Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia before 2027?
open
Total volume
$74,197
$924 in 24h
Trades
1,068
Unique wallets
345
Liquidity
$23,569
Latest YES mid
10¢
Latest NO mid
90¢
End date
2026-12-31
First seen
2026-05-27
last 07-11 18:53
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
YES holders
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
SMI:
+1.2¢
(top1%: 8% YES on $2.4K
vs crowd: 6% YES on $38.3K)
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐋 Whale | 21 | $99 | $17.7K | $17.6K |
| 🐬 Dolphin | 27 | $148 | $5.5K | $5.4K |
| 🐟 Fish | 96 | $1.5K | $9.5K | $8.0K |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 201 | $772 | $3.1K | $2.3K |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🎯 Top 1% | 8 | $184 | $2.2K | $2.0K |
| 🏆 Top 5% | 27 | $997 | $2.0K | $1.0K |
| ✅ Top 10% | 12 | $110 | $4.3K | $4.2K |
| Median | 56 | $87 | $568 | $481 |
| Below median | 56 | $120 | $1.3K | $1.2K |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 17 | $61 | $2.4K | $2.3K |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 33 | $28 | $5.0K | $5.0K |
| 💀 Bottom 1% | 16 | $109 | $14.4K | $14.3K |
| unranked | 120 | $784 | $3.6K | $2.8K |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Blaring-Surge 0xcb89…a2e8 | No | +5,557 | $4,688 | $4,688 | 5 | 06-18 16:24 |
| Mediocre-Coalition 0xf18f…294c | Yes | +5,000 | $660 | $660 | 10 | 07-08 14:17 |
| Finished-Wind 0xd44e…67e2 | No | +4,105 | $3,530 | $3,530 | 1 | 06-28 15:24 |
| Joint-Washbasin 0x1b60…a55b | No | +2,452 | $2,200 | $2,200 | 4 | 07-08 14:17 |
| (anonymous) 0x4bbe…2cf3 | No | +1,787 | $1,590 | $1,590 | 37 | 07-11 03:37 |
| Flamboyant-Warming 0xc7d0…1f8a | No | +1,262 | $963 | $963 | 2 | 06-17 06:54 |
| cr7 0xa28e…b220 | Yes | +1,250 | $213 | $213 | 1 | 06-07 15:33 |
| (anonymous) 0x9204…5c05 | No | +1,100 | $1,000 | $1,000 | 1 | 07-01 14:23 |
| Petty-Silver 0x24d2…1472 | Yes | +1,009 | $111 | $111 | 2 | 07-01 11:08 |
| Small-Pompom 0x9d73…216b | No | +1,000 | $900 | $900 | 9 | 07-08 14:17 |
| High-Alarm 0x9238…b73e | No | +750 | $668 | $668 | 4 | 06-29 22:56 |
| (anonymous) 0x5923…49cd | No | +557 | $487 | $2,139 | 13 | 07-10 09:28 |
| Female-Afternoon 0x3dbe…0f2d | Yes | +531 | $100 | $100 | 1 | 06-22 03:32 |
| Small-Blowhole 0xb24c…eefe | No | +500 | $450 | $450 | 1 | 06-28 16:14 |
