Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia before 2027?
open
Total volume
$41,029
$924 in 24h
Trades
432
Unique wallets
158
Liquidity
$23,569
Latest YES mid
15¢
Latest NO mid
86¢
End date
2026-12-31
First seen
2026-05-27
last 06-20 15:57
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
YES holders
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
SMI:
-5.7¢
(top1%: 0% YES on $300
vs crowd: 6% YES on $19.9K)
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐋 Whale | 11 | $14 | $10.7K | $10.6K |
| 🐬 Dolphin | 13 | $11 | $2.1K | $2.1K |
| 🐟 Fish | 44 | $793 | $3.4K | $2.6K |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 90 | $325 | $2.6K | $2.2K |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🎯 Top 1% | 3 | — | $300 | $300 |
| 🏆 Top 5% | 17 | $685 | $1.7K | $1.0K |
| ✅ Top 10% | 6 | $14 | $4.1K | $4.1K |
| Median | 12 | $13 | $391 | $377 |
| Below median | 26 | $60 | $601 | $541 |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 11 | — | $1.5K | $1.5K |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 18 | $24 | $2.1K | $2.0K |
| 💀 Bottom 1% | 9 | $24 | $6.6K | $6.5K |
| unranked | 56 | $322 | $1.5K | $1.2K |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Blaring-Surge 0xcb89…a2e8 | No | +5,557 | $4,688 | $4,688 | 5 | 06-18 16:24 |
| Mediocre-Coalition 0xf18f…294c | Yes | +2,500 | $410 | $410 | 9 | 06-16 20:43 |
| Flamboyant-Warming 0xc7d0…1f8a | No | +1,262 | $963 | $963 | 2 | 06-17 06:54 |
| cr7 0xa28e…b220 | Yes | +1,250 | $213 | $213 | 1 | 06-07 15:33 |
| Altruistic-Gambling 0x264c…baca | No | +1,000 | $840 | $840 | 1 | 06-02 12:14 |
| Mild-Drawbridge-Headline 0x4061…dde5 | Yes | +647 | $100 | $100 | 1 | 05-29 22:23 |
| (anonymous) 0x5923…49cd | No | +521 | $442 | $1,174 | 7 | 06-16 11:15 |
| Noted-Shop 0x0260…0d88 | No | +415 | $254 | $7,910 | 22 | 06-18 16:24 |
| Funny-Connotation 0x07b9…0fbb | No | +366 | $313 | $313 | 6 | 06-14 21:24 |
| Joint-Washbasin 0x1b60…a55b | No | +353 | $300 | $300 | 2 | 06-16 08:22 |
| (anonymous) 0xd9b0…ca66 | No | +346 | $294 | $294 | 1 | 06-12 09:19 |
| Keen-Spectacles 0x9fb7…cf03 | Yes | +299 | $50 | $50 | 1 | 06-17 06:54 |
| (anonymous) 0xd11c…0d06 | No | +287 | $241 | $241 | 2 | 06-08 21:01 |
| (anonymous) 0xd268…755f | No | +240 | $199 | $880 | 23 | 06-20 15:57 |
| Understated-Topsail 0x2c9d…61e5 | Yes | +235 | $40 | $40 | 3 | 06-03 13:36 |
