Predict.fun FDV above $500M one day after launch?
open
Total volume
$70,113
$9,731 in 24h
Trades
747
Unique wallets
213
Liquidity
$31,250
Latest YES mid
52¢
Latest NO mid
48¢
End date
2028-01-01
First seen
2026-05-28
last 07-22 02:43
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
YES holders
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
SMI:
-31.3¢
(top1%: 28% YES on $2.9K
vs crowd: 59% YES on $30.7K)
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐋 Whale | 14 | $3.7K | $3.0K | +$769 |
| 🐬 Dolphin | 40 | $11.1K | $7.4K | +$3.7K |
| 🐟 Fish | 57 | $2.4K | $1.4K | +$920 |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 102 | $1.1K | $719 | +$342 |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🎯 Top 1% | 5 | $810 | $2.1K | $1.3K |
| 🏆 Top 5% | 22 | $10.6K | $1.8K | +$8.8K |
| ✅ Top 10% | 10 | $380 | $81 | +$299 |
| Median | 12 | $368 | $34 | +$335 |
| Below median | 34 | $428 | $450 | $22 |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 9 | $251 | $508 | $257 |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 12 | $570 | $129 | +$441 |
| 💀 Bottom 1% | 4 | $136 | — | +$136 |
| unranked | 105 | $4.7K | $7.4K | $2.7K |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| (anonymous) 0xc28f…ffed | No | +11,766 | $6,118 | $6,118 | 1 | 06-07 01:06 |
| Thankful-Conversion 0x2f28…ba03 | Yes | +10,047 | $6,120 | $6,120 | 5 | 07-07 11:39 |
| Rusty-Fava 0x05ab…8145 | Yes | +6,103 | $3,158 | $3,237 | 22 | 07-19 16:59 |
| Uncommon-Sibling 0xc040…beac | No | +4,568 | $2,081 | $2,081 | 10 | 06-30 14:00 |
| Memorable-Planning 0xadec…3c7b | No | +1,533 | $818 | $818 | 3 | 06-10 14:05 |
| Adventurous-Linguist 0xc88e…f3e1 | No | +1,505 | $692 | $692 | 1 | 06-16 19:35 |
| Obvious-Dwelling 0x8188…0667 | Yes | +1,146 | $535 | $535 | 3 | 06-09 21:46 |
| Responsible-Remark 0x1fe4…afbb | Yes | +1,094 | $543 | $543 | 1 | 06-02 16:36 |
| Fixed-Flock 0x23d7…0f30 | Yes | +963 | $535 | $535 | 10 | 07-12 23:53 |
| Severe-Handgun 0xaae2…dbda | No | +951 | $370 | $370 | 11 | 07-11 21:53 |
| Unfolded-Parka 0xb32e…d9ce | Yes | +850 | $536 | $598 | 2 | 07-12 02:24 |
| Negligible-Reveal 0xd850…b459 | Yes | +703 | $442 | $442 | 5 | 07-06 17:21 |
| (anonymous) 0x7be6…26a6 | Yes | +700 | $416 | $416 | 4 | 07-19 14:52 |
| (anonymous) 0x6d72…a399 | No | +567 | $220 | $220 | 2 | 07-11 15:59 |
| Suburban-Jumbo 0xa2fc…b1b4 | Yes | +500 | $270 | $270 | 1 | 07-22 02:43 |
| Present-Lava 0x3e16…5026 | No | +500 | $190 | $710 | 44 | 07-22 02:43 |
| Trustworthy-Pricing 0x41ac…631a | No | +450 | $208 | $208 | 1 | 06-24 03:48 |
| (anonymous) 0xf583…f3d6 | Yes | +440 | $202 | $202 | 3 | 06-09 21:46 |
| (anonymous) 0x7109…9308 | Yes | +300 | $186 | $186 | 1 | 07-10 15:09 |
| Daring-Liquor 0x33db…417a | No | +300 | $156 | $156 | 5 | 06-10 14:05 |