| Occasional-Persimmon 0x98dc…9949 | Yes | +460 | $51 | $51 | 1 | 07-06 06:07 |
| Aged-Drum 0xdc70…cc56 | No | +422 | $367 | $367 | 1 | 06-28 15:24 |
| JuicedBunched 0x2eba…ffa3 | Yes | +417 | $42 | $42 | 1 | 07-07 06:32 |
| Noted-Shop 0x0260…0d88 | No | +415 | $254 | $7,910 | 22 | 06-18 16:24 |
| Funny-Connotation 0x07b9…0fbb | No | +366 | $313 | $313 | 6 | 06-14 21:24 |
| Rubbery-Section 0xb557…ef84 | Yes | +364 | $40 | $40 | 2 | 07-06 08:56 |
| (anonymous) 0xd9b0…ca66 | No | +346 | $294 | $294 | 1 | 06-12 09:19 |
| Disguised-Radar 0x8a08…0eec | Yes | +316 | $34 | $34 | 19 | 06-28 19:57 |
| Peppery-Capital 0x7c3d…5c6b | Yes | +300 | $30 | $30 | 4 | 07-07 05:35 |
| Keen-Spectacles 0x9fb7…cf03 | Yes | +299 | $50 | $50 | 1 | 06-17 06:54 |
| (anonymous) 0xd11c…0d06 | No | +287 | $241 | $241 | 2 | 06-08 21:01 |
| Tough-Garter 0x03c8…0e01 | Yes | +250 | $38 | $38 | 1 | 06-21 23:47 |
| Understated-Topsail 0x2c9d…61e5 | Yes | +235 | $40 | $40 | 3 | 06-03 13:36 |
| (anonymous) 0x45e2…7261 | Yes | +227 | $25 | $25 | 1 | 07-06 00:42 |
| Wordy-Bark 0xe762…064b | No | +223 | $200 | $200 | 2 | 06-28 15:31 |
| Easy-Koala 0xe6fd…8bc3 | No | +214 | $192 | $593 | 2 | 07-07 06:09 |
| (anonymous) 0xbff5…655b | Yes | +200 | $20 | $20 | 1 | 07-08 23:08 |
| CompulsiveGambler 0xe0f1…c4bd | No | +200 | $178 | $178 | 6 | 06-29 22:56 |
| Alienated-Remark 0x6c59…e3bb | No | +181 | $155 | $155 | 3 | 07-04 10:45 |
| Dependent-Millimeter 0x9b22…3a92 | No | +148 | $133 | $133 | 4 | 06-29 22:56 |
| Legitimate-Rebellion 0xc109…450b | No | +141 | $127 | $127 | 12 | 06-30 05:43 |
| Tasty-Pulse 0x4f02…823d | Yes | +133 | $20 | $20 | 1 | 06-19 06:10 |
| Sparkling-Self 0xf257…3ed5 | No | +119 | $100 | $100 | 2 | 06-06 11:38 |
| (anonymous) 0x9c72…3821 | Yes | +118 | $20 | $20 | 1 | 06-13 09:24 |
| Sociable-Temperature-Logo 0x1eb4…3022 | No | +118 | $100 | $100 | 1 | 06-17 20:50 |
| Necessary-Potato 0x54b5…2e90 | No | +110 | $100 | $100 | 1 | 07-02 05:06 |
| Smart-Average 0x161a…b515 | No | +110 | $100 | $100 | 1 | 07-10 11:41 |
| (anonymous) 0x393d…8fae | Yes | +105 | $11 | $11 | 1 | 07-07 10:10 |
| Faithful-Razor 0x6731…4e4e | Yes | +100 | $15 | $15 | 1 | 05-29 20:04 |
| Scrawny-Debris 0xe117…b4e7 | Yes | +100 | $11 | $11 | 1 | 07-03 20:22 |
| Teeming-Min 0x198a…3ca3 | No | +100 | $91 | $91 | 1 | 07-07 13:46 |
