Optimal-Miss 0x4a2be7…a9af20
whale hot
← all wallets
Realized P&L
+$13.8K
Unrealized P&L
-$11.8K
Hit rate
84.6%
Resolved
12
Trades
21,296
lifetime
Volume
$3.08M
lifetime
Avg / trade
$145
Open exposure
$16.5K
30 positions
First seen
2026-01-25
last 06-30 15:53
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 7 days
Categories
Politics
67% 44% +$16,956
Other
22% 33% $-3,109
Crypto
8% — —
Tech
2% — —
Sports
1% — —
Pop-Culture
0% — —
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
82 active days in 12wk • peak 802 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Hyperliquid reach $100 by December 31, 2026? No +2,858 $1,323 65¢ $1.9K +$534 06-19 21:05
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31? No +2,275 $1,504 72¢ $1.6K +$145 06-29 17:43
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? Yes +4,000 $2,120 34¢ $1.4K $-740 06-18 06:57
Will Hyperliquid reach $80 by December 31, 2026? No +4,000 $970 32¢ $1.3K +$330 06-25 21:35
Will an Anthropic Claude model score at least 45% on Humanity’s Last Exam? No +1,243 $553 99¢ $1.2K +$681 06-15 13:53
US strike on Cuba by December 31? No -2,000 $-975 59¢ $-1180 $-205 06-17 01:37
Will AfD win an absolute majority of seats in Sachsen-Anhalt? No +2,000 $1,120 58¢ $1.2K +$50 06-06 09:08
Israel strike on Yemen by June 30, 2026? No -1,000 $-629 99¢ $-990 $-362 06-09 20:13
Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026? No -1,988 $-1,372 50¢ $-984 +$388 06-05 22:47
Fed rate hike in 2026? No +2,000 $999 46¢ $910 $-89 06-17 19:11
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? Yes +6,161 $1,478 15¢ $893 $-584 06-19 08:45
US strike on Cuba by December 31? Yes +2,000 $1,300 41¢ $820 $-480 06-27 11:29
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31? Yes +2,000 $660 30¢ $590 $-70 06-19 21:03
Katy Perry confirmed pregnant by June 30? No +402 $380 100¢ $400 +$21 06-17 16:07
Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026? Yes +1,006 $533 24¢ $236 $-297 06-10 15:41
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? Yes +35,457 $4,345 0¢ $160 $-4,185 06-26 14:29
Clavicular sentenced to prison? Yes +1,000 $150 16¢ $155 +$5 06-21 14:50
OpenAI $1t+ IPO before 2027? Yes +664 $216 22¢ $149 $-67 06-25 20:37
Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026? No -154 $-89 76¢ $-118 $-28 06-14 17:22
Will Saudi Arabia join the Abraham Accords before 2027? Yes +1,000 $140 10¢ $95 $-45 05-30 10:20
Will the next model released by OpenAI debut at a score of at least 1470? No -500 $-214 16¢ $-82 +$132 06-08 15:11
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by June 30? Yes +1,770 $444 3¢ $49 $-396 06-03 11:33
Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? Yes +13,597 $1,355 0¢ $34 $-1,321 06-17 12:42
Will Trump attend NATO Summit? No +2,000 $346 1¢ $29 $-317 06-10 16:34
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30? Yes +8,007 $4,867 0¢ $20 $-4,847 06-23 09:04
Foreign intervention in Gaza by June 30? Yes +1,983 $119 1¢ $17 $-102 06-09 14:31
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30? Yes +10,000 $264 0¢ $10 $-254 06-05 02:41
Will Russia capture Lyman by June 30, 2026? Yes -226 $-41 1¢ $-2 +$39 06-08 08:11
Taylor Swift x Travis Kelce get married by June 30? Yes -81 $-274 1¢ $-1 +$273 06-27 02:28
Ukraine officially agrees to a US backed ceasefire framework by June 30? Yes -95 $-18 1¢ $-1 +$18 06-15 20:18