Will Trump's approval rating hit 35% in 2026?
open
Total volume
$30,520
$278 in 24h
Trades
984
Unique wallets
197
Liquidity
$10,841
Latest YES mid
34¢
Latest NO mid
66¢
End date
2026-12-31
First seen
2026-05-28
last 08-19 11:54
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
YES holders
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
SMI:
-36.7¢
(top1%: 0% YES on $486
vs crowd: 37% YES on $25.0K)
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐋 Whale | 24 | $4.9K | $10.1K | $5.2K |
| 🐬 Dolphin | 38 | $1.3K | $3.9K | $2.5K |
| 🐟 Fish | 58 | $2.4K | $1.5K | +$821 |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 77 | $635 | $350 | +$285 |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🎯 Top 1% | 5 | — | $486 | $486 |
| 🏆 Top 5% | 14 | $164 | $498 | $334 |
| ✅ Top 10% | 16 | $483 | $368 | +$115 |
| Median | 11 | $61 | $92 | $31 |
| Below median | 22 | $1.8K | $105 | +$1.7K |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 12 | $16 | $576 | $560 |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 19 | $3.2K | $2.7K | +$532 |
| 💀 Bottom 1% | 14 | $1.6K | $9.6K | $8.1K |
| unranked | 84 | $1.8K | $1.4K | +$430 |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Opulent-Right 0xb100…6461 | No | +9,614 | $6,324 | $6,324 | 25 | 08-18 14:33 |
| Smart-Pathway 0x993c…6787 | Yes | +8,000 | $2,636 | $3,135 | 35 | 08-18 14:26 |
| Ajar-Sportsman 0xf797…0bf2 | No | +2,972 | $1,975 | $1,975 | 10 | 08-11 16:15 |
| Positive-Negligee 0xb93e…195e | Yes | +2,508 | $856 | $1,062 | 10 | 08-11 16:15 |
| General-Councilman 0xacea…8b97 | Yes | +1,800 | $574 | $574 | 6 | 07-26 20:25 |
| Capital-Eviction 0xf769…0114 | No | +1,586 | $947 | $4,059 | 46 | 08-18 14:26 |
| Bitter-Cartoon 0xa0bc…d428 | Yes | +1,486 | $538 | $538 | 2 | 08-18 14:26 |
| Lean-Attraction 0xbad2…5296 | Yes | +1,466 | $596 | $596 | 2 | 06-01 22:09 |
| Miserly-Editing 0xb69a…7c05 | Yes | +1,409 | $427 | $1,088 | 63 | 08-19 02:43 |
| (anonymous) 0xe234…304a | Yes | +1,168 | $407 | $407 | 1 | 08-18 14:33 |
| Eatpraylove 0xc021…1fa8 | No | +940 | $628 | $712 | 9 | 06-28 22:20 |
| Amused-Columnist 0xa883…31fb | Yes | +912 | $282 | $282 | 7 | 07-19 21:48 |
| Wilted-Burden-Survivor 0xd8d5…8935 | No | +750 | $490 | $850 | 12 | 07-30 11:23 |
| (anonymous) 0x84d4…77a9 | No | +602 | $424 | $424 | 10 | 08-18 14:33 |
| (anonymous) 0x3007…763a | No | +583 | $400 | $400 | 4 | 08-18 18:14 |
| International-Footstep 0xadaf…f9f2 | No | +500 | $330 | $330 | 7 | 08-11 16:15 |
