Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?
No won
Total volume
$5,798,144
Trades
18,661
Unique wallets
2,704
Liquidity
$0
Latest YES mid
0¢
Latest NO mid
100¢
End date
2027-04-01
First seen
2026-04-28
last 10-09 11:55
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
YES holders
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
SMI:
-2.3¢
(top1%: 0% YES on $3.37M
vs crowd: 2% YES on $4.67M)
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐋 Whale | 219 | $31.2K | $3.75M | $3.72M |
| 🐬 Dolphin | 262 | $68.3K | $593.6K | $525.3K |
| 🐟 Fish | 713 | $13.9K | $175.2K | $161.3K |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 1,510 | $2.9K | $31.6K | $28.7K |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🎯 Top 1% | 211 | $6.5K | $3.37M | $3.36M |
| 🏆 Top 5% | 195 | $6.8K | $262.5K | $255.6K |
| ✅ Top 10% | 130 | $517 | $52.4K | $51.9K |
| Median | 661 | $494 | $26.8K | $26.3K |
| Below median | 1,114 | $2.5K | $46.2K | $43.7K |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 142 | $634 | $42.8K | $42.2K |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 141 | $2.0K | $145.5K | $143.5K |
| 💀 Bottom 1% | 110 | $96.7K | $610.1K | $513.4K |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| (anonymous) 0xb1ce…ced2 | Yes | +1,628,202 | $25,234 | $25,234 | 1,301 | 10-09 04:37 |
| Daring-Seed 0x5465…5133 | Yes | +484,013 | $39,636 | $39,636 | 394 | 09-13 21:24 |
| (anonymous) 0x85d4…48ac | Yes | +450,079 | $2,514 | $2,515 | 111 | 10-09 03:34 |
| Impassioned-Watch 0x0c0e…434e | No | +276,827 | $274,742 | $274,742 | 150 | 10-08 17:01 |
| Whimsical-Terminal 0x9648…6825 | Yes | +221,000 | $24,215 | $24,215 | 89 | 05-16 06:29 |
| Informal-Expertise 0x4b8c…9e5d | Yes | +187,189 | $482 | $605 | 124 | 10-09 08:48 |
| Quizzical-Hire 0x4337…8882 | No | +147,380 | $142,233 | $142,233 | 250 | 10-08 18:55 |
| Damp-Accountant 0x2d99…4ca3 | No | +144,507 | $141,718 | $235,283 | 156 | 10-09 08:13 |
| Trump2028 0x2e0b…8070 | No | +127,665 | $127,235 | $127,235 | 27 | 10-09 02:47 |
| Compassionate-Lawsuit 0x8df7…36c4 | No | +126,806 | $119,149 | $119,149 | 159 | 08-06 20:54 |
| Sociable-Rooster 0x44c1…ebc1 | No | +121,910 | $121,067 | $121,067 | 22 | 10-09 08:50 |
| Submissive-Clan 0xad89…f6e1 | No | +118,377 | $117,649 | $117,649 | 4 | 10-07 23:19 |
| Forsaken-Outhouse 0x47ab…95df | No | +105,499 | $99,077 | $149,445 | 385 | 10-08 07:39 |
| Opulent-Right 0xb100…6461 | No | +100,869 | $100,015 | $100,015 | 66 | 10-08 08:41 |
