Writhing-Halibut — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$189

Unrealized P&L

+$16

Hit rate

47.1%

Resolved

Trades

1,401

lifetime

Volume

$11.9K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

$120

4 positions

First seen

2026-01-01

last 07-23 03:29

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Other

82% 50% $-184

Sports

7% — —

Crypto

5% 0% $-5

Politics

4% — —

Tech

1% — —

Pop-Culture

1% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

47 active days in 12wk • peak 28 trades/day

Open positions (4) Resolved markets (2) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Tuyo FDV above $800M one day after launch?	No	-72	$-64	89¢	$-64	+$0	06-22 12:18
Tuyo FDV above $20M one day after launch?	Yes	-117	$-48	32¢	$-38	+$11	06-08 09:54
Will a coin launched in 2026 end the year in the top 20?	Yes	+42	$8	25¢	$11	+$2	07-03 13:59
Tuyo FDV above $50M one day after launch?	Yes	-30	$-10	25¢	$-8	+$3	06-04 12:43

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
elon musk of tweets december 30 january 6 520 539	19	$1.1K	662	463	+199	open	—	01-06 15:16
elon musk of tweets december 30 january 6 500 519	9	$1.0K	538	538	+0	open	—	01-06 13:35
Over $20M committed to the Printr public sale?	10	$807	699	800	-101	open	—	04-30 05:18
will melania score at least 10 on the rotten tomatoes tomatometer	17	$610	800	800	+0	open	—	02-02 15:03
Over $3M committed to the Printr public sale?	11	$511	1,300	1,300	+0	open	—	04-30 07:09
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	5	$465	700	700	+0	open	—	05-07 18:57
will deadline blackpink debut week album sales be less than 300k	22	$362	1,439	0	+1,439	open	—	03-03 23:38
Over $60M committed to the Printr public sale?	12	$345	211	200	+11	open	—	04-30 10:29
will italy win the second most gold medals in the 2026 winter olympics	10	$342	1,820	1,820	+0	open	—	02-15 14:10
will the fall off debut week album sales be less than 150k	31	$292	1,976	976	+1,000	open	—	02-13 23:01
Prince Andrew released by February 19?	7	$273	400	100	+300	open	—	02-19 19:25
will the united states win the third most gold medals in the 2026 winter olympics	57	$263	6,148	7,817	-1,669	open	—	02-22 07:58
takehiro tomiyasu 20260609171501493	9	$217	220	220	+0	open	—	06-12 13:41
Will "The Sheep Detectives" score at least 95 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?	3	$197	296	0	+296	No	$-197	05-07 08:02
Will "The Sheep Detectives" score at least 85 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?	3	$185	100	100	+0	Yes	+$13	05-09 07:33
will lee cronins the mummy score at least 45 on the rotten tomatoes tomatometer	4	$182	103	102	+1	open	—	04-20 07:45
nicolas otamendi 20260609174518102	6	$176	261	293	-32	open	—	06-16 19:46
Over $40M committed to the Printr public sale?	2	$168	100	100	+0	open	—	04-30 07:15
ao tanaka 20260609171501502	2	$164	162	162	+0	open	—	06-12 10:56
Over $4M committed to the Printr public sale?	17	$159	1,100	1,100	+0	open	—	04-30 05:41
will something very bad is going to happen season 1 be the top us netflix show this week	57	$157	1,974	1,007	+967	open	—	04-06 23:59
will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by july 1 20260613193829179	1	$154	200	0	+200	open	—	06-14 13:12
megaeth market cap fdv 1pt5b one day after launch 371 844 879 681	2	$134	200	200	+0	open	—	04-30 15:29
over 6m committed to the squid public sale	4	$133	288	42	+246	open	—	07-02 16:50
over 30m committed to the credible public sale 20260708134325652	15	$130	3,125	300	+2,825	open	—	07-17 14:59
swe kal mal 2026 07 20 total 1pt5	1	$126	160	0	+160	open	—	07-20 16:33
footballfun fdv above 100m one day after launch im46	2	$123	100	212	-112	open	—	01-02 15:37
will squid launch a token by july 31 2026	4	$118	107	107	+0	open	—	07-05 07:43
megaeth market cap fdv 1b one day after launch gj9e 189 291 824 352	8	$114	4,001	4,000	+1	open	—	04-30 16:09
elon musk of tweets december 30 january 6 560 579	42	$105	922	749	+174	open	—	01-06 11:44

