Predict.fun FDV above $300M one day after launch?
open
Total volume
$117,244
$1,338 in 24h
Trades
1,170
Unique wallets
282
Liquidity
$49,198
Latest YES mid
76¢
Latest NO mid
24¢
End date
2028-01-01
First seen
2026-05-28
last 08-03 10:48
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
YES holders
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
SMI:
+8.1¢
(top1%: 80% YES on $4.6K
vs crowd: 72% YES on $45.0K)
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐋 Whale | 23 | $12.0K | $1.7K | +$10.3K |
| 🐬 Dolphin | 48 | $9.1K | $5.2K | +$3.9K |
| 🐟 Fish | 90 | $9.1K | $5.5K | +$3.6K |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 121 | $2.1K | $509 | +$1.5K |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🎯 Top 1% | 5 | $3.6K | $933 | +$2.7K |
| 🏆 Top 5% | 26 | $10.8K | $2.1K | +$8.7K |
| ✅ Top 10% | 15 | $423 | $44 | +$378 |
| Median | 37 | $523 | $3 | +$520 |
| Below median | 32 | $4.2K | $822 | +$3.4K |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 6 | $482 | $160 | +$322 |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 19 | $1.2K | $73 | +$1.1K |
| 💀 Bottom 1% | 8 | $1.7K | $297 | +$1.4K |
| unranked | 134 | $9.3K | $8.4K | +$891 |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| (anonymous) 0xc28f…ffed | No | +9,080 | $2,815 | $2,815 | 1 | 06-07 01:06 |
| (anonymous) 0x02c5…8356 | No | +8,208 | $1,647 | $5,862 | 19 | 07-29 13:51 |
| Rusty-Fava 0x05ab…8145 | Yes | +6,821 | $4,880 | $4,880 | 29 | 07-31 14:40 |
| (anonymous) 0x6d72…a399 | No | +4,517 | $1,005 | $1,005 | 7 | 07-20 17:25 |
| Rusty-Fava 0x05ab…8145 | No | +4,168 | $834 | $1,534 | 61 | 07-20 14:00 |
| Hospitable-Maestro 0x2061…8ec9 | No | +3,333 | $933 | $933 | 1 | 06-02 14:49 |
| Sticky-Advocate 0x75cc…51a3 | Yes | +3,000 | $2,340 | $2,340 | 10 | 07-07 02:29 |
| (anonymous) 0x60d1…0c8f | No | +2,204 | $576 | $576 | 10 | 07-28 06:48 |
| (anonymous) 0x527f…0ae5 | Yes | +2,000 | $1,540 | $1,540 | 1 | 06-26 09:33 |
| Determined-Mayonnaise 0xe8a2…54c2 | No | +1,801 | $396 | $396 | 2 | 07-14 16:00 |
| Mediocre-Grabbag 0x5c6c…998f | Yes | +1,746 | $1,230 | $1,230 | 2 | 06-02 11:53 |
| Jam-Packed-Dividend 0xc456…8996 | Yes | +1,555 | $1,011 | $1,011 | 2 | 08-01 13:11 |
| Sad-Magic 0xac9a…2286 | Yes | +1,378 | $923 | $923 | 8 | 08-01 12:39 |
| Sparse-Cookie 0x5a21…9318 | No | +951 | $296 | $296 | 4 | 06-22 05:09 |
| Bewitched-Future 0x753f…89b2 | Yes | +724 | $500 | $500 | 1 | 06-02 08:53 |
| Gloomy-Disgust 0xce03…5608 | No | +549 | $181 | $344 | 5 | 08-01 12:39 |
| Married-Bikini 0xdce8…8663 | Yes | +546 | $366 | $366 | 7 | 06-18 23:03 |
