Realized P&L (7d)
-$33.4K
Unrealized P&L
+$23.1K
Hit rate
56.6%
Resolved (7d)
6,111
Trades (7d)
67,403
1,114,352 lifetime
Volume (7d)
$1.22M
$12.2M lifetime
Avg / trade
$11
Open exposure
$172.5K
30 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 11-07 16:00
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 311 days
Categories
Other
52% 29% -$57,537
Politics
36% 31% +$5,458
Crypto
6% 32% +$2,519
Tech
4% 29% +$536
Sports
2% 28% -$2,134
Pop-Culture
1% 21% -$2,066
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
85 active days in 12wk • peak 16851 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Aleksandar Vučić be the next Prime Minister of Serbia? No +10,910 $4,010 98¢ $10.7K +$6,687 10-25 19:29
Will Dan Sullivan win the Alaska Senate race in 2026? No +10,378 $9,020 98¢ $10.2K +$1,160 11-06 21:13
Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel? Yes +15,926 $7,485 63¢ $10.0K +$2,564 11-07 05:50
US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026? No +11,632 $5,486 62¢ $7.2K +$1,761 11-07 00:57
NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? No +8,002 $6,045 88¢ $7.1K +$1,036 11-04 08:49
Will Republicans win Alaska, and lose Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas? No +7,107 $6,724 99¢ $7.0K +$311 11-05 19:05
Will Puma Shen win the next Taipei Mayor election? No +10,113 $7,221 67¢ $6.8K -$435 11-06 09:38
Will Anthropic's market cap be between $2.0T and $2.25T at market close on IPO day? No +7,220 $5,421 94¢ $6.8K +$1,341 11-04 07:15
Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel? No +17,189 $9,094 37¢ $6.3K -$2,751 11-06 06:51
Will the Republicans win the Mississippi Senate race in 2026? No +6,086 $4,614 99¢ $6.0K +$1,432 11-05 21:04
Will Ilija Srdanović be the next prime minister of Serbia? No +6,853 $5,135 88¢ $6.0K +$896 11-04 02:55
Will Pedro Sánchez be the next Prime Minister of Spain? No +6,327 $5,367 90¢ $5.7K +$299 11-04 18:10
Will Trump and Putin not meet? No +6,348 $4,683 88¢ $5.6K +$935 11-07 14:39
Will Ulf Kristersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? Yes +10,133 $1,751 55¢ $5.6K +$3,847 11-07 15:18
Will Trump meet with Kim Jong Un in 2026? No +5,306 $4,126 97¢ $5.1K +$1,003 11-03 02:29
Will Rafael López Aliaga win the next Lima mayoral elections? No +5,675 $841 90¢ $5.1K +$4,272 11-07 12:00
Will Ulf Kristersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? No +11,368 $9,345 45¢ $5.1K -$4,257 11-07 11:14
Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? Yes +5,459 $3,898 91¢ $5.0K +$1,083 10-31 15:36
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026? Yes +5,273 $4,525 91¢ $4.8K +$287 11-03 22:26
Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31? No +4,868 $4,245 92¢ $4.5K +$259 11-03 09:08
Will Chiang Wan-an win the next Taipei Mayor election? Yes +6,483 $4,777 68¢ $4.4K -$400 11-03 12:47
Will Anthropic IPO by November 30, 2026? Yes +5,548 $3,813 78¢ $4.3K +$515 11-06 21:16
Will Anthropic IPO by December 31, 2026? Yes +4,923 $3,913 88¢ $4.3K +$397 11-06 21:27
US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026? Yes +11,406 $6,012 38¢ $4.3K -$1,712 11-07 12:00
Trump meets with Putin by December 31? Yes +4,856 $3,618 87¢ $4.2K +$607 11-07 14:40
Will Anthropic's market cap be between $1.5T and $1.75T at market close on IPO day? No +5,645 $4,661 74¢ $4.2K -$470 11-07 15:13
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No +4,587 $3,822 90¢ $4.1K +$283 11-04 01:41
Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.5% before 2027? No +4,305 $3,023 95¢ $4.1K +$1,064 11-03 16:32
Will Radomir Saičić be the next Prime Minister of Serbia? No +4,345 $3,678 91¢ $3.9K +$256 11-07 01:43
Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026? No +3,937 $3,117 100¢ $3.9K +$803 11-06 02:35