| (anonymous) 0x1bdf…1b74 | No | +498 | $374 | $374 | 2 | 07-13 17:11 |
| (anonymous) 0x41c9…716b | Yes | +413 | $135 | $135 | 6 | 08-18 14:26 |
| High-Alarm 0x9238…b73e | Yes | +400 | $149 | $149 | 13 | 08-17 21:21 |
| (anonymous) 0x755c…ba9f | Yes | +334 | $109 | $141 | 8 | 07-16 05:59 |
| (anonymous) 0x7f29…0760 | Yes | +300 | $100 | $100 | 3 | 08-10 15:56 |
| Male-Cacao 0x8929…733e | Yes | +300 | $90 | $90 | 5 | 08-18 18:14 |
| Shoddy-Cyst 0xef54…c997 | No | +200 | $147 | $147 | 2 | 07-08 05:17 |
| Upright-Appellation 0x9dfb…e887 | No | +200 | $134 | $223 | 10 | 08-17 21:21 |
| Wordy-Bark 0xe762…064b | Yes | +188 | $75 | $75 | 7 | 08-17 21:36 |
| Gullible-Grassland 0x72a2…7b65 | No | +187 | $123 | $123 | 4 | 08-18 14:33 |
| Reliable-Airman 0xb04a…acfc | Yes | +185 | $58 | $58 | 9 | 08-18 14:33 |
| (anonymous) 0x4fbf…f319 | Yes | +182 | $60 | $60 | 1 | 08-16 12:00 |
| Worse-Downturn 0x929a…5ab4 | Yes | +177 | $70 | $70 | 4 | 08-06 13:55 |
| Gaseous-Tennis 0x66f9…adb9 | Yes | +170 | $61 | $61 | 10 | 08-10 09:13 |
| Imaginary-Closet 0x2bcd…cbfb | No | +170 | $100 | $100 | 1 | 05-31 10:15 |
| (anonymous) 0xb36c…1077 | Yes | +168 | $59 | $59 | 3 | 08-03 09:17 |
| Plush-Dirt 0x9d69…ab3a | Yes | +150 | $51 | $51 | 1 | 07-19 10:18 |
| Charming-Grape 0xac4a…bf1e | No | +142 | $93 | $93 | 1 | 08-18 14:33 |
| Proud-Homework 0x9e45…3662 | No | +141 | $100 | $100 | 1 | 08-19 02:43 |
| Stormy-Tower 0x473c…0f94 | Yes | +140 | $52 | $52 | 1 | 08-04 20:36 |
| Scornful-Software 0xa0d3…5b5e | No | +123 | $86 | $86 | 3 | 08-18 14:30 |
| (anonymous) 0xb5e8…a5f9 | Yes | +118 | $40 | $40 | 1 | 07-30 11:19 |
| This-Councilor 0x8705…8354 | No | +100 | $65 | $65 | 3 | 08-18 14:33 |
| (anonymous) 0x56e7…cf24 | Yes | +100 | $34 | $34 | 2 | 08-10 19:14 |
| Belgaron 0x6c10…df5c | Yes | +100 | $33 | $33 | 7 | 08-10 14:34 |
| Linear-Completion 0x9370…9e88 | Yes | +93 | $27 | $27 | 2 | 08-19 07:16 |
| (anonymous) 0xfb46…f68b | Yes | +88 | $35 | $35 | 1 | 08-06 18:19 |
| Shimmering-Corruption 0x5968…3fc4 | No | +86 | $58 | $58 | 11 | 08-18 15:21 |
| Dependent-Millimeter 0x9b22…3a92 | Yes | +79 | $30 | $30 | 7 | 08-17 21:51 |
| Average-Tugboat 0xcf20…3b9e | Yes | +61 | $20 | $20 | 1 | 08-16 13:26 |
| Well-Documented-Peek 0x94bb…c320 | Yes | +60 | $25 | $25 | 2 | 08-06 05:36 |
| Sneaky-Assertion 0x29a1…5645 | Yes | +60 | $25 | $25 | 2 | 08-06 05:36 |
| (anonymous) 0x79c4…1d1f | No | +58 | $35 | $35 | 1 | 06-01 22:09 |
