Fake-Inn — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$90

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

98.6%

Resolved

Trades

1,438

lifetime

Volume

$358.5K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$249

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-01

last 08-10 21:47

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 4 days

Categories

Other

62% 71% +$90

Politics

29% — —

Crypto

6% — —

Sports

2% — —

Tech

0% — —

Pop-Culture

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

41 active days in 12wk • peak 90 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (2) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will there be no change in fed interest rates after the march 2026 meeting	84	$53.9K	32,700	22,900	+9,800	open	—	03-18 18:11
us x iran ceasefire extended by april 22 2026	10	$20.9K	21,000	0	+21,000	open	—	04-29 23:06
will a minecraft movie be the top grossing movie of 2025	34	$19.8K	17,500	2,344	+15,156	open	—	01-04 18:19
Fed rate hike in 2026?	87	$18.8K	18,024	17,943	+81	open	—	07-08 07:57
no change in fed interest rates after january 2026 meeting	59	$18.5K	19,280	0	+19,280	open	—	01-28 17:25
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	94	$18.0K	13,597	11,599	+1,998	open	—	06-03 23:17
will israel launch a major ground offensive in lebanon by march 31	15	$14.2K	14,200	0	+14,200	open	—	03-24 21:05
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?	60	$13.4K	12,715	1,060	+11,655	open	—	04-15 09:49
will eleven die in stranger things season 5	7	$11.8K	5,900	5,900	+0	open	—	01-04 01:09
will there be another us government shutdown by january 31	16	$11.6K	11,662	10	+11,652	open	—	02-03 18:35
Will Sanae Takaichi be the Prime Minister of Japan as a result of the 2026 snap election?	33	$8.9K	8,919	0	+8,919	open	—	02-14 07:00
Will Judy Shelton be confirmed as Fed Chair?	46	$7.6K	4,264	3,439	+825	No	+$73	04-27 12:31
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by June 30?	1	$7.0K	7,000	0	+7,000	open	—	03-12 20:24
will the fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the march 2026 meeting	20	$6.8K	3,450	3,450	+0	open	—	02-20 13:59
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?	15	$6.2K	6,310	0	+6,310	open	—	03-10 18:42
Will Donald Trump dance on May 25, 2026?	39	$6.0K	6,002	0	+6,002	open	—	05-28 07:41
will bitcoin dip to 60k in february 2026 394 616	2	$5.0K	5,001	0	+5,001	open	—	02-06 03:29
will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	1	$5.0K	5,000	0	+5,000	open	—	07-08 02:37
Fed Rate Hike by July 2026 Meeting?	3	$4.9K	5,411	458	+4,954	open	—	07-14 12:32
Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?	41	$4.4K	4,525	0	+4,525	open	—	02-28 14:07
Epstein suicide note released by May 8?	25	$4.4K	3,706	700	+3,006	open	—	05-11 16:29
Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?	20	$4.3K	3,200	1,200	+2,000	Yes	+$24	04-27 12:48
Fed Rate Hike by June 2026 Meeting?	6	$4.2K	4,223	0	+4,223	open	—	06-13 03:12
will olivia rodrigo release an album in 2025	3	$4.0K	2,000	2,000	+0	open	—	01-02 03:17
Iran closes its airspace by May 24?	15	$3.8K	3,700	200	+3,500	open	—	05-27 02:29
Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 14, 2026?	25	$3.4K	1,800	1,800	+0	open	—	04-29 20:12
us x iran meeting by february 6 2026	4	$3.0K	3,000	0	+3,000	open	—	02-09 23:28
will the next official us iran meeting be in oman	5	$3.0K	3,000	0	+3,000	open	—	02-08 18:14
us x venezuela military engagement by december 31 391 819 722 945 174 285 817 971 353 859 836 598 255 382 192 983	8	$3.0K	2,000	1,000	+1,000	open	—	01-04 01:52
will israel take military action in gaza on march 21 2026	13	$2.5K	2,519	0	+2,519	open	—	03-26 20:04

