Writhing-Halibut — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$1.12K

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

70.9%

Resolved

498

Trades

3,895

lifetime

Volume

$35.5K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-01

last 11-03 13:49

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 142 days

Categories

Other

84% 40% +$891

Crypto

6% 22% +$20

Sports

4% 59% +$260

Tech

3% 67% +$7

Politics

2% 43% +$9

Pop-Culture

1% 29% -$62

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

79 active days in 12wk • peak 80 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (24) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
elon musk of tweets december 30 january 6 520 539	19	$1.1K	662	463	+199	Yes	-$178	01-06 15:16
elon musk of tweets december 30 january 6 500 519	9	$1.0K	538	538	+0	No	+$6	01-06 13:35
Will "GTA VI: The Album" first week sales be at least 50k?	7	$1.0K	596	596	+0	open	—	10-31 13:50
Will "Mortal Kombat II" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 40m and 45m?	63	$966	7,865	2,675	+5,190	No	-$864	05-11 16:15
Over $20M committed to the Printr public sale?	10	$807	699	800	-101	No	+$457	04-30 05:18
Will the next GPT Sol model (6.1+) debut at a score of at least 1440 by June 30, 2027?	19	$678	767	767	+0	Yes	+$115	10-02 17:14
will melania score at least 10 on the rotten tomatoes tomatometer	17	$610	800	800	+0	Yes	+$478	02-02 15:03
will the end of oak street score at least 70 on the rotten tomatoes tomatometer 20260810194028625	4	$578	431	431	+0	Yes	+$198	08-11 21:10
Will "Runner" score at least 60 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?	11	$532	501	501	+0	Yes	+$303	09-11 13:39
Will "Bass Persuades" - Miley Cyrus first week album sales be between 60k and 70k?	24	$515	915	428	+486	Yes	+$502	09-28 22:49
Over $3M committed to the Printr public sale?	11	$511	1,300	1,300	+0	No	+$37	04-30 07:09
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	5	$465	700	700	+0	No	+$7	05-07 18:57
Will "Michael" 2nd Weekend Box Office be greater than 38m?	10	$451	278	278	+0	No	+$78	05-11 18:50
Will "Klara and the Sun" score at least 25 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?	15	$449	784	376	+408	Yes	+$42	10-26 07:24
Will Miley Cyrus appear at the 2027 Big Game halftime show?	18	$432	260	260	+0	open	—	10-30 17:36
Will "Grand Theft Auto VI Launch Trailer" get between 20 and 40 million views on day 1?	15	$395	320	320	+0	Yes	+$135	10-15 19:55
Over $8M committed to the Linera public sale?	9	$385	224	224	+0	No	+$16	09-02 06:10
will deadline blackpink debut week album sales be less than 300k	22	$362	1,439	0	+1,439	Yes	-$362	03-03 23:38
Over $60M committed to the Printr public sale?	12	$345	211	200	+11	No	+$65	04-30 10:29
Will Republicans lose any "Solid Republican" House race?	9	$342	368	125	+243	open	—	11-03 09:05
will italy win the second most gold medals in the 2026 winter olympics	10	$342	1,820	1,820	+0	No	+$215	02-15 14:10
Over $4M committed to the Linera public sale?	4	$328	200	200	+0	No	+$36	09-07 02:28
Will SoFi Technologies (SOFI) be added to the S&P 500 by December 31, 2026?	4	$322	214	214	+0	open	—	10-28 10:43
Will The Super Mario Galaxy Movie have the 2nd best domestic opening weekend in 2026?	14	$308	158	158	+0	No	+$6	07-31 11:37
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?	2	$306	200	200	+0	Yes	-$2	06-14 13:40
Will "Ali G: Who Iz I?" score at least 70 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?	4	$304	193	193	+0	No	+$56	10-22 18:52
will the fall off debut week album sales be less than 150k	31	$292	1,976	976	+1,000	No	+$284	02-13 23:01
Will "GTA VI: The Album" first week sales be at least 100k?	9	$288	340	340	+0	open	—	10-31 10:56
Canza FDV above $150M one day after launch?	3	$277	214	214	+0	open	—	10-07 14:25
Prince Andrew released by February 19?	7	$273	400	100	+300	Yes	-$123	02-19 19:25