| (anonymous) 0x8332…b8a5 | Yes | +360 | $272 | $272 | 2 | 06-30 09:03 |
| Vapid-Breakpoint 0xec41…1134 | Yes | +327 | $214 | $530 | 4 | 06-21 15:28 |
| (anonymous) 0xb6ae…de4c | Yes | +300 | $198 | $198 | 1 | 06-01 12:11 |
| Pesky-Discovery 0x6da8…ec45 | Yes | +276 | $200 | $200 | 1 | 06-17 21:09 |
| Treasured-Total 0xeab5…f570 | No | +255 | $69 | $168 | 64 | 08-03 10:47 |
| (anonymous) 0x777f…c451 | Yes | +233 | $182 | $182 | 1 | 07-02 13:13 |
| Tricky-Linkage 0xea5b…0e03 | Yes | +200 | $138 | $138 | 1 | 07-30 07:04 |
| Jagged-Wage 0x6053…790c | Yes | +172 | $122 | $122 | 3 | 06-20 09:16 |
| (anonymous) 0xf3fa…7be3 | Yes | +161 | $108 | $108 | 3 | 07-30 15:09 |
| (anonymous) 0xc960…595e | Yes | +150 | $103 | $103 | 1 | 06-12 08:42 |
| Lanky-Monument 0xe9d5…6b9a | No | +146 | $42 | $42 | 1 | 06-02 12:00 |
| Imaginary-Synonym 0x60ee…548e | Yes | +145 | $100 | $100 | 1 | 06-12 05:47 |
| Active-Hypothermia 0xc3cd…816c | Yes | +114 | $49 | $3,701 | 33 | 07-24 02:45 |
| Black-Bathroom 0x5b57…0b88 | Yes | +109 | $86 | $86 | 1 | 07-08 06:03 |
| Kaleidoscopic-Bonsai 0x5d59…bdf3 | Yes | +100 | $72 | $72 | 1 | 06-13 16:24 |
| Zealous-Dancer 0x5d5f…55a8 | Yes | +100 | $67 | $67 | 1 | 07-30 15:09 |
| Twin-Ratio 0xde79…06ab | No | +100 | $28 | $28 | 1 | 06-17 21:09 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-03 10:48:42 | (anonymous) 0x197f…4980 | Yes | SELL | 3 | 66¢ | $2 | 0x30fbb1… |
| 08-03 10:48:42 | Proper-Tectonics 0x0164…9ed6 | No | SELL | 3 | 34¢ | $1 | 0x30fbb1… |
| 08-03 10:47:12 | Treasured-Total 0xeab5…f570 | No | BUY | 3 | 33¢ | $1 | 0xc57045… |
| 08-03 10:47:12 | (anonymous) 0x197f…4980 | Yes | BUY | 3 | 67¢ | $2 | 0xc57045… |
| 08-03 09:39:59 | Warlike-Shoemaker 0x4eb6…5e8a | No | SELL | 22 | 33¢ | $7 | 0x277704… |
| 08-03 09:39:59 | Treasured-Total 0xeab5…f570 | No | BUY | 22 | 33¢ | $7 | 0x277704… |
| 08-03 09:39:35 | Boiling-Broiler 0x6087…53c2 | No | BUY | 59 | 34¢ | $20 | 0x14b635… |
| 08-03 09:39:35 | Proper-Tectonics 0x0164…9ed6 | No | SELL | 59 | 34¢ | $20 | 0x14b635… |
| 08-01 13:11:15 | Jolly-Salt 0x0684…ba27 | Yes | SELL | 2,000 | 65¢ | $1,305 | 0x8dc18f… |
| 08-01 13:11:15 | Jam-Packed-Dividend 0xc456…8996 | Yes | BUY | 1,500 | 65¢ | $975 | 0x8dc18f… |
| 08-01 13:11:15 | (anonymous) 0x296d…70f9 | No | SELL | 500 | 34¢ | $170 | 0x8dc18f… |
| 08-01 12:39:42 | Sad-Magic 0xac9a…2286 | Yes | BUY | 500 | 67¢ | $335 | 0x852bd6… |
| 08-01 12:39:42 | Gloomy-Disgust 0xce03…5608 | No | BUY | 500 | 33¢ | $165 | 0x852bd6… |
| 08-01 12:39:09 | Gloomy-Disgust 0xce03…5608 | No | BUY | 10 | 32¢ | $3 | 0xc0afa0… |
