Predict.fun FDV above $500M one day after launch?
open
Total volume
$97,345
$9,731 in 24h
Trades
932
Unique wallets
257
Liquidity
$31,250
Latest YES mid
52¢
Latest NO mid
48¢
End date
2028-01-01
First seen
2026-05-28
last 08-11 02:13
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
YES holders
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
SMI:
-40.8¢
(top1%: 20% YES on $4.0K
vs crowd: 61% YES on $47.7K)
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐋 Whale | 19 | $5.1K | $5.3K | $197 |
| 🐬 Dolphin | 48 | $19.7K | $9.2K | +$10.5K |
| 🐟 Fish | 69 | $3.1K | $2.5K | +$525 |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 121 | $1.4K | $1.4K | $14 |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🎯 Top 1% | 7 | $810 | $3.1K | $2.3K |
| 🏆 Top 5% | 22 | $19.9K | $1.0K | +$18.9K |
| ✅ Top 10% | 10 | $380 | $81 | +$299 |
| Median | 16 | $368 | $2.7K | $2.3K |
| Below median | 36 | $754 | $865 | $111 |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 12 | $251 | $523 | $272 |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 16 | $631 | $294 | +$337 |
| 💀 Bottom 1% | 4 | $238 | $71 | +$168 |
| unranked | 134 | $5.9K | $9.8K | $3.9K |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Thankful-Conversion 0x2f28…ba03 | Yes | +26,906 | $14,799 | $14,799 | 25 | 08-10 15:34 |
| (anonymous) 0xc28f…ffed | No | +11,766 | $6,118 | $6,118 | 1 | 06-07 01:06 |
| Rusty-Fava 0x05ab…8145 | Yes | +6,881 | $3,547 | $3,637 | 29 | 08-06 15:54 |
| Uncommon-Sibling 0xc040…beac | No | +4,568 | $2,081 | $2,081 | 10 | 06-30 14:00 |
| Biodegradable-Kiosk 0x6978…08d8 | No | +4,020 | $1,970 | $1,970 | 3 | 08-11 02:13 |
| Gloomy-Disgust 0xce03…5608 | No | +2,352 | $1,114 | $1,114 | 5 | 08-10 16:54 |
| Memorable-Planning 0xadec…3c7b | No | +1,533 | $818 | $818 | 3 | 06-10 14:05 |
| Adventurous-Linguist 0xc88e…f3e1 | No | +1,505 | $692 | $692 | 1 | 06-16 19:35 |
| Fixed-Flock 0x23d7…0f30 | Yes | +1,463 | $785 | $785 | 12 | 08-10 15:36 |
| Negligible-Reveal 0xd850…b459 | Yes | +1,389 | $786 | $786 | 7 | 08-10 15:36 |
| Responsible-Remark 0x1fe4…afbb | Yes | +1,094 | $543 | $543 | 1 | 06-02 16:36 |
| (anonymous) 0xe464…fc9b | No | +1,000 | $460 | $460 | 2 | 07-31 15:51 |
| Severe-Handgun 0xaae2…dbda | No | +951 | $370 | $370 | 11 | 07-11 21:53 |
| Unfolded-Parka 0xb32e…d9ce | Yes | +700 | $462 | $672 | 3 | 08-04 10:59 |
| (anonymous) 0x7be6…26a6 | Yes | +700 | $416 | $416 | 4 | 07-19 14:52 |
| (anonymous) 0x6d72…a399 | No | +567 | $220 | $220 | 2 | 07-11 15:59 |
| (anonymous) 0x89cd…4d7d | No | +501 | $247 | $247 | 3 | 07-25 17:15 |
| (anonymous) 0xde17…17c1 | Yes | +500 | $260 | $260 | 1 | 07-25 08:15 |
| Suburban-Jumbo 0xa2fc…b1b4 | Yes | +500 | $270 | $270 | 1 | 07-22 02:43 |
| Trustworthy-Pricing 0x41ac…631a | No | +450 | $208 | $208 | 1 | 06-24 03:48 |
