Realized P&L
+$10.2K
Unrealized P&L
+$1.77K
Hit rate
62.4%
Resolved
708
Trades
3,788
lifetime
Volume
$205.4K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$54
Open exposure
$5.60K
14 positions
First seen
2026-01-03
last 10-31 06:46
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 137 days
Categories
Other
65% 33% +$9,069
Politics
14% 36% -$37
Crypto
14% 18% +$1,494
Sports
5% 30% -$572
Pop-Culture
1% 50% +$352
Tech
1% 29% -$103
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
8 active days in 12wk • peak 10 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Utah use a new congressional map for the 2026 United States midterm elections? Yes +5,310 $3,011 94¢ $5.0K +$2,006 07-01 11:59
Will Predict.fun launch a token by November 15, 2026? No — +768 $50 38¢ $292 +$243 10-29 21:06
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Yes -500 -$104 21¢ $-103 +$1 04-30 19:49
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? Yes -4,000 -$240 2¢ $-82 +$158 05-04 11:03
Will Russia capture all of Bilytske by December 31? Yes -50 -$44 74¢ $-37 +$7 10-14 17:10
Predict.fun FDV above $500M one day after launch? No +467 $193 6¢ $26 -$168 10-28 18:46
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? Yes +1,000 $90 2¢ $18 -$72 07-11 02:59
Will Predict.fun launch a token by March 31, 2027? No +764 $8 1¢ $7 -$1 10-27 02:28
Predict.fun FDV above $600M one day after launch? No +67 $275 8¢ $5 -$269 10-28 18:47
russia ukraine peace talks by december 31 2026 20260609012542189 No +20 $10 18¢ $4 -$6 06-18 03:26
Predict.fun FDV above $50M one day after launch? No +640 $13 0¢ $2 -$11 10-13 05:25
Predict.fun FDV above $400M one day after launch? No +43 $119 4¢ $2 -$117 10-28 18:46
Will Anthropic not IPO by December 31, 2027? Yes +65 $2 1¢ $1 -$1 07-17 04:07
Israel and Indonesia normalize relations by December 31, 2026? Yes +12 $1 2¢ $0 -$1 04-28 16:00