Will "The Hunger Games: Sunrise on the Reaping" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 120m and 125m?
open
Total volume
$300
$100 in 24h
Trades
46
Unique wallets
19
Liquidity
$1,556
Latest YES mid
22¢
Latest NO mid
78¢
End date
2026-11-22
First seen
2026-11-09
last 11-14 05:28
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
SMI:
-7.8¢
(top1%: 0% YES on $122
vs crowd: 8% YES on $294)
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐋 Whale | 8 | $2 | $196 | $193 |
| 🐬 Dolphin | 4 | $3 | $27 | $24 |
| 🐟 Fish | 5 | $8 | $48 | $40 |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 2 | $12 | — | +$12 |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🎯 Top 1% | 8 | $0 | $121 | $121 |
| 🏆 Top 5% | 3 | $14 | $27 | $12 |
| ✅ Top 10% | 1 | — | $12 | $12 |
| Median | 1 | $2 | — | +$2 |
| Below median | 1 | — | $7 | $7 |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 2 | $3 | $42 | $39 |
| 💀 Bottom 1% | 3 | $4 | $61 | $57 |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| (anonymous) 0x458b…d686 | Yes | +172 | $10 | $10 | 1 | 11-11 01:12 |
| Sparse-Cookie 0x5a21…9318 | No | +58 | $57 | $57 | 5 | 11-10 22:45 |
| (anonymous) 0xbcfe…2d00 | Yes | +50 | $4 | $4 | 1 | 11-14 05:28 |
| Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71 | No | +50 | $45 | $45 | 2 | 11-14 05:28 |
| (anonymous) 0x7f9c…9236 | Yes | +32 | $3 | $3 | 1 | 11-14 05:28 |
| (anonymous) 0x7f9c…9236 | No | +32 | $29 | $29 | 1 | 11-14 05:28 |
| Broken-Idea 0x9f20…12c3 | No | +30 | $29 | $29 | 1 | 11-10 19:34 |
| (anonymous) 0x8dc6…22a3 | No | +27 | $27 | $27 | 2 | 11-10 22:45 |
| Deserted-Bitter 0x3690…e16f | No | +20 | $18 | $18 | 1 | 11-09 14:40 |
| (anonymous) 0x84bb…1477 | Yes | +18 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 11-14 05:28 |
| (anonymous) 0x84bb…1477 | No | +18 | $16 | $16 | 1 | 11-14 05:28 |
| Monumental-Generator 0x09fe…76ee | Yes | +13 | $0 | $0 | 2 | 11-10 19:34 |
| Monumental-Generator 0x09fe…76ee | No | +13 | $13 | $13 | 1 | 11-10 20:34 |
| (anonymous) 0x8b92…6866 | No | +13 | $12 | $12 | 2 | 11-11 01:12 |
| (anonymous) 0xb0c8…fe7f | No | +10 | $10 | $10 | 1 | 11-10 22:26 |
| (anonymous) 0xadc2…2bea | No | +7 | $7 | $7 | 1 | 11-10 20:54 |
| Admirable-Trust 0xfbd8…4027 | No | +7 | $7 | $7 | 1 | 11-10 21:47 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11-14 05:28:35 | Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71 | No | BUY | 32 | 90¢ | $29 | 0x3fd212… |
| 11-14 05:28:35 | (anonymous) 0x7f9c…9236 | Yes | BUY | 32 | 10¢ | $3 | 0x3fd212… |
| 11-14 05:28:32 | (anonymous) 0x84bb…1477 | Yes | BUY | 18 | 10¢ | $2 | 0xc09af5… |
| 11-14 05:28:32 | (anonymous) 0x84bb…1477 | No | BUY | 18 | 91¢ | $16 | 0x2603f5… |
| 11-14 05:28:32 | Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71 | No | BUY | 18 | 90¢ | $16 | 0xc09af5… |
| 11-14 05:28:32 | (anonymous) 0xbcfe…2d00 | Yes | BUY | 50 | 9¢ | $4 | 0x2603f5… |
| 11-14 05:28:32 | (anonymous) 0x7f9c…9236 | No | BUY | 32 | 91¢ | $29 | 0x2603f5… |
| 11-11 18:11:58 | Grim-Garage 0xa815…9cbe | Yes | BUY | 0 | 4¢ | $0 | 0x74e412… |
| 11-11 18:11:58 | Voluminous-Lava 0x46b3…d3de | Yes | SELL | 0 | 4¢ | $0 | 0x74e412… |
| 11-11 01:12:24 | (anonymous) 0x8b92…6866 | No | BUY | 2 | 55¢ | $1 | 0xae828d… |
