Predict.fun FDV above $500M one day after launch?
open
Total volume
$48,367
$9,731 in 24h
Trades
478
Unique wallets
144
Liquidity
$31,250
Latest YES mid
62¢
Latest NO mid
38¢
End date
2028-01-01
First seen
2026-05-28
last 06-30 14:00
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
YES holders
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
SMI:
-26.6¢
(top1%: 22% YES on $3.7K
vs crowd: 48% YES on $22.3K)
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐋 Whale | 9 | $2.4K | $2.8K | $448 |
| 🐬 Dolphin | 26 | $6.5K | $1.1K | +$5.4K |
| 🐟 Fish | 44 | $1.3K | $7.2K | $5.9K |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 65 | $558 | $336 | +$222 |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🎯 Top 1% | 7 | $810 | $2.9K | $2.1K |
| 🏆 Top 5% | 16 | $5.8K | $905 | +$4.9K |
| ✅ Top 10% | 7 | $88 | $58 | +$29 |
| Median | 8 | $266 | $20 | +$246 |
| Below median | 23 | $171 | $387 | $216 |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 7 | $251 | $467 | $216 |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 9 | $540 | $25 | +$514 |
| 💀 Bottom 1% | 1 | — | $104 | $104 |
| unranked | 66 | $2.8K | $6.6K | $3.8K |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| (anonymous) 0xc28f…ffed | No | +11,766 | $6,118 | $6,118 | 1 | 06-07 01:06 |
| Thankful-Conversion 0x2f28…ba03 | Yes | +5,044 | $3,119 | $3,119 | 3 | 06-30 10:57 |
| Uncommon-Sibling 0xc040…beac | No | +4,568 | $2,081 | $2,081 | 10 | 06-30 14:00 |
| Rusty-Fava 0x05ab…8145 | Yes | +4,554 | $2,284 | $2,363 | 19 | 06-30 14:00 |
| Vain-Vegetarian 0xdc76…7842 | Yes | +3,530 | $1,550 | $1,550 | 4 | 06-01 14:00 |
| Memorable-Planning 0xadec…3c7b | No | +1,533 | $818 | $818 | 3 | 06-10 14:05 |
| Adventurous-Linguist 0xc88e…f3e1 | No | +1,505 | $692 | $692 | 1 | 06-16 19:35 |
| Obvious-Dwelling 0x8188…0667 | Yes | +1,146 | $535 | $535 | 3 | 06-09 21:46 |
| Responsible-Remark 0x1fe4…afbb | Yes | +1,094 | $543 | $543 | 1 | 06-02 16:36 |
| Present-Lava 0x3e16…5026 | No | +500 | $202 | $626 | 38 | 06-30 10:57 |
| Fixed-Flock 0x23d7…0f30 | Yes | +479 | $240 | $240 | 7 | 06-06 09:46 |
| Trustworthy-Pricing 0x41ac…631a | No | +450 | $208 | $208 | 1 | 06-24 03:48 |
| (anonymous) 0xf583…f3d6 | Yes | +440 | $202 | $202 | 3 | 06-09 21:46 |
| Pretty-Saxophone 0xe7fe…24e5 | Yes | +300 | $162 | $162 | 2 | 06-24 03:48 |
| Daring-Liquor 0x33db…417a | No | +300 | $156 | $156 | 5 | 06-10 14:05 |
| Caring-Hiccups 0x4db7…d20e | No | +250 | $137 | $137 | 2 | 06-01 14:00 |
| Strong-Departure 0x2721…325b | No | +203 | $104 | $104 | 1 | 06-10 22:14 |
| (anonymous) 0xb263…6484 | No | +200 | $91 | $91 | 4 | 06-30 11:00 |
| Gleaming-Fraud 0x2217…1660 | Yes | +200 | $95 | $95 | 1 | 06-02 11:46 |