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-03 14:05:31	Will any 2027 Oscar award result in a tie?	No	BUY	40	76¢	$30	0x65659a…
11-03 13:49:03	Will any 2027 Oscar award result in a tie?	No	BUY	20	79¢	$16	0x4112e1…
11-03 13:48:46	Will any 2027 Oscar award result in a tie?	No	BUY	20	79¢	$16	0xf98907…
11-03 12:21:33	Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 CO-03 House election by 9%-12%?	No	BUY	17	95¢	$16	0xd4bbe8…
11-03 12:21:07	Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 CO-03 House election by 9%-12%?	No	BUY	47	92¢	$43	0x1febc7…
11-03 10:16:22	Will the next Claude Opus model (5.6+) debut at a score of at least 1540 by June 30, 2027?	Yes	BUY	9	17¢	$1	0xcb2eee…
11-03 09:36:06	Will any 2027 Oscar award result in a tie?	No	SELL	60	82¢	$49	0x273c36…
11-03 09:35:30	Will any 2027 Oscar award result in a tie?	No	BUY	20	73¢	$15	0xb0c9c7…
11-03 09:35:13	Will any 2027 Oscar award result in a tie?	No	BUY	20	73¢	$15	0xe5ede1…
11-03 09:34:57	Will any 2027 Oscar award result in a tie?	No	BUY	20	73¢	$15	0x6d71dd…
11-03 09:34:30	Will any 2027 Oscar award result in a tie?	No	SELL	40	75¢	$30	0xafd3ed…
11-03 09:34:07	Will any 2027 Oscar award result in a tie?	No	BUY	20	71¢	$14	0x604b15…
11-03 09:33:42	Will any 2027 Oscar award result in a tie?	No	BUY	20	70¢	$14	0x9307fb…
11-03 09:05:55	Will Republicans lose any "Solid / Likely R" House race?	Yes	BUY	20	74¢	$15	0xe656a3…
11-03 09:05:30	Will Republicans lose any "Solid R" House race?	Yes	SELL	116	74¢	$86	0x46a938…
11-03 08:58:57	Will Republicans lose any "Solid / Likely R" House race?	Yes	SELL	20	81¢	$16	0x80e64a…
11-03 08:58:37	Will Republicans lose any "Solid / Likely R" House race?	Yes	BUY	12	71¢	$9	0xd84aa4…
11-03 08:52:45	Will Republicans lose any "Solid / Likely R" House race?	Yes	BUY	20	74¢	$15	0xb55497…
11-03 08:40:51	Will Republicans lose any "Solid / Likely R" House race?	Yes	BUY	20	81¢	$16	0xb006ce…
11-03 08:38:19	Will Republicans lose any "Solid R" House race?	Yes	SELL	9	79¢	$7	0x2a7d1a…
11-03 08:36:13	Will Republicans lose any "Solid R" House race?	Yes	BUY	208	74¢	$154	0x8b4a46…
11-03 08:21:52	Will Republicans lose any "Solid R" House race?	Yes	BUY	0	67¢	$0	0xa7d7e4…
11-03 07:51:22	Will Republicans lose any "Solid / Likely R" House race?	Yes	BUY	100	69¢	$69	0xc94cde…
11-03 07:40:25	Will Republicans lose any "Solid / Likely R" House race?	Yes	BUY	20	69¢	$14	0xd3156a…
11-03 04:10:49	Will Wild Horse Nine win Best Picture at the 99th Academy Awards?	Yes	BUY	11	0¢	$0	0x108ada…
11-02 20:58:39	Will Republicans lose any "Solid Republican" House race?	Yes	BUY	20	66¢	$13	0x838c56…
11-02 20:14:54	Will Republicans lose any "Solid Republican" House race?	Yes	BUY	95	61¢	$58	0x34c0ae…
11-02 20:08:58	Will Fjord win Best International Feature Film at the 99th Academy Awards?	Yes	BUY	34	2¢	$1	0x3bfbb5…
