Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 TX-35 House election by 9%-12%?
open
Total volume
$431
$69 in 24h
Trades
81
Unique wallets
33
Liquidity
$1,734
End date
2026-11-04
First seen
2026-08-27
last 10-30 01:58
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
Not enough snapshot data yet — the snapshot daemon polls every 5 min.
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
SMI:
-4.9¢
(top1%: 1% YES on $201
vs crowd: 6% YES on $386)
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐋 Whale | 16 | $19 | $282 | $264 |
| 🐬 Dolphin | 9 | $3 | $52 | $49 |
| 🐟 Fish | 5 | $2 | $23 | $20 |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 3 | $0 | $5 | $5 |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🎯 Top 1% | 11 | $3 | $198 | $195 |
| 🏆 Top 5% | 5 | $2 | $24 | $22 |
| Median | 2 | — | $13 | $13 |
| Below median | 2 | $0 | $5 | $5 |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 1 | $1 | — | +$1 |
| 💀 Bottom 1% | 11 | $18 | $122 | $104 |
| unranked | 1 | $0 | — | +$0 |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | Yes | +178 | $11 | $11 | 10 | 10-30 01:58 |
| Admirable-Trust 0xfbd8…4027 | No | +84 | $80 | $80 | 6 | 09-27 19:48 |
| (anonymous) 0x1387…55f8 | No | +54 | $52 | $52 | 4 | 10-29 22:28 |
| Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71 | Yes | +40 | $1 | $5 | 7 | 10-30 01:58 |
| Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71 | No | +40 | $37 | $37 | 2 | 10-23 18:42 |
| Attentive-Crewman 0xd218…b5c9 | No | +40 | $38 | $38 | 1 | 10-23 11:24 |
| Gaseous-Tennis 0x66f9…adb9 | Yes | +25 | $1 | $1 | 2 | 10-29 22:28 |
| Grown-Fence 0x4f1d…8de2 | No | +24 | $23 | $23 | 3 | 10-21 20:03 |
| Grim-Garage 0xa815…9cbe | Yes | +22 | $1 | $1 | 3 | 10-27 05:59 |
| Mortified-Wetland 0xf2cf…464b | Yes | +20 | $0 | $0 | 2 | 09-17 21:41 |
| (anonymous) 0xae2a…384d | No | +20 | $19 | $19 | 1 | 10-27 05:59 |
| Evil-Row 0x7495…7fcf | Yes | +19 | $1 | $1 | 3 | 10-04 06:53 |
| Bold-Health 0x8728…0882 | Yes | +15 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 09-24 22:30 |
| Broken-Idea 0x9f20…12c3 | No | +15 | $14 | $14 | 1 | 09-24 22:30 |
| (anonymous) 0xf2ee…7658 | No | +10 | $10 | $10 | 1 | 10-23 12:06 |
| (anonymous) 0x4c9a…0cd4 | Yes | +10 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 09-07 19:00 |
| Powerful-Waste 0x8fe7…6c1f | No | +10 | $9 | $9 | 2 | 08-28 04:26 |
| (anonymous) 0xf83e…4663 | No | +10 | $10 | $10 | 2 | 10-29 22:28 |
| Worthy-Jockey 0x7dcf…a7bd | No | +10 | $9 | $9 | 1 | 08-27 01:22 |
| (anonymous) 0x2370…31ae | No | +9 | $8 | $8 | 1 | 08-28 04:26 |
| (anonymous) 0x6608…a502 | Yes | +8 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 10-21 20:03 |
