Will any country leave NATO by June 30, 2026?
open
Total volume
$3,622
$464 in 24h
Trades
489
Unique wallets
97
Liquidity
$27,997
Latest YES mid
1¢
Latest NO mid
99¢
End date
2026-06-30
First seen
2026-05-28
last 06-15 09:26
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐋 Whale | 8 | $3 | $1.6K | $1.6K |
| 🐬 Dolphin | 8 | $0 | $2 | $2 |
| 🐟 Fish | 6 | $22 | — | +$22 |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 75 | $12 | $397 | $385 |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🎯 Top 1% | 3 | — | — | +— |
| 🏆 Top 5% | 7 | $3 | — | +$3 |
| ✅ Top 10% | 3 | $1 | $21 | $20 |
| Median | 11 | — | $79 | $79 |
| Below median | 8 | $3 | $10 | $7 |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 1 | — | $1 | $1 |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 5 | $22 | $95 | $73 |
| 💀 Bottom 1% | 1 | — | — | +— |
| unranked | 58 | $8 | $1.8K | $1.8K |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Scholarly-Dock 0x3e6a…e86d | Yes | +2,765 | $22 | $22 | 30 | 06-09 10:50 |
| Unfortunate-Pray 0xc9dc…9026 | No | +757 | $751 | $2,253 | 58 | 06-14 11:07 |
| Dark-Guess 0xa775…afdd | Yes | +100 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 06-05 23:02 |
| Glossy-Cashier 0x7bff…7cd6 | No | +86 | $86 | $86 | 16 | 06-13 11:41 |
| Taut-Aside 0x8f96…9f40 | Yes | +83 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-28 20:43 |
| (anonymous) 0x0d67…95bd | No | +50 | $50 | $50 | 1 | 06-01 07:19 |
| Tepid-Standard 0xcbe5…b69f | No | +30 | $30 | $30 | 1 | 06-13 23:00 |
| (anonymous) 0xd177…dd0e | No | +19 | $19 | $47 | 2 | 06-12 06:33 |
| (anonymous) 0xd29e…fade | No | +10 | $10 | $10 | 1 | 06-01 04:30 |
| Impassioned-Captain-Roommate 0xf5dc…9afe | Yes | +10 | $0 | $0 | 3 | 06-05 05:38 |
| Arctic-Kickoff 0xa667…ceb3 | No | +10 | $10 | $10 | 1 | 06-01 22:58 |
| (anonymous) 0xe710…eb15 | No | +7 | $7 | $7 | 1 | 06-03 04:42 |
| Unpleasant-Liquidity 0x3215…0d4d | No | +5 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 06-08 15:27 |
| (anonymous) 0xc5fc…e108 | No | +4 | $4 | $4 | 1 | 06-02 03:41 |
| (anonymous) 0xa0b5…160e | No | +4 | $4 | $4 | 1 | 06-05 04:42 |
| Fruitful-Heroine 0x1e98…6345 | Yes | +4 | $0 | $0 | 2 | 06-11 12:01 |
| Wilted-Prow 0x0048…066e | No | +3 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 06-07 09:40 |
| Stable-Patch 0x3a30…99ec | Yes | +2 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 06-11 22:01 |
| Roasted-Rap 0x8d90…9c08 | No | +2 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 06-07 02:46 |
| Scaly-Arena 0x0aa0…04a3 | Yes | +2 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 06-12 00:05 |