| Happy-Spray 0x5d5f…e612 | Yes | +200 | $104 | $104 | 2 | 06-16 09:08 |
| Severe-Handgun 0xaae2…dbda | No | +151 | $66 | $66 | 7 | 06-23 02:57 |
| (anonymous) 0xc073…d31f | Yes | +149 | $73 | $73 | 7 | 06-08 08:16 |
| Bustling-Stock 0x8409…753d | Yes | +145 | $87 | $87 | 2 | 06-30 09:54 |
| Willing-Tragedy 0x231b…73df | Yes | +145 | $83 | $83 | 4 | 06-28 21:16 |
| Dual-Invader 0x10ad…827c | Yes | +137 | $63 | $63 | 2 | 06-15 21:02 |
| Jagged-Wage 0x6053…790c | Yes | +113 | $56 | $56 | 1 | 06-11 13:37 |
| Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | Yes | +110 | $58 | $65 | 5 | 06-30 14:00 |
| (anonymous) 0x9187…abb5 | No | +100 | $53 | $53 | 1 | 06-01 14:00 |
| (anonymous) 0x8af6…bb84 | No | +100 | $51 | $51 | 1 | 06-02 18:08 |
| Weekly-Clarification 0x54a4…f169 | No | +100 | $49 | $49 | 2 | 06-03 22:36 |
| Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | No | +80 | $42 | $42 | 1 | 06-02 11:46 |
| (anonymous) 0x65af…4ee6 | Yes | +61 | $30 | $30 | 1 | 06-03 03:01 |
| (anonymous) 0x49ff…17ae | No | +60 | $29 | $29 | 1 | 06-18 02:26 |
| (anonymous) 0x11f8…1c4e | Yes | +59 | $36 | $36 | 1 | 06-30 14:00 |
| Frivolous-Conduct 0xc96b…4ddf | Yes | +44 | $20 | $20 | 4 | 06-09 04:32 |
| (anonymous) 0xfad9…aca8 | Yes | +42 | $20 | $20 | 1 | 06-07 01:06 |
| Rusty-Fava 0x05ab…8145 | No | +30 | $14 | $14 | 1 | 06-15 20:13 |
| (anonymous) 0xf0cf…4b66 | Yes | +27 | $19 | $231 | 4 | 06-26 08:11 |
| Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | Yes | +26 | $16 | $16 | 1 | 06-30 14:00 |
| (anonymous) 0x8332…b8a5 | Yes | +25 | $12 | $12 | 2 | 06-15 08:05 |
| Stale-Subsidy 0xb046…d3d1 | Yes | +20 | $10 | $10 | 1 | 06-06 12:25 |
| Abandoned-Skeleton 0x433a…38e5 | Yes | +20 | $10 | $10 | 1 | 06-03 15:28 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06-30 14:00:50 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | Yes | BUY | 26 | 61¢ | $16 | 0x9773ac… |
| 06-30 14:00:50 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | Yes | BUY | 54 | 61¢ | $33 | 0x9773ac… |
| 06-30 14:00:50 | Wilted-Hurdle 0xb31b…b140 | Yes | SELL | 80 | 61¢ | $49 | 0x9773ac… |
| 06-30 14:00:47 | Treasured-Total 0xeab5…f570 | No | SELL | 5 | 37¢ | $2 | 0xe87876… |
| 06-30 14:00:47 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | No | SELL | 55 | 37¢ | $20 | 0xe87876… |
| 06-30 14:00:47 | Treasured-Total 0xeab5…f570 | Yes | BUY | 15 | 62¢ | $9 | 0xe87876… |
| 06-30 14:00:47 | Rusty-Fava 0x05ab…8145 | Yes | BUY | 1,000 | 61¢ | $610 | 0xe87876… |
| 06-30 14:00:47 | Uncommon-Sibling 0xc040…beac | No | BUY | 1,214 | 39¢ | $472 | 0xe87876… |
| 06-30 14:00:47 | Wilted-Hurdle 0xb31b…b140 | Yes | BUY | 80 | 61¢ | $49 | 0xe87876… |
