Thankful-Conversion — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$22.0K

Unrealized P&L

+$37.1K

Hit rate

94.8%

Resolved

Trades

1,083

lifetime

Volume

$688.3K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$636

Open exposure

$131.1K

8 positions

First seen

2026-02-28

last 10-30 11:59

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 24 days

Categories

Crypto

94% 100% +$21,231

Other

6% 89% +$770

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

47 active days in 12wk • peak 89 trades/day

Open positions (8) Resolved markets (19) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Predict.fun FDV above $1B one day after launch?	Yes	+86,863	$43,441	59¢	$51.0K	+$7,591	10-29 02:25
Predict.fun FDV above $800M one day after launch?	Yes	+44,837	$18,615	83¢	$37.2K	+$18,600	10-20 08:57
Predict.fun FDV above $500M one day after launch?	Yes	+13,886	-$3,295	92¢	$12.8K	+$16,070	10-29 13:48
Predict.fun FDV above $1.5B one day after launch?	Yes	+44,541	$11,805	24¢	$10.7K	-$1,071	10-29 17:28
Predict.fun FDV above $2B one day after launch?	Yes	+83,466	$16,668	11¢	$9.5K	-$7,194	10-30 00:27
Predict.fun FDV above $600M one day after launch?	Yes	+9,223	$3,205	92¢	$8.4K	+$5,234	10-29 03:17
Predict.fun FDV above $3B one day after launch?	Yes	+40,188	$1,841	4¢	$1.4K	-$435	10-30 12:13
Predict.fun FDV above $50M one day after launch?	No	+0	$1,682	1¢	$0	-$1,682	10-08 13:24

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Predict.fun FDV above $400M one day after launch?	41	$100.7K	57,833	57,833	+0	open	—	10-28 08:50
GRVT FDV above $200M one day after launch?	70	$68.1K	39,159	39,159	+0	Yes	+$3,111	07-31 16:02
Predict.fun FDV above $500M one day after launch?	63	$64.4K	48,904	35,017	+13,886	open	—	10-29 13:48
Predict.fun FDV above $1B one day after launch?	31	$45.8K	88,567	1,704	+86,863	open	—	10-29 02:25
GRVT FDV above $100M one day after launch?	26	$45.6K	23,621	23,621	+0	Yes	+$1,521	07-31 18:13
tea fdv above 80m one day after launch	39	$40.1K	25,671	19,731	+5,940	No	+$4,760	06-04 18:39
o1 FDV above $100M one day after launch?	16	$32.2K	17,578	17,578	+0	Yes	+$2,626	06-17 16:21
Extended FDV above $150M one day after launch?	29	$22.1K	16,401	16,401	+0	open	—	09-04 15:13
Predict.fun FDV above $800M one day after launch?	47	$18.6K	44,849	12	+44,837	open	—	10-20 08:57
Will Solstice launch a token by June 30 2026?	31	$18.5K	9,324	9,324	+0	Yes	$0	05-23 13:37
Predict.fun FDV above $600M one day after launch?	42	$18.0K	17,504	8,280	+9,223	open	—	10-29 03:17
Predict.fun FDV above $2B one day after launch?	113	$16.7K	83,466	0	+83,466	open	—	10-30 00:27
Predict.fun FDV above $300M one day after launch?	13	$16.4K	8,749	8,749	+0	open	—	10-28 08:48
squid fdv above 75m one day after launch 994	41	$14.7K	8,962	8,962	+0	Yes	+$2,612	08-05 14:51
OneFootball FDV above $20M one day after launch?	10	$13.2K	6,736	6,721	+16	Yes	+$177	04-10 15:11
Arcium FDV above $100M one day after launch?	18	$11.8K	6,443	6,443	+0	Yes	+$1,011	06-23 04:45
Predict.fun FDV above $1.5B one day after launch?	61	$11.8K	44,541	0	+44,541	open	—	10-29 17:28
Genius FDV above $80M one day after launch?	5	$11.5K	5,968	5,947	+21	Yes	+$220	04-13 15:52
Sentio FDV above $50M one day after launch?	27	$11.4K	5,972	5,972	-0	Yes	+$512	04-16 19:40
Based FDV above $50M one day after launch?	18	$11.0K	7,960	3,980	+3,980	Yes	+$804	03-30 11:03
Predict.fun FDV above $200M one day after launch?	3	$9.7K	6,030	6,030	+0	open	—	07-15 11:18
Will Concrete launch a token by December 31, 2026?	11	$9.6K	4,861	4,861	+0	Yes	+$143	09-30 10:18
Mezo FDV above $50M one day after launch?	35	$9.4K	5,547	5,547	+0	Yes	+$252	04-02 09:58
Cap FDV above $150M one day after launch?	9	$8.6K	4,662	4,662	+0	Yes	+$507	06-26 14:34
will opinion launch a token on march 5	4	$7.6K	7,887	0	+7,887	Yes	+$324	03-02 10:16
Will USD.AI launch a token on April 21?	7	$4.1K	2,093	2,088	+5	Yes	+$52	04-21 00:00
tea fdv above 40m one day after launch	21	$3.8K	2,846	2,846	-0	No	+$1,072	06-04 00:46
Concrete FDV above $50M one day after launch?	7	$3.7K	1,957	1,780	+177	Yes	+$32	10-01 05:12
Predict.fun FDV above $50M one day after launch?	54	$3.5K	26,083	26,083	+0	open	—	10-08 13:24
Citrea FDV above $100M one day after launch?	13	$3.3K	3,507	0	+3,507	Yes	+$207	05-27 00:25

