Will StepFun have the best AI model on December 15, 2026?
open
Total volume
$559
$384 in 24h
Trades
54
Unique wallets
26
Liquidity
$2,617
Latest YES mid
1¢
Latest NO mid
99¢
End date
2026-12-16
First seen
2026-11-11
last 11-13 18:32
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
SMI:
-0.4¢
(top1%: 0% YES on $349
vs crowd: 0% YES on $509)
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐋 Whale | 8 | $1 | $219 | $218 |
| 🐬 Dolphin | 3 | $0 | $175 | $175 |
| 🐟 Fish | 11 | $1 | $95 | $95 |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 4 | $1 | $18 | $17 |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🎯 Top 1% | 8 | $0 | $348 | $348 |
| 🏆 Top 5% | 6 | $0 | $31 | $31 |
| ✅ Top 10% | 1 | $0 | — | +$0 |
| Median | 1 | — | $4 | $4 |
| Below median | 3 | $0 | $10 | $10 |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 4 | $0 | $68 | $67 |
| 💀 Bottom 1% | 3 | $1 | $45 | $44 |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| (anonymous) 0xae2a…384d | No | +175 | $175 | $175 | 5 | 11-13 18:32 |
| (anonymous) 0x550f…7dad | Yes | +120 | $0 | $0 | 5 | 11-13 12:13 |
| (anonymous) 0xdc5b…750c | Yes | +75 | $0 | $0 | 5 | 11-13 14:03 |
| Deafening-Possible 0x75cb…1556 | Yes | +74 | $0 | $0 | 2 | 11-13 18:32 |
| Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | Yes | +54 | $0 | $0 | 3 | 11-12 10:06 |
| Strong-Exit 0xfe2d…da35 | No | +54 | $54 | $54 | 1 | 11-13 18:32 |
| Nonstop-Knitting 0x9a94…d5f9 | Yes | +50 | $0 | $0 | 3 | 11-13 14:03 |
| (anonymous) 0x476e…1eec | No | +49 | $49 | $49 | 2 | 11-13 12:10 |
| Attentive-Crewman 0xd218…b5c9 | No | +40 | $40 | $40 | 2 | 11-13 13:30 |
| (anonymous) 0xb0c8…fe7f | No | +40 | $39 | $39 | 3 | 11-13 14:03 |
| (anonymous) 0xf51b…2377 | Yes | +20 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 11-11 16:53 |
| Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71 | Yes | +20 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 11-12 18:25 |
| Writhing-Retention 0xeab7…b389 | Yes | +20 | $0 | $0 | 2 | 11-13 18:32 |
| Sparse-Cookie 0x5a21…9318 | No | +20 | $20 | $20 | 1 | 11-13 14:03 |
| (anonymous) 0xc732…3561 | No | +19 | $19 | $19 | 1 | 11-13 14:03 |
| (anonymous) 0xb906…6105 | No | +18 | $18 | $18 | 1 | 11-11 03:27 |
| (anonymous) 0xd7e5…4c4a | No | +13 | $13 | $13 | 1 | 11-13 12:10 |
| (anonymous) 0xeace…38b9 | Yes | +13 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 11-11 03:27 |
| Admirable-Trust 0xfbd8…4027 | No | +11 | $11 | $11 | 1 | 11-13 14:03 |
| Cool-Storyboard 0x3329…43a6 | Yes | +10 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 11-13 14:03 |
| (anonymous) 0xadc2…2bea | No | +10 | $10 | $10 | 1 | 11-13 08:52 |
| Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | No | +5 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 11-12 15:36 |
| Voluminous-Lava 0x46b3…d3de | Yes | +5 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 11-11 03:27 |
| (anonymous) 0xea29…6d6c | No | +4 | $4 | $4 | 1 | 11-11 09:32 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11-13 18:32:21 | (anonymous) 0xae2a…384d | No | BUY | 30 | 100¢ | $30 | 0x68d84b… |
| 11-13 18:32:21 | Deafening-Possible 0x75cb…1556 | Yes | BUY | 20 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x68d84b… |
| 11-13 18:32:21 | Strong-Exit 0xfe2d…da35 | No | BUY | 54 | 100¢ | $54 | 0xb1bea3… |
| 11-13 18:32:21 | Writhing-Retention 0xeab7…b389 | Yes | BUY | 10 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x68d84b… |
| 11-13 18:32:21 | Deafening-Possible 0x75cb…1556 | Yes | BUY | 54 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xb1bea3… |
| 11-13 14:03:34 | (anonymous) 0xb0c8…fe7f | No | BUY | 10 | 100¢ | $10 | 0x4c4d9e… |
| 11-13 14:03:34 | Writhing-Retention 0xeab7…b389 | Yes | BUY | 10 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x4c4d9e… |
| 11-13 14:03:33 | Nonstop-Knitting 0x9a94…d5f9 | Yes | BUY | 1 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x215a85… |
| 11-13 14:03:33 | Cool-Storyboard 0x3329…43a6 | Yes | BUY | 10 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x215a85… |
| 11-13 14:03:33 | Admirable-Trust 0xfbd8…4027 | No | BUY | 11 | 100¢ | $11 | 0x215a85… |
| 11-13 14:03:31 | Nonstop-Knitting 0x9a94…d5f9 | Yes | BUY | 19 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xca9d4e… |
| 11-13 14:03:31 | (anonymous) 0xae2a…384d | No | BUY | 30 | 100¢ | $30 | 0x965923… |
