Will "The Hunger Games: Sunrise on the Reaping" Opening Weekend Box Office be at least 130m?
open
Total volume
$951
$415 in 24h
Trades
79
Unique wallets
35
Liquidity
$502
Latest YES mid
48¢
Latest NO mid
52¢
End date
2026-11-22
First seen
2026-11-09
last 11-13 10:11
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
SMI:
-63.1¢
(top1%: 0% YES on $64
vs crowd: 63% YES on $861)
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐋 Whale | 8 | $47 | $121 | $74 |
| 🐬 Dolphin | 9 | $123 | $43 | +$79 |
| 🐟 Fish | 12 | $366 | $93 | +$273 |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 6 | $7 | $60 | $53 |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🎯 Top 1% | 6 | — | $64 | $64 |
| 🏆 Top 5% | 3 | $6 | $12 | $6 |
| ✅ Top 10% | 1 | — | $58 | $58 |
| Median | 2 | — | $9 | $9 |
| Below median | 6 | $32 | $14 | +$18 |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 4 | — | $11 | $11 |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 8 | $442 | $77 | +$365 |
| 💀 Bottom 1% | 5 | $63 | $73 | $10 |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| (anonymous) 0x066d…07bc | Yes | +445 | $321 | $321 | 8 | 11-10 22:26 |
| Pointless-Casket 0x081a…66d0 | No | +200 | $54 | $54 | 1 | 11-13 06:19 |
| (anonymous) 0xc9dc…6454 | No | +170 | $42 | $58 | 3 | 11-12 19:45 |
| Sparse-Cookie 0x5a21…9318 | No | +78 | $24 | $24 | 6 | 11-10 22:45 |
| (anonymous) 0x4959…a6f5 | Yes | +60 | $44 | $44 | 1 | 11-13 06:19 |
| (anonymous) 0x02e5…98aa | Yes | +55 | $39 | $39 | 2 | 11-13 06:19 |
| (anonymous) 0x4959…a6f5 | No | +54 | $16 | $16 | 1 | 11-13 06:19 |
| (anonymous) 0x344a…fb5e | Yes | +40 | $29 | $29 | 3 | 11-13 06:19 |
| (anonymous) 0x305d…c253 | Yes | +33 | $24 | $24 | 2 | 11-13 06:19 |
| (anonymous) 0x305d…c253 | No | +33 | $10 | $10 | 2 | 11-13 06:19 |
| Miniature-Drive 0xcfff…673d | No | +30 | $7 | $7 | 1 | 11-10 19:34 |
| (anonymous) 0x9f92…cdc5 | No | +25 | $7 | $7 | 2 | 11-10 19:27 |
| Bewitched-Auditorium 0x721a…9295 | Yes | +22 | $16 | $16 | 2 | 11-13 06:19 |
| Spicy-Neighbour 0x8998…2707 | Yes | +20 | $15 | $15 | 1 | 11-13 06:19 |
| (anonymous) 0x0b14…f1f5 | Yes | +20 | $14 | $14 | 2 | 11-13 06:19 |
| (anonymous) 0x9dc5…d8b9 | Yes | +20 | $15 | $15 | 1 | 11-13 06:19 |
| Fine-Tassel 0x0084…2ecf | Yes | +20 | $15 | $15 | 1 | 11-13 06:19 |
| (anonymous) 0xbed0…e918 | Yes | +20 | $6 | $6 | 2 | 11-13 10:11 |
| Spicy-Neighbour 0x8998…2707 | No | +20 | $6 | $6 | 1 | 11-13 06:19 |
| Fine-Tassel 0x0084…2ecf | No | +20 | $6 | $6 | 1 | 11-13 06:19 |
| Bumpy-Conscience 0x4d02…2ad3 | No | +19 | $13 | $13 | 1 | 11-13 10:11 |
| (anonymous) 0x9dc5…d8b9 | No | +19 | $6 | $6 | 1 | 11-13 06:19 |
| (anonymous) 0x8dc6…22a3 | No | +18 | $6 | $6 | 2 | 11-10 22:26 |
