Predict.fun FDV above $600M one day after launch?
open
Total volume
$39,181
$7,177 in 24h
Trades
521
Unique wallets
150
Liquidity
$28,953
Latest YES mid
47¢
Latest NO mid
53¢
End date
2028-01-01
First seen
2026-05-28
last 08-02 02:01
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
YES holders
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
SMI:
-46.1¢
(top1%: 0% YES on $294
vs crowd: 46% YES on $21.9K)
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐋 Whale | 15 | $2.3K | $1.2K | +$1.2K |
| 🐬 Dolphin | 31 | $5.2K | $8.3K | $3.1K |
| 🐟 Fish | 39 | $824 | $2.0K | $1.2K |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 65 | $1.7K | $327 | +$1.4K |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🎯 Top 1% | 2 | — | $294 | $294 |
| 🏆 Top 5% | 15 | $5.0K | $1.4K | +$3.6K |
| ✅ Top 10% | 9 | $77 | $699 | $622 |
| Median | 10 | $36 | $162 | $126 |
| Below median | 23 | $876 | $608 | +$268 |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 6 | $103 | $247 | $144 |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 10 | $26 | $56 | $30 |
| 💀 Bottom 1% | 5 | $488 | $234 | +$254 |
| unranked | 70 | $3.5K | $8.1K | $4.6K |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| (anonymous) 0xc28f…ffed | No | +9,861 | $5,818 | $5,818 | 1 | 06-07 01:07 |
| Rusty-Fava 0x05ab…8145 | Yes | +4,350 | $1,666 | $1,666 | 19 | 08-01 07:14 |
| Fixed-Flock 0x23d7…0f30 | Yes | +2,953 | $1,530 | $2,027 | 11 | 07-30 14:23 |
| Thankful-Conversion 0x2f28…ba03 | Yes | +2,409 | $1,067 | $1,927 | 20 | 08-02 02:01 |
| (anonymous) 0x7be6…26a6 | Yes | +2,200 | $1,166 | $1,166 | 3 | 07-15 11:06 |
| Gloomy-Disgust 0xce03…5608 | No | +1,873 | $1,143 | $1,143 | 6 | 07-31 18:56 |
| Glamorous-Visor 0x7d26…a7d1 | No | +1,080 | $594 | $594 | 1 | 07-30 14:23 |
| Rusty-Fava 0x05ab…8145 | No | +973 | $440 | $593 | 9 | 08-01 07:15 |
| Dirty-Birdwatcher 0xcdc0…dcd8 | No | +876 | $526 | $526 | 1 | 06-03 22:34 |
| Peaceful-Mink 0x24fe…4511 | Yes | +817 | $245 | $245 | 3 | 05-29 15:19 |
| (anonymous) 0x60d1…0c8f | No | +703 | $363 | $363 | 7 | 07-25 09:22 |
| Responsible-Remark 0x1fe4…afbb | Yes | +659 | $250 | $250 | 1 | 06-02 16:35 |
| Severe-Handgun 0xaae2…dbda | No | +501 | $281 | $281 | 4 | 07-22 02:58 |
| (anonymous) 0x89cd…4d7d | No | +500 | $285 | $285 | 2 | 07-22 02:58 |
| Sparse-Cookie 0x5a21…9318 | Yes | +493 | $237 | $237 | 1 | 06-19 05:54 |
| (anonymous) 0x6d72…a399 | No | +345 | $165 | $165 | 2 | 07-11 15:59 |
| Frivolous-Conduct 0xc96b…4ddf | Yes | +259 | $94 | $94 | 4 | 06-29 00:43 |
| (anonymous) 0xfdb8…af02 | No | +185 | $100 | $100 | 1 | 07-28 00:39 |
| Loyal-Speakerphone 0xcd96…cbdc | Yes | +174 | $90 | $90 | 2 | 07-06 17:22 |
| (anonymous) 0xfad9…aca8 | Yes | +139 | $63 | $63 | 3 | 06-25 00:16 |
