Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$7.15K

Unrealized P&L

+$6

Hit rate

52.0%

Resolved

250

Trades

6,377

lifetime

Volume

$1.72M

lifetime

Avg / trade

$269

Open exposure

$2.86K

9 positions

First seen

2026-06-01

last 11-04 14:46

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 82 days

Categories

Politics

62% 51% -$7,634

Other

36% 48% -$257

Tech

1% 57% +$755

Crypto

0% 80% -$30

Sports

0% 100% +$18

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

84 active days in 12wk • peak 343 trades/day

Open positions (9) Resolved markets (19) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election?	Yes	+6,434	$2,569	40¢	$2.6K	+$2	11-04 15:21
Will the Republican Party hold exactly 45 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?	Yes	+3,622	$688	8¢	$292	-$397	11-04 15:25
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting?	Yes	+0	-$168	82¢	$0	+$168	10-29 12:32
Will the Republican Party hold exactly 44 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?	Yes	+0	-$7	91¢	$0	+$7	11-04 15:24
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House	Yes	+0	-$190	100¢	$0	+$190	11-03 23:37
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 22?	No	+0	$0	42¢	$0	+$0	11-01 18:01
Will the Republicans win the Mississippi Senate race in 2026?	Yes	+0	-$6	7¢	$0	+$6	11-04 15:10
Will Puma Shen win the next Taipei Mayor election?	Yes	+0	$0	31¢	$0	$0	11-04 14:34
Will Radomir Saičić be the next Prime Minister of Serbia?	Yes	+0	-$29	13¢	$0	+$29	10-27 20:09

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	268	$85.3K	88,890	88,890	+0	open	—	11-02 15:44
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	95	$83.4K	143,257	143,257	+0	Yes	-$364	10-27 16:23
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?	75	$76.3K	65,350	65,350	+0	No	-$372	10-25 23:53
Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election?	48	$72.8K	71,763	65,329	+6,434	open	—	11-04 15:21
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?	347	$58.0K	49,469	49,469	+0	Yes	+$2,373	09-16 00:03
Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	360	$57.9K	61,411	61,411	+0	open	—	11-01 19:38
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	62	$56.6K	39,249	39,249	+0	No	+$23	10-24 09:26
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	180	$54.5K	65,400	58,399	+7,000	No	-$7,337	09-16 17:02
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D House	38	$37.6K	32,202	32,202	+0	open	—	11-01 01:20
Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by September 30, 2026?	201	$35.1K	20,845	20,845	+0	No	+$6,486	10-01 07:01
saudi oil pipeline east west restarts by september 30	106	$34.4K	23,299	23,299	+0	No	+$8,043	10-01 06:01
us announces end of iranian blockade by august 7 2026 20260727171523690	72	$28.5K	17,278	17,278	+0	No	+$4,632	08-08 03:59
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 12?	50	$28.0K	14,879	14,879	+0	Yes	+$63	10-09 16:47
US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 15, 2026?	7	$26.1K	19,429	19,429	+0	No	+$0	10-10 07:49
Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by October 31, 2026?	207	$24.8K	80,857	1,221	+79,636	Yes	-$23,936	10-23 11:24
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House	29	$24.6K	18,398	18,398	+0	open	—	11-03 23:37
Any of the Cornell 7 charged with a felony sex crime?	7	$24.5K	18,305	18,305	+0	open	—	10-03 10:10
US x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31?	80	$20.7K	15,275	15,275	+0	No	-$185	10-28 01:56
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House	2	$19.7K	10,000	10,000	+0	open	—	11-04 00:37
Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?	19	$19.5K	14,913	14,913	+0	Yes	-$100	11-03 18:27
Will Ohio enact a data center moratorium by December 31, 2028?	5	$19.0K	12,627	12,627	+0	open	—	10-04 15:28
Will Aleksandar Vučić be the next Prime Minister of Serbia?	27	$17.9K	14,840	14,840	+0	open	—	10-25 09:58
israel x hezbollah permanent peace deal by june 30 2026	60	$17.9K	10,349	10,349	+0	No	+$1,209	06-27 05:53
Will Student List – Students Win win the most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election?	44	$16.3K	13,498	13,498	+0	Yes	+$30	10-24 17:08
will russia and ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by september 15 2026	79	$15.8K	8,958	8,958	+0	No	+$2,036	09-16 04:45
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting?	25	$14.8K	17,414	17,414	+0	open	—	11-03 06:36
us announces end of iranian blockade by august 31 2026 20260713152715084 642	42	$14.2K	9,040	9,040	+0	No	+$258	08-27 12:39
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?	36	$14.2K	10,702	10,702	+0	open	—	10-24 00:25
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	34	$13.6K	11,575	11,575	+0	No	+$405	07-08 08:25
US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 15, 2026?	79	$13.1K	14,818	9,405	+5,413	No	-$600	08-08 17:15

