Sociable-Rooster 0x44c1df…13ebc1
whale
← all wallets
Realized P&L
-$322
Unrealized P&L
-$5.78K
Hit rate
97.6%
Resolved
9
Trades
13,690
lifetime
Volume
$24.4M
lifetime
Avg / trade
$1.79K
Open exposure
$16.0K
16 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 06-10 06:54
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 6 days
Categories
Politics
49% 67% $-766
Other
44% 67% +$444
Crypto
6% — —
Sports
0% — —
Tech
0% — —
Pop-Culture
0% — —
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
84 active days in 12wk • peak 1578 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026? No +8,569 $5,223 60¢ $5.2K $-39 05-28 04:09
Will Robert F. Kennedy Jr. announce a presidential run before 2027? No -3,303 $-3,121 91¢ $-3020 +$101 06-01 06:18
Will New York use a new congressional map for the 2026 United States midterm elections? No +2,625 $2,410 96¢ $2.5K +$121 06-04 06:20
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? Yes +10,112 $809 18¢ $1.8K +$961 05-31 15:03
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30? Yes +6,133 $2,358 26¢ $1.6K $-764 06-08 10:16
Iran closes its airspace by June 30? Yes +527 $507 100¢ $526 +$20 06-07 21:05
NATO x Russia military clash by June 30, 2026? Yes -28,768 $-1,310 2¢ $-489 +$821 05-29 11:32
Tamas Sulyok out as President of Hungary by June 30? Yes +2,360 $764 12¢ $283 $-481 06-01 07:27
Law banning sports prediction markets enacted in 2026? Yes +1,314 $335 18¢ $230 $-105 06-01 08:44
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? Yes +804 $-558 16¢ $133 +$691 06-03 22:14
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by June 30? Yes +697 $116 12¢ $82 $-34 06-08 10:30
Masoud Pezeshkian out by June 30? Yes +1,941 $559 4¢ $70 $-489 05-31 17:14
Will Netanyahu talk to Joseph Aoun by June 30? Yes +510 $167 9¢ $46 $-121 06-01 06:26
Will New York use a new congressional map for the 2026 United States midterm elections? Yes +1,156 $128 4¢ $41 $-87 06-04 06:20
Will Tom Steyer advance from the 2026 California Governor primary election? Yes +13,443 $5,148 0¢ $13 $-5,134 06-10 01:16
Will Steve Hilton advance from the 2026 California Governor primary election? No +846 $1,241 0¢ $1 $-1,240 06-10 00:37