| (anonymous) 0xb3d4…1b26 | No | +18 | $4 | $4 | 2 | 11-10 20:54 |
| (anonymous) 0xe123…2fc1 | No | +13 | $4 | $4 | 1 | 11-13 03:00 |
| (anonymous) 0xb0c8…fe7f | No | +10 | $3 | $3 | 1 | 11-10 22:26 |
| (anonymous) 0xb410…502f | No | +9 | $3 | $3 | 1 | 11-10 22:45 |
| Admirable-Trust 0xfbd8…4027 | No | +7 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 11-10 21:47 |
| (anonymous) 0x3340…13c8 | No | +6 | $4 | $4 | 1 | 11-13 10:11 |
| (anonymous) 0xc7d5…6b08 | Yes | +5 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 11-13 10:11 |
| (anonymous) 0xf3e2…6d83 | No | +5 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 11-12 22:05 |
| (anonymous) 0xfe98…4dbb | No | +5 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 11-10 08:38 |
| (anonymous) 0x0b14…f1f5 | No | +1 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 11-13 06:19 |
| (anonymous) 0xbce6…d1b0 | Yes | +1 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 11-11 07:20 |
| (anonymous) 0x5662…0b10 | No | +1 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 11-11 07:20 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11-13 10:11:45 | (anonymous) 0xc7d5…6b08 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 31¢ | $2 | 0xd3b7c4… |
| 11-13 10:11:45 | (anonymous) 0x3340…13c8 | No | BUY | 6 | 69¢ | $4 | 0xd3b7c4… |
| 11-13 10:11:45 | (anonymous) 0xbed0…e918 | Yes | BUY | 1 | 31¢ | $0 | 0xd3b7c4… |
| 11-13 10:11:42 | (anonymous) 0xbed0…e918 | Yes | BUY | 19 | 31¢ | $6 | 0xfc4def… |
| 11-13 10:11:42 | Bumpy-Conscience 0x4d02…2ad3 | No | BUY | 19 | 69¢ | $13 | 0xfc4def… |
| 11-13 06:19:33 | (anonymous) 0x4959…a6f5 | No | BUY | 54 | 29¢ | $16 | 0xbaddcc… |
| 11-13 06:19:33 | (anonymous) 0x305d…c253 | Yes | BUY | 20 | 73¢ | $15 | 0xe427f6… |
| 11-13 06:19:33 | (anonymous) 0x9dc5…d8b9 | Yes | BUY | 20 | 73¢ | $15 | 0xe427f6… |
| 11-13 06:19:33 | (anonymous) 0x7438…b741 | No | SELL | 14 | 27¢ | $4 | 0xe427f6… |
| 11-13 06:19:33 | (anonymous) 0x28a6…d399 | No | SELL | 23 | 28¢ | $6 | 0xe427f6… |
| 11-13 06:19:33 | Fine-Tassel 0x0084…2ecf | Yes | BUY | 20 | 73¢ | $15 | 0xe427f6… |
| 11-13 06:19:33 | (anonymous) 0x7d16…2154 | No | SELL | 1 | 30¢ | $0 | 0x2e853a… |
| 11-13 06:19:33 | (anonymous) 0x0b14…f1f5 | Yes | BUY | 3 | 72¢ | $2 | 0xe427f6… |
| 11-13 06:19:33 | (anonymous) 0x4959…a6f5 | Yes | BUY | 60 | 73¢ | $44 | 0xe427f6… |
| 11-13 06:19:33 | Bewitched-Auditorium 0x721a…9295 | Yes | BUY | 19 | 72¢ | $14 | 0xba0e35… |
| 11-13 06:19:33 | (anonymous) 0x02e5…98aa | Yes | BUY | 54 | 71¢ | $38 | 0xbaddcc… |
| 11-13 06:19:33 | Spicy-Neighbour 0x8998…2707 | Yes | BUY | 20 | 73¢ | $15 | 0xe427f6… |
| 11-13 06:19:33 | (anonymous) 0x344a…fb5e | Yes | BUY | 1 | 72¢ | $1 | 0xba0e35… |