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-30 12:13:24	Predict.fun FDV above $3B one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	5	3¢	$0	0x9d1406…
10-30 12:12:55	Predict.fun FDV above $3B one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	5	3¢	$0	0x506810…
10-30 11:59:25	Predict.fun FDV above $3B one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	380	3¢	$11	0x919f52…
10-30 11:57:19	Predict.fun FDV above $3B one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	2,215	3¢	$66	0xc8df8b…
10-30 03:04:19	Predict.fun FDV above $2.5B one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	140	5¢	$7	0x82c0a3…
10-30 02:04:18	Predict.fun FDV above $3B one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	506	3¢	$15	0x48fcf7…
10-30 01:51:57	Predict.fun FDV above $3B one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	454	3¢	$14	0x3e340b…
10-30 01:04:45	Predict.fun FDV above $3B one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	17	3¢	$1	0xa9a5a7…
10-30 00:40:55	Predict.fun FDV above $2.5B one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	20	5¢	$1	0x890c38…
10-30 00:27:27	Predict.fun FDV above $2B one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	27	10¢	$3	0x355c4b…
10-30 00:19:19	Predict.fun FDV above $2B one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	2,262	10¢	$226	0x8ab9eb…
10-30 00:17:28	Predict.fun FDV above $3B one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	52	3¢	$2	0x909ae5…
10-30 00:09:04	Predict.fun FDV above $3B one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	1,491	3¢	$45	0x7b15e2…
10-29 21:01:21	Predict.fun FDV above $3B one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	27	3¢	$1	0xe880f3…
10-29 21:01:13	Predict.fun FDV above $2B one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	7	10¢	$1	0x44589f…
10-29 21:01:00	Predict.fun FDV above $3B one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	28	3¢	$1	0xa189ab…
10-29 21:00:40	Predict.fun FDV above $2B one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	7	10¢	$1	0x673fb9…
10-29 21:00:30	Predict.fun FDV above $3B one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	29	3¢	$1	0x326d29…
10-29 21:00:19	Predict.fun FDV above $2B one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	7	10¢	$1	0x28dcab…
10-29 21:00:09	Predict.fun FDV above $3B one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	29	3¢	$1	0xc39a48…
10-29 20:59:54	Predict.fun FDV above $2B one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	7	10¢	$1	0xf7b899…
10-29 20:59:46	Predict.fun FDV above $3B one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	30	3¢	$1	0x62d532…
10-29 20:59:12	Predict.fun FDV above $2B one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	7	10¢	$1	0x21e11a…
10-29 20:58:58	Predict.fun FDV above $3B one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	30	3¢	$1	0x02c17d…
10-29 20:58:49	Predict.fun FDV above $2B one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	7	10¢	$1	0x1d0e18…
10-29 20:58:33	Predict.fun FDV above $3B one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	61	3¢	$2	0x2619b8…
10-29 20:58:25	Predict.fun FDV above $2B one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	9	10¢	$1	0x83e8a7…
10-29 20:57:51	Predict.fun FDV above $3B one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	30	3¢	$1	0xfae59d…
10-29 20:57:51	Predict.fun FDV above $2B one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	9	10¢	$1	0x5ff282…
10-29 20:57:43	Predict.fun FDV above $3B one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	0	3¢	$0	0x67fac8…
10-29 20:56:49	Predict.fun FDV above $2B one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	117	10¢	$12	0x0f280f…
10-29 20:56:37	Predict.fun FDV above $3B one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	313	3¢	$9	0xb398b1…
10-29 19:10:36	Predict.fun FDV above $3B one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	52	3¢	$2	0x6ef25a…
10-29 17:48:53	Predict.fun FDV above $2.5B one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	1,474	7¢	$103	0xfb3744…
