-12 19:42:33 | Portly-Begonia 0x645a…fd84 | No | BUY | 2 | 52¢ | $1 | 0x44e5af… |
| 05-12 19:42:31 | Portly-Begonia 0x645a…fd84 | No | BUY | 2 | 52¢ | $1 | 0x2e44f5… |
| 05-12 19:42:31 | Portly-Begonia 0x645a…fd84 | No | BUY | 2 | 52¢ | $1 | 0xe896b6… |
| 05-12 19:42:31 | Portly-Begonia 0x645a…fd84 | No | BUY | 2 | 52¢ | $1 | 0x7b1e62… |
| 05-12 19:42:31 | Portly-Begonia 0x645a…fd84 | No | BUY | 2 | 52¢ | $1 | 0xdbb85d… |
| 05-12 19:42:31 | Portly-Begonia 0x645a…fd84 | No | BUY | 2 | 52¢ | $1 | 0x09f8d3… |
| 05-12 19:42:31 | Portly-Begonia 0x645a…fd84 | No | BUY | 2 | 52¢ | $1 | 0xa3c810… |
| 05-12 19:42:31 | Portly-Begonia 0x645a…fd84 | No | BUY | 2 | 52¢ | $1 | 0xc33e09… |
| 05-12 19:42:31 | Portly-Begonia 0x645a…fd84 | No | BUY | 2 | 52¢ | $1 | 0x1ea8bc… |
| 05-12 19:42:29 | Portly-Begonia 0x645a…fd84 | No | BUY | 2 | 52¢ | $1 | 0xa19980… |
| 05-12 19:42:29 | Portly-Begonia 0x645a…fd84 | No | BUY | 2 | 52¢ | $1 | 0x22cfff… |
| 05-12 19:42:29 | Portly-Begonia 0x645a…fd84 | No | BUY | 2 | 52¢ | $1 | 0xa7ee94… |
| 05-12 19:42:28 | Portly-Begonia 0x645a…fd84 | No | BUY | 2 | 52¢ | $1 | 0x32fd46… |
| 05-12 19:42:28 | Portly-Begonia 0x645a…fd84 | No | BUY | 2 | 52¢ | $1 | 0xfd1ffd… |
| 05-12 19:42:28 | Portly-Begonia 0x645a…fd84 | No | BUY | 2 | 52¢ | $1 | 0xf5fcb2… |
| 05-12 19:42:28 | Portly-Begonia 0x645a…fd84 | No | BUY | 2 | 52¢ | $1 | 0x4119fe… |
| 05-12 19:42:28 | Portly-Begonia 0x645a…fd84 | No | BUY | 2 | 52¢ | $1 | 0xcace35… |
| 05-12 19:42:28 | Portly-Begonia 0x645a…fd84 | No | BUY | 2 | 52¢ | $1 | 0x8e128a… |
| 05-12 19:42:26 | Portly-Begonia 0x645a…fd84 | No | BUY | 2 | 52¢ | $1 | 0xa0318e… |
| 05-12 19:42:26 | Portly-Begonia 0x645a…fd84 | No | BUY | 2 | 52¢ | $1 | 0xdcccfc… |
| 05-12 19:42:26 | Portly-Begonia 0x645a…fd84 | No | BUY | 2 | 52¢ | $1 | 0xa87753… |
| 05-12 19:42:26 | Portly-Begonia 0x645a…fd84 | No | BUY | 2 | 52¢ | $1 | 0xf82d23… |
| 05-12 19:42:24 | Portly-Begonia 0x645a…fd84 | No | BUY | 2 | 52¢ | $1 | 0xe545a2… |
| 05-12 19:42:24 | Portly-Begonia 0x645a…fd84 | No | BUY | 2 | 52¢ | $1 | 0x53169e… |
| 05-12 19:42:24 | Portly-Begonia 0x645a…fd84 | No | BUY | 2 | 52¢ | $1 | 0xb693d9… |
| 05-12 19:42:24 | Portly-Begonia 0x645a…fd84 | No | BUY | 2 | 52¢ | $1 | 0x472c7f… |
| 05-12 19:42:22 | Portly-Begonia 0x645a…fd84 | No | BUY | 2 | 52¢ | $1 | 0x54b86a… |
| 05-12 19:42:22 | Portly-Begonia 0x645a…fd84 | No | BUY | 2 | 52¢ | $1 | 0x9506d4… |
| 05-12 19:42:22 | Portly-Begonia 0x645a…fd84 | No | BUY | 2 | 52¢ | $1 | 0x1caf2f… |
| 05-12 19:42:22 | Portly-Begonia 0x645a…fd84 | No | BUY | 2 | 52¢ | $1 | 0x54fe5c… |
| 05-12 19:42:22 | Portly-Begonia 0x645a…fd84 | No | BUY | 2 | 52¢ | $1 | 0xab6969… |
| 05-12 19:42:22 | Portly-Begonia 0x645a…fd84 | No | BUY | 2 | 52¢ | $1 | 0x1f7c8f… |
| 05-12 19:42:22 | Portly-Begonia 0x645a…fd84 | No | BUY | 2 | 52¢ | $1 | 0x2313a4… |
| 05-12 07:26:07 | Sniveling-Miss 0x36a3…2e00 | Yes | BUY | 17 | 57¢ | $10 | 0x35e407… |
| 05-12 03:53:54 | Ideal-Nurture 0x97bf…2556 | Yes | SELL | 20 | 43¢ | $9 | 0x399692… |
| 05-12 03:23:57 | Notable-Pressroom 0x139c…a6f2 | Yes | BUY | 2 | 50¢ | $1 | 0xf9a125… |
| 05-12 02:34:04 | Pointless-Casket 0x081a…66d0 | Yes | SELL | 25 | 43¢ | $11 | 0x57a35e… |
| 05-11 23:16:21 | Verifiable-Obstacle 0x1ee9…197f | Yes | SELL | 27 | 39¢ | $11 | 0x15f8c6… |
| 05-11 20:58:13 | Glum-Hop 0x670d…3f3f | Yes | BUY | 147 | 34¢ | $50 | 0xebbc6d… |
| 05-11 20:23:03 | Babyish-Protest 0xe09b…0a70 | No | BUY | 37 | 70¢ | $26 | 0x8e9996… |
| 05-11 20:23:01 | Babyish-Protest 0xe09b…0a70 | No | BUY | 21 | 62¢ | $13 | 0x449153… |
| 05-11 16:37:28 | Useless-Kebab-Sweatshop 0x096c…b0e6 | No | BUY | 2 | 48¢ | $1 | 0x860e9b… |