Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia before 2027?
open
Total volume
$119,229
$924 in 24h
Trades
1,607
Unique wallets
428
Liquidity
$23,569
Latest YES mid
12¢
Latest NO mid
88¢
End date
2026-12-31
First seen
2026-05-27
last 08-05 08:23
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
YES holders
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
SMI:
-1.7¢
(top1%: 7% YES on $11.8K
vs crowd: 9% YES on $75.9K)
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐋 Whale | 28 | $746 | $30.2K | $29.4K |
| 🐬 Dolphin | 31 | $177 | $15.0K | $14.9K |
| 🐟 Fish | 116 | $5.0K | $20.3K | $15.3K |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 253 | $845 | $3.6K | $2.8K |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🎯 Top 1% | 13 | $842 | $10.9K | $10.1K |
| 🏆 Top 5% | 28 | $1.1K | $3.6K | $2.5K |
| ✅ Top 10% | 18 | $204 | $4.2K | $4.0K |
| Median | 55 | $87 | $755 | $669 |
| Below median | 63 | $181 | $1.5K | $1.3K |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 25 | $85 | $3.6K | $3.5K |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 36 | $36 | $8.3K | $8.3K |
| 💀 Bottom 1% | 18 | $432 | $26.5K | $26.1K |
| unranked | 172 | $3.8K | $9.8K | $6.0K |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| (anonymous) 0xfdfa…7fa8 | Yes | +23,289 | $2,952 | $2,952 | 39 | 07-31 14:44 |
| Dearest-Agenda 0xbacd…ab35 | No | +7,514 | $6,692 | $6,692 | 6 | 07-25 21:25 |
| Blaring-Surge 0xcb89…a2e8 | No | +7,049 | $6,031 | $6,031 | 16 | 08-02 10:50 |
| CompulsiveGambler 0xe0f1…c4bd | No | +7,000 | $6,036 | $6,036 | 13 | 07-20 22:21 |
| Mediocre-Coalition 0xf18f…294c | Yes | +5,000 | $660 | $660 | 10 | 07-08 14:17 |
| Finished-Wind 0xd44e…67e2 | No | +4,390 | $3,772 | $3,772 | 2 | 07-20 09:55 |
| Joint-Washbasin 0x1b60…a55b | No | +3,496 | $3,118 | $3,118 | 7 | 07-22 19:26 |
| (anonymous) 0x4bbe…2cf3 | No | +3,227 | $2,872 | $2,872 | 70 | 07-17 15:14 |
| (anonymous) 0x9204…5c05 | No | +2,829 | $2,500 | $2,500 | 3 | 07-31 14:44 |
| (anonymous) 0xe72e…282d | No | +2,681 | $2,430 | $2,430 | 1 | 07-27 23:48 |
| Petty-Silver 0x24d2…1472 | Yes | +2,359 | $259 | $259 | 3 | 07-27 23:17 |
| Threadbare-Signal 0xb886…81b3 | Yes | +2,111 | $161 | $217 | 6 | 08-04 12:02 |
| (anonymous) 0x5da5…e620 | Yes | +1,626 | $200 | $200 | 1 | 07-25 21:25 |
| Peppery-Capital 0x7c3d…5c6b | Yes | +1,477 | $128 | $128 | 10 | 08-02 09:45 |
