Realized P&L
-$4.64K
Unrealized P&L
-$716
Hit rate
57.5%
Resolved
198
Trades
6,067
lifetime
Volume
$1.55M
lifetime
Avg / trade
$255
Open exposure
$6.91K
20 positions
First seen
2026-06-01
last 10-30 21:24
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 77 days
Categories
Politics
59% 62% -$5,266
Other
39% 48% +$31
Tech
1% 80% +$756
Crypto
0% 67% -$182
Sports
0% 100% +$18
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
84 active days in 12wk • peak 343 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House Yes +5,000 $3,550 70¢ $3.5K -$75 10-30 19:27
Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel? No +2,124 $1,387 66¢ $1.4K +$22 10-30 14:22
Will Anthropic have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026? Yes +1,765 $902 43¢ $758 -$144 10-14 22:20
Will Republicans lose the Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas Senate seats? Yes +3,000 $750 24¢ $735 -$15 10-30 14:35
Will no qualifying US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting take place by December 31, 2026? No +1,104 $509 48¢ $525 +$16 10-30 18:13
Will Saudi airspace be closed by December 31? Yes +100 $17 13¢ $13 -$4 09-27 11:30
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D House Yes +1 $47 24¢ $0 -$47 10-30 15:23
Will North Carolina enact a data center moratorium by December 31, 2027? Yes +0 $14 29¢ $0 -$14 10-09 09:33
Will the Republicans win the Michigan Senate race in 2026? Yes +0 $19 24¢ $0 -$19 10-29 07:41
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting? Yes +0 -$168 70¢ $0 +$168 10-29 12:32
Will oil be below $85 on November 2 and the Republicans win the Senate? Yes +2 $71 1¢ $0 -$71 10-17 05:04
US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 8? No +0 $311 28¢ $0 -$311 10-30 14:40
Will the Democrats win the Ohio Senate race in 2026? Yes +0 -$22 70¢ $0 +$22 10-29 20:25
Will Anthropic have the best Code Arena | WebDev AI at the end of October 2026? No +0 $1 2¢ $0 -$1 10-23 10:50
Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? No +0 $0 30¢ $0 $0 10-30 03:03
Will Аndrey Gyurov win the next Bulgarian presidential election? Yes +0 $0 39¢ $0 +$0 10-27 01:32
Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026? No +0 $0 32¢ $0 $0 10-30 12:59
Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? Yes +0 $271 30¢ $0 -$271 10-30 19:37
Will Radomir Saičić be the next Prime Minister of Serbia? Yes +0 -$29 16¢ $0 +$29 10-27 20:09
Israel accuses Iran/proxies of plane stabbing incident by Oct 31? Yes +0 $0 1¢ $0 $0 10-07 12:57