Predict.fun FDV above $300M one day after launch?
open
Total volume
$87,381
$1,338 in 24h
Trades
913
Unique wallets
219
Liquidity
$49,198
Latest YES mid
82¢
Latest NO mid
18¢
End date
2028-01-01
First seen
2026-05-28
last 07-10 15:48
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
YES holders
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
SMI:
+8.8¢
(top1%: 80% YES on $4.6K
vs crowd: 71% YES on $35.8K)
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐋 Whale | 17 | $4.2K | $1.4K | +$2.9K |
| 🐬 Dolphin | 34 | $11.5K | $4.5K | +$7.0K |
| 🐟 Fish | 70 | $7.6K | $402 | +$7.2K |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 98 | $2.0K | $4.2K | $2.3K |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🎯 Top 1% | 5 | $3.6K | $933 | +$2.7K |
| 🏆 Top 5% | 21 | $6.8K | $1.4K | +$5.4K |
| ✅ Top 10% | 14 | $399 | $33 | +$366 |
| Median | 28 | $456 | — | +$456 |
| Below median | 25 | $2.7K | $529 | +$2.2K |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 8 | $996 | $160 | +$836 |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 14 | $657 | $62 | +$595 |
| 💀 Bottom 1% | 4 | $1.3K | $297 | +$971 |
| unranked | 100 | $8.4K | $7.1K | +$1.3K |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| (anonymous) 0x02c5…8356 | No | +13,904 | $3,754 | $3,754 | 17 | 06-04 13:48 |
| (anonymous) 0xc28f…ffed | No | +9,080 | $2,815 | $2,815 | 1 | 06-07 01:06 |
| Rusty-Fava 0x05ab…8145 | Yes | +3,362 | $2,322 | $2,322 | 12 | 07-10 15:48 |
| Hospitable-Maestro 0x2061…8ec9 | No | +3,333 | $933 | $933 | 1 | 06-02 14:49 |
| Sticky-Advocate 0x75cc…51a3 | Yes | +3,000 | $2,340 | $2,340 | 10 | 07-07 02:29 |
| Rusty-Fava 0x05ab…8145 | No | +2,948 | $569 | $1,269 | 58 | 07-09 01:53 |
| (anonymous) 0x527f…0ae5 | Yes | +2,000 | $1,540 | $1,540 | 1 | 06-26 09:33 |
| Mediocre-Grabbag 0x5c6c…998f | Yes | +1,746 | $1,230 | $1,230 | 2 | 06-02 11:53 |
| (anonymous) 0x60d1…0c8f | No | +1,277 | $373 | $373 | 3 | 06-05 14:37 |
| Sparse-Cookie 0x5a21…9318 | No | +951 | $296 | $296 | 4 | 06-22 05:09 |
| Sad-Magic 0xac9a…2286 | Yes | +878 | $588 | $588 | 7 | 06-10 08:05 |
| Bewitched-Future 0x753f…89b2 | Yes | +724 | $500 | $500 | 1 | 06-02 08:53 |
| Married-Bikini 0xdce8…8663 | Yes | +546 | $366 | $366 | 7 | 06-18 23:03 |
| Jolly-Salt 0x0684…ba27 | Yes | +500 | $335 | $335 | 1 | 06-11 18:00 |
| (anonymous) 0x8332…b8a5 | Yes | +360 | $272 | $272 | 2 | 06-30 09:03 |
| Vapid-Breakpoint 0xec41…1134 | Yes | +327 | $214 | $530 | 4 | 06-21 15:28 |
| (anonymous) 0xb6ae…de4c | Yes | +300 | $198 | $198 | 1 | 06-01 12:11 |
