Scholarly-Incompetence — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$0

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

49.0%

Resolved

Trades

137

lifetime

Volume

$1.67K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$12

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-02-11

last 06-26 16:36

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 3 days

Categories

Other

62% — —

Crypto

33% 33% $-0

Politics

3% — —

Sports

2% — —

Tech

1% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

39 active days in 12wk • peak 17 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (1) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will amzn reach 264 by june 22 2026	3	$51	25	25	+0	open	—	06-26 16:36
highest temperature in cape town on april 18 2026 22c	2	$40	20	20	+0	open	—	04-18 05:59
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on May 27?	2	$38	19	19	+0	open	—	05-27 07:48
highest temperature in amsterdam on april 20 2026 16c	2	$36	18	18	+0	open	—	04-20 06:58
highest temperature in manila on april 19 2026 30c	2	$35	18	18	+0	open	—	04-19 01:41
highest temperature in austin on april 17 2026 96forhigher	2	$34	17	17	+0	open	—	04-17 21:06
highest temperature in lagos on april 18 2026 28c	3	$34	17	17	+0	open	—	04-18 05:17
highest temperature in denver on april 19 2026 57forbelow	2	$34	17	17	+0	open	—	04-19 04:24
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,100 on May 11?	2	$32	16	16	+0	Yes	+$0	05-11 02:14
highest temperature in sao paulo on april 20 2026 32corhigher	2	$32	16	16	+0	open	—	04-20 10:16
will the price of solana be between 60 70 on april 24	3	$32	16	16	+0	open	—	04-24 05:32
Will Galatasaray win the 2025–26 Champions League?	1	$31	31	0	+31	open	—	02-11 06:18
highest temperature in buenos aires on april 19 2026 21c	2	$31	16	16	+0	open	—	04-19 06:36
will pltr close between 126 and 128 week april 17 2026	2	$31	16	16	+0	open	—	04-17 21:05
highest temperature in tokyo on april 19 2026 19c	2	$31	15	15	+0	open	—	04-19 04:28
Will the price of Solana be above $90 on May 28?	2	$30	15	15	+0	open	—	05-28 13:39
highest temperature in denver on april 19 2026 62 63f	2	$29	15	15	+0	open	—	04-19 18:15
highest temperature in mexico city on april 20 2026 18c	2	$28	14	14	+0	open	—	04-20 07:02
lowest temperature in hong kong on april 24 2026 17c	2	$28	14	14	+0	open	—	04-24 15:14
Will the price of Solana be above $90 on June 2?	2	$27	17	11	+6	open	—	06-02 01:41
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on May 27?	2	$27	14	14	+0	open	—	05-27 15:39
Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $725 Week of April 20 2026?	2	$27	13	13	+0	open	—	04-24 19:59
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,800 on May 28?	2	$26	13	13	+0	open	—	05-28 03:03
will qwen3pt5 max preview be the best ai model on april 17 2026	2	$26	13	13	+0	open	—	04-17 15:14
Mojtaba Khamenei leaves Iran by April 30, 2026?	2	$26	13	13	+0	open	—	04-30 00:02
Andy Burnham out as Mayor of Greater Manchester by May 31?	2	$25	13	13	+0	open	—	05-31 22:23
highest temperature in toronto on april 20 2026 10c	2	$22	11	11	+0	open	—	04-20 17:47
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on May 22?	2	$21	10	10	+0	open	—	05-21 15:56
Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 28°C on April 25?	1	$20	20	0	+20	open	—	04-24 11:50
Will Solana reach $100 April 27-May 3?	2	$20	10	10	+0	open	—	05-03 04:01

