Scholarly-Incompetence — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$0

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

49.0%

Resolved

Trades

182

lifetime

Volume

$2.40K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$13

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-02-11

last 08-12 02:02

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 3 days

Categories

Other

49% — —

Crypto

43% 33% $-0

Politics

6% — —

Sports

1% — —

Tech

1% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

30 active days in 12wk • peak 7 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (1) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will amzn reach 272 by july 20 2026	5	$69	35	35	+0	open	—	07-24 13:42
iran invades kuwait by july 31 20260720015031545	2	$65	32	32	+0	open	—	07-31 02:59
ethereum above 1700 on august 12 2026	2	$62	62	0	+62	open	—	08-12 02:02
bitcoin above 60k on july 23 2026	3	$60	30	30	+0	open	—	07-22 13:28
kash patel out by july 31 20260626155143217	2	$52	26	26	+0	open	—	07-30 12:52
will amzn reach 264 by june 22 2026	3	$51	25	25	+0	open	—	06-26 16:36
ethereum above 1700 on july 22 2026	2	$42	21	21	+0	open	—	07-21 07:35
ethereum above 1700 on july 29 2026	2	$41	20	20	+0	open	—	07-29 13:13
xrp above 1pt2 on august 6 2026	2	$40	41	0	+41	open	—	08-05 13:15
highest temperature in cape town on april 18 2026 22c	2	$40	20	20	+0	open	—	04-18 05:59
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on May 27?	2	$38	19	19	+0	open	—	05-27 07:48
highest temperature in amsterdam on april 20 2026 16c	2	$36	18	18	+0	open	—	04-20 06:58
highest temperature in manila on april 19 2026 30c	2	$35	18	18	+0	open	—	04-19 01:41
will bitcoin dip to 58k july 20 26 2026	2	$35	18	18	+0	open	—	07-26 08:39
ethereum above 1700 on august 6 2026	1	$35	35	0	+35	open	—	08-05 22:31
highest temperature in austin on april 17 2026 96forhigher	2	$34	17	17	+0	open	—	04-17 21:06
highest temperature in lagos on april 18 2026 28c	3	$34	17	17	+0	open	—	04-18 05:17
highest temperature in denver on april 19 2026 57forbelow	2	$34	17	17	+0	open	—	04-19 04:24
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,100 on May 11?	2	$32	16	16	+0	Yes	+$0	05-11 02:14
highest temperature in sao paulo on april 20 2026 32corhigher	2	$32	16	16	+0	open	—	04-20 10:16
will the price of solana be between 60 70 on april 24	3	$32	16	16	+0	open	—	04-24 05:32
Will Galatasaray win the 2025–26 Champions League?	1	$31	31	0	+31	open	—	02-11 06:18
highest temperature in buenos aires on april 19 2026 21c	2	$31	16	16	+0	open	—	04-19 06:36
will pltr close between 126 and 128 week april 17 2026	2	$31	16	16	+0	open	—	04-17 21:05
highest temperature in tokyo on april 19 2026 19c	2	$31	15	15	+0	open	—	04-19 04:28
Will the price of Solana be above $90 on May 28?	2	$30	15	15	+0	open	—	05-28 13:39
highest temperature in denver on april 19 2026 62 63f	2	$29	15	15	+0	open	—	04-19 18:15
highest temperature in mexico city on april 20 2026 18c	2	$28	14	14	+0	open	—	04-20 07:02
lowest temperature in hong kong on april 24 2026 17c	2	$28	14	14	+0	open	—	04-24 15:14
Will the price of Solana be above $90 on June 2?	2	$27	17	11	+6	open	—	06-02 01:41

