Realized P&L
-$4.55K
Unrealized P&L
+$5.99K
Hit rate
73.7%
Resolved
18
Trades
32,283
lifetime
Volume
$13.8M
lifetime
Avg / trade
$427
Open exposure
$42.0K
18 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 07-05 18:47
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 10 days
Categories
Politics
53% 90% $-12,258
Other
36% 80% +$7,646
Crypto
6% 100% +$10
Sports
3%
Tech
2%
Pop-Culture
0% 100% +$52
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
85 active days in 12wk • peak 711 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? No +14,535 $14,337 100¢ $14.5K +$176 06-30 00:08
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No -7,166 $-6,306 88¢ $-6270 +$36 06-17 05:43
Will OpenSea launch a token by December 31, 2026? No +5,840 $2,900 71¢ $4.2K +$1,255 07-05 14:42
Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by December 31, 2026? No +5,384 $3,825 74¢ $4.0K +$132 07-05 08:34
Will AfD win an absolute majority of seats in Sachsen-Anhalt? No -5,688 $-3,633 64¢ $-3612 +$21 07-04 00:18
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? Yes -11,323 $-6,286 16¢ $-1755 +$4,531 05-28 13:22
Will AfD win an absolute majority of seats in Sachsen-Anhalt? Yes +4,473 $1,677 36¢ $1.6K $-44 07-05 16:16
Will Trump's approval rating hit 35% in 2026? No +1,919 $1,163 72¢ $1.4K +$228 07-02 09:11
Will Donald Trump visit India in 2026? No +1,387 $1,094 86¢ $1.2K +$91 06-24 21:25
Will Bryan Johnson propose to his co-founder before 2027? No +1,131 $908 88¢ $999 +$90 06-27 11:14
Will Bitcoin dip to $40,000 by December 31, 2026? No +1,207 $929 78¢ $935 +$6 07-05 19:39
GPT-5.6 released by July 31, 2026? Yes +678 $647 97¢ $657 +$9 06-18 03:38
Will Donald Trump visit Pakistan in 2026? No +342 $280 88¢ $299 +$19 07-03 08:47
Will Kendrick Lamar perform at the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final halftime show? No +249 $244 98¢ $245 +$1 07-03 11:25
Will Wizkid perform at the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final halftime show? No +189 $177 95¢ $180 +$3 07-03 11:25
US strike on Cuba by December 31? No +169 $105 64¢ $109 +$4 07-05 20:51
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? Yes -30,776 $526 $-46 $-572 06-23 05:51
Will Betmoar launch a token by September 30, 2026? No +34 $30 93¢ $31 +$2 06-08 21:28