Writhing-Halibut — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$189

Unrealized P&L

+$11

Hit rate

47.1%

Resolved

Trades

1,288

lifetime

Volume

$11.0K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

$112

3 positions

First seen

2026-01-01

last 07-02 12:01

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Other

81% 50% $-184

Sports

7% — —

Crypto

5% 0% $-5

Politics

4% — —

Tech

1% — —

Pop-Culture

1% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

45 active days in 12wk • peak 38 trades/day

Open positions (3) Resolved markets (2) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Tuyo FDV above $800M one day after launch?	No	-72	$-64	89¢	$-64	+$0	06-22 12:18
Tuyo FDV above $20M one day after launch?	Yes	-117	$-48	32¢	$-38	+$10	06-08 09:54
Tuyo FDV above $50M one day after launch?	Yes	-30	$-10	32¢	$-10	+$1	06-04 12:43

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
elon musk of tweets december 30 january 6 520 539	19	$1.1K	662	463	+199	open	—	01-06 15:16
elon musk of tweets december 30 january 6 500 519	9	$1.0K	538	538	+0	open	—	01-06 13:35
Over $20M committed to the Printr public sale?	10	$807	699	800	-101	open	—	04-30 05:18
will melania score at least 10 on the rotten tomatoes tomatometer	17	$610	800	800	+0	open	—	02-02 15:03
Over $3M committed to the Printr public sale?	11	$511	1,300	1,300	+0	open	—	04-30 07:09
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	5	$465	700	700	+0	open	—	05-07 18:57
will deadline blackpink debut week album sales be less than 300k	22	$362	1,439	0	+1,439	open	—	03-03 23:38
Over $60M committed to the Printr public sale?	12	$345	211	200	+11	open	—	04-30 10:29
will italy win the second most gold medals in the 2026 winter olympics	10	$342	1,820	1,820	+0	open	—	02-15 14:10
will the fall off debut week album sales be less than 150k	31	$292	1,976	976	+1,000	open	—	02-13 23:01
Prince Andrew released by February 19?	7	$273	400	100	+300	open	—	02-19 19:25
will the united states win the third most gold medals in the 2026 winter olympics	57	$263	6,148	7,817	-1,669	open	—	02-22 07:58
takehiro tomiyasu 20260609171501493	9	$217	220	220	+0	open	—	06-12 13:41
Will "The Sheep Detectives" score at least 95 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?	3	$197	296	0	+296	No	$-197	05-07 08:02
Will "The Sheep Detectives" score at least 85 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?	3	$185	100	100	+0	Yes	+$13	05-09 07:33
will lee cronins the mummy score at least 45 on the rotten tomatoes tomatometer	4	$182	103	102	+1	open	—	04-20 07:45
nicolas otamendi 20260609174518102	6	$176	261	293	-32	open	—	06-16 19:46
Over $40M committed to the Printr public sale?	2	$168	100	100	+0	open	—	04-30 07:15
ao tanaka 20260609171501502	2	$164	162	162	+0	open	—	06-12 10:56
Over $4M committed to the Printr public sale?	17	$159	1,100	1,100	+0	open	—	04-30 05:41
will something very bad is going to happen season 1 be the top us netflix show this week	57	$157	1,974	1,007	+967	open	—	04-06 23:59
will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by july 1 20260613193829179	1	$154	200	0	+200	open	—	06-14 13:12
megaeth market cap fdv 1pt5b one day after launch 371 844 879 681	2	$134	200	200	+0	open	—	04-30 15:29
footballfun fdv above 100m one day after launch im46	2	$123	100	212	-112	open	—	01-02 15:37
over 6m committed to the squid public sale	3	$123	288	0	+288	open	—	07-02 14:53
megaeth market cap fdv 1b one day after launch gj9e 189 291 824 352	8	$114	4,001	4,000	+1	open	—	04-30 16:09
elon musk of tweets december 30 january 6 560 579	42	$105	922	749	+174	open	—	01-06 11:44
fifwc nor fra 2026 06 26 shots erling haaland gte2	2	$97	100	100	+0	open	—	06-26 16:02
winter games 2026 norway 6pt5 vs usa 6pt5 gold medals	4	$96	115	115	+0	open	—	02-18 11:27
will the faces of death score at least 68 on the rotten tomatoes tomatometer	2	$91	100	100	+0	open	—	04-12 21:06