| (anonymous) 0xf583…f3d6 | Yes | +440 | $202 | $202 | 3 | 06-09 21:46 |
| (anonymous) 0xfdb8…af02 | No | +416 | $203 | $203 | 1 | 07-28 00:38 |
| Treasured-Total 0xeab5…f570 | Yes | +325 | $173 | $322 | 57 | 08-10 15:36 |
| (anonymous) 0x7109…9308 | Yes | +300 | $186 | $186 | 1 | 07-10 15:09 |
| Incredible-Pickup 0xd18d…e7b4 | No | +300 | $150 | $150 | 1 | 07-25 21:42 |
| Daring-Liquor 0x33db…417a | No | +300 | $156 | $156 | 5 | 06-10 14:05 |
| Treasured-Total 0xeab5…f570 | No | +262 | $119 | $251 | 61 | 08-10 16:54 |
| (anonymous) 0x3157…7ebd | No | +252 | $95 | $95 | 1 | 07-02 14:05 |
| (anonymous) 0xb263…6484 | No | +236 | $104 | $104 | 5 | 07-03 15:57 |
| (anonymous) 0xf3fa…7be3 | Yes | +229 | $122 | $122 | 3 | 07-25 04:35 |
| (anonymous) 0x197f…4980 | No | +204 | $100 | $100 | 1 | 07-31 12:27 |
| Strong-Departure 0x2721…325b | No | +203 | $104 | $104 | 1 | 06-10 22:14 |
| Happy-Spray 0x5d5f…e612 | Yes | +200 | $104 | $104 | 2 | 06-16 09:08 |
| Gleaming-Fraud 0x2217…1660 | Yes | +200 | $95 | $95 | 1 | 06-02 11:46 |
| (anonymous) 0xc5a4…8044 | Yes | +200 | $108 | $108 | 1 | 07-31 18:56 |
| (anonymous) 0x204c…d655 | Yes | +196 | $100 | $100 | 1 | 08-02 21:11 |
| (anonymous) 0x59a0…6f0b | No | +191 | $94 | $94 | 1 | 07-23 17:55 |
| (anonymous) 0x1874…594f | No | +150 | $57 | $57 | 1 | 07-10 06:07 |
| (anonymous) 0xc073…d31f | Yes | +149 | $73 | $73 | 7 | 06-08 08:16 |
| Young-Rowboat 0x3334…67db | Yes | +149 | $92 | $92 | 1 | 07-11 02:21 |
| Bustling-Stock 0x8409…753d | Yes | +145 | $87 | $87 | 2 | 06-30 09:54 |
| Willing-Tragedy 0x231b…73df | Yes | +145 | $83 | $83 | 4 | 06-28 21:16 |
| Jagged-Wage 0x6053…790c | Yes | +113 | $56 | $56 | 1 | 06-11 13:37 |
| (anonymous) 0xffd3…d7eb | No | +100 | $49 | $49 | 1 | 07-31 12:27 |
| (anonymous) 0x9187…abb5 | No | +100 | $53 | $53 | 1 | 06-01 14:00 |
| Weekly-Clarification 0x54a4…f169 | No | +100 | $49 | $49 | 2 | 06-03 22:36 |
| Pretty-Saxophone 0xe7fe…24e5 | Yes | +95 | $37 | $287 | 5 | 07-16 12:34 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-11 02:13:09 | Biodegradable-Kiosk 0x6978…08d8 | No | BUY | 20 | 49¢ | $10 | 0x94b26f… |
| 08-11 02:13:09 | (anonymous) 0x48ce…6a24 | Yes | BUY | 20 | 51¢ | $10 | 0x94b26f… |
| 08-10 16:54:45 | Gloomy-Disgust 0xce03…5608 | No | BUY | 50 | 48¢ | $24 | 0x553723… |
| 08-10 16:54:45 | (anonymous) 0x321e…9292 | No | SELL | 50 | 48¢ | $24 | 0x553723… |
| 08-10 16:54:43 | Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71 | No | BUY | 50 | 49¢ | $25 | 0x531a0e… |
| 08-10 16:54:43 | (anonymous) 0x321e…9292 | No | BUY | 50 | 49¢ | $24 | 0x531a0e… |
| 08-10 16:54:43 | Treasured-Total 0xeab5…f570 | No | BUY | 10 | 49¢ | $5 | 0x531a0e… |
| 08-10 16:54:43 | Gloomy-Disgust 0xce03…5608 | No | BUY | 1,152 | 48¢ | $553 | 0x531a0e… |
