High-Alarm 0x923874…77b73e
whale cold
← all wallets
Realized P&L
-$3.12K
Unrealized P&L
+$900
Hit rate
41.1%
Resolved
43
Trades
17,638
lifetime
Volume
$549.8K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$31
Open exposure
$5.54K
25 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 07-20 22:53
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 14 days
Categories
Other
73% 53% $-877
Politics
26% 40% $-2,161
Sports
0% 50% $-81
Crypto
0% — —
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
85 active days in 12wk • peak 371 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Russia enter Sumy by December 31, 2026? No -893 $-830 92¢ $-826 +$4 06-11 20:09
Will Russia capture Lyman by December 31, 2026? Yes +1,227 $541 57¢ $699 +$159 07-20 22:53
Will Russia capture Prymorske by December 31, 2026? No +776 $549 80¢ $625 +$76 07-17 21:51
Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026? Yes +1,219 $526 48¢ $579 +$53 07-08 06:47
Will Russia enter Dopropillia by December 31, 2026? Yes +784 $352 60¢ $474 +$122 07-20 11:38
US recognizes Russian sovereignty over Ukraine before 2027? No -490 $-441 92¢ $-449 $-7 07-12 14:59
Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026? No +465 $242 52¢ $244 +$2 07-13 13:39
Will Russia enter Sloviansk by December 31, 2026? Yes +1,230 $265 18¢ $228 $-37 07-20 17:41
Will Russia enter Druzkhivka by December 31, 2026? Yes +830 $215 26¢ $216 +$1 07-12 17:38
Will Russia enter Kramatorsk by December 31, 2026? Yes +1,100 $183 20¢ $214 +$32 07-16 10:50
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026? No -150 $-154 90¢ $-134 +$19 07-14 12:29
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30? Yes +595 $44 22¢ $128 +$84 07-17 09:05
Trump goes to space in 2026? No -100 $-96 98¢ $-98 $-2 06-05 09:32
Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027? No -105 $-112 84¢ $-88 +$23 07-14 12:29
Will Trump meet with Aleksandr Lukashenko in 2026? No -100 $-72 76¢ $-76 $-3 07-09 10:48
Ethereum all time high by December 31, 2026? Yes +1,415 $78 4¢ $64 $-14 07-18 05:46
Will Russia invade another country in 2026? No -69 $-77 92¢ $-63 +$13 07-12 14:59
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? Yes +235 $21 26¢ $62 +$41 07-19 16:31
Will Russia enter Kharkiv by December 31, 2026? No +59 $54 97¢ $57 +$3 07-08 08:45
Will Russia capture all of Vovchansk by December 31? Yes +148 $33 38¢ $57 +$24 06-19 20:17
Will Russia capture Lyman by December 31, 2026? No +124 $-48 43¢ $53 +$101 07-20 22:31
Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 by December 31, 2026? No +50 $19 68¢ $34 +$15 06-06 19:01
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? Yes -300 $-42 11¢ $-32 +$11 05-29 16:01
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by September 30? Yes -32 $-204 70¢ $-23 +$182 07-12 13:45
Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2026? Yes +150 $14 9¢ $14 $-0 07-16 16:13