| Shocked-Anagram 0xd1c7…1d2b | No | +97,513 | $97,374 | $97,374 | 18 | 10-09 06:31 |
| (anonymous) 0x410a…2643 | No | +82,137 | $80,853 | $80,853 | 67 | 10-02 06:52 |
| Powerful-Election 0x000d…758e | No | +80,000 | $79,174 | $79,174 | 1 | 10-01 14:37 |
| Nimble-Soliloquy 0x9c26…74bc | No | +75,932 | $74,781 | $96,982 | 276 | 10-09 04:36 |
| Sugary-Concentration 0x1295…5cfd | No | +74,542 | $74,060 | $74,060 | 35 | 10-09 07:49 |
| Warlike-Horn 0xb9d8…275a | No | +70,000 | $69,630 | $69,630 | 9 | 10-08 18:55 |
| Positive-Steam 0x8a4c…532b | Yes | +66,624 | $995 | $995 | 31 | 10-01 14:37 |
| Feminine-Crusader 0x8476…5418 | No | +62,678 | $61,387 | $61,387 | 58 | 09-28 05:28 |
| (anonymous) 0x0029…d342 | No | +57,423 | $56,114 | $62,520 | 119 | 10-07 19:41 |
| Whimsical-Terminal 0x9648…6825 | No | +53,336 | $52,206 | $52,206 | 81 | 10-07 10:22 |
| (anonymous) 0xd33c…2ab5 | Yes | +51,099 | $1,104 | $2,854 | 9 | 10-04 04:05 |
| Stylish-Instrument 0x9351…9e4d | No | +50,000 | $49,019 | $49,019 | 121 | 10-01 08:40 |
| Unripe-Split 0x4ad6…464c | No | +50,000 | $49,950 | $49,950 | 3 | 10-09 09:08 |
| Giving-Petticoat 0xd426…334a | Yes | +49,321 | $1,670 | $1,710 | 44 | 10-01 00:43 |
| (anonymous) 0x02e9…e4c9 | No | +45,290 | $44,457 | $44,457 | 88 | 10-09 02:28 |
| Compassionate-Kneejerk 0x9507…7b04 | No | +42,159 | $38,708 | $38,708 | 206 | 06-15 03:22 |
| Flat-Badger 0x2a01…6397 | No | +40,000 | $39,950 | $39,950 | 5 | 10-09 08:59 |
| Grounded-Depression 0x35bb…009b | No | +40,000 | $39,720 | $39,720 | 1 | 10-08 11:25 |
| Single-Air 0x94eb…37e6 | No | +35,333 | $35,156 | $35,156 | 2 | 10-08 07:51 |
| Cheerful-Ephemera 0xdf17…97d1 | No | +35,155 | $32,301 | $358,250 | 946 | 10-08 08:40 |
| Major-Click 0xdc4b…dbca | No | +35,000 | $33,471 | $68,863 | 91 | 10-08 21:34 |
| Closed-Application 0xd039…2532 | No | +35,000 | $34,755 | $34,755 | 5 | 10-08 09:32 |
| Pungent-Washbasin 0x4344…f90d | No | +34,002 | $33,747 | $33,747 | 19 | 10-08 06:19 |
| Rectangular-Census 0x8998…32be | No | +33,525 | $31,480 | $31,480 | 5 | 09-22 22:17 |
| Capital-Sari 0xbefa…300d | Yes | +31,000 | -$14 | $543 | 49 | 10-09 09:01 |
| (anonymous) 0x758d…5d9e | Yes | +30,671 | $91 | $92 | 43 | 10-09 09:01 |
| Quick-Ligand 0x6ffa…b3c4 | Yes | +29,956 | $749 | $3,218 | 20 | 10-04 08:16 |
| Trustworthy-Break 0x327c…86ef | Yes | +29,818 | $515 | $515 | 9 | 10-08 19:27 |
| (anonymous) 0x163b…d73a | Yes | +28,689 | $181 | $181 | 1 | 10-08 18:55 |