| (anonymous) 0xd556…8ea6 | No | +1,449 | $1,275 | $1,275 | 1 | 07-20 09:21 |
| Indelible-Vitamin 0x2bc7…e411 | No | +1,347 | $1,201 | $1,201 | 26 | 08-04 12:31 |
| Flamboyant-Warming 0xc7d0…1f8a | No | +1,262 | $963 | $963 | 2 | 06-17 06:54 |
| cr7 0xa28e…b220 | Yes | +1,250 | $213 | $213 | 1 | 06-07 15:33 |
| Pale-Sentiment 0x0e09…05bb | No | +1,088 | $1,000 | $1,000 | 1 | 08-02 09:45 |
| Repulsive-Shackle 0xc550…272d | No | +795 | $697 | $2,585 | 8 | 08-01 09:46 |
| Small-Pompom 0x9d73…216b | No | +730 | $654 | $1,146 | 11 | 07-27 23:48 |
| Dearest-Agenda 0xbacd…ab35 | Yes | +655 | $60 | $60 | 5 | 08-02 09:45 |
| (anonymous) 0x5923…49cd | No | +633 | $554 | $2,237 | 23 | 08-04 09:47 |
| Female-Afternoon 0x3dbe…0f2d | Yes | +531 | $100 | $100 | 1 | 06-22 03:32 |
| Small-Blowhole 0xb24c…eefe | No | +500 | $450 | $450 | 1 | 06-28 16:14 |
| Occasional-Persimmon 0x98dc…9949 | Yes | +460 | $51 | $51 | 1 | 07-06 06:07 |
| Aged-Drum 0xdc70…cc56 | No | +449 | $392 | $392 | 2 | 07-20 09:55 |
| JuicedBunched 0x2eba…ffa3 | Yes | +417 | $42 | $42 | 1 | 07-07 06:32 |
| Noted-Shop 0x0260…0d88 | No | +415 | $254 | $7,910 | 22 | 06-18 16:24 |
| Weepy-Wild 0xf5e8…a1ce | No | +400 | $368 | $368 | 1 | 08-05 08:23 |
| (anonymous) 0xd9b0…ca66 | No | +346 | $294 | $294 | 1 | 06-12 09:19 |
| Wilted-Burden-Survivor 0xd8d5…8935 | No | +300 | $258 | $258 | 1 | 07-20 21:53 |
| Reliable-Airman 0xb04a…acfc | No | +300 | $258 | $258 | 1 | 07-21 05:01 |
| Skeletal-Manservant 0x60dc…9057 | No | +300 | $264 | $264 | 6 | 07-25 12:06 |
| Keen-Spectacles 0x9fb7…cf03 | Yes | +299 | $50 | $50 | 1 | 06-17 06:54 |
| (anonymous) 0xd11c…0d06 | No | +291 | $244 | $244 | 3 | 07-20 09:56 |
| Strident-Export 0x35e3…9188 | Yes | +287 | $28 | $28 | 10 | 08-03 19:00 |
| Arctic-Kickoff 0xa667…ceb3 | No | +251 | $225 | $336 | 7 | 07-23 22:07 |
| Tough-Garter 0x03c8…0e01 | Yes | +250 | $38 | $38 | 1 | 06-21 23:47 |
| Understated-Topsail 0x2c9d…61e5 | Yes | +235 | $40 | $40 | 3 | 06-03 13:36 |
| (anonymous) 0x45e2…7261 | Yes | +227 | $25 | $25 | 1 | 07-06 00:42 |
| (anonymous) 0xbff5…655b | Yes | +200 | $20 | $20 | 1 | 07-08 23:08 |
| Scientific-Guava 0x49c4…db5b | Yes | +155 | $16 | $16 | 1 | 08-02 09:45 |
| Alienated-Remark 0x6c59…e3bb | No | +148 | $125 | $215 | 6 | 07-27 23:48 |
| Amused-Sight-Bend 0x6365…eba8 | Yes | +136 | $15 | $15 | 3 | 07-18 13:56 |