| (anonymous) 0x3157…7ebd | No | +252 | $95 | $95 | 1 | 07-02 14:05 |
| Caring-Hiccups 0x4db7…d20e | No | +250 | $137 | $137 | 2 | 06-01 14:00 |
| (anonymous) 0xb263…6484 | No | +236 | $104 | $104 | 5 | 07-03 15:57 |
| Strong-Departure 0x2721…325b | No | +203 | $104 | $104 | 1 | 06-10 22:14 |
| Happy-Spray 0x5d5f…e612 | Yes | +200 | $104 | $104 | 2 | 06-16 09:08 |
| Gleaming-Fraud 0x2217…1660 | Yes | +200 | $95 | $95 | 1 | 06-02 11:46 |
| (anonymous) 0x1874…594f | No | +150 | $57 | $57 | 1 | 07-10 06:07 |
| (anonymous) 0xc073…d31f | Yes | +149 | $73 | $73 | 7 | 06-08 08:16 |
| Young-Rowboat 0x3334…67db | Yes | +149 | $92 | $92 | 1 | 07-11 02:21 |
| Willing-Tragedy 0x231b…73df | Yes | +145 | $83 | $83 | 4 | 06-28 21:16 |
| Bustling-Stock 0x8409…753d | Yes | +145 | $87 | $87 | 2 | 06-30 09:54 |
| (anonymous) 0xf3fa…7be3 | Yes | +145 | $78 | $78 | 2 | 07-19 16:56 |
| Dual-Invader 0x10ad…827c | Yes | +137 | $63 | $63 | 2 | 06-15 21:02 |
| Jagged-Wage 0x6053…790c | Yes | +113 | $56 | $56 | 1 | 06-11 13:37 |
| (anonymous) 0x9187…abb5 | No | +100 | $53 | $53 | 1 | 06-01 14:00 |
| Weekly-Clarification 0x54a4…f169 | No | +100 | $49 | $49 | 2 | 06-03 22:36 |
| Pretty-Saxophone 0xe7fe…24e5 | Yes | +95 | $37 | $287 | 5 | 07-16 12:34 |
| Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | No | +80 | $42 | $42 | 1 | 06-02 11:46 |
| Pure-Inevitable 0x7a02…7708 | Yes | +78 | $50 | $50 | 1 | 07-02 02:41 |
| Treasured-Total 0xeab5…f570 | Yes | +62 | $38 | $187 | 44 | 07-22 02:43 |
| (anonymous) 0x65af…4ee6 | Yes | +61 | $30 | $30 | 1 | 06-03 03:01 |
| Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | Yes | +57 | $24 | $99 | 7 | 07-02 12:58 |
| Glamorous-Sprout 0x4759…f916 | Yes | +53 | $28 | $28 | 2 | 07-22 02:43 |
| (anonymous) 0xf669…c10a | Yes | +50 | $26 | $26 | 1 | 07-19 16:59 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-22 02:43:21 | Square-Ore 0x7d58…462d | Yes | SELL | 80 | 52¢ | $41 | 0xf873e0… |
| 07-22 02:43:21 | Present-Lava 0x3e16…5026 | No | SELL | 63 | 48¢ | $30 | 0xf873e0… |
| 07-22 02:43:21 | Treasured-Total 0xeab5…f570 | Yes | BUY | 7 | 51¢ | $4 | 0xf873e0… |
| 07-22 02:43:18 | Treasured-Total 0xeab5…f570 | Yes | BUY | 10 | 53¢ | $5 | 0xb6c788… |
| 07-22 02:43:18 | Square-Ore 0x7d58…462d | Yes | BUY | 80 | 53¢ | $42 | 0xb6c788… |
| 07-22 02:43:18 | Present-Lava 0x3e16…5026 | No | SELL | 37 | 48¢ | $18 | 0xb6c788… |
| 07-22 02:43:18 | Glamorous-Sprout 0x4759…f916 | Yes | BUY | 23 | 53¢ | $12 | 0xb6c788… |
| 07-22 02:43:18 | Kaleidoscopic-Outhouse 0xe457…5ab3 | Yes | SELL | 150 | 53¢ | $79 | 0xb6c788… |
| 07-22 02:43:16 | Glamorous-Sprout 0x4759…f916 | Yes | BUY | 30 | 53¢ | $16 | 0xe343d3… |
| 07-22 02:43:16 | (anonymous) 0x073e…8416 | Yes | SELL | 30 | 53¢ | $16 | 0xe343d3… |
| 07-22 02:43:15 | Suburban-Jumbo 0xa2fc…b1b4 | Yes | BUY | 500 | 54¢ | $270 | 0xdefd95… |
