Realized P&L
+$405
Unrealized P&L
-$118
Hit rate
96.9%
Resolved
4,792
Trades
16,676
lifetime
Volume
$176.4K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$11
Open exposure
$45.5K
30 positions
First seen
2026-09-11
last 10-26 21:00
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 46 days
Categories
Other
68% 84% +$223
Politics
20% 78% +$88
Crypto
4% 73% +$57
Pop-Culture
3% 83% +$9
Sports
3% 92% +$15
Tech
2% 90% +$12
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
46 active days in 12wk • peak 3173 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Lionel Messi win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? No +8,395 $8,346 100¢ $8.4K +$28 10-26 22:08
Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? No +8,295 $7,609 96¢ $7.9K +$313 10-26 22:08
Will Khvicha Kvaratskhelia win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? No +7,120 $7,108 100¢ $7.1K +$2 10-26 22:08
Will Ousmane Dembélé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? No +5,777 $5,771 100¢ $5.8K +$0 10-26 22:08
Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? No +8,255 $6,217 69¢ $5.7K -$484 10-26 22:08
Will Rodri win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? No +5,409 $5,399 100¢ $5.4K +$4 10-26 18:26
Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? No +8,310 $2,705 33¢ $2.7K +$17 10-26 22:08
Will Fabian Ruiz win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? No +402 $402 100¢ $402 $0 10-26 13:58
Will Ferrari be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion? No +242 $240 99¢ $241 +$0 10-26 18:11
Will Lewis Hamilton be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? No +228 $227 100¢ $227 $0 10-25 20:13
Will Lamine Yamal finish 2nd in the 2026 Ballon d'Or? No +185 $157 88¢ $162 +$5 10-26 19:44
Will a team from LEC (Europe / EMEA) win LoL Worlds 2026? No +114 $110 98¢ $112 +$3 10-25 00:25
Will a team from LCS (North America) win LoL Worlds 2026? No +114 $113 98¢ $111 -$1 10-25 00:24
Will Ulf Kristersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? No +141 $127 78¢ $110 -$17 09-14 06:40
Will a team from CBLOL (Brazil) win LoL Worlds 2026? No +96 $96 100¢ $96 $0 10-23 11:03
Will a team from LCP (Asia-Pacific) win LoL Worlds 2026? No +96 $96 100¢ $96 +$0 10-23 11:03
Will the ECB announce a 25 bps increase at the October 2026 meeting? No +98 $90 98¢ $96 +$6 10-08 07:45
Will a team from LPL (China) win LoL Worlds 2026? No +97 $76 82¢ $79 +$3 10-25 00:24
Will Kylian Mbappé finish 2nd in the 2026 Ballon d'Or? No +224 $77 35¢ $78 +$1 10-26 18:57
Will the Republicans win the Michigan Senate race in 2026? No +93 $64 68¢ $63 -$1 10-17 16:29
Bank of Japan increases interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting? No +63 $63 99¢ $63 +$0 10-07 07:16
Will Team Liquid win Worlds 2026? No +62 $62 100¢ $62 $0 10-25 18:52
Will Michael Olise win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? No +59 $59 100¢ $59 $0 10-21 21:43
Will Erling Haaland win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? No +59 $59 100¢ $59 $0 10-21 21:43
Will Karmine Corp win Worlds 2026? No +58 $58 99¢ $58 +$0 10-25 18:52
Will G2 Esports win Worlds 2026? No +58 $56 99¢ $57 +$1 10-25 18:52
Will Movistar KOI win Worlds 2026? No +58 $58 99¢ $57 $0 10-25 18:52
Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on October 31, 2026? No +57 $55 93¢ $53 -$2 10-02 09:15
Will Hanwha Life Esports win Worlds 2026? No +58 $48 90¢ $52 +$4 10-25 18:52
Will T1 win Worlds 2026? No +58 $49 84¢ $49 $0 10-25 18:52