11-02 19:57:54	Will Republicans lose any "Solid Republican" House race?	Yes	BUY	5	55¢	$3	0x9627d1…
11-02 19:54:52	Will Republicans lose any "Solid Republican" House race?	Yes	BUY	20	54¢	$11	0xfdc0e3…
11-02 19:52:51	Will Republicans lose any "Solid Republican" House race?	Yes	BUY	20	57¢	$11	0x616e11…
11-02 18:40:36	Will "Zach Bryan - Young Manhood & Other Donatable Organs" be the Billboard 200 #1 album for the week of November 7?	Yes	BUY	115	0¢	$0	0x574b33…
11-02 18:15:55	Will the next Claude Opus model (5.6+) debut at a score of at least 1540 by June 30, 2027?	Yes	BUY	1	17¢	$0	0x7ee405…
11-02 17:04:33	Will "Zach Bryan - Young Manhood & Other Donatable Organs" be the Billboard 200 #1 album for the week of November 7?	Yes	BUY	5	0¢	$0	0xa192a6…
11-02 17:04:15	Will "Zach Bryan - Young Manhood & Other Donatable Organs" be the Billboard 200 #1 album for the week of November 7?	Yes	BUY	25	0¢	$0	0xf40fb4…
11-02 17:03:22	Will "Zach Bryan - Young Manhood & Other Donatable Organs" be the Billboard 200 #1 album for the week of November 7?	Yes	BUY	20	0¢	$0	0x939f72…
11-02 17:03:22	Will "Zach Bryan - Young Manhood & Other Donatable Organs" be the Billboard 200 #1 album for the week of November 7?	Yes	BUY	10	0¢	$0	0x7732ac…
11-02 17:03:12	Will "Zach Bryan - Young Manhood & Other Donatable Organs" be the Billboard 200 #1 album for the week of November 7?	Yes	BUY	25	0¢	$0	0x009042…
11-02 13:30:07	Will the next Claude Opus model (5.6+) debut at a score of at least 1540 by June 30, 2027?	Yes	BUY	50	17¢	$8	0x5c4ebb…
11-02 12:11:00	Will "Wicker" score at least 88 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?	Yes	BUY	120	99¢	$119	0xa2bd32…
11-02 10:27:49	Will "LISA - Press Play" be the Billboard 200 #1 album for the week of November 7?	No	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0x1d011c…
11-02 10:25:30	Will "Dandelion - Ella Langley" be the Billboard 200 #1 album for the week of November 7?	No	BUY	47	99¢	$47	0x081604…
11-02 08:55:28	Will "The Life of a Showgirl: The Encore" be the Billboard 200 #1 album for the week of November 7?	Yes	BUY	135	1¢	$2	0x21a499…
11-01 12:37:10	Will "Wicker" score at least 96 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?	No	BUY	238	98¢	$233	0xedded7…
11-01 11:38:07	Will "Godzilla Minus Zero" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 28m?	Yes	SELL	6	23¢	$1	0x3ad7a4…
11-01 10:53:52	Will Wild Horse Nine win Best Picture at the 99th Academy Awards?	Yes	BUY	25	0¢	$0	0xc5505b…
11-01 08:58:27	Will "Godzilla Minus Zero" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 28m?	Yes	BUY	50	22¢	$11	0xdd8b52…
11-01 08:58:27	Will "Godzilla Minus Zero" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 28m?	Yes	BUY	5	22¢	$1	0xd507ec…
11-01 08:58:27	Will "Godzilla Minus Zero" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 28m?	Yes	BUY	5	22¢	$1	0xc72308…