| (anonymous) 0x014d…2196 | Yes | +18,819 | $381 | $381 | 1 | 09-24 17:18 |
| (anonymous) 0x9e3e…f882 | Yes | +16,675 | $101 | $101 | 7 | 10-09 08:35 |
| Nice-Trapezium 0xe228…1f4c | Yes | +15,627 | $47 | $47 | 2 | 10-09 00:48 |
| (anonymous) 0xe234…304a | Yes | +15,200 | $34 | $34 | 4 | 10-09 08:35 |
| (anonymous) 0xaa11…d6dd | Yes | +15,053 | $90 | $90 | 1 | 10-07 02:49 |
| Delightful-Curve 0x0097…4a1d | Yes | +14,286 | $100 | $100 | 1 | 10-08 13:27 |
| Clear-Operator 0x8498…0e94 | Yes | +10,000 | $70 | $70 | 1 | 10-06 11:33 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-09 11:55:51 | Nice-Perennial 0xcdb1…276c | No | BUY | 624 | 100¢ | $623 | 0x3973d4… |
| 10-09 11:55:51 | Athletic-Cutlet 0xfaa9…2610 | No | SELL | 624 | 100¢ | $623 | 0x3973d4… |
| 10-09 11:33:49 | (anonymous) 0xa2e6…891c | Yes | BUY | 1,000 | 0¢ | $1 | 0xc76cdf… |
| 10-09 11:33:49 | Nice-Perennial 0xcdb1…276c | No | BUY | 1,000 | 100¢ | $999 | 0xc76cdf… |
| 10-09 10:09:54 | Nice-Perennial 0xcdb1…276c | No | BUY | 6 | 100¢ | $6 | 0x78c572… |
| 10-09 10:09:54 | (anonymous) 0x650d…5804 | No | SELL | 6 | 100¢ | $6 | 0x78c572… |
| 10-09 09:52:37 | Any-Backup-Blowhole 0x3e88…c055 | No | SELL | 1 | 100¢ | $1 | 0xb47079… |
| 10-09 09:52:37 | Nice-Perennial 0xcdb1…276c | No | BUY | 1 | 100¢ | $1 | 0xb47079… |
| 10-09 09:08:34 | Colossal-Contract 0xe1b5…20ac | No | SELL | 20 | 100¢ | $20 | 0xbb761f… |
| 10-09 09:08:34 | Nice-Perennial 0xcdb1…276c | No | BUY | 20 | 100¢ | $20 | 0xbb761f… |
| 10-09 09:08:33 | Nice-Perennial 0xcdb1…276c | No | BUY | 15 | 100¢ | $15 | 0xc4abc5… |
| 10-09 09:08:33 | Thorough-Flu 0x26f4…e110 | No | SELL | 15 | 100¢ | $15 | 0xc4abc5… |
| 10-09 09:08:31 | Unripe-Split 0x4ad6…464c | No | BUY | 139 | 100¢ | $139 | 0x493f29… |
| 10-09 09:08:31 | Colossal-Contract 0xe1b5…20ac | No | BUY | 20 | 100¢ | $20 | 0x493f29… |
| 10-09 09:08:31 | Nice-Perennial 0xcdb1…276c | No | BUY | 726 | 100¢ | $725 | 0x493f29… |
| 10-09 09:08:31 | Thorough-Flu 0x26f4…e110 | No | BUY | 15 | 100¢ | $15 | 0x493f29… |
| 10-09 09:08:31 | (anonymous) 0xbcbf…75a9 | No | SELL | 900 | 100¢ | $899 | 0x493f29… |
| 10-09 09:03:16 | Phony-Mantel 0xbdf2…740b | Yes | BUY | 1,000 | 0¢ | $1 | 0xa9c74a… |
| 10-09 09:03:16 | Unripe-Split 0x4ad6…464c | No | BUY | 1,000 | 100¢ | $999 | 0xa9c74a… |
| 10-09 09:01:12 | Obedient-Population 0x6c37…d40f | Yes | BUY | 100 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xbef5ab… |
| 10-09 09:01:12 | Capital-Sari 0xbefa…300d | Yes | BUY | 31,000 | 0¢ | $31 | 0xbef5ab… |