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-26 16:36:08	will amzn reach 264 by june 22 2026	No	SELL	7	100¢	$7	0x01b90d…
06-26 16:30:04	will amzn reach 264 by june 22 2026	No	SELL	18	100¢	$18	0x159966…
06-26 15:23:23	bitcoin above 58k on june 26 2026	Yes	BUY	16	100¢	$16	0x85aead…
06-26 13:41:25	will amzn reach 264 by june 22 2026	No	BUY	25	100¢	$25	0x1cb907…
06-06 13:57:09	xrp above 1 on june 6 2026	Yes	BUY	19	100¢	$19	0x6dedbb…
06-06 01:44:10	bitcoin above 68k on june 6 2026	No	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0xcb8400…
06-05 12:02:13	ethereum above 1900 on june 5 2026	No	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0xf69d4b…
06-02 08:51:44	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on June 2?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x9cb12a…
06-02 01:41:14	Will the price of Solana be above $90 on June 2?	No	SELL	11	100¢	$11	0xd0188b…
06-01 17:17:12	Will the price of Solana be above $90 on June 2?	No	BUY	17	100¢	$17	0x172f94…
06-01 03:30:36	Will the Ornn H100 Index hit $4.50 (HIGH) by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	9	100¢	$9	0xb8c3d5…
05-31 22:23:54	Andy Burnham out as Mayor of Greater Manchester by May 31?	No	SELL	13	100¢	$13	0xadb263…
05-31 06:01:40	Will Germany send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	8	100¢	$8	0xaf2d1e…
05-30 23:15:17	Will the Ornn H100 Index hit $4.50 (HIGH) by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x602c6b…
05-30 07:44:19	Will Russia capture all of Prymorske by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	8	100¢	$8	0x55b578…
05-29 23:52:34	Andy Burnham out as Mayor of Greater Manchester by May 31?	No	BUY	13	100¢	$13	0x7097e2…
05-29 18:59:21	Will Russia capture all of Prymorske by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xe01e98…
05-29 14:13:33	Will Germany send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x58c007…
05-29 00:12:25	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on May 29?	Yes	SELL	9	100¢	$9	0xd84957…
05-28 17:02:47	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on May 29?	Yes	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0xe70b94…
05-28 13:39:09	Will the price of Solana be above $90 on May 28?	No	SELL	15	100¢	$15	0x30b73e…
05-28 08:49:51	Will the price of Solana be above $90 on May 28?	No	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0xc3dff6…
05-28 03:03:10	Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,800 on May 28?	Yes	SELL	13	100¢	$13	0xbe27ac…
05-27 23:00:25	Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,800 on May 28?	Yes	BUY	13	100¢	$13	0xfaf499…
05-27 15:39:46	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on May 27?	No	SELL	14	100¢	$14	0xe051d2…
05-27 11:55:35	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on May 27?	No	BUY	14	100¢	$14	0x7a5b73…
05-27 07:48:07	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on May 27?	Yes	SELL	19	100¢	$19	0xe76342…
05-26 19:27:12	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on May 27?	Yes	BUY	19	100¢	$19	0x63faa3…
05-26 14:57:11	Will the price of XRP be above $1.30 on May 26?	Yes	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0xb651fd…
05-25 17:12:14	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on May 26?	Yes	SELL	7	100¢	$7	0xafc3df…
05-25 08:03:30	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on May 26?	Yes	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0x93edf0…
05-22 15:01:05	Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (HIGH) $248 Week of May 18 2026?	No	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0x76e433…
05-21 15:56:57	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on May 22?	Yes	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0x45b0db…
05-21 08:02:54	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on May 22?	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xa30720…
05-19 19:26:15	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,400 on May 20?	No	BUY	17	100¢	$16	0xedff57…
05-19 04:05:15	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on May 20?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x2ee1fe…
05-18 14:17:58	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on May 19?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xff73f4…
05-17 00:12:54	Will Bitcoin reach $82,000 on May 16?	No	SELL	7	100¢	$7	0x7f1e20…
05-16 18:10:37	Will Bitcoin reach $82,000 on May 16?	No	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0x3f116f…
05-15 07:10:37	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,100 on May 15?	Yes	BUY	18	100¢	$18	0x823a75…
05-13 13:28:37	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $88,000 on May 13?	No	SELL	18	100¢	$18	0x32c642…
05-11 02:14:36	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,100 on May 11?	Yes	SELL	16	100¢	$16	0xea0544…
05-10 07:43:39	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,100 on May 11?	Yes	BUY	16	100¢	$16	0x5c7b8a…
05-08 16:37:55	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 8?	No	SELL	16	100¢	$16	0xd0aea5…
05-03 15:32:54	Will "The Devil Wears Prada 2" score at least 90 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0xffe731…
05-03 04:01:08	Will Solana reach $100 April 27-May 3?	No	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0x4c639c…
05-03 03:37:28	Will Solana reach $100 April 27-May 3?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x5206ee…
04-30 00:02:38	Mojtaba Khamenei leaves Iran by April 30, 2026?	No	SELL	13	100¢	$13	0x653b27…
04-28 17:47:52	Mojtaba Khamenei leaves Iran by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	13	100¢	$13	0xffe8a3…
04-27 15:40:30	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 32°C on April 28?	No	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0xb5a655…