| 11-13 14:03:31 | Nonstop-Knitting 0x9a94…d5f9 | Yes | BUY | 30 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x965923… |
| 11-13 14:03:31 | (anonymous) 0xdc5b…750c | Yes | BUY | 20 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xe85d3e… |
| 11-13 14:03:31 | (anonymous) 0xc732…3561 | No | BUY | 19 | 100¢ | $19 | 0xca9d4e… |
| 11-13 14:03:31 | Sparse-Cookie 0x5a21…9318 | No | BUY | 20 | 100¢ | $20 | 0xe85d3e… |
| 11-13 13:30:46 | Attentive-Crewman 0xd218…b5c9 | No | BUY | 20 | 100¢ | $20 | 0x90814d… |
| 11-13 13:30:46 | (anonymous) 0xdc5b…750c | Yes | BUY | 20 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x90814d… |
| 11-13 12:13:07 | (anonymous) 0xc22b…deab | Yes | SELL | 3 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xd516a5… |
| 11-13 12:13:07 | (anonymous) 0x550f…7dad | Yes | BUY | 3 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xd516a5… |
| 11-13 12:10:49 | (anonymous) 0x550f…7dad | Yes | BUY | 0 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xe4296d… |
| 11-13 12:10:49 | (anonymous) 0xdc5b…750c | Yes | BUY | 20 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xe4296d… |
| 11-13 12:10:49 | (anonymous) 0x476e…1eec | No | BUY | 20 | 100¢ | $20 | 0xe4296d… |
| 11-13 12:10:48 | (anonymous) 0x476e…1eec | No | BUY | 29 | 100¢ | $29 | 0xe0b33f… |
| 11-13 12:10:48 | (anonymous) 0xae2a…384d | No | BUY | 75 | 100¢ | $75 | 0xa4fdf2… |
| 11-13 12:10:48 | (anonymous) 0x550f…7dad | Yes | BUY | 29 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xe0b33f… |
| 11-13 12:10:48 | (anonymous) 0xd7e5…4c4a | No | BUY | 13 | 100¢ | $13 | 0xec2888… |
| 11-13 12:10:48 | (anonymous) 0x550f…7dad | Yes | BUY | 13 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xec2888… |
| 11-13 12:10:48 | (anonymous) 0x550f…7dad | Yes | BUY | 75 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xa4fdf2… |
| 11-13 08:52:52 | (anonymous) 0xdc5b…750c | Yes | BUY | 10 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x043a50… |
| 11-13 08:52:52 | All-Calculator 0xaee8…1154 | No | SELL | 5 | 100¢ | $5 | 0x7ff5b1… |
| 11-13 08:52:52 | (anonymous) 0xdc5b…750c | Yes | BUY | 5 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x7ff5b1… |
| 11-13 08:52:52 | (anonymous) 0xadc2…2bea | No | BUY | 10 | 100¢ | $10 | 0x7ff5b1… |
| 11-13 08:52:52 | (anonymous) 0xae2a…384d | No | BUY | 10 | 100¢ | $10 | 0x043a50… |
| 11-13 07:59:09 | (anonymous) 0xae2a…384d | No | BUY | 30 | 100¢ | $30 | 0x5cf036… |
| 11-13 07:59:09 | All-Calculator 0xaee8…1154 | No | SELL | 30 | 100¢ | $30 | 0x5cf036… |
| 11-12 18:25:25 | (anonymous) 0xb0c8…fe7f | No | BUY | 20 | 97¢ | $19 | 0xd1216e… |
| 11-12 18:25:25 | Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71 | Yes | BUY | 20 | 3¢ | $1 | 0xd1216e… |
| 11-12 15:36:10 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | No | BUY | 5 | 100¢ | $5 | 0x55e276… |
| 11-12 15:36:10 | All-Calculator 0xaee8…1154 | No | SELL | 5 | 100¢ | $5 | 0x55e276… |
| 11-12 15:36:10 | All-Calculator 0xaee8…1154 | No | SELL | 10 | 100¢ | $10 | 0x9b3c49… |
| 11-12 15:36:10 | (anonymous) 0xb0c8…fe7f | No | BUY | 10 | 100¢ | $10 | 0x9b3c49… |
| 11-12 10:06:42 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | Yes | BUY | 20 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x3320e0… |
| 11-12 10:06:42 | Attentive-Crewman 0xd218…b5c9 | No | BUY | 20 | 100¢ | $20 | 0x3320e0… |
| 11-11 22:59:34 | Putrid-Refund 0x7349…1a57 | Yes | SELL | 30 | 1¢ | $0 | 0xb6066e… |
| 11-11 22:59:34 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | Yes | BUY | 30 | 1¢ | $0 | 0xb6066e… |
| 11-11 16:53:25 | Putrid-Refund 0x7349…1a57 | Yes | BUY | 30 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x62fdf0… |
| 11-11 16:53:25 | All-Calculator 0xaee8…1154 | No | BUY | 50 | 99¢ | $50 | 0x62fdf0… |
| 11-11 16:53:25 | (anonymous) 0xf51b…2377 | Yes | BUY | 20 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x62fdf0… |
| 11-11 09:32:40 | (anonymous) 0xea29…6d6c | No | BUY | 4 | 99¢ | $4 | 0xbde90c… |
| 11-11 09:32:40 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | Yes | BUY | 4 | 1¢ | $0 | 0xbde90c… |
| 11-11 03:27:49 | (anonymous) 0xb906…6105 | No | BUY | 18 | 99¢ | $18 | 0x991dc3… |
| 11-11 03:27:49 | (anonymous) 0xeace…38b9 | Yes | BUY | 13 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x991dc3… |
| 11-11 03:27:49 | Voluminous-Lava 0x46b3…d3de | Yes | BUY | 5 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x991dc3… |