| 10-09 09:01:12 | Unripe-Split 0x4ad6…464c | No | BUY | 48,861 | 100¢ | $48,812 | 0xbef5ab… |
| 10-09 09:01:12 | Rude-Ecology 0x7ac4…4f44 | Yes | BUY | 100 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xbef5ab… |
| 10-09 09:01:12 | True-Counsel 0x44a1…bd21 | No | SELL | 10,309 | 100¢ | $10,299 | 0xbef5ab… |
| 10-09 09:01:12 | (anonymous) 0x758d…5d9e | Yes | BUY | 7,052 | 0¢ | $7 | 0xbef5ab… |
| 10-09 09:01:12 | Few-Mistake-Spice 0x08ab…3af9 | No | SELL | 300 | 100¢ | $300 | 0xbef5ab… |
| 10-09 09:01:01 | (anonymous) 0x83d4…e7e6 | No | BUY | 1 | 100¢ | $1 | 0x963691… |
| 10-09 09:01:01 | True-Counsel 0x44a1…bd21 | No | SELL | 1 | 100¢ | $1 | 0x963691… |
| 10-09 08:59:52 | Monumental-Injustice 0xf6cb…3f69 | No | BUY | 20 | 100¢ | $20 | 0x92f670… |
| 10-09 08:59:52 | Colossal-Contract 0xe1b5…20ac | No | SELL | 20 | 100¢ | $20 | 0x92f670… |
| 10-09 08:59:52 | Monumental-Injustice 0xf6cb…3f69 | No | BUY | 15 | 100¢ | $15 | 0xba01c9… |
| 10-09 08:59:52 | Thorough-Flu 0x26f4…e110 | No | SELL | 15 | 100¢ | $15 | 0xba01c9… |
| 10-09 08:59:51 | Monumental-Injustice 0xf6cb…3f69 | No | BUY | 278 | 100¢ | $278 | 0x3bdbcc… |
| 10-09 08:59:51 | Joyful-Causeway 0x56c2…6219 | Yes | SELL | 1,000 | 0¢ | $2 | 0x3bdbcc… |
| 10-09 08:59:51 | Flat-Badger 0x2a01…6397 | No | BUY | 8,111 | 100¢ | $8,095 | 0x3bdbcc… |
| 10-09 08:59:51 | (anonymous) 0x758d…5d9e | No | BUY | 96 | 100¢ | $95 | 0x3bdbcc… |
| 10-09 08:59:51 | Colossal-Contract 0xe1b5…20ac | No | BUY | 20 | 100¢ | $20 | 0x3bdbcc… |
| 10-09 08:59:51 | Thorough-Flu 0x26f4…e110 | No | BUY | 15 | 100¢ | $15 | 0x3bdbcc… |
| 10-09 08:59:51 | (anonymous) 0x96ff…9310 | Yes | BUY | 9,520 | 0¢ | $19 | 0x3bdbcc… |
| 10-09 08:54:54 | Lumpy-Diner 0xe8a0…3aea | Yes | BUY | 501 | 0¢ | $1 | 0xa1026d… |
| 10-09 08:54:54 | Flat-Badger 0x2a01…6397 | No | BUY | 501 | 100¢ | $500 | 0xa1026d… |
| 10-09 08:52:54 | True-Counsel 0x44a1…bd21 | No | SELL | 50 | 100¢ | $50 | 0x800bcb… |
| 10-09 08:52:54 | Attached-Mayor 0x9ff9…5eda | No | BUY | 50 | 100¢ | $50 | 0x800bcb… |
| 10-09 08:50:42 | Flat-Badger 0x2a01…6397 | No | BUY | 20 | 100¢ | $20 | 0x618d47… |
| 10-09 08:50:42 | Colossal-Contract 0xe1b5…20ac | No | SELL | 20 | 100¢ | $20 | 0x618d47… |
| 10-09 08:50:40 | (anonymous) 0xbcbf…75a9 | No | BUY | 200 | 100¢ | $200 | 0x551c90… |
| 10-09 08:50:40 | Colossal-Contract 0xe1b5…20ac | No | BUY | 20 | 100¢ | $20 | 0x551c90… |
| 10-09 08:50:40 | (anonymous) 0x758d…5d9e | No | BUY | 43 | 100¢ | $43 | 0x551c90… |