| (anonymous) 0x2935…d115 | Yes | +2 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 06-11 12:54 |
| (anonymous) 0x1e63…7267 | No | +2 | $2 | $15 | 13 | 06-12 12:22 |
| Foolhardy-Blackness 0xabce…a63d | No | +1 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 06-05 12:15 |
| Careless-Consulting 0xe535…f967 | No | +1 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 06-12 08:07 |
| Alert-Acoustics 0x4100…2dbc | No | +1 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 06-12 08:09 |
| Nonstop-Optimization 0x9aa1…fd0e | No | +1 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 06-12 06:46 |
| Icy-Disk 0xa994…19a6 | Yes | +1 | $1 | $5 | 5 | 06-06 09:30 |
| (anonymous) 0xf4c0…f9b2 | No | +1 | $1 | $24 | 19 | 06-14 11:50 |
| (anonymous) 0x3317…76b4 | No | +1 | $1 | $13 | 13 | 06-15 04:21 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06-15 09:26:25 | (anonymous) 0x6b0e…e3ea | Yes | SELL | 2 | 1¢ | $0 | 0xbcb591… |
| 06-15 09:26:25 | (anonymous) 0x661d…d569 | No | SELL | 2 | 99¢ | $2 | 0xbcb591… |
| 06-15 04:21:39 | (anonymous) 0x3317…76b4 | No | SELL | 1 | 99¢ | $1 | 0x980841… |
| 06-15 04:21:39 | (anonymous) 0x6b0e…e3ea | Yes | SELL | 1 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x980841… |
| 06-15 04:21:34 | (anonymous) 0x3317…76b4 | No | SELL | 0 | 99¢ | $0 | 0x89e0b7… |
| 06-15 04:21:34 | (anonymous) 0x6b0e…e3ea | Yes | SELL | 0 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x89e0b7… |
| 06-15 03:25:55 | (anonymous) 0x6b0e…e3ea | Yes | BUY | 2 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x435051… |
| 06-15 03:25:55 | (anonymous) 0x3317…76b4 | No | BUY | 2 | 100¢ | $2 | 0x435051… |
| 06-14 16:33:58 | Babyish-Starboard 0xaaf7…2e27 | Yes | SELL | 1 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x8754e7… |
| 06-14 16:33:58 | Charming-Grape 0xac4a…bf1e | No | SELL | 1 | 99¢ | $1 | 0x8754e7… |
| 06-14 11:50:12 | (anonymous) 0xf4c0…f9b2 | No | SELL | 0 | 99¢ | $0 | 0x7b5ddf… |
| 06-14 11:50:12 | Babyish-Starboard 0xaaf7…2e27 | Yes | SELL | 0 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x7b5ddf… |
| 06-14 11:07:04 | Unfortunate-Pray 0xc9dc…9026 | No | SELL | 41 | 100¢ | $41 | 0x2e2fd7… |
| 06-14 11:07:04 | (anonymous) 0x1b15…2469 | Yes | SELL | 41 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x2e2fd7… |
| 06-14 10:25:46 | (anonymous) 0x3317…76b4 | No | SELL | 0 | 99¢ | $0 | 0xe09ec7… |
| 06-14 10:25:46 | Babyish-Starboard 0xaaf7…2e27 | Yes | SELL | 0 | 1¢ | $0 | 0xe09ec7… |
