Predict.fun FDV above $600M one day after launch?
open
Total volume
$46,026
$7,177 in 24h
Trades
611
Unique wallets
165
Liquidity
$28,953
Latest YES mid
47¢
Latest NO mid
53¢
End date
2028-01-01
First seen
2026-05-28
last 08-22 17:20
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
YES holders
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
SMI:
-43.8¢
(top1%: 0% YES on $294
vs crowd: 44% YES on $27.3K)
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐋 Whale | 17 | $3.2K | $1.7K | +$1.5K |
| 🐬 Dolphin | 37 | $6.1K | $9.7K | $3.6K |
| 🐟 Fish | 42 | $827 | $3.5K | $2.7K |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 69 | $1.9K | $429 | +$1.4K |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🎯 Top 1% | 3 | — | $294 | $294 |
| 🏆 Top 5% | 16 | $6.6K | $1.8K | +$4.7K |
| ✅ Top 10% | 9 | $77 | $699 | $622 |
| Median | 11 | $39 | $182 | $143 |
| Below median | 23 | $950 | $1.2K | $213 |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 6 | $103 | $247 | $144 |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 10 | $30 | $56 | $25 |
| 💀 Bottom 1% | 7 | $488 | $541 | $53 |
| unranked | 80 | $3.7K | $10.3K | $6.6K |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| (anonymous) 0xc28f…ffed | No | +9,861 | $5,818 | $5,818 | 1 | 06-07 01:07 |
| Rusty-Fava 0x05ab…8145 | Yes | +6,616 | $2,484 | $2,484 | 24 | 08-04 09:48 |
| Gloomy-Disgust 0xce03…5608 | No | +4,214 | $2,615 | $2,615 | 10 | 08-03 20:13 |
| Fixed-Flock 0x23d7…0f30 | Yes | +3,523 | $1,786 | $2,283 | 14 | 08-12 10:04 |
| Thankful-Conversion 0x2f28…ba03 | Yes | +3,461 | $1,530 | $2,389 | 21 | 08-02 09:45 |
| (anonymous) 0x7be6…26a6 | Yes | +2,200 | $1,166 | $1,166 | 3 | 07-15 11:06 |
| Rusty-Fava 0x05ab…8145 | No | +1,657 | $814 | $967 | 12 | 08-17 15:55 |
| (anonymous) 0x60d1…0c8f | No | +1,503 | $811 | $811 | 8 | 08-02 09:45 |
| Original-Knee 0xb0fc…ce0b | No | +1,050 | $588 | $588 | 2 | 08-20 07:58 |
| Dirty-Birdwatcher 0xcdc0…dcd8 | No | +876 | $526 | $526 | 1 | 06-03 22:34 |
| Peaceful-Mink 0x24fe…4511 | Yes | +817 | $245 | $245 | 3 | 05-29 15:19 |
| Responsible-Remark 0x1fe4…afbb | Yes | +659 | $250 | $250 | 1 | 06-02 16:35 |
| Severe-Handgun 0xaae2…dbda | No | +501 | $281 | $281 | 4 | 07-22 02:58 |
| (anonymous) 0x89cd…4d7d | No | +500 | $285 | $285 | 2 | 07-22 02:58 |
| Sparse-Cookie 0x5a21…9318 | Yes | +493 | $237 | $237 | 1 | 06-19 05:54 |
| Helpless-Sandwich 0x6452…30a1 | No | +357 | $200 | $200 | 1 | 08-17 15:49 |
| (anonymous) 0x6d72…a399 | No | +345 | $165 | $165 | 2 | 07-11 15:59 |
| Treasured-Total 0xeab5…f570 | No | +300 | $173 | $243 | 38 | 08-22 10:21 |