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-04 15:25:00	Will the Republican Party hold exactly 45 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?	Yes	BUY	2	19¢	$0	0x1c4abc…
11-04 15:24:55	Will the Republican Party hold exactly 45 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?	Yes	BUY	1,980	19¢	$376	0xe1c40c…
11-04 15:24:55	Will the Republican Party hold exactly 45 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?	Yes	BUY	342	19¢	$65	0x979647…
11-04 15:24:55	Will the Republican Party hold exactly 45 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?	Yes	BUY	110	19¢	$21	0x92e8fa…
11-04 15:24:55	Will the Republican Party hold exactly 45 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?	Yes	BUY	20	19¢	$4	0x5b9787…
11-04 15:24:55	Will the Republican Party hold exactly 45 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?	Yes	BUY	1,168	19¢	$222	0x0af2c2…
11-04 15:24:36	Will the Republican Party hold exactly 44 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?	Yes	SELL	2,409	79¢	$1,900	0xf16196…
11-04 15:23:04	Will the Republican Party hold exactly 44 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?	Yes	SELL	68	79¢	$54	0x90247b…
11-04 15:22:16	Will the Republican Party hold exactly 44 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?	Yes	SELL	3	79¢	$2	0x56e970…
11-04 15:22:15	Will the Republican Party hold exactly 44 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?	Yes	SELL	981	79¢	$773	0x743fb7…
11-04 15:22:12	Will the Republican Party hold exactly 44 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?	Yes	SELL	459	79¢	$362	0xe74a3b…
11-04 15:21:57	Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election?	Yes	SELL	426	40¢	$171	0x6d7a40…
11-04 15:21:31	Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election?	Yes	SELL	15	40¢	$6	0xe899a8…
11-04 15:20:49	Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election?	Yes	SELL	25	40¢	$10	0xb6fc1e…
11-04 15:14:57	Will the Republican Party hold exactly 44 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?	Yes	BUY	3,000	76¢	$2,295	0xa8d666…
11-04 15:10:31	Will the Republicans win the Mississippi Senate race in 2026?	Yes	SELL	456	14¢	$65	0xb27bac…
11-04 15:10:31	Will the Republicans win the Mississippi Senate race in 2026?	Yes	SELL	505	14¢	$71	0x0c415d…
11-04 15:10:30	Will the Republicans win the Mississippi Senate race in 2026?	Yes	SELL	405	14¢	$57	0xee5659…
11-04 15:10:30	Will the Republicans win the Mississippi Senate race in 2026?	Yes	SELL	100	14¢	$14	0x58efbe…
11-04 15:08:52	Will the Republicans win the Mississippi Senate race in 2026?	Yes	SELL	7	14¢	$1	0x93bdbd…
11-04 15:08:52	Will the Republicans win the Mississippi Senate race in 2026?	Yes	SELL	7	14¢	$1	0x60dd61…
11-04 15:08:51	Will the Republicans win the Mississippi Senate race in 2026?	Yes	SELL	7	14¢	$1	0xb9c684…
11-04 15:08:49	Will the Republicans win the Mississippi Senate race in 2026?	Yes	SELL	7	14¢	$1	0xf49c04…
11-04 15:08:49	Will the Republicans win the Mississippi Senate race in 2026?	Yes	SELL	7	14¢	$1	0xd8b319…
11-04 15:08:49	Will the Republicans win the Mississippi Senate race in 2026?	Yes	SELL	7	14¢	$1	0xcbe97a…
11-04 15:08:49	Will the Republicans win the Mississippi Senate race in 2026?	Yes	SELL	7	14¢	$1	0xaf4ae3…
11-04 15:08:49	Will the Republicans win the Mississippi Senate race in 2026?	Yes	SELL	7	14¢	$1	0xae1d9b…
11-04 15:08:49	Will the Republicans win the Mississippi Senate race in 2026?	Yes	SELL	7	14¢	$1	0x7c9058…
11-04 15:08:49	Will the Republicans win the Mississippi Senate race in 2026?	Yes	SELL	7	14¢	$1	0x462a90…
11-04 15:08:49	Will the Republicans win the Mississippi Senate race in 2026?	Yes	SELL	7	14¢	$1	0x305713…
11-04 15:08:49	Will the Republicans win the Mississippi Senate race in 2026?	Yes	SELL	7	14¢	$1	0x015dbc…
11-04 15:08:48	Will the Republicans win the Mississippi Senate race in 2026?	Yes	SELL	7	14¢	$1	0xf2c5b2…