| 06-14 08:00:04 | Babyish-Starboard 0xaaf7…2e27 | Yes | SELL | 1 | 1¢ | $0 | 0xdd7a70… |
| 06-14 08:00:04 | (anonymous) 0x6b31…7bdf | No | SELL | 1 | 99¢ | $1 | 0xdd7a70… |
| 06-14 05:36:12 | (anonymous) 0x3317…76b4 | No | SELL | 2 | 99¢ | $2 | 0x6fdee0… |
| 06-14 05:36:12 | (anonymous) 0x6b0e…e3ea | Yes | SELL | 2 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x6fdee0… |
| 06-13 23:00:27 | (anonymous) 0x6b0e…e3ea | Yes | BUY | 30 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x7e16fc… |
| 06-13 23:00:27 | Tepid-Standard 0xcbe5…b69f | No | BUY | 30 | 99¢ | $30 | 0x7e16fc… |
| 06-13 22:46:24 | (anonymous) 0x1cb7…1d85 | No | SELL | 5 | 99¢ | $5 | 0xb5ce45… |
| 06-13 22:46:24 | Babyish-Starboard 0xaaf7…2e27 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 1¢ | $0 | 0xb5ce45… |
| 06-13 15:22:07 | (anonymous) 0x7ecb…e5da | Yes | SELL | 154 | 1¢ | $1 | 0x924b2f… |
| 06-13 15:22:07 | (anonymous) 0x6b0e…e3ea | Yes | BUY | 154 | 1¢ | $1 | 0x924b2f… |
| 06-13 11:41:54 | Dishonest-Solicitation 0xaab3…e7a5 | No | SELL | 2 | 99¢ | $2 | 0x6073a5… |
| 06-13 11:41:54 | Glossy-Cashier 0x7bff…7cd6 | No | BUY | 2 | 99¢ | $2 | 0x6073a5… |
| 06-13 09:46:21 | Glossy-Cashier 0x7bff…7cd6 | No | BUY | 2 | 99¢ | $2 | 0x4818bb… |
| 06-13 09:46:21 | (anonymous) 0x8db8…c3f0 | No | SELL | 2 | 99¢ | $2 | 0x4818bb… |
| 06-13 09:31:31 | Glossy-Cashier 0x7bff…7cd6 | No | BUY | 1 | 99¢ | $1 | 0x80312e… |
| 06-13 09:31:31 | (anonymous) 0xf4c0…f9b2 | No | SELL | 1 | 99¢ | $1 | 0x80312e… |
| 06-13 09:29:51 | Glossy-Cashier 0x7bff…7cd6 | No | BUY | 0 | 99¢ | $0 | 0xdffed8… |
| 06-13 09:29:51 | (anonymous) 0xf4c0…f9b2 | No | SELL | 0 | 99¢ | $0 | 0xdffed8… |
| 06-13 09:11:42 | Slight-Guinea 0xd39c…8d35 | No | SELL | 0 | 99¢ | $0 | 0x63ce0d… |
| 06-13 09:11:42 | Glossy-Cashier 0x7bff…7cd6 | No | BUY | 0 | 99¢ | $0 | 0x63ce0d… |
| 06-13 08:44:36 | (anonymous) 0x6b0e…e3ea | Yes | BUY | 2 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x9efcbc… |
| 06-13 08:44:36 | (anonymous) 0x8db8…c3f0 | No | BUY | 2 | 99¢ | $2 | 0x9efcbc… |
| 06-13 08:41:57 | (anonymous) 0xf4c0…f9b2 | No | BUY | 1 | 99¢ | $1 | 0x6d34bd… |
| 06-13 08:41:57 | (anonymous) 0x6b0e…e3ea | Yes | BUY | 1 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x6d34bd… |
| 06-13 08:17:27 | Glossy-Cashier 0x7bff…7cd6 | No | BUY | 0 | 99¢ | $0 | 0x043bb2… |
| 06-13 08:17:27 | Slight-Guinea 0xd39c…8d35 | No | SELL | 0 | 99¢ | $0 | 0x043bb2… |
| 06-13 07:44:45 | (anonymous) 0x8db8…c3f0 | No | SELL | 0 | 99¢ | $0 | 0x8a46d8… |
| 06-13 07:44:45 | Glossy-Cashier 0x7bff…7cd6 | No | BUY | 0 | 99¢ | $0 | 0x8a46d8… |