| 08-01 12:39:09 | Treasured-Total 0xeab5…f570 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 68¢ | $3 | 0xc0afa0… |
| 08-01 04:08:38 | Winged-Orange-Component 0xc7ab…041d | Yes | SELL | 6 | 68¢ | $4 | 0x3a3097… |
| 08-01 04:08:38 | Gloomy-Disgust 0xce03…5608 | No | SELL | 6 | 32¢ | $2 | 0x3a3097… |
| 07-31 22:23:00 | Present-Lava 0x3e16…5026 | Yes | SELL | 197 | 67¢ | $132 | 0x5174e2… |
| 07-31 22:23:00 | Gloomy-Disgust 0xce03…5608 | No | SELL | 242 | 33¢ | $80 | 0x5174e2… |
| 07-31 22:23:00 | Treasured-Total 0xeab5…f570 | No | BUY | 5 | 32¢ | $2 | 0x5174e2… |
| 07-31 22:09:36 | Present-Lava 0x3e16…5026 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 67¢ | $4 | 0xd2237f… |
| 07-31 22:09:36 | Arctic-Kickoff 0xa667…ceb3 | No | SELL | 5 | 33¢ | $2 | 0xd2237f… |
| 07-31 14:41:00 | Jam-Packed-Dividend 0xc456…8996 | Yes | BUY | 55 | 65¢ | $36 | 0xa0da48… |
| 07-31 14:41:00 | Kaleidoscopic-Outhouse 0xe457…5ab3 | Yes | SELL | 55 | 65¢ | $36 | 0xa0da48… |
| 07-31 14:40:59 | (anonymous) 0x0f57…4139 | Yes | BUY | 3 | 67¢ | $2 | 0xf1dfd1… |
| 07-31 14:40:59 | Present-Lava 0x3e16…5026 | Yes | SELL | 3 | 67¢ | $2 | 0xf1dfd1… |
| 07-31 14:40:57 | Rusty-Fava 0x05ab…8145 | Yes | BUY | 945 | 66¢ | $624 | 0xc3974f… |
| 07-31 14:40:57 | (anonymous) 0x798b…cdd1 | Yes | SELL | 1,000 | 66¢ | $660 | 0xc3974f… |
| 07-31 14:40:57 | Kaleidoscopic-Outhouse 0xe457…5ab3 | Yes | BUY | 55 | 66¢ | $36 | 0xc3974f… |
| 07-31 08:09:14 | (anonymous) 0x197f…4980 | No | BUY | 44 | 32¢ | $14 | 0x7429cc… |
| 07-31 08:09:14 | Arctic-Kickoff 0xa667…ceb3 | No | SELL | 44 | 32¢ | $14 | 0x7429cc… |
| 07-30 22:41:08 | Arctic-Kickoff 0xa667…ceb3 | No | SELL | 20 | 32¢ | $6 | 0xf6cf93… |
| 07-30 22:41:08 | Treasured-Total 0xeab5…f570 | No | BUY | 20 | 32¢ | $6 | 0xf6cf93… |
| 07-30 16:19:00 | Square-Ore 0x7d58…462d | Yes | SELL | 40 | 66¢ | $27 | 0x987a93… |
| 07-30 16:19:00 | Rusty-Fava 0x05ab…8145 | Yes | BUY | 40 | 66¢ | $27 | 0x987a93… |
| 07-30 15:09:14 | Zealous-Dancer 0x5d5f…55a8 | Yes | BUY | 100 | 67¢ | $67 | 0xfa4a47… |
| 07-30 15:09:14 | (anonymous) 0xf3fa…7be3 | Yes | BUY | 140 | 67¢ | $94 | 0xfa4a47… |
| 07-30 15:09:14 | Square-Ore 0x7d58…462d | Yes | BUY | 40 | 67¢ | $27 | 0xfa4a47… |
| 07-30 15:09:14 | Gloomy-Disgust 0xce03…5608 | No | BUY | 287 | 33¢ | $95 | 0xfa4a47… |
| 07-30 15:09:14 | Spotted-Logo 0x2099…3024 | No | SELL | 7 | 32¢ | $2 | 0xfa4a47… |
| 07-30 07:04:17 | Snappy-Rooster 0xc602…7fc1 | Yes | SELL | 100 | 69¢ | $69 | 0xc64165… |
| 07-30 07:04:17 | Treasured-Total 0xeab5…f570 | No | BUY | 5 | 32¢ | $2 | 0xc64165… |