| (anonymous) 0xff6f…32b3 | Yes | +181 | $29 | $29 | 1 | 06-15 21:22 |
| Alienated-Remark 0x6c59…e3bb | No | +159 | $135 | $135 | 2 | 06-14 15:28 |
| Tasty-Pulse 0x4f02…823d | Yes | +133 | $20 | $20 | 1 | 06-19 06:10 |
| Sparkling-Self 0xf257…3ed5 | No | +119 | $100 | $100 | 2 | 06-06 11:38 |
| (anonymous) 0x9c72…3821 | Yes | +118 | $20 | $20 | 1 | 06-13 09:24 |
| Sociable-Temperature-Logo 0x1eb4…3022 | No | +118 | $100 | $100 | 1 | 06-17 20:50 |
| Faithful-Razor 0x6731…4e4e | Yes | +100 | $15 | $15 | 1 | 05-29 20:04 |
| Soggy-Hazel 0x75d1…c4d0 | No | +100 | $84 | $84 | 1 | 06-02 12:14 |
| Prize-Minimum 0xfb26…06f7 | No | +100 | $84 | $84 | 1 | 06-04 17:30 |
| Ideal-Bread 0x5018…398b | No | +100 | $84 | $84 | 1 | 06-04 19:22 |
| Upset-Raincoat 0xff01…b5db | No | +100 | $83 | $255 | 4 | 06-16 20:43 |
| (anonymous) 0xb308…9a32 | No | +89 | $73 | $449 | 5 | 06-18 21:51 |
| (anonymous) 0x3de8…a747 | Yes | +81 | $13 | $13 | 2 | 06-16 20:41 |
| Well-To-Do-Bankruptcy 0x9398…427c | No | +79 | $66 | $161 | 7 | 06-16 20:43 |
| (anonymous) 0xddd1…02b9 | No | +77 | $63 | $199 | 6 | 06-20 05:17 |
| Puzzled-Grandson 0x8144…4c8a | Yes | +73 | $13 | $13 | 1 | 05-30 00:52 |
| (anonymous) 0xe9dc…4e23 | No | +72 | $60 | $60 | 1 | 06-02 12:14 |
| (anonymous) 0x826e…df69 | Yes | +70 | $11 | $11 | 1 | 06-11 16:37 |
| Feline-Airplane 0xa8da…012a | No | +60 | $50 | $50 | 1 | 06-03 13:34 |
| Frightening-Worth 0x2f53…5add | Yes | +59 | $10 | $10 | 1 | 06-05 03:12 |
| Spotted-Perception 0xc539…e4f1 | Yes | +59 | $10 | $10 | 1 | 06-02 19:41 |
| Keen-Hate 0xcfaf…b9ea | Yes | +50 | $8 | $8 | 2 | 05-29 23:04 |
| Downright-Suspension 0xed0c…178a | Yes | +50 | $8 | $8 | 2 | 05-29 23:05 |
| Anchored-Petal 0x06e1…696e | No | +50 | $42 | $42 | 1 | 06-13 02:38 |
| (anonymous) 0xd053…a385 | No | +50 | $42 | $42 | 4 | 05-28 19:24 |
| (anonymous) 0x25ed…69cf | No | +42 | $35 | $35 | 1 | 05-28 19:24 |
| (anonymous) 0x2b4b…d0e0 | Yes | +33 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 06-18 21:28 |
| Minor-Tuition 0xe1a8…2045 | No | +33 | $27 | $52 | 7 | 06-18 16:24 |
| Decent-Deployment 0x643a…522a | No | +30 | $26 | $26 | 1 | 05-29 23:05 |
| (anonymous) 0x82b3…6ab8 | Yes | +29 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 06-05 09:34 |
| Creative-Logistics 0x264a…c8b0 | No | +25 | $21 | $21 | 1 | 05-29 23:04 |
| (anonymous) 0x495a…f3a7 | No | +25 | $21 | $21 | 1 | 05-29 23:04 |