| 08-10 16:54:43 | Oddball-Poison 0x2b9d…95f4 | Yes | SELL | 58 | 51¢ | $30 | 0x531a0e… |
| 08-10 16:54:43 | Candid-Lighting 0xa3e9…63d0 | No | SELL | 1,330 | 48¢ | $640 | 0x531a0e… |
| 08-10 15:36:58 | (anonymous) 0x798b…cdd1 | Yes | SELL | 850 | 50¢ | $425 | 0xa589a5… |
| 08-10 15:36:58 | Treasured-Total 0xeab5…f570 | Yes | BUY | 50 | 50¢ | $25 | 0xa589a5… |
| 08-10 15:36:58 | Fixed-Flock 0x23d7…0f30 | Yes | BUY | 114 | 50¢ | $57 | 0xa589a5… |
| 08-10 15:36:58 | Negligible-Reveal 0xd850…b459 | Yes | BUY | 176 | 50¢ | $88 | 0xa589a5… |
| 08-10 15:34:34 | (anonymous) 0x798b…cdd1 | Yes | SELL | 1,600 | 50¢ | $800 | 0x940cd4… |
| 08-10 15:34:34 | Thankful-Conversion 0x2f28…ba03 | Yes | BUY | 1,214 | 50¢ | $607 | 0x940cd4… |
| 08-10 15:34:34 | Fixed-Flock 0x23d7…0f30 | Yes | BUY | 386 | 50¢ | $193 | 0x940cd4… |
| 08-10 15:33:28 | Thankful-Conversion 0x2f28…ba03 | Yes | BUY | 2,000 | 50¢ | $1,000 | 0xbfda17… |
| 08-10 15:33:28 | (anonymous) 0x798b…cdd1 | Yes | SELL | 2,000 | 50¢ | $1,000 | 0xbfda17… |
| 08-06 16:11:36 | Thankful-Conversion 0x2f28…ba03 | Yes | BUY | 4 | 50¢ | $2 | 0x920424… |
| 08-06 16:11:36 | (anonymous) 0x03c0…dee0 | Yes | SELL | 4 | 50¢ | $2 | 0x920424… |
| 08-06 15:54:38 | (anonymous) 0x0f57…4139 | Yes | SELL | 0 | 50¢ | $0 | 0x1c12a7… |
| 08-06 15:54:38 | Thankful-Conversion 0x2f28…ba03 | Yes | BUY | 0 | 50¢ | $0 | 0x1c12a7… |
| 08-06 15:54:36 | Rusty-Fava 0x05ab…8145 | Yes | SELL | 8 | 51¢ | $4 | 0xf84cbc… |
| 08-06 15:54:36 | (anonymous) 0xa1ed…0159 | Yes | BUY | 8 | 51¢ | $4 | 0xf84cbc… |
| 08-06 13:52:36 | (anonymous) 0x0cf6…44c1 | Yes | SELL | 8 | 50¢ | $4 | 0x99302a… |
| 08-06 13:52:36 | Thankful-Conversion 0x2f28…ba03 | Yes | BUY | 8 | 50¢ | $4 | 0x99302a… |
| 08-06 13:52:29 | Rusty-Fava 0x05ab…8145 | Yes | SELL | 4 | 51¢ | $2 | 0x337a5a… |
| 08-06 13:52:29 | (anonymous) 0x03c0…dee0 | Yes | BUY | 4 | 51¢ | $2 | 0x337a5a… |
| 08-05 11:18:42 | (anonymous) 0x3463…cde3 | No | SELL | 192 | 48¢ | $92 | 0x0ef7d3… |
| 08-05 11:18:42 | (anonymous) 0x2c9f…f8d7 | No | BUY | 5 | 49¢ | $2 | 0x0ef7d3… |
| 08-05 11:18:42 | Dual-Invader 0x10ad…827c | Yes | SELL | 57 | 52¢ | $30 | 0x0ef7d3… |
| 08-05 11:18:42 | (anonymous) 0xd10a…b9cd | Yes | SELL | 5 | 51¢ | $3 | 0x0ef7d3… |
| 08-05 11:18:42 | Gloomy-Disgust 0xce03…5608 | No | BUY | 125 | 48¢ | $60 | 0x0ef7d3… |
| 08-04 10:59:50 | Unfolded-Parka 0xb32e…d9ce | Yes | SELL | 150 | 50¢ | $75 | 0xd4e072… |
| 08-04 10:59:50 | Thankful-Conversion 0x2f28…ba03 | Yes | BUY | 150 | 50¢ | $75 | 0xd4e072… |
| 08-03 23:24:23 | Thankful-Conversion 0x2f28…ba03 | Yes | BUY | 60 | 50¢ | $30 | 0x932bf1… |
| 08-03 23:24:23 | Genuine-Freedom 0x0096…de43 | Yes | SELL | 60 | 50¢ | $30 | 0x932bf1… |
| 08-03 17:23:41 | Thankful-Conversion 0x2f28…ba03 | Yes | BUY | 19 | 50¢ | $9 | 0xd03aca… |
| 08-03 17:23:41 | (anonymous) 0x3217…7f16 | Yes | SELL | 19 | 50¢ | $9 | 0xd03aca… |