| Ideal-Bread 0x5018…398b | No | +100 | $84 | $84 | 1 | 06-04 19:22 |
| Prize-Minimum 0xfb26…06f7 | No | +100 | $84 | $84 | 1 | 06-04 17:30 |
| (anonymous) 0x2710…03cb | No | +100 | $90 | $90 | 1 | 06-28 17:00 |
| (anonymous) 0xd268…755f | No | +95 | $72 | $1,431 | 34 | 07-11 18:53 |
| (anonymous) 0x3de8…a747 | Yes | +81 | $13 | $13 | 2 | 06-16 20:41 |
| Puzzled-Grandson 0x8144…4c8a | Yes | +73 | $13 | $13 | 1 | 05-30 00:52 |
| (anonymous) 0x826e…df69 | Yes | +70 | $11 | $11 | 1 | 06-11 16:37 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-11 18:53:23 | (anonymous) 0xd268…755f | No | SELL | 16 | 91¢ | $14 | 0x705696… |
| 07-11 18:53:23 | Bold-Guerrilla 0x2721…cf8a | Yes | SELL | 16 | 9¢ | $1 | 0x705696… |
| 07-11 03:37:20 | Milky-Ashram 0x1b7c…20a6 | No | SELL | 26 | 89¢ | $23 | 0x7a3e20… |
| 07-11 03:37:20 | (anonymous) 0x4bbe…2cf3 | No | BUY | 26 | 89¢ | $23 | 0x7a3e20… |
| 07-10 22:31:08 | (anonymous) 0x6141…5d51 | Yes | BUY | 9 | 11¢ | $1 | 0x8a32a1… |
| 07-10 22:31:08 | (anonymous) 0x4bbe…2cf3 | No | BUY | 9 | 89¢ | $8 | 0x8a32a1… |
| 07-10 15:25:20 | Considerate-Paper 0x953d…c2de | No | BUY | 10 | 91¢ | $9 | 0x1a8e71… |
| 07-10 15:25:20 | (anonymous) 0xd268…755f | No | SELL | 10 | 91¢ | $9 | 0x1a8e71… |
| 07-10 13:28:35 | Delightful-Crisis 0x39e8…7656 | No | SELL | 4 | 89¢ | $4 | 0xcdfddd… |
| 07-10 13:28:35 | (anonymous) 0x4bbe…2cf3 | No | BUY | 4 | 89¢ | $4 | 0xcdfddd… |
| 07-10 11:41:29 | Soggy-Hazel 0x75d1…c4d0 | No | SELL | 54 | 91¢ | $50 | 0x756310… |
| 07-10 11:41:29 | Smart-Average 0x161a…b515 | No | BUY | 110 | 91¢ | $100 | 0x756310… |
| 07-10 11:41:29 | (anonymous) 0xd268…755f | No | SELL | 55 | 91¢ | $50 | 0x756310… |
| 07-10 09:36:47 | Bold-Guerrilla 0x2721…cf8a | Yes | SELL | 27 | 9¢ | $3 | 0x75b78f… |
| 07-10 09:36:47 | Failing-Wedding 0xb8a4…a13b | Yes | BUY | 8 | 10¢ | $1 | 0x75b78f… |
| 07-10 09:36:47 | Bare-Stag 0x2fa8…4359 | Yes | BUY | 6 | 10¢ | $1 | 0x75b78f… |
| 07-10 09:36:47 | Soggy-Hazel 0x75d1…c4d0 | No | SELL | 14 | 91¢ | $13 | 0x75b78f… |
| 07-10 09:28:05 | (anonymous) 0x4bbe…2cf3 | No | BUY | 15 | 89¢ | $13 | 0xf33fa9… |
| 07-10 09:28:05 | (anonymous) 0x5923…49cd | No | SELL | 15 | 89¢ | $13 | 0xf33fa9… |
| 07-10 00:54:14 | (anonymous) 0x4bbe…2cf3 | No | BUY | 21 | 89¢ | $18 | 0xf6bae2… |
