Realized P&L
+$342.9K
Unrealized P&L
+$204.1K
Hit rate
89.1%
Resolved
1,009
Trades
25,446
lifetime
Volume
$45.6M
lifetime
Avg / trade
$1.79K
Open exposure
$1.41M
30 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 10-28 16:53
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 245 days
Categories
Politics
50%
71%
+$254,035
Other
45%
74%
+$25,451
Crypto
4%
85%
+$201,447
Sports
1%
54%
-$148,848
Tech
0%
79%
+$7,708
Pop-Culture
0%
67%
+$3,110
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
80 active days in 12wk
• peak 314 trades/day
| Market | Trades | Volume USD | Bought | Sold | Net shares | Resolution | P&L | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129 | 499 | $3.24M | 2,725,394 | 1,585,641 | +1,139,752 | Yes | +$301,918 | 06-17 18:33 |
| netanyahu out by march 31 854 | 345 | $1.95M | 3,370,635 | 1,535,311 | +1,835,323 | No | +$26,237 | 04-01 20:37 |
| will indiana enact a data center moratorium by december 31 2027 | 61 | $1.94M | 2,143,413 | 832,888 | +1,310,525 | open | — | 10-26 06:53 |
| MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026? | 116 | $1.55M | 2,021,785 | 346,171 | +1,675,614 | No | +$193,656 | 06-03 21:56 |
| will iran strike israel on march 6 | 90 | $1.29M | 891,402 | 404,458 | +486,944 | No | +$4,794 | 03-11 23:18 |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | 700 | $1.14M | 1,571,414 | 775,968 | +795,446 | open | — | 09-22 09:25 |
| Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair? | 93 | $1.09M | 1,074,742 | 321,482 | +753,260 | No | -$5,155 | 02-28 21:00 |
| khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by february 28 | 214 | $877.0K | 523,245 | 494,862 | +28,384 | Yes | +$120,355 | 03-01 07:25 |
| alien abduction at brazil vs scotland game in miami 20260624221224553 | 17 | $773.9K | 774,647 | 0 | +774,647 | No | +$779 | 06-25 01:49 |
| US forces enter Iran by April 30? | 93 | $742.6K | 438,309 | 309,090 | +129,219 | Yes | +$2,725 | 04-08 12:38 |
| will israel launch a major ground offensive in lebanon by march 31 | 176 | $718.7K | 736,117 | 0 | +736,117 | Yes | +$2,406 | 03-24 12:22 |
| Will CXMT’s market cap be 400 billion yuan or greater at market close on IPO day by December 31, 2026? | 4 | $682.9K | 684,288 | 0 | +684,288 | Yes | +$1,369 | 07-27 07:50 |
| no change in fed interest rates after january 2026 meeting | 335 | $673.3K | 394,418 | 310,328 | +84,089 | Yes | +$6,667 | 01-28 04:25 |
| Clavicular pregnancy in 2026? | 103 | $657.7K | 926,147 | 260,331 | +665,816 | Yes | +$17,719 | 04-30 22:11 |
| Aleksandar Vučić out as Serbian President by June 30, 2026? | 182 | $632.5K | 585,026 | 50,177 | +534,848 | Yes | +$2,586 | 06-30 19:06 |
| will donk be said during the pgl bucharest 2026 grand final | 45 | $577.1K | 306,193 | 284,331 | +21,862 | No | +$6,900 | 04-16 01:17 |
| will eleven die in stranger things season 5 | 102 | $573.4K | 575,677 | 1,000 | +574,677 | No | +$3,269 | 01-02 23:07 |
| will there be another us government shutdown by january 31 | 819 | $566.5K | 553,823 | 243,939 | +309,884 | Yes | +$35,308 | 02-02 23:17 |
| Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31? | 313 | $540.6K | 844,197 | 20,719 | +823,478 | Yes | +$7,989 | 03-13 03:26 |
| Epstein suicide note released by May 8? | 45 | $514.9K | 296,665 | 252,986 | +43,679 | No | +$11,108 | 05-12 00:16 |
| Will Paraguay win on 2026-06-29? | 104 | $499.5K | 500,000 | 0 | +500,000 | No | +$500 | 06-29 23:23 |
| Will Germany win on 2026-06-29? | 77 | $499.5K | 500,000 | 0 | +500,000 | No | +$500 | 06-29 23:25 |
| us anti cartel ground operation in mexico by january 31 | 101 | $482.8K | 387,544 | 101,857 | +285,687 | Yes | +$4,460 | 02-04 00:18 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? | 589 | $476.4K | 440,955 | 368,470 | +72,485 | No | +$10,666 | 06-28 05:28 |
| us x iran ceasefire extended by april 22 2026 | 36 | $436.9K | 427,006 | 40,343 | +386,663 | No | +$881 | 04-30 20:18 |
| maduro in us custody by january 31 | 43 | $432.9K | 433,324 | 0 | +433,324 | Yes | +$433 | 01-07 00:45 |
| Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? | 102 | $414.4K | 444,596 | 0 | +444,596 | Yes | +$30,173 | 09-20 19:37 |
| will the us announce an iran ceasefire by july 31 20260718000915875 | 10 | $409.4K | 410,401 | 0 | +410,401 | Yes | +$959 | 07-28 01:01 |
| Will Portugal win on 2026-07-06? | 22 | $397.4K | 397,832 | 0 | +397,832 | No | +$398 | 07-06 21:13 |
| will trump say ayatollah or khamenei this week march 15 | 52 | $380.3K | 298,217 | 101,506 | +196,711 | No | +$4,040 | 03-19 00:17 |
| Wallet | Shared markets | Overlap volume | Overlap trades | Last seen |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Open this tab to load correlated wallets… | ||||