| 06-13 06:13:01 | Slight-Guinea 0xd39c…8d35 | No | SELL | 1 | 99¢ | $1 | 0x723f5b… |
| 06-13 06:13:01 | Glossy-Cashier 0x7bff…7cd6 | No | BUY | 1 | 99¢ | $1 | 0x723f5b… |
| 06-13 06:12:36 | Slight-Guinea 0xd39c…8d35 | No | BUY | 2 | 99¢ | $2 | 0xd86b10… |
| 06-13 06:12:36 | (anonymous) 0x6b0e…e3ea | Yes | BUY | 2 | 1¢ | $0 | 0xd86b10… |
| 06-13 02:48:49 | Glossy-Cashier 0x7bff…7cd6 | No | BUY | 1 | 99¢ | $1 | 0xcabbe3… |
| 06-13 02:48:49 | (anonymous) 0x8db8…c3f0 | No | SELL | 1 | 99¢ | $1 | 0xcabbe3… |
| 06-13 02:48:24 | (anonymous) 0x8db8…c3f0 | No | BUY | 1 | 99¢ | $1 | 0x1ea6b2… |
| 06-13 02:48:24 | (anonymous) 0x6b0e…e3ea | Yes | BUY | 1 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x1ea6b2… |
| 06-13 02:25:37 | Sweet-Bifocals 0x09d6…0fda | No | SELL | 50 | 99¢ | $50 | 0x28d4be… |
| 06-13 02:25:37 | Glossy-Cashier 0x7bff…7cd6 | No | BUY | 26 | 99¢ | $25 | 0x28d4be… |
| 06-13 02:25:37 | (anonymous) 0x6b0e…e3ea | Yes | SELL | 24 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x28d4be… |
| 06-12 19:18:25 | (anonymous) 0x72e0…0b96 | No | SELL | 1 | 99¢ | $1 | 0xd1b265… |
| 06-12 19:18:25 | (anonymous) 0x6b0e…e3ea | Yes | SELL | 1 | 1¢ | $0 | 0xd1b265… |
| 06-12 15:58:45 | (anonymous) 0x6b0e…e3ea | Yes | SELL | 0 | 1¢ | $0 | 0xdfa62e… |
| 06-12 15:58:45 | (anonymous) 0x7449…c05e | No | SELL | 0 | 99¢ | $0 | 0xdfa62e… |
| 06-12 12:22:52 | (anonymous) 0x1e63…7267 | No | SELL | 0 | 99¢ | $0 | 0x7502d8… |
| 06-12 12:22:52 | (anonymous) 0x6b0e…e3ea | Yes | SELL | 0 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x7502d8… |
| 06-12 11:54:18 | (anonymous) 0x6b0e…e3ea | Yes | SELL | 1 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x61cfab… |
| 06-12 11:54:18 | (anonymous) 0x01d2…c603 | No | SELL | 1 | 99¢ | $1 | 0x61cfab… |
| 06-12 11:48:15 | (anonymous) 0x6b0e…e3ea | Yes | SELL | 0 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x7069bc… |
| 06-12 11:48:15 | (anonymous) 0x8db8…c3f0 | No | SELL | 0 | 99¢ | $0 | 0x7069bc… |
| 06-12 11:15:04 | (anonymous) 0x97c6…6587 | No | SELL | 0 | 99¢ | $0 | 0xad99a6… |
| 06-12 11:15:04 | (anonymous) 0x6b0e…e3ea | Yes | SELL | 0 | 1¢ | $0 | 0xad99a6… |
| 06-12 11:06:22 | (anonymous) 0x6b0e…e3ea | Yes | SELL | 0 | 1¢ | $0 | 0xff9a0e… |
| 06-12 11:06:22 | (anonymous) 0x6a07…2952 | No | SELL | 0 | 99¢ | $0 | 0xff9a0e… |
| 06-12 10:47:42 | (anonymous) 0x6b0e…e3ea | Yes | SELL | 2 | 1¢ | $0 | 0xd5fd8b… |
| 06-12 10:47:42 | (anonymous) 0x8db8…c3f0 | No | SELL | 2 | 99¢ | $1 | 0xd5fd8b… |
| 06-12 10:47:12 | Stable-Fog 0x1de9…831d | No | SELL | 2 | 99¢ | $2 | 0x3bb801… |
