Realized P&L
-$15.1K
Unrealized P&L
+$33.0K
Hit rate
56.1%
Resolved
118,794
Trades
1,767,320
lifetime
Volume
$20.8M
lifetime
Avg / trade
$12
Open exposure
$711.2K
30 positions
First seen
2026-07-19
last 10-26 22:01
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 74 days
Categories
Other
74% 37% -$7,543
Crypto
17% 45% -$11,672
Politics
7% 33% +$4,003
Sports
2% 35% -$378
Tech
0% 34% +$382
Pop-Culture
0% 16% +$143
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
72 active days in 12wk • peak 57575 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting? Yes +105,890 $82,590 93¢ $98.5K +$15,888 10-26 22:27
US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026? No +81,530 $66,003 94¢ $77.0K +$11,043 10-26 19:40
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting? No +79,983 $60,328 94¢ $74.8K +$14,457 10-26 21:04
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31? Yes +54,183 $41,669 88¢ $48.0K +$6,282 10-26 22:08
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting? No +45,256 $44,989 100¢ $45.2K +$222 10-13 09:55
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? No +59,819 $39,145 70¢ $42.2K +$3,027 10-17 05:27
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? No +30,141 $29,104 98¢ $29.5K +$404 10-13 08:45
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? No +28,390 $27,723 98¢ $27.8K +$114 10-26 22:18
Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? No +23,542 $21,194 95¢ $22.4K +$1,253 10-26 21:43
NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026? No +20,400 $18,864 98¢ $20.0K +$1,128 10-13 07:23
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31? Yes +19,845 $16,681 92¢ $18.4K +$1,676 10-26 21:45
Xi Jinping out before 2027? No +19,111 $18,544 95¢ $18.2K -$378 10-26 21:29
US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026? No +27,523 $15,715 64¢ $17.5K +$1,790 10-26 21:09
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? Yes +57,241 $19,800 30¢ $16.9K -$2,914 10-12 20:11
Will David Lisnard win the 2027 French presidential election? No +18,338 $15,871 86¢ $15.8K -$36 10-13 09:53
Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel? Yes +29,603 $14,241 53¢ $15.7K +$1,463 10-26 22:01
Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? Yes +20,000 $13,967 72¢ $14.5K +$523 10-26 22:28
Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel? No +29,486 $15,259 47¢ $13.8K -$1,416 10-26 22:01
Israel accuses Iran/proxies of plane stabbing incident by Oct 31? No +13,963 $12,642 98¢ $13.7K +$1,091 10-13 05:30
US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026? Yes +27,531 $11,782 36¢ $10.0K -$1,761 10-26 21:25
Will Aleksandar Vučić be the next Prime Minister of Serbia? No +9,072 $4,490 99¢ $9.0K +$4,478 10-26 21:06
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No +10,729 $9,119 80¢ $8.6K -$483 10-02 09:08
Will Ulf Kristersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? No +10,568 $9,072 78¢ $8.2K -$845 10-26 16:10
Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026? No +12,456 $7,904 64¢ $7.9K +$5 10-26 21:05
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting? No +105,895 $24,808 7¢ $7.4K -$17,395 10-26 22:14
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? No +6,814 $6,516 96¢ $6.5K +$15 10-13 06:20
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31? No +54,456 $12,402 12¢ $6.3K -$6,139 10-26 21:57
NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? No +7,445 $5,557 84¢ $6.2K +$660 10-26 20:33
Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? No +7,366 $6,343 77¢ $5.6K -$693 10-25 00:56
Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? No +19,814 $5,887 28¢ $5.5K -$428 10-26 22:28