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
08-12 02:02:22	ethereum above 1700 on august 12 2026	Yes	BUY	30	100¢	$30	0x99aa08…
08-11 23:17:52	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 11 2026	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xe42072…
08-11 20:51:54	ethereum above 1700 on august 12 2026	Yes	BUY	32	100¢	$32	0xbc99db…
08-11 11:44:37	ethereum above 1700 on august 11 2026	Yes	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xbe392b…
08-08 01:29:51	will ethereum dip to 1850 on august 7	No	BUY	13	100¢	$13	0x00c97f…
08-07 23:01:43	will ethereum dip to 1850 on august 7	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xac8e7f…
08-07 18:13:46	us x iran diplomatic meeting by august 7 2026	No	BUY	27	100¢	$27	0xef1c3b…
08-06 06:39:26	bitcoin above 68k on august 6 2026	No	BUY	14	100¢	$14	0xeab3de…
08-05 22:31:32	ethereum above 1700 on august 6 2026	Yes	BUY	35	100¢	$35	0xe26569…
08-05 18:29:56	will bitcoin reach 68k on august 5	No	BUY	17	100¢	$17	0x2db170…
08-05 13:15:11	xrp above 1pt2 on august 6 2026	No	BUY	35	100¢	$35	0x8d317c…
08-05 11:33:05	xrp above 1pt2 on august 6 2026	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0x9dadd2…
07-31 03:05:17	will nvda reach 240 in july 2026	No	SELL	7	100¢	$7	0x4dd666…
07-31 02:59:27	iran invades kuwait by july 31 20260720015031545	No	SELL	32	100¢	$32	0xb390f5…
07-30 17:24:15	iran invades kuwait by july 31 20260720015031545	No	BUY	32	100¢	$32	0x8b6fe1…
07-30 16:19:42	will nvda reach 240 in july 2026	No	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0xbbe284…
07-30 12:52:06	kash patel out by july 31 20260626155143217	No	SELL	26	100¢	$26	0x8913a9…
07-30 12:25:44	kash patel out by july 31 20260626155143217	No	BUY	26	100¢	$26	0x30abfb…
07-29 13:13:57	ethereum above 1700 on july 29 2026	Yes	SELL	20	100¢	$20	0x8804b1…
07-29 09:26:09	ethereum above 1700 on july 29 2026	Yes	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0xc14e87…
07-26 08:39:49	will bitcoin dip to 58k july 20 26 2026	No	SELL	18	100¢	$18	0xeb6230…
07-26 05:23:45	will bitcoin dip to 58k july 20 26 2026	No	BUY	18	100¢	$18	0x7780a0…
07-26 05:02:07	bitcoin above 60k on july 26 2026	Yes	SELL	12	100¢	$12	0x84329c…
07-26 00:11:27	bitcoin above 60k on july 26 2026	Yes	BUY	12	100¢	$12	0xa16562…
07-25 08:20:55	ethereum above 1700 on july 25 2026	Yes	SELL	9	100¢	$9	0x03fadb…
07-24 19:26:21	ethereum above 1700 on july 25 2026	Yes	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x29f053…
07-24 18:59:40	will ethereum reach 2000 on july 24	No	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0x33179c…
07-24 17:00:51	will ethereum reach 2000 on july 24	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x89ba04…
07-24 13:42:40	will amzn reach 272 by july 20 2026	No	SELL	20	100¢	$20	0xf7effe…
07-24 13:39:45	will amzn reach 272 by july 20 2026	No	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0xa09d31…
07-24 13:14:24	will amzn reach 272 by july 20 2026	No	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0x796415…
07-24 10:18:43	will amzn reach 272 by july 20 2026	No	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0x51ccf0…
07-23 09:26:06	will amzn reach 272 by july 20 2026	No	BUY	35	100¢	$35	0x285b65…
07-22 13:28:07	bitcoin above 60k on july 23 2026	Yes	SELL	4	100¢	$4	0x3a4a5e…
07-22 13:19:30	bitcoin above 60k on july 23 2026	Yes	SELL	26	100¢	$26	0x8808ca…
07-22 09:59:24	bitcoin above 60k on july 23 2026	Yes	BUY	30	100¢	$30	0x708342…
07-21 07:39:16	xrp above 1pt3 on july 21 2026	No	SELL	14	100¢	$14	0x921d89…
07-21 07:35:43	ethereum above 1700 on july 22 2026	Yes	SELL	21	100¢	$21	0xd70e14…
07-21 07:24:31	ethereum above 1700 on july 22 2026	Yes	BUY	21	100¢	$21	0xcf5fa8…
07-21 01:39:21	xrp above 1pt3 on july 21 2026	No	BUY	14	100¢	$14	0x9d6b22…
07-21 00:44:43	will bitcoin dip to 62k on july 20	No	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0x8462de…
07-10 20:48:55	will bitcoin reach 67k on july 10	No	SELL	7	100¢	$7	0xce4335…
07-10 20:47:05	us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 10 2026 20260622191708360	No	SELL	8	100¢	$8	0x475714…
07-10 19:27:01	us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 10 2026 20260622191708360	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x513253…
07-10 17:58:22	will bitcoin reach 67k on july 10	No	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0x255c82…
06-26 16:36:08	will amzn reach 264 by june 22 2026	No	SELL	7	100¢	$7	0x01b90d…
06-26 16:30:04	will amzn reach 264 by june 22 2026	No	SELL	18	100¢	$18	0x159966…
06-26 15:23:23	bitcoin above 58k on june 26 2026	Yes	BUY	16	100¢	$16	0x85aead…
06-26 13:41:25	will amzn reach 264 by june 22 2026	No	BUY	25	100¢	$25	0x1cb907…
06-06 13:57:09	xrp above 1 on june 6 2026	Yes	BUY	19	100¢	$19	0x6dedbb…
06-06 01:44:10	bitcoin above 68k on june 6 2026	No	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0xcb8400…
06-05 12:02:13	ethereum above 1900 on june 5 2026	No	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0xf69d4b…
06-02 08:51:44	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on June 2?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x9cb12a…
06-02 01:41:14	Will the price of Solana be above $90 on June 2?	No	SELL	11	100¢	$11	0xd0188b…
06-01 17:17:12	Will the price of Solana be above $90 on June 2?	No	BUY	17	100¢	$17	0x172f94…
06-01 03:30:36	Will the Ornn H100 Index hit $4.50 (HIGH) by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	9	100¢	$9	0xb8c3d5…
