Realized P&L (7d)
+$112
Unrealized P&L
-$1.09K
Hit rate
66.1%
Resolved (7d)
62
Trades (7d)
505
26,012 lifetime
Volume (7d)
$21.8K
$842.1K lifetime
Avg / trade
$32
Open exposure
$3.86K
30 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 11-04 09:11
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 274 days
Categories
Other
70% 55% +$32,427
Politics
30% 49% +$10,972
Sports
0% 46% -$85
Crypto
0% 33% -$7
Pop-Culture
0% 0% -$34
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
85 active days in 12wk • peak 185 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Russia capture all of Bilytske by December 31? No +2,205 $900 24¢ $518 -$382 10-28 20:23
Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia before 2027? No -525 -$441 95¢ $-499 -$58 07-12 14:58
US recognizes Russian sovereignty over Ukraine before 2027? No -438 -$397 95¢ $-415 -$18 07-12 14:59
Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026? Yes +300 $145 96¢ $290 +$144 11-04 08:45
Will Russia capture all of Lyman by December 31, 2026? No -300 -$204 95¢ $-285 -$80 05-08 09:21
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House Yes -200 -$510 100¢ $-200 +$310 11-04 02:03
Will Édouard Philippe win the 2027 French presidential election? Yes +1,550 $310 12¢ $178 -$131 10-24 14:40
Will Trump's approval rating hit 35% in 2026? Yes +400 $136 33¢ $132 -$4 10-31 20:15
Will Ukraine re-enter Uspenivka by December 31? Yes +407 $83 29¢ $116 +$33 10-21 07:21
Will Russia enter Druzkhivka by December 31, 2026? Yes +600 $300 18¢ $111 -$189 10-16 05:31
Will Ukraine re-enter Uspenivka by December 31? No +155 -$31 72¢ $111 +$142 06-14 13:32
Will Russia enter Kramatorsk by December 31, 2026? Yes +1,809 $163 6¢ $99 -$64 10-13 01:47
Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? Yes +150 $120 64¢ $97 -$23 10-15 06:21
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes +1,000 $134 9¢ $90 -$44 08-06 20:08
Will Russia enter Sloviansk by December 31, 2026? Yes +1,625 $278 6¢ $89 -$189 10-12 06:45
Will Russia capture all of Chasiv Yar by December 31? Yes +200 $85 44¢ $87 +$2 11-02 18:04
Will Manchester City win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship? Yes +800 $154 11¢ $84 -$70 10-19 16:16
will mark rutte visit ukraine by december 31 2026 20260729210126047 Yes +100 $59 54¢ $54 -$5 08-01 10:52
Will Russia invade another country in 2026? No -50 -$73 97¢ $-48 +$25 10-14 06:24
Israel x Turkey military clash before 2027? No -50 -$44 95¢ $-48 -$4 05-07 09:16
Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes +1,700 $40 2¢ $42 +$2 07-26 21:43
Will Russia enter Khatnie by December 31, 2026? No +50 $5 82¢ $41 +$36 09-27 21:25
will russia capture kupiansk vuzlovyi by december 31 547 Yes +300 $9 13¢ $39 +$30 08-19 07:34
Will Alireza Arafi be head of state in Iran end of 2026? Yes +1,000 $10 3¢ $32 +$22 06-15 07:28
Will Aleksandar Vučić be the next Prime Minister of Serbia? Yes +1,100 $775 3¢ $30 -$746 10-25 19:15
Will Russia capture Mala Tokmachka by December 31, 2026? Yes +350 -$60 8¢ $28 +$88 10-26 06:13
will a 1 year enrichment moratorium be in a us iran deal in 2026 20260623023201635 Yes +200 $60 14¢ $27 -$33 08-02 22:21
Will Ukraine re-enter Myrnohrad by December 31? No +25 -$114 96¢ $24 +$138 09-05 19:47
Ethereum all time high by December 31, 2026? Yes +1,135 $43 2¢ $23 -$21 10-14 18:00
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31? Yes -50 -$18 44¢ $-22 -$4 05-04 12:16