Realized P&L
-$15.3K
Unrealized P&L
+$27.4K
Hit rate
57.2%
Resolved
71,353
Trades
1,010,672
lifetime
Volume
$10.5M
lifetime
Avg / trade
$10
Open exposure
$160.8K
30 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 10-29 02:40
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 302 days
Categories
Other
52% 27% -$30,066
Politics
35% 31% +$11,684
Crypto
6% 31% +$4,571
Tech
4% 30% +$1,848
Sports
2% 26% -$1,403
Pop-Culture
1% 21% -$1,941
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
85 active days in 12wk • peak 14391 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel? No +15,404 $7,923 75¢ $11.6K +$3,699 10-28 15:41
Will Aleksandar Vučić be the next Prime Minister of Serbia? No +10,910 $4,010 98¢ $10.6K +$6,638 10-25 19:29
Will Ulf Kristersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? No +10,399 $8,709 77¢ $8.0K -$743 10-28 11:50
us announces end of iranian blockade by october 31 2026 20260727171711632 No +6,993 $4,932 98¢ $6.9K +$1,921 10-21 23:41
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of October 2026? Yes +6,935 $4,233 98¢ $6.8K +$2,574 10-27 11:06
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31? Yes +6,851 $5,504 96¢ $6.6K +$1,107 10-21 21:47
us announces end of iranian blockade by december 31 2026 20260727171803489 No +10,894 $5,055 60¢ $6.5K +$1,443 10-26 21:01
Will Together win the third-most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? Yes +7,221 $4,767 90¢ $6.5K +$1,697 10-28 20:36
Will Puma Shen win the next Taipei Mayor election? No +8,920 $6,414 66¢ $5.9K -$505 10-28 21:09
NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? No +6,800 $5,031 84¢ $5.7K +$714 10-23 19:57
Will Anthropic's market cap be between $2.0T and $2.25T at market close on IPO day? No +6,973 $5,226 77¢ $5.4K +$140 10-28 12:14
Will Likud win 30-34 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? No +5,371 $4,721 99¢ $5.3K +$605 10-28 11:10
Will Trump and Putin not meet? No +6,193 $4,549 84¢ $5.2K +$653 10-26 06:13
Will Ilija Srdanović be the next prime minister of Serbia? No +5,743 $4,209 83¢ $4.8K +$558 10-28 08:32
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31? Yes +4,960 $3,331 96¢ $4.7K +$1,406 10-25 21:51
Will Pedro Sánchez be the next Prime Minister of Spain? No +4,835 $4,039 89¢ $4.3K +$284 10-28 21:16
US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026? Yes +10,679 $5,732 40¢ $4.3K -$1,423 10-27 23:51
Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? Yes +5,277 $3,752 81¢ $4.3K +$533 10-28 21:57
Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by October 31? No +4,303 $3,333 98¢ $4.2K +$884 10-28 15:51
Will Likud win fewer than 20 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? No +4,140 $3,119 100¢ $4.1K +$1,017 10-27 19:39
Will the Tampa Bay Rays win the 2026 World Series? No +4,129 $3,352 100¢ $4.1K +$768 10-29 00:19
next fable model 5pt2 released by october 31 2026 No +4,421 $1,598 92¢ $4.0K +$2,449 10-28 19:40
Will Rafael López Aliaga win the next Lima mayoral elections? Yes +5,025 $4,303 80¢ $4.0K -$301 10-28 18:44
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of October 2026? No +3,960 $2,731 100¢ $3.9K +$1,209 10-27 09:53
Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel? No +4,001 $3,433 96¢ $3.8K +$408 10-28 03:19
Trump meets with Putin by December 31? Yes +4,586 $3,387 84¢ $3.8K +$442 10-25 06:26
Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? No +5,405 $4,375 71¢ $3.8K -$550 10-28 23:11
Will Trump meet with Kim Jong Un in 2026? No +4,660 $3,574 82¢ $3.8K +$247 10-27 11:57
Will Chiang Wan-an win the next Taipei Mayor election? Yes +5,723 $4,267 66¢ $3.8K -$461 10-28 17:16
Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31? No +4,339 $3,805 86¢ $3.8K -$52 10-27 11:08