(anonymous) 0x920491…215c05 Create alert
2W streak
← all wallets
Realized P&L
+$650
Unrealized P&L
+$449
Hit rate
77.9%
Resolved
95
Trades
312
lifetime
Volume
$94.1K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$302
Open exposure
$5.96K
24 positions
First seen
2026-01-03
last 11-09 17:10
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 55 days
Categories
Other
46% 74% +$1,771
Politics
37% 49% -$537
Crypto
10% 50% +$48
Sports
7% 32% -$632
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
24 active days in 12wk • peak 40 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes +4,177 $650 27¢ $1.1K +$490 11-03 09:33
Will Zelenskyy and Putin not meet before 2027? Yes +636 $600 96¢ $609 +$9 11-04 11:00
Will Ethereum reach $3,500 by December 31, 2026? No +556 $500 96¢ $531 +$31 10-27 14:23
Will Ethereum reach $3,000 by December 31, 2026? No +529 $440 90¢ $473 +$33 11-03 09:37
Will Russia enter Druzkhivka by December 31, 2026? No +441 $350 84¢ $368 +$18 11-09 17:10
Variational FDV above $300M one day after launch? Yes +363 $300 94¢ $343 +$43 07-05 22:08
Will Ukraine agree to give up the rest of Donbas by June 30, 2027? No +347 $300 90¢ $312 +$12 10-28 12:21
Will Russia capture Orikhiv by December 31, 2026? No +326 $300 95¢ $309 +$9 10-28 12:20
Will Ron DeSantis win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Yes +1,408 $200 15¢ $210 +$10 11-04 13:22
Will Russia enter Kramatorsk by December 31, 2026? No +219 $200 94¢ $207 +$7 10-28 13:59
Will Russia enter Sloviansk by December 31, 2026? No +215 $200 94¢ $203 +$3 10-28 13:59
Will Ukraine agree to give up the rest of Donbas before 2027? No +207 $200 96¢ $200 $0 10-28 12:22
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31? Yes +434 $200 42¢ $185 -$15 11-04 13:46
Will Brian Kemp win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Yes +7,415 $150 2¢ $152 +$2 11-06 13:10
Will Glenn Youngkin win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Yes +5,770 $200 2¢ $124 -$76 11-06 13:08
Will Variational launch a token by November 30, 2026? No +110 $100 93¢ $102 +$2 11-04 16:08
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? No +145 $100 68¢ $99 -$1 11-04 13:22
Will Barcelona win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship? No +128 $100 76¢ $98 -$2 10-27 14:15
Will Variational launch a token by December 31, 2026? Yes +116 $100 68¢ $78 -$22 11-04 16:07
Will Paris Saint-Germain win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship? Yes +278 $50 18¢ $51 +$1 10-27 14:15
Will Tim Scott win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Yes +13,209 $50 0¢ $46 -$4 11-06 13:10
Will Donald Trump Jr. win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Yes +2,941 $102 2¢ $46 -$56 11-06 13:12
Will Elise Stefanik win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Yes +25,000 $50 0¢ $38 -$12 11-06 13:09
Will Katie Britt win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Yes +14,925 $70 0¢ $37 -$33 11-06 13:12