| Purple-Son 0x3a59…6c6f | No | +24 | $20 | $20 | 1 | 06-12 19:35 |
| Bold-Guerrilla 0x2721…cf8a | Yes | +22 | $4 | $17 | 12 | 06-19 19:55 |
| (anonymous) 0x86d2…6a0a | Yes | +16 | $3 | $3 | 2 | 06-10 21:51 |
| Whimsical-Defender 0x3797…8be6 | Yes | +15 | $3 | $3 | 1 | 06-13 07:07 |
| Lumpy-Bitter 0x0f7b…492d | Yes | +13 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 06-19 23:53 |
| Livid-Television 0xc5da…5f86 | Yes | +12 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 06-19 03:03 |
| Red-Girlfriend 0x7b64…8440 | Yes | +12 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 05-27 21:39 |
| Defenseless-Eyebrow 0xe50c…d88c | Yes | +10 | $2 | $2 | 2 | 06-15 09:03 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06-20 15:57:58 | (anonymous) 0xd268…755f | No | BUY | 0 | 85¢ | $0 | 0x4a1248… |
| 06-20 15:57:58 | Superior-Tadpole 0xd496…00ec | No | SELL | 0 | 85¢ | $0 | 0x4a1248… |
| 06-20 14:20:58 | (anonymous) 0xd268…755f | No | BUY | 5 | 85¢ | $4 | 0x37d554… |
| 06-20 14:20:58 | (anonymous) 0xc6b2…3caa | No | SELL | 5 | 85¢ | $4 | 0x37d554… |
| 06-20 05:17:50 | (anonymous) 0xf976…7366 | Yes | SELL | 3 | 14¢ | $0 | 0x07e52c… |
| 06-20 05:17:50 | (anonymous) 0xddd1…02b9 | No | SELL | 3 | 86¢ | $2 | 0x07e52c… |
| 06-19 23:53:14 | Lumpy-Bitter 0x0f7b…492d | Yes | BUY | 13 | 15¢ | $2 | 0x84695f… |
| 06-19 23:53:14 | Vigilant-School 0x3cff…6fbd | No | BUY | 5 | 85¢ | $4 | 0x84695f… |
| 06-19 23:53:14 | (anonymous) 0xd268…755f | No | BUY | 8 | 85¢ | $7 | 0x84695f… |
| 06-19 19:55:58 | (anonymous) 0xddd1…02b9 | No | SELL | 8 | 86¢ | $7 | 0x141596… |
| 06-19 19:55:58 | Bold-Guerrilla 0x2721…cf8a | Yes | SELL | 8 | 14¢ | $1 | 0x141596… |
| 06-19 13:45:40 | Esteemed-Cabinet-Disclosure 0x4ecf…75d2 | Yes | SELL | 62 | 14¢ | $9 | 0x649dbf… |
| 06-19 13:45:40 | (anonymous) 0xddd1…02b9 | No | SELL | 62 | 86¢ | $54 | 0x649dbf… |
| 06-19 06:10:40 | (anonymous) 0xfdbd…9a73 | No | BUY | 1 | 85¢ | $1 | 0xeec6b3… |
| 06-19 06:10:40 | Tasty-Pulse 0x4f02…823d | Yes | BUY | 133 | 15¢ | $20 | 0xeec6b3… |
| 06-19 06:10:40 | (anonymous) 0xd268…755f | No | BUY | 132 | 85¢ | $113 | 0xeec6b3… |
| 06-19 03:03:05 | (anonymous) 0xd268…755f | No | BUY | 12 | 85¢ | $11 | 0x087b07… |
| 06-19 03:03:05 | Livid-Television 0xc5da…5f86 | Yes | BUY | 12 | 15¢ | $2 | 0x087b07… |
| 06-18 21:51:20 | (anonymous) 0xb308…9a32 | No | BUY | 8 | 85¢ | $7 | 0x522504… |