| Treasured-Total 0xeab5…f570 | No | +110 | $65 | $135 | 23 | 08-02 02:00 |
| (anonymous) 0xf3fa…7be3 | Yes | +103 | $54 | $54 | 2 | 07-16 08:00 |
| (anonymous) 0x88a0…506f | No | +102 | $49 | $49 | 1 | 07-16 07:04 |
| Illiterate-Gang 0xab1c…35a7 | No | +100 | $67 | $67 | 4 | 06-02 12:12 |
| Treasured-Total 0xeab5…f570 | Yes | +94 | $55 | $129 | 30 | 07-30 15:10 |
| Daring-Liquor 0x33db…417a | No | +65 | $-12 | $553 | 7 | 07-30 19:26 |
| Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | Yes | +51 | $11 | $47 | 4 | 07-30 15:11 |
| Canine-Biplane 0x4435…786f | Yes | +50 | $21 | $21 | 2 | 07-31 13:04 |
| Canine-Biplane 0x4435…786f | No | +50 | $29 | $29 | 1 | 07-31 13:04 |
| Weekly-Clarification 0x54a4…f169 | No | +50 | $25 | $25 | 2 | 06-26 07:27 |
| Present-Lava 0x3e16…5026 | No | +31 | $4 | $484 | 20 | 07-21 18:56 |
| Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | No | +30 | $18 | $183 | 14 | 08-02 02:01 |
| Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | No | +28 | $15 | $15 | 1 | 07-20 14:01 |
| Pretty-Saxophone 0xe7fe…24e5 | Yes | +20 | $9 | $9 | 1 | 06-25 18:57 |
| (anonymous) 0x4005…4cd5 | No | +20 | $9 | $9 | 1 | 07-10 08:21 |
| (anonymous) 0x125c…38f7 | No | +20 | $10 | $10 | 1 | 07-18 13:18 |
| (anonymous) 0x5a7f…6413 | No | +12 | $7 | $7 | 1 | 08-01 07:15 |
| (anonymous) 0x0f57…4139 | Yes | +10 | $4 | $4 | 2 | 07-30 19:26 |
| (anonymous) 0x020d…118b | No | +10 | $7 | $7 | 1 | 06-02 12:12 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-02 02:01:00 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | No | BUY | 30 | 58¢ | $17 | 0xabb215… |
| 08-02 02:01:00 | Thankful-Conversion 0x2f28…ba03 | Yes | BUY | 30 | 42¢ | $13 | 0xabb215… |
| 08-02 02:00:50 | Defiant-Vision 0x5c30…9c2c | Yes | SELL | 40 | 41¢ | $16 | 0xc1dca0… |
| 08-02 02:00:50 | Treasured-Total 0xeab5…f570 | No | BUY | 10 | 59¢ | $6 | 0xc1dca0… |
| 08-02 02:00:50 | Thankful-Conversion 0x2f28…ba03 | Yes | BUY | 50 | 41¢ | $21 | 0xc1dca0… |
| 08-01 07:15:05 | (anonymous) 0x5a7f…6413 | No | BUY | 12 | 59¢ | $7 | 0x3f6ffa… |
| 08-01 07:15:05 | Rusty-Fava 0x05ab…8145 | No | SELL | 132 | 58¢ | $77 | 0x3f6ffa… |
| 08-01 07:15:05 | Treasured-Total 0xeab5…f570 | No | BUY | 10 | 59¢ | $6 | 0x3f6ffa… |
| 08-01 07:15:05 | Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71 | Yes | SELL | 80 | 43¢ | $34 | 0x3f6ffa… |
| 08-01 07:15:05 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | Yes | SELL | 30 | 40¢ | $12 | 0x3f6ffa… |
| 08-01 07:14:21 | Treasured-Total 0xeab5…f570 | No | BUY | 20 | 60¢ | $12 | 0x910b0d… |
| 08-01 07:14:21 | Present-Lava 0x3e16…5026 | Yes | SELL | 170 | 40¢ | $68 | 0x910b0d… |
| 08-01 07:14:21 | Rusty-Fava 0x05ab…8145 | Yes | BUY | 190 | 40¢ | $76 | 0x910b0d… |
