Sociable-Rooster — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$322

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

97.6%

Resolved

Trades

18,416

lifetime

Volume

$33.1M

lifetime

Avg / trade

$1.80K

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-01

last 08-08 19:43

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 6 days

Categories

Politics

54% 67% $-766

Other

40% 67% +$444

Crypto

4% — —

Sports

1% — —

Tech

0% — —

Pop-Culture

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

81 active days in 12wk • peak 879 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	453	$2.74M	2,186,618	1,478,518	+708,101	open	—	06-17 18:33
netanyahu out by march 31 854	345	$1.95M	3,370,635	1,535,311	+1,835,323	open	—	04-01 20:37
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	101	$1.41M	1,882,708	346,171	+1,536,537	open	—	06-03 21:56
will iran strike israel on march 6	90	$1.29M	891,402	404,458	+486,944	open	—	03-11 23:18
Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?	93	$1.09M	1,074,742	321,482	+753,260	open	—	02-28 21:00
khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by february 28	214	$877.0K	523,245	494,862	+28,384	open	—	03-01 07:25
alien abduction at brazil vs scotland game in miami 20260624221224553	17	$773.9K	774,647	0	+774,647	open	—	06-25 01:49
US forces enter Iran by April 30?	93	$742.6K	438,309	309,090	+129,219	open	—	04-08 12:38
will israel launch a major ground offensive in lebanon by march 31	176	$718.7K	736,117	0	+736,117	open	—	03-24 12:22
no change in fed interest rates after january 2026 meeting	335	$673.3K	394,418	310,328	+84,089	open	—	01-28 04:25
Clavicular pregnancy in 2026?	103	$657.7K	926,147	260,331	+665,816	open	—	04-30 22:11
Aleksandar Vučić out as Serbian President by June 30, 2026?	182	$632.5K	585,026	50,177	+534,848	open	—	06-30 19:06
will donk be said during the pgl bucharest 2026 grand final	45	$577.1K	306,193	284,331	+21,862	open	—	04-16 01:17
will eleven die in stranger things season 5	102	$573.4K	575,677	1,000	+574,677	open	—	01-02 23:07
will there be another us government shutdown by january 31	819	$566.5K	553,823	243,939	+309,884	open	—	02-02 23:17
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?	313	$540.6K	844,197	20,719	+823,478	open	—	03-13 03:26
Epstein suicide note released by May 8?	45	$514.9K	296,665	252,986	+43,679	open	—	05-12 00:16
us anti cartel ground operation in mexico by january 31	101	$482.8K	387,544	101,857	+285,687	open	—	02-04 00:18
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	580	$465.0K	411,005	364,939	+46,067	open	—	06-28 05:28
us x iran ceasefire extended by april 22 2026	36	$436.9K	427,006	40,343	+386,663	open	—	04-30 20:18
maduro in us custody by january 31	43	$432.9K	433,324	0	+433,324	open	—	01-07 00:45
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	633	$424.8K	510,739	612,162	-101,424	open	—	08-03 12:04
will the us announce an iran ceasefire by july 31 20260718000915875	10	$409.4K	410,401	0	+410,401	open	—	07-28 01:01
will trump say ayatollah or khamenei this week march 15	52	$380.3K	298,217	101,506	+196,711	open	—	03-19 00:17
us x iran ceasefire by april 7	54	$313.9K	298,788	178,803	+119,986	open	—	04-09 23:57
will trump talk to xi jinping in march 165	54	$303.7K	308,265	965	+307,300	open	—	04-04 21:26
will 2025 be the hottest year on record	136	$301.9K	302,907	0	+302,907	open	—	01-15 00:42
will melania say career during ai talk on friday	25	$299.3K	299,619	0	+299,619	open	—	01-20 23:17
Will no player win a Calendar Grand Slam in 2026?	71	$298.2K	176,272	161,695	+14,577	open	—	01-31 04:53
will iran strike israel on march 10	543	$291.5K	293,851	198,849	+95,001	open	—	03-14 22:40

