Nice-Trapezium — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$13.6K

Unrealized P&L

+$28

Hit rate

37.2%

Resolved

623

Trades

3,011

lifetime

Volume

$246.2K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$82

Open exposure

$3.38K

7 positions

First seen

2026-03-10

last 11-06 00:32

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 161 days

Categories

Other

49% 14% -$6,628

Crypto

34% 18% -$2,701

Politics

12% 4% -$2,193

Tech

5% 14% -$1,941

Sports

0% 20% -$96

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

83 active days in 12wk • peak 67 trades/day

Open positions (7) Resolved markets (27) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the December 2026 meeting?	Yes	+9,287	$2,440	32¢	$2.9K	+$486	11-06 00:31
Will Benjamin Netanyahu receive the first mandate to form a government after the 2026 Israeli election?	Yes	+18,552	$538	1¢	$241	-$297	11-06 00:05
Will Anthropic’s market cap be $600B or greater at market close on IPO day by December 31, 2027?	No	+3,784	$229	3¢	$106	-$123	11-06 00:30
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on November 6?	No	+611	$67	10¢	$59	-$9	11-06 00:32
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on November 6?	No	+3,276	$29	1¢	$25	-$4	11-06 00:30
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on November 6?	No	+721	$37	2¢	$15	-$22	11-06 00:32
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on November 6?	No	+1,048	$14	1¢	$12	-$2	11-06 00:32

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will crude oil cl hit high 100 by end of march 658 396 769 971	75	$26.3K	55,118	55,118	+0	Yes	+$2,241	03-30 17:18
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	69	$21.8K	32,510	32,510	+0	open	—	11-04 01:33
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?	60	$9.6K	41,672	41,672	+0	No	-$1,526	10-30 18:11
Another Fed rate hike in 2026?	40	$9.1K	20,870	20,870	+0	open	—	10-28 22:51
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?	110	$8.6K	556,401	471,174	+85,227	No	-$1,806	06-16 23:50
will crude oil cl hit high 105 by end of march 881	21	$7.7K	15,425	12,798	+2,627	No	-$617	03-31 17:59
will bitcoin reach 75k in march 2026	18	$5.4K	7,639	7,639	+0	Yes	-$60	03-16 02:04
will crude oil cl hit low 85 by end of march 893 949 456 773	26	$5.1K	26,232	26,232	+0	No	-$878	03-31 17:34
will crude oil cl hit low 80 by end of march 459 543 676 456 138 869 867 397	16	$4.5K	15,695	15,695	+0	No	-$765	03-26 09:43
will crude oil cl hit high 110 by end of march 732 945 787 552	12	$3.5K	5,380	5,380	+0	No	-$186	03-31 11:45
will bitcoin dip to 68k march 16 22	6	$3.4K	4,630	4,566	+64	Yes	-$28	03-18 16:12
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the December 2026 meeting?	15	$3.4K	11,436	2,149	+9,287	open	—	11-06 00:31
Will "Clayface" Opening Weekend Box Office be at least $24M?	12	$3.0K	2,690	2,690	+0	Yes	+$2,129	10-26 22:38
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in May?	10	$2.7K	4,840	4,840	+0	No	+$125	05-06 11:46
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	26	$2.6K	5,352	5,091	+261	Yes	-$395	09-16 02:00
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on June 2?	7	$2.3K	3,512	3,512	+0	No	+$2,106	06-02 13:48
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?	27	$2.2K	264,149	214,925	+49,224	No	-$486	07-29 11:54
Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	8	$2.1K	19,415	8,582	+10,833	No	-$736	11-01 12:39
Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on October 31, 2026?	15	$2.1K	3,499	3,499	+0	Yes	+$334	10-29 23:17
Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?	10	$2.0K	10,605	1,809	+8,796	No	-$1,135	11-04 01:35
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on October 31, 2026?	45	$1.7K	6,756	6,756	+0	No	-$590	10-30 19:35
Will Bitcoin dip to $67,000 on June 2?	4	$1.6K	1,659	1,659	+0	Yes	+$1,436	06-02 19:29
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	37	$1.6K	148,602	142,427	+6,175	No	-$187	09-16 01:59
bitcoin above 62k on august 4 2026	20	$1.6K	6,765	6,765	+0	Yes	-$59	08-02 23:31
Will "Street Fighter" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 25m?	6	$1.6K	2,106	1,443	+662	No	+$558	10-16 10:28
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on April 29?	13	$1.5K	3,115	2,960	+155	No	+$221	04-29 01:52
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on April 29?	12	$1.5K	4,432	4,179	+252	No	-$381	04-27 15:09
will wti crude oil wti hit low 65 in june 765	21	$1.5K	5,591	5,591	+0	No	-$152	06-29 09:59
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $70 in May?	7	$1.4K	7,341	7,341	+0	No	-$312	05-07 21:05
xrp above 1pt2 on august 20 2026	4	$1.4K	1,728	1,728	+0	Yes	+$1,287	08-20 14:18