| Pesky-Discovery 0x6da8…ec45 | Yes | +276 | $200 | $200 | 1 | 06-17 21:09 |
| (anonymous) 0x091f…9dff | No | +273 | $60 | $60 | 2 | 07-06 09:54 |
| Unsightly-Young 0x2c1a…42d8 | Yes | +253 | $194 | $204 | 2 | 06-30 02:41 |
| (anonymous) 0x777f…c451 | Yes | +233 | $182 | $182 | 1 | 07-02 13:13 |
| Jagged-Wage 0x6053…790c | Yes | +172 | $122 | $122 | 3 | 06-20 09:16 |
| (anonymous) 0xc960…595e | Yes | +150 | $103 | $103 | 1 | 06-12 08:42 |
| Lanky-Monument 0xe9d5…6b9a | No | +146 | $42 | $42 | 1 | 06-02 12:00 |
| Imaginary-Synonym 0x60ee…548e | Yes | +145 | $100 | $100 | 1 | 06-12 05:47 |
| (anonymous) 0x654b…35e6 | Yes | +133 | $-145 | $3,461 | 15 | 06-29 16:38 |
| Active-Hypothermia 0xc3cd…816c | Yes | +114 | $47 | $2,917 | 27 | 07-10 15:48 |
| Black-Bathroom 0x5b57…0b88 | Yes | +109 | $86 | $86 | 1 | 07-08 06:03 |
| Kaleidoscopic-Bonsai 0x5d59…bdf3 | Yes | +100 | $72 | $72 | 1 | 06-13 16:24 |
| Twin-Ratio 0xde79…06ab | No | +100 | $28 | $28 | 1 | 06-17 21:09 |
| (anonymous) 0xfad9…aca8 | Yes | +97 | $68 | $68 | 3 | 06-20 05:51 |
| Weekly-Clarification 0x54a4…f169 | No | +95 | $24 | $24 | 2 | 06-04 22:00 |
| Treasured-Total 0xeab5…f570 | No | +90 | $19 | $96 | 38 | 07-09 20:03 |
| (anonymous) 0xad99…dbab | No | +79 | $23 | $23 | 1 | 06-20 09:16 |
| (anonymous) 0xe86b…8357 | No | +60 | $19 | $19 | 1 | 06-10 13:36 |
| Flamboyant-Porch 0xda20…cb8d | No | +50 | $10 | $10 | 1 | 07-10 15:48 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-10 15:48:26 | Kaleidoscopic-Outhouse 0xe457…5ab3 | No | SELL | 50 | 20¢ | $10 | 0x645dc2… |
| 07-10 15:48:26 | Flamboyant-Porch 0xda20…cb8d | No | BUY | 50 | 20¢ | $10 | 0x645dc2… |
| 07-10 15:48:26 | (anonymous) 0x0f57…4139 | Yes | BUY | 2 | 81¢ | $2 | 0x16275c… |
| 07-10 15:48:26 | Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71 | No | BUY | 2 | 19¢ | $0 | 0x16275c… |
| 07-10 15:48:25 | Active-Hypothermia 0xc3cd…816c | Yes | SELL | 71 | 79¢ | $56 | 0x9808b2… |
| 07-10 15:48:25 | Kaleidoscopic-Outhouse 0xe457…5ab3 | No | BUY | 50 | 21¢ | $10 | 0x9808b2… |
| 07-10 15:48:25 | Rusty-Fava 0x05ab…8145 | Yes | BUY | 365 | 79¢ | $288 | 0x9808b2… |
| 07-10 15:48:25 | Treasured-Total 0xeab5…f570 | Yes | SELL | 15 | 79¢ | $12 | 0x9808b2… |
| 07-09 20:03:38 | Active-Hypothermia 0xc3cd…816c | Yes | BUY | 71 | 78¢ | $56 | 0x441887… |
| 07-09 20:03:38 | Treasured-Total 0xeab5…f570 | No | SELL | 15 | 22¢ | $3 | 0x441887… |
| 07-09 20:03:38 | (anonymous) 0x378e…6acb | No | SELL | 714 | 22¢ | $157 | 0x441887… |
| 07-09 20:03:38 | Stylish-Isolation 0x8c46…ae13 | Yes | SELL | 800 | 78¢ | $624 | 0x441887… |
