Will Germany send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by May 31, 2026?
open
Total volume
$3,847
$43,953 in 24h
Trades
31
Unique wallets
30
Liquidity
$28,381
Latest YES mid
4¢
Latest NO mid
96¢
End date
2026-05-31
First seen
2026-05-06
last 05-08 19:13
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
YES holders
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐟 Fish | 1 | — | $296 | $296 |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 29 | $929 | $2.4K | $1.5K |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🏆 Top 5% | 4 | $4 | $25 | $21 |
| ✅ Top 10% | 1 | — | $7 | $7 |
| Median | 3 | — | $363 | $363 |
| Below median | 3 | — | $6 | $6 |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 1 | — | — | +— |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 1 | — | — | +— |
| unranked | 17 | $925 | $2.3K | $1.4K |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Single-Ostrich 0xec1f…d325 | Yes | +16,781 | $900 | $900 | 1 | 05-07 10:37 |
| Smoggy-Sunglasses 0xb4f2…e5fa | No | +1,594 | $1,361 | $1,361 | 1 | 05-07 11:16 |
| Hard-To-Find-Cheetah 0xfb62…1f36 | No | +494 | $482 | $482 | 1 | 05-07 05:18 |
| Ill-Museum 0xe287…bc67 | No | +464 | $453 | $453 | 1 | 05-07 05:17 |
| Natural-Vacation 0xa8c6…44e8 | No | +330 | $296 | $296 | 1 | 05-07 11:46 |
| Vibrant-Error 0xf775…f817 | Yes | +200 | $20 | $20 | 1 | 05-07 11:01 |
| Gleaming-Familiar 0x035f…33eb | Yes | +50 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 05-08 19:13 |
| Ripe-Botany 0x0e5b…4ef4 | No | +50 | $47 | $47 | 1 | 05-08 09:55 |
| Agreeable-Birth 0x84c3…35d4 | Yes | +40 | $4 | $4 | 1 | 05-07 10:58 |
| Flawed-Praise-Avocado 0x7158…7310 | Yes | +37 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-07 10:25 |
| Burdensome-Formicarium 0x9433…0236 | No | +27 | $25 | $25 | 1 | 05-07 13:36 |
| Flamboyant-Warming 0xc7d0…1f8a | No | +26 | $25 | $25 | 1 | 05-08 10:09 |
| Precious-Bassoon-Multimedia 0x67be…d937 | No | +20 | $19 | $19 | 1 | 05-06 09:46 |
| Sticky-Dispute 0x60ec…52d5 | Yes | +13 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-07 22:09 |
| Tricky-Tea 0x0799…725c | Yes | +11 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-07 17:36 |
| Pink-Activation 0x88bb…8d2c | No | +8 | $7 | $7 | 1 | 05-07 21:18 |
| Stimulating-Matter 0xa085…6779 | No | +7 | $7 | $7 | 1 | 05-07 14:49 |
| (anonymous) 0x5442…1f90 | No | +6 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 05-07 11:16 |
| Offbeat-Banquette 0xde05…e634 | No | +5 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 05-08 06:40 |
| Imperfect-Suit 0xe939…1818 | No | +5 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 05-08 07:30 |
| Bite-Sized-Spray 0x5e45…e737 | No | +1 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-07 07:48 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05-08 19:13:52 | Gleaming-Familiar 0x035f…33eb | Yes | BUY | 50 | 4¢ | $2 | 0xf11f53… |