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-06 00:32:55	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on November 6?	No	BUY	492	11¢	$55	0x616534…
11-06 00:32:33	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on November 6?	No	BUY	721	2¢	$17	0xe691a6…
11-06 00:32:10	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on November 6?	No	BUY	810	1¢	$11	0xb34f0e…
11-06 00:31:40	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the December 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	287	32¢	$92	0x0b87a6…
11-06 00:31:12	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on November 6?	No	BUY	238	1¢	$3	0x134a81…
11-06 00:30:58	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on November 6?	No	BUY	3,276	1¢	$29	0x731d95…
11-06 00:30:04	Will Anthropic’s market cap be $600B or greater at market close on IPO day by December 31, 2027?	No	SELL	1,546	2¢	$35	0x831d99…
11-06 00:27:30	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on November 6?	No	BUY	114	11¢	$12	0xd28d56…
11-06 00:27:15	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on November 6?	No	BUY	5	11¢	$1	0xcbc83d…
11-06 00:05:06	Will Benjamin Netanyahu receive the first mandate to form a government after the 2026 Israeli election?	Yes	BUY	267	2¢	$5	0xcdb455…
11-06 00:04:48	Will Anthropic’s market cap be $600B or greater at market close on IPO day by December 31, 2027?	No	SELL	222	2¢	$5	0xfb0c2f…
11-05 21:08:34	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the December 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	264	32¢	$84	0x929014…
11-05 21:08:16	Will Benjamin Netanyahu receive the first mandate to form a government after the 2026 Israeli election?	Yes	BUY	606	4¢	$25	0x16f1bf…
11-05 21:08:00	Will Anthropic’s market cap be $600B or greater at market close on IPO day by December 31, 2027?	No	BUY	573	9¢	$50	0x8f6228…
11-05 21:07:37	Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,500 in November?	Yes	SELL	1,454	7¢	$100	0x00808f…
11-05 21:07:28	Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,400 in November?	Yes	SELL	446	16¢	$70	0x9749c9…
11-05 21:07:12	Will Anthropic’s market cap be $600B or greater at market close on IPO day by December 31, 2027?	No	BUY	4,979	4¢	$220	0xa0414f…
11-05 18:58:01	Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,400 in November?	Yes	BUY	84	28¢	$23	0x90d976…
11-05 18:57:34	Will Benjamin Netanyahu receive the first mandate to form a government after the 2026 Israeli election?	Yes	BUY	1,193	3¢	$30	0xb6684b…
11-05 18:56:22	Will Bitcoin dip to $74,000 on November 5?	Yes	SELL	291	9¢	$27	0x827fc0…
11-05 18:56:16	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on November 6?	No	SELL	1,090	3¢	$32	0xc0a5e9…
11-05 17:51:48	Will Benjamin Netanyahu receive the first mandate to form a government after the 2026 Israeli election?	Yes	BUY	2,081	2¢	$49	0x1bf81e…
11-05 17:51:16	Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,400 in November?	Yes	SELL	251	21¢	$52	0x156224…
11-05 17:48:46	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on November 6?	No	BUY	1,090	5¢	$52	0x187fbf…
11-05 17:48:10	Will Bitcoin dip to $74,000 on November 5?	Yes	BUY	291	14¢	$40	0x18e1ea…
11-05 17:47:39	Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,500 in November?	Yes	SELL	854	12¢	$103	0xd3ca95…
11-05 17:12:28	Will Benjamin Netanyahu receive the first mandate to form a government after the 2026 Israeli election?	Yes	BUY	606	2¢	$12	0x955fac…
11-05 17:12:00	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the December 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	3,059	34¢	$1,040	0xb8cde6…
11-05 17:01:51	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the December 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	119	32¢	$38	0x6b73d9…
11-05 17:01:19	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on November 6?	Yes	SELL	934	2¢	$21	0x72f378…
11-05 17:01:12	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on November 6?	Yes	SELL	119	18¢	$21	0x15d747…
11-05 16:17:09	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on November 6?	Yes	BUY	119	22¢	$26	0x7e0ecc…
11-05 16:16:51	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on November 6?	Yes	BUY	934	5¢	$50	0xa531e1…