| 06-30 14:00:47 | (anonymous) 0x11f8…1c4e | Yes | BUY | 59 | 61¢ | $36 | 0xe87876… |
| 06-30 11:57:26 | (anonymous) 0x5f9a…b549 | No | SELL | 55 | 36¢ | $20 | 0xf0970c… |
| 06-30 11:57:26 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | No | BUY | 55 | 36¢ | $20 | 0xf0970c… |
| 06-30 11:00:37 | Defenseless-Placement 0x275c…6090 | No | SELL | 70 | 35¢ | $24 | 0x82175d… |
| 06-30 11:00:37 | (anonymous) 0xb263…6484 | No | BUY | 70 | 35¢ | $24 | 0x82175d… |
| 06-30 10:57:31 | (anonymous) 0x79b6…2026 | Yes | SELL | 4,000 | 63¢ | $2,520 | 0x86e318… |
| 06-30 10:57:31 | Thankful-Conversion 0x2f28…ba03 | Yes | BUY | 4,070 | 63¢ | $2,563 | 0x86e318… |
| 06-30 10:57:31 | Present-Lava 0x3e16…5026 | No | BUY | 70 | 38¢ | $27 | 0x86e318… |
| 06-30 10:56:59 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | Yes | SELL | 6 | 60¢ | $4 | 0x23eada… |
| 06-30 10:56:59 | Thankful-Conversion 0x2f28…ba03 | Yes | BUY | 6 | 60¢ | $4 | 0x23eada… |
| 06-30 09:54:23 | Present-Lava 0x3e16…5026 | No | BUY | 30 | 38¢ | $11 | 0x205214… |
| 06-30 09:54:23 | Kaleidoscopic-Outhouse 0xe457…5ab3 | No | SELL | 30 | 38¢ | $11 | 0x205214… |
| 06-30 09:54:17 | Kaleidoscopic-Outhouse 0xe457…5ab3 | No | BUY | 30 | 40¢ | $12 | 0xbc49d9… |
| 06-30 09:54:17 | Present-Lava 0x3e16…5026 | No | BUY | 100 | 40¢ | $40 | 0xbc49d9… |
| 06-30 09:54:17 | Bustling-Stock 0x8409…753d | Yes | BUY | 130 | 60¢ | $78 | 0xbc49d9… |
| 06-30 06:59:58 | Treasured-Total 0xeab5…f570 | Yes | SELL | 10 | 59¢ | $6 | 0x3b28d0… |
| 06-30 06:59:58 | Bustling-Stock 0x8409…753d | Yes | BUY | 15 | 59¢ | $9 | 0x3b28d0… |
| 06-30 06:59:58 | Treasured-Total 0xeab5…f570 | No | BUY | 5 | 41¢ | $2 | 0x3b28d0… |
| 06-28 21:16:13 | Willing-Tragedy 0x231b…73df | Yes | BUY | 30 | 57¢ | $17 | 0x49da46… |
| 06-28 21:16:13 | (anonymous) 0x1724…881a | Yes | SELL | 1,096 | 57¢ | $625 | 0x49da46… |
| 06-28 21:16:13 | Treasured-Total 0xeab5…f570 | Yes | BUY | 15 | 57¢ | $9 | 0x49da46… |
| 06-28 21:16:13 | Thankful-Conversion 0x2f28…ba03 | Yes | BUY | 968 | 57¢ | $552 | 0x49da46… |
| 06-27 22:49:26 | Willing-Tragedy 0x231b…73df | Yes | BUY | 17 | 57¢ | $9 | 0x76d402… |
| 06-27 22:49:26 | Kooky-Gnu 0xc412…2ea0 | Yes | SELL | 17 | 57¢ | $9 | 0x76d402… |
| 06-27 08:19:37 | Ashamed-Wok 0x4916…f56f | Yes | SELL | 6 | 57¢ | $4 | 0x16ae3d… |
| 06-27 08:19:37 | Willing-Tragedy 0x231b…73df | Yes | BUY | 15 | 57¢ | $9 | 0x16ae3d… |
| 06-27 08:19:37 | Treasured-Total 0xeab5…f570 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 57¢ | $3 | 0x16ae3d… |
| 06-26 08:11:25 | (anonymous) 0xf0cf…4b66 | Yes | BUY | 27 | 55¢ | $15 | 0x3853a9… |
| 06-26 08:11:25 | (anonymous) 0x4ee8…055f | Yes | SELL | 17 | 55¢ | $9 | 0x3853a9… |