| 07-30 07:04:17 | Jam-Packed-Dividend 0xc456…8996 | No | BUY | 95 | 31¢ | $29 | 0xc64165… |
| 07-30 07:04:17 | Tricky-Linkage 0xea5b…0e03 | Yes | BUY | 200 | 69¢ | $138 | 0xc64165… |
| 07-30 03:04:39 | (anonymous) 0xcf39…7032 | No | SELL | 15 | 32¢ | $5 | 0x207f44… |
| 07-30 03:04:39 | Treasured-Total 0xeab5…f570 | No | BUY | 10 | 32¢ | $3 | 0x207f44… |
| 07-30 03:01:05 | Crazy-Cranberry 0xaa81…aaf7 | Yes | SELL | 16 | 67¢ | $11 | 0xb86c02… |
| 07-30 03:01:05 | (anonymous) 0xf3fa…7be3 | Yes | BUY | 16 | 67¢ | $11 | 0xb86c02… |
| 07-30 00:39:11 | Treasured-Total 0xeab5…f570 | No | BUY | 5 | 33¢ | $2 | 0xe02a9e… |
| 07-30 00:39:11 | (anonymous) 0xf3fa…7be3 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 67¢ | $3 | 0xe02a9e… |
| 07-29 18:57:05 | Rusty-Fava 0x05ab…8145 | Yes | BUY | 15 | 66¢ | $10 | 0x37f4b1… |
| 07-29 18:57:05 | (anonymous) 0xcf39…7032 | No | BUY | 15 | 34¢ | $5 | 0x37f4b1… |
| 07-29 15:30:03 | Treasured-Total 0xeab5…f570 | No | BUY | 5 | 33¢ | $2 | 0xcd9e9c… |
| 07-29 15:30:03 | (anonymous) 0x601f…76ad | No | BUY | 1 | 30¢ | $0 | 0xcd9e9c… |
| 07-29 15:30:03 | (anonymous) 0x0f57…4139 | Yes | BUY | 6 | 67¢ | $4 | 0xcd9e9c… |
| 07-29 15:29:57 | (anonymous) 0xe1ea…18e7 | Yes | SELL | 308 | 65¢ | $200 | 0xa00ea1… |
| 07-29 15:29:57 | Present-Lava 0x3e16…5026 | Yes | BUY | 100 | 65¢ | $65 | 0xa00ea1… |
| 07-29 15:29:57 | Rusty-Fava 0x05ab…8145 | Yes | BUY | 108 | 64¢ | $69 | 0xa00ea1… |
| 07-29 14:20:17 | Rusty-Fava 0x05ab…8145 | Yes | BUY | 43 | 64¢ | $28 | 0x429fe2… |
| 07-29 14:20:17 | Spotted-Logo 0x2099…3024 | No | SELL | 7 | 35¢ | $2 | 0x429fe2… |
| 07-29 14:20:17 | (anonymous) 0x7a5c…767b | Yes | SELL | 50 | 64¢ | $32 | 0x429fe2… |
| 07-29 14:05:21 | Pleasing-Elm 0x4ffe…9f71 | No | SELL | 36 | 33¢ | $12 | 0x390cc2… |
| 07-29 14:05:21 | Kaleidoscopic-Outhouse 0xe457…5ab3 | Yes | SELL | 38 | 67¢ | $25 | 0x390cc2… |
| 07-29 14:05:21 | Boiling-Word 0x56ec…5f73 | Yes | BUY | 2 | 66¢ | $1 | 0x390cc2… |
| 07-29 14:01:53 | Spotted-Logo 0x2099…3024 | No | BUY | 14 | 31¢ | $4 | 0xe4ea98… |
| 07-29 14:01:53 | Mealy-Elbow 0x2a20…89d2 | No | SELL | 50 | 30¢ | $15 | 0xe4ea98… |
| 07-29 14:01:53 | Pleasing-Elm 0x4ffe…9f71 | No | BUY | 36 | 30¢ | $11 | 0xe4ea98… |
| 07-29 14:00:45 | Rusty-Fava 0x05ab…8145 | Yes | BUY | 30 | 64¢ | $19 | 0xf2bdde… |
| 07-29 14:00:45 | (anonymous) 0x6cb1…0f6e | Yes | SELL | 30 | 64¢ | $19 | 0xf2bdde… |
| 07-29 14:00:42 | (anonymous) 0xd62b…ceec | Yes | SELL | 30 | 64¢ | $19 | 0x7878be… |
| 07-29 14:00:42 | Rusty-Fava 0x05ab…8145 | Yes | BUY | 30 | 64¢ | $19 | 0x7878be… |
| 07-29 14:00:32 | (anonymous) 0xc8a2…c9b6 | Yes | SELL | 30 | 64¢ | $19 | 0xfa68d5… |