| Sparkling-Self 0xf257…3ed5 | No | +119 | $100 | $100 | 2 | 06-06 11:38 |
| (anonymous) 0x9c72…3821 | Yes | +118 | $20 | $20 | 1 | 06-13 09:24 |
| Sociable-Temperature-Logo 0x1eb4…3022 | No | +118 | $100 | $100 | 1 | 06-17 20:50 |
| (anonymous) 0xce38…1325 | No | +112 | $100 | $100 | 1 | 07-29 22:43 |
| Necessary-Potato 0x54b5…2e90 | No | +110 | $100 | $100 | 1 | 07-02 05:06 |
| Faithful-Razor 0x6731…4e4e | Yes | +100 | $15 | $15 | 1 | 05-29 20:04 |
| (anonymous) 0xd595…2b51 | Yes | +100 | $10 | $10 | 1 | 08-01 14:00 |
| Scrawny-Debris 0xe117…b4e7 | Yes | +100 | $11 | $11 | 1 | 07-03 20:22 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-05 08:23:27 | (anonymous) 0xaf05…33e2 | No | SELL | 10 | 92¢ | $9 | 0xb1affa… |
| 08-05 08:23:27 | (anonymous) 0x6b0e…e3ea | Yes | BUY | 108 | 8¢ | $9 | 0xb1affa… |
| 08-05 08:23:27 | (anonymous) 0x90df…4c6b | No | SELL | 50 | 92¢ | $46 | 0xb1affa… |
| 08-05 08:23:27 | Easy-Koala 0xe6fd…8bc3 | No | SELL | 214 | 92¢ | $197 | 0xb1affa… |
| 08-05 08:23:27 | Weepy-Wild 0xf5e8…a1ce | No | BUY | 400 | 92¢ | $368 | 0xb1affa… |
| 08-05 08:23:27 | (anonymous) 0xd81e…0fe5 | Yes | BUY | 7 | 8¢ | $1 | 0xb1affa… |
| 08-05 08:23:27 | (anonymous) 0xd9fe…db0d | Yes | BUY | 11 | 8¢ | $1 | 0xb1affa… |
| 08-04 22:33:03 | (anonymous) 0xaf05…33e2 | No | BUY | 4 | 90¢ | $3 | 0xb19199… |
| 08-04 22:33:03 | Funny-Connotation 0x07b9…0fbb | No | BUY | 2 | 89¢ | $2 | 0xb19199… |
| 08-04 22:33:03 | Adventurous-Traveler 0x7f13…f06a | Yes | BUY | 10 | 10¢ | $1 | 0xb19199… |
| 08-04 16:07:59 | Annual-Makeup 0x57d5…0790 | No | SELL | 1 | 90¢ | $1 | 0xd67b1e… |
| 08-04 16:07:59 | (anonymous) 0xaf05…33e2 | No | BUY | 1 | 90¢ | $1 | 0xd67b1e… |
| 08-04 15:29:45 | Bruised-Venture 0x0dca…e890 | No | SELL | 4 | 92¢ | $4 | 0xd0d744… |
| 08-04 15:29:45 | Breakable-Stepsister 0xe23b…f147 | Yes | BUY | 1 | 8¢ | $0 | 0xd0d744… |
| 08-04 15:29:45 | Live-Queen 0xc934…9887 | No | BUY | 5 | 92¢ | $5 | 0xd0d744… |
| 08-04 12:31:38 | Indelible-Vitamin 0x2bc7…e411 | No | BUY | 104 | 90¢ | $94 | 0x17ace7… |
| 08-04 12:31:38 | (anonymous) 0xef0d…7e94 | No | SELL | 139 | 90¢ | $125 | 0x17ace7… |
| 08-04 12:31:38 | Funny-Connotation 0x07b9…0fbb | No | BUY | 33 | 89¢ | $30 | 0x17ace7… |
| 08-04 12:31:38 | Bruised-Venture 0x0dca…e890 | No | BUY | 2 | 89¢ | $1 | 0x17ace7… |