| 07-22 02:43:15 | Treasured-Total 0xeab5…f570 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 54¢ | $3 | 0xdefd95… |
| 07-22 02:43:15 | Kaleidoscopic-Outhouse 0xe457…5ab3 | Yes | BUY | 150 | 54¢ | $81 | 0xdefd95… |
| 07-22 02:43:15 | Revolving-Midline-Eraser 0x93c4…d471 | Yes | SELL | 685 | 54¢ | $370 | 0xdefd95… |
| 07-22 02:43:15 | (anonymous) 0x073e…8416 | Yes | BUY | 30 | 54¢ | $16 | 0xdefd95… |
| 07-22 02:18:09 | Treasured-Total 0xeab5…f570 | No | BUY | 1 | 45¢ | $0 | 0xffd72e… |
| 07-22 02:18:09 | Pushy-Sprinkles 0x54ca…9255 | No | SELL | 1 | 45¢ | $0 | 0xffd72e… |
| 07-20 19:40:12 | (anonymous) 0x81f0…8b09 | Yes | SELL | 13 | 54¢ | $7 | 0xe067af… |
| 07-20 19:40:12 | Treasured-Total 0xeab5…f570 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 54¢ | $3 | 0xe067af… |
| 07-20 19:40:12 | Tangible-Fuel 0x6f67…102c | Yes | BUY | 8 | 54¢ | $4 | 0xe067af… |
| 07-20 14:01:45 | Massive-Doubling 0x4d45…97f4 | No | SELL | 81 | 45¢ | $36 | 0xb35770… |
| 07-20 14:01:45 | Treasured-Total 0xeab5…f570 | No | BUY | 4 | 45¢ | $2 | 0xb35770… |
| 07-20 14:01:45 | (anonymous) 0x20d1…c131 | Yes | SELL | 40 | 55¢ | $22 | 0xb35770… |
| 07-20 14:01:45 | Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71 | Yes | SELL | 37 | 55¢ | $20 | 0xb35770… |
| 07-20 12:40:09 | Treasured-Total 0xeab5…f570 | No | BUY | 6 | 45¢ | $3 | 0x81d36b… |
| 07-20 12:40:09 | (anonymous) 0xdd6d…11c6 | No | SELL | 6 | 45¢ | $3 | 0x81d36b… |
| 07-19 18:08:31 | Treasured-Total 0xeab5…f570 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 52¢ | $3 | 0xe8bbcb… |
| 07-19 18:08:31 | (anonymous) 0x68d9…041d | No | BUY | 10 | 48¢ | $5 | 0xe8bbcb… |
| 07-19 18:08:31 | Treasured-Total 0xeab5…f570 | No | SELL | 5 | 48¢ | $2 | 0xe8bbcb… |
| 07-19 16:59:25 | Treasured-Total 0xeab5…f570 | No | BUY | 8 | 43¢ | $4 | 0x90a75a… |
| 07-19 16:59:25 | (anonymous) 0x0f57…4139 | Yes | BUY | 8 | 57¢ | $5 | 0x90a75a… |
| 07-19 16:59:19 | (anonymous) 0xd10a…b9cd | Yes | BUY | 5 | 54¢ | $3 | 0x64c8f4… |
| 07-19 16:59:19 | Rusty-Fava 0x05ab…8145 | Yes | BUY | 800 | 53¢ | $424 | 0x64c8f4… |
| 07-19 16:59:19 | Revolving-Midline-Eraser 0x93c4…d471 | Yes | SELL | 905 | 53¢ | $480 | 0x64c8f4… |
| 07-19 16:59:19 | Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71 | Yes | BUY | 50 | 54¢ | $27 | 0x64c8f4… |
| 07-19 16:59:19 | (anonymous) 0xf669…c10a | Yes | BUY | 50 | 53¢ | $26 | 0x64c8f4… |
| 07-19 16:59:19 | (anonymous) 0x81f0…8b09 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 53¢ | $3 | 0xcc711b… |
| 07-19 16:59:19 | Revolving-Midline-Eraser 0x93c4…d471 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 53¢ | $3 | 0xcc711b… |
| 07-19 16:56:34 | Revolving-Midline-Eraser 0x93c4…d471 | Yes | SELL | 140 | 54¢ | $76 | 0xedaaa9… |