| (anonymous) 0xc867…dcc3 | No | +5 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 10-23 22:15 |
| Sniveling-Yogurt 0x6bdc…6fcd | No | +5 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 09-25 00:11 |
| (anonymous) 0xc976…fbb0 | Yes | +5 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 10-23 16:37 |
| (anonymous) 0x0629…501d | No | +5 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 10-23 16:37 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-30 01:58:22 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | Yes | BUY | 44 | 7¢ | $3 | 0x5c47af… |
| 10-30 01:58:22 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | Yes | SELL | 16 | 7¢ | $1 | 0x5c47af… |
| 10-30 01:58:22 | Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71 | Yes | SELL | 28 | 7¢ | $2 | 0x5c47af… |
| 10-29 22:28:09 | (anonymous) 0x1387…55f8 | No | BUY | 20 | 96¢ | $19 | 0xeff9a4… |
| 10-29 22:28:09 | Gaseous-Tennis 0x66f9…adb9 | Yes | BUY | 20 | 4¢ | $1 | 0xeff9a4… |
| 10-29 22:28:07 | (anonymous) 0xf83e…4663 | No | BUY | 5 | 96¢ | $5 | 0x49c7a5… |
| 10-29 22:28:07 | Gaseous-Tennis 0x66f9…adb9 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 4¢ | $0 | 0x49c7a5… |
| 10-27 06:53:27 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | Yes | BUY | 5 | 2¢ | $0 | 0xe533a7… |
| 10-27 06:53:27 | (anonymous) 0xf83e…4663 | No | BUY | 5 | 98¢ | $5 | 0xe533a7… |
| 10-27 05:59:42 | Grim-Garage 0xa815…9cbe | Yes | BUY | 9 | 4¢ | $0 | 0x724aa0… |
| 10-27 05:59:42 | (anonymous) 0xae2a…384d | No | BUY | 20 | 96¢ | $19 | 0x724aa0… |
| 10-27 05:59:42 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | Yes | BUY | 11 | 4¢ | $0 | 0x724aa0… |
| 10-24 22:35:12 | (anonymous) 0x1387…55f8 | No | BUY | 8 | 98¢ | $8 | 0xc440de… |
| 10-24 22:35:12 | Grim-Garage 0xa815…9cbe | Yes | BUY | 8 | 2¢ | $0 | 0xc440de… |
| 10-23 22:15:02 | (anonymous) 0xc867…dcc3 | No | BUY | 5 | 96¢ | $5 | 0x8fa5da… |
| 10-23 22:15:02 | Grim-Garage 0xa815…9cbe | Yes | BUY | 5 | 4¢ | $0 | 0x8fa5da… |
| 10-23 18:42:53 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | Yes | BUY | 20 | 8¢ | $2 | 0xfca565… |
| 10-23 18:42:53 | Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71 | No | BUY | 20 | 91¢ | $18 | 0xfca565… |
| 10-23 16:37:29 | (anonymous) 0xc976…fbb0 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 2¢ | $0 | 0xdc679c… |
| 10-23 16:37:29 | (anonymous) 0x0629…501d | No | BUY | 5 | 98¢ | $5 | 0xdc679c… |
| 10-23 14:34:45 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | Yes | BUY | 22 | 8¢ | $2 | 0x6abcac… |
| 10-23 14:34:45 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | Yes | SELL | 22 | 8¢ | $2 | 0x6abcac… |
| 10-23 12:06:30 | Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71 | Yes | BUY | 10 | 4¢ | $0 | 0x6a17b9… |
