Realized P&L
+$90
Unrealized P&L
+$3
Hit rate
98.6%
Resolved
7
Trades
1,281
lifetime
Volume
$321.7K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$251
Open exposure
$1.96K
22 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 06-09 20:17
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 4 days
Categories
Other
60% 71% +$90
Politics
32%
Crypto
7%
Sports
1%
Pop-Culture
0%
Tech
0%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
57 active days in 12wk • peak 90 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026? No -1,050 $-1,045 99¢ $-1042 +$3 06-07 07:09
Kevin Warsh cuts rates at first Fed meeting? No +300 $292 99¢ $298 +$6 06-07 12:32
Will Lionel Messi play in the World Cup? Yes -300 $-307 98¢ $-294 +$13 06-01 15:16
Will Neymar play in the World Cup? Yes -100 $-79 94¢ $-94 $-14 05-29 16:52
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? No +100 $93 93¢ $93 $-0 06-08 15:06
Will inflation reach more than 4% in 2026? Yes +50 $49 98¢ $49 +$0 06-08 10:25
Xi Jinping out before 2027? No +50 $46 92¢ $46 $-0 06-09 16:26
Fed rate hike in 2026? No +50 $24 46¢ $23 $-1 06-07 22:00
Will LeBron James retire before next NBA season? No -9 $-9 89¢ $-8 +$0 06-09 20:17
Will Kanye West visit Israel by June 30? No -5 $-5 98¢ $-5 $-0 06-01 15:18
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No +4 $3 82¢ $3 $-0 06-09 14:35
Will STRC market cap hit $12B by June 30? No -2 $-2 93¢ $-2 $-0 06-08 15:03
GTA 6 launch postponed again? No +1 $1 77¢ $1 +$0 05-30 01:15
Will inflation reach more than 5% in 2026? No -1 $-1 73¢ $-1 $-0 06-07 08:37
Jerome Powell out from Fed Board by December 31? No -2 $-1 60¢ $-1 $-0 06-02 17:04
Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026? No +4 $1 22¢ $1 $-0 06-07 07:23
Jerome Powell out from Fed Board by December 31? Yes +2 $1 40¢ $1 $-0 06-02 17:04
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? Yes -2 $-0 10¢ $-0 +$0 06-03 13:51
Will SpaceX IPO by September 30, 2026? No +67 $1 $0 $-1 05-31 09:54
Will SpaceX IPO by December 31, 2026? No +100 $1 $0 $-1 05-31 09:55
Will SpaceX IPO by August 31, 2026? No +45 $1 $0 $-1 05-31 09:54
Will Apple release a foldable iPhone before 2027? No -1 $0 10¢ $-0 $-0 06-09 18:16