Realized P&L
+$568.7K
Unrealized P&L
+$10.6K
Hit rate
79.2%
Resolved
1,700
Trades
54,048
lifetime
Volume
$23.1M
lifetime
Avg / trade
$426
Open exposure
$314.2K
30 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 11-03 06:39
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 262 days
Categories
Politics
44% 74% +$297,400
Other
38% 75% +$118,752
Sports
10% 63% +$96,813
Crypto
5% 73% +$42,929
Tech
4% 77% +$11,098
Pop-Culture
0% 83% +$1,664
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
84 active days in 12wk • peak 2737 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? No +53,922 $37,458 68¢ $36.4K -$1,061 11-03 01:46
Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026? No +39,882 $27,661 74¢ $29.7K +$2,052 11-03 00:44
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No +27,220 $22,767 82¢ $22.5K -$311 10-26 06:08
Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026? No +25,067 $17,168 76¢ $19.2K +$2,008 10-06 19:09
US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026? Yes +37,665 $30,102 41¢ $15.5K -$14,641 10-07 15:41
Will Republicans lose the Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas Senate seats? Yes +40,000 $13,600 36¢ $14.2K +$600 11-02 22:29
Will Dan Sullivan win the Alaska Senate race in 2026? No +18,485 $13,309 72¢ $13.2K -$92 10-31 13:18
Will CMI declare a Millennium Prize Problem solved by December 31, 2026? No +13,856 $13,287 95¢ $13.2K -$96 10-31 00:46
Will OpenAI announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2026? No +14,722 $10,558 86¢ $12.6K +$2,073 10-31 00:59
us announces end of iranian blockade by december 31 2026 20260727171803489 375 949 645 919 269 157 No +20,809 $3,615 59¢ $12.3K +$8,652 08-17 10:55
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House Yes +15,000 $11,100 76¢ $11.5K +$375 11-02 23:21
Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026? Yes +15,555 $11,511 74¢ $11.4K -$78 11-02 22:57
Will OpenAI announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2027? Yes +21,371 $12,943 52¢ $11.2K -$1,723 10-31 00:59
Will Trump's approval rating hit 35% in 2026? No +13,295 $8,868 70¢ $9.2K +$372 10-11 20:55
Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by June 30, 2027? No +15,116 $7,600 60¢ $9.1K +$1,545 11-02 23:43
Next White House Press Secretary announced by November 30, 2026? No +13,754 $8,828 66¢ $9.0K +$181 11-02 13:36
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31? No +13,601 $9,390 62¢ $8.4K -$957 11-02 23:21
Will the Republican Party win the TX-15 House seat? No +9,000 $8,010 88¢ $8.0K -$45 11-02 23:28
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026? Yes +9,274 $7,805 84¢ $7.8K +$13 11-02 13:59
Will OpenAI announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2027? No +10,752 -$74 48¢ $5.1K +$5,181 10-04 16:33
US strike on Cuba by December 31? No +5,428 $1,625 93¢ $5.0K +$3,422 10-30 08:40
Next White House Press Secretary announced by December 31, 2026? No +12,628 $4,423 37¢ $4.7K +$250 11-02 22:23
Will the Republicans win the Michigan Senate race in 2026? No +5,672 $4,140 80¢ $4.6K +$425 11-01 20:35
Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by December 31, 2026? No +5,011 $3,005 83¢ $4.2K +$1,154 11-01 16:23
Will Discord not IPO by December 31, 2027? Yes +5,543 $2,912 71¢ $3.9K +$1,032 11-02 23:21
Will the Republicans win the Texas governor race in 2026? No +8,209 $3,259 40¢ $3.3K +$37 11-03 05:36
Will OpenAI release a social network in 2026? No +2,955 $1,219 94¢ $2.8K +$1,559 05-07 00:45
Will Anna Kelly be the next White House Press Secretary? No +2,851 $1,994 80¢ $2.3K +$301 11-02 10:12
Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? Yes +3,234 $3,606 64¢ $2.1K -$1,536 10-29 17:38
Will Predict.fun launch a token by November 15, 2026? No +8,199 $1,860 22¢ $1.8K -$52 11-01 00:49