| 07-19 16:56:34 | (anonymous) 0xf3fa…7be3 | Yes | BUY | 140 | 54¢ | $76 | 0xedaaa9… |
| 07-19 15:34:18 | Revolving-Midline-Eraser 0x93c4…d471 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 54¢ | $3 | 0xd832ed… |
| 07-19 15:34:18 | (anonymous) 0xf3fa…7be3 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 54¢ | $3 | 0xd832ed… |
| 07-19 15:07:03 | Revolving-Midline-Eraser 0x93c4…d471 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 55¢ | $3 | 0xc69581… |
| 07-19 15:07:03 | Treasured-Total 0xeab5…f570 | No | SELL | 5 | 45¢ | $2 | 0xc69581… |
| 07-19 14:52:37 | (anonymous) 0x7be6…26a6 | Yes | BUY | 120 | 59¢ | $71 | 0xaabb28… |
| 07-19 14:52:37 | Revolving-Midline-Eraser 0x93c4…d471 | Yes | SELL | 120 | 59¢ | $71 | 0xaabb28… |
| 07-19 07:41:24 | Treasured-Total 0xeab5…f570 | No | BUY | 3 | 37¢ | $1 | 0x5aa1ab… |
| 07-19 07:41:24 | (anonymous) 0x81f0…8b09 | Yes | BUY | 8 | 63¢ | $5 | 0x5aa1ab… |
| 07-19 07:41:24 | Stylish-Isolation 0x8c46…ae13 | Yes | SELL | 500 | 60¢ | $300 | 0x75cfab… |
| 07-19 07:41:24 | Rusty-Fava 0x05ab…8145 | Yes | BUY | 500 | 60¢ | $300 | 0x75cfab… |
| 07-19 01:01:58 | Rusty-Fava 0x05ab…8145 | Yes | BUY | 249 | 60¢ | $150 | 0xd38dfe… |
| 07-19 01:01:58 | Trim-Human 0x1f85…a51b | Yes | SELL | 403 | 60¢ | $242 | 0xd38dfe… |
| 07-19 01:01:58 | (anonymous) 0xf22f…e1af | No | SELL | 100 | 40¢ | $40 | 0xd38dfe… |
| 07-19 01:01:58 | (anonymous) 0xcad7…9b3b | No | SELL | 53 | 40¢ | $21 | 0xd38dfe… |
| 07-17 13:06:06 | (anonymous) 0xd10a…b9cd | Yes | SELL | 5 | 62¢ | $3 | 0xf709c8… |
| 07-17 13:06:06 | Equatorial-Digger 0x7982…3f7b | No | SELL | 261 | 36¢ | $95 | 0xf709c8… |
| 07-17 13:06:06 | Treasured-Total 0xeab5…f570 | No | BUY | 5 | 37¢ | $2 | 0xf709c8… |
| 07-17 13:06:06 | Klutzy-Mop 0xaab8…4664 | Yes | SELL | 30 | 63¢ | $19 | 0xf709c8… |
| 07-17 13:06:06 | (anonymous) 0x79b6…2026 | Yes | SELL | 181 | 64¢ | $116 | 0xf709c8… |
| 07-17 13:06:06 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | Yes | SELL | 30 | 62¢ | $19 | 0xf709c8… |
| 07-17 08:48:18 | (anonymous) 0xcad7…9b3b | No | SELL | 47 | 40¢ | $19 | 0x211d62… |
| 07-17 08:48:18 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | Yes | BUY | 30 | 61¢ | $18 | 0x211d62… |
| 07-17 08:48:18 | (anonymous) 0xd10a…b9cd | Yes | BUY | 5 | 61¢ | $3 | 0x211d62… |
| 07-17 08:48:18 | Gigantic-Knifeedge 0x41c7…c8fb | Yes | SELL | 82 | 60¢ | $49 | 0x211d62… |
| 07-16 13:52:25 | (anonymous) 0x7be6…26a6 | Yes | BUY | 250 | 59¢ | $148 | 0x5e123a… |
| 07-16 13:52:25 | Revolving-Midline-Eraser 0x93c4…d471 | Yes | SELL | 250 | 59¢ | $148 | 0x5e123a… |
| 07-16 13:50:50 | (anonymous) 0x7be6…26a6 | Yes | BUY | 30 | 59¢ | $18 | 0x234e8b… |
| 07-16 13:50:50 | Kaleidoscopic-Outhouse 0xe457…5ab3 | Yes | SELL | 30 | 59¢ | $18 | 0x234e8b… |
| 07-16 13:50:47 | (anonymous) 0x7be6…26a6 | Yes | BUY | 300 | 60¢ | $180 | 0xcc535e… |
