Realized P&L
-$4.55K
Unrealized P&L
+$34.7K
Hit rate
73.7%
Resolved
18
Trades
30,647
lifetime
Volume
$12.9M
lifetime
Avg / trade
$420
Open exposure
$92.5K
22 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 06-15 12:54
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 10 days
Categories
Politics
55% 90% $-12,258
Other
34% 80% +$7,646
Crypto
7% 100% +$10
Sports
3%
Tech
2%
Pop-Culture
0% 100% +$52
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
85 active days in 12wk • peak 711 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $140 by end of June? No +19,105 $18,433 99¢ $18.9K +$500 06-04 13:04
Iran leadership change by June 30? No +10,904 $10,262 98¢ $10.7K +$478 06-10 23:06
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? Yes +9,863 $-18,001 94¢ $9.3K +$27,321 06-13 16:26
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? Yes -11,323 $-6,286 62¢ $-7077 $-791 05-28 13:22
Netanyahu out by June 30? No +7,062 $6,735 99¢ $7.0K +$225 06-04 12:57
Will Valve add Cache to the Map Pool by June 30, 2026? No +7,035 $6,762 96¢ $6.8K +$27 06-11 11:47
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? Yes +20,182 $5,149 28¢ $5.6K +$401 06-12 07:38
Israel strike on Yemen by June 30, 2026? No +4,100 $3,398 94¢ $3.8K +$435 06-09 21:16
Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by June 30? No -3,950 $-3,393 92¢ $-3634 $-240 06-02 21:14
Taylor Swift x Travis Kelce get married by June 30? No +4,649 $3,816 77¢ $3.6K $-237 06-15 00:22
Will OpenSea launch a token by June 30, 2026? No -3,072 $-3,038 99¢ $-3053 $-15 06-03 10:53
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of June? No +3,024 $2,782 99¢ $3.0K +$200 06-09 00:02
Will Neymar play in the World Cup? Yes -2,220 $-2,920 87¢ $-1932 +$988 05-30 22:49
Will AfD win an absolute majority of seats in Sachsen-Anhalt? No +2,990 $1,734 56¢ $1.7K $-75 05-27 22:58
Will OpenSea launch a token by December 31, 2026? No +2,711 $1,206 54¢ $1.5K +$254 06-06 23:08
Will Trump's approval rating hit 35% in 2026? No +1,769 $1,055 64¢ $1.1K +$68 06-06 16:51
Iran leadership change by December 31? Yes +7,604 $2,264 15¢ $1.1K $-1,161 06-10 23:01
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? No -18,032 $-7,409 $-992 +$6,417 06-14 21:23
Israel withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2026? No +895 $824 94¢ $846 +$22 06-04 13:03
Will Bryan Johnson propose to his co-founder before 2027? No +672 $533 71¢ $479 $-54 06-06 13:19
Will France, UK, or Germany strike Iran by June 30? No -424 $-387 99¢ $-421 $-34 06-03 10:31
Will Betmoar launch a token by September 30, 2026? No +34 $30 90¢ $30 +$0 06-08 21:28