| Frivolous-Conduct 0xc96b…4ddf | Yes | +259 | $94 | $94 | 4 | 06-29 00:43 |
| (anonymous) 0x204c…d655 | Yes | +217 | $100 | $100 | 1 | 08-02 21:10 |
| Treasured-Total 0xeab5…f570 | Yes | +214 | $107 | $181 | 41 | 08-22 17:20 |
| (anonymous) 0xfdb8…af02 | No | +185 | $100 | $100 | 1 | 07-28 00:39 |
| Loyal-Speakerphone 0xcd96…cbdc | Yes | +174 | $90 | $90 | 2 | 07-06 17:22 |
| (anonymous) 0xfad9…aca8 | Yes | +139 | $63 | $63 | 3 | 06-25 00:16 |
| Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | No | +107 | $58 | $58 | 3 | 08-12 10:04 |
| (anonymous) 0xf3fa…7be3 | Yes | +103 | $54 | $54 | 2 | 07-16 08:00 |
| (anonymous) 0x88a0…506f | No | +102 | $49 | $49 | 1 | 07-16 07:04 |
| Illiterate-Gang 0xab1c…35a7 | No | +100 | $67 | $67 | 4 | 06-02 12:12 |
| Daring-Liquor 0x33db…417a | No | +65 | $-12 | $553 | 7 | 07-30 19:26 |
| Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | Yes | +51 | $11 | $47 | 4 | 07-30 15:11 |
| Canine-Biplane 0x4435…786f | Yes | +50 | $21 | $21 | 2 | 07-31 13:04 |
| Canine-Biplane 0x4435…786f | No | +50 | $29 | $29 | 1 | 07-31 13:04 |
| Present-Lava 0x3e16…5026 | No | +31 | $4 | $484 | 20 | 07-21 18:56 |
| (anonymous) 0x1e30…c14d | No | +28 | $19 | $159 | 3 | 08-22 10:21 |
| (anonymous) 0x0f57…4139 | Yes | +22 | $8 | $8 | 4 | 08-03 20:13 |
| (anonymous) 0x4005…4cd5 | No | +20 | $9 | $9 | 1 | 07-10 08:21 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-22 17:20:49 | (anonymous) 0x798b…cdd1 | Yes | SELL | 0 | 44¢ | $0 | 0xae862f… |
| 08-22 17:20:49 | Treasured-Total 0xeab5…f570 | Yes | BUY | 0 | 44¢ | $0 | 0xae862f… |
| 08-22 10:21:28 | (anonymous) 0x1e30…c14d | No | BUY | 28 | 54¢ | $15 | 0xa43302… |
| 08-22 10:21:28 | Treasured-Total 0xeab5…f570 | No | BUY | 5 | 54¢ | $3 | 0xa43302… |
| 08-22 10:21:28 | (anonymous) 0x9f4f…9962 | No | SELL | 33 | 54¢ | $18 | 0xa43302… |
| 08-21 15:07:18 | Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71 | No | BUY | 10 | 55¢ | $6 | 0xbe101d… |
| 08-21 15:07:18 | Kaleidoscopic-Outhouse 0xe457…5ab3 | No | SELL | 30 | 55¢ | $16 | 0xbe101d… |
| 08-21 15:07:18 | Treasured-Total 0xeab5…f570 | No | BUY | 20 | 55¢ | $11 | 0xbe101d… |
| 08-21 15:06:46 | Kaleidoscopic-Outhouse 0xe457…5ab3 | No | BUY | 30 | 56¢ | $17 | 0x6eadaf… |
| 08-21 15:06:46 | Treasured-Total 0xeab5…f570 | No | BUY | 10 | 55¢ | $6 | 0x6eadaf… |
| 08-21 15:06:46 | Weekly-Clarification 0x54a4…f169 | No | SELL | 50 | 56¢ | $28 | 0x6eadaf… |
| 08-20 07:58:33 | (anonymous) 0xbc0b…e3a8 | No | SELL | 160 | 56¢ | $90 | 0x51b2f3… |
| 08-20 07:58:33 | Original-Knee 0xb0fc…ce0b | No | BUY | 140 | 56¢ | $79 | 0x51b2f3… |