| 10-09 08:50:40 | Sociable-Rooster 0x44c1…ebc1 | No | BUY | 12,939 | 100¢ | $12,913 | 0x551c90… |
| 10-09 08:50:40 | (anonymous) 0x856a…4ea2 | No | SELL | 15,000 | 100¢ | $14,970 | 0x551c90… |
| 10-09 08:50:40 | Flat-Badger 0x2a01…6397 | No | BUY | 1,368 | 100¢ | $1,365 | 0x551c90… |
| 10-09 08:50:40 | Crooked-Insurance 0x7b0f…145c | Yes | SELL | 430 | 0¢ | $1 | 0x551c90… |
| 10-09 08:49:01 | True-Counsel 0x44a1…bd21 | No | SELL | 10 | 100¢ | $10 | 0x1fbcd2… |
| 10-09 08:49:01 | Nimble-Essay 0x81de…20d4 | No | BUY | 10 | 100¢ | $10 | 0x1fbcd2… |
| 10-09 08:48:55 | Informal-Expertise 0x4b8c…9e5d | Yes | BUY | 811 | 0¢ | $1 | 0x85313e… |
| 10-09 08:48:55 | Thorough-Flu 0x26f4…e110 | No | SELL | 15 | 100¢ | $15 | 0x85313e… |
| 10-09 08:48:55 | Joyful-Causeway 0x56c2…6219 | Yes | BUY | 1,000 | 0¢ | $1 | 0x85313e… |
| 10-09 08:48:55 | Flat-Badger 0x2a01…6397 | No | BUY | 30,000 | 100¢ | $29,970 | 0x85313e… |
| 10-09 08:48:55 | (anonymous) 0x0766…73f4 | No | SELL | 7,544 | 100¢ | $7,536 | 0x85313e… |
| 10-09 08:48:55 | True-Counsel 0x44a1…bd21 | No | SELL | 20,630 | 100¢ | $20,609 | 0x85313e… |
| 10-09 08:48:54 | Sociable-Rooster 0x44c1…ebc1 | No | BUY | 500 | 100¢ | $499 | 0x24f2ce… |
| 10-09 08:48:54 | (anonymous) 0xbf20…68e6 | Yes | BUY | 500 | 0¢ | $1 | 0x24f2ce… |
| 10-09 08:47:57 | (anonymous) 0x6083…aa55 | Yes | BUY | 1,000 | 0¢ | $2 | 0x97a2c5… |
| 10-09 08:47:57 | Sociable-Rooster 0x44c1…ebc1 | No | BUY | 1,000 | 100¢ | $998 | 0x97a2c5… |
| 10-09 08:46:58 | (anonymous) 0xcf15…d8fd | Yes | BUY | 3,310 | 0¢ | $7 | 0xbb1a40… |
| 10-09 08:46:58 | Sociable-Rooster 0x44c1…ebc1 | No | BUY | 3,310 | 100¢ | $3,303 | 0xbb1a40… |
| 10-09 08:43:00 | Nimble-Essay 0x81de…20d4 | No | BUY | 8 | 100¢ | $8 | 0x406a4f… |
| 10-09 08:43:00 | Informal-Expertise 0x4b8c…9e5d | Yes | BUY | 8 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x406a4f… |
| 10-09 08:42:58 | Nimble-Essay 0x81de…20d4 | No | SELL | 1 | 100¢ | $1 | 0x9eccaa… |
| 10-09 08:42:58 | Sociable-Rooster 0x44c1…ebc1 | No | BUY | 1 | 100¢ | $1 | 0x9eccaa… |
| 10-09 08:42:52 | Sociable-Rooster 0x44c1…ebc1 | No | BUY | 20 | 100¢ | $20 | 0x09cf3c… |
| 10-09 08:42:52 | Colossal-Contract 0xe1b5…20ac | No | SELL | 20 | 100¢ | $20 | 0x09cf3c… |
| 10-09 08:42:49 | Imperfect-Conspiracy 0x9951…11bd | Yes | SELL | 4,705 | 0¢ | $9 | 0x52fdf4… |
| 10-09 08:42:49 | Sociable-Rooster 0x44c1…ebc1 | No | BUY | 4,141 | 100¢ | $4,132 | 0x52fdf4… |
| 10-09 08:42:49 | Colossal-Contract 0xe1b5…20ac | No | BUY | 20 | 100¢ | $20 | 0x52fdf4… |