| That-Percent 0xb5c4…cb3b | No | +57 | $40 | $151 | 16 | 08-18 14:41 |
| Glum-Nonsense 0x20aa…e26b | No | +49 | $34 | $34 | 6 | 08-18 14:27 |
| (anonymous) 0x8ec6…09ad | No | +45 | $30 | $30 | 3 | 08-17 18:01 |
| Popular-Depth 0x0f18…5b28 | No | +44 | $30 | $30 | 3 | 08-06 04:58 |
| (anonymous) 0xdc6a…90fc | No | +40 | $26 | $26 | 1 | 08-02 19:05 |
| Infatuated-Spider 0x8b02…b95f | No | +40 | $28 | $28 | 1 | 08-19 07:16 |
| (anonymous) 0x5449…992b | No | +37 | $25 | $25 | 15 | 08-18 14:26 |
| (anonymous) 0xc37d…96cb | No | +32 | $20 | $46 | 5 | 08-10 16:56 |
| (anonymous) 0xfb8e…3dc3 | No | +32 | $20 | $20 | 1 | 08-06 05:41 |
| (anonymous) 0xb6fa…53cb | No | +31 | $21 | $37 | 8 | 08-18 14:27 |
| Firsthand-Eaglet 0x1cdd…e595 | No | +30 | $18 | $18 | 1 | 06-11 19:30 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-19 11:54:52 | (anonymous) 0xb143…3c17 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 30¢ | $1 | 0xcdc1a6… |
| 08-19 11:54:52 | Juvenile-Hypothesis 0x3bef…f04e | Yes | SELL | 12 | 30¢ | $4 | 0xcdc1a6… |
| 08-19 11:54:52 | Tan-Creativity 0xbdd0…550a | Yes | BUY | 17 | 30¢ | $5 | 0xcdc1a6… |
| 08-19 07:16:12 | Infatuated-Spider 0x8b02…b95f | No | BUY | 40 | 71¢ | $28 | 0x7ada32… |
| 08-19 07:16:12 | Linear-Completion 0x9370…9e88 | Yes | BUY | 40 | 29¢ | $12 | 0x7ada32… |
| 08-19 06:42:39 | (anonymous) 0xb143…3c17 | Yes | SELL | 1 | 30¢ | $0 | 0x238cf7… |
| 08-19 06:42:39 | (anonymous) 0x258b…db84 | No | SELL | 1 | 70¢ | $1 | 0x238cf7… |
| 08-19 02:43:49 | Miserly-Editing 0xb69a…7c05 | Yes | BUY | 88 | 29¢ | $25 | 0x88b23c… |
| 08-19 02:43:49 | Proud-Homework 0x9e45…3662 | No | BUY | 141 | 71¢ | $100 | 0x88b23c… |
| 08-19 02:43:49 | Linear-Completion 0x9370…9e88 | Yes | BUY | 53 | 29¢ | $15 | 0x88b23c… |
| 08-18 20:50:13 | (anonymous) 0xb143…3c17 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 31¢ | $2 | 0xe02e37… |
| 08-18 20:50:13 | Arctic-Kickoff 0xa667…ceb3 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 31¢ | $2 | 0xe02e37… |
| 08-18 18:17:37 | Quick-Witted-Cook 0x7be4…8477 | Yes | SELL | 12 | 29¢ | $4 | 0x7c7adc… |
| 08-18 18:17:37 | Miserly-Editing 0xb69a…7c05 | Yes | BUY | 12 | 29¢ | $4 | 0x7c7adc… |
| 08-18 18:14:27 | Imperturbable-Hero 0x3ad1…b4c5 | No | BUY | 5 | 71¢ | $4 | 0x444e58… |
| 08-18 18:14:27 | Quick-Witted-Cook 0x7be4…8477 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 29¢ | $1 | 0x444e58… |
| 08-18 18:14:07 | (anonymous) 0x3007…763a | No | BUY | 143 | 70¢ | $100 | 0xec6ae5… |