| 07-09 01:53:05 | (anonymous) 0xa121…56a3 | No | SELL | 6 | 21¢ | $1 | 0x7da80e… |
| 07-09 01:53:05 | Rusty-Fava 0x05ab…8145 | No | BUY | 6 | 21¢ | $1 | 0x7da80e… |
| 07-08 06:03:53 | Black-Bathroom 0x5b57…0b88 | Yes | BUY | 109 | 79¢ | $86 | 0xaa95e8… |
| 07-08 06:03:53 | Rusty-Fava 0x05ab…8145 | No | BUY | 109 | 21¢ | $23 | 0xaa95e8… |
| 07-07 04:49:34 | (anonymous) 0xf0cf…4b66 | Yes | SELL | 190 | 78¢ | $148 | 0x4835a7… |
| 07-07 04:49:34 | Active-Hypothermia 0xc3cd…816c | Yes | BUY | 190 | 78¢ | $148 | 0x4835a7… |
| 07-07 04:25:11 | Rusty-Fava 0x05ab…8145 | No | BUY | 3 | 21¢ | $1 | 0x2a56ae… |
| 07-07 04:25:11 | Aggravating-Fit 0x43c8…b5a0 | No | SELL | 3 | 21¢ | $1 | 0x2a56ae… |
| 07-07 02:29:46 | Sticky-Advocate 0x75cc…51a3 | Yes | BUY | 1,452 | 78¢ | $1,132 | 0xc6d1d6… |
| 07-07 02:29:46 | Active-Hypothermia 0xc3cd…816c | Yes | BUY | 39 | 78¢ | $30 | 0xc6d1d6… |
| 07-07 02:29:46 | Humming-Inventory 0xac9b…d4c5 | Yes | SELL | 1,490 | 78¢ | $1,163 | 0xc6d1d6… |
| 07-06 22:15:26 | Stylish-Isolation 0x8c46…ae13 | Yes | SELL | 300 | 78¢ | $234 | 0x853265… |
| 07-06 22:15:26 | Sticky-Advocate 0x75cc…51a3 | Yes | BUY | 300 | 78¢ | $234 | 0x853265… |
| 07-06 21:56:04 | Sticky-Advocate 0x75cc…51a3 | Yes | BUY | 17 | 78¢ | $13 | 0xbfa58b… |
| 07-06 21:56:04 | Bad-Pathway 0x4954…ac42 | Yes | SELL | 17 | 78¢ | $13 | 0xbfa58b… |
| 07-06 12:07:34 | (anonymous) 0xaa6d…617b | Yes | SELL | 5 | 78¢ | $4 | 0x7d67a0… |
| 07-06 12:07:34 | Sticky-Advocate 0x75cc…51a3 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 78¢ | $4 | 0x7d67a0… |
| 07-06 09:54:37 | Blushing-Netball 0x89d9…06d9 | Yes | BUY | 1 | 79¢ | $1 | 0x6d0650… |
| 07-06 09:54:37 | (anonymous) 0x091f…9dff | No | BUY | 136 | 22¢ | $30 | 0x111f2a… |
| 07-06 09:54:37 | Rusty-Fava 0x05ab…8145 | No | BUY | 1 | 21¢ | $0 | 0x6d0650… |
| 07-06 09:54:37 | Sticky-Advocate 0x75cc…51a3 | Yes | BUY | 136 | 78¢ | $106 | 0x111f2a… |
| 07-06 09:31:34 | Warlike-Shoemaker 0x4eb6…5e8a | No | BUY | 22 | 22¢ | $5 | 0xf01165… |
| 07-06 09:31:34 | Sticky-Advocate 0x75cc…51a3 | Yes | BUY | 22 | 78¢ | $17 | 0xf01165… |
| 07-06 07:21:23 | Well-Made-Fishbone 0x80ac…6ac9 | Yes | SELL | 581 | 78¢ | $453 | 0xe8bbde… |
| 07-06 07:21:23 | Sticky-Advocate 0x75cc…51a3 | Yes | BUY | 581 | 78¢ | $453 | 0xe8bbde… |
| 07-06 05:05:59 | (anonymous) 0x4f5b…d902 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 78¢ | $4 | 0x958def… |
| 07-06 05:05:59 | Sticky-Advocate 0x75cc…51a3 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 78¢ | $4 | 0x958def… |