| 08-20 07:58:33 | Treasured-Total 0xeab5…f570 | No | BUY | 10 | 56¢ | $6 | 0x51b2f3… |
| 08-20 00:25:01 | (anonymous) 0x9f4f…9962 | No | SELL | 127 | 57¢ | $72 | 0xe71e6e… |
| 08-20 00:25:01 | (anonymous) 0x1e30…c14d | Yes | SELL | 127 | 43¢ | $55 | 0xe71e6e… |
| 08-18 09:09:36 | Plump-Implementation 0x7b25…e4be | Yes | SELL | 50 | 42¢ | $21 | 0x9d8214… |
| 08-18 09:09:36 | (anonymous) 0x1e30…c14d | Yes | BUY | 50 | 42¢ | $21 | 0x9d8214… |
| 08-18 08:21:31 | (anonymous) 0x1e30…c14d | Yes | BUY | 50 | 42¢ | $21 | 0x608d78… |
| 08-18 08:21:31 | (anonymous) 0x321e…9292 | Yes | SELL | 50 | 42¢ | $21 | 0x608d78… |
| 08-18 08:21:13 | Kaleidoscopic-Outhouse 0xe457…5ab3 | Yes | SELL | 47 | 42¢ | $20 | 0x005745… |
| 08-18 08:21:13 | (anonymous) 0x1e30…c14d | Yes | BUY | 27 | 42¢ | $11 | 0x005745… |
| 08-18 08:21:13 | Treasured-Total 0xeab5…f570 | Yes | BUY | 20 | 43¢ | $9 | 0x005745… |
| 08-18 08:21:09 | Treasured-Total 0xeab5…f570 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 44¢ | $2 | 0x3dbb2d… |
| 08-18 08:21:09 | Glamorous-Visor 0x7d26…a7d1 | No | SELL | 733 | 56¢ | $410 | 0x3dbb2d… |
| 08-18 08:21:09 | Original-Knee 0xb0fc…ce0b | No | BUY | 910 | 56¢ | $510 | 0x3dbb2d… |
| 08-18 08:21:09 | (anonymous) 0x321e…9292 | Yes | BUY | 50 | 44¢ | $22 | 0x3dbb2d… |
| 08-18 08:21:09 | Kaleidoscopic-Outhouse 0xe457…5ab3 | Yes | BUY | 47 | 44¢ | $21 | 0x3dbb2d… |
| 08-18 08:21:09 | Plump-Implementation 0x7b25…e4be | Yes | BUY | 50 | 44¢ | $22 | 0x3dbb2d… |
| 08-17 15:55:27 | Awful-Inheritance 0x4e57…f99f | No | SELL | 247 | 54¢ | $134 | 0x0aa33c… |
| 08-17 15:55:27 | Rusty-Fava 0x05ab…8145 | No | BUY | 247 | 54¢ | $134 | 0x0aa33c… |
| 08-17 15:49:57 | Helpless-Sandwich 0x6452…30a1 | No | BUY | 357 | 56¢ | $200 | 0x4b9474… |
| 08-17 15:49:57 | Treasured-Total 0xeab5…f570 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 44¢ | $2 | 0x4b9474… |
| 08-17 15:49:57 | Glamorous-Visor 0x7d26…a7d1 | No | SELL | 347 | 56¢ | $194 | 0x4b9474… |
| 08-14 19:51:57 | Rusty-Fava 0x05ab…8145 | No | BUY | 37 | 54¢ | $20 | 0xa11d31… |
| 08-14 19:51:57 | (anonymous) 0x0cf6…44c1 | No | SELL | 37 | 54¢ | $20 | 0xa11d31… |
| 08-12 10:04:37 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | No | BUY | 30 | 55¢ | $16 | 0x8e1e3b… |
| 08-12 10:04:37 | (anonymous) 0x321e…9292 | No | SELL | 30 | 55¢ | $16 | 0x8e1e3b… |
| 08-12 10:04:34 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | No | BUY | 48 | 55¢ | $27 | 0x19d56b… |
| 08-12 10:04:34 | Fixed-Flock 0x23d7…0f30 | Yes | BUY | 48 | 45¢ | $22 | 0x19d56b… |
| 08-12 10:03:57 | Fixed-Flock 0x23d7…0f30 | Yes | BUY | 2 | 45¢ | $1 | 0x6183b5… |