| 06-26 08:11:25 | Treasured-Total 0xeab5…f570 | Yes | SELL | 10 | 55¢ | $6 | 0x3853a9… |
| 06-25 20:42:46 | (anonymous) 0xbd20…d9ea | Yes | SELL | 82 | 53¢ | $43 | 0x405b5b… |
| 06-25 20:42:46 | (anonymous) 0x335d…8f03 | No | SELL | 82 | 47¢ | $38 | 0x405b5b… |
| 06-25 19:19:02 | (anonymous) 0x4ee8…055f | Yes | SELL | 10 | 55¢ | $6 | 0xa0067e… |
| 06-25 19:19:02 | Popular-Middleman 0x31c4…622f | No | SELL | 10 | 45¢ | $5 | 0xa0067e… |
| 06-25 08:03:46 | Vengeful-Rhythm 0x8a2e…d3ca | Yes | SELL | 3 | 53¢ | $2 | 0x80c958… |
| 06-25 08:03:46 | (anonymous) 0x335d…8f03 | No | SELL | 3 | 47¢ | $1 | 0x80c958… |
| 06-24 21:10:40 | (anonymous) 0x4ee8…055f | Yes | SELL | 3 | 55¢ | $2 | 0x8f273c… |
| 06-24 21:10:40 | Vengeful-Rhythm 0x8a2e…d3ca | Yes | BUY | 3 | 55¢ | $2 | 0x8f273c… |
| 06-24 11:45:40 | (anonymous) 0x335d…8f03 | No | SELL | 200 | 47¢ | $94 | 0xe8b498… |
| 06-24 11:45:40 | (anonymous) 0xf0cf…4b66 | Yes | SELL | 200 | 53¢ | $106 | 0xe8b498… |
| 06-24 03:48:46 | (anonymous) 0x335d…8f03 | No | SELL | 140 | 47¢ | $66 | 0xce35a8… |
| 06-24 03:48:46 | Pretty-Saxophone 0xe7fe…24e5 | Yes | BUY | 100 | 54¢ | $54 | 0xce35a8… |
| 06-24 03:48:46 | Trustworthy-Pricing 0x41ac…631a | No | BUY | 450 | 46¢ | $208 | 0xce35a8… |
| 06-24 03:48:46 | Treasured-Total 0xeab5…f570 | Yes | BUY | 10 | 54¢ | $5 | 0xce35a8… |
| 06-23 12:30:29 | (anonymous) 0x335d…8f03 | No | SELL | 6 | 47¢ | $3 | 0x3783f5… |
| 06-23 12:30:29 | (anonymous) 0xdd6d…11c6 | No | BUY | 6 | 47¢ | $3 | 0x3783f5… |
| 06-23 07:34:56 | (anonymous) 0x335d…8f03 | No | SELL | 2 | 47¢ | $1 | 0x202c58… |
| 06-23 07:34:56 | Vengeful-Rhythm 0x8a2e…d3ca | Yes | SELL | 2 | 53¢ | $1 | 0x202c58… |
| 06-23 02:57:14 | Present-Lava 0x3e16…5026 | No | BUY | 71 | 45¢ | $32 | 0x5586fb… |
| 06-23 02:57:14 | Severe-Handgun 0xaae2…dbda | No | BUY | 61 | 44¢ | $27 | 0x5586fb… |
| 06-23 02:57:14 | Several-Peace 0x40a1…c62f | No | SELL | 132 | 45¢ | $59 | 0x5586fb… |
| 06-22 18:28:47 | Present-Lava 0x3e16…5026 | No | BUY | 2 | 45¢ | $1 | 0x4ad2cd… |
| 06-22 18:28:47 | Vengeful-Rhythm 0x8a2e…d3ca | Yes | BUY | 2 | 55¢ | $1 | 0x4ad2cd… |
| 06-22 13:35:19 | (anonymous) 0xac63…e038 | Yes | SELL | 2 | 53¢ | $1 | 0x164724… |
| 06-22 13:35:19 | (anonymous) 0x335d…8f03 | No | SELL | 2 | 47¢ | $1 | 0x164724… |
| 06-22 13:33:41 | Present-Lava 0x3e16…5026 | No | BUY | 2 | 45¢ | $1 | 0xb27afc… |
| 06-22 13:33:41 | (anonymous) 0xac63…e038 | Yes | BUY | 2 | 55¢ | $1 | 0xb27afc… |
| 06-22 13:29:17 | (anonymous) 0xac63…e038 | Yes | SELL | 2 | 53¢ | $1 | 0x173f7a… |
| 06-22 13:29:17 | (anonymous) 0x335d…8f03 | No | SELL | 2 | 47¢ | $1 | 0x173f7a… |