| 10-23 12:06:30 | Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71 | Yes | BUY | 9 | 4¢ | $0 | 0xf4e506… |
| 10-23 12:06:30 | (anonymous) 0xf2ee…7658 | No | BUY | 10 | 96¢ | $10 | 0x6a17b9… |
| 10-23 12:06:30 | (anonymous) 0x1387…55f8 | No | BUY | 9 | 96¢ | $8 | 0xf4e506… |
| 10-23 11:24:26 | Attentive-Crewman 0xd218…b5c9 | No | BUY | 40 | 96¢ | $38 | 0x690114… |
| 10-23 11:24:26 | Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71 | Yes | BUY | 20 | 4¢ | $1 | 0x690114… |
| 10-23 11:24:26 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | Yes | BUY | 20 | 4¢ | $1 | 0x690114… |
| 10-22 11:41:26 | Wretched-Myth-Downfall 0xe550…6f6e | No | SELL | 20 | 92¢ | $18 | 0xc73572… |
| 10-22 11:41:26 | Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71 | No | BUY | 20 | 92¢ | $18 | 0xc73572… |
| 10-22 11:41:05 | Wretched-Myth-Downfall 0xe550…6f6e | No | BUY | 20 | 92¢ | $18 | 0xeff27d… |
| 10-22 11:41:05 | (anonymous) 0x321e…9292 | No | SELL | 20 | 92¢ | $18 | 0xeff27d… |
| 10-22 11:40:45 | (anonymous) 0x8e1f…991b | Yes | SELL | 5 | 7¢ | $0 | 0x26112e… |
| 10-22 11:40:45 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | Yes | BUY | 25 | 7¢ | $2 | 0x26112e… |
| 10-22 11:40:45 | (anonymous) 0x321e…9292 | No | BUY | 20 | 93¢ | $19 | 0x26112e… |
| 10-21 20:03:44 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | Yes | BUY | 2 | 2¢ | $0 | 0x5dd6dc… |
| 10-21 20:03:44 | Grown-Fence 0x4f1d…8de2 | No | BUY | 2 | 98¢ | $2 | 0x5dd6dc… |
| 10-21 20:03:33 | Grown-Fence 0x4f1d…8de2 | No | BUY | 8 | 98¢ | $8 | 0xe94905… |
| 10-21 20:03:33 | (anonymous) 0x6608…a502 | Yes | BUY | 8 | 2¢ | $0 | 0xe94905… |
| 10-04 06:53:11 | Evil-Row 0x7495…7fcf | Yes | BUY | 9 | 2¢ | $0 | 0xeaf6d7… |
| 10-04 06:53:11 | (anonymous) 0x8e1f…991b | Yes | BUY | 5 | 2¢ | $0 | 0xeaf6d7… |
| 10-04 06:53:11 | (anonymous) 0x1ef0…e28e | Yes | SELL | 14 | 2¢ | $0 | 0xeaf6d7… |
| 10-04 06:53:07 | (anonymous) 0x1ef0…e28e | Yes | BUY | 14 | 3¢ | $0 | 0x8ec8d9… |
| 10-04 06:53:07 | Grown-Fence 0x4f1d…8de2 | No | BUY | 14 | 97¢ | $13 | 0x8ec8d9… |
| 09-27 19:48:11 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | Yes | BUY | 18 | 1¢ | $0 | 0xee83b8… |
| 09-27 19:48:11 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | Yes | BUY | 20 | 1¢ | $0 | 0xd409b2… |
| 09-27 19:48:11 | (anonymous) 0x1387…55f8 | No | BUY | 18 | 99¢ | $17 | 0xee83b8… |
| 09-27 19:48:11 | Admirable-Trust 0xfbd8…4027 | No | BUY | 20 | 99¢ | $20 | 0xd409b2… |
| 09-25 00:11:08 | Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 5¢ | $0 | 0x9e9de3… |
| 09-25 00:11:08 | Sniveling-Yogurt 0x6bdc…6fcd | No | BUY | 5 | 95¢ | $5 | 0x9e9de3… |
| 09-25 00:11:08 | Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71 | Yes | BUY | 14 | 5¢ | $1 | 0xd7d637… |
