Realized P&L
+$148.0K
Unrealized P&L
+$60.2K
Hit rate
99.4%
Resolved
211
Trades
6,531
lifetime
Volume
$13.8M
lifetime
Avg / trade
$2.12K
Open exposure
$566.9K
20 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 10-31 13:47
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 77 days
Categories
Other
55% 100% +$102,135
Politics
34% 95% +$31,980
Crypto
11% 100% +$8,188
Sports
1% 98% +$5,577
Tech
0% 100% +$105
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
59 active days in 12wk • peak 872 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? No +189,167 $118,453 88¢ $167.4K +$48,960 10-13 20:15
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by October 31, 2026? No +114,282 $113,958 100¢ $114.1K +$153 10-30 19:54
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by October 31, 2026? No +91,735 $89,250 100¢ $91.5K +$2,210 10-24 04:55
Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026? No +30,045 $27,641 97¢ $29.1K +$1,457 09-18 21:14
us iran final nuclear deal by december 31 2026 191 No +33,665 $28,135 86¢ $28.8K +$649 08-18 02:47
Will the Republicans win the Arizona governor race in 2026? No +29,000 $26,870 94¢ $27.1K +$245 10-31 02:36
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by October 31? No +27,065 $26,781 100¢ $27.0K +$243 10-28 22:37
Will the Democrats win the Arizona governor race in 2026? Yes +15,750 $14,490 93¢ $14.6K +$157 10-31 13:47
Will the Democrats win the New York governor race in 2026? Yes +11,666 $11,099 97¢ $11.3K +$234 10-28 03:22
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31? No +11,272 $9,694 93¢ $10.5K +$840 08-17 19:35
Will Trump be impeached by end of 2026? No -9,994 -$9,494 98¢ $-9779 -$285 07-01 06:20
Will Bitcoin reach $105,000 in October? No +9,415 $9,207 100¢ $9.4K +$199 10-24 21:58
Will the Republicans win the New York governor race in 2026? No +8,270 $7,864 97¢ $8.1K +$194 10-28 13:28
Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in October? No +6,630 $6,390 100¢ $6.6K +$230 10-09 11:39
Will Bitcoin reach $102,500 in October? No +6,408 $6,291 100¢ $6.4K +$108 10-15 19:12
Will the Republicans win the New Hampshire Senate race in 2026? No +3,417 $3,144 94¢ $3.2K +$51 10-30 19:18
us iran final nuclear deal by november 30 2026 No +2,071 $1,900 88¢ $1.8K -$67 08-20 17:23
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? No +50 $43 94¢ $47 +$4 05-07 19:10
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by October 31? No +6 -$4,479 100¢ $6 +$4,485 10-29 01:03
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31? No +5 -$128 97¢ $5 +$133 10-15 07:55