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-23 13:37:43	ripcars fdv above 3m one day after launch 20260721182210408	Yes	BUY	48	10¢	$5	0x0e5a27…
07-23 03:29:42	ripcars fdv above 3m one day after launch 20260721182210408	Yes	BUY	13	10¢	$1	0x19b8ac…
07-22 16:06:22	wta charaev kraus 2026 07 22	Alina Charaeva	SELL	1	40¢	$0	0x3c6c92…
07-22 16:06:07	wta charaev kraus 2026 07 22	Alina Charaeva	SELL	49	40¢	$20	0x0a5ca4…
07-22 15:48:55	wta charaev kraus 2026 07 22	Alina Charaeva	BUY	50	20¢	$10	0x619328…
07-22 10:22:25	will trump be in the wc champions photo 20260608152527021	No	BUY	2,000	0¢	$2	0x434534…
07-21 17:18:27	over 20m committed to the ripcars public sale 20260720205129608	No	BUY	85	60¢	$51	0xaa8255…
07-21 17:18:16	over 20m committed to the ripcars public sale 20260720205129608	No	BUY	15	60¢	$9	0x8c10f5…
07-21 16:27:13	over 15m committed to the ripcars public sale 20260720205129607	Yes	BUY	94	19¢	$18	0xf2202d…
07-20 16:33:03	swe kal mal 2026 07 20 total 1pt5	Over	BUY	160	79¢	$126	0xe413dd…
07-19 18:19:22	will zinedine zidane attend the 2026 fifa world cup final 20260716193357140	No	BUY	20	0¢	$0	0xdeee42…
07-19 09:50:43	andrew tate extradited to uk by sep 30 20260719022813213	Yes	SELL	20	22¢	$4	0x9a072a…
07-19 09:24:22	andrew tate extradited to uk by sep 30 20260719022813213	Yes	BUY	20	22¢	$4	0x54356a…
07-18 22:51:27	fifwc fra eng 2026 07 18 goals jude bellingham gte1	Yes	BUY	31	1¢	$0	0x27f3a2…
07-18 22:10:03	fifwc fra eng 2026 07 18 goals jude bellingham gte1	Yes	SELL	6	15¢	$1	0x61f81e…
07-18 22:07:33	fifwc fra eng 2026 07 18 goals jude bellingham gte1	Yes	SELL	7	15¢	$1	0xcdf820…
07-18 21:56:06	fifwc fra eng 2026 07 18 goals jude bellingham gte1	Yes	BUY	13	1¢	$0	0xaf9527…
07-18 21:41:28	fifwc fra eng 2026 07 18 goals jude bellingham gte1	Yes	SELL	94	6¢	$6	0x346028…
07-18 21:40:21	fifwc fra eng 2026 07 18 goals jude bellingham gte1	Yes	BUY	59	1¢	$1	0xa78cc5…
07-18 21:34:48	fifwc fra eng 2026 07 18 goals jude bellingham gte1	Yes	BUY	35	1¢	$0	0x999856…
07-18 21:22:13	fifwc fra eng 2026 07 18 goals jude bellingham gte1	Yes	SELL	100	8¢	$8	0x42b60a…
07-18 21:19:51	fifwc fra eng 2026 07 18 goals jude bellingham gte1	Yes	BUY	100	6¢	$6	0x911ac6…
07-18 21:14:36	fifwc fra eng 2026 07 18 goals jude bellingham gte1	Yes	SELL	8	20¢	$2	0x9ecedd…
07-18 21:13:27	fifwc fra eng 2026 07 18 goals jude bellingham gte1	Yes	SELL	44	20¢	$9	0x382e27…
07-18 21:05:06	fifwc fra eng 2026 07 18 goals jude bellingham gte1	Yes	SELL	18	23¢	$4	0x8cf993…
07-18 21:02:42	fifwc fra eng 2026 07 18 goals jude bellingham gte1	Yes	SELL	30	25¢	$7	0xd640b1…
07-18 20:56:51	fifwc fra eng 2026 07 18 goals jude bellingham gte1	Yes	BUY	78	11¢	$9	0x9a5c91…
07-18 20:56:43	fifwc fra eng 2026 07 18 goals jude bellingham gte1	Yes	BUY	22	11¢	$2	0x2f6262…
07-17 16:57:54	over 35m committed to the credible public sale 20260708134325653 212	Yes	BUY	121	1¢	$1	0x39f9a7…