| 06-18 21:51:20 | Bold-Guerrilla 0x2721…cf8a | Yes | BUY | 8 | 15¢ | $1 | 0x522504… |
| 06-18 21:28:55 | (anonymous) 0x2b4b…d0e0 | Yes | BUY | 33 | 15¢ | $5 | 0xc6fa8b… |
| 06-18 21:28:55 | (anonymous) 0xb308…9a32 | No | BUY | 33 | 85¢ | $28 | 0xc6fa8b… |
| 06-18 18:47:31 | Intent-Attitude 0xc97f…b64e | No | SELL | 47 | 85¢ | $40 | 0xd4c479… |
| 06-18 18:47:31 | (anonymous) 0xb308…9a32 | No | BUY | 47 | 85¢ | $40 | 0xd4c479… |
| 06-18 16:24:23 | (anonymous) 0x7126…465e | No | SELL | 57 | 85¢ | $49 | 0x6a7666… |
| 06-18 16:24:23 | Noted-Shop 0x0260…0d88 | No | SELL | 621 | 85¢ | $528 | 0x6a7666… |
| 06-18 16:24:23 | Vigilant-School 0x3cff…6fbd | No | SELL | 5 | 85¢ | $4 | 0x6a7666… |
| 06-18 16:24:23 | (anonymous) 0xfdbd…9a73 | No | SELL | 150 | 85¢ | $128 | 0x6a7666… |
| 06-18 16:24:23 | Hospitable-Complex 0xde7c…c5d2 | No | SELL | 18 | 85¢ | $15 | 0x6a7666… |
| 06-18 16:24:23 | Blaring-Surge 0xcb89…a2e8 | No | BUY | 2,021 | 85¢ | $1,718 | 0x6a7666… |
| 06-18 16:24:23 | (anonymous) 0x126e…c360 | No | SELL | 9 | 85¢ | $8 | 0x6a7666… |
| 06-18 16:24:23 | Minor-Tuition 0xe1a8…2045 | No | SELL | 5 | 85¢ | $5 | 0x6a7666… |
| 06-18 16:24:23 | (anonymous) 0x1d7e…63e7 | No | SELL | 200 | 85¢ | $170 | 0x6a7666… |
| 06-18 16:24:23 | Failing-Wedding 0xb8a4…a13b | Yes | BUY | 6 | 15¢ | $1 | 0x6a7666… |
| 06-18 16:24:23 | (anonymous) 0x2620…61c5 | No | SELL | 200 | 85¢ | $170 | 0x6a7666… |
| 06-18 16:24:23 | (anonymous) 0xf81b…048f | No | SELL | 200 | 85¢ | $170 | 0x6a7666… |
| 06-18 16:24:23 | (anonymous) 0xd268…755f | No | SELL | 17 | 85¢ | $15 | 0x6a7666… |
| 06-18 16:24:23 | (anonymous) 0xb308…9a32 | No | SELL | 221 | 85¢ | $188 | 0x6a7666… |
| 06-18 09:47:02 | Noted-Shop 0x0260…0d88 | No | SELL | 28 | 85¢ | $24 | 0x749197… |
| 06-18 09:47:02 | (anonymous) 0xa83c…312f | Yes | SELL | 28 | 15¢ | $4 | 0x749197… |
| 06-18 06:26:13 | Esteemed-Cabinet-Disclosure 0x4ecf…75d2 | Yes | BUY | 62 | 16¢ | $10 | 0x99d382… |
| 06-18 06:26:13 | Blaring-Surge 0xcb89…a2e8 | No | BUY | 62 | 84¢ | $52 | 0x99d382… |
| 06-17 20:50:20 | Noted-Shop 0x0260…0d88 | No | SELL | 118 | 85¢ | $100 | 0xe5eb73… |
| 06-17 20:50:20 | Sociable-Temperature-Logo 0x1eb4…3022 | No | BUY | 118 | 85¢ | $100 | 0xe5eb73… |
| 06-17 13:03:26 | (anonymous) 0x7df7…f070 | No | SELL | 3 | 82¢ | $2 | 0x923a8d… |
| 06-17 13:03:26 | Past-Polish 0x3c30…d8ab | No | BUY | 3 | 82¢ | $2 | 0x923a8d… |