11-01 08:58:27	Will "Godzilla Minus Zero" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 28m?	Yes	BUY	10	22¢	$2	0x595512…
11-01 08:58:27	Will "Godzilla Minus Zero" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 28m?	Yes	BUY	30	22¢	$7	0x0bad9a…
11-01 08:47:27	Republican House odds dip to 6% by November 1?	Yes	SELL	20	59¢	$12	0x06e811…
11-01 08:42:24	Republican House odds dip to 6% by November 1?	Yes	SELL	20	59¢	$12	0x30191a…
11-01 08:09:01	Republican House odds dip to 6% by November 1?	Yes	BUY	20	52¢	$10	0xd74a92…
11-01 08:08:45	Republican House odds dip to 6% by November 1?	Yes	BUY	20	63¢	$13	0xa96953…
11-01 06:47:31	Will Olivia Wilde win Best Director at the 99th Academy Awards?	Yes	BUY	2	1¢	$0	0xdafc1a…
10-31 18:14:13	Will "You Can See Everything" 3rd Weekend Box Office be between $8M and $10M?	Yes	BUY	92	5¢	$5	0xf49113…
10-31 17:14:27	Will "You Can See Everything" 3rd Weekend Box Office be between $8M and $10M?	Yes	BUY	8	5¢	$0	0x3cef0d…
10-31 15:04:33	Will "You Can See Everything" 3rd Weekend Box Office be at least $14M?	Yes	SELL	73	1¢	$1	0x7021da…
10-31 14:46:18	Will "You Can See Everything" 3rd Weekend Box Office be between $12M and $14M?	Yes	SELL	107	5¢	$5	0x8a0c78…
10-31 14:43:34	Will Ruth Madeley win Best Actress at the 99th Academy Awards?	Yes	BUY	10	0¢	$0	0x244ea2…
10-31 14:39:07	Will Ruth Madeley win Best Actress at the 99th Academy Awards?	Yes	BUY	5	0¢	$0	0x1017ce…
10-31 14:28:27	Will Ruth Madeley win Best Actress at the 99th Academy Awards?	Yes	BUY	5	0¢	$0	0x732b0c…
10-31 14:24:25	Will "You Can See Everything" 3rd Weekend Box Office be between $12M and $14M?	Yes	BUY	190	1¢	$2	0x8227c4…
10-31 14:17:01	Will "You Can See Everything" 3rd Weekend Box Office be at least $14M?	Yes	BUY	9	0¢	$0	0xfcc72d…
10-31 14:17:01	Will "You Can See Everything" 3rd Weekend Box Office be between $12M and $14M?	Yes	BUY	13	1¢	$0	0xee847c…
10-31 14:17:01	Will "You Can See Everything" 3rd Weekend Box Office be between $12M and $14M?	Yes	BUY	110	1¢	$1	0xd80f7f…
10-31 14:17:01	Will "You Can See Everything" 3rd Weekend Box Office be at least $14M?	Yes	BUY	9	0¢	$0	0xd206c0…
10-31 14:17:01	Will "You Can See Everything" 3rd Weekend Box Office be between $12M and $14M?	Yes	BUY	9	1¢	$0	0xbdf7f4…
10-31 14:17:01	Will "You Can See Everything" 3rd Weekend Box Office be between $12M and $14M?	Yes	BUY	13	1¢	$0	0xba9842…
10-31 14:17:01	Will "You Can See Everything" 3rd Weekend Box Office be at least $14M?	Yes	BUY	75	0¢	$0	0xaa65f5…
10-31 14:17:01	Will "You Can See Everything" 3rd Weekend Box Office be at least $14M?	Yes	BUY	9	0¢	$0	0x99aaac…
10-31 14:17:01	Will "You Can See Everything" 3rd Weekend Box Office be between $12M and $14M?	Yes	BUY	9	1¢	$0	0x7ccabd…