| 06-22 13:27:40 | (anonymous) 0xac63…e038 | Yes | BUY | 2 | 55¢ | $1 | 0xe87169… |
| 06-22 13:27:40 | Present-Lava 0x3e16…5026 | No | BUY | 2 | 45¢ | $1 | 0xe87169… |
| 06-22 13:20:28 | (anonymous) 0xac63…e038 | Yes | SELL | 2 | 53¢ | $1 | 0xbbc9ff… |
| 06-22 13:20:28 | (anonymous) 0x335d…8f03 | No | SELL | 2 | 47¢ | $1 | 0xbbc9ff… |
| 06-22 13:18:55 | Present-Lava 0x3e16…5026 | No | BUY | 2 | 45¢ | $1 | 0x82c819… |
| 06-22 13:18:55 | (anonymous) 0xac63…e038 | Yes | BUY | 2 | 55¢ | $1 | 0x82c819… |
| 06-22 13:16:35 | (anonymous) 0x335d…8f03 | No | SELL | 2 | 47¢ | $1 | 0xee13aa… |
| 06-22 13:16:35 | (anonymous) 0xac63…e038 | Yes | SELL | 2 | 53¢ | $1 | 0xee13aa… |
| 06-22 13:15:05 | Present-Lava 0x3e16…5026 | No | BUY | 2 | 45¢ | $1 | 0xccb2e5… |
| 06-22 13:15:05 | (anonymous) 0xac63…e038 | Yes | BUY | 2 | 55¢ | $1 | 0xccb2e5… |
| 06-22 13:12:02 | (anonymous) 0xac63…e038 | Yes | SELL | 2 | 53¢ | $1 | 0xca6a52… |
| 06-22 13:12:02 | (anonymous) 0x335d…8f03 | No | SELL | 2 | 47¢ | $1 | 0xca6a52… |
| 06-22 13:10:28 | Present-Lava 0x3e16…5026 | No | BUY | 2 | 45¢ | $1 | 0x76bc9c… |
| 06-22 13:10:28 | (anonymous) 0xac63…e038 | Yes | BUY | 2 | 55¢ | $1 | 0x76bc9c… |
| 06-22 13:08:13 | (anonymous) 0x335d…8f03 | No | SELL | 2 | 47¢ | $1 | 0xaf4c85… |
| 06-22 13:08:13 | (anonymous) 0xac63…e038 | Yes | SELL | 2 | 53¢ | $1 | 0xaf4c85… |
| 06-22 13:06:37 | (anonymous) 0xac63…e038 | Yes | BUY | 2 | 55¢ | $1 | 0xb5444e… |
| 06-22 13:06:37 | Present-Lava 0x3e16…5026 | No | BUY | 2 | 45¢ | $1 | 0xb5444e… |
| 06-22 13:05:05 | (anonymous) 0x335d…8f03 | No | SELL | 2 | 47¢ | $1 | 0x065d8a… |
| 06-22 13:05:05 | (anonymous) 0xac63…e038 | Yes | SELL | 2 | 53¢ | $1 | 0x065d8a… |
| 06-22 13:03:11 | (anonymous) 0xac63…e038 | Yes | BUY | 2 | 55¢ | $1 | 0xa61c42… |
| 06-22 13:03:11 | Present-Lava 0x3e16…5026 | No | BUY | 2 | 45¢ | $1 | 0xa61c42… |
| 06-22 13:01:14 | (anonymous) 0x335d…8f03 | No | SELL | 2 | 47¢ | $1 | 0x41827e… |
| 06-22 13:01:14 | (anonymous) 0xac63…e038 | Yes | SELL | 2 | 53¢ | $1 | 0x41827e… |
| 06-22 12:58:08 | (anonymous) 0xac63…e038 | Yes | BUY | 2 | 55¢ | $1 | 0x7e256d… |
| 06-22 12:58:08 | Present-Lava 0x3e16…5026 | No | BUY | 2 | 45¢ | $1 | 0x7e256d… |
| 06-22 12:55:47 | (anonymous) 0x335d…8f03 | No | SELL | 2 | 47¢ | $1 | 0x238a7d… |
| 06-22 12:55:47 | (anonymous) 0xac63…e038 | Yes | SELL | 2 | 53¢ | $1 | 0x238a7d… |
| 06-22 12:54:13 | Present-Lava 0x3e16…5026 | No | BUY | 2 | 45¢ | $1 | 0x237893… |
| 06-22 12:54:13 | (anonymous) 0xac63…e038 | Yes | BUY | 2 | 55¢ | $1 | 0x237893… |
| 06-22 12:52:41 | (anonymous) 0xac63…e038 | Yes | SELL | 2 | 53¢ | $1 | 0x660997… |
| 06-22 12:52:41 | (anonymous) 0x335d…8f03 | No | SELL | 2 | 47¢ | $1 | 0x660997… |