| 07-16 13:50:47 | Kaleidoscopic-Outhouse 0xe457…5ab3 | Yes | BUY | 30 | 60¢ | $18 | 0xcc535e… |
| 07-16 13:50:47 | Revolving-Midline-Eraser 0x93c4…d471 | Yes | SELL | 598 | 60¢ | $359 | 0xcc535e… |
| 07-16 13:50:47 | (anonymous) 0xf9c7…9abb | No | SELL | 268 | 40¢ | $107 | 0xcc535e… |
| 07-16 12:34:28 | Pretty-Saxophone 0xe7fe…24e5 | Yes | SELL | 33 | 60¢ | $20 | 0xf55f68… |
| 07-16 12:34:28 | (anonymous) 0xf9c7…9abb | No | SELL | 33 | 40¢ | $13 | 0xf55f68… |
| 07-16 08:49:08 | Treasured-Total 0xeab5…f570 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 61¢ | $3 | 0x89d0f7… |
| 07-16 08:49:08 | Klutzy-Mop 0xaab8…4664 | Yes | BUY | 30 | 61¢ | $18 | 0x89d0f7… |
| 07-16 08:49:08 | (anonymous) 0xd38f…bf78 | No | SELL | 5 | 39¢ | $2 | 0x89d0f7… |
| 07-16 08:49:08 | Pretty-Saxophone 0xe7fe…24e5 | Yes | SELL | 105 | 61¢ | $64 | 0x89d0f7… |
| 07-16 08:49:08 | (anonymous) 0xe8c4…ea5c | No | SELL | 10 | 39¢ | $4 | 0x89d0f7… |
| 07-16 08:49:08 | (anonymous) 0xf9c7…9abb | No | SELL | 35 | 40¢ | $14 | 0x89d0f7… |
| 07-16 06:26:28 | (anonymous) 0x79b6…2026 | Yes | SELL | 45 | 64¢ | $29 | 0x409b60… |
| 07-16 06:26:28 | Slimy-Coin 0x2b73…174e | No | SELL | 45 | 36¢ | $16 | 0x409b60… |
| 07-16 04:32:23 | Gummy-Yang 0x53f8…5ce0 | Yes | BUY | 6 | 64¢ | $4 | 0xefc58a… |
| 07-16 04:32:23 | (anonymous) 0x79b6…2026 | Yes | SELL | 6 | 64¢ | $4 | 0xefc58a… |
| 07-16 04:31:52 | (anonymous) 0xafde…d98e | No | BUY | 5 | 37¢ | $2 | 0x6fd60d… |
| 07-16 04:31:52 | Treasured-Total 0xeab5…f570 | No | BUY | 5 | 37¢ | $2 | 0x6fd60d… |
| 07-16 04:31:52 | Gummy-Yang 0x53f8…5ce0 | Yes | BUY | 10 | 63¢ | $6 | 0x6fd60d… |
| 07-15 14:50:07 | Treasured-Total 0xeab5…f570 | No | BUY | 5 | 38¢ | $2 | 0x3da1f4… |
| 07-15 14:50:07 | Slimy-Coin 0x2b73…174e | No | BUY | 46 | 37¢ | $17 | 0x3da1f4… |
| 07-15 14:50:07 | Gigantic-Knifeedge 0x41c7…c8fb | Yes | BUY | 80 | 63¢ | $50 | 0x3da1f4… |
| 07-15 14:50:07 | (anonymous) 0xe8c4…ea5c | No | BUY | 10 | 38¢ | $4 | 0x3da1f4… |
| 07-15 14:50:07 | (anonymous) 0xd10a…b9cd | Yes | SELL | 5 | 62¢ | $3 | 0x3da1f4… |
| 07-15 14:50:07 | Treasured-Total 0xeab5…f570 | Yes | SELL | 9 | 62¢ | $6 | 0x3da1f4… |
| 07-15 14:50:07 | (anonymous) 0xd38f…bf78 | No | BUY | 5 | 38¢ | $2 | 0x3da1f4… |
| 07-15 12:59:04 | Treasured-Total 0xeab5…f570 | Yes | SELL | 2 | 62¢ | $1 | 0x63a036… |
| 07-15 12:59:04 | Gigantic-Knifeedge 0x41c7…c8fb | Yes | BUY | 2 | 62¢ | $1 | 0x63a036… |
| 07-14 20:10:13 | (anonymous) 0xf9c7…9abb | No | SELL | 30 | 40¢ | $12 | 0x2b2c31… |
| 07-14 20:10:13 | Kaleidoscopic-Outhouse 0xe457…5ab3 | Yes | SELL | 30 | 60¢ | $18 | 0x2b2c31… |
| 07-14 20:10:10 | (anonymous) 0x6762…687a | Yes | SELL | 169 | 60¢ | $101 | 0xdaca8f… |
| 07-14 20:10:10 | Kaleidoscopic-Outhouse 0xe457…5ab3 | Yes | BUY | 30 | 61¢ | $18 | 0xdaca8f… |