(anonymous) 0x920491…215c05 Create alert
2W streak
← all wallets
Realized P&L
+$678
Unrealized P&L
+$590
Hit rate
77.9%
Resolved
97
Trades
316
lifetime
Volume
$94.5K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$299
Open exposure
$6.06K
24 positions
First seen
2026-01-03
last 11-11 09:06
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 56 days
Categories
Other
47% 73% +$1,800
Politics
37% 49% -$537
Crypto
10% 50% +$48
Sports
7% 32% -$632
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
25 active days in 12wk • peak 40 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes +4,177 $650 27¢ $1.1K +$471 11-03 09:33
Will Zelenskyy and Putin not meet before 2027? Yes +636 $600 96¢ $608 +$8 11-04 11:00
Will Ethereum reach $3,500 by December 31, 2026? No +556 $500 96¢ $536 +$36 10-27 14:23
Will Ethereum reach $3,000 by December 31, 2026? No +529 $440 92¢ $484 +$44 11-03 09:37
Will Russia enter Druzkhivka by December 31, 2026? No +441 $350 84¢ $370 +$20 11-09 17:10
Variational FDV above $300M one day after launch? Yes +363 $300 94¢ $340 +$40 07-05 22:08
Will Ukraine agree to give up the rest of Donbas by June 30, 2027? No +347 $300 90¢ $312 +$12 10-28 12:21
Will Russia capture Orikhiv by December 31, 2026? No +326 $300 95¢ $312 +$12 10-28 12:20
Will Ron DeSantis win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Yes +1,408 $200 16¢ $226 +$26 11-04 13:22
Will Russia enter Kramatorsk by December 31, 2026? No +219 $200 94¢ $206 +$6 10-28 13:59
Will Russia enter Sloviansk by December 31, 2026? No +215 $200 94¢ $203 +$3 10-28 13:59
Will Ukraine agree to give up the rest of Donbas before 2027? No +207 $200 96¢ $200 $0 10-28 12:22
Will Hakeem Jeffries be the first Speaker of the House after the 2026 midterms? Yes +209 $200 95¢ $199 -$1 11-10 23:02
Will Brian Kemp win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Yes +7,415 $150 3¢ $193 +$43 11-06 13:10
Will Glenn Youngkin win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Yes +5,770 $200 3¢ $147 -$53 11-06 13:08
Will Variational launch a token by November 30, 2026? No +110 $100 96¢ $105 +$5 11-04 16:08
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? No +145 $100 69¢ $101 +$1 11-04 13:22
Will Barcelona win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship? No +128 $100 76¢ $98 -$2 10-27 14:15
Will Variational launch a token by December 31, 2026? Yes +116 $100 68¢ $79 -$21 11-04 16:07
Will Paris Saint-Germain win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship? Yes +278 $50 20¢ $54 +$4 10-27 14:15
Will Tim Scott win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Yes +13,209 $50 0¢ $46 -$4 11-06 13:10
Will Chuck Schumer be the next Senate Majority Leader? No +276 $55 15¢ $40 -$15 11-10 23:10
Will Elise Stefanik win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Yes +25,000 $50 0¢ $38 -$12 11-06 13:09
Will Katie Britt win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Yes +14,925 $70 0¢ $37 -$33 11-06 13:12