| 07-31 21:00:53 | (anonymous) 0xd823…12fe | Yes | SELL | 10 | 37¢ | $4 | 0xb97d00… |
| 07-31 21:00:53 | Present-Lava 0x3e16…5026 | Yes | BUY | 10 | 37¢ | $4 | 0xb97d00… |
| 07-31 20:58:48 | Present-Lava 0x3e16…5026 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 37¢ | $2 | 0x767037… |
| 07-31 20:58:48 | (anonymous) 0x00cd…c0ae | Yes | SELL | 5 | 37¢ | $2 | 0x767037… |
| 07-31 20:58:47 | (anonymous) 0xe8c4…ea5c | Yes | SELL | 50 | 37¢ | $18 | 0x6f2909… |
| 07-31 20:58:47 | Present-Lava 0x3e16…5026 | Yes | BUY | 50 | 37¢ | $18 | 0x6f2909… |
| 07-31 20:57:29 | (anonymous) 0xd10a…b9cd | Yes | SELL | 5 | 37¢ | $2 | 0x690586… |
| 07-31 20:57:29 | Present-Lava 0x3e16…5026 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 37¢ | $2 | 0x690586… |
| 07-31 18:56:57 | (anonymous) 0xe8c4…ea5c | Yes | BUY | 50 | 36¢ | $18 | 0xbbea44… |
| 07-31 18:56:57 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | Yes | BUY | 30 | 40¢ | $12 | 0xbbea44… |
| 07-31 18:56:57 | Thankful-Conversion 0x2f28…ba03 | Yes | BUY | 324 | 35¢ | $114 | 0xbbea44… |
| 07-31 18:56:57 | (anonymous) 0x00cd…c0ae | Yes | BUY | 5 | 36¢ | $2 | 0xbbea44… |
| 07-31 18:56:57 | (anonymous) 0xd823…12fe | Yes | BUY | 10 | 36¢ | $4 | 0xbbea44… |
| 07-31 18:56:57 | Present-Lava 0x3e16…5026 | Yes | BUY | 100 | 38¢ | $38 | 0xbbea44… |
| 07-31 18:56:57 | (anonymous) 0xa3e2…fdf8 | No | SELL | 52 | 61¢ | $32 | 0xbbea44… |
| 07-31 18:56:57 | Gloomy-Disgust 0xce03…5608 | No | BUY | 606 | 64¢ | $385 | 0xbbea44… |
| 07-31 18:56:57 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | No | SELL | 30 | 60¢ | $18 | 0xbbea44… |
| 07-31 18:56:57 | (anonymous) 0xd10a…b9cd | Yes | BUY | 5 | 36¢ | $2 | 0xbbea44… |
| 07-31 13:04:03 | Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71 | Yes | SELL | 20 | 43¢ | $9 | 0x38dae1… |
| 07-31 13:04:03 | Canine-Biplane 0x4435…786f | Yes | BUY | 30 | 42¢ | $13 | 0xd70e3a… |
| 07-31 13:04:03 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | No | BUY | 30 | 58¢ | $17 | 0xd70e3a… |
| 07-31 13:04:03 | Canine-Biplane 0x4435…786f | Yes | BUY | 20 | 43¢ | $9 | 0x38dae1… |
| 07-31 13:04:02 | Treasured-Total 0xeab5…f570 | No | BUY | 5 | 61¢ | $3 | 0xa7bab2… |
| 07-31 13:04:02 | (anonymous) 0xa3e2…fdf8 | No | BUY | 53 | 58¢ | $31 | 0xa7bab2… |
| 07-31 13:04:02 | Canine-Biplane 0x4435…786f | No | BUY | 50 | 58¢ | $29 | 0xa7bab2… |
| 07-31 13:04:02 | Rusty-Fava 0x05ab…8145 | Yes | BUY | 108 | 42¢ | $45 | 0xa7bab2… |
| 07-30 19:28:12 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | Yes | SELL | 24 | 36¢ | $9 | 0x7057fa… |
| 07-30 19:28:12 | Blue-Bend 0x9495…468f | Yes | SELL | 91 | 36¢ | $33 | 0x7057fa… |
| 07-30 19:28:12 | (anonymous) 0xdf0e…c02b | Yes | SELL | 96 | 40¢ | $38 | 0x7057fa… |
