Realized P&L
+$568.7K
Unrealized P&L
+$10.6K
Hit rate
79.2%
Resolved
1,700
Trades
54,048
lifetime
Volume
$23.1M
lifetime
Avg / trade
$426
Open exposure
$314.2K
30 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 11-03 06:39
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 262 days
Categories
Politics
44%
74%
+$297,400
Other
38%
75%
+$118,752
Sports
10%
63%
+$96,813
Crypto
5%
73%
+$42,929
Tech
4%
77%
+$11,098
Pop-Culture
0%
83%
+$1,664
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
84 active days in 12wk
• peak 2737 trades/day
| Market | Trades | Volume USD | Bought | Sold | Net shares | Resolution | P&L | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026? | 450 | $487.8K | 1,008,064 | 797,407 | +210,657 | No | +$49,558 | 06-03 14:29 |
| Will Lionel Messi be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | 1,133 | $481.9K | 452,330 | 413,527 | +38,803 | No | +$24,951 | 07-19 21:40 |
| Will Kylian Mbappe be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | 993 | $252.3K | 204,796 | 199,022 | +5,774 | Yes | +$12,762 | 07-19 21:29 |
| Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | 565 | $250.7K | 268,312 | 268,312 | +0 | No | +$10,007 | 07-14 08:30 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? | 486 | $216.8K | 288,708 | 288,708 | -0 | Yes | +$23,389 | 06-14 21:25 |
| new stranger things episode released by wednesday | 153 | $215.1K | 120,935 | 102,806 | +18,130 | No | +$543 | 01-08 02:13 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026? | 657 | $200.2K | 482,882 | 446,421 | +36,460 | No | -$24,435 | 05-31 19:53 |
| Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | 332 | $199.8K | 370,050 | 370,050 | +0 | No | +$15,216 | 07-12 18:26 |
| Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair? | 130 | $194.8K | 99,654 | 100,886 | -1,232 | No | +$246 | 03-03 14:46 |
| Iran leadership change by December 31? | 135 | $184.9K | 126,481 | 126,281 | +200 | open | — | 10-24 20:26 |
| Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31? | 399 | $182.1K | 316,987 | 321,987 | -5,000 | Yes | +$7,236 | 03-10 15:03 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026? | 220 | $179.2K | 213,294 | 145,638 | +67,656 | Yes | +$93,020 | 06-16 23:26 |
| us x iran ceasefire by april 7 | 145 | $178.2K | 208,348 | 206,631 | +1,717 | Yes | +$1,764 | 04-09 13:38 |
| khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by february 28 | 211 | $169.9K | 220,715 | 218,360 | +2,355 | Yes | +$7,280 | 03-01 01:39 |
| us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519 | 371 | $158.9K | 101,776 | 101,776 | +0 | No | +$8,415 | 03-31 14:07 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? | 292 | $152.8K | 210,393 | 199,797 | +10,597 | No | -$5,616 | 06-30 00:08 |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | 342 | $146.1K | 108,484 | 81,264 | +27,220 | open | — | 10-26 06:08 |
| trump announces end of military operations against iran by april 15th 962 364 677 | 118 | $144.0K | 82,234 | 82,234 | +0 | No | +$5,013 | 04-15 13:00 |
| Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | 70 | $143.8K | 78,099 | 78,099 | +0 | No | +$6,232 | 10-26 00:04 |
| Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair? | 81 | $142.5K | 69,317 | 85,677 | -16,360 | Yes | -$1,185 | 03-04 16:23 |
| will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610 | 205 | $135.0K | 115,665 | 55,665 | +60,000 | Yes | +$7,152 | 07-07 23:27 |
| MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026? | 133 | $132.3K | 128,470 | 88,598 | +39,872 | Yes | +$5,948 | 06-01 12:00 |
| Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | 86 | $126.3K | 232,331 | 232,331 | +0 | No | -$284 | 07-06 09:07 |
| will there be another us government shutdown by january 31 | 360 | $125.9K | 175,890 | 166,198 | +9,692 | Yes | -$8,827 | 01-30 19:39 |
| Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election? | 130 | $122.3K | 70,411 | 70,411 | +0 | No | +$4,906 | 06-30 02:06 |
| US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 31? | 288 | $121.4K | 106,785 | 105,757 | +1,028 | No | +$12,177 | 05-29 20:32 |
| new stranger things episode released by january 31 294 | 210 | $118.4K | 190,525 | 178,468 | +12,057 | No | +$1,611 | 01-23 02:17 |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026? | 56 | $114.2K | 77,374 | 47,438 | +29,935 | Yes | -$24,177 | 05-08 19:24 |
| Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | 197 | $113.0K | 107,404 | 53,482 | +53,922 | open | — | 11-03 01:46 |
| Will Anthropic IPO by September 30, 2026? | 522 | $109.3K | 60,066 | 60,066 | +0 | No | +$3,584 | 09-18 18:40 |
| Wallet | Shared markets | Overlap volume | Overlap trades | Last seen |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Open this tab to load correlated wallets… | ||||