| 07-10 00:54:14 | Bold-Guerrilla 0x2721…cf8a | Yes | BUY | 21 | 11¢ | $2 | 0xf6bae2… |
| 07-09 23:58:35 | Soggy-Hazel 0x75d1…c4d0 | No | SELL | 17 | 91¢ | $15 | 0x12f73d… |
| 07-09 23:58:35 | (anonymous) 0x7a83…a220 | Yes | SELL | 17 | 9¢ | $1 | 0x12f73d… |
| 07-09 20:52:52 | Bold-Guerrilla 0x2721…cf8a | Yes | SELL | 81 | 9¢ | $7 | 0x8faff2… |
| 07-09 20:52:52 | Soggy-Hazel 0x75d1…c4d0 | No | SELL | 15 | 91¢ | $14 | 0x8faff2… |
| 07-09 20:52:52 | (anonymous) 0x25ed…69cf | No | SELL | 66 | 91¢ | $60 | 0x8faff2… |
| 07-09 19:58:43 | (anonymous) 0x25ed…69cf | No | SELL | 27 | 91¢ | $24 | 0xac1b5e… |
| 07-09 19:58:43 | Edible-Pest 0xc17a…5664 | Yes | SELL | 27 | 9¢ | $2 | 0xac1b5e… |
| 07-09 02:30:22 | (anonymous) 0x45b3…35bc | Yes | SELL | 1 | 10¢ | $0 | 0x998010… |
| 07-09 02:30:22 | Blissful-Ash 0x85dc…8d9e | No | SELL | 1 | 90¢ | $1 | 0x998010… |
| 07-09 00:21:53 | Bold-Guerrilla 0x2721…cf8a | Yes | BUY | 11 | 10¢ | $1 | 0xb6d9cc… |
| 07-09 00:21:53 | (anonymous) 0x45b3…35bc | Yes | SELL | 11 | 10¢ | $1 | 0xb6d9cc… |
| 07-08 23:34:05 | (anonymous) 0x45b3…35bc | Yes | SELL | 10 | 10¢ | $1 | 0x801dfc… |
| 07-08 23:34:05 | (anonymous) 0x02fe…8080 | Yes | BUY | 10 | 10¢ | $1 | 0x801dfc… |
| 07-08 23:08:11 | (anonymous) 0xbff5…655b | Yes | BUY | 200 | 10¢ | $20 | 0xa5a663… |
| 07-08 23:08:11 | (anonymous) 0x45b3…35bc | Yes | SELL | 200 | 10¢ | $20 | 0xa5a663… |
| 07-08 21:29:56 | (anonymous) 0xd453…1f27 | No | BUY | 44 | 91¢ | $40 | 0x7cee36… |
| 07-08 21:29:56 | (anonymous) 0x25ed…69cf | No | SELL | 44 | 91¢ | $40 | 0x7cee36… |
| 07-08 14:19:32 | (anonymous) 0x25ed…69cf | No | SELL | 5 | 91¢ | $5 | 0xc517cd… |
| 07-08 14:19:32 | (anonymous) 0x5dde…0a17 | No | BUY | 5 | 91¢ | $5 | 0xc517cd… |
| 07-08 14:17:17 | Failing-Wedding 0xb8a4…a13b | Yes | SELL | 6 | 10¢ | $1 | 0x866d41… |
| 07-08 14:17:17 | Mediocre-Coalition 0xf18f…294c | Yes | BUY | 2,500 | 10¢ | $250 | 0x866d41… |
| 07-08 14:17:17 | Small-Pompom 0x9d73…216b | No | BUY | 155 | 90¢ | $140 | 0x866d41… |
| 07-08 14:17:17 | Bare-Stag 0x2fa8…4359 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 10¢ | $1 | 0x866d41… |
| 07-08 14:17:17 | (anonymous) 0x45b3…35bc | Yes | SELL | 1,329 | 10¢ | $133 | 0x866d41… |
| 07-08 14:17:17 | Joint-Washbasin 0x1b60…a55b | No | BUY | 1,000 | 90¢ | $900 | 0x866d41… |
| 07-08 14:17:17 | (anonymous) 0x9de6…e7f0 | No | BUY | 5 | 90¢ | $4 | 0x866d41… |