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-02 15:52:56	over 5m committed to the squid public sale	No	BUY	4	1¢	$0	0x422201…
07-02 14:53:50	over 6m committed to the squid public sale	No	BUY	88	18¢	$16	0xc224cf…
07-02 14:50:50	over 4m committed to the squid public sale	No	SELL	280	0¢	$0	0xd0876f…
07-02 14:40:31	over 6m committed to the squid public sale	No	BUY	100	37¢	$37	0x49d202…
07-02 13:03:05	over 5pt5m committed to the squid public sale	No	BUY	120	12¢	$14	0xcf28e5…
07-02 12:01:53	over 4m committed to the squid public sale	No	BUY	200	3¢	$6	0x972d09…
07-02 12:01:26	over 5m committed to the squid public sale	No	BUY	147	13¢	$18	0x1c7ab1…
07-02 11:57:20	over 6m committed to the squid public sale	No	BUY	100	70¢	$70	0xcc8fb1…
07-02 11:49:50	over 4pt5m committed to the squid public sale	No	BUY	50	25¢	$12	0x714a0a…
07-02 11:49:49	over 4pt5m committed to the squid public sale	No	BUY	20	25¢	$5	0x881213…
07-02 11:47:47	over 4m committed to the squid public sale	No	BUY	80	13¢	$10	0x264e35…
07-02 07:12:28	over 3m committed to the squid public sale	No	BUY	2,000	0¢	$6	0x17724d…
06-30 20:42:23	will ansem dip to 0pt01 before 2027	No	BUY	40	51¢	$20	0x5d0ad8…
06-26 17:40:23	will squid launch a token by july 31 2026	No	SELL	13	53¢	$7	0x640740…
06-26 17:39:43	will squid launch a token by july 31 2026	No	SELL	47	53¢	$25	0x620ad2…
06-26 17:33:07	will squid launch a token by july 31 2026	No	BUY	107	53¢	$56	0xb47ec4…
06-26 17:07:13	will squid launch a token by september 30 2026	Yes	BUY	20	79¢	$16	0x91fbdd…
06-26 16:02:40	fifwc nor fra 2026 06 26 shots erling haaland gte2	Yes	SELL	100	49¢	$49	0xd8f97f…
06-26 14:50:32	fifwc nor fra 2026 06 26 shots erling haaland gte2	Yes	BUY	100	48¢	$48	0x66de47…
06-22 12:18:14	Tuyo FDV above $800M one day after launch?	No	SELL	8	90¢	$7	0xb08713…
06-19 14:18:19	fifwc usa aus 2026 06 19 goals folarin balogun gte3	Yes	BUY	171	0¢	$0	0x1d7f35…
06-18 16:47:31	fifwc cze rsa 2026 06 18 corners first half total 5pt5	Under	SELL	6	87¢	$5	0xd3829b…
06-18 16:43:25	fifwc cze rsa 2026 06 18 corners first half total 5pt5	Under	BUY	6	6¢	$0	0x9cf6fb…
06-17 17:55:52	noni madueke 20260609175104698	No	BUY	100	8¢	$8	0xd67f85…
06-16 19:46:35	nicolas otamendi 20260609174518102	Yes	BUY	168	5¢	$8	0x741cb1…
06-16 18:30:07	lisandro martinez 20260609174518089	No	BUY	104	6¢	$6	0xac4ca8…
06-16 12:44:03	nicolas otamendi 20260609174518102	No	SELL	11	55¢	$6	0x140e8f…
06-16 12:29:06	nicolas otamendi 20260609174518102	No	SELL	282	55¢	$154	0x36b63c…
06-15 17:48:24	fifwc esp cvi 2026 06 15 goals mikel merino gte1	No	BUY	3	83¢	$2	0x88a431…
06-15 17:47:24	fifwc esp cvi 2026 06 15 goals mikel merino gte1	No	BUY	30	83¢	$25	0xc0cf66…
06-15 17:46:54	fifwc esp cvi 2026 06 15 goals mikel merino gte1	No	BUY	10	78¢	$8	0xc6f35a…
06-15 16:52:18	fifwc esp cvi 2026 06 15 shots fabian ruiz gte1	Yes	SELL	15	99¢	$15	0xe97a93…
06-15 16:21:27	fifwc esp cvi 2026 06 15 shots fabian ruiz gte1	Yes	BUY	15	90¢	$14	0x3d8568…
06-14 16:35:36	cristian romero 20260609174518096	No	SELL	47	13¢	$6	0x06cc9e…
06-14 13:12:40	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by july 1 20260613193829179	Yes	BUY	200	77¢	$154	0x9ed43c…