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
08-10 21:47:06	US defaults on debt by 2027?	No	BUY	10	97¢	$10	0xbb9ade…
08-10 08:58:33	Will the U.S. national debt hit $40 trillion before 2027?	Yes	BUY	396	100¢	$395	0x4beb60…
08-10 08:48:21	Will US unemployment reach at least 5.0% in 2026?	No	SELL	2	89¢	$2	0x5fb0e4…
08-07 15:43:16	Fed Rate Hike by September 2026 Meeting?	No	BUY	5	64¢	$3	0xfda20b…
08-07 12:41:03	Fed Rate Hike by September 2026 Meeting?	No	BUY	2	61¢	$1	0xe07087…
08-04 10:53:02	Will China unban Bitcoin by 2027?	No	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x3aec7c…
08-02 05:03:54	Fed Rate Hike by September 2026 Meeting?	No	BUY	2	40¢	$1	0xdb5d07…
07-19 10:04:43	New pandemic in 2026?	No	SELL	10	93¢	$9	0x80072e…
07-19 10:04:06	China x Japan military clash before 2027?	No	SELL	10	95¢	$10	0x6d7169…
07-19 10:03:46	Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2027?	No	SELL	10	91¢	$9	0xb999c4…
07-19 10:00:57	Will Xi Jinping visit US before 2027?	Yes	SELL	10	91¢	$9	0x2e7f43…
07-19 10:00:22	Will Trump meet with Lai Ching-te in 2026?	No	SELL	10	96¢	$10	0x8d4418…
07-19 10:00:03	Xi Jinping out before 2027?	No	SELL	50	95¢	$48	0x4fcee8…
07-19 09:59:42	Will Bitcoin dip to $5,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	10	98¢	$10	0x64a88c…
07-19 09:59:16	US x China Military clash before 2027?	No	SELL	10	97¢	$10	0x97415a…
07-19 09:54:13	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	No	SELL	100	96¢	$96	0x2ccca3…
07-14 12:32:38	Fed Rate Hike by July 2026 Meeting?	No	BUY	4,371	87¢	$3,786	0x2fdbe0…
07-14 07:56:29	Fed Rate Hike by July 2026 Meeting?	No	SELL	458	67¢	$305	0x4c737a…
07-10 17:03:47	Fed Rate Hike by July 2026 Meeting?	No	BUY	1,040	81¢	$843	0xa5dd0b…
07-08 07:57:52	Fed rate hike in 2026?	No	SELL	200	49¢	$97	0x7a68e9…
07-08 02:37:29	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	Yes	BUY	5,000	100¢	$4,990	0x796d36…
07-07 22:04:58	Fed rate hike in 2026?	No	SELL	2,899	50¢	$1,450	0xb230be…
07-07 20:05:01	Fed rate hike in 2026?	No	SELL	2,318	52¢	$1,205	0x5d32da…
06-24 12:41:31	Jerome Powell out from Fed Board by December 31?	Yes	SELL	2	37¢	$1	0xae6b92…
06-24 11:05:10	Fed rate hike in 2026?	No	SELL	5,416	43¢	$2,329	0x2be48f…
06-23 14:58:13	Fed rate hike in 2026?	No	SELL	20	42¢	$8	0xd2ce5f…
06-22 01:03:28	Fed rate hike in 2026?	No	SELL	200	39¢	$78	0x9d0aea…
06-20 14:59:44	Fed rate hike in 2026?	No	SELL	200	35¢	$70	0xe3e614…
06-20 02:19:49	Will Neymar play in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	BUY	4	23¢	$1	0x36387d…
06-18 16:28:38	Fed rate hike in 2026?	No	SELL	509	48¢	$244	0xfdd770…