| 07-08 13:24:38 | (anonymous) 0x25ed…69cf | No | SELL | 55 | 91¢ | $50 | 0x5173d3… |
| 07-08 13:24:38 | Splendid-Progression 0xf13f…31cb | Yes | SELL | 55 | 9¢ | $5 | 0x5173d3… |
| 07-07 21:33:19 | (anonymous) 0x4381…8385 | No | BUY | 11 | 91¢ | $10 | 0x41612d… |
| 07-07 21:33:19 | (anonymous) 0xb20e…867d | No | SELL | 8 | 91¢ | $7 | 0x41612d… |
| 07-07 21:33:19 | (anonymous) 0x25ed…69cf | No | SELL | 3 | 91¢ | $3 | 0x41612d… |
| 07-07 20:55:28 | (anonymous) 0xb20e…867d | No | SELL | 13 | 91¢ | $12 | 0xf9034c… |
| 07-07 20:55:28 | (anonymous) 0xd823…12fe | Yes | SELL | 13 | 9¢ | $1 | 0xf9034c… |
| 07-07 13:46:38 | (anonymous) 0xb20e…867d | No | SELL | 67 | 91¢ | $61 | 0xeb9702… |
| 07-07 13:46:38 | Teeming-Min 0x198a…3ca3 | No | BUY | 100 | 91¢ | $91 | 0xeb9702… |
| 07-07 13:46:38 | Soggy-Hazel 0x75d1…c4d0 | No | SELL | 33 | 91¢ | $30 | 0xeb9702… |
| 07-07 12:42:26 | Lighthearted-Prey 0x29b0…a940 | Yes | BUY | 50 | 10¢ | $5 | 0xf7965c… |
| 07-07 12:42:26 | Small-Pompom 0x9d73…216b | No | BUY | 50 | 90¢ | $45 | 0xf7965c… |
| 07-07 12:34:19 | Small-Pompom 0x9d73…216b | No | BUY | 17 | 90¢ | $15 | 0xdd4692… |
| 07-07 12:34:19 | (anonymous) 0x434d…7bf7 | No | SELL | 17 | 90¢ | $15 | 0xdd4692… |
| 07-07 10:48:26 | (anonymous) 0xb715…8f7f | Yes | SELL | 9 | 9¢ | $1 | 0xa362a9… |
| 07-07 10:48:26 | Soggy-Hazel 0x75d1…c4d0 | No | SELL | 9 | 91¢ | $8 | 0xa362a9… |
| 07-07 10:10:23 | Small-Pompom 0x9d73…216b | No | BUY | 105 | 90¢ | $95 | 0x57e7ca… |
| 07-07 10:10:23 | (anonymous) 0x393d…8fae | Yes | BUY | 105 | 10¢ | $11 | 0x57e7ca… |
| 07-07 09:50:55 | Soggy-Hazel 0x75d1…c4d0 | No | SELL | 58 | 91¢ | $52 | 0x9dd343… |
| 07-07 09:50:55 | Well-To-Do-Bankruptcy 0x9398…427c | No | SELL | 167 | 91¢ | $152 | 0x9dd343… |
| 07-07 09:50:55 | (anonymous) 0x7126…465e | No | SELL | 100 | 91¢ | $91 | 0x9dd343… |
| 07-07 09:50:55 | (anonymous) 0x59b2…a9ac | No | SELL | 200 | 91¢ | $182 | 0x9dd343… |
| 07-07 09:50:55 | (anonymous) 0xd268…755f | No | SELL | 103 | 91¢ | $94 | 0x9dd343… |
| 07-07 09:50:55 | (anonymous) 0xddd1…02b9 | No | SELL | 150 | 91¢ | $136 | 0x9dd343… |
| 07-07 09:50:55 | (anonymous) 0x9de6…e7f0 | No | SELL | 5 | 91¢ | $5 | 0x9dd343… |
| 07-07 09:50:55 | Joint-Washbasin 0x1b60…a55b | No | BUY | 1,099 | 91¢ | $1,000 | 0x9dd343… |