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
08-08 19:43:18	us iran 60 day negotiation period extended 20260624044855448	Yes	SELL	265	70¢	$186	0xe98fd4…
08-08 19:42:12	us iran 60 day negotiation period extended 20260624044855448	Yes	SELL	5	70¢	$4	0x66c10b…
08-08 19:41:06	us iran 60 day negotiation period extended 20260624044855448	Yes	SELL	200	70¢	$140	0x9006a3…
08-08 19:20:16	us iran 60 day negotiation period extended 20260624044855448	Yes	SELL	1,470	70¢	$1,029	0x95bc26…
08-08 19:16:24	us iran 60 day negotiation period extended 20260624044855448	Yes	BUY	1,940	70¢	$1,354	0x6f4407…
08-08 08:33:40	todd blanche confirmed as attorney general by december 31 20260608213258433	Yes	BUY	943	100¢	$940	0x0d37a2…
08-08 08:33:33	todd blanche confirmed as attorney general by october 31 20260608213258432	Yes	BUY	104	100¢	$104	0xdfa26e…
08-08 08:33:30	todd blanche confirmed as attorney general by august 30 20260608213258431	Yes	BUY	97	99¢	$96	0xdb5b0a…
08-07 20:55:03	cs2 wal2 rustec 2026 08 07 map handicap away 1pt5	Black Phoenix	BUY	12,876	100¢	$12,863	0xa07aa1…
08-07 20:49:42	jeanine pirro out as dc us attorney by december 31	Yes	BUY	30	45¢	$14	0xf775ba…
08-07 20:49:39	jeanine pirro out as dc us attorney by august 31	Yes	BUY	1,168	22¢	$257	0xd7d5cd…
08-07 00:46:32	nato x russia military clash by october 31 2026	Yes	BUY	3,398	11¢	$374	0xa03dce…
08-07 00:46:29	nato x russia military clash by october 31 2026	Yes	BUY	40	11¢	$4	0xce6461…
08-07 00:46:26	nato x russia military clash by october 31 2026	Yes	BUY	20	11¢	$2	0x71d487…
08-05 02:23:20	will trump speak to emmanuel macron in july 20260626154217431	Yes	BUY	501	0¢	$1	0x0ce31f…
08-04 22:57:21	will trump speak to emmanuel macron in july 20260626154217431	Yes	BUY	1	0¢	$0	0xd70b86…
08-04 22:51:12	will trump speak to emmanuel macron in july 20260626154217431	Yes	BUY	5	0¢	$0	0xd4583d…
08-04 22:51:11	will trump speak to emmanuel macron in july 20260626154217431	Yes	BUY	109	0¢	$0	0xa2ac3c…
08-04 22:25:51	will trump speak to emmanuel macron in july 20260626154217431	Yes	BUY	9	0¢	$0	0xa64be2…
08-04 20:12:09	will trump speak to emmanuel macron in july 20260626154217431	Yes	BUY	333	0¢	$1	0xb1331c…
08-04 19:31:53	will trump speak to emmanuel macron in july 20260626154217431	Yes	BUY	2,505	0¢	$5	0x634fdf…
08-04 19:22:53	will trump speak to emmanuel macron in july 20260626154217431	Yes	BUY	74	0¢	$0	0xdaa26f…
08-04 18:50:42	will trump speak to emmanuel macron in july 20260626154217431	Yes	BUY	200	0¢	$0	0x4653fd…
08-04 18:48:48	will trump speak to emmanuel macron in july 20260626154217431	Yes	BUY	1,960	0¢	$4	0x628049…
08-04 18:40:41	will trump speak to emmanuel macron in july 20260626154217431	Yes	BUY	100	0¢	$0	0x4b7cde…
08-04 18:37:50	will trump speak to emmanuel macron in july 20260626154217431	Yes	BUY	1,356	0¢	$3	0x4bdfa6…
08-04 18:35:05	will trump speak to emmanuel macron in july 20260626154217431	Yes	BUY	3,659	0¢	$7	0xb47af8…
08-04 17:57:26	will trump speak to emmanuel macron in july 20260626154217431	Yes	BUY	14	0¢	$0	0x4c1854…
08-04 17:50:06	will trump speak to emmanuel macron in july 20260626154217431	Yes	BUY	12	0¢	$0	0x0b56c5…
08-04 16:58:03	will trump speak to emmanuel macron in july 20260626154217431	Yes	BUY	224	0¢	$0	0xbcf740…
08-04 16:57:48	will trump speak to emmanuel macron in july 20260626154217431	Yes	BUY	8	0¢	$0	0x876f46…
08-04 16:57:08	will trump speak to emmanuel macron in july 20260626154217431	Yes	BUY	10	0¢	$0	0x34b7c2…
08-04 16:57:05	will trump speak to emmanuel macron in july 20260626154217431	Yes	BUY	10	0¢	$0	0x20292d…