| 11-11 01:12:24 | Intent-Ton 0xa36d…3654 | Yes | SELL | 8 | 5¢ | $0 | 0xae828d… |
| 11-11 01:12:24 | (anonymous) 0x00a8…46ed | Yes | SELL | 27 | 5¢ | $1 | 0xae828d… |
| 11-11 01:12:24 | Grim-Garage 0xa815…9cbe | Yes | SELL | 40 | 6¢ | $2 | 0xae828d… |
| 11-11 01:12:24 | (anonymous) 0xf8cc…028a | Yes | SELL | 27 | 5¢ | $1 | 0xae828d… |
| 11-11 01:12:24 | (anonymous) 0x458b…d686 | Yes | BUY | 172 | 6¢ | $10 | 0xae828d… |
| 11-10 22:45:18 | (anonymous) 0x00a8…46ed | Yes | BUY | 9 | 2¢ | $0 | 0x5ba613… |
| 11-10 22:45:18 | Sparse-Cookie 0x5a21…9318 | No | BUY | 9 | 98¢ | $9 | 0x5ba613… |
| 11-10 22:45:16 | (anonymous) 0x00a8…46ed | Yes | BUY | 9 | 2¢ | $0 | 0x5c6e18… |
| 11-10 22:45:16 | Sparse-Cookie 0x5a21…9318 | No | BUY | 9 | 98¢ | $9 | 0x5c6e18… |
| 11-10 22:45:13 | (anonymous) 0x8dc6…22a3 | No | BUY | 9 | 98¢ | $9 | 0xe0b7b8… |
| 11-10 22:45:13 | (anonymous) 0x00a8…46ed | Yes | BUY | 9 | 2¢ | $0 | 0xe0b7b8… |
| 11-10 22:26:13 | Sparse-Cookie 0x5a21…9318 | No | BUY | 10 | 98¢ | $10 | 0xad56b5… |
| 11-10 22:26:13 | (anonymous) 0x00a8…46ed | Yes | BUY | 10 | 2¢ | $0 | 0xad56b5… |
| 11-10 22:26:07 | (anonymous) 0x00a8…46ed | Yes | BUY | 10 | 2¢ | $0 | 0xb99911… |
| 11-10 22:26:07 | Sparse-Cookie 0x5a21…9318 | No | BUY | 20 | 98¢ | $20 | 0x6f2611… |
| 11-10 22:26:07 | (anonymous) 0x00a8…46ed | Yes | BUY | 10 | 2¢ | $0 | 0xc310e8… |
| 11-10 22:26:07 | (anonymous) 0x00a8…46ed | Yes | BUY | 18 | 2¢ | $0 | 0x099613… |
| 11-10 22:26:07 | (anonymous) 0x00a8…46ed | Yes | BUY | 20 | 2¢ | $0 | 0x6f2611… |
| 11-10 22:26:07 | (anonymous) 0x8dc6…22a3 | No | BUY | 18 | 98¢ | $18 | 0x099613… |
| 11-10 22:26:07 | (anonymous) 0xb0c8…fe7f | No | BUY | 10 | 98¢ | $10 | 0xc310e8… |
| 11-10 22:26:07 | Sparse-Cookie 0x5a21…9318 | No | BUY | 10 | 98¢ | $10 | 0xb99911… |
| 11-10 21:47:12 | Admirable-Trust 0xfbd8…4027 | No | BUY | 7 | 99¢ | $7 | 0x19ffbc… |
| 11-10 21:47:12 | (anonymous) 0xf8cc…028a | Yes | BUY | 7 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x19ffbc… |
| 11-10 20:54:28 | (anonymous) 0xf8cc…028a | Yes | BUY | 7 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x606f59… |
| 11-10 20:54:28 | (anonymous) 0xadc2…2bea | No | BUY | 7 | 99¢ | $7 | 0x606f59… |
| 11-10 20:34:42 | Monumental-Generator 0x09fe…76ee | No | BUY | 13 | 99¢ | $13 | 0x6279af… |
| 11-10 20:34:42 | Voluminous-Lava 0x46b3…d3de | Yes | BUY | 0 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x6279af… |
| 11-10 20:34:42 | (anonymous) 0xf8cc…028a | Yes | BUY | 13 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x6279af… |
| 11-10 19:34:40 | Monumental-Generator 0x09fe…76ee | Yes | BUY | 11 | 2¢ | $0 | 0x8670c9… |
| 11-10 19:34:40 | Broken-Idea 0x9f20…12c3 | No | BUY | 30 | 98¢ | $29 | 0xd9e75b… |
| 11-10 19:34:40 | Grim-Garage 0xa815…9cbe | Yes | BUY | 20 | 2¢ | $0 | 0xd9e75b… |
| 11-10 19:34:40 | Intent-Ton 0xa36d…3654 | Yes | BUY | 8 | 2¢ | $0 | 0xd9e75b… |
| 11-10 19:34:40 | Monumental-Generator 0x09fe…76ee | Yes | BUY | 2 | 2¢ | $0 | 0xd9e75b… |
| 11-10 19:34:40 | (anonymous) 0x8b92…6866 | No | BUY | 11 | 98¢ | $11 | 0x8670c9… |
| 11-09 14:40:13 | Deserted-Bitter 0x3690…e16f | No | BUY | 20 | 90¢ | $18 | 0xc57f01… |
| 11-09 14:40:13 | Grim-Garage 0xa815…9cbe | Yes | BUY | 20 | 10¢ | $2 | 0xc57f01… |