| 07-07 09:50:55 | Altruistic-Gambling 0x264c…baca | No | SELL | 216 | 91¢ | $197 | 0x9dd343… |
| 07-07 09:50:55 | Upset-Raincoat 0xff01…b5db | No | SELL | 100 | 91¢ | $91 | 0x9dd343… |
| 07-07 06:32:52 | JuicedBunched 0x2eba…ffa3 | Yes | BUY | 417 | 10¢ | $42 | 0x19323d… |
| 07-07 06:32:52 | Small-Pompom 0x9d73…216b | No | BUY | 417 | 90¢ | $375 | 0x19323d… |
| 07-07 06:09:13 | Easy-Koala 0xe6fd…8bc3 | No | SELL | 223 | 90¢ | $200 | 0xc82337… |
| 07-07 06:09:13 | Small-Pompom 0x9d73…216b | No | BUY | 223 | 90¢ | $200 | 0xc82337… |
| 07-07 05:36:40 | Small-Pompom 0x9d73…216b | No | BUY | 12 | 90¢ | $11 | 0x074146… |
| 07-07 05:36:40 | Bold-Guerrilla 0x2721…cf8a | Yes | BUY | 12 | 10¢ | $1 | 0x074146… |
| 07-07 05:35:41 | (anonymous) 0xe0d7…1314 | Yes | BUY | 10 | 10¢ | $1 | 0x3566b1… |
| 07-07 05:35:41 | Small-Pompom 0x9d73…216b | No | BUY | 10 | 90¢ | $9 | 0x3566b1… |
| 07-07 05:35:37 | Small-Pompom 0x9d73…216b | No | BUY | 12 | 90¢ | $11 | 0x7f8f6e… |
| 07-07 05:35:37 | Peppery-Capital 0x7c3d…5c6b | Yes | BUY | 12 | 10¢ | $1 | 0x7f8f6e… |
| 07-07 02:01:41 | (anonymous) 0x4bbe…2cf3 | No | BUY | 9 | 89¢ | $8 | 0x572e18… |
| 07-07 02:01:41 | (anonymous) 0x4bbe…2cf3 | No | BUY | 11 | 89¢ | $10 | 0x3193b3… |
| 07-07 02:01:41 | (anonymous) 0x5449…992b | Yes | BUY | 11 | 11¢ | $1 | 0x3193b3… |
| 07-07 02:01:41 | (anonymous) 0xe0d7…1314 | Yes | BUY | 9 | 11¢ | $1 | 0x572e18… |
| 07-07 02:01:38 | Peppery-Capital 0x7c3d…5c6b | Yes | BUY | 18 | 10¢ | $2 | 0xbda869… |
| 07-07 02:01:38 | (anonymous) 0xb11c…e34b | Yes | SELL | 18 | 10¢ | $2 | 0xbda869… |
| 07-06 21:49:10 | (anonymous) 0x4bbe…2cf3 | No | BUY | 9 | 89¢ | $8 | 0x9a451d… |
| 07-06 21:49:10 | Bold-Guerrilla 0x2721…cf8a | Yes | BUY | 9 | 11¢ | $1 | 0x9a451d… |
| 07-06 21:49:08 | (anonymous) 0x4bbe…2cf3 | No | BUY | 2 | 89¢ | $2 | 0xeea6a4… |
| 07-06 21:49:08 | Happy-Go-Lucky-Shoes 0xed45…0d29 | Yes | BUY | 2 | 11¢ | $0 | 0xeea6a4… |
| 07-06 21:48:29 | (anonymous) 0x4bbe…2cf3 | No | BUY | 40 | 89¢ | $36 | 0x31776b… |
| 07-06 21:48:29 | (anonymous) 0xe0d7…1314 | Yes | BUY | 9 | 11¢ | $1 | 0x8dfdea… |
| 07-06 21:48:29 | (anonymous) 0x4bbe…2cf3 | No | BUY | 18 | 89¢ | $16 | 0x348905… |
| 07-06 21:48:29 | (anonymous) 0x48ea…cb19 | Yes | BUY | 9 | 11¢ | $1 | 0xeedfe2… |
| 07-06 21:48:29 | (anonymous) 0x4bbe…2cf3 | No | BUY | 11 | 89¢ | $10 | 0xcc24a4… |