Closed-Application 0xd0394b…4a2532
whale hot
← all wallets
Realized P&L
+$118.0K
Unrealized P&L
+$12.1K
Hit rate
75.7%
Resolved
361
Trades
10,078
lifetime
Volume
$4.61M
lifetime
Avg / trade
$457
Open exposure
$146.9K
26 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 10-26 21:44
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 148 days
Categories
Politics
52% 55% +$70,299
Other
42% 57% +$33,093
Sports
3% 59% +$10,413
Crypto
3% 100% +$6,787
Tech
0% 17% -$2,546
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
75 active days in 12wk • peak 187 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House No +35,000 $32,200 92¢ $32.4K +$175 10-01 07:25
Will Steve Hilton win the California Governor Election in 2026? No +25,000 $24,075 97¢ $24.3K +$225 10-24 02:15
Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? No +20,000 $12,400 66¢ $13.1K +$700 09-28 12:33
Will the Republicans win the Ohio Senate race in 2026? No +15,636 $11,087 70¢ $10.9K -$141 10-22 19:14
Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026? No +16,000 $10,080 68¢ $10.8K +$720 10-03 22:16
Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026? Yes +15,000 $9,900 62¢ $9.4K -$525 09-24 11:26
Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? No +20,000 $7,114 34¢ $6.9K -$214 10-14 02:29
Will the Republicans win the Maine Senate race in 2026? No +10,000 $6,900 62¢ $6.2K -$650 09-24 11:08
Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026? No +15,000 $1,643 38¢ $5.6K +$3,982 09-25 06:52
Will the Republicans win the Florida governor race in 2026? No +25,602 $4,255 20¢ $5.2K +$993 10-26 21:44
Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026? No +16,000 $5,600 32¢ $5.2K -$400 10-23 23:54
Will the Democrats win the Ohio Senate race in 2026? No +15,636 $4,534 30¢ $4.8K +$235 10-22 19:15
Will the Republicans win the Nevada governor race in 2026? No +5,949 $2,201 74¢ $4.4K +$2,231 08-31 14:03
Will the Republicans win the Maine Senate race in 2026? Yes +10,000 -$266 38¢ $3.8K +$4,016 09-27 23:51
Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026? No +2,125 $1,509 76¢ $1.6K +$117 10-09 20:22
Will Mark Warner vote "Yea" on the Clarity Act? No +1,206 $938 92¢ $1.1K +$170 09-17 00:09
Will the Republicans win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026? Yes +1,028 $586 72¢ $735 +$149 05-12 06:39
Will the Democrats win the Nevada governor race in 2026? Yes +196 $73 74¢ $146 +$74 08-17 18:15
NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026? Yes +5,000 $1,950 2¢ $100 -$1,850 10-23 17:47
Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026? No +63 -$262 96¢ $60 +$322 09-15 18:04
Will the Democrats win the Florida governor race in 2026? Yes +107 -$89 21¢ $22 +$111 09-25 21:24
Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of October 2026? Yes +4,161 $8 0¢ $15 +$6 09-30 22:27
Will an independent win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026? No +0 -$150 72¢ $0 +$150 10-01 20:29
Will the Republican Party hold 47 or fewer Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections? No +0 -$27 58¢ $0 +$27 10-13 00:29
Will Dan Sullivan win the Alaska Senate race in 2026? No +0 -$122 74¢ $0 +$122 10-08 03:44
Will GameStop acquire eBay? No +0 -$1,352 94¢ $0 +$1,352 10-20 20:29