| 06-17 13:03:23 | Acidic-Angora 0x7253…9190 | No | SELL | 53 | 84¢ | $45 | 0xf6f221… |
| 06-17 13:03:23 | (anonymous) 0x949f…b038 | Yes | SELL | 537 | 15¢ | $82 | 0xf6f221… |
| 06-17 13:03:23 | Noted-Shop 0x0260…0d88 | No | SELL | 391 | 85¢ | $332 | 0xf6f221… |
| 06-17 13:03:23 | Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71 | No | SELL | 94 | 84¢ | $79 | 0xf6f221… |
| 06-17 06:54:29 | Flamboyant-Warming 0xc7d0…1f8a | No | BUY | 64 | 82¢ | $53 | 0xe6e59d… |
| 06-17 06:54:29 | Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71 | No | BUY | 94 | 83¢ | $78 | 0xe6e59d… |
| 06-17 06:54:29 | Dear-Gripper 0x41cb…a5df | Yes | SELL | 141 | 16¢ | $22 | 0xe6e59d… |
| 06-17 06:54:29 | Keen-Spectacles 0x9fb7…cf03 | Yes | BUY | 299 | 17¢ | $50 | 0xe6e59d… |
| 06-17 01:34:01 | Bold-Guerrilla 0x2721…cf8a | Yes | BUY | 6 | 16¢ | $1 | 0x8869c8… |
| 06-17 01:34:01 | Dear-Gripper 0x41cb…a5df | Yes | SELL | 6 | 16¢ | $1 | 0x8869c8… |
| 06-16 20:43:07 | Well-To-Do-Bankruptcy 0x9398…427c | No | BUY | 43 | 84¢ | $36 | 0xfaca15… |
| 06-16 20:43:07 | (anonymous) 0x1d7e…63e7 | No | BUY | 200 | 84¢ | $168 | 0xfaca15… |
| 06-16 20:43:07 | Upset-Raincoat 0xff01…b5db | No | BUY | 88 | 84¢ | $74 | 0xfaca15… |
| 06-16 20:43:07 | Mediocre-Coalition 0xf18f…294c | Yes | BUY | 1,210 | 16¢ | $194 | 0xfaca15… |
| 06-16 20:43:07 | (anonymous) 0xf81b…048f | No | BUY | 200 | 84¢ | $168 | 0xfaca15… |
| 06-16 20:43:07 | Dear-Gripper 0x41cb…a5df | Yes | SELL | 3 | 16¢ | $0 | 0xfaca15… |
| 06-16 20:43:07 | Vigilant-School 0x3cff…6fbd | No | BUY | 5 | 84¢ | $4 | 0xfaca15… |
| 06-16 20:43:07 | (anonymous) 0xfdbd…9a73 | No | BUY | 150 | 84¢ | $126 | 0xfaca15… |
| 06-16 20:43:07 | Hospitable-Complex 0xde7c…c5d2 | No | BUY | 100 | 84¢ | $84 | 0xfaca15… |
| 06-16 20:43:07 | (anonymous) 0xb308…9a32 | No | BUY | 221 | 84¢ | $186 | 0xfaca15… |
| 06-16 20:43:07 | (anonymous) 0x2620…61c5 | No | BUY | 200 | 84¢ | $168 | 0xfaca15… |
| 06-16 20:41:22 | (anonymous) 0x3de8…a747 | Yes | BUY | 62 | 16¢ | $10 | 0x5f7ea8… |
| 06-16 20:41:22 | Well-To-Do-Bankruptcy 0x9398…427c | No | BUY | 62 | 84¢ | $52 | 0x5f7ea8… |
| 06-16 20:12:55 | Well-To-Do-Bankruptcy 0x9398…427c | No | BUY | 19 | 84¢ | $16 | 0xf27ad8… |
| 06-16 20:12:55 | (anonymous) 0x3de8…a747 | Yes | BUY | 19 | 16¢ | $3 | 0xf27ad8… |
| 06-16 12:42:27 | Minor-Tuition 0xe1a8…2045 | No | BUY | 5 | 84¢ | $5 | 0xcb2845… |
| 06-16 12:42:27 | (anonymous) 0xd268…755f | No | BUY | 4 | 84¢ | $3 | 0xcb2845… |