| 05-08 12:19:46 | Bleak-Mandate 0xd83b…6ab2 | No | SELL | 105 | 96¢ | $101 | 0x0dd5bf… |
| 05-08 10:09:45 | Flamboyant-Warming 0xc7d0…1f8a | No | BUY | 26 | 95¢ | $25 | 0xa2abb3… |
| 05-08 09:55:50 | Ripe-Botany 0x0e5b…4ef4 | No | BUY | 50 | 94¢ | $47 | 0x7d118d… |
| 05-08 07:30:40 | Imperfect-Suit 0xe939…1818 | No | BUY | 5 | 94¢ | $5 | 0xafc976… |
| 05-08 06:40:20 | Offbeat-Banquette 0xde05…e634 | No | BUY | 5 | 94¢ | $5 | 0x7ca942… |
| 05-07 22:09:48 | Sticky-Dispute 0x60ec…52d5 | Yes | BUY | 13 | 8¢ | $1 | 0xed4784… |
| 05-07 21:18:19 | Pink-Activation 0x88bb…8d2c | No | BUY | 8 | 92¢ | $7 | 0xd8e7cd… |
| 05-07 17:36:18 | Tricky-Tea 0x0799…725c | Yes | BUY | 11 | 9¢ | $1 | 0xe49522… |
| 05-07 14:49:40 | Stimulating-Matter 0xa085…6779 | No | BUY | 7 | 94¢ | $7 | 0x6f9883… |
| 05-07 14:11:09 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | Yes | SELL | 6 | 6¢ | $0 | 0xb90dfe… |
| 05-07 13:46:42 | (anonymous) 0x238f…3015 | Yes | SELL | 18 | 6¢ | $1 | 0xecfc2c… |
| 05-07 13:36:28 | Burdensome-Formicarium 0x9433…0236 | No | BUY | 27 | 94¢ | $25 | 0xf028c2… |
| 05-07 11:46:15 | Natural-Vacation 0xa8c6…44e8 | No | BUY | 330 | 90¢ | $296 | 0xab29d8… |
| 05-07 11:21:06 | Big-Hearted-Networking 0x47d7…df89 | Yes | SELL | 401 | 10¢ | $40 | 0x31e827… |
| 05-07 11:16:14 | Smoggy-Sunglasses 0xb4f2…e5fa | No | BUY | 1,594 | 85¢ | $1,361 | 0x2ac180… |
| 05-07 11:16:14 | (anonymous) 0x5442…1f90 | No | BUY | 6 | 86¢ | $5 | 0xe6b4f5… |
| 05-07 11:01:42 | Vibrant-Error 0xf775…f817 | Yes | BUY | 200 | 10¢ | $20 | 0xbfdf07… |
| 05-07 10:58:40 | Agreeable-Birth 0x84c3…35d4 | Yes | BUY | 40 | 10¢ | $4 | 0x844b62… |
| 05-07 10:37:37 | Single-Ostrich 0xec1f…d325 | Yes | BUY | 16,781 | 5¢ | $900 | 0xf92ebe… |
| 05-07 10:25:13 | Flawed-Praise-Avocado 0x7158…7310 | Yes | BUY | 37 | 3¢ | $1 | 0xa8c91f… |
| 05-07 07:49:46 | Periodic-Monitoring 0x5795…fdd8 | Yes | SELL | 464 | 2¢ | $11 | 0xc7c63f… |
| 05-07 07:49:09 | Periodic-Monitoring 0x5795…fdd8 | Yes | SELL | 494 | 2¢ | $11 | 0xc9e502… |
| 05-07 07:48:27 | Bite-Sized-Spray 0x5e45…e737 | No | BUY | 1 | 98¢ | $1 | 0x8db7ba… |
| 05-07 06:53:11 | Few-Prevention 0xa58d…b9b8 | Yes | SELL | 113 | 2¢ | $2 | 0xfc01f6… |
| 05-07 05:18:21 | Hard-To-Find-Cheetah 0xfb62…1f36 | No | BUY | 494 | 98¢ | $482 | 0x771c32… |
| 05-07 05:17:52 | Ill-Museum 0xe287…bc67 | No | BUY | 464 | 98¢ | $453 | 0xc800f9… |
| 05-07 04:58:44 | Vivacious-Replication 0x5cab…ff14 | Yes | SELL | 430 | 2¢ | $10 | 0xa359e5… |
| 05-06 09:46:52 | Radiant-Divide 0x7df6…ac3b | Yes | SELL | 20 | 3¢ | $1 | 0x96bff1… |
| 05-06 09:46:52 | Precious-Bassoon-Multimedia 0x67be…d937 | No | BUY | 20 | 97¢ | $19 | 0x0b97c5… |
| 05-06 08:04:04 | Pointless-Casket 0x081a…66d0 | Yes | SELL | 55 | 3¢ | $2 | 0x8c9d0b… |