| 10-09 08:42:49 | (anonymous) 0x758d…5d9e | No | BUY | 14 | 100¢ | $14 | 0x52fdf4… |
| 10-09 08:42:49 | (anonymous) 0xfde1…3690 | No | SELL | 8,880 | 100¢ | $8,862 | 0x52fdf4… |
| 10-09 08:37:13 | (anonymous) 0xea07…ad84 | Yes | BUY | 500 | 0¢ | $1 | 0xd5d176… |
| 10-09 08:37:13 | Imperfect-Conspiracy 0x9951…11bd | Yes | SELL | 500 | 0¢ | $1 | 0xd5d176… |
| 10-09 08:36:42 | Informal-Expertise 0x4b8c…9e5d | Yes | BUY | 46 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x215b90… |
| 10-09 08:36:42 | Solid-Carnation 0xe0f2…2599 | No | BUY | 46 | 100¢ | $46 | 0x215b90… |
| 10-09 08:35:33 | (anonymous) 0xe234…304a | Yes | BUY | 1,200 | 0¢ | $2 | 0xcf0661… |
| 10-09 08:35:33 | Imperfect-Conspiracy 0x9951…11bd | Yes | SELL | 1,200 | 0¢ | $2 | 0xcf0661… |
| 10-09 08:35:16 | Imperfect-Conspiracy 0x9951…11bd | Yes | SELL | 4,760 | 0¢ | $10 | 0x15e845… |
| 10-09 08:35:16 | (anonymous) 0x9e3e…f882 | Yes | BUY | 4,760 | 0¢ | $10 | 0x15e845… |
| 10-09 08:35:04 | Imperfect-Conspiracy 0x9951…11bd | Yes | SELL | 4,000 | 0¢ | $8 | 0xfbc5c1… |
| 10-09 08:35:04 | (anonymous) 0xe234…304a | Yes | BUY | 4,000 | 0¢ | $8 | 0xfbc5c1… |
| 10-09 08:33:10 | Imperfect-Conspiracy 0x9951…11bd | Yes | SELL | 6,000 | 0¢ | $12 | 0xf9893a… |
| 10-09 08:33:10 | (anonymous) 0xe234…304a | Yes | BUY | 6,000 | 0¢ | $12 | 0xf9893a… |
| 10-09 08:33:09 | Imperfect-Conspiracy 0x9951…11bd | Yes | SELL | 675 | 0¢ | $1 | 0xaa7ca3… |
| 10-09 08:33:09 | (anonymous) 0x68a3…ab05 | Yes | BUY | 675 | 0¢ | $1 | 0xaa7ca3… |
| 10-09 08:31:54 | Nimble-Essay 0x81de…20d4 | No | SELL | 36 | 100¢ | $36 | 0xb68ced… |
| 10-09 08:31:54 | Imperfect-Conspiracy 0x9951…11bd | Yes | SELL | 36 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xb68ced… |
| 10-09 08:27:21 | Informal-Expertise 0x4b8c…9e5d | Yes | BUY | 20 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x07efa8… |
| 10-09 08:27:21 | (anonymous) 0x4a0e…a4b1 | Yes | SELL | 20 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x07efa8… |
| 10-09 08:17:15 | Perky-Test 0xf422…5753 | Yes | BUY | 5,000 | 0¢ | $10 | 0x24c030… |
| 10-09 08:17:15 | Imperfect-Conspiracy 0x9951…11bd | Yes | SELL | 5,000 | 0¢ | $10 | 0x24c030… |
| 10-09 08:15:22 | Informal-Expertise 0x4b8c…9e5d | Yes | BUY | 4,383 | 0¢ | $4 | 0x3558df… |
| 10-09 08:15:22 | Rex416 0x9a3f…914a | Yes | SELL | 4,383 | 0¢ | $4 | 0x3558df… |
| 10-09 08:15:10 | Colossal-Contract 0xe1b5…20ac | No | SELL | 19 | 100¢ | $19 | 0x0e81a6… |