10-29 17:47:55	Predict.fun FDV above $3B one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	928	3¢	$28	0x0e7d0d…
10-29 17:47:43	Predict.fun FDV above $2.5B one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	5,000	7¢	$350	0xcc7989…
10-29 17:36:04	Predict.fun FDV above $2.5B one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	492	7¢	$34	0x6c9edb…
10-29 17:36:01	Predict.fun FDV above $2B one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	150	10¢	$15	0xd5e5a3…
10-29 17:33:23	Predict.fun FDV above $2.5B one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	502	7¢	$35	0xad33e9…
10-29 17:32:28	Predict.fun FDV above $3B one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	993	3¢	$30	0xe04aba…
10-29 17:32:19	Predict.fun FDV above $2.5B one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	502	7¢	$35	0x81bf94…
10-29 17:31:35	Predict.fun FDV above $3B one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	23	3¢	$1	0x18ae1c…
10-29 17:28:50	Predict.fun FDV above $1.5B one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	3,721	20¢	$744	0x7772b8…
10-29 17:13:17	Predict.fun FDV above $1.5B one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	60	20¢	$12	0x821162…
10-29 17:13:16	Predict.fun FDV above $1.5B one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	6,219	20¢	$1,244	0xe7535b…
10-29 17:06:22	Predict.fun FDV above $3B one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	650	3¢	$20	0xe61583…
10-29 17:06:07	Predict.fun FDV above $2.5B one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	2,028	7¢	$142	0xc125ab…
10-29 17:04:46	Predict.fun FDV above $3B one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	4,532	5¢	$227	0x59ec5f…
10-29 16:12:16	Predict.fun FDV above $2B one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	10,000	13¢	$1,300	0xeecd0c…
10-29 15:17:01	Cambria FDV above $20M one day after launch?	No	SELL	75	80¢	$60	0xa7c84f…
10-29 15:16:22	Cambria FDV above $20M one day after launch?	No	SELL	55	80¢	$44	0x9aadf8…
10-29 13:48:19	Predict.fun FDV above $500M one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	4,538	97¢	$4,402	0x744cee…
10-29 13:34:40	Predict.fun FDV above $500M one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	7,053	97¢	$6,841	0x238a59…
10-29 13:31:43	Predict.fun FDV above $500M one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	6,085	97¢	$5,902	0x4b8577…
10-29 12:55:25	Predict.fun FDV above $500M one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	3,873	96¢	$3,732	0xf0df77…
10-29 12:49:44	Predict.fun FDV above $3B one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	1,300	5¢	$65	0x711bca…
10-29 12:22:38	Predict.fun FDV above $2.5B one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	300	10¢	$30	0xa4f4fe…
10-29 12:19:49	Predict.fun FDV above $2B one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	8,926	16¢	$1,428	0x48fce2…
10-29 12:17:11	Predict.fun FDV above $1.5B one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	4,000	25¢	$1,000	0x735d32…
10-29 11:48:08	Predict.fun FDV above $3B one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	50	5¢	$2	0xecfdc2…
10-29 11:43:37	Predict.fun FDV above $3B one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	2,539	5¢	$127	0xbc10b9…
10-29 11:39:52	Predict.fun FDV above $2.5B one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	4,362	10¢	$436	0xea05d3…
10-29 11:33:47	Predict.fun FDV above $2B one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	235	16¢	$38	0xcec4f2…
10-29 11:29:50	Predict.fun FDV above $3B one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	321	5¢	$16	0x9045dc…
10-29 11:29:41	Predict.fun FDV above $2.5B one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	434	10¢	$43	0x198c42…
10-29 10:48:38	Predict.fun FDV above $2.5B one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	50	10¢	$5	0x90b42b…
10-29 10:43:20	Predict.fun FDV above $2.5B one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	155	10¢	$16	0x110b32…