| 11-13 06:19:33 | (anonymous) 0x0b14…f1f5 | No | BUY | 1 | 30¢ | $0 | 0x2e853a… |
| 11-13 06:19:33 | (anonymous) 0x344a…fb5e | Yes | BUY | 20 | 73¢ | $15 | 0xe427f6… |
| 11-13 06:19:33 | Spicy-Neighbour 0x8998…2707 | No | BUY | 20 | 28¢ | $6 | 0xba0e35… |
| 11-13 06:19:33 | Pointless-Casket 0x081a…66d0 | No | BUY | 200 | 27¢ | $54 | 0xe427f6… |
| 11-13 06:19:31 | (anonymous) 0x305d…c253 | No | BUY | 20 | 28¢ | $6 | 0x44f45e… |
| 11-13 06:19:31 | (anonymous) 0x344a…fb5e | Yes | BUY | 19 | 72¢ | $14 | 0x44f45e… |
| 11-13 06:19:31 | Bewitched-Auditorium 0x721a…9295 | Yes | BUY | 3 | 72¢ | $2 | 0x23bb6c… |
| 11-13 06:19:31 | (anonymous) 0x7d16…2154 | No | SELL | 19 | 30¢ | $6 | 0xf74542… |
| 11-13 06:19:31 | Fine-Tassel 0x0084…2ecf | No | BUY | 20 | 28¢ | $6 | 0x23bb6c… |
| 11-13 06:19:31 | (anonymous) 0x9dc5…d8b9 | No | BUY | 19 | 30¢ | $6 | 0xf74542… |
| 11-13 06:19:31 | (anonymous) 0x0b14…f1f5 | Yes | BUY | 17 | 72¢ | $12 | 0x23bb6c… |
| 11-13 06:19:31 | (anonymous) 0x02e5…98aa | Yes | BUY | 1 | 71¢ | $1 | 0x44f45e… |
| 11-13 03:00:34 | (anonymous) 0x7d16…2154 | No | BUY | 20 | 30¢ | $6 | 0x4773b1… |
| 11-13 03:00:34 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | No | SELL | 33 | 30¢ | $10 | 0x4773b1… |
| 11-13 03:00:34 | (anonymous) 0x305d…c253 | No | BUY | 13 | 30¢ | $4 | 0x4773b1… |
| 11-13 03:00:33 | (anonymous) 0xe123…2fc1 | No | BUY | 13 | 27¢ | $4 | 0x5c668b… |
| 11-13 03:00:33 | (anonymous) 0x305d…c253 | Yes | BUY | 13 | 73¢ | $9 | 0x5c668b… |
| 11-12 22:05:46 | (anonymous) 0x7438…b741 | No | SELL | 5 | 36¢ | $2 | 0x911174… |
| 11-12 22:05:46 | (anonymous) 0xf3e2…6d83 | No | BUY | 5 | 36¢ | $2 | 0x911174… |
| 11-12 19:45:13 | (anonymous) 0xc9dc…6454 | No | SELL | 30 | 27¢ | $8 | 0x0c6751… |
| 11-12 19:45:13 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | No | BUY | 30 | 27¢ | $8 | 0x0c6751… |
| 11-11 23:24:31 | (anonymous) 0x622e…5cc2 | No | SELL | 170 | 25¢ | $42 | 0x29d8d3… |
| 11-11 23:24:31 | (anonymous) 0xc9dc…6454 | No | BUY | 170 | 25¢ | $42 | 0x29d8d3… |
| 11-11 23:23:07 | (anonymous) 0x622e…5cc2 | No | SELL | 30 | 25¢ | $8 | 0x915da1… |
| 11-11 23:23:07 | (anonymous) 0xc9dc…6454 | No | BUY | 30 | 25¢ | $8 | 0x915da1… |
| 11-11 07:20:25 | (anonymous) 0xbce6…d1b0 | Yes | BUY | 1 | 78¢ | $1 | 0xc07d9e… |
| 11-11 07:20:25 | (anonymous) 0x5662…0b10 | No | BUY | 1 | 22¢ | $0 | 0xc07d9e… |
| 11-10 22:45:18 | Sparse-Cookie 0x5a21…9318 | No | BUY | 9 | 28¢ | $3 | 0xca4d9b… |
| 11-10 22:45:18 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | No | SELL | 9 | 28¢ | $3 | 0xca4d9b… |
| 11-10 22:45:16 | Sparse-Cookie 0x5a21…9318 | No | BUY | 9 | 28¢ | $3 | 0xf11c04… |
