(anonymous) 0xadc214…3a2bea
bot new 2W streak
← all wallets
Realized P&L
-$13
Unrealized P&L
+$88
Hit rate
86.4%
Resolved
43
Trades
1,044
lifetime
Volume
$5.49K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$5
Open exposure
$1.41K
30 positions
First seen
2026-10-28
last 10-31 13:41
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 4 days
Categories
Other
62% 71% -$16
Politics
34% — —
Sports
2% 100% +$3
Tech
1% — —
Crypto
1% — —
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
4 active days in 12wk • peak 782 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Ra'am win exactly 7 seats in the 2026 Knesset elections? No +99 $10 99¢ $98 +$88 10-29 01:38
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House Yes +128 $87 70¢ $90 +$3 10-29 21:42
Will the Republicans win the South Carolina Senate race in 2026? Yes +121 $87 73¢ $88 +$1 10-29 21:42
Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026? Yes +123 $86 72¢ $88 +$2 10-29 21:42
US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 8? Yes +123 $85 72¢ $88 +$3 10-29 21:42
Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026? Yes +119 $86 72¢ $85 -$1 10-29 21:42
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? Yes +725 $87 12¢ $83 -$4 10-29 21:42
Will Dan Sullivan win the Alaska Senate race in 2026? Yes +287 $86 29¢ $82 -$4 10-29 21:42
Another Fed rate hike in 2026? Yes +113 $86 70¢ $78 -$8 10-29 21:42
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026? No — +72 $72 100¢ $72 +$0 10-31 05:09
Will the Democratic Party win the NC-03 House seat? No +103 $62 59¢ $61 -$1 10-31 11:40
Will Puma Shen win the next Taipei Mayor election? No +71 $54 76¢ $54 +$0 10-31 13:23
Will Joint List win 12 or more seats in the 2026 Knesset elections? No +52 $45 99¢ $51 +$6 10-29 13:16
Will Republicans win Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas, and lose Maine? No +34 $34 99¢ $34 $0 10-31 03:37
Will Republicans win Alaska, Kansas, Maine, and Michigan, and lose Iowa, Ohio, and Texas? No +27 $27 100¢ $27 +$0 10-31 07:37
Will Republicans win Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, and Texas, and lose Alaska and Ohio? No +27 $26 100¢ $27 +$1 10-31 07:37
Will Republicans win Iowa, Kansas, Ohio, and Texas, and lose Alaska, Maine, and Michigan? No — +27 $27 99¢ $27 +$0 10-31 03:37
Will Republicans win Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, and Texas, and lose Michigan and Ohio? No +27 $26 99¢ $27 +$0 10-31 07:37
Will Republicans win Iowa, and lose Alaska, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas? No +29 $26 89¢ $26 +$0 10-31 07:38
Will Republicans win Ohio, and lose Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, and Texas? No +26 $26 98¢ $26 $0 10-31 07:37
Will Republicans win Alaska, Michigan, and Ohio, and lose Iowa, Kansas, Maine, and Texas? No +22 $22 100¢ $22 $0 10-31 07:37
Will Republicans win Alaska, Iowa, Maine, and Texas, and lose Kansas, Michigan, and Ohio? No +22 $22 100¢ $22 +$0 10-31 03:37
Will Republicans win Iowa, Kansas, Maine, and Ohio, and lose Alaska, Michigan, and Texas? No +22 $22 99¢ $22 $0 10-31 07:37
Will Republicans win Alaska, Iowa, and Kansas, and lose Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas? No +22 $22 99¢ $22 $0 10-31 07:37
Will Elon Musk post 240+ tweets from October 29 to October 31, 2026? No +21 $21 100¢ $21 +$0 10-30 23:15
Will Republicans win Iowa and Kansas, and lose Alaska, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas? No +24 $20 86¢ $21 +$0 10-30 23:15
Will Republicans win Alaska, Kansas, and Maine, and lose Iowa, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas? No +19 $19 100¢ $19 $0 10-31 03:37
Will Republicans win Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, and Michigan, and lose Ohio and Texas? No +19 $19 100¢ $19 $0 10-31 02:14
Will Anthropic's market cap be between $1.75T and $2.0T at market close on IPO day? No +22 $15 68¢ $15 +$0 10-29 09:47
Will Republicans win Alaska, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, and Ohio, and lose Iowa and Texas? No +15 $15 100¢ $15 $0 10-31 03:37