08-04 16:55:33	will trump speak to emmanuel macron in july 20260626154217431	Yes	BUY	5	0¢	$0	0x178148…
08-04 16:53:23	will trump speak to emmanuel macron in july 20260626154217431	Yes	BUY	2	0¢	$0	0x212644…
08-04 16:22:38	will trump speak to emmanuel macron in july 20260626154217431	Yes	BUY	7	0¢	$0	0x945a30…
08-04 15:24:30	will trump speak to emmanuel macron in july 20260626154217431	Yes	BUY	2	0¢	$0	0x9a0fca…
08-04 15:13:00	will trump speak to emmanuel macron in july 20260626154217431	Yes	BUY	3	0¢	$0	0x8d297a…
08-04 15:11:48	Will Trump pardon Ghislaine Maxwell by end of 2026?	Yes	BUY	190	8¢	$15	0xe83a8a…
08-04 15:10:23	jeanine pirro out as dc us attorney by august 6	Yes	BUY	35	11¢	$4	0xf1e479…
08-04 15:03:54	will trump speak to emmanuel macron in july 20260626154217431	Yes	BUY	2	0¢	$0	0x9d8bec…
08-04 15:03:50	will trump speak to emmanuel macron in july 20260626154217431	Yes	BUY	1	0¢	$0	0xdf1e09…
08-04 14:53:12	will trump speak to emmanuel macron in july 20260626154217431	Yes	BUY	25	0¢	$0	0x9cd7a9…
08-04 14:51:39	will trump speak to emmanuel macron in july 20260626154217431	Yes	BUY	25	0¢	$0	0xbaea5f…
08-04 14:49:59	will trump speak to emmanuel macron in july 20260626154217431	Yes	BUY	6	0¢	$0	0x19a969…
08-04 14:49:45	will trump speak to emmanuel macron in july 20260626154217431	Yes	BUY	2	0¢	$0	0x517536…
08-04 14:49:45	will trump speak to emmanuel macron in july 20260626154217431	Yes	BUY	25	0¢	$0	0x49626a…
08-04 14:46:24	will trump speak to emmanuel macron in july 20260626154217431	Yes	BUY	25	0¢	$0	0xa86e29…
08-04 12:47:08	will trump speak to emmanuel macron in july 20260626154217431	Yes	BUY	43	0¢	$0	0x3e62a1…
08-04 12:40:23	will trump speak to emmanuel macron in july 20260626154217431	Yes	BUY	384	0¢	$1	0x75518a…
08-04 12:39:27	will trump speak to emmanuel macron in july 20260626154217431	Yes	BUY	414	0¢	$1	0x643129…
08-04 12:39:06	will trump speak to emmanuel macron in july 20260626154217431	Yes	BUY	460	0¢	$1	0x58e3e8…
08-04 12:38:48	will trump speak to emmanuel macron in july 20260626154217431	Yes	BUY	522	0¢	$1	0xe86c89…
08-04 12:37:14	will trump speak to emmanuel macron in july 20260626154217431	Yes	BUY	316	0¢	$1	0xd0d846…
08-04 12:36:50	will trump speak to emmanuel macron in july 20260626154217431	Yes	BUY	275	0¢	$1	0xa0fbbc…
08-04 12:12:41	will trump speak to emmanuel macron in july 20260626154217431	Yes	BUY	1,000	0¢	$2	0x4b2f79…
08-04 10:03:09	will trump speak to emmanuel macron in july 20260626154217431	Yes	BUY	110	0¢	$0	0xa971f5…
08-04 09:59:05	will trump speak to emmanuel macron in july 20260626154217431	Yes	BUY	210	0¢	$0	0xcc7d9b…
08-04 09:52:26	will trump speak to emmanuel macron in july 20260626154217431	Yes	BUY	74	0¢	$0	0x99701c…
08-04 09:48:11	will trump speak to emmanuel macron in july 20260626154217431	Yes	BUY	64	0¢	$0	0xedee1d…
08-04 09:25:51	will trump speak to emmanuel macron in july 20260626154217431	Yes	BUY	53	0¢	$0	0xf77559…
08-04 09:25:36	will trump speak to emmanuel macron in july 20260626154217431	Yes	BUY	250	0¢	$0	0xc646ad…
08-04 08:52:11	will trump speak to emmanuel macron in july 20260626154217431	Yes	BUY	18	0¢	$0	0xa0bee3…
08-04 08:45:30	will trump speak to emmanuel macron in july 20260626154217431	Yes	BUY	123	0¢	$0	0xe2190f…
08-04 08:09:59	will trump speak to emmanuel macron in july 20260626154217431	Yes	BUY	6	0¢	$0	0x3d2ba5…
08-04 08:00:14	will trump speak to emmanuel macron in july 20260626154217431	Yes	BUY	1	0¢	$0	0x539615…