10-31 14:17:01	Will "You Can See Everything" 3rd Weekend Box Office be at least $14M?	Yes	BUY	110	0¢	$0	0x7a25ce…
10-31 14:17:01	Will "You Can See Everything" 3rd Weekend Box Office be between $12M and $14M?	Yes	BUY	9	1¢	$0	0x39b0c9…
10-31 14:17:01	Will "You Can See Everything" 3rd Weekend Box Office be at least $14M?	Yes	BUY	13	0¢	$0	0x1d43f8…
10-31 13:50:19	Will "GTA VI: The Album" first week sales be at least 50k?	Yes	SELL	331	89¢	$295	0xf3df6e…
10-31 13:45:04	Will "GTA VI: The Album" first week sales be at least 50k?	Yes	SELL	265	89¢	$236	0x0e6480…
10-31 12:00:31	Will "You Can See Everything" 3rd Weekend Box Office be at least $14M?	Yes	BUY	13	0¢	$0	0x79ce72…
10-31 11:14:03	Will "You Can See Everything" 3rd Weekend Box Office be at least $14M?	Yes	BUY	5	0¢	$0	0x9b96c8…
10-31 10:58:19	Will "GTA VI: The Album" first week sales be at least 50k?	Yes	BUY	261	86¢	$225	0x121961…
10-31 10:56:31	Will "GTA VI: The Album" first week sales be at least 100k?	Yes	SELL	40	83¢	$33	0x7ddf5d…
10-31 10:13:10	Will "GTA VI: The Album" first week sales be at least 100k?	Yes	SELL	210	83¢	$174	0x08bfe8…
10-31 08:36:34	Republican House odds hit 8% by November 1?	No	SELL	60	86¢	$52	0xa84eed…
10-31 08:34:57	Republican House odds dip to 6% by November 1?	Yes	SELL	20	74¢	$15	0x322891…
10-31 08:03:00	Republican House odds dip to 6% by November 1?	Yes	BUY	20	62¢	$12	0xecf201…
10-31 07:49:30	Republican House odds hit 8% by November 1?	No	BUY	40	61¢	$24	0xde8163…
10-31 07:48:48	Republican House odds hit 8% by November 1?	No	BUY	20	67¢	$13	0x820d59…
10-31 07:39:27	Republican House odds dip to 6% by November 1?	Yes	BUY	81	48¢	$39	0x4ccb77…
10-31 06:10:36	Will Wild Horse Nine win Best Picture at the 99th Academy Awards?	Yes	BUY	30	0¢	$0	0xe0e765…
10-31 03:13:37	Will Cristian Mungiu win Best Director at the 99th Academy Awards?	Yes	BUY	1	0¢	$0	0x858110…
10-31 03:13:37	Will Cristian Mungiu win Best Director at the 99th Academy Awards?	Yes	BUY	85	0¢	$0	0x83b843…
10-31 03:11:22	Will Ruth Madeley win Best Actress at the 99th Academy Awards?	Yes	BUY	26	0¢	$0	0x7ba165…
10-31 02:19:49	Will Wild Horse Nine win Best Picture at the 99th Academy Awards?	Yes	BUY	9	0¢	$0	0x5e4570…
10-30 20:13:15	Will the next GPT Terra model (5.7+) debut at a score of at least 1470 by June 30, 2027?	Yes	SELL	20	4¢	$1	0x7d9d85…
10-30 18:09:58	Will "GTA VI: The Album" first week sales be at least 50k?	Yes	BUY	125	67¢	$84	0xddab9a…
10-30 17:43:22	Will Olivia Wilde win Best Director at the 99th Academy Awards?	Yes	BUY	40	1¢	$0	0xf07707…
10-30 17:43:22	Will Cristian Mungiu win Best Director at the 99th Academy Awards?	Yes	BUY	40	0¢	$0	0x28aa9d…
10-30 17:43:22	Will Ryusuke Hamaguchi win Best Director at the 99th Academy Awards?	Yes	BUY	40	0¢	$0	0x20dcb5…
10-30 17:36:48	Will Miley Cyrus appear at the 2027 Big Game halftime show?	No	SELL	10	84¢	$8	0x9430d6…