| 06-16 12:42:27 | Bold-Guerrilla 0x2721…cf8a | Yes | BUY | 9 | 16¢ | $1 | 0xcb2845… |
| 06-16 12:04:16 | (anonymous) 0xd268…755f | No | BUY | 10 | 84¢ | $8 | 0xc66743… |
| 06-16 12:04:16 | Musty-Bit 0x3a23…0f72 | Yes | BUY | 10 | 16¢ | $2 | 0xc66743… |
| 06-16 11:52:37 | Bold-Guerrilla 0x2721…cf8a | Yes | BUY | 7 | 16¢ | $1 | 0x722f4e… |
| 06-16 11:52:37 | (anonymous) 0xd268…755f | No | BUY | 7 | 84¢ | $6 | 0x722f4e… |
| 06-16 11:15:51 | Noted-Shop 0x0260…0d88 | No | SELL | 7 | 85¢ | $6 | 0x38a57f… |
| 06-16 11:15:51 | (anonymous) 0x5923…49cd | No | BUY | 7 | 85¢ | $6 | 0x38a57f… |
| 06-16 08:22:06 | Noted-Shop 0x0260…0d88 | No | SELL | 118 | 85¢ | $100 | 0xafcbd7… |
| 06-16 08:22:06 | Joint-Washbasin 0x1b60…a55b | No | BUY | 118 | 85¢ | $100 | 0xafcbd7… |
| 06-16 08:21:40 | Joint-Washbasin 0x1b60…a55b | No | BUY | 235 | 85¢ | $200 | 0xf68d56… |
| 06-16 08:21:40 | Noted-Shop 0x0260…0d88 | No | SELL | 235 | 85¢ | $200 | 0xf68d56… |
| 06-15 21:22:10 | (anonymous) 0xff6f…32b3 | Yes | BUY | 181 | 16¢ | $29 | 0x0b1ca8… |
| 06-15 21:22:10 | (anonymous) 0xd268…755f | No | BUY | 124 | 84¢ | $104 | 0x0b1ca8… |
| 06-15 21:22:10 | (anonymous) 0x7126…465e | No | BUY | 57 | 84¢ | $48 | 0x0b1ca8… |
| 06-15 15:20:01 | Hospitable-Complex 0xde7c…c5d2 | No | SELL | 7 | 85¢ | $6 | 0x91a5ad… |
| 06-15 15:20:01 | Capital-Sousaphone 0xcb93…d52a | Yes | SELL | 59 | 15¢ | $9 | 0x91a5ad… |
| 06-15 15:20:01 | (anonymous) 0xd268…755f | No | SELL | 52 | 85¢ | $44 | 0x91a5ad… |
| 06-15 15:09:27 | (anonymous) 0x7126…465e | No | BUY | 43 | 84¢ | $36 | 0xdb8b93… |
| 06-15 15:09:27 | Hospitable-Complex 0xde7c…c5d2 | No | BUY | 37 | 84¢ | $31 | 0xdb8b93… |
| 06-15 15:09:27 | (anonymous) 0x6b0e…e3ea | Yes | SELL | 70 | 16¢ | $11 | 0xdb8b93… |
| 06-15 15:09:27 | Dear-Gripper 0x41cb…a5df | Yes | BUY | 150 | 16¢ | $24 | 0xdb8b93… |
| 06-15 13:39:43 | Bold-Guerrilla 0x2721…cf8a | Yes | SELL | 12 | 15¢ | $2 | 0xebe5ed… |
| 06-15 13:39:43 | Hospitable-Complex 0xde7c…c5d2 | No | SELL | 12 | 85¢ | $10 | 0xebe5ed… |
| 06-15 13:39:43 | Earnest-Timbale 0x5f39…d603 | No | SELL | 0 | 85¢ | $0 | 0xebe5ed… |
| 06-15 13:37:25 | Earnest-Timbale 0x5f39…d603 | No | SELL | 11 | 85¢ | $9 | 0x98481f… |
| 06-15 13:37:25 | Bold-Guerrilla 0x2721…cf8a | Yes | SELL | 11 | 15¢ | $2 | 0x98481f… |
| 06-15 11:03:15 | Earnest-Timbale 0x5f39…d603 | No | SELL | 19 | 85¢ | $16 | 0x116251… |