11-05 16:15:58	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the December 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	323	26¢	$84	0x666fd8…
11-05 15:58:33	Will Benjamin Netanyahu receive the first mandate to form a government after the 2026 Israeli election?	Yes	BUY	1,871	3¢	$58	0xdf6ea7…
11-05 15:56:33	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on November 5?	No	BUY	532	5¢	$25	0x96ae7f…
11-05 15:55:46	Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,600 in November?	Yes	SELL	2,500	4¢	$90	0x3a9d2e…
11-05 14:51:07	Will Benjamin Netanyahu receive the first mandate to form a government after the 2026 Israeli election?	Yes	BUY	1,902	3¢	$60	0x7a4972…
11-05 14:42:18	Will Benjamin Netanyahu receive the first mandate to form a government after the 2026 Israeli election?	Yes	BUY	2,134	3¢	$68	0xef39d4…
11-05 14:42:03	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the December 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	340	21¢	$71	0xf26517…
11-05 13:48:19	Will Benjamin Netanyahu receive the first mandate to form a government after the 2026 Israeli election?	Yes	BUY	7,891	3¢	$231	0xac08c5…
11-05 13:47:55	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the December 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	1,199	21¢	$252	0x34f5dc…
11-05 13:10:18	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the December 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	13	23¢	$3	0x4e05b0…
11-05 13:09:55	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the December 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	1,728	23¢	$397	0xbb96af…
11-05 13:09:06	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the December 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	256	22¢	$56	0xb32248…
11-05 13:05:48	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the December 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	27	22¢	$6	0x740cbb…
11-05 12:44:42	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the December 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	3,031	22¢	$667	0x1d7f15…
11-05 02:43:18	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the December 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	9	22¢	$2	0xb70c04…
11-05 00:02:52	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the December 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	27	22¢	$6	0x1fc7ef…
11-04 23:59:16	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the December 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	2,902	22¢	$638	0xd10b95…
11-04 16:15:03	Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,400 in November?	Yes	BUY	35	17¢	$6	0xd3c305…
11-04 11:42:15	Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,400 in November?	Yes	BUY	48	23¢	$11	0x708f05…
11-04 11:41:54	Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,400 in November?	Yes	BUY	157	23¢	$36	0x9550d6…
11-04 11:41:43	Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,400 in November?	Yes	BUY	100	23¢	$23	0xc23ee1…
11-04 11:41:42	Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,400 in November?	Yes	BUY	120	20¢	$24	0xfa0419…
11-04 11:40:52	Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,400 in November?	Yes	BUY	58	19¢	$11	0xff69a4…
11-04 11:40:52	Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,400 in November?	Yes	BUY	35	19¢	$7	0x5767b0…
11-04 11:39:52	Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,400 in November?	Yes	BUY	25	18¢	$4	0xd14876…
11-04 11:38:45	Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,500 in November?	Yes	BUY	79	6¢	$5	0x6afb7c…
11-04 11:37:54	Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,600 in November?	Yes	BUY	2,500	4¢	$100	0x993ae2…
11-04 11:37:12	Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,400 in November?	Yes	BUY	25	18¢	$4	0xdc9faa…
11-04 11:37:10	Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,400 in November?	Yes	BUY	10	18¢	$2	0x9aaa09…
11-04 01:35:18	Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes	BUY	1,075	2¢	$20	0x354d17…
11-04 01:35:06	Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes	BUY	1,053	2¢	$20	0x35eed1…
