Realized P&L
+$65
Unrealized P&L
+$1
Hit rate
58.7%
Resolved
34,726
Trades
52,022
lifetime
Volume
$532
lifetime
Avg / trade
$0
Open exposure
$1
30 positions
First seen
2026-01-11
last 10-27 07:58
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 260 days
Categories
Other
63% 8% +$36
Politics
15% 14% +$21
Sports
13% 9% +$8
Crypto
7% 6% +$0
Tech
1% 12% +$0
Pop-Culture
1% 5% -$1
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
85 active days in 12wk • peak 311 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Bogdan Guskov be the UFC Light Heavyweight Champion on December 31, 2026? Yes +6 $0 1¢ $0 +$0 07-26 03:45
Will Israel strike 15 or more countries in 2026? Yes -4 $0 1¢ $-0 +$0 09-15 22:16
Will Team Liquid win Worlds 2026? Yes +6 $0 1¢ $0 +$0 10-24 08:12
Will Farsi, Hengam, Hormuz or Kharg Island no longer be under Iranian control by October 31, 2026? Yes +6 $0 1¢ $0 +$0 10-27 01:27
Will Jiří Procházka be the UFC Light Heavyweight Champion on December 31, 2026? Yes +6 $0 1¢ $0 +$0 06-15 09:36
Will 9-10 SpaceX Starship launches successfully reach Space in 2026? Yes +6 $0 1¢ $0 +$0 10-05 17:37
Will Khalil Rountree Jr. be the UFC Light Heavyweight Champion on December 31, 2026? Yes +6 $0 1¢ $0 +$0 08-01 09:40
Will Anthropic's initial public offering occur in October 2026 (ET)? Yes +6 $0 1¢ $0 +$0 10-26 16:36
Will Edmundo González be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? Yes +6 $0 0¢ $0 +$0 09-20 03:12
Will OpenAI’s market cap be between $500B and $750B at market close on IPO day? Yes +6 $0 0¢ $0 +$0 09-13 01:04
Will the US strike 15 or more countries in 2026? Yes +6 $0 0¢ $0 +$0 09-12 20:16
Will Israel Katz be the next Prime Minister of Israel? Yes +6 $0 0¢ $0 +$0 09-06 19:47
Will Mainz 05 be the 2026-27 Bundesliga champion? Yes +6 $0 0¢ $0 +$0 10-20 14:17
Will Tom Steyer win the California Governor Election in 2026? Yes +12 $0 0¢ $0 +$0 06-12 08:48
Will Alexander Volkanovski be the next fighter to be ranked first in the UFC Pound-For-Pound Rankings in 2026? Yes +0 $0 5¢ $0 +$0 06-15 11:16
Will Anthropic IPO by October 31, 2026? Yes +6 $0 0¢ $0 +$0 10-19 17:51
Will 3 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? Yes +6 $0 0¢ $0 +$0 09-15 16:12
Will 2026 be the third-hottest year on record? Yes +6 $0 0¢ $0 +$0 10-07 06:08
Will Dune: Messiah have the best domestic opening weekend in 2026? Yes +6 $0 0¢ $0 +$0 10-12 13:31
Will Khamzat Chimaev be ranked first in the UFC Pound-For-Pound Rankings at the end of 2026? Yes +2 $0 1¢ $0 +$0 06-07 11:00
Will Newcastle United win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship? Yes +6 $0 0¢ $0 +$0 10-22 23:06
Will Moonshot have the best AI model at the end of October 2026? Yes +6 $0 0¢ $0 +$0 09-23 21:46
Will a team from CBLOL (Brazil) win LoL Worlds 2026? Yes +6 $0 0¢ $0 +$0 10-24 03:07
Will Sevilla win the 2026-27 LALIGA Championship? Yes +6 $0 0¢ $0 +$0 07-04 15:44
Will Bologna win the 2026-27 Serie A Championship? Yes +6 $0 0¢ $0 +$0 10-26 07:55
Will Ethereum reach $4,500 in October? Yes +6 $0 0¢ $0 +$0 10-26 06:05
Will Richard Van De Water win The Bachelorette Season 22? Yes +6 $0 0¢ $0 +$0 10-20 21:15
Will Vladimir Padrino López be the de facto leader of Venezuela at the end of 2026? Yes +6 $0 0¢ $0 +$0 06-29 04:42
Will LOS win Worlds 2026? Yes +6 $0 0¢ $0 +$0 10-02 02:06
Will a team from LCP (Asia-Pacific) win LoL Worlds 2026? Yes +6 $0 0¢ $0 +$0 10-24 04:24