06-14 01:05:22	Tuyo FDV above $800M one day after launch?	No	SELL	28	90¢	$25	0x2d02d4…
06-13 08:24:18	cristian romero 20260609174518096	No	SELL	3	13¢	$0	0x96085c…
06-13 07:48:21	Tuyo FDV above $800M one day after launch?	No	SELL	2	90¢	$1	0x4e3a36…
06-13 01:39:55	shogo taniguchi 20260609171501492	No	SELL	80	14¢	$11	0x2032d4…
06-12 23:44:30	will tim weah be in the starting 11 for the usas first 2026 fifa world cup group stage match 20260611180532031	Yes	BUY	1,000	0¢	$3	0x95f47f…
06-12 17:24:51	shogo taniguchi 20260609171501492	No	SELL	80	13¢	$10	0x8f7597…
06-12 13:49:30	nicolas otamendi 20260609174518102	No	BUY	16	9¢	$1	0xb0c588…
06-12 13:41:40	takehiro tomiyasu 20260609171501493	Yes	SELL	49	85¢	$42	0x69bc0d…
06-12 13:31:12	nicolas otamendi 20260609174518102	No	BUY	52	8¢	$4	0xf211f2…
06-12 13:30:24	cristian romero 20260609174518096	No	BUY	50	8¢	$4	0xcbdb51…
06-12 13:22:19	takehiro tomiyasu 20260609171501493	Yes	SELL	50	84¢	$42	0x754a1d…
06-12 13:21:39	lisandro martinez 20260609174518089	No	BUY	5	8¢	$0	0x781d6a…
06-12 13:17:39	nicolas otamendi 20260609174518102	No	BUY	25	7¢	$2	0xba6215…
06-12 13:15:13	lisandro martinez 20260609174518089	No	BUY	25	8¢	$2	0x18b3c7…
06-12 11:57:37	shogo taniguchi 20260609171501492	No	BUY	11	7¢	$1	0xc864db…
06-12 11:55:12	takehiro tomiyasu 20260609171501493	Yes	SELL	20	87¢	$17	0x7d00da…
06-12 11:44:30	takehiro tomiyasu 20260609171501493	Yes	SELL	20	87¢	$17	0xa28dec…
06-12 11:02:58	takehiro tomiyasu 20260609171501493	Yes	BUY	20	7¢	$1	0x0d7b78…
06-12 11:02:51	takehiro tomiyasu 20260609171501493	Yes	SELL	20	88¢	$18	0x3fa63e…
06-12 10:56:58	ao tanaka 20260609171501502	Yes	SELL	162	90¢	$146	0x3ae7ca…
06-12 10:54:34	takehiro tomiyasu 20260609171501493	Yes	SELL	45	89¢	$40	0xd6b414…
06-12 10:50:25	takehiro tomiyasu 20260609171501493	Yes	SELL	16	95¢	$15	0x63e0cb…
06-12 10:17:45	shogo taniguchi 20260609171501492	No	BUY	150	9¢	$13	0xa680e4…
06-12 10:17:07	takehiro tomiyasu 20260609171501493	Yes	BUY	200	12¢	$24	0x438159…
06-12 10:09:27	ao tanaka 20260609171501502	Yes	BUY	162	11¢	$18	0x2193c4…
06-12 09:21:54	will tim weah be in the starting 11 for the usas first 2026 fifa world cup group stage match 20260611180532031	Yes	SELL	20	13¢	$3	0xb6ae94…
06-12 08:03:57	will tim weah be in the starting 11 for the usas first 2026 fifa world cup group stage match 20260611180532031	Yes	BUY	86	11¢	$9	0x1d327f…
06-10 11:08:06	will kimbal musk be on stage at a bell ceremony commemorating spacexs ipo 20260608220212489	Yes	SELL	7	13¢	$1	0xd70b73…
06-10 07:35:37	will kimbal musk be on stage at a bell ceremony commemorating spacexs ipo 20260608220212489	Yes	BUY	7	11¢	$1	0x6b09d9…
06-10 05:51:28	will kimbal musk be on stage at a bell ceremony commemorating spacexs ipo 20260608220212489	Yes	BUY	40	11¢	$4	0xd0a9fd…
06-10 04:40:46	will kimbal musk be on stage at a bell ceremony commemorating spacexs ipo 20260608220212489	Yes	BUY	33	11¢	$4	0xcf4f75…
06-09 20:54:06	will kimbal musk be on stage at a bell ceremony commemorating spacexs ipo 20260608220212489	Yes	BUY	20	11¢	$2	0x24d4f8…
06-09 20:54:04	Tuyo FDV above $800M one day after launch?	No	SELL	25	90¢	$22	0x0e2bf8…
06-09 07:40:51	Tuyo FDV above $800M one day after launch?	No	SELL	10	90¢	$9	0x684eb2…