08-04 07:48:26	will trump speak to emmanuel macron in july 20260626154217431	Yes	BUY	384	0¢	$1	0x12af4a…
08-04 06:59:59	will trump speak to emmanuel macron in july 20260626154217431	Yes	BUY	1	0¢	$0	0x7cfd34…
08-04 04:19:33	will trump speak to emmanuel macron in july 20260626154217431	Yes	BUY	607	0¢	$2	0xac77cc…
08-04 04:17:51	will trump speak to emmanuel macron in july 20260626154217431	Yes	BUY	1,906	0¢	$6	0xae0b34…
08-04 04:16:38	will trump speak to emmanuel macron in july 20260626154217431	Yes	BUY	3	0¢	$0	0xeb121b…
08-04 04:16:33	will trump speak to emmanuel macron in july 20260626154217431	Yes	BUY	8,000	0¢	$24	0xe0a51f…
08-04 04:16:32	will trump speak to emmanuel macron in july 20260626154217431	Yes	BUY	2	0¢	$0	0x30f547…
08-04 04:16:30	will trump speak to emmanuel macron in july 20260626154217431	Yes	BUY	23	0¢	$0	0xcd54e9…
08-04 04:16:30	will trump speak to emmanuel macron in july 20260626154217431	Yes	BUY	2	0¢	$0	0xa2b8b3…
08-04 04:16:30	will trump speak to emmanuel macron in july 20260626154217431	Yes	BUY	2	0¢	$0	0x6ac6e9…
08-04 04:16:30	will trump speak to emmanuel macron in july 20260626154217431	Yes	BUY	23	0¢	$0	0x5f6c4b…
08-04 04:16:30	will trump speak to emmanuel macron in july 20260626154217431	Yes	BUY	23	0¢	$0	0x277d33…
08-04 04:16:29	will trump speak to emmanuel macron in july 20260626154217431	Yes	BUY	23	0¢	$0	0xf9caaa…
08-04 04:16:29	will trump speak to emmanuel macron in july 20260626154217431	Yes	BUY	23	0¢	$0	0xee5379…
08-04 04:16:29	will trump speak to emmanuel macron in july 20260626154217431	Yes	BUY	23	0¢	$0	0xdff25a…
08-04 04:16:29	will trump speak to emmanuel macron in july 20260626154217431	Yes	BUY	2	0¢	$0	0xb39b84…
08-04 04:16:29	will trump speak to emmanuel macron in july 20260626154217431	Yes	BUY	2	0¢	$0	0xb1d229…
08-04 04:16:27	will trump speak to emmanuel macron in july 20260626154217431	Yes	BUY	1	0¢	$0	0xcd9ff7…
08-04 04:16:27	will trump speak to emmanuel macron in july 20260626154217431	Yes	BUY	2	0¢	$0	0xc40764…
08-04 04:16:27	will trump speak to emmanuel macron in july 20260626154217431	Yes	BUY	1	0¢	$0	0x31c38f…
08-04 04:16:26	will trump speak to emmanuel macron in july 20260626154217431	Yes	BUY	1	0¢	$0	0xdab5fe…
08-04 04:16:26	will trump speak to emmanuel macron in july 20260626154217431	Yes	BUY	1	0¢	$0	0xc7c0e7…
08-04 04:16:26	will trump speak to emmanuel macron in july 20260626154217431	Yes	BUY	1	0¢	$0	0xc5c270…
08-04 04:16:26	will trump speak to emmanuel macron in july 20260626154217431	Yes	BUY	1	0¢	$0	0xb810dc…
08-04 04:16:26	will trump speak to emmanuel macron in july 20260626154217431	Yes	BUY	2	0¢	$0	0x6df8a1…
08-04 04:16:26	will trump speak to emmanuel macron in july 20260626154217431	Yes	BUY	1	0¢	$0	0x30ef22…
08-04 04:16:26	will trump speak to emmanuel macron in july 20260626154217431	Yes	BUY	2	0¢	$0	0x1801ac…
08-04 04:16:24	will trump speak to emmanuel macron in july 20260626154217431	Yes	BUY	2	0¢	$0	0x84d7f0…
08-04 04:16:24	will trump speak to emmanuel macron in july 20260626154217431	Yes	BUY	2	0¢	$0	0x74d2a8…
08-04 04:16:23	will trump speak to emmanuel macron in july 20260626154217431	Yes	BUY	1	0¢	$0	0xc2b3ea…
08-04 04:16:23	will trump speak to emmanuel macron in july 20260626154217431	Yes	BUY	2	0¢	$0	0xbaa5dd…
08-04 04:16:23	will trump speak to emmanuel macron in july 20260626154217431	Yes	BUY	1	0¢	$0	0x7cbd11…
08-04 04:16:23	will trump speak to emmanuel macron in july 20260626154217431	Yes	BUY	2	0¢	$0	0x4a4384…
08-04 04:16:23	will trump speak to emmanuel macron in july 20260626154217431	Yes	BUY	15	0¢	$0	0x33580c…