Belated-Glue 0xad5353…7eef24
whale bot
← all wallets
Realized P&L
+$500
Unrealized P&L
+$1.44K
Hit rate
67.4%
Resolved
592
Trades
362,805
lifetime
Volume
$2.72M
lifetime
Avg / trade
$7
Open exposure
$5.18K
30 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 06-09 23:46
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 28 days
Categories
Other
50% 28% $-65
Politics
36% 35% +$382
Crypto
9% 46% +$244
Tech
3% 0% $-51
Pop-Culture
1% — —
Sports
1% 0% $-10
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
79 active days in 12wk • peak 6393 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Iran closes its airspace by June 30? Yes +464 $113 100¢ $464 +$351 06-01 18:52
GPT-5.6 released by June 30, 2026? Yes +345 $293 94¢ $323 +$30 06-02 08:28
Will OpenAI GPT score at least 50% on Humanity’s Last Exam? No +292 $188 94¢ $274 +$86 06-02 05:14
Will Trump meet with Ahmed al-Sharaa in 2026? Yes +300 $236 81¢ $242 +$7 06-05 20:14
Will US crude oil reserves fall to 350M by June 5? Yes +256 $187 94¢ $240 +$53 06-09 12:53
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30? No +298 $142 80¢ $240 +$98 05-29 17:05
Reya FDV above $200M one day after launch? No +258 $189 77¢ $198 +$9 06-09 21:45
GPT-5.6 released by July 31, 2026? Yes +203 $159 97¢ $197 +$38 05-30 06:58
Israel closes its airspace by June 30? No +251 $139 76¢ $190 +$51 06-08 01:35
Will Eric Jones advance from the CA-04 primary election? Yes +251 $133 72¢ $181 +$48 06-07 07:43
Will Tom Steyer advance from the 2026 California Governor primary election? No +172 $134 100¢ $172 +$37 06-03 03:21
Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $7,700 (HIGH) in June? No +196 $76 85¢ $166 +$89 06-08 01:50
Megaquake by June 30? No +177 $65 93¢ $164 +$100 06-08 07:51
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? No +174 $104 90¢ $158 +$54 05-29 15:33
o1 FDV above $200M one day after launch? No +246 $146 60¢ $149 +$3 06-04 11:28
Altcoin market cap dip to $150B before 2027? Yes +166 $115 83¢ $138 +$22 06-08 17:02
Will OpenAI launch a new consumer hardware product by December 31, 2026? No +207 $125 65¢ $134 +$9 06-05 02:50
Will the Workers' Party nominate Lula for President of Brazil by August 15? Yes +155 $114 84¢ $131 +$17 06-01 13:25
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 30, 2026? No +209 $49 62¢ $128 +$80 05-29 18:21
Will Trump Mobile release a phone by June 30, 2026? No +141 $66 90¢ $127 +$61 06-05 00:30
Will Anthropic or OpenAI IPO first? Anthropic +171 $129 72¢ $122 $-7 06-02 10:44
Israel strike on Yemen by June 30, 2026? No +162 $108 74¢ $121 +$13 06-09 20:22
Will o1 launch a token by June 30, 2026? Yes +122 $55 98¢ $120 +$64 06-02 19:29
Will Snapchat be acquired before 2027? No +150 $108 80¢ $120 +$12 06-01 15:29
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? No +140 $77 84¢ $117 +$40 05-29 14:59
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by June 30? No +144 $107 80¢ $115 +$7 05-31 01:38
Tamas Sulyok out as President of Hungary by June 30? No +128 $82 88¢ $114 +$32 05-31 17:56
Will the next Prime Minister of Romania be a technocrat? No +218 $100 52¢ $112 +$12 06-09 14:37
Makina FDV above $200M one day after launch? No +119 $110 95¢ $112 +$2 05-31 10:15
Will Steve Witkoff attend the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting? No +152 $84 71¢ $108 +$24 06-05 14:31