07-17 16:57:46	over 35m committed to the credible public sale 20260708134325653 212	Yes	BUY	9	1¢	$0	0xf55080…
07-17 16:57:21	over 35m committed to the credible public sale 20260708134325653 212	Yes	BUY	30	1¢	$0	0x909bf2…
07-17 16:57:13	over 35m committed to the credible public sale 20260708134325653 212	Yes	BUY	101	1¢	$1	0x72741e…
07-17 16:32:34	over 32pt5m committed to the credible public sale	No	SELL	200	6¢	$12	0xaced08…
07-17 16:26:28	over 32pt5m committed to the credible public sale	No	BUY	200	5¢	$10	0x5ed532…
07-17 16:22:57	over 32pt5m committed to the credible public sale	No	BUY	286	13¢	$37	0x3bce4d…
07-17 16:22:51	over 32pt5m committed to the credible public sale	No	BUY	14	13¢	$2	0x9e5ca1…
07-17 14:59:51	over 30m committed to the credible public sale 20260708134325652	No	BUY	2,000	0¢	$2	0xf3796d…
07-17 12:44:21	over 30m committed to the credible public sale 20260708134325652	No	BUY	116	1¢	$1	0x79f5fb…
07-17 10:38:33	over 30m committed to the credible public sale 20260708134325652	No	BUY	200	2¢	$4	0xd514d3…
07-17 09:29:06	will ansem dip to 0pt01 before 2027	No	SELL	40	77¢	$31	0xc7cdf2…
07-16 23:49:56	over 27pt5m committed to the credible public sale	No	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0xd48850…
07-16 11:20:14	over 30m committed to the credible public sale 20260708134325652	No	BUY	100	12¢	$12	0xc1cd9c…
07-16 07:06:43	will the odyssey score at least 95 on the rotten tomatoes tomatometer 20260709174417838	No	SELL	20	39¢	$8	0xc69da9…
07-16 06:48:29	over 30m committed to the credible public sale 20260708134325652	No	BUY	108	10¢	$11	0x7020c5…
07-16 00:28:40	will the odyssey score at least 95 on the rotten tomatoes tomatometer 20260709174417838	No	SELL	18	21¢	$4	0x139bd0…
07-16 00:19:05	will the odyssey score at least 95 on the rotten tomatoes tomatometer 20260709174417838	No	SELL	2	21¢	$1	0x9899dd…
07-15 21:44:26	over 30m committed to the credible public sale 20260708134325652	No	BUY	100	9¢	$9	0x88c25b…
07-15 21:17:43	over 30m committed to the credible public sale 20260708134325652	No	BUY	1	10¢	$0	0x1e8433…
07-15 20:10:11	will the odyssey score at least 95 on the rotten tomatoes tomatometer 20260709174417838	No	BUY	20	18¢	$4	0x51b621…
07-15 03:25:14	over 25m committed to the credible public sale 20260708134325651	No	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0xc01c8b…
07-15 02:54:38	over 25m committed to the credible public sale 20260708134325651	No	BUY	400	0¢	$2	0x97c02d…
07-14 20:44:28	will trump admin declassify foreign election interference files by july 17 20260714024406497	Yes	SELL	20	64¢	$13	0x5e5fed…
07-14 18:09:29	over 30m committed to the credible public sale 20260708134325652	No	SELL	9	18¢	$2	0xbb745c…
07-14 18:06:16	over 30m committed to the credible public sale 20260708134325652	No	SELL	0	18¢	$0	0x181b33…