| 08-18 18:14:07 | Male-Cacao 0x8929…733e | Yes | BUY | 113 | 30¢ | $34 | 0xec6ae5… |
| 08-18 18:14:07 | Substantial-Cord 0xb56d…0d39 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 29¢ | $2 | 0xec6ae5… |
| 08-18 18:14:07 | Juvenile-Hypothesis 0x3bef…f04e | Yes | SELL | 4 | 31¢ | $1 | 0xc36198… |
| 08-18 18:14:07 | (anonymous) 0xa9a1…13d6 | Yes | BUY | 4 | 31¢ | $1 | 0xc36198… |
| 08-18 18:14:07 | Quick-Witted-Cook 0x7be4…8477 | Yes | BUY | 7 | 29¢ | $2 | 0xec6ae5… |
| 08-18 18:14:07 | Juvenile-Hypothesis 0x3bef…f04e | Yes | BUY | 6 | 30¢ | $2 | 0xec6ae5… |
| 08-18 18:14:07 | (anonymous) 0xb143…3c17 | Yes | BUY | 11 | 30¢ | $3 | 0xec6ae5… |
| 08-18 18:13:55 | Male-Cacao 0x8929…733e | Yes | BUY | 5 | 30¢ | $2 | 0x312955… |
| 08-18 18:13:55 | Imperturbable-Hero 0x3ad1…b4c5 | No | BUY | 5 | 70¢ | $4 | 0x312955… |
| 08-18 18:13:54 | Male-Cacao 0x8929…733e | Yes | BUY | 143 | 30¢ | $43 | 0x4d13a7… |
| 08-18 18:13:54 | (anonymous) 0x3007…763a | No | BUY | 143 | 70¢ | $100 | 0x4d13a7… |
| 08-18 18:00:45 | Male-Cacao 0x8929…733e | Yes | BUY | 5 | 30¢ | $2 | 0x5cf097… |
| 08-18 18:00:45 | (anonymous) 0x00cd…c0ae | Yes | SELL | 5 | 30¢ | $2 | 0x5cf097… |
| 08-18 17:30:43 | (anonymous) 0x945a…a48c | No | BUY | 10 | 69¢ | $7 | 0x0a140d… |
| 08-18 17:30:43 | Grimy-Turnstile 0xf5bb…bdb8 | Yes | BUY | 10 | 31¢ | $3 | 0x0a140d… |
| 08-18 15:21:15 | Miserly-Editing 0xb69a…7c05 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 30¢ | $2 | 0xb0073c… |
| 08-18 15:21:15 | Shimmering-Corruption 0x5968…3fc4 | No | BUY | 5 | 70¢ | $4 | 0xb0073c… |
| 08-18 14:51:07 | (anonymous) 0x81a9…df08 | No | BUY | 2 | 71¢ | $1 | 0xc7f581… |
| 08-18 14:51:07 | Juvenile-Hypothesis 0x3bef…f04e | Yes | BUY | 2 | 29¢ | $1 | 0xc7f581… |
| 08-18 14:41:49 | (anonymous) 0xd823…12fe | No | SELL | 10 | 71¢ | $7 | 0x0d5b80… |
| 08-18 14:41:49 | Juvenile-Hypothesis 0x3bef…f04e | Yes | BUY | 1 | 29¢ | $0 | 0x0d5b80… |
| 08-18 14:41:49 | (anonymous) 0x00cd…c0ae | Yes | BUY | 5 | 29¢ | $1 | 0x0d5b80… |
| 08-18 14:41:49 | That-Percent 0xb5c4…cb3b | No | BUY | 21 | 71¢ | $15 | 0x0d5b80… |
| 08-18 14:41:49 | (anonymous) 0x1bf5…ff5e | No | SELL | 5 | 71¢ | $4 | 0x0d5b80… |
| 08-18 14:33:58 | Reliable-Airman 0xb04a…acfc | Yes | BUY | 0 | 31¢ | $0 | 0x0ff26a… |
| 08-18 14:33:58 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | Yes | BUY | 30 | 30¢ | $9 | 0x0ff26a… |
| 08-18 14:33:58 | (anonymous) 0x945a…a48c | Yes | BUY | 10 | 31¢ | $3 | 0x0ff26a… |
