Optimal-Miss 0x4a2be7…a9af20
whale hot
← all wallets
Realized P&L
+$13.8K
Unrealized P&L
-$1.29K
Hit rate
84.6%
Resolved
12
Trades
22,119
lifetime
Volume
$3.17M
lifetime
Avg / trade
$143
Open exposure
$16.3K
24 positions
First seen
2026-01-25
last 07-20 18:38
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 7 days
Categories
Politics
66% 44% +$16,956
Other
22% 33% $-3,109
Crypto
7% — —
Tech
3% — —
Sports
2% — —
Pop-Culture
0% — —
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
82 active days in 12wk • peak 458 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? Yes +9,161 $2,168 26¢ $2.4K +$260 07-20 11:32
Will Hyperliquid reach $80 by December 31, 2026? No +4,000 $970 48¢ $1.9K +$970 06-25 21:35
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31? No +2,275 $1,504 80¢ $1.8K +$316 06-29 17:43
Will Hyperliquid reach $100 by December 31, 2026? No +2,000 $714 71¢ $1.4K +$706 07-14 15:56
Clarity Act signed into law in 2026? No +2,000 $1,320 70¢ $1.4K +$70 07-17 14:46
US strike on Cuba by December 31? No -2,000 $-975 68¢ $-1350 $-375 06-17 01:37
Will AfD win an absolute majority of seats in Sachsen-Anhalt? No +2,000 $1,120 60¢ $1.2K +$70 06-06 09:08
Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026? No -1,988 $-1,372 52¢ $-1034 +$338 06-05 22:47
Fed rate hike in 2026? No +1,758 $888 44¢ $782 $-105 07-20 17:32
US strike on Cuba by December 31? Yes +2,000 $1,300 32¢ $650 $-650 06-27 11:29
Will Max Martin attend Taylor Swift's wedding? Yes +800 $504 55¢ $440 $-64 07-02 21:18
Kraken IPO by December 31, 2026? No -500 $-395 78¢ $-392 +$3 07-20 15:54
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31? Yes +2,000 $660 18¢ $360 $-300 06-19 21:03
Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026? Yes +1,006 $533 18¢ $176 $-357 06-10 15:41
Will Mitch McConnell step down from the Senate before his term ends? No +252 $38 60¢ $152 +$115 07-08 22:22
China x Taiwan military clash before 2027? Yes +2,000 $166 7¢ $143 $-23 07-20 16:44
Clavicular sentenced to prison? Yes +1,000 $150 14¢ $135 $-15 06-21 14:50
Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026? No -154 $-89 82¢ $-127 $-37 06-14 17:22
Will there be at least 3000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026? No +1,000 $150 12¢ $125 $-25 07-15 09:14
Netanyahu out by end of 2026? No +161 $98 62¢ $101 +$2 07-20 15:35
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? Yes +4,000 $2,120 2¢ $62 $-2,058 06-18 06:57
OpenAI $1t+ IPO before 2027? Yes +664 $216 8¢ $56 $-160 06-25 20:37
Will Saudi Arabia join the Abraham Accords before 2027? Yes +1,000 $140 6¢ $55 $-85 05-30 10:20
Will JD Vance have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by June 30, 2026? No +103 $-118 0¢ $0 +$118 06-20 14:08