10-29 10:41:38	Predict.fun FDV above $2B one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	506	16¢	$81	0x29c588…
10-29 10:41:26	Predict.fun FDV above $2.5B one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	504	10¢	$50	0x4337e0…
10-29 10:38:04	Predict.fun FDV above $2B one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	117	16¢	$19	0x95cbed…
10-29 10:29:53	Predict.fun FDV above $2.5B one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	300	10¢	$30	0x1d9447…
10-29 10:29:08	Predict.fun FDV above $2B one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	188	16¢	$30	0x245bd0…
10-29 10:21:53	Predict.fun FDV above $2.5B one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	561	10¢	$56	0x08a52d…
10-29 10:12:50	Predict.fun FDV above $2B one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	27	16¢	$4	0x1a43b0…
10-29 10:08:26	Predict.fun FDV above $2B one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	461	20¢	$92	0xbb7ffd…
10-29 10:01:19	Predict.fun FDV above $500M one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	690	96¢	$664	0x50575e…
10-29 09:32:10	Predict.fun FDV above $2.5B one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	187	10¢	$19	0x3ef861…
10-29 09:12:29	Predict.fun FDV above $500M one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	2,301	97¢	$2,221	0xf00a6e…
10-29 09:12:05	Predict.fun FDV above $500M one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	2,050	97¢	$1,983	0x13626f…
10-29 09:10:41	Predict.fun FDV above $2.5B one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	454	10¢	$45	0xbed283…
10-29 09:09:32	Predict.fun FDV above $3B one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	161	5¢	$8	0xdf8cf9…
10-29 08:30:25	Predict.fun FDV above $2.5B one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	61	10¢	$6	0x1320e8…
10-29 07:54:43	Predict.fun FDV above $500M one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	1,588	97¢	$1,540	0xb3e37a…
10-29 07:02:23	Predict.fun FDV above $500M one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	1,083	96¢	$1,041	0xb63b49…
10-29 06:51:22	Predict.fun FDV above $2B one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	625	20¢	$125	0xcdae13…
10-29 05:05:02	Predict.fun FDV above $500M one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	97	96¢	$94	0x1263f5…
10-29 04:39:20	Predict.fun FDV above $500M one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	1,320	97¢	$1,277	0x9f7f23…
10-29 03:52:10	Predict.fun FDV above $3B one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	10	5¢	$0	0xb7f213…
10-29 03:51:55	Predict.fun FDV above $2.5B one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0xd3922a…
10-29 03:51:38	Predict.fun FDV above $2B one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	12	20¢	$2	0xa32a6d…
10-29 03:51:26	Predict.fun FDV above $3B one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	488	5¢	$24	0x9de116…
10-29 03:50:52	Predict.fun FDV above $3B one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	300	5¢	$15	0xc9cd7e…
10-29 03:49:16	Predict.fun FDV above $3B one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	300	5¢	$15	0x0ff165…
10-29 03:17:08	Predict.fun FDV above $600M one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	2,507	93¢	$2,333	0x40fe96…
10-29 02:59:58	Predict.fun FDV above $600M one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	4,948	93¢	$4,622	0x80fb2d…
10-29 02:57:32	Predict.fun FDV above $500M one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	4,340	95¢	$4,143	0x107a46…
10-29 02:25:28	Predict.fun FDV above $1B one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	1,704	70¢	$1,196	0x5ddea0…
10-29 02:23:10	Predict.fun FDV above $2.5B one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	1	10¢	$0	0xf39bd8…
10-29 02:22:44	Predict.fun FDV above $2B one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	12	20¢	$2	0xd0738f…
10-29 02:02:44	Predict.fun FDV above $2B one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	100	20¢	$20	0x4e5b3f…