| 08-18 14:33:58 | (anonymous) 0x84d4…77a9 | No | BUY | 74 | 70¢ | $52 | 0x0ff26a… |
| 08-18 14:33:58 | Male-Cacao 0x8929…733e | Yes | BUY | 34 | 29¢ | $10 | 0x0ff26a… |
| 08-18 14:33:55 | Charming-Grape 0xac4a…bf1e | No | BUY | 142 | 65¢ | $93 | 0x0f3643… |
| 08-18 14:33:55 | Gullible-Grassland 0x72a2…7b65 | No | BUY | 100 | 66¢ | $66 | 0x0f3643… |
| 08-18 14:33:55 | Juvenile-Hypothesis 0x3bef…f04e | Yes | SELL | 8 | 33¢ | $3 | 0x0f3643… |
| 08-18 14:33:55 | (anonymous) 0xd10a…b9cd | Yes | SELL | 10 | 33¢ | $3 | 0x0f3643… |
| 08-18 14:33:55 | (anonymous) 0x00cd…c0ae | Yes | SELL | 5 | 33¢ | $2 | 0x0f3643… |
| 08-18 14:33:55 | (anonymous) 0xb143…3c17 | Yes | SELL | 8 | 33¢ | $2 | 0x0f3643… |
| 08-18 14:33:55 | This-Councilor 0x8705…8354 | No | BUY | 75 | 65¢ | $48 | 0x0f3643… |
| 08-18 14:33:55 | (anonymous) 0x1bf5…ff5e | No | BUY | 5 | 66¢ | $3 | 0x0f3643… |
| 08-18 14:33:55 | (anonymous) 0xe234…304a | Yes | BUY | 1,168 | 35¢ | $407 | 0x0f3643… |
| 08-18 14:33:55 | (anonymous) 0xd823…12fe | No | BUY | 8 | 66¢ | $5 | 0x0f3643… |
| 08-18 14:33:55 | Opulent-Right 0xb100…6461 | No | BUY | 800 | 65¢ | $520 | 0x0f3643… |
| 08-18 14:33:55 | (anonymous) 0xd823…12fe | Yes | SELL | 8 | 33¢ | $3 | 0x0f3643… |
| 08-18 14:30:34 | Reliable-Airman 0xb04a…acfc | Yes | BUY | 102 | 31¢ | $32 | 0x9f196e… |
| 08-18 14:30:34 | Scornful-Software 0xa0d3…5b5e | No | BUY | 102 | 69¢ | $70 | 0x9f196e… |
| 08-18 14:29:39 | Shimmering-Corruption 0x5968…3fc4 | No | BUY | 23 | 69¢ | $16 | 0xce9872… |
| 08-18 14:29:39 | Reliable-Airman 0xb04a…acfc | Yes | BUY | 23 | 31¢ | $7 | 0xce9872… |
| 08-18 14:28:12 | (anonymous) 0xd10a…b9cd | Yes | BUY | 5 | 32¢ | $2 | 0xd5d86e… |
| 08-18 14:28:12 | Shimmering-Corruption 0x5968…3fc4 | No | BUY | 5 | 68¢ | $3 | 0xd5d86e… |
| 08-18 14:27:48 | Reliable-Airman 0xb04a…acfc | Yes | BUY | 1 | 31¢ | $0 | 0x734394… |
| 08-18 14:27:48 | (anonymous) 0xf744…9a80 | No | BUY | 1 | 69¢ | $1 | 0x734394… |
| 08-18 14:27:48 | (anonymous) 0x3fce…bfdf | No | BUY | 1 | 69¢ | $1 | 0xa779a2… |
| 08-18 14:27:48 | Reliable-Airman 0xb04a…acfc | Yes | BUY | 1 | 31¢ | $0 | 0xa779a2… |
| 08-18 14:27:15 | (anonymous) 0xb6fa…53cb | No | BUY | 7 | 69¢ | $5 | 0x9c3c23… |
| 08-18 14:27:15 | Reliable-Airman 0xb04a…acfc | Yes | BUY | 7 | 31¢ | $2 | 0x9c3c23… |
| 08-18 14:27:04 | Reliable-Airman 0xb04a…acfc | Yes | BUY | 28 | 31¢ | $9 | 0x8fb5d1… |
| 08-18 14:27:04 | Glum-Nonsense 0x20aa…e26b | No | BUY | 16 | 69¢ | $11 | 0x1e1a18… |