| 07-30 19:28:12 | Rusty-Fava 0x05ab…8145 | Yes | BUY | 211 | 38¢ | $80 | 0x7057fa… |
| 07-30 19:27:02 | Far-Flung-Warmup 0x7c11…99a1 | Yes | SELL | 39 | 33¢ | $13 | 0xf30513… |
| 07-30 19:27:02 | Minty-Scalp 0x11b9…d361 | No | SELL | 15 | 67¢ | $10 | 0xf30513… |
| 07-30 19:27:02 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | Yes | BUY | 24 | 33¢ | $8 | 0xf30513… |
| 07-30 19:26:11 | Daring-Liquor 0x33db…417a | No | SELL | 30 | 64¢ | $19 | 0x2c2737… |
| 07-30 19:26:11 | (anonymous) 0x0f57…4139 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 39¢ | $2 | 0x2c2737… |
| 07-30 19:26:11 | Far-Flung-Warmup 0x7c11…99a1 | Yes | SELL | 36 | 36¢ | $13 | 0x2c2737… |
| 07-30 19:26:03 | Daring-Liquor 0x33db…417a | No | SELL | 164 | 64¢ | $105 | 0xa7b2e2… |
| 07-30 19:26:03 | Stylish-Isolation 0x8c46…ae13 | Yes | SELL | 1,833 | 38¢ | $696 | 0xa7b2e2… |
| 07-30 19:26:03 | Rusty-Fava 0x05ab…8145 | Yes | BUY | 1,335 | 38¢ | $507 | 0xa7b2e2… |
| 07-30 19:26:03 | Far-Flung-Warmup 0x7c11…99a1 | Yes | BUY | 75 | 38¢ | $28 | 0xa7b2e2… |
| 07-30 15:11:59 | Crazy-Cranberry 0xaa81…aaf7 | Yes | SELL | 28 | 40¢ | $11 | 0x4606e6… |
| 07-30 15:11:59 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | Yes | BUY | 28 | 40¢ | $11 | 0x4606e6… |
| 07-30 15:11:03 | Blue-Bend 0x9495…468f | No | BUY | 5 | 59¢ | $3 | 0x4b3db4… |
| 07-30 15:11:03 | (anonymous) 0x0f57…4139 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 41¢ | $2 | 0x4b3db4… |
| 07-30 15:10:57 | (anonymous) 0x270b…e632 | Yes | SELL | 50 | 38¢ | $19 | 0xc25f2b… |
| 07-30 15:10:57 | Rusty-Fava 0x05ab…8145 | Yes | BUY | 50 | 38¢ | $19 | 0xc25f2b… |
| 07-30 15:10:56 | Blond-Philosophy 0x79fb…97a5 | No | SELL | 65 | 58¢ | $38 | 0x88488a… |
| 07-30 15:10:56 | Gloomy-Disgust 0xce03…5608 | No | BUY | 818 | 59¢ | $481 | 0x88488a… |
| 07-30 15:10:56 | Blue-Bend 0x9495…468f | Yes | BUY | 96 | 41¢ | $39 | 0x88488a… |
| 07-30 15:10:56 | (anonymous) 0x26e4…7d3c | No | SELL | 143 | 58¢ | $83 | 0x88488a… |
| 07-30 15:10:56 | Crazy-Cranberry 0xaa81…aaf7 | Yes | BUY | 28 | 39¢ | $11 | 0x88488a… |
| 07-30 15:10:56 | (anonymous) 0x270b…e632 | Yes | BUY | 50 | 42¢ | $21 | 0x88488a… |
| 07-30 15:10:56 | (anonymous) 0x97ba…0318 | No | SELL | 120 | 58¢ | $70 | 0x88488a… |
| 07-30 15:10:56 | (anonymous) 0xdf0e…c02b | Yes | BUY | 96 | 41¢ | $39 | 0x88488a… |
| 07-30 15:10:56 | Treasured-Total 0xeab5…f570 | Yes | BUY | 3 | 42¢ | $1 | 0x88488a… |
| 07-30 15:10:56 | Rusty-Fava 0x05ab…8145 | Yes | BUY | 115 | 38¢ | $44 | 0x88488a… |
| 07-30 15:10:56 | Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71 | Yes | BUY | 100 | 43¢ | $43 | 0x88488a… |
| 07-30 15:10:56 | (anonymous) 0x74da…9215 | No | SELL | 1 | 57¢ | $1 | 0x88488a… |