| 06-12 10:47:12 | (anonymous) 0x8db8…c3f0 | No | BUY | 2 | 99¢ | $2 | 0x3bb801… |
| 06-12 10:40:01 | (anonymous) 0x6b0e…e3ea | Yes | SELL | 0 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x75f812… |
| 06-12 10:40:01 | (anonymous) 0x227b…76f9 | No | SELL | 0 | 99¢ | $0 | 0x75f812… |
| 06-12 10:04:39 | (anonymous) 0x7449…c05e | No | SELL | 2 | 99¢ | $2 | 0xab4147… |
| 06-12 10:04:39 | (anonymous) 0x6b0e…e3ea | Yes | SELL | 2 | 1¢ | $0 | 0xab4147… |
| 06-12 09:57:28 | (anonymous) 0x6b0e…e3ea | Yes | SELL | 0 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x9624ad… |
| 06-12 09:57:28 | (anonymous) 0xf4c0…f9b2 | No | SELL | 0 | 99¢ | $0 | 0x9624ad… |
| 06-12 09:51:16 | (anonymous) 0x6b0e…e3ea | Yes | SELL | 154 | 1¢ | $1 | 0xa6fd47… |
| 06-12 09:51:16 | (anonymous) 0x7ecb…e5da | Yes | BUY | 154 | 1¢ | $1 | 0xa6fd47… |
| 06-12 09:51:04 | (anonymous) 0x01d2…c603 | No | SELL | 0 | 99¢ | $0 | 0x3cd992… |
| 06-12 09:51:04 | (anonymous) 0x6b0e…e3ea | Yes | SELL | 0 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x3cd992… |
| 06-12 09:30:28 | (anonymous) 0x01d2…c603 | No | SELL | 0 | 99¢ | $0 | 0x8e4221… |
| 06-12 09:30:28 | (anonymous) 0x6b0e…e3ea | Yes | SELL | 0 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x8e4221… |
| 06-12 09:30:22 | (anonymous) 0x01d2…c603 | No | SELL | 0 | 99¢ | $0 | 0xa0a592… |
| 06-12 09:30:22 | (anonymous) 0x6b0e…e3ea | Yes | SELL | 0 | 1¢ | $0 | 0xa0a592… |
| 06-12 09:18:19 | (anonymous) 0x6b0e…e3ea | Yes | SELL | 1 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x37f5df… |
| 06-12 09:18:19 | (anonymous) 0x72e0…0b96 | No | SELL | 1 | 99¢ | $1 | 0x37f5df… |
| 06-12 09:02:37 | (anonymous) 0x7449…c05e | No | BUY | 2 | 99¢ | $2 | 0x4d8607… |
| 06-12 09:02:37 | Stable-Fog 0x1de9…831d | No | SELL | 2 | 99¢ | $2 | 0x4d8607… |
| 06-12 08:46:43 | (anonymous) 0x01d2…c603 | No | BUY | 1 | 99¢ | $1 | 0xda4f0b… |
| 06-12 08:46:43 | Stable-Fog 0x1de9…831d | No | SELL | 1 | 99¢ | $1 | 0xda4f0b… |
| 06-12 08:40:10 | (anonymous) 0x227b…76f9 | No | SELL | 2 | 99¢ | $2 | 0x7aad3f… |
| 06-12 08:40:10 | (anonymous) 0x6b0e…e3ea | Yes | SELL | 2 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x7aad3f… |
| 06-12 08:09:03 | Alert-Acoustics 0x4100…2dbc | No | BUY | 1 | 99¢ | $1 | 0x0663ec… |
| 06-12 08:09:03 | Stable-Fog 0x1de9…831d | No | SELL | 1 | 99¢ | $1 | 0x0663ec… |
| 06-12 08:07:31 | Stable-Fog 0x1de9…831d | No | SELL | 1 | 99¢ | $1 | 0xdab271… |
| 06-12 08:07:31 | Careless-Consulting 0xe535…f967 | No | BUY | 1 | 99¢ | $1 | 0xdab271… |
| 06-12 07:47:24 | Stable-Fog 0x1de9…831d | No | SELL | 2 | 99¢ | $2 | 0x5dddbb… |