Optimal-Miss 0x4a2be7…a9af20
whale hot 3W streak
← all wallets
Realized P&L
+$76.7K
Unrealized P&L
+$7.46K
Hit rate
62.6%
Resolved
1,103
Trades
30,843
lifetime
Volume
$4.26M
lifetime
Avg / trade
$138
Open exposure
$61.1K
30 positions
First seen
2026-01-25
last 10-27 00:54
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 215 days
Categories
Politics
60% 40% +$70,934
Other
28% 35% -$32,319
Crypto
6% 46% +$24,774
Tech
3% 35% -$8,135
Sports
3% 38% +$20,392
Pop-Culture
0% 50% +$1,009
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
72 active days in 12wk • peak 469 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of October 2026? Yes +12,000 $8,435 86¢ $10.3K +$1,873 10-18 21:44
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? No +8,000 $5,560 72¢ $5.8K +$240 10-26 12:39
Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026? No +8,000 $5,050 64¢ $5.2K +$110 10-14 11:43
will strc hit 100 by december 31 20260618001621119 No +10,000 $3,710 28¢ $2.8K -$935 08-20 08:11
Next White House Press Secretary announced by November 30, 2026? No +4,000 $1,719 67¢ $2.7K +$961 10-20 15:05
Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 31, 2026? No +4,000 -$686 64¢ $2.6K +$3,238 10-26 02:27
Will Trump and Putin not meet? No +3,000 $1,157 82¢ $2.5K +$1,302 06-28 11:32
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31? No +3,000 $2,062 74¢ $2.2K +$142 07-27 15:22
Will the Republicans win the Florida governor race in 2026? No +11,000 $2,140 20¢ $2.1K +$5 10-23 03:49
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of November 2026? Yes +4,000 $1,940 44¢ $1.8K -$160 10-25 03:18
Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? Yes -2,000 -$1,940 82¢ $-1635 +$305 10-17 06:38
Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026? No +2,000 $1,580 75¢ $1.5K -$80 10-25 18:55
Will an independent win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026? Yes +5,000 $1,410 29¢ $1.4K +$15 10-20 18:48
Will Hyperliquid reach $100 by December 31, 2026? No +2,000 $714 68¢ $1.4K +$656 07-14 15:56
will anthropics valuation hit high 2pt5t by december 31 169 No +2,000 $1,020 68¢ $1.4K +$340 08-17 09:38
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of December 2026? Yes +4,000 $1,700 34¢ $1.3K -$360 10-10 10:20
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D House Yes +5,000 $1,340 26¢ $1.3K -$15 10-20 02:52
Will Chiang Wan-an win the next Taipei Mayor election? Yes +2,000 $1,280 65¢ $1.3K +$20 10-14 23:56
Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026? Yes +30,000 $2,665 4¢ $1.3K -$1,390 10-22 11:12
Will the Democrats win the Georgia governor race in 2026? Yes +2,000 $924 62¢ $1.3K +$326 10-14 20:26
Will Iliana Iotova win the next Bulgarian presidential election? No +4,000 $1,090 30¢ $1.2K +$110 10-25 21:07
Next White House Press Secretary announced by December 31, 2026? No +3,000 $740 40¢ $1.2K +$445 10-20 21:57
Will SpaceX have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026? No -2,517 -$1,243 46¢ $-1170 +$73 10-11 22:10
Will Predict.fun launch a token by October 31, 2026? No +1,416 $1,085 73¢ $1.0K -$51 10-25 10:11
Variational FDV above $1B one day after launch? No +2,000 $820 44¢ $870 +$50 10-13 10:37
Kraken IPO by December 31, 2026? No -879 -$577 95¢ $-836 -$259 07-20 15:54
next astra model 6pt1 released by october 31 2026 No +1,000 $680 84¢ $835 +$155 10-27 00:54
Will Stripe acquire any part of Paypal in 2026? No +859 $284 95¢ $817 +$533 08-16 19:46
Will the Republicans win the Wisconsin governor race in 2026? Yes +4,000 $920 20¢ $780 -$140 08-20 14:18
No one announced as next James Bond? No +1,000 $803 75¢ $748 -$55 10-09 09:34