Realized P&L
+$1.12K
Unrealized P&L
+$129
Hit rate
60.3%
Resolved
3,037
Trades
16,234
lifetime
Volume
$71.1K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$4
Open exposure
$1.45K
30 positions
First seen
2026-08-31
last 10-27 09:53
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 53 days
Categories
Other
61% 41% +$292
Crypto
34% 51% +$677
Politics
5% 42% +$127
Tech
1% 45% +$18
Pop-Culture
0% 38% +$2
Sports
0% 29% +$0
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
53 active days in 12wk • peak 1076 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Total Internet Blackout in Iran by December 31, 2026? No +440 $327 72¢ $315 -$12 10-24 11:57
Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? No +160 $92 84¢ $134 +$42 09-27 07:54
Total Internet Blackout in Iran by December 31, 2026? Yes +430 $137 29¢ $123 -$14 10-24 11:57
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on October 31, 2026? Yes +65 $38 91¢ $59 +$21 10-24 12:21
us x iran ceasefire continues through december 31 20260918 No +70 $46 70¢ $49 +$3 10-21 22:43
kanye west performs in russia by october 31 No +48 $42 100¢ $48 +$5 09-23 18:43
US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 30? No +75 $44 60¢ $45 +$1 10-21 21:01
Russia-Ukraine peace talks by November 30, 2026? Yes +57 $33 72¢ $42 +$9 10-24 19:04
Will Radomir Saičić be the next Prime Minister of Serbia? No +45 $41 86¢ $39 -$2 10-26 00:14
Iran full airspace closure by October 31, 2026? (copy) No +40 $34 96¢ $38 +$4 10-23 17:33
Perim Island no longer under Houthi control by October 31? No +39 $23 98¢ $38 +$15 10-10 15:42
next fable model 5pt2 released by october 31 2026 No +48 $25 72¢ $34 +$9 10-26 11:27
Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on October 31, 2026? No +38 $27 91¢ $34 +$7 10-26 13:50
Will the Bank of Canada make no change to the target for the overnight rate at the October interest rate announcement? No +40 $24 84¢ $34 +$10 10-21 19:09
Next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting by October 31, 2026? (copy) No +35 $10 94¢ $33 +$23 09-28 14:44
Will Anthropic's initial public offering occur in November 2026 (ET)? Yes +35 $23 87¢ $31 +$7 10-26 13:08
Will Aleksandar Vučić be the next Prime Minister of Serbia? No +30 $14 98¢ $29 +$15 09-18 10:57
Will LYON win Worlds 2026? No +30 $28 98¢ $29 +$1 10-25 21:37
Will the Fed Hike–Hike–Hike in the next three decisions (Sep–Oct–Dec)? No +30 $21 97¢ $29 +$8 10-02 12:33
us imports russian diesel by october 31 No +30 $28 96¢ $29 +$1 10-24 11:02
Predict.fun FDV above $600M one day after launch? Yes +30 $22 88¢ $26 +$4 10-23 05:05
Will Anthropic's market cap be between $2.0T and $2.25T at market close on IPO day? No +35 $26 75¢ $26 +$0 10-25 19:57
US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 30? Yes +65 $25 40¢ $26 +$1 10-21 21:01
Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? Yes +153 $61 16¢ $25 -$35 09-20 04:38
Will Dejan Šoškić be the next Prime Minister of Serbia? No +42 $26 60¢ $25 -$1 10-25 15:35
Will Anthropic's public ticker be $ANTH? No +25 $18 99¢ $25 +$7 10-24 22:01
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of October 2026? Yes +27 $23 88¢ $24 +$1 10-27 09:53
Predict.fun FDV above $1B one day after launch? Yes +40 $23 56¢ $22 $0 10-25 08:00
Predict.fun FDV above $1B one day after launch? No +50 $22 44¢ $22 +$0 10-25 08:46
Will Predict.fun launch a token by October 31, 2026? No +30 $23 70¢ $21 -$2 10-27 10:15