06-08 09:54:24	Tuyo FDV above $20M one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	117	41¢	$48	0x92fca0…
06-04 12:43:52	Tuyo FDV above $50M one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	30	35¢	$10	0xa234b6…
05-25 10:23:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET	Up	BUY	49	5¢	$2	0x62deaa…
05-25 10:23:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET	Up	BUY	5	5¢	$0	0x339151…
05-25 10:23:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET	Up	BUY	1	5¢	$0	0xcdb7a4…
05-25 10:22:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET	Up	BUY	45	5¢	$2	0x124cc6…
05-23 18:54:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 2PM ET	Down	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0xcb6d54…
05-23 14:56:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 10AM ET	Down	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0xdd202e…
05-23 11:38:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 7AM ET	Down	SELL	75	12¢	$9	0x66c8fc…
05-23 11:38:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 7AM ET	Down	SELL	5	12¢	$1	0x61fcee…
05-23 11:38:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 7AM ET	Down	SELL	8	12¢	$1	0x9ccb4a…
05-23 11:38:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 7AM ET	Down	SELL	12	12¢	$1	0xe9ab5b…
05-23 11:32:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 7AM ET	Down	BUY	6	8¢	$0	0x0ab811…
05-23 11:32:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 7AM ET	Down	BUY	45	8¢	$4	0x3df659…
05-23 11:32:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 7AM ET	Down	BUY	5	8¢	$0	0x279170…
05-23 11:31:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 7AM ET	Down	BUY	14	8¢	$1	0xad1aed…
05-23 11:31:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 7AM ET	Down	BUY	5	8¢	$0	0x072c37…
05-23 11:30:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 7AM ET	Down	BUY	5	8¢	$0	0x8e3a0d…
05-23 11:30:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 7AM ET	Down	BUY	5	8¢	$0	0xa55339…
05-23 11:30:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 7AM ET	Down	BUY	5	8¢	$0	0x412292…
05-23 11:30:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 7AM ET	Down	BUY	5	8¢	$0	0x8468c4…
05-23 11:30:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 7AM ET	Down	BUY	5	8¢	$0	0x13ad1e…
05-23 10:57:07	Solana Up or Down - May 23, 6AM ET	Down	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0x1bbfa6…
05-23 10:56:22	XRP Up or Down - May 23, 6AM ET	Down	BUY	123	0¢	$0	0x740501…
05-23 10:56:16	XRP Up or Down - May 23, 6AM ET	Down	BUY	352	0¢	$0	0x60d7d8…
05-23 10:56:13	XRP Up or Down - May 23, 6AM ET	Down	BUY	5	0¢	$0	0x358638…
05-23 10:56:11	XRP Up or Down - May 23, 6AM ET	Down	BUY	15	0¢	$0	0x418c56…
05-23 10:56:09	XRP Up or Down - May 23, 6AM ET	Down	BUY	9	0¢	$0	0x5d0c1d…
05-23 10:55:13	Ethereum Up or Down - May 23, 6AM ET	Down	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0xb7d614…
05-23 10:55:03	XRP Up or Down - May 23, 6AM ET	Down	BUY	496	0¢	$0	0x2f8682…
05-23 09:58:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 5AM ET	Down	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0x407dbb…