07-14 18:05:50	over 30m committed to the credible public sale 20260708134325652	No	SELL	91	18¢	$16	0xa00acc…
07-14 16:09:02	will trump admin declassify foreign election interference files by july 17 20260714024406497	Yes	BUY	20	64¢	$13	0xf16b6f…
07-14 15:53:13	over 30m committed to the credible public sale 20260708134325652	No	BUY	100	15¢	$15	0x6917ea…
07-14 14:42:38	will gus a mounted tyrannosaurus rex skeleton sell for at least 35m at auction 20260710183448004	No	SELL	400	1¢	$4	0xe79b97…
07-14 14:39:14	will gus a mounted tyrannosaurus rex skeleton sell for at least 35m at auction 20260710183448004	No	BUY	131	3¢	$4	0xd57612…
07-14 14:39:11	will gus a mounted tyrannosaurus rex skeleton sell for at least 35m at auction 20260710183448004	No	BUY	240	3¢	$7	0xd1f786…
07-14 14:39:05	will gus a mounted tyrannosaurus rex skeleton sell for at least 35m at auction 20260710183448004	No	BUY	29	3¢	$1	0x59b5e1…
07-14 14:35:46	will gus a mounted tyrannosaurus rex skeleton sell for at least 30m at auction 20260710183448003	No	BUY	200	4¢	$9	0x85183d…
07-14 14:23:29	over 30m committed to the credible public sale 20260708134325652	No	BUY	200	11¢	$22	0xe13020…
07-14 12:38:53	over 30m committed to the credible public sale 20260708134325652	No	SELL	199	11¢	$22	0x238e0c…
07-14 12:27:59	over 30m committed to the credible public sale 20260708134325652	No	SELL	1	11¢	$0	0x59b866…
07-14 11:47:25	over 75m committed to the credible public sale	No	BUY	4	91¢	$4	0x9b659a…
07-14 07:51:52	will gus a mounted tyrannosaurus rex skeleton sell for at least 30m at auction 20260710183448003	No	SELL	75	11¢	$8	0xe7b296…
07-14 04:18:32	will gus a mounted tyrannosaurus rex skeleton sell for at least 30m at auction 20260710183448003	No	BUY	20	11¢	$2	0x1a1944…
07-14 04:16:47	will gus a mounted tyrannosaurus rex skeleton sell for at least 30m at auction 20260710183448003	No	BUY	15	11¢	$2	0xe48ce2…
07-13 19:25:07	will the odyssey score at least 95 on the rotten tomatoes tomatometer 20260709174417838	No	BUY	20	50¢	$10	0x66a8f1…
07-13 18:55:19	over 30m committed to the credible public sale 20260708134325652	No	BUY	200	7¢	$14	0xdf5931…
07-13 18:46:02	will gus a mounted tyrannosaurus rex skeleton sell for at least 30m at auction 20260710183448003	No	SELL	10	11¢	$1	0x07a3dc…
07-13 18:42:52	over 16m committed to the credible public sale 20260708134325648	No	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0x1ad3ed…
07-13 18:26:40	will gus a mounted tyrannosaurus rex skeleton sell for at least 30m at auction 20260710183448003	No	SELL	40	11¢	$4	0x7019b1…
07-13 13:46:38	will gus a mounted tyrannosaurus rex skeleton sell for at least 30m at auction 20260710183448003	No	BUY	12	11¢	$1	0xef052f…
07-13 13:14:56	will gus a mounted tyrannosaurus rex skeleton sell for at least 30m at auction 20260710183448003	No	BUY	14	10¢	$1	0xaafbbf…
