Dark-Guess 0xa7754d…7cafdd
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← all wallets
Realized P&L
—
Unrealized P&L
+$2
Hit rate
—
Resolved
0
Trades
476
lifetime
Volume
$835
lifetime
Avg / trade
$2
Open exposure
$12
18 positions
First seen
2026-05-17
last 06-08 23:41
Equity curve
Not enough resolved markets yet to plot a curve.
Categories
Crypto
86% — —
Politics
11% — —
Other
3% — —
Tech
0% — —
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
18 active days in 12wk • peak 103 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will US withdraw from NATO by June 30? Yes +1,083 $3 0¢ $4 +$1 06-07 11:02
Will China invade Taiwan by September 30, 2026? Yes -31 $-1 3¢ $-1 $-0 05-29 06:25
Will any country leave NATO by June 30, 2026? Yes +100 $1 1¢ $1 $-0 06-05 23:02
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia by June 30? Yes -20 $-1 4¢ $-1 +$0 05-27 23:56
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026? Yes +7 $1 11¢ $1 $-0 06-08 23:41
Ukraine agrees not to join NATO by June 30? Yes +42 $-1 2¢ $1 +$2 06-08 21:23
Will Putin meet with Zelenskyy by June 30, 2026? Yes +50 $1 1¢ $1 $-0 06-08 21:47
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by June 30, 2026? Yes -50 $-1 1¢ $-1 +$0 06-02 16:56
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026? Yes -5 $-0 11¢ $-1 $-0 06-06 21:22
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? No -0 $-0 90¢ $-0 $-0 06-02 08:52
Kurds declare independence from Iran? Yes -15 $-0 2¢ $-0 $-0 05-28 02:47
Iran coup attempt by June 30? Yes -10 $-1 3¢ $-0 +$0 05-27 22:48
Naim Qassem out as Hezbollah’s secretary-general by June 30, 2026? Yes -5 $-0 6¢ $-0 $-0 05-28 10:55
Will Russia test a nuclear weapon by June 30 2026? Yes +31 $1 1¢ $0 $-1 06-08 21:15
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30? No -0 $-0 99¢ $-0 $-0 06-02 07:16
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? Yes -0 $-0 10¢ $-0 +$0 06-02 16:57
Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026? Yes +5 $0 1¢ $0 +$0 06-08 21:08
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30? Yes -0 $-0 1¢ $-0 +$0 06-02 23:30