| 09-25 00:11:08 | Admirable-Trust 0xfbd8…4027 | No | BUY | 14 | 95¢ | $13 | 0xd7d637… |
| 09-24 22:30:05 | Broken-Idea 0x9f20…12c3 | No | BUY | 15 | 93¢ | $14 | 0x8783af… |
| 09-24 22:30:05 | Bold-Health 0x8728…0882 | Yes | BUY | 15 | 7¢ | $1 | 0x8783af… |
| 09-18 14:57:51 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | Yes | BUY | 10 | 8¢ | $1 | 0xaa8cc6… |
| 09-18 14:57:51 | (anonymous) 0x758d…5d9e | Yes | SELL | 10 | 8¢ | $1 | 0xaa8cc6… |
| 09-17 21:43:07 | Evil-Row 0x7495…7fcf | Yes | BUY | 2 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x6bf1b0… |
| 09-17 21:43:07 | Plump-Implementation 0x7b25…e4be | Yes | SELL | 2 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x6bf1b0… |
| 09-17 21:41:57 | Plump-Implementation 0x7b25…e4be | Yes | SELL | 18 | 2¢ | $0 | 0xd21a33… |
| 09-17 21:41:57 | Mortified-Wetland 0xf2cf…464b | Yes | BUY | 18 | 2¢ | $0 | 0xd21a33… |
| 09-17 21:38:51 | Joint-Lard 0x942e…be27 | Yes | SELL | 2 | 2¢ | $0 | 0x470fa0… |
| 09-17 21:38:51 | Mortified-Wetland 0xf2cf…464b | Yes | BUY | 2 | 2¢ | $0 | 0x470fa0… |
| 09-11 06:40:42 | Plump-Implementation 0x7b25…e4be | Yes | BUY | 20 | 7¢ | $1 | 0xb3429a… |
| 09-11 06:40:42 | (anonymous) 0x8fab…cb94 | Yes | SELL | 20 | 7¢ | $1 | 0xb3429a… |
| 09-10 23:34:57 | Admirable-Trust 0xfbd8…4027 | No | BUY | 20 | 93¢ | $19 | 0xb07089… |
| 09-10 23:34:57 | (anonymous) 0x8fab…cb94 | Yes | BUY | 20 | 7¢ | $1 | 0xb07089… |
| 09-07 19:00:24 | (anonymous) 0x4c9a…0cd4 | Yes | BUY | 10 | 6¢ | $1 | 0x9e0be7… |
| 09-07 19:00:24 | Admirable-Trust 0xfbd8…4027 | No | BUY | 10 | 94¢ | $9 | 0x9e0be7… |
| 09-04 20:11:46 | (anonymous) 0x758d…5d9e | Yes | BUY | 10 | 5¢ | $1 | 0x120caf… |
| 09-04 20:11:46 | Admirable-Trust 0xfbd8…4027 | No | BUY | 10 | 95¢ | $9 | 0x120caf… |
| 09-04 19:29:03 | Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71 | Yes | BUY | 10 | 5¢ | $1 | 0x8c2ac1… |
| 09-04 19:29:03 | Admirable-Trust 0xfbd8…4027 | No | BUY | 10 | 95¢ | $9 | 0x8c2ac1… |
| 08-28 04:26:10 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 7¢ | $0 | 0xa69f17… |
| 08-28 04:26:10 | Powerful-Waste 0x8fe7…6c1f | No | BUY | 5 | 93¢ | $5 | 0xa69f17… |
| 08-28 04:26:09 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 7¢ | $0 | 0x02f422… |
| 08-28 04:26:09 | Powerful-Waste 0x8fe7…6c1f | No | BUY | 5 | 93¢ | $5 | 0x02f422… |
| 08-28 04:26:07 | (anonymous) 0x2370…31ae | No | BUY | 9 | 94¢ | $8 | 0xb2ef74… |
| 08-28 04:26:07 | Evil-Row 0x7495…7fcf | Yes | BUY | 9 | 6¢ | $1 | 0xb2ef74… |
| 08-27 01:22:00 | Worthy-Jockey 0x7dcf…a7bd | No | BUY | 10 | 90¢ | $9 | 0x9ceb5e… |
| 08-27 01:22:00 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | Yes | BUY | 10 | 10¢ | $1 | 0x9ceb5e… |