Sociable-Rooster 0x44c1df…13ebc1
whale
← all wallets
Realized P&L
-$322
Unrealized P&L
+$27.2K
Hit rate
97.6%
Resolved
9
Trades
18,017
lifetime
Volume
$32.2M
lifetime
Avg / trade
$1.79K
Open exposure
$195.1K
30 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 07-21 08:00
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 6 days
Categories
Politics
53% 67% $-766
Other
41% 67% +$444
Crypto
5% — —
Sports
1% — —
Tech
0% — —
Pop-Culture
0% — —
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
85 active days in 12wk • peak 879 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No -124,016 $-110,954 74¢ $-91152 +$19,803 07-20 15:16
Will GameStop acquire eBay? No -65,931 $-58,030 86¢ $-56371 +$1,659 07-13 13:40
NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? Yes +53,410 $10,637 24¢ $13.1K +$2,448 07-03 09:35
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30? Yes +30,089 $6,234 23¢ $6.9K +$686 07-16 22:05
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? Yes +22,592 $1,807 26¢ $6.0K +$4,180 06-14 22:11
Will Jon Ossoff announce a Presidential run before 2027? No +5,739 $5,421 96¢ $5.5K +$117 07-14 19:26
Will Robert F. Kennedy Jr. announce a presidential run before 2027? No -3,303 $-3,121 95¢ $-3136 $-15 06-01 06:18
Will New York use a new congressional map for the 2026 United States midterm elections? No +2,625 $2,410 96¢ $2.5K +$120 06-04 06:20
US strike on Cuba by December 31? Yes +3,510 $1,088 34¢ $1.2K +$88 07-16 02:56
Will Max Martin attend Taylor Swift's wedding? Yes +2,044 $663 57¢ $1.2K +$495 07-18 09:24
Israel and Lebanon normalize relations before 2027? Yes +5,963 $1,331 16¢ $924 $-407 06-24 06:24
Will Pete Hegseth leave the Trump administration before 2027? Yes +4,478 $1,511 20¢ $918 $-593 06-24 16:57
Kash Patel out by December 31? Yes +2,286 $1,160 37¢ $846 $-315 07-11 18:49
Will Mamdani freeze NYC rents before 2027? Yes +825 $686 92¢ $756 +$70 06-26 06:40
Will there be at least 3000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026? Yes +782 $625 86¢ $673 +$48 07-10 15:40
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31? Yes +2,943 $1,979 22¢ $633 $-1,346 06-19 16:54
Will GameStop acquire eBay? Yes +2,500 $375 15¢ $363 $-13 06-11 19:29
Pedro Sánchez out as PM of Spain by December 31, 2026? Yes +1,492 $396 23¢ $343 $-53 07-14 11:00
Will a Chinese company have the best AI model by December 31? Yes +3,003 $394 11¢ $330 $-64 06-24 10:47
Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026? Yes -2,624 $-612 12¢ $-328 +$284 06-16 01:12
Law banning sports prediction markets enacted in 2026? Yes +1,483 $368 20¢ $304 $-64 06-15 00:25
Will Mamdani freeze NYC rents before 2027? No +3,094 $386 8¢ $258 $-128 06-27 07:34
Will there be at least 4000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026? Yes +806 $277 30¢ $246 $-31 07-10 15:41
Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026? No -329 $-706 66¢ $-219 +$487 06-14 18:49
Will Pete Hegseth leave the Trump administration before 2027? No +256 $164 80¢ $204 +$40 06-24 17:03
Edi Rama out as Albania PM in 2026? Yes +816 $234 20¢ $159 $-75 07-02 23:17
Will Gavin Newsom be arrested before 2027? Yes +2,656 $178 6¢ $146 $-32 06-15 18:20
Masoud Pezeshkian out by December 31? Yes +866 $176 16¢ $143 $-33 07-04 11:51
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31? Yes +639 $183 20¢ $131 $-52 06-24 16:57
Will Mitch McConnell step down from the Senate before his term ends? Yes +252 $176 34¢ $86 $-90 06-29 02:21