| 08-04 12:02:45 | Indelible-Vitamin 0x2bc7…e411 | No | BUY | 4 | 90¢ | $3 | 0xb0e916… |
| 08-04 12:02:45 | (anonymous) 0x9e59…a4ba | No | SELL | 4 | 90¢ | $3 | 0xb0e916… |
| 08-04 12:02:41 | Shameful-Endoderm 0x275a…a8f6 | Yes | BUY | 25 | 8¢ | $2 | 0xd780c4… |
| 08-04 12:02:41 | Bitter-Cartoon 0xa0bc…d428 | No | SELL | 500 | 92¢ | $460 | 0xd780c4… |
| 08-04 12:02:41 | Threadbare-Signal 0xb886…81b3 | Yes | BUY | 127 | 8¢ | $10 | 0xd780c4… |
| 08-04 12:02:41 | Wide-Thorn 0xa703…6a73 | No | BUY | 674 | 92¢ | $620 | 0xd780c4… |
| 08-04 12:02:41 | Bruised-Venture 0x0dca…e890 | No | SELL | 1 | 92¢ | $1 | 0xd780c4… |
| 08-04 10:02:21 | Indelible-Vitamin 0x2bc7…e411 | No | BUY | 21 | 90¢ | $19 | 0xc1aa53… |
| 08-04 10:02:21 | Flippant-Scam 0x1eda…c952 | No | SELL | 21 | 90¢ | $19 | 0xc1aa53… |
| 08-04 09:47:35 | (anonymous) 0x5923…49cd | No | BUY | 7 | 92¢ | $6 | 0x8f05e4… |
| 08-04 09:47:35 | Threadbare-Signal 0xb886…81b3 | Yes | BUY | 7 | 8¢ | $1 | 0x8f05e4… |
| 08-03 19:00:12 | Wide-Thorn 0xa703…6a73 | No | BUY | 1,090 | 92¢ | $1,000 | 0x36d104… |
| 08-03 19:00:12 | Funny-Connotation 0x07b9…0fbb | No | SELL | 143 | 91¢ | $130 | 0x36d104… |
| 08-03 19:00:12 | Strident-Export 0x35e3…9188 | Yes | BUY | 84 | 9¢ | $8 | 0x36d104… |
| 08-03 19:00:12 | (anonymous) 0xd9fe…db0d | Yes | BUY | 7 | 9¢ | $1 | 0x36d104… |
| 08-03 19:00:12 | Threadbare-Signal 0xb886…81b3 | Yes | BUY | 843 | 8¢ | $67 | 0x36d104… |
| 08-03 19:00:12 | Bruised-Venture 0x0dca…e890 | No | SELL | 7 | 91¢ | $6 | 0x36d104… |
| 08-03 17:42:59 | (anonymous) 0x8312…133d | No | SELL | 21 | 90¢ | $19 | 0x48287b… |
| 08-03 17:42:59 | Indelible-Vitamin 0x2bc7…e411 | No | BUY | 21 | 90¢ | $19 | 0x48287b… |
| 08-03 06:33:27 | Bruised-Venture 0x0dca…e890 | No | BUY | 5 | 89¢ | $5 | 0x59cc83… |
| 08-03 06:33:27 | (anonymous) 0x5dde…0a17 | No | SELL | 5 | 89¢ | $5 | 0x59cc83… |
| 08-02 21:07:03 | Funny-Connotation 0x07b9…0fbb | No | BUY | 38 | 88¢ | $34 | 0xd6b573… |
| 08-02 21:07:03 | (anonymous) 0xd81e…0fe5 | Yes | SELL | 6 | 11¢ | $1 | 0xd6b573… |
| 08-02 21:07:03 | Bruised-Venture 0x0dca…e890 | No | BUY | 7 | 89¢ | $6 | 0xd6b573… |
| 08-02 21:07:03 | (anonymous) 0xa0e1…a653 | Yes | BUY | 51 | 12¢ | $6 | 0xd6b573… |
| 08-02 18:14:39 | Bruised-Venture 0x0dca…e890 | No | BUY | 6 | 89¢ | $5 | 0x5cfbe3… |
| 08-02 18:14:39 | (anonymous) 0xd81e…0fe5 | Yes | SELL | 1 | 11¢ | $0 | 0x5cfbe3… |
