Sociable-Rooster 0x44c1df…13ebc1
whale hot 21W streak
4Unusual bets: 2 positions →
← all wallets
Realized P&L
+$342.9K
Unrealized P&L
+$205.1K
Hit rate
89.1%
Resolved
1,009
Trades
25,368
lifetime
Volume
$45.5M
lifetime
Avg / trade
$1.79K
Open exposure
$1.34M
30 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 10-27 21:26
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 245 days
Categories
Politics
50% 71% +$254,035
Other
45% 74% +$25,451
Crypto
4% 85% +$201,447
Sports
1% 54% -$148,848
Tech
0% 79% +$7,708
Pop-Culture
0% 67% +$3,110
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
81 active days in 12wk • peak 314 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Indiana enact a data center moratorium by December 31, 2027? No +733,821 $459,538 84¢ $612.7K +$153,203 10-25 22:55
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No +332,837 $204,317 82¢ $274.6K +$70,273 09-22 09:25
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? No +190,433 $126,198 62¢ $117.1K -$9,081 10-27 22:21
will indiana enact a data center moratorium by december 31 2027 Yes +576,704 $76,240 16¢ $95.2K +$18,917 10-26 06:53
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? Yes +462,609 $111,311 18¢ $81.0K -$30,354 08-03 12:04
Will an independent win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026? No +31,925 $23,305 72¢ $23.0K -$319 10-25 22:58
Will the Democratic Party win the NC-13 House seat? Yes +46,281 $11,219 34¢ $16.0K +$4,748 10-27 14:30
Will Anthropic IPO by December 31, 2026? Yes +15,420 $10,012 94¢ $14.4K +$4,405 10-25 09:51
NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? Yes +85,315 $18,210 16¢ $14.1K -$4,133 07-26 08:33
Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026? No +10,918 $2,813 78¢ $8.6K +$5,757 09-16 04:21
Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026? No +7,625 $5,566 94¢ $7.2K +$1,639 05-02 04:43
Will the Democratic Party win the NC-09 House seat? Yes +24,531 $7,425 29¢ $7.1K -$311 10-25 10:02
Will Likud win 30-34 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? No +7,852 $7,381 87¢ $6.8K -$554 10-21 08:03
Will the total domestic gross for Resident Evil be between 150m and 160m by October 31? Yes +6,699 $6,371 98¢ $6.6K +$220 10-27 20:52
Will the Republicans win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026? Yes +9,090 $6,522 72¢ $6.5K +$23 10-22 19:05
Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026? Yes +134,120 $17,400 4¢ $5.4K -$11,968 10-22 11:12
Will the Republican Party win the NC-13 House seat? Yes +8,523 $5,199 62¢ $5.2K +$43 10-25 13:08
Will Yashar win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? Yes +60,537 $11,333 8¢ $5.1K -$6,188 10-27 20:42
Will Avengers: Doomsday have the best domestic opening week in 2026? Yes +8,375 $4,306 57¢ $4.8K +$467 10-11 06:33
Will Avengers: Doomsday have the best domestic opening weekend in 2026? Yes +7,700 $3,356 60¢ $4.6K +$1,264 10-15 06:07
Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? Yes +5,000 $4,120 72¢ $3.6K -$545 09-14 06:19
China x Philippines military clash before 2027? Yes +19,067 $5,434 18¢ $3.5K -$1,907 10-13 07:49
Will the Republican Party win the NC-13 House seat? No +8,736 $3,119 38¢ $3.4K +$245 10-27 19:29
Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? Yes +5,896 $1,327 55¢ $3.2K +$1,901 09-23 16:25
Will Avengers: Doomsday have the 2nd best domestic opening weekend in 2026? No +4,773 $2,015 58¢ $2.8K +$753 10-15 06:07
Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? No +5,896 -$333 45¢ $2.7K +$3,001 10-21 01:39
Will the Republican Party win the VA-05 House seat? No +7,289 $1,604 34¢ $2.4K +$838 10-01 20:39
Will GameStop acquire eBay? No +2,400 -$4,773 94¢ $2.2K +$7,017 07-23 18:59
Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026? Yes -9,858 -$4,336 22¢ $-2119 +$2,217 09-22 14:55
Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026? Yes +36,572 $8,453 6¢ $2.0K -$6,442 06-16 01:12