Will the U.S. national debt hit $41 trillion before 2027?
open
Total volume
$36
$9 in 24h
Trades
22
Unique wallets
10
Liquidity
$698
Latest YES mid
41¢
Latest NO mid
59¢
End date
2026-12-31
First seen
2026-06-02
last 08-08 16:23
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
YES holders
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐋 Whale | 1 | $4 | $9 | $5 |
| 🐬 Dolphin | 2 | $3 | $0 | +$2 |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 7 | $11 | $1 | +$9 |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🏆 Top 5% | 1 | $4 | $9 | $5 |
| ✅ Top 10% | 1 | — | $0 | $0 |
| Below median | 1 | $3 | — | +$3 |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 1 | $3 | — | +$3 |
| unranked | 6 | $8 | $1 | +$7 |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | No | +19 | $9 | $9 | 5 | 08-08 16:23 |
| Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | Yes | +17 | $4 | $4 | 2 | 08-05 09:30 |
| (anonymous) 0x9f5a…6872 | Yes | +8 | $4 | $4 | 2 | 07-27 21:28 |
| (anonymous) 0x2b06…754a | Yes | +5 | $3 | $3 | 1 | 08-08 16:23 |
| (anonymous) 0x66ec…3adf | Yes | +2 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 07-30 00:58 |
| Wiry-Paddle 0xde9b…074e | Yes | +2 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 06-02 17:44 |
| Unknown-Ischemia 0x7a8f…d9ee | No | +1 | $1 | $2 | 2 | 07-30 20:50 |
| Mortified-Wetland 0xf2cf…464b | No | +1 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 07-30 20:50 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-08 16:23:30 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | No | BUY | 5 | 48¢ | $2 | 0xc9c3da… |
| 08-08 16:23:30 | (anonymous) 0x2b06…754a | Yes | BUY | 5 | 52¢ | $3 | 0xc9c3da… |
| 08-05 09:30:26 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | Yes | BUY | 12 | 24¢ | $3 | 0xd4f6dc… |
| 08-05 09:30:26 | (anonymous) 0x9474…5091 | Yes | SELL | 12 | 24¢ | $3 | 0xd4f6dc… |
| 07-30 20:50:29 | Unknown-Ischemia 0x7a8f…d9ee | No | SELL | 1 | 46¢ | $0 | 0xaaae4f… |
| 07-30 20:50:29 | Mortified-Wetland 0xf2cf…464b | No | BUY | 1 | 46¢ | $0 | 0xaaae4f… |
| 07-30 00:58:32 | (anonymous) 0x66ec…3adf | Yes | BUY | 2 | 26¢ | $1 | 0x219fea… |
| 07-30 00:58:32 | Unknown-Ischemia 0x7a8f…d9ee | Yes | SELL | 2 | 26¢ | $1 | 0x219fea… |
| 07-27 21:28:18 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | No | BUY | 2 | 50¢ | $1 | 0xabf308… |
| 07-27 21:28:18 | (anonymous) 0x9f5a…6872 | Yes | BUY | 2 | 50¢ | $1 | 0xabf308… |
| 07-21 23:16:27 | (anonymous) 0x9f5a…6872 | Yes | BUY | 6 | 50¢ | $3 | 0x8cd65b… |
| 07-21 23:16:27 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | No | BUY | 6 | 50¢ | $3 | 0x8cd65b… |
| 07-14 17:23:52 | (anonymous) 0x9474…5091 | Yes | BUY | 2 | 28¢ | $1 | 0xd77931… |
| 07-14 17:23:52 | Unknown-Ischemia 0x7a8f…d9ee | No | BUY | 2 | 72¢ | $1 | 0xd77931… |
| 06-22 18:53:16 | Swift-Divan 0x998a…d949 | Yes | SELL | 8 | 28¢ | $2 | 0x565f6a… |
| 06-22 18:53:16 | (anonymous) 0x9474…5091 | Yes | BUY | 8 | 28¢ | $2 | 0x565f6a… |
| 06-07 03:44:28 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 22¢ | $1 | 0xe177cf… |
| 06-07 03:44:28 | Worldly-Statement 0x1b39…2466 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 22¢ | $1 | 0xe177cf… |
| 06-02 19:01:02 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | No | BUY | 5 | 41¢ | $2 | 0xbffe9d… |
| 06-02 19:01:02 | Worldly-Statement 0x1b39…2466 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 59¢ | $3 | 0xbffe9d… |
| 06-02 17:44:14 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | No | BUY | 2 | 41¢ | $1 | 0xac8806… |
| 06-02 17:44:14 | Wiry-Paddle 0xde9b…074e | Yes | BUY | 2 | 59¢ | $1 | 0xac8806… |