11-04 01:35:00	Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes	BUY	1,053	2¢	$20	0x1bd582…
11-04 01:34:42	Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes	BUY	1,052	2¢	$21	0x40d886…
11-04 01:34:33	Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes	BUY	1,053	2¢	$20	0x45fc3d…
11-04 01:33:46	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	SELL	3,605	33¢	$1,190	0xab4e91…
11-03 11:23:51	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	BUY	862	34¢	$293	0x0dae39…
11-03 11:22:04	Will Republicans win Ohio, and lose Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, and Texas?	Yes	BUY	455	1¢	$5	0xaf7ec6…
11-03 11:20:40	Will Republicans win Michigan, and lose Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Ohio, and Texas?	Yes	BUY	4,518	1¢	$36	0x950019…
11-03 11:19:43	Will Republicans win Texas, and lose Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, and Ohio?	Yes	BUY	5,231	1¢	$68	0x042bef…
11-03 11:16:01	Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes	SELL	1,809	23¢	$416	0x163bfe…
11-03 04:23:34	Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes	BUY	1,856	24¢	$445	0xc2afdd…
11-03 01:29:16	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	SELL	1,906	32¢	$604	0x9c451d…
11-02 14:03:22	Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,500 in November?	Yes	BUY	2,229	7¢	$145	0x200c1a…
11-02 14:03:04	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	SELL	460	33¢	$152	0x0cfe4b…
11-02 01:07:07	Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes	BUY	17	29¢	$5	0xa0b89a…
11-01 23:28:58	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	BUY	1,473	37¢	$545	0x72daca…
11-01 19:30:54	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	BUY	3,636	33¢	$1,200	0x43ca01…
11-01 19:30:18	Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes	BUY	1,207	29¢	$350	0xe4e981…
11-01 19:21:42	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	SELL	4,837	32¢	$1,548	0xd9a8bb…
11-01 18:06:34	Will "Clayface" 2nd Weekend Box Office be between 10m and 12m?	No	SELL	36	2¢	$1	0xcae65d…
11-01 18:06:21	Will "Clayface" 2nd Weekend Box Office be between 8m and 10m?	Yes	SELL	635	2¢	$13	0xe0c01c…
11-01 13:09:54	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	BUY	4,837	40¢	$1,934	0x23821c…
11-01 12:40:58	Will Republicans win Iowa, Kansas, Maine, and Texas, and lose Alaska, Michigan, and Ohio?	Yes	BUY	7,143	1¢	$50	0x55af9d…
11-01 12:39:45	Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes	BUY	10,833	6¢	$650	0xf35f37…
11-01 12:39:21	Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes	BUY	2,241	29¢	$650	0xa19e93…
10-31 14:24:57	Will "Wildwood" 2nd Weekend Box Office be between 3m and 5m?	Yes	SELL	233	0¢	$0	0xdd1bfc…
10-31 14:24:22	Will "Clayface" 2nd Weekend Box Office be between 8m and 10m?	Yes	BUY	11	28¢	$3	0xabb03f…
10-30 19:36:10	Will "Wildwood" 2nd Weekend Box Office be between 5m and 7m?	Yes	BUY	506	9¢	$48	0x5f7fa3…
10-30 19:35:24	Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on October 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	3,658	1¢	$48	0xb11b5a…
10-30 18:12:01	Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on October 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	484	3¢	$16	0xd67ca3…
10-30 18:11:48	Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?	Yes	SELL	8,988	0¢	$16	0x7fb458…
10-30 18:11:13	Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on October 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	43	2¢	$1	0x7698df…
10-30 17:59:55	Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on October 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	0	4¢	$0	0xe94d43…
10-30 17:59:55	Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on October 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	400	4¢	$14	0xd4a3f8…
10-30 17:59:55	Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on October 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	401	4¢	$14	0xa29888…
10-30 17:59:55	Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on October 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	170	4¢	$6	0x6583eb…
10-30 17:59:55	Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on October 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	279	3¢	$9	0x238c02…