| 07-29 14:00:32 | Rusty-Fava 0x05ab…8145 | Yes | BUY | 30 | 64¢ | $19 | 0xfa68d5… |
| 07-29 14:00:20 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | Yes | BUY | 15 | 65¢ | $10 | 0x5b1ea6… |
| 07-29 14:00:20 | Querulous-Marble 0xf33e…0ab8 | Yes | SELL | 30 | 65¢ | $19 | 0x5b1ea6… |
| 07-29 14:00:20 | Rusty-Fava 0x05ab…8145 | Yes | BUY | 15 | 64¢ | $9 | 0x5b1ea6… |
| 07-29 14:00:08 | (anonymous) 0x601f…76ad | No | SELL | 8 | 35¢ | $3 | 0x2ad5f7… |
| 07-29 14:00:08 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | Yes | BUY | 17 | 66¢ | $11 | 0x2ad5f7… |
| 07-29 14:00:08 | Mealy-Elbow 0x2a20…89d2 | Yes | SELL | 50 | 65¢ | $32 | 0x2ad5f7… |
| 07-29 14:00:08 | Rusty-Fava 0x05ab…8145 | Yes | BUY | 25 | 64¢ | $16 | 0x2ad5f7… |
| 07-29 13:59:44 | Snappy-Rooster 0xc602…7fc1 | Yes | SELL | 30 | 70¢ | $21 | 0x475686… |
| 07-29 13:59:44 | (anonymous) 0xc8a2…c9b6 | No | SELL | 30 | 30¢ | $9 | 0x475686… |
| 07-29 13:58:15 | Kaleidoscopic-Outhouse 0xe457…5ab3 | Yes | SELL | 22 | 71¢ | $16 | 0x61a912… |
| 07-29 13:58:15 | (anonymous) 0x7a5c…767b | No | SELL | 22 | 29¢ | $6 | 0x61a912… |
| 07-29 13:58:08 | Mealy-Elbow 0x2a20…89d2 | No | BUY | 50 | 28¢ | $14 | 0x9993e3… |
| 07-29 13:58:08 | (anonymous) 0xe1ea…18e7 | Yes | BUY | 308 | 71¢ | $219 | 0x9993e3… |
| 07-29 13:58:08 | (anonymous) 0xc8a2…c9b6 | No | BUY | 30 | 28¢ | $8 | 0x9993e3… |
| 07-29 13:58:08 | Snappy-Rooster 0xc602…7fc1 | Yes | SELL | 41 | 69¢ | $28 | 0x9993e3… |
| 07-29 13:58:08 | Square-Ore 0x7d58…462d | Yes | SELL | 50 | 69¢ | $34 | 0x9993e3… |
| 07-29 13:58:08 | (anonymous) 0x7a5c…767b | No | BUY | 22 | 28¢ | $6 | 0x9993e3… |
| 07-29 13:58:08 | Treasured-Total 0xeab5…f570 | No | BUY | 10 | 31¢ | $3 | 0x9993e3… |
| 07-29 13:58:08 | (anonymous) 0x601f…76ad | No | BUY | 7 | 28¢ | $2 | 0x9993e3… |
| 07-29 13:58:08 | Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71 | Yes | SELL | 98 | 72¢ | $70 | 0x9993e3… |
| 07-29 13:51:32 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | Yes | BUY | 17 | 64¢ | $11 | 0xa9fc02… |
| 07-29 13:51:32 | (anonymous) 0x270b…e632 | Yes | SELL | 30 | 64¢ | $19 | 0xa9fc02… |
| 07-29 13:51:32 | (anonymous) 0x02c5…8356 | No | SELL | 13 | 37¢ | $5 | 0xa9fc02… |
| 07-29 13:51:30 | (anonymous) 0xa176…8679 | No | SELL | 11 | 35¢ | $4 | 0x864a47… |
| 07-29 13:51:30 | Jolly-Salt 0x0684…ba27 | Yes | BUY | 1,500 | 64¢ | $960 | 0x864a47… |
| 07-29 13:51:30 | (anonymous) 0x270b…e632 | Yes | BUY | 30 | 73¢ | $22 | 0x864a47… |
| 07-29 13:51:30 | Handy-Rivulet 0x747c…9ed5 | Yes | BUY | 20 | 71¢ | $14 | 0x864a47… |