| 07-06 00:21:31 | (anonymous) 0xc3fc…484a | No | SELL | 30 | 21¢ | $6 | 0x29621c… |
| 07-06 00:21:31 | Rusty-Fava 0x05ab…8145 | No | BUY | 30 | 21¢ | $6 | 0x29621c… |
| 07-06 00:21:31 | Sticky-Advocate 0x75cc…51a3 | Yes | BUY | 136 | 78¢ | $106 | 0xe9cb71… |
| 07-06 00:21:31 | (anonymous) 0x091f…9dff | No | BUY | 136 | 22¢ | $30 | 0xe9cb71… |
| 07-06 00:21:29 | Sticky-Advocate 0x75cc…51a3 | Yes | BUY | 345 | 78¢ | $269 | 0x511364… |
| 07-06 00:21:29 | Treasured-Total 0xeab5…f570 | No | BUY | 15 | 22¢ | $3 | 0x511364… |
| 07-06 00:21:29 | Active-Hypothermia 0xc3cd…816c | Yes | SELL | 300 | 78¢ | $234 | 0x511364… |
| 07-06 00:21:29 | (anonymous) 0xc3fc…484a | No | BUY | 30 | 22¢ | $7 | 0x511364… |
| 07-04 13:42:47 | Which-Portfolio 0x1af5…89ba | No | SELL | 60 | 23¢ | $14 | 0x100c49… |
| 07-04 13:42:47 | (anonymous) 0xf0cf…4b66 | Yes | SELL | 60 | 77¢ | $46 | 0x100c49… |
| 07-04 08:20:35 | Which-Portfolio 0x1af5…89ba | No | SELL | 250 | 23¢ | $58 | 0x6a66e0… |
| 07-04 08:20:35 | (anonymous) 0xf0cf…4b66 | Yes | SELL | 250 | 77¢ | $192 | 0x6a66e0… |
| 07-04 08:18:46 | Humming-Inventory 0xac9b…d4c5 | Yes | SELL | 2,000 | 77¢ | $1,540 | 0x73eaac… |
| 07-04 08:18:46 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | No | SELL | 60 | 23¢ | $14 | 0x73eaac… |
| 07-04 08:18:46 | Which-Portfolio 0x1af5…89ba | No | SELL | 1,940 | 23¢ | $446 | 0x73eaac… |
| 07-03 21:15:02 | (anonymous) 0x4f5b…d902 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 78¢ | $4 | 0x3c4519… |
| 07-03 21:15:02 | Present-Lava 0x3e16…5026 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 78¢ | $4 | 0x3c4519… |
| 07-03 15:57:08 | Present-Lava 0x3e16…5026 | Yes | SELL | 89 | 78¢ | $70 | 0x695b98… |
| 07-03 15:57:08 | Definite-Disruption 0xbaf1…47a4 | No | SELL | 89 | 22¢ | $20 | 0x695b98… |
| 07-03 03:07:31 | Fresh-Local 0xb45c…9cf5 | No | SELL | 135 | 21¢ | $29 | 0x0e78a3… |
| 07-03 03:07:31 | Rusty-Fava 0x05ab…8145 | No | BUY | 75 | 21¢ | $16 | 0x0e78a3… |
| 07-03 03:07:31 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | No | BUY | 60 | 22¢ | $13 | 0x0e78a3… |
| 07-03 02:44:34 | Firsthand-Booster 0xd7ee…9597 | No | SELL | 1,325 | 23¢ | $305 | 0x7e786e… |
| 07-03 02:44:34 | Humming-Inventory 0xac9b…d4c5 | Yes | SELL | 1,325 | 77¢ | $1,021 | 0x7e786e… |
| 07-03 02:44:17 | Shimmering-Action 0xaab6…607e | No | SELL | 128 | 23¢ | $30 | 0xe146fa… |
| 07-03 02:44:17 | Firsthand-Booster 0xd7ee…9597 | No | SELL | 2,667 | 23¢ | $613 | 0xe146fa… |
| 07-03 02:44:17 | Humming-Inventory 0xac9b…d4c5 | Yes | SELL | 3,096 | 77¢ | $2,384 | 0xe146fa… |
| 07-03 02