Realized P&L
-$3.12K
Unrealized P&L
+$1.17K
Hit rate
41.1%
Resolved
43
Trades
15,930
lifetime
Volume
$500.2K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$31
Open exposure
$8.94K
30 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 06-30 06:49
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 14 days
Categories
Other
73% 53% $-877
Politics
26% 40% $-2,161
Sports
0% 50% $-81
Crypto
0%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
85 active days in 12wk • peak 371 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Russia enter Druzkhivka by June 30? No -3,224 $-3,216 100¢ $-3219 $-3 06-28 19:17
Will Russia enter Sumy by December 31, 2026? No -893 $-830 92¢ $-822 +$8 06-11 20:09
Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia before 2027? No +750 $668 88¢ $664 $-4 06-29 22:56
Will Russia invade another country in 2026? No +466 $407 92¢ $431 +$24 06-03 05:28
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by September 30? Yes -482 $-386 76¢ $-369 +$17 06-19 18:30
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026? No -325 $-335 100¢ $-324 +$11 06-01 07:41
Will Russia capture all of Rodynske again by June 30? No -288 $-289 99¢ $-284 +$6 06-06 15:52
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by June 30? No +249 $57 96¢ $239 +$181 06-30 06:49
Will Russia capture Lyman by December 31, 2026? Yes +347 $19 68¢ $238 +$219 06-25 20:17
Will Russia capture Prymorske by September 30, 2026? No +253 $197 90¢ $227 +$29 06-30 09:26
Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026? Yes +430 $134 50¢ $217 +$83 06-24 17:43
Will Russia enter Druzkhivka by December 31, 2026? Yes +697 $185 28¢ $195 +$10 06-26 09:10
Will Russia capture all of Lyman by December 31, 2026? Yes +710 $200 26¢ $185 $-15 06-27 18:05
Will Russia capture Lyman by December 31, 2026? No +532 $123 32¢ $168 +$44 06-29 12:19
Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Gaza by June 30? No +150 $92 99¢ $149 +$57 06-03 19:59
Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027? No +152 $118 86¢ $130 +$12 06-24 20:39
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $115 by end of June? No +125 $84 100¢ $125 +$41 06-13 01:09
US recognizes Russian sovereignty over Ukraine before 2027? No +136 $115 86¢ $117 +$2 06-28 13:10
Will Russia enter Kramatorsk by December 31, 2026? Yes +550 $92 18¢ $99 +$7 06-29 20:04
Trump goes to space in 2026? No -100 $-96 97¢ $-97 $-1 06-05 09:32
Will Russia enter Sloviansk by December 31, 2026? Yes +385 $84 24¢ $90 +$7 06-19 09:10
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $110 by end of June? No +85 $-21 100¢ $85 +$106 06-15 04:13
Will Russia enter Dopropillia by December 31, 2026? Yes -175 $-81 45¢ $-79 +$2 06-30 09:19
Ethereum all time high by December 31, 2026? Yes +1,258 $71 $75 +$5 06-10 09:52
Will Russia capture all of Vovchansk by December 31? Yes +148 $33 50¢ $73 +$40 06-19 20:17
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $105 by end of June? No -71 $-256 100¢ $-71 +$184 06-16 14:58
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? No -50 $-136 99¢ $-50 +$86 06-16 15:24
Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026? No +205 $65 23¢ $47 $-18 06-07 07:22
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026? No +50 $28 90¢ $45 +$17 06-22 02:49
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? Yes -300 $-42 10¢ $-28 +$14 05-29 16:01