07-13 11:56:35	will moana score at least 30 on the rotten tomatoes tomatometer 20260709151657970	No	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0x58d921…
07-13 11:55:56	will moana score at least 35 on the rotten tomatoes tomatometer 20260709151717406	Yes	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0xb94926…
07-13 10:59:02	will gus a mounted tyrannosaurus rex skeleton sell for at least 30m at auction 20260710183448003	No	BUY	5	10¢	$1	0xb9e638…
07-13 08:54:13	will gus a mounted tyrannosaurus rex skeleton sell for at least 30m at auction 20260710183448003	No	BUY	60	10¢	$6	0x87940b…
07-13 03:27:56	fifwc eng arg 2026 07 15 goals lionel messi gte2	Yes	SELL	15	8¢	$1	0x1c982c…
07-12 21:02:17	fifwc eng arg 2026 07 15 goals lionel messi gte2	Yes	SELL	64	8¢	$5	0x073420…
07-12 19:31:29	fifwc eng arg 2026 07 15 goals lionel messi gte2	Yes	SELL	21	8¢	$2	0x2ddccb…
07-12 16:10:13	fifwc eng arg 2026 07 15 goals lionel messi gte2	Yes	BUY	100	4¢	$4	0x1c0e66…
07-11 11:06:38	over 18m committed to the credible public sale 20260708134325649	No	SELL	19	25¢	$5	0x0bb177…
07-11 09:50:07	over 18m committed to the credible public sale 20260708134325649	No	SELL	21	29¢	$6	0x8bdc0b…
07-10 18:53:35	will the announcers say ronaldo during the spain vs belgium fifa world cup match 20260708215901515	Yes	SELL	20	46¢	$9	0x6e1fe8…
07-10 11:04:19	will the announcers say ronaldo during the spain vs belgium fifa world cup match 20260708215901515	Yes	BUY	20	43¢	$9	0x203192…
07-09 20:02:20	will squid launch a token by september 30 2026	Yes	SELL	20	79¢	$16	0xb3efd2…
07-09 19:49:59	over 16m committed to the credible public sale 20260708134325648	No	BUY	4	14¢	$1	0xbf38c7…
07-09 19:20:23	over 16m committed to the credible public sale 20260708134325648	No	BUY	9	14¢	$1	0x6ee12f…
07-09 19:20:02	over 16m committed to the credible public sale 20260708134325648	No	BUY	20	14¢	$3	0x61f95c…
07-09 19:20:01	over 16m committed to the credible public sale 20260708134325648	No	BUY	40	14¢	$6	0xdf3c39…
07-09 19:19:58	over 16m committed to the credible public sale 20260708134325648	No	BUY	27	14¢	$4	0x1042d1…
07-09 12:30:59	over 16m committed to the credible public sale 20260708134325648	No	BUY	146	23¢	$34	0xf90a59…
07-08 22:06:49	over 16m committed to the credible public sale 20260708134325648	No	SELL	20	40¢	$8	0xb34af0…
07-08 19:03:46	over 16m committed to the credible public sale 20260708134325648	No	BUY	40	26¢	$10	0x21b3a1…
07-08 19:02:47	over 18m committed to the credible public sale 20260708134325649	No	BUY	40	25¢	$10	0xaf146a…
07-06 17:37:19	f1 will max verstappen announce move to new team on july 6 2026 20260706154629503	Yes	SELL	58	25¢	$15	0xb18ee2…
07-06 17:32:02	f1 will max verstappen announce move to new team on july 6 2026 20260706154629503	Yes	BUY	58	1¢	$1	0x163d0d…