| 08-12 10:03:57 | (anonymous) 0x0f57…4139 | No | BUY | 2 | 55¢ | $1 | 0x6183b5… |
| 08-12 10:03:54 | Rusty-Fava 0x05ab…8145 | No | BUY | 400 | 55¢ | $220 | 0x56fb38… |
| 08-12 10:03:54 | Defiant-Vision 0x5c30…9c2c | Yes | SELL | 44 | 44¢ | $20 | 0x56fb38… |
| 08-12 10:03:54 | Treasured-Total 0xeab5…f570 | No | BUY | 5 | 55¢ | $3 | 0x56fb38… |
| 08-12 10:03:54 | Fixed-Flock 0x23d7…0f30 | Yes | BUY | 519 | 45¢ | $233 | 0x56fb38… |
| 08-12 10:03:54 | (anonymous) 0x321e…9292 | No | BUY | 30 | 56¢ | $17 | 0x56fb38… |
| 08-04 09:48:06 | Treasured-Total 0xeab5…f570 | No | BUY | 30 | 60¢ | $18 | 0x9d9f7b… |
| 08-04 09:48:06 | Rusty-Fava 0x05ab…8145 | Yes | BUY | 40 | 40¢ | $16 | 0x9d9f7b… |
| 08-03 23:24:38 | Genuine-Freedom 0x0096…de43 | Yes | SELL | 200 | 36¢ | $72 | 0x6e5f0a… |
| 08-03 23:24:38 | Rusty-Fava 0x05ab…8145 | Yes | BUY | 200 | 36¢ | $72 | 0x6e5f0a… |
| 08-03 20:13:39 | Defiant-Vision 0x5c30…9c2c | Yes | SELL | 6 | 37¢ | $2 | 0x3b320a… |
| 08-03 20:13:39 | (anonymous) 0x0f57…4139 | Yes | BUY | 6 | 37¢ | $2 | 0x3b320a… |
| 08-03 20:13:36 | Gloomy-Disgust 0xce03…5608 | No | BUY | 1,026 | 64¢ | $657 | 0xb904b9… |
| 08-03 20:13:36 | Rusty-Fava 0x05ab…8145 | Yes | BUY | 1,026 | 36¢ | $369 | 0xb904b9… |
| 08-03 20:12:08 | (anonymous) 0x0f57…4139 | Yes | BUY | 6 | 36¢ | $2 | 0x04a0b5… |
| 08-03 20:12:08 | Gloomy-Disgust 0xce03…5608 | No | BUY | 6 | 64¢ | $4 | 0x04a0b5… |
| 08-03 20:12:06 | Rusty-Fava 0x05ab…8145 | Yes | BUY | 969 | 36¢ | $349 | 0x206741… |
| 08-03 20:12:06 | Gloomy-Disgust 0xce03…5608 | No | BUY | 969 | 64¢ | $620 | 0x206741… |
| 08-03 11:47:05 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | No | SELL | 30 | 61¢ | $18 | 0x7fbff1… |
| 08-03 11:47:05 | Rusty-Fava 0x05ab…8145 | Yes | BUY | 31 | 36¢ | $11 | 0x7fbff1… |
| 08-03 11:47:05 | (anonymous) 0x5a7f…6413 | Yes | BUY | 9 | 36¢ | $3 | 0x7fbff1… |
| 08-03 11:47:05 | (anonymous) 0xbc0b…e3a8 | No | BUY | 160 | 62¢ | $100 | 0x7fbff1… |
| 08-03 11:47:05 | (anonymous) 0x05f3…0868 | No | SELL | 90 | 62¢ | $56 | 0x7fbff1… |
| 08-02 23:39:03 | Treasured-Total 0xeab5…f570 | Yes | BUY | 10 | 42¢ | $4 | 0x06ab82… |
| 08-02 23:39:03 | (anonymous) 0x05f3…0868 | No | SELL | 10 | 62¢ | $6 | 0x06ab82… |
| 08-02 23:39:03 | (anonymous) 0x270b…e632 | Yes | SELL | 50 | 41¢ | $21 | 0x06ab82… |
| 08-02 23:39:02 | (anonymous) 0x270b…e632 | Yes | BUY | 50 | 44¢ | $22 | 0xb4c65d… |
| 08-02 23:39:02 | (anonymous) 0xe8c4…ea5c | No | SELL | 10 | 56¢ | $6 | 0xb4c65d… |
| 08-02 23:39:02 | Gloomy-Disgust 0xce03…5608 | No | BUY | 341 | 56¢ | $191 | 0xb4c65d… |
| 08-02 23:39:02 | Treasured-Total 0xeab5…f570 | Yes | BUY | 20 | 44¢ | $9 | 0xb4c65d… |