| 11-10 22:45:16 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | No | SELL | 9 | 28¢ | $3 | 0xf11c04… |
| 11-10 22:45:13 | (anonymous) 0xb410…502f | No | BUY | 9 | 29¢ | $3 | 0x0c6627… |
| 11-10 22:45:13 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | No | SELL | 9 | 29¢ | $3 | 0x0c6627… |
| 11-10 22:26:13 | (anonymous) 0x066d…07bc | Yes | BUY | 10 | 72¢ | $7 | 0x9f4f36… |
| 11-10 22:26:13 | Sparse-Cookie 0x5a21…9318 | No | BUY | 10 | 28¢ | $3 | 0x9f4f36… |
| 11-10 22:26:09 | (anonymous) 0xb0c8…fe7f | No | BUY | 10 | 31¢ | $3 | 0x8ef6f8… |
| 11-10 22:26:09 | (anonymous) 0x8dc6…22a3 | No | BUY | 8 | 30¢ | $2 | 0x8ef6f8… |
| 11-10 22:26:09 | Sparse-Cookie 0x5a21…9318 | No | BUY | 10 | 28¢ | $3 | 0x8ef6f8… |
| 11-10 22:26:09 | (anonymous) 0x066d…07bc | Yes | BUY | 58 | 70¢ | $41 | 0x8ef6f8… |
| 11-10 21:47:13 | Admirable-Trust 0xfbd8…4027 | No | BUY | 7 | 26¢ | $2 | 0x59cca2… |
| 11-10 21:47:13 | (anonymous) 0x7438…b741 | No | SELL | 7 | 26¢ | $2 | 0x59cca2… |
| 11-10 20:54:28 | (anonymous) 0xb3d4…1b26 | No | BUY | 7 | 24¢ | $2 | 0xe9fde1… |
| 11-10 20:54:28 | (anonymous) 0x066d…07bc | Yes | BUY | 33 | 76¢ | $25 | 0xe9fde1… |
| 11-10 20:54:28 | (anonymous) 0x7438…b741 | No | BUY | 26 | 24¢ | $6 | 0xe9fde1… |
| 11-10 19:34:40 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | No | BUY | 30 | 23¢ | $7 | 0x94b53a… |
| 11-10 19:34:40 | (anonymous) 0x066d…07bc | Yes | BUY | 71 | 77¢ | $55 | 0x94b53a… |
| 11-10 19:34:40 | Miniature-Drive 0xcfff…673d | No | BUY | 30 | 23¢ | $7 | 0x94b53a… |
| 11-10 19:34:40 | (anonymous) 0xb3d4…1b26 | No | BUY | 11 | 23¢ | $3 | 0x94b53a… |
| 11-10 19:27:34 | (anonymous) 0x9f92…cdc5 | No | BUY | 10 | 26¢ | $3 | 0x66c98d… |
| 11-10 19:27:34 | Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 74¢ | $4 | 0x66c98d… |
| 11-10 19:27:34 | (anonymous) 0x066d…07bc | Yes | BUY | 38 | 74¢ | $28 | 0x66c98d… |
| 11-10 19:27:34 | (anonymous) 0x28a6…d399 | No | BUY | 23 | 26¢ | $6 | 0x66c98d… |
| 11-10 08:38:49 | (anonymous) 0xfe98…4dbb | No | BUY | 5 | 33¢ | $2 | 0xb3b8bb… |
| 11-10 08:38:49 | Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 67¢ | $3 | 0xb3b8bb… |
| 11-10 07:22:27 | (anonymous) 0x622e…5cc2 | No | BUY | 100 | 28¢ | $28 | 0x548ba9… |
| 11-10 07:22:27 | (anonymous) 0x066d…07bc | Yes | BUY | 115 | 72¢ | $83 | 0x548ba9… |
| 11-10 07:22:27 | (anonymous) 0x9f92…cdc5 | No | BUY | 15 | 29¢ | $4 | 0x548ba9… |
| 11-09 14:40:34 | (anonymous) 0x622e…5cc2 | No | BUY | 100 | 30¢ | $30 | 0x8e7e92… |
| 11-09 14:40:34 | (anonymous) 0x066d…07bc | Yes | BUY | 100 | 70¢ | $70 | 0x8e7e92… |
| 11-09 14:40:13 | Sparse-Cookie 0x5a21…9318 | No | BUY | 20 | 38¢ | $8 | 0x9045df… |
| 11-09 14:40:13 | (anonymous) 0x066d…07bc | Yes | BUY | 20 | 62¢ | $12 | 0x9045df… |