| 07-30 15:10:11 | Caring-Hiccups 0x4db7…d20e | No | SELL | 50 | 56¢ | $28 | 0x2f59a1… |
| 07-30 15:10:11 | (anonymous) 0x74da…9215 | No | SELL | 119 | 57¢ | $68 | 0x2f59a1… |
| 07-30 15:10:11 | Gloomy-Disgust 0xce03…5608 | No | BUY | 169 | 57¢ | $96 | 0x2f59a1… |
| 07-30 14:23:41 | Caring-Hiccups 0x4db7…d20e | No | SELL | 30 | 56¢ | $17 | 0x8ea3a3… |
| 07-30 14:23:41 | (anonymous) 0x270b…e632 | Yes | SELL | 30 | 44¢ | $13 | 0x8ea3a3… |
| 07-30 14:23:39 | Caring-Hiccups 0x4db7…d20e | No | SELL | 150 | 56¢ | $84 | 0x6a7acb… |
| 07-30 14:23:39 | Kaleidoscopic-Outhouse 0xe457…5ab3 | Yes | SELL | 150 | 44¢ | $66 | 0x6a7acb… |
| 07-30 14:23:38 | Fixed-Flock 0x23d7…0f30 | Yes | BUY | 900 | 45¢ | $405 | 0xc2aae7… |
| 07-30 14:23:38 | Kaleidoscopic-Outhouse 0xe457…5ab3 | Yes | BUY | 150 | 45¢ | $68 | 0xc2aae7… |
| 07-30 14:23:38 | (anonymous) 0x270b…e632 | Yes | BUY | 30 | 45¢ | $14 | 0xc2aae7… |
| 07-30 14:23:38 | Glamorous-Visor 0x7d26…a7d1 | No | BUY | 1,080 | 55¢ | $594 | 0xc2aae7… |
| 07-28 00:41:16 | Energetic-Gasp 0xcceb…f030 | Yes | SELL | 30 | 45¢ | $13 | 0x86a56b… |
| 07-28 00:41:16 | Defiant-Vision 0x5c30…9c2c | Yes | BUY | 30 | 45¢ | $13 | 0x86a56b… |
| 07-28 00:39:28 | Defiant-Vision 0x5c30…9c2c | Yes | BUY | 10 | 45¢ | $5 | 0xc11a06… |
| 07-28 00:39:28 | Mealy-Elbow 0x2a20…89d2 | Yes | SELL | 10 | 45¢ | $5 | 0xc11a06… |
| 07-28 00:39:25 | Kaleidoscopic-Outhouse 0xe457…5ab3 | Yes | SELL | 30 | 45¢ | $13 | 0xc0ea65… |
| 07-28 00:39:25 | Energetic-Gasp 0xcceb…f030 | Yes | BUY | 30 | 45¢ | $13 | 0xc0ea65… |
| 07-28 00:39:19 | Mealy-Elbow 0x2a20…89d2 | Yes | BUY | 10 | 45¢ | $5 | 0x65ff74… |
| 07-28 00:39:19 | Treasured-Total 0xeab5…f570 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 45¢ | $2 | 0x65ff74… |
| 07-28 00:39:19 | (anonymous) 0xc3fc…484a | Yes | SELL | 25 | 45¢ | $11 | 0x65ff74… |
| 07-28 00:39:16 | (anonymous) 0x270b…e632 | Yes | SELL | 30 | 46¢ | $14 | 0xf758e9… |
| 07-28 00:39:16 | Kaleidoscopic-Outhouse 0xe457…5ab3 | Yes | BUY | 25 | 46¢ | $12 | 0xf758e9… |
| 07-28 00:39:16 | (anonymous) 0xc3fc…484a | Yes | SELL | 5 | 46¢ | $2 | 0x8354c0… |
| 07-28 00:39:16 | (anonymous) 0xc3fc…484a | Yes | BUY | 5 | 46¢ | $2 | 0xf758e9… |
| 07-28 00:39:16 | Kaleidoscopic-Outhouse 0xe457…5ab3 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 46¢ | $2 | 0x8354c0… |
| 07-28 00:39:15 | (anonymous) 0xbf66…d1e7 | No | SELL | 110 | 54¢ | $59 | 0x24265a… |
| 07-28 00:39:15 | (anonymous) 0x270b…e632 | Yes | BUY | 30 | 46¢ | $14 | 0x24265a… |
| 07-28 00:39:15 | Treasured-Total 0xeab5…f570 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 46¢ | $2 | 0x24265a… |
| 07-28 00:39:15 | (anonymous) 0xc3fc…484a | Yes | BUY | 25 | 46¢ | $12 | 0x24265a… |