| 08-02 23:39:02 | (anonymous) 0xd823…12fe | No | SELL | 10 | 56¢ | $6 | 0xb4c65d… |
| 08-02 23:39:02 | (anonymous) 0xd10a…b9cd | No | SELL | 5 | 56¢ | $3 | 0xb4c65d… |
| 08-02 23:39:02 | Tangible-Fuel 0x6f67…102c | No | SELL | 182 | 56¢ | $102 | 0xb4c65d… |
| 08-02 23:39:02 | Defiant-Vision 0x5c30…9c2c | Yes | BUY | 50 | 44¢ | $22 | 0xb4c65d… |
| 08-02 23:39:02 | Arctic-Kickoff 0xa667…ceb3 | Yes | BUY | 10 | 44¢ | $4 | 0xb4c65d… |
| 08-02 23:39:02 | (anonymous) 0x00cd…c0ae | No | SELL | 5 | 56¢ | $3 | 0xb4c65d… |
| 08-02 21:10:20 | Biodegradable-Kiosk 0x6978…08d8 | No | BUY | 17 | 54¢ | $9 | 0x5b237a… |
| 08-02 21:10:20 | Dual-Invader 0x10ad…827c | Yes | SELL | 200 | 46¢ | $92 | 0x5b237a… |
| 08-02 21:10:20 | (anonymous) 0x204c…d655 | Yes | BUY | 217 | 46¢ | $100 | 0x5b237a… |
| 08-02 09:45:17 | (anonymous) 0xe8c4…ea5c | No | BUY | 10 | 55¢ | $6 | 0x851ad4… |
| 08-02 09:45:17 | (anonymous) 0x270b…e632 | No | SELL | 30 | 55¢ | $16 | 0x851ad4… |
| 08-02 09:45:17 | (anonymous) 0xd823…12fe | No | BUY | 10 | 55¢ | $6 | 0x851ad4… |
| 08-02 09:45:17 | (anonymous) 0x00cd…c0ae | No | BUY | 5 | 55¢ | $3 | 0x851ad4… |
| 08-02 09:45:17 | (anonymous) 0xd10a…b9cd | No | BUY | 5 | 55¢ | $3 | 0x851ad4… |
| 08-02 09:45:14 | Tangible-Fuel 0x6f67…102c | No | BUY | 182 | 56¢ | $102 | 0x9c1787… |
| 08-02 09:45:14 | (anonymous) 0x270b…e632 | No | BUY | 30 | 56¢ | $17 | 0x9c1787… |
| 08-02 09:45:14 | Thankful-Conversion 0x2f28…ba03 | Yes | BUY | 1,052 | 44¢ | $463 | 0x9c1787… |
| 08-02 09:45:14 | (anonymous) 0x60d1…0c8f | No | BUY | 800 | 56¢ | $448 | 0x9c1787… |
| 08-02 09:45:14 | Treasured-Total 0xeab5…f570 | No | BUY | 5 | 56¢ | $3 | 0x9c1787… |
| 08-02 02:01:00 | Thankful-Conversion 0x2f28…ba03 | Yes | BUY | 30 | 42¢ | $13 | 0xabb215… |
| 08-02 02:01:00 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | No | BUY | 30 | 58¢ | $17 | 0xabb215… |
| 08-02 02:00:50 | Thankful-Conversion 0x2f28…ba03 | Yes | BUY | 50 | 41¢ | $21 | 0xc1dca0… |
| 08-02 02:00:50 | Defiant-Vision 0x5c30…9c2c | Yes | SELL | 40 | 41¢ | $16 | 0xc1dca0… |
| 08-02 02:00:50 | Treasured-Total 0xeab5…f570 | No | BUY | 10 | 59¢ | $6 | 0xc1dca0… |
| 08-01 07:15:05 | Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71 | Yes | SELL | 80 | 43¢ | $34 | 0x3f6ffa… |
| 08-01 07:15:05 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | Yes | SELL | 30 | 40¢ | $12 | 0x3f6ffa… |
| 08-01 07:15:05 | Treasured-Total 0xeab5…f570 | No | BUY | 10 | 59¢ | $6 | 0x3f6ffa… |
| 08-01 07:15:05 | Rusty-Fava 0x05ab…8145 | No | SELL | 132 | 58¢ | $77 | 0x3f6ffa… |
| 08-01 07:15:05 | (anonymous) 0x5a7f…6413 | No | BUY | 12 | 59¢ | $7 | 0x3f6ffa… |