| 08-02 21:11:08 | Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71 | Yes | SELL | 45 | 51¢ | $23 | 0x037e88… |
| 08-02 21:11:08 | (anonymous) 0x204c…d655 | Yes | BUY | 196 | 51¢ | $100 | 0x037e88… |
| 08-02 21:11:08 | Oddball-Poison 0x2b9d…95f4 | Yes | SELL | 151 | 51¢ | $77 | 0x037e88… |
| 08-02 17:21:57 | Inconsequential-Platinum 0x5c0a…a2c3 | Yes | SELL | 100 | 51¢ | $51 | 0xe30669… |
| 08-02 17:21:57 | (anonymous) 0xdb04…4468 | No | SELL | 155 | 49¢ | $76 | 0xe30669… |
| 08-02 17:21:57 | Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71 | Yes | SELL | 55 | 51¢ | $28 | 0xe30669… |
| 08-01 13:05:02 | Unwritten-Ordination 0x7428…1d56 | Yes | SELL | 108 | 50¢ | $54 | 0x38c88d… |
| 08-01 13:05:02 | Thankful-Conversion 0x2f28…ba03 | Yes | BUY | 108 | 50¢ | $54 | 0x38c88d… |
| 08-01 12:56:18 | Thankful-Conversion 0x2f28…ba03 | Yes | BUY | 200 | 50¢ | $100 | 0x2fc49c… |
| 08-01 12:56:18 | (anonymous) 0xac1a…96b7 | Yes | SELL | 200 | 50¢ | $100 | 0x2fc49c… |
| 08-01 12:49:54 | Thankful-Conversion 0x2f28…ba03 | Yes | BUY | 100 | 50¢ | $50 | 0xef443c… |
| 08-01 12:49:54 | (anonymous) 0xc3fc…484a | Yes | SELL | 100 | 50¢ | $50 | 0xef443c… |
| 08-01 12:49:53 | (anonymous) 0x270b…e632 | Yes | SELL | 50 | 50¢ | $25 | 0x483fd3… |
| 08-01 12:49:53 | Thankful-Conversion 0x2f28…ba03 | Yes | BUY | 50 | 50¢ | $25 | 0x483fd3… |
| 08-01 12:49:51 | (anonymous) 0xc3fc…484a | Yes | BUY | 100 | 52¢ | $52 | 0x3398f2… |
| 08-01 12:49:51 | (anonymous) 0x270b…e632 | Yes | BUY | 50 | 52¢ | $26 | 0x3398f2… |
| 08-01 12:49:51 | Unwritten-Ordination 0x7428…1d56 | Yes | BUY | 108 | 51¢ | $55 | 0x3398f2… |
| 08-01 12:49:51 | Thankful-Conversion 0x2f28…ba03 | Yes | BUY | 1,089 | 50¢ | $544 | 0x3398f2… |
| 08-01 12:49:51 | Inconsequential-Platinum 0x5c0a…a2c3 | Yes | BUY | 100 | 51¢ | $51 | 0x3398f2… |
| 08-01 12:49:51 | Stylish-Isolation 0x8c46…ae13 | Yes | SELL | 3,778 | 51¢ | $1,935 | 0x3398f2… |
| 08-01 12:49:51 | (anonymous) 0xb893…35d6 | No | SELL | 1,816 | 48¢ | $872 | 0x3398f2… |
| 08-01 12:49:51 | Caring-Hiccups 0x4db7…d20e | No | SELL | 134 | 50¢ | $67 | 0x3398f2… |
| 08-01 12:49:51 | Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71 | Yes | BUY | 100 | 51¢ | $51 | 0x3398f2… |
| 08-01 12:49:51 | (anonymous) 0xac1a…96b7 | Yes | BUY | 200 | 51¢ | $102 | 0x3398f2… |
| 08-01 12:49:51 | Treasured-Total 0xeab5…f570 | Yes | BUY | 30 | 51¢ | $15 | 0x3398f2… |
| 08-01 06:14:27 | (anonymous) 0xb893…35d6 | No | SELL | 1 | 48¢ | $0 | 0x6df80a… |
| 08-01 06:14:27 | Handmade-Retrospect 0x0b42…9fc4 | Yes | SELL | 1 | 52¢ | $0 | 0x6df80a… |
| 07-31 22:18:32 | Hungry-Wiseguy 0x20e0…3a5f | Yes | SELL | 19 | 52¢ | $10 | 0x24e7a9… |
| 07-31 22:18:32 | (anonymous) 0xb893…35d6 | No | SELL | 19 | 48¢ | $9 | 0x24e7a9… |
| 07-31 22:10:41 | Arctic-Kickoff 0xa667…ceb3 | No | BUY | 32 | 48¢ | $15 | 0x9cf101… |