11-04 15:08:48	Will the Republicans win the Mississippi Senate race in 2026?	Yes	SELL	7	14¢	$1	0xaa1daf…
11-04 15:08:48	Will the Republicans win the Mississippi Senate race in 2026?	Yes	SELL	7	14¢	$1	0x7f918b…
11-04 15:08:48	Will the Republicans win the Mississippi Senate race in 2026?	Yes	SELL	7	14¢	$1	0x68fb95…
11-04 15:08:48	Will the Republicans win the Mississippi Senate race in 2026?	Yes	SELL	7	14¢	$1	0x351f1f…
11-04 15:08:48	Will the Republicans win the Mississippi Senate race in 2026?	Yes	SELL	7	14¢	$1	0x2f5f1c…
11-04 15:08:48	Will the Republicans win the Mississippi Senate race in 2026?	Yes	SELL	7	14¢	$1	0x150849…
11-04 15:08:48	Will the Republicans win the Mississippi Senate race in 2026?	Yes	SELL	7	14¢	$1	0x0d4305…
11-04 15:07:06	Will the Republicans win the Mississippi Senate race in 2026?	Yes	SELL	977	14¢	$137	0xe19feb…
11-04 15:06:31	Will the Republicans win the Mississippi Senate race in 2026?	Yes	SELL	1,201	14¢	$169	0x3d6d4c…
11-04 15:05:57	Will the Republicans win the Mississippi Senate race in 2026?	Yes	SELL	44	14¢	$6	0x29fd96…
11-04 15:03:18	Will the Republicans win the Mississippi Senate race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	3,264	14¢	$457	0xf02ca5…
11-04 15:01:07	Will the Republicans win the Mississippi Senate race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	1,454	14¢	$203	0xaf3211…
11-04 14:46:19	Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election?	Yes	SELL	50	40¢	$20	0x5e331f…
11-04 14:37:40	Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election?	Yes	SELL	9	40¢	$4	0x746976…
11-04 14:35:10	Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election?	Yes	SELL	125	40¢	$50	0xa1ef67…
11-04 14:34:06	Will Puma Shen win the next Taipei Mayor election?	Yes	SELL	1,861	32¢	$594	0x047ce8…
11-04 14:27:39	Will Puma Shen win the next Taipei Mayor election?	Yes	SELL	665	32¢	$212	0x798410…
11-04 14:25:01	Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election?	Yes	SELL	5	40¢	$2	0x8a4478…
11-04 14:23:10	Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election?	Yes	SELL	482	40¢	$193	0x804cbf…
11-04 14:22:46	Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election?	Yes	SELL	500	40¢	$200	0xa38706…
11-04 14:03:43	Will the Republican Party hold exactly 44 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?	Yes	BUY	130	81¢	$105	0xcde3bb…
11-04 14:03:43	Will the Republican Party hold exactly 44 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?	Yes	BUY	120	81¢	$97	0x8a3507…
11-04 14:03:42	Will the Republican Party hold exactly 44 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?	Yes	BUY	30	81¢	$24	0x8a1320…
11-04 14:03:42	Will the Republican Party hold exactly 44 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?	Yes	BUY	120	81¢	$97	0x741f98…
11-04 14:03:40	Will the Republican Party hold exactly 44 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?	Yes	BUY	43	82¢	$35	0xea46bc…
11-04 14:03:40	Will the Republican Party hold exactly 44 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?	Yes	BUY	30	82¢	$24	0xe4c234…
11-04 14:03:40	Will the Republican Party hold exactly 44 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?	Yes	BUY	432	82¢	$352	0xdef699…
11-04 14:03:40	Will the Republican Party hold exactly 44 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?	Yes	BUY	70	82¢	$57	0x84b938…
11-04 14:03:40	Will the Republican Party hold exactly 44 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?	Yes	BUY	25	82¢	$20	0x2cce50…
11-04 13:55:13	Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election?	Yes	SELL	10	40¢	$4	0x25568a…
11-04 13:51:54	Will the Republican Party hold exactly 44 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?	Yes	BUY	30	83¢	$25	0xff7dc6…
11-04 13:51:54	Will the Republican Party hold exactly 44 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?	Yes	BUY	75	82¢	$61	0xc8109a…
11-04 13:51:54	Will the Republican Party hold exactly 44 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?	Yes	BUY	200	82¢	$165	0x78e8fd…