06-18 16:21:07	Fed rate hike in 2026?	No	SELL	40	48¢	$19	0xeee465…
06-18 15:58:35	Fed rate hike in 2026?	No	SELL	21	48¢	$10	0x315d0a…
06-18 15:13:19	Fed rate hike in 2026?	No	SELL	100	48¢	$48	0xdf5b1d…
06-18 15:11:44	Fed rate hike in 2026?	No	SELL	139	48¢	$67	0x102fa2…
06-18 15:03:55	Fed rate hike in 2026?	No	SELL	10	48¢	$5	0x5849bd…
06-18 14:34:32	Fed rate hike in 2026?	No	SELL	200	48¢	$96	0x8cca4d…
06-18 14:32:11	Fed rate hike in 2026?	No	SELL	100	48¢	$48	0x8e67e6…
06-18 14:24:44	Fed rate hike in 2026?	No	SELL	62	48¢	$30	0x260802…
06-18 14:21:37	Fed rate hike in 2026?	No	SELL	15	48¢	$7	0xbff9ad…
06-18 13:50:35	Fed rate hike in 2026?	No	SELL	192	48¢	$92	0xd8b64f…
06-18 13:49:38	Fed rate hike in 2026?	No	SELL	2	48¢	$1	0x1d43d8…
06-18 13:43:50	Fed rate hike in 2026?	No	SELL	6	48¢	$3	0xa11766…
06-18 13:41:11	Fed rate hike in 2026?	No	SELL	200	47¢	$94	0x710b7e…
06-18 08:08:38	Fed rate hike in 2026?	No	SELL	200	46¢	$92	0x06fe3a…
06-18 07:59:31	Fed rate hike in 2026?	No	BUY	4,553	46¢	$2,075	0xe592f8…
06-18 07:57:17	Fed rate hike in 2026?	No	BUY	205	45¢	$92	0x749ffa…
06-18 06:53:38	Fed rate hike in 2026?	No	BUY	200	46¢	$92	0xda85dc…
06-17 22:25:28	Fed rate hike in 2026?	No	SELL	200	47¢	$94	0xa02b40…
06-17 22:11:46	Fed rate hike in 2026?	No	SELL	200	46¢	$92	0x8e1842…
06-17 21:32:14	Fed rate hike in 2026?	No	SELL	200	45¢	$90	0x271a40…
06-17 21:06:29	Fed rate hike in 2026?	No	SELL	200	44¢	$88	0x53b0b2…
06-17 20:35:08	Fed rate hike in 2026?	No	SELL	200	42¢	$84	0x810066…
06-17 20:13:35	Fed rate hike in 2026?	No	BUY	200	38¢	$76	0xdd3aca…
06-17 20:11:44	Fed rate hike in 2026?	No	BUY	200	40¢	$80	0x19779e…
06-17 19:50:47	Fed rate hike in 2026?	No	BUY	200	41¢	$82	0x3b8f23…
06-17 19:40:49	Fed rate hike in 2026?	No	BUY	200	43¢	$86	0x6c421e…
06-17 16:51:56	Fed rate hike in 2026?	No	BUY	200	67¢	$134	0xb11f21…
06-17 03:52:41	will warsh say crypto or bitcoin during june press conference 20260608181156658 595 322 276	No	BUY	4	85¢	$3	0x8a5762…
06-17 02:33:51	Fed rate hike in 2026?	No	SELL	200	66¢	$132	0x775766…
06-17 02:32:12	Fed rate hike in 2026?	No	SELL	200	66¢	$132	0x8429d2…
06-16 15:10:34	Fed rate hike in 2026?	No	SELL	200	65¢	$130	0x9330c2…
06-16 14:31:04	will warsh say crypto or bitcoin during june press conference 20260608181156658	No	BUY	1	85¢	$1	0x5477b5…
06-15 22:17:24	Kevin Warsh cuts rates at first Fed meeting?	No	BUY	100	99¢	$99	0x46a5e8…
06-15 16:08:04	will bitcoin dip to 60k by december 31 2026 from june 8 887	No	BUY	4	23¢	$1	0x8f24a1…
06-15 14:09:12	Fed rate hike in 2026?	No	SELL	6	68¢	$4	0x5bbe19…
06-15 13:08:57	Fed rate hike in 2026?	No	SELL	200	68¢	$136	0xfacd14…
06-15 12:36:57	Fed rate hike in 2026?	No	SELL	200	67¢	$134	0xe84a83…