| 07-31 22:10:41 | (anonymous) 0xb893…35d6 | No | SELL | 32 | 48¢ | $15 | 0x9cf101… |
| 07-31 22:09:27 | Arctic-Kickoff 0xa667…ceb3 | Yes | SELL | 31 | 52¢ | $16 | 0x36a397… |
| 07-31 22:09:27 | (anonymous) 0xb893…35d6 | No | SELL | 31 | 48¢ | $15 | 0x36a397… |
| 07-31 19:23:56 | Unwritten-Ordination 0x7428…1d56 | Yes | SELL | 101 | 52¢ | $52 | 0x784fb7… |
| 07-31 19:23:56 | (anonymous) 0xb893…35d6 | No | SELL | 101 | 48¢ | $48 | 0x784fb7… |
| 07-31 18:56:47 | Gloomy-Disgust 0xce03…5608 | No | BUY | 830 | 46¢ | $382 | 0x773d4b… |
| 07-31 18:56:47 | Treasured-Total 0xeab5…f570 | Yes | BUY | 20 | 54¢ | $11 | 0x773d4b… |
| 07-31 18:56:47 | (anonymous) 0xc5a4…8044 | Yes | BUY | 200 | 54¢ | $108 | 0x773d4b… |
| 07-31 18:56:47 | Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71 | No | SELL | 100 | 46¢ | $46 | 0x773d4b… |
| 07-31 18:56:47 | Oddball-Poison 0x2b9d…95f4 | Yes | BUY | 209 | 54¢ | $113 | 0x773d4b… |
| 07-31 18:56:47 | Unwritten-Ordination 0x7428…1d56 | Yes | BUY | 101 | 54¢ | $54 | 0x773d4b… |
| 07-31 18:56:47 | Thankful-Conversion 0x2f28…ba03 | Yes | BUY | 150 | 54¢ | $81 | 0x773d4b… |
| 07-31 18:56:47 | Square-Ore 0x7d58…462d | No | SELL | 50 | 46¢ | $23 | 0x773d4b… |
| 07-31 15:51:29 | Square-Ore 0x7d58…462d | No | BUY | 50 | 46¢ | $23 | 0x874083… |
| 07-31 15:51:29 | (anonymous) 0xe464…fc9b | No | BUY | 850 | 46¢ | $391 | 0x874083… |
| 07-31 15:51:29 | Thankful-Conversion 0x2f28…ba03 | Yes | BUY | 1,030 | 54¢ | $556 | 0x874083… |
| 07-31 15:51:29 | (anonymous) 0x5a7f…6413 | No | BUY | 30 | 46¢ | $14 | 0x874083… |
| 07-31 15:51:29 | Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71 | No | BUY | 100 | 46¢ | $46 | 0x874083… |
| 07-31 15:51:26 | Kaleidoscopic-Outhouse 0xe457…5ab3 | No | SELL | 150 | 46¢ | $69 | 0x990ca3… |
| 07-31 15:51:26 | (anonymous) 0xe464…fc9b | No | BUY | 150 | 46¢ | $69 | 0x990ca3… |
| 07-31 15:51:18 | Kaleidoscopic-Outhouse 0xe457…5ab3 | No | BUY | 150 | 47¢ | $70 | 0x51c00f… |
| 07-31 15:51:18 | Thankful-Conversion 0x2f28…ba03 | Yes | BUY | 2,150 | 53¢ | $1,140 | 0x51c00f… |
| 07-31 15:51:18 | (anonymous) 0xb893…35d6 | No | BUY | 2,000 | 47¢ | $940 | 0x51c00f… |
| 07-31 13:30:24 | (anonymous) 0x79b6…2026 | Yes | SELL | 1,485 | 53¢ | $787 | 0x850058… |
| 07-31 13:30:24 | Thankful-Conversion 0x2f28…ba03 | Yes | BUY | 1,530 | 53¢ | $811 | 0x850058… |
| 07-31 13:30:24 | Treasured-Total 0xeab5…f570 | No | BUY | 45 | 47¢ | $21 | 0x850058… |
| 07-31 12:45:48 | Treasured-Total 0xeab5…f570 | No | BUY | 30 | 48¢ | $14 | 0x1681fc… |
| 07-31 12:45:48 | Joyous-Surface 0x3237…5658 | No | SELL | 30 | 48¢ | $14 | 0x1681fc… |
| 07-31 12:28:08 | (anonymous) 0xc3fc…484a | No | SELL | 400 | 48¢ | $192 | 0xcea59c… |
| 07-31 12:28:08 | Dual-Invader 0x10ad…827c | Yes | SELL | 400 | 52¢ | $208 | 0xcea59c… |