High-Alarm 0x923874…77b73e
whale hot 3W streak
← all wallets
Realized P&L
+$43.3K
Unrealized P&L
+$961
Hit rate
78.7%
Resolved
1,617
Trades
25,491
lifetime
Volume
$819.6K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$32
Open exposure
$10.0K
30 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 10-28 09:00
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 268 days
Categories
Other
71% 55% +$32,548
Politics
29% 49% +$10,811
Sports
0% 46% -$85
Crypto
0% 33% -$7
Pop-Culture
0% — —
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
85 active days in 12wk • peak 185 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026? No +1,530 $993 68¢ $1.0K +$40 10-19 19:37
Will Russia capture all of Bilytske by December 31? No +2,233 $912 36¢ $815 -$97 10-26 08:33
Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026? Yes +940 $690 74¢ $700 +$10 10-26 19:51
Will the Democrats win the South Carolina Senate race in 2026? No +850 $689 74¢ $629 -$60 10-28 10:28
Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026? Yes +900 $576 68¢ $607 +$31 10-19 21:21
Will Dan Sullivan win the Alaska Senate race in 2026? No +720 $533 74¢ $536 +$4 10-19 12:10
Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia before 2027? No -525 -$441 94¢ $-494 -$53 07-12 14:58
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House Yes +750 $420 66¢ $491 +$72 10-21 13:04
Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? No +700 $439 66¢ $466 +$26 10-15 02:19
US recognizes Russian sovereignty over Ukraine before 2027? No -438 -$397 95¢ $-415 -$18 07-12 14:59
Will the Democrats win the Nevada governor race in 2026? Yes +475 $264 80¢ $378 +$114 10-20 00:45
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? No +550 -$631 56¢ $305 +$936 10-28 08:57
Will Russia capture all of Lyman by December 31, 2026? No -300 -$204 95¢ $-286 -$81 05-08 09:21
Will Édouard Philippe win the 2027 French presidential election? Yes +1,550 $310 18¢ $271 -$38 10-24 14:40
Will an independent win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026? No +375 $266 72¢ $268 +$2 10-21 17:15
Will the Republicans win the Nevada governor race in 2026? No +275 $149 80¢ $219 +$70 10-14 19:10
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by December 31, 2026? No +250 -$134 86¢ $216 +$350 10-21 16:44
Will Trump's approval rating hit 35% in 2026? Yes +650 $211 30¢ $195 -$16 10-11 20:55
Will Russia enter Kramatorsk by December 31, 2026? Yes +1,809 $163 11¢ $190 +$27 10-13 01:47
Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? Yes +275 $216 66¢ $183 -$33 10-19 20:57
Will the Republicans win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026? Yes +250 $176 72¢ $179 +$2 10-18 18:59
Will Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? Yes +300 $133 55¢ $165 +$32 10-15 17:27
Will Russia enter Druzkhivka by December 31, 2026? Yes +600 $300 27¢ $162 -$138 10-16 05:31
Will Likud win 20-24 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? No +150 $87 100¢ $150 +$63 10-17 09:42
Will Russia enter Sloviansk by December 31, 2026? Yes +1,625 $278 8¢ $138 -$140 10-12 06:45
Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? Yes +150 $120 72¢ $109 -$11 10-15 06:21
Will Manchester City win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship? Yes +800 $154 14¢ $108 -$46 10-19 16:16
Will Iliana Iotova win the next Bulgarian presidential election? Yes +150 $103 72¢ $107 +$4 10-27 12:46
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes +1,000 $134 11¢ $107 -$27 08-06 20:08
Will Russia capture all of Chasiv Yar by December 31? Yes +300 $144 27¢ $81 -$63 09-15 12:29