Will any country leave NATO by June 30, 2026?
open
Total volume
$4,113
$43,210 in 24h
Trades
23
Unique wallets
21
Liquidity
$38,421
Latest YES mid
3¢
Latest NO mid
97¢
End date
2026-06-30
First seen
2026-05-06
last 05-07 09:39
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🦐 Shrimp | 21 | $30 | $4.0K | $4.0K |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| ✅ Top 10% | 1 | — | $391 | $391 |
| Median | 2 | — | $303 | $303 |
| unranked | 18 | $30 | $3.3K | $3.3K |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Strong-Exam-Sesame 0xa2a7…9857 | Yes | +919 | $30 | $30 | 1 | 05-06 11:05 |
| Right-Aquifer 0x18a6…0ae9 | No | +498 | $484 | $484 | 1 | 05-07 02:33 |
| Agonizing-Horseradish 0xb8a1…0b84 | No | +485 | $469 | $469 | 1 | 05-06 11:19 |
| Responsible-Mastoid 0x53f6…8364 | No | +472 | $458 | $458 | 2 | 05-06 07:20 |
| Plastic-Yang-Bathroom 0x0e08…27ba | No | +467 | $453 | $453 | 1 | 05-06 07:00 |
| Quizzical-Republican 0x9383…ddb7 | No | +463 | $450 | $450 | 1 | 05-07 01:43 |
| Well-Informed-Ectoderm 0x9966…f403 | No | +404 | $391 | $391 | 1 | 05-06 07:30 |
| Stark-Parchment 0x939a…dd64 | No | +311 | $302 | $302 | 1 | 05-07 02:13 |
| Grouchy-Waterwheel 0xc44d…97f2 | No | +309 | $300 | $300 | 1 | 05-07 02:13 |
| Ample-Ellipse-Tournament 0xba2c…83c6 | No | +292 | $283 | $283 | 1 | 05-06 07:24 |
| Next-Examiner 0x7894…6a0e | No | +282 | $273 | $273 | 1 | 05-06 07:24 |
| Knobby-Sticker 0xd774…cb8a | No | +95 | $92 | $92 | 1 | 05-06 14:17 |
| Astonishing-Vote 0x727e…12c5 | No | +43 | $42 | $42 | 1 | 05-07 09:39 |
| Untimely-Dory 0x3b53…b610 | No | +1 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-06 18:43 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05-07 09:39:13 | Astonishing-Vote 0x727e…12c5 | No | BUY | 43 | 97¢ | $42 | 0xd503e0… |
| 05-07 02:33:30 | Right-Aquifer 0x18a6…0ae9 | No | BUY | 498 | 97¢ | $484 | 0x37db53… |
| 05-07 02:13:44 | Grouchy-Waterwheel 0xc44d…97f2 | No | BUY | 309 | 97¢ | $300 | 0xece1f3… |
| 05-07 02:13:39 | Stark-Parchment 0x939a…dd64 | No | BUY | 311 | 97¢ | $302 | 0x8bab0d… |
| 05-07 01:43:01 | Quizzical-Republican 0x9383…ddb7 | No | BUY | 463 | 97¢ | $450 | 0x32a176… |
| 05-06 18:43:50 | Untimely-Dory 0x3b53…b610 | No | BUY | 1 | 97¢ | $1 | 0xea65ec… |
| 05-06 14:17:38 | Knobby-Sticker 0xd774…cb8a | No | BUY | 95 | 97¢ | $92 | 0x51bf7e… |
| 05-06 12:00:12 | Far-Flung-Awe 0x19b6…b8ef | Yes | SELL | 28 | 3¢ | $1 | 0x195187… |
| 05-06 11:55:08 | Astonishing-Anguish 0x1ffc…294d | Yes | SELL | 486 | 3¢ | $15 | 0x853cf3… |
| 05-06 11:52:08 | Dutiful-Dock 0x353c…11b0 | Yes | SELL | 53 | 3¢ | $2 | 0xa7f4b2… |
| 05-06 11:19:54 | Agonizing-Horseradish 0xb8a1…0b84 | No | BUY | 485 | 97¢ | $469 | 0x3c3ba2… |
| 05-06 11:05:08 | Strong-Exam-Sesame 0xa2a7…9857 | Yes | BUY | 919 | 3¢ | $30 | 0x6ffc80… |
| 05-06 08:04:50 | Virtuous-Omelet 0x2586…07ac | Yes | SELL | 17 | 3¢ | $1 | 0xed36f0… |
| 05-06 08:04:16 | Frigid-Mailing 0xb989…500f | Yes | SELL | 790 | 3¢ | $25 | 0x6fbed9… |
| 05-06 08:04:04 | Shameful-Thrift 0x2b82…4ccc | Yes | SELL | 441 | 3¢ | $14 | 0x29e18b… |
| 05-06 08:03:50 | Shameful-Thrift 0x2b82…4ccc | Yes | SELL | 467 | 3¢ | $15 | 0xcc4c6a… |
| 05-06 07:59:56 | Plain-Duplexer 0x81fb…f1b0 | Yes | SELL | 410 | 3¢ | $12 | 0x1b7cca… |
| 05-06 07:30:54 | Well-Informed-Ectoderm 0x9966…f403 | No | BUY | 404 | 97¢ | $391 | 0x589833… |
| 05-06 07:24:54 | Ample-Ellipse-Tournament 0xba2c…83c6 | No | BUY | 292 | 97¢ | $283 | 0x59ac5c… |
| 05-06 07:24:42 | Next-Examiner 0x7894…6a0e | No | BUY | 282 | 97¢ | $273 | 0x5d780c… |
| 05-06 07:20:44 | Responsible-Mastoid 0x53f6…8364 | No | BUY | 372 | 97¢ | $361 | 0x269f6d… |
| 05-06 07:19:46 | Responsible-Mastoid 0x53f6…8364 | No | BUY | 100 | 97¢ | $97 | 0x024cab… |
| 05-06 07:00:34 | Plastic-Yang-Bathroom 0x0e08…27ba | No | BUY | 467 | 97¢ | $453 | 0xb15615… |