04-27 12:18:26	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 30°C on April 28?	No	BUY	12	100¢	$12	0xf2e653…
04-27 06:09:28	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 19°C or higher on April 27?	No	BUY	17	100¢	$17	0x45dd33…
04-26 12:40:08	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 26°C or higher on April 27?	No	BUY	18	100¢	$18	0xbeaf4d…
04-26 11:02:28	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 18°C on April 26?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x1fde7c…
04-25 04:27:42	Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 90-91°F on April 25?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xe6fe64…
04-24 22:14:48	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 18°C on April 25?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x448c29…
04-24 20:54:22	Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 74-75°F on April 25?	No	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0x93f1b9…
04-24 19:59:54	Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $725 Week of April 20 2026?	No	SELL	13	100¢	$13	0xff09f1…
04-24 19:15:06	Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 3°C or below on April 25?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x634dca…
04-24 15:14:42	lowest temperature in hong kong on april 24 2026 17c	No	SELL	14	100¢	$14	0xb10cc2…
04-24 12:58:22	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $75 Week of April 20 2026?	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0x8d1ab9…
04-24 11:50:58	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 28°C on April 25?	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0xf0c118…
04-24 08:17:30	lowest temperature in hong kong on april 24 2026 17c	No	BUY	14	100¢	$14	0x184eb7…
04-24 07:09:26	Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $725 Week of April 20 2026?	No	BUY	13	100¢	$13	0x6048a2…
04-24 05:32:20	will the price of solana be between 60 70 on april 24	No	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0x867d1b…
04-24 03:29:50	will the us flu hospitalization rate per 100000 in week 15 be between 70 and 75	No	SELL	3	100¢	$3	0xe70ec8…
04-24 02:40:36	will the price of solana be between 60 70 on april 24	No	SELL	15	100¢	$15	0xa03f5c…
04-24 02:04:16	will the us flu hospitalization rate per 100000 in week 15 be between 70 and 75	No	SELL	3	100¢	$3	0x9463f5…
04-23 14:19:36	will the price of solana be between 60 70 on april 24	No	BUY	16	100¢	$16	0x896702…
04-23 01:41:08	will the us flu hospitalization rate per 100000 in week 15 be between 70 and 75	No	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0x7e426a…
04-23 00:12:34	highest temperature in los angeles on april 23 2026 62 63f	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xec1640…
04-22 21:37:10	will south korea gdp growth in q1 2026 be between 0pt0 and 0pt4	No	BUY	7	100¢	$6	0x735407…
04-22 20:50:16	highest temperature in milan on april 23 2026 18c	No	BUY	16	100¢	$16	0x4478f5…
04-22 18:39:40	highest temperature in paris on april 23 2026 25corhigher	No	BUY	13	100¢	$13	0xdcaab9…
04-22 14:47:46	highest temperature in wuhan on april 23 2026 23c	No	BUY	14	100¢	$14	0xeee718…
04-22 03:26:50	highest temperature in houston on april 22 2026 66 67f	No	BUY	13	100¢	$13	0xfb9016…
04-22 02:55:02	highest temperature in austin on april 22 2026 68 69f	No	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0x766fa1…
04-21 23:54:30	highest temperature in taipei on april 22 2026 36corhigher	No	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0x845d59…
04-21 23:16:20	highest temperature in lagos on april 22 2026 38c	No	SELL	8	100¢	$8	0x4fa80d…
04-21 14:49:46	zelenskyy of tweets april 14 april 21 2026 100 119	No	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0x906931…
04-21 12:00:54	highest temperature in lagos on april 22 2026 38c	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x01f08f…
04-21 11:50:04	highest temperature in cape town on april 21 2026 21c	No	SELL	9	100¢	$9	0x612b93…
04-21 07:00:36	highest temperature in jeddah on april 21 2026 29c	No	SELL	6	100¢	$6	0xe5ac32…
04-21 06:29:48	highest temperature in cape town on april 21 2026 21c	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x9145ff…
04-20 22:09:26	highest temperature in jeddah on april 21 2026 29c	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0xcb06b8…
04-20 17:47:56	highest temperature in toronto on april 20 2026 10c	No	SELL	11	100¢	$11	0xf5de6e…
04-20 14:24:56	highest temperature in cape town on april 21 2026 12corbelow	No	BUY	11	100¢	$10	0xd30da3…
04-20 10:16:32	highest temperature in sao paulo on april 20 2026 32corhigher	No	SELL	16	100¢	$16	0x909a86…
04-20 07:02:46	highest temperature in mexico city on april 20 2026 18c	No	SELL	14	100¢	$14	0x5efd70…
04-20 06:58:58	highest temperature in amsterdam on april 20 2026 16c	No	SELL	18	100¢	$18	0x7d4019…
04-19 21:19:10	highest temperature in mexico city on april 20 2026 18c	No	BUY	14	100¢	$14	0xfa0fcd…
04-19 20:50:24	highest temperature in amsterdam on april 20 2026 16c	No	BUY	18	100¢	$18	0xc31e36…
04-19 18:15:30	highest temperature in denver on april 19 2026 62 63f	No	SELL	15	100¢	$15	0xd747ae…
04-19 17:54:18	highest temperature in sao paulo on april 20 2026 32corhigher	No	BUY	16	100¢	$16	0x43532b…
04-19 17:01:50	highest temperature in london on april 20 2026 10c	No	SELL	6	100¢	$6	0xde7821…
04-19 17:00:26	xrp above 1pt3 on april 19	Yes	SELL	8	100¢	$8	0x1ae6e1…
04-19 15:06:24	highest temperature in toronto on april 20 2026 10c	No	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0x301924…
04-19 12:46:20	will another outcome occur in the 2026 bulgarian parliamentary election	No	SELL	8	100¢	$8	0x82bfb6…
04-19 11:35:56	highest temperature in london on april 20 2026 10c	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0x9e8f2d…
04-19 10:49:16	gpt 5pt5 released by april 19 2026	No	SELL	6	100¢	$6	0xece28c…