05-31 22:23:54	Andy Burnham out as Mayor of Greater Manchester by May 31?	No	SELL	13	100¢	$13	0xadb263…
05-31 06:01:40	Will Germany send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	8	100¢	$8	0xaf2d1e…
05-30 23:15:17	Will the Ornn H100 Index hit $4.50 (HIGH) by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x602c6b…
05-30 07:44:19	Will Russia capture all of Prymorske by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	8	100¢	$8	0x55b578…
05-29 23:52:34	Andy Burnham out as Mayor of Greater Manchester by May 31?	No	BUY	13	100¢	$13	0x7097e2…
05-29 18:59:21	Will Russia capture all of Prymorske by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xe01e98…
05-29 14:13:33	Will Germany send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x58c007…
05-29 00:12:25	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on May 29?	Yes	SELL	9	100¢	$9	0xd84957…
05-28 17:02:47	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on May 29?	Yes	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0xe70b94…
05-28 13:39:09	Will the price of Solana be above $90 on May 28?	No	SELL	15	100¢	$15	0x30b73e…
05-28 08:49:51	Will the price of Solana be above $90 on May 28?	No	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0xc3dff6…
05-28 03:03:10	Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,800 on May 28?	Yes	SELL	13	100¢	$13	0xbe27ac…
05-27 23:00:25	Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,800 on May 28?	Yes	BUY	13	100¢	$13	0xfaf499…
05-27 15:39:46	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on May 27?	No	SELL	14	100¢	$14	0xe051d2…
05-27 11:55:35	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on May 27?	No	BUY	14	100¢	$14	0x7a5b73…
05-27 07:48:07	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on May 27?	Yes	SELL	19	100¢	$19	0xe76342…
05-26 19:27:12	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on May 27?	Yes	BUY	19	100¢	$19	0x63faa3…
05-26 14:57:11	Will the price of XRP be above $1.30 on May 26?	Yes	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0xb651fd…
05-25 17:12:14	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on May 26?	Yes	SELL	7	100¢	$7	0xafc3df…
05-25 08:03:30	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on May 26?	Yes	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0x93edf0…
05-22 15:01:05	Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (HIGH) $248 Week of May 18 2026?	No	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0x76e433…
05-21 15:56:57	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on May 22?	Yes	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0x45b0db…
05-21 08:02:54	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on May 22?	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xa30720…
05-19 19:26:15	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,400 on May 20?	No	BUY	17	100¢	$16	0xedff57…
05-19 04:05:15	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on May 20?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x2ee1fe…
05-18 14:17:58	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on May 19?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xff73f4…
05-17 00:12:54	Will Bitcoin reach $82,000 on May 16?	No	SELL	7	100¢	$7	0x7f1e20…
05-16 18:10:37	Will Bitcoin reach $82,000 on May 16?	No	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0x3f116f…
05-15 07:10:37	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,100 on May 15?	Yes	BUY	18	100¢	$18	0x823a75…
05-13 13:28:37	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $88,000 on May 13?	No	SELL	18	100¢	$18	0x32c642…
05-11 02:14:36	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,100 on May 11?	Yes	SELL	16	100¢	$16	0xea0544…
05-10 07:43:39	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,100 on May 11?	Yes	BUY	16	100¢	$16	0x5c7b8a…
05-08 16:37:55	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 8?	No	SELL	16	100¢	$16	0xd0aea5…
05-03 15:32:54	Will "The Devil Wears Prada 2" score at least 90 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0xffe731…
05-03 04:01:08	Will Solana reach $100 April 27-May 3?	No	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0x4c639c…
05-03 03:37:28	Will Solana reach $100 April 27-May 3?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x5206ee…
04-30 00:02:38	Mojtaba Khamenei leaves Iran by April 30, 2026?	No	SELL	13	100¢	$13	0x653b27…
04-28 17:47:52	Mojtaba Khamenei leaves Iran by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	13	100¢	$13	0xffe8a3…
04-27 15:40:30	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 32°C on April 28?	No	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0xb5a655…
04-27 12:18:26	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 30°C on April 28?	No	BUY	12	100¢	$12	0xf2e653…
04-27 06:09:28	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 19°C or higher on April 27?	No	BUY	17	100¢	$17	0x45dd33…
04-26 12:40:08	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 26°C or higher on April 27?	No	BUY	18	100¢	$18	0xbeaf4d…
04-26 11:02:28	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 18°C on April 26?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x1fde7c…
04-25 04:27:42	Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 90-91°F on April 25?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xe6fe64…