Sociable-Rooster 0x44c1df…13ebc1
whale
← all wallets
Realized P&L
-$322
Unrealized P&L
+$29.2K
Hit rate
97.6%
Resolved
9
Trades
16,823
lifetime
Volume
$31.1M
lifetime
Avg / trade
$1.85K
Open exposure
$671.1K
30 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 07-01 06:17
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 6 days
Categories
Politics
53% 67% $-766
Other
42% 67% +$444
Crypto
5% — —
Sports
0% — —
Tech
0% — —
Pop-Culture
0% — —
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
84 active days in 12wk • peak 879 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Aleksandar Vučić out as Serbian President by June 30, 2026? Yes +534,848 $532,263 100¢ $534.3K +$2,051 06-30 19:06
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? No +42,485 $21,394 99¢ $42.2K +$20,814 06-28 05:28
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No -47,198 $-42,556 86¢ $-40354 +$2,202 06-26 09:40
Will Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30? No +15,588 $11,009 98¢ $15.2K +$4,205 07-01 06:17
Will GameStop acquire eBay? No -17,174 $-15,124 86¢ $-14855 +$269 06-20 05:06
Will Jon Ossoff announce a Presidential run before 2027? No +5,982 $5,656 98¢ $5.8K +$182 06-28 21:01
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? Yes +22,592 $1,807 15¢ $3.3K +$1,468 06-14 22:11
Will Robert F. Kennedy Jr. announce a presidential run before 2027? No -3,303 $-3,121 94¢ $-3118 +$3 06-01 06:18
Will New York use a new congressional map for the 2026 United States midterm elections? No +2,625 $2,410 97¢ $2.5K +$140 06-04 06:20
Gustavo Petro out as leader of Colombia by June 30? No +1,596 $1,293 98¢ $1.6K +$266 06-10 14:25
Israel and Lebanon normalize relations before 2027? Yes +5,963 $1,331 22¢ $1.3K $-49 06-24 06:24
Will Pete Hegseth leave the Trump administration before 2027? Yes +4,478 $1,511 28¢ $1.2K $-280 06-24 16:57
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31? Yes +2,943 $1,979 30¢ $868 $-1,110 06-19 16:54
Will Mamdani freeze NYC rents before 2027? Yes +825 $686 95¢ $781 +$95 06-26 06:40
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30? Yes +6,133 $2,358 10¢ $583 $-1,776 06-08 10:16
Will the Housing for the 21st Century Act become law this year? Yes +519 $510 99¢ $512 +$3 06-26 03:16
Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026? Yes -2,624 $-612 16¢ $-433 +$179 06-16 01:12
Will GameStop acquire eBay? Yes +2,500 $375 14¢ $338 $-38 06-11 19:29
Will a Chinese company have the best AI model by December 31? Yes +3,003 $394 11¢ $330 $-64 06-24 10:47
Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026? No -329 $-706 66¢ $-215 +$491 06-14 18:49
Law banning sports prediction markets enacted in 2026? Yes +1,483 $368 13¢ $193 $-176 06-15 00:25
Will Pete Hegseth leave the Trump administration before 2027? No +256 $164 72¢ $186 +$22 06-24 17:03
Will Mitch McConnell step down from the Senate before his term ends? Yes +252 $176 70¢ $178 +$2 06-29 02:21
Will Gavin Newsom be arrested before 2027? Yes +2,656 $178 6¢ $173 $-5 06-15 18:20
Will Mamdani freeze NYC rents before 2027? No +3,094 $386 5¢ $166 $-220 06-27 07:34
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31? Yes +639 $183 26¢ $163 $-20 06-24 16:57
Gustavo Petro out as leader of Colombia by June 30? Yes +1,907 $200 2¢ $44 $-156 06-10 14:02
Will New York use a new congressional map for the 2026 United States midterm elections? Yes +1,156 $128 3¢ $33 $-95 06-04 06:20
Will Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30? Yes +1,367 $550 2¢ $33 $-517 06-30 04:20
NATO x Russia military clash by June 30, 2026? Yes -28,768 $-1,310 0¢ $-29 +$1,282 05-29 11:32