11-04 13:51:54	Will the Republican Party hold exactly 44 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?	Yes	BUY	147	83¢	$121	0x617d5a…
11-04 13:51:54	Will the Republican Party hold exactly 44 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?	Yes	BUY	23	83¢	$19	0x543104…
11-04 13:49:36	Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election?	Yes	SELL	25	40¢	$10	0x5356a3…
11-04 13:48:12	Will the Republican Party hold exactly 44 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?	Yes	BUY	480	83¢	$400	0xec5763…
11-04 13:48:07	Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election?	Yes	SELL	221	40¢	$88	0xcdd8f9…
11-04 13:48:07	Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election?	Yes	SELL	279	40¢	$112	0x1e523d…
11-04 13:42:01	Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election?	Yes	SELL	350	40¢	$140	0xd1efc7…
11-04 13:41:22	Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election?	Yes	SELL	200	40¢	$80	0xc15d0a…
11-04 13:40:39	Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election?	Yes	SELL	75	40¢	$30	0x139565…
11-04 10:58:43	Will the Republicans win the Mississippi Senate race in 2026?	Yes	SELL	300	19¢	$58	0x394ae3…
11-04 10:38:03	Will the Democrats win the Mississippi Senate race in 2026?	No	SELL	549	20¢	$110	0xd57c92…
11-04 10:37:07	Will the Democrats win the Mississippi Senate race in 2026?	No	SELL	2	20¢	$0	0x3f4637…
11-04 10:28:27	Will the Democrats win the Mississippi Senate race in 2026?	No	SELL	49	20¢	$10	0x17b6f6…
11-04 10:14:33	Will Puma Shen win the next Taipei Mayor election?	Yes	SELL	1,359	32¢	$429	0xd7588b…
11-04 10:00:36	Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election?	Yes	SELL	13	40¢	$5	0x43fb7a…
11-04 09:52:46	Will Chiang Wan-an win the next Taipei Mayor election?	No	SELL	65	29¢	$19	0x8c6b5d…
11-04 09:49:10	Will Chiang Wan-an win the next Taipei Mayor election?	No	BUY	60	29¢	$17	0xbbf58b…
11-04 09:49:10	Will Chiang Wan-an win the next Taipei Mayor election?	No	BUY	5	29¢	$1	0x033383…
11-04 09:48:57	Will Puma Shen win the next Taipei Mayor election?	Yes	BUY	2,399	32¢	$758	0x7c008b…
11-04 09:39:07	Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election?	Yes	SELL	20	40¢	$8	0x8b5232…
11-04 09:37:48	Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election?	Yes	SELL	27	40¢	$11	0xe56410…
11-04 09:36:27	Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election?	Yes	SELL	184	40¢	$73	0xb1600c…
11-04 09:14:27	Will the Republicans win the Mississippi Senate race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	300	18¢	$56	0x806efc…
11-04 09:12:03	Will the Democrats win the Mississippi Senate race in 2026?	No	BUY	331	19¢	$61	0xf904bc…
11-04 09:11:28	Will the Democrats win the Mississippi Senate race in 2026?	No	BUY	269	18¢	$50	0xddd2de…
11-04 04:29:37	Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election?	Yes	BUY	1,260	40¢	$501	0xaf0ec6…
11-04 04:29:33	Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election?	Yes	BUY	4,188	40¢	$1,671	0x989c00…
11-04 00:37:48	2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House	No	SELL	10,000	99¢	$9,860	0x9cb771…
11-04 00:09:40	2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House	No	BUY	10,000	98¢	$9,830	0xf08bd4…
11-03 23:37:43	2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House	Yes	SELL	1,998	85¢	$1,698	0x629f7a…
11-03 23:37:22	2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House	Yes	SELL	402	85¢	$342	0x908be4…
11-03 23:37:22	2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House	Yes	SELL	402	85¢	$342	0x79b221…
11-03 23:37:22	2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House	Yes	SELL	100	85¢	$85	0x14b3c0…
11-03 23:37:21	2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House	Yes	SELL	402	85¢	$342	0xf9c240…
11-03 23:37:21	2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House	Yes	SELL	402	85¢	$342	0xe91ea8…