| 08-02 18:14:39 | Flickering-Viscose 0x3b78…5ce6 | No | SELL | 7 | 89¢ | $6 | 0x5cfbe3… |
| 08-02 17:51:03 | Strident-Export 0x35e3…9188 | Yes | BUY | 61 | 9¢ | $5 | 0x7176ed… |
| 08-02 17:51:03 | (anonymous) 0x7a63…b4ef | Yes | SELL | 61 | 9¢ | $5 | 0x7176ed… |
| 08-02 10:51:42 | Strident-Export 0x35e3…9188 | Yes | BUY | 11 | 9¢ | $1 | 0x1783e3… |
| 08-02 10:51:42 | (anonymous) 0xda90…8efa | Yes | SELL | 11 | 9¢ | $1 | 0x1783e3… |
| 08-02 10:50:23 | (anonymous) 0x8c5f…5397 | No | SELL | 1 | 90¢ | $1 | 0xe5db7a… |
| 08-02 10:50:23 | Blaring-Surge 0xcb89…a2e8 | No | BUY | 1 | 90¢ | $1 | 0xe5db7a… |
| 08-02 09:45:48 | Blaring-Surge 0xcb89…a2e8 | No | BUY | 155 | 90¢ | $140 | 0xdfb782… |
| 08-02 09:45:48 | Scientific-Guava 0x49c4…db5b | Yes | BUY | 155 | 10¢ | $16 | 0xdfb782… |
| 08-02 09:45:39 | Blaring-Surge 0xcb89…a2e8 | No | BUY | 10 | 90¢ | $9 | 0xea087e… |
| 08-02 09:45:39 | Left-Mailman 0xd3fe…2b28 | Yes | BUY | 10 | 10¢ | $1 | 0xea087e… |
| 08-02 09:45:35 | (anonymous) 0xe0d7…1314 | Yes | BUY | 10 | 10¢ | $1 | 0xbed1ac… |
| 08-02 09:45:35 | Blaring-Surge 0xcb89…a2e8 | No | BUY | 10 | 90¢ | $9 | 0x27f9ab… |
| 08-02 09:45:35 | (anonymous) 0x48ea…cb19 | Yes | BUY | 10 | 10¢ | $1 | 0x27f9ab… |
| 08-02 09:45:35 | Blaring-Surge 0xcb89…a2e8 | No | BUY | 10 | 90¢ | $9 | 0xbed1ac… |
| 08-02 09:45:33 | Blaring-Surge 0xcb89…a2e8 | No | BUY | 11 | 90¢ | $10 | 0x48de7a… |
| 08-02 09:45:33 | (anonymous) 0x5449…992b | Yes | BUY | 11 | 10¢ | $1 | 0x48de7a… |
| 08-02 09:45:32 | (anonymous) 0xb6ce…895d | Yes | BUY | 16 | 10¢ | $2 | 0x2e9bac… |
| 08-02 09:45:32 | Blaring-Surge 0xcb89…a2e8 | No | BUY | 16 | 90¢ | $14 | 0x2e9bac… |
| 08-02 09:45:30 | (anonymous) 0xda90…8efa | Yes | BUY | 11 | 10¢ | $1 | 0x8a1101… |
| 08-02 09:45:30 | (anonymous) 0x8c5f…5397 | No | BUY | 1 | 91¢ | $1 | 0x9ea3dc… |
| 08-02 09:45:30 | Blaring-Surge 0xcb89…a2e8 | No | BUY | 11 | 90¢ | $10 | 0x8a1101… |
| 08-02 09:45:30 | Bruised-Venture 0x0dca…e890 | No | SELL | 15 | 91¢ | $14 | 0x3010d6… |
| 08-02 09:45:30 | Pale-Sentiment 0x0e09…05bb | No | BUY | 1,088 | 92¢ | $1,000 | 0x3010d6… |
| 08-02 09:45:30 | Dearest-Agenda 0xbacd…ab35 | Yes | BUY | 111 | 8¢ | $9 | 0x3010d6… |
| 08-02 09:45:30 | Large-Ecology 0x4282…3455 | Yes | BUY | 11 | 10¢ | $1 | 0xc1b694… |
| 08-02 09:45:30 | (anonymous) 0xd81e…0fe5 | Yes | BUY | 7 | 9¢ | $1 | 0x3010d6… |