| 08-18 14:27:04 | (anonymous) 0xdc76…5f55 | No | BUY | 28 | 69¢ | $19 | 0x8fb5d1… |
| 08-18 14:27:04 | Reliable-Airman 0xb04a…acfc | Yes | BUY | 16 | 31¢ | $5 | 0x1e1a18… |
| 08-18 14:26:58 | (anonymous) 0xb143…3c17 | Yes | SELL | 0 | 33¢ | $0 | 0x5d1f85… |
| 08-18 14:26:58 | That-Percent 0xb5c4…cb3b | No | SELL | 0 | 67¢ | $0 | 0x5d1f85… |
| 08-18 14:26:54 | Miserly-Editing 0xb69a…7c05 | Yes | BUY | 2 | 29¢ | $1 | 0x045785… |
| 08-18 14:26:54 | Miserly-Editing 0xb69a…7c05 | Yes | BUY | 14 | 29¢ | $4 | 0x91ffd1… |
| 08-18 14:26:54 | (anonymous) 0x84d4…77a9 | No | BUY | 244 | 72¢ | $175 | 0x91ffd1… |
| 08-18 14:26:54 | (anonymous) 0x5449…992b | No | BUY | 2 | 71¢ | $2 | 0x045785… |
| 08-18 14:26:54 | Capital-Eviction 0xf769…0114 | No | SELL | 230 | 72¢ | $166 | 0x91ffd1… |
| 08-18 14:26:52 | (anonymous) 0x4108…17b1 | No | BUY | 3 | 71¢ | $2 | 0x6b0fee… |
| 08-18 14:26:52 | Miserly-Editing 0xb69a…7c05 | Yes | BUY | 3 | 29¢ | $1 | 0x6b0fee… |
| 08-18 14:26:51 | Smart-Pathway 0x993c…6787 | Yes | BUY | 1,000 | 30¢ | $300 | 0x76ea0f… |
| 08-18 14:26:51 | Miserly-Editing 0xb69a…7c05 | Yes | BUY | 100 | 31¢ | $31 | 0x76ea0f… |
| 08-18 14:26:51 | Bitter-Cartoon 0xa0bc…d428 | Yes | BUY | 300 | 30¢ | $90 | 0x76ea0f… |
| 08-18 14:26:51 | (anonymous) 0x41c9…716b | Yes | BUY | 299 | 32¢ | $96 | 0x76ea0f… |
| 08-18 14:26:51 | Miserly-Editing 0xb69a…7c05 | Yes | BUY | 1 | 29¢ | $0 | 0x0a07fc… |
| 08-18 14:26:51 | Opulent-Right 0xb100…6461 | No | BUY | 2,495 | 69¢ | $1,732 | 0x76ea0f… |
| 08-18 14:26:51 | (anonymous) 0xd823…12fe | Yes | BUY | 8 | 31¢ | $2 | 0x76ea0f… |
| 08-18 14:26:51 | Juvenile-Hypothesis 0x3bef…f04e | Yes | BUY | 7 | 32¢ | $2 | 0x76ea0f… |
| 08-18 14:26:51 | (anonymous) 0x184b…67b2 | No | BUY | 4 | 71¢ | $3 | 0x0a07fc… |
| 08-18 14:26:51 | (anonymous) 0x00cd…c0ae | Yes | BUY | 5 | 31¢ | $2 | 0x76ea0f… |
| 08-18 14:26:51 | (anonymous) 0xd10a…b9cd | Yes | BUY | 4 | 29¢ | $1 | 0x0a07fc… |
| 08-18 10:30:55 | (anonymous) 0xd823…12fe | Yes | SELL | 8 | 33¢ | $3 | 0xd550a3… |
| 08-18 10:30:55 | (anonymous) 0xf262…c093 | No | SELL | 10 | 67¢ | $7 | 0xd550a3… |
| 08-18 10:30:55 | (anonymous) 0xb143…3c17 | Yes | SELL | 2 | 33¢ | $1 | 0xd550a3… |
| 08-18 10:25:22 | (anonymous) 0x41c9…716b | Yes | BUY | 9 | 32¢ | $3 | 0x182f99… |
| 08-18 10:25:22 | (anonymous) 0x1516…3f5a | Yes | SELL | 9 | 32¢ | $3 | 0x182f99… |
| 08-18 09:56:49 | (anonymous) 0x00cd…c0ae | Yes | SELL | 5 | 32¢ | $2 | 0xc9821f… |