06-15 12:06:46	Fed rate hike in 2026?	No	SELL	70	66¢	$46	0x79a1b9…
06-15 11:52:27	Fed rate hike in 2026?	No	SELL	130	66¢	$86	0x400dea…
06-15 11:12:30	Fed rate hike in 2026?	No	SELL	42	66¢	$27	0xecd5cb…
06-15 11:12:00	Fed rate hike in 2026?	No	SELL	23	66¢	$15	0xd3fb6a…
06-15 11:12:00	Fed rate hike in 2026?	No	SELL	23	66¢	$15	0xa357fd…
06-15 11:11:58	Fed rate hike in 2026?	No	SELL	200	65¢	$130	0x873821…
06-15 09:09:18	Will Jia Yueting enter mainland China by June 30?	No	BUY	100	98¢	$98	0x41920c…
06-15 08:52:49	Fed rate hike in 2026?	No	SELL	147	65¢	$95	0x375468…
06-15 08:52:13	Fed rate hike in 2026?	No	SELL	13	65¢	$9	0x7c7015…
06-15 08:23:19	Fed rate hike in 2026?	No	SELL	4	65¢	$3	0x082e56…
06-15 06:55:25	AI bubble burst in 2026?	No	SELL	5	80¢	$4	0xe31cea…
06-15 06:16:28	Fed rate hike in 2026?	No	BUY	4,000	64¢	$2,560	0x114dbb…
06-15 04:58:37	ufc jus3 ili1 2026 06 14	Justin Gaethje	BUY	1	75¢	$1	0xd976b1…
06-15 03:54:07	Fed rate hike in 2026?	No	BUY	50	65¢	$32	0x6093d0…
06-15 01:11:46	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	Yes	BUY	5	78¢	$4	0x277f95…
06-15 00:05:28	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	Yes	SELL	12	84¢	$10	0xb7c1fa…
06-14 22:42:58	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	Yes	BUY	9	73¢	$7	0x64c8ec…
06-14 17:21:33	Fed rate hike in 2026?	No	BUY	10	60¢	$6	0x8c7f5d…
06-14 16:20:46	Fed rate hike in 2026?	No	BUY	5	60¢	$3	0xcf50cd…
06-14 13:45:39	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	Yes	BUY	5	13¢	$1	0x441e97…
06-14 11:31:27	Fed rate hike in 2026?	No	SELL	200	60¢	$120	0xc090c3…
06-14 11:31:09	Fed rate hike in 2026?	No	SELL	200	59¢	$118	0x3db1cf…
06-14 10:42:15	Will Lionel Messi play in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	10	99¢	$10	0x73e0ab…
06-14 10:41:46	will spencer pratt call for 1st round recount 20260608160956723	No	SELL	5	84¢	$4	0x57d2c5…
06-14 06:08:19	Fed rate hike in 2026?	No	BUY	200	60¢	$120	0x4753d2…
06-14 05:13:13	will wemby cry during the 2026 nba finals 20260605192022296	No	SELL	14	100¢	$14	0x264a49…
06-14 04:15:25	will wemby cry during the 2026 nba finals 20260605192022296	No	BUY	4	45¢	$2	0xa0541b…
06-14 04:10:28	Will LeBron James retire before next NBA season?	No	SELL	5	86¢	$4	0xa5c89e…
06-14 04:05:22	will wemby cry during the 2026 nba finals 20260605192022296	No	BUY	5	78¢	$4	0xde2d24…
06-14 03:25:42	nba nyk sas 2026 06 13	Knicks	BUY	5	90¢	$5	0xf625bf…
06-14 03:19:03	nba nyk sas 2026 06 13	Knicks	BUY	5	93¢	$5	0x9d2be1…
06-14 03:18:31	nba nyk sas 2026 06 13	Knicks	BUY	1	92¢	$1	0xd41002…
06-14 02:11:43	Fed rate hike in 2026?	No	SELL	500	59¢	$295	0xc355a9…