| 08-02 09:45:30 | Peppery-Capital 0x7c3d…5c6b | Yes | BUY | 777 | 8¢ | $62 | 0x3010d6… |
| 08-02 09:45:30 | (anonymous) 0x0c93…aafa | Yes | BUY | 1 | 9¢ | $0 | 0x9ea3dc… |
| 08-02 09:45:30 | Blaring-Surge 0xcb89…a2e8 | No | BUY | 11 | 90¢ | $10 | 0xc1b694… |
| 08-02 09:45:30 | Threadbare-Signal 0xb886…81b3 | Yes | BUY | 134 | 8¢ | $11 | 0x3010d6… |
| 08-01 15:55:50 | Bruised-Venture 0x0dca…e890 | No | SELL | 8 | 91¢ | $8 | 0x850aab… |
| 08-01 15:55:50 | (anonymous) 0x2129…f729 | Yes | SELL | 56 | 9¢ | $5 | 0x850aab… |
| 08-01 14:00:36 | Blaring-Surge 0xcb89…a2e8 | No | BUY | 100 | 90¢ | $90 | 0x79cd67… |
| 08-01 14:00:36 | (anonymous) 0xd595…2b51 | Yes | BUY | 100 | 10¢ | $10 | 0x79cd67… |
| 08-01 09:46:17 | Blaring-Surge 0xcb89…a2e8 | No | BUY | 1,157 | 90¢ | $1,041 | 0x908459… |
| 08-01 09:46:17 | Male-Pouch 0xfbe2…6f8d | No | SELL | 80 | 90¢ | $72 | 0x908459… |
| 08-01 09:46:17 | Breakable-Stepsister 0xe23b…f147 | Yes | BUY | 30 | 10¢ | $3 | 0x908459… |
| 08-01 09:46:17 | Repulsive-Shackle 0xc550…272d | No | SELL | 953 | 90¢ | $857 | 0x908459… |
| 08-01 05:07:32 | Funny-Connotation 0x07b9…0fbb | No | BUY | 4 | 88¢ | $4 | 0x000e71… |
| 08-01 05:07:32 | (anonymous) 0x28b8…5e00 | No | SELL | 4 | 88¢ | $4 | 0x000e71… |
| 08-01 05:07:32 | (anonymous) 0x28b8…5e00 | Yes | SELL | 36 | 10¢ | $4 | 0x7fb07e… |
| 08-01 05:07:32 | Repulsive-Shackle 0xc550…272d | No | SELL | 36 | 90¢ | $33 | 0x7fb07e… |
| 08-01 01:12:02 | Breakable-Stepsister 0xe23b…f147 | Yes | BUY | 16 | 11¢ | $2 | 0x0a490d… |
| 08-01 01:12:02 | Repulsive-Shackle 0xc550…272d | No | SELL | 60 | 90¢ | $54 | 0x0a490d… |
| 08-01 01:12:02 | Funny-Connotation 0x07b9…0fbb | No | SELL | 73 | 89¢ | $65 | 0x0a490d… |
| 08-01 01:12:02 | Purple-Son 0x3a59…6c6f | No | BUY | 149 | 89¢ | $133 | 0x0a490d… |
| 07-31 14:44:42 | (anonymous) 0xfdfa…7fa8 | Yes | BUY | 428 | 12¢ | $51 | 0x899d04… |
| 07-31 14:44:42 | (anonymous) 0x9204…5c05 | No | BUY | 567 | 88¢ | $500 | 0x899d04… |
| 07-31 14:44:42 | (anonymous) 0x3be5…f7fe | Yes | BUY | 5 | 12¢ | $1 | 0x899d04… |
| 07-31 14:44:42 | (anonymous) 0xd9fe…db0d | No | SELL | 5 | 88¢ | $4 | 0x899d04… |
| 07-31 14:44:42 | Funny-Connotation 0x07b9…0fbb | No | SELL | 128 | 89¢ | $114 | 0x899d04… |
| 07-31 14:26:51 | Sniveling-Talking 0x1ace…3038 | No | SELL | 349 | 87¢ | $303 | 0x095b3d… |
| 07-31 14:26:51 | Bruised-Venture 0x0dca…e890 | No | BUY | 7 | 87¢ | $6 | 0x095b3d… |