Realized P&L
+$25
Unrealized P&L
+$5.22K
Hit rate
100.0%
Resolved
1
Trades
27
lifetime
Volume
$134.6K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$4.99K
Open exposure
$137.7K
20 positions
First seen
2026-05-05
last 05-13 06:00
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 1 day
Not enough resolved markets yet to plot a curve.
Categories
Other
81% 100% +$25
Politics
19%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
8 active days in 12wk • peak 7 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will GameStop acquire eBay? No +65,641 $53,826 84¢ $55.5K +$1,641 05-12 10:42
Epstein suicide note released by May 8? No +33,946 $33,572 100¢ $33.9K +$340 05-11 02:34
Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026? No +35,447 $20,564 64¢ $22.5K +$1,945 05-10 01:00
Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 15, 2026? No +22,054 $15,494 78¢ $17.3K +$1,818 05-07 07:09
Epstein suicide note released by May 31? No +2,274 $1,847 88¢ $2.0K +$165 05-06 23:50
Confirmed case of Hantavirus in US by May 15? No +2,886 $513 57¢ $1.7K +$1,146 05-11 03:24
Will Trump speak to Xi Jinping in May? Yes +1,520 $1,513 100¢ $1.5K +$4 05-11 04:48
Confirmed case of Hantavirus in US by May 15? Yes +3,483 $1,447 42¢ $1.5K +$33 05-13 06:00
Kash Patel out by December 31? Yes +1,054 $631 61¢ $643 +$12 05-06 20:51
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026? Yes +32,999 $2,280 $412 $-1,868 05-06 06:09
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia by June 30? Yes -2,347 $-317 11¢ $-266 +$50 05-12 10:02
Will Abdul El-Sayed win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary? No +503 $231 44¢ $224 $-7 05-12 19:37
Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 16, 2026? No +1,558 $-321 10¢ $160 +$482 05-13 00:11
Will the No to ten million Switzerland initiative be approved in Switzerland’s June 14, 2026 popular vote? Yes +211 $89 37¢ $78 $-11 05-08 07:30
CDC issues Level 3 warning by December 31? Yes +38 $11 76¢ $29 +$18 05-08 03:36
Epstein suicide note released by May 8? Yes +21,833 $582 $22 $-561 05-11 00:19
Major US official out by May 31? Yes +19 $9 28¢ $5 $-4 05-06 20:51
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No +5 $4 72¢ $4 $-0 05-07 22:25
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? Yes +5 $1 29¢ $1 +$0 05-07 22:25
Will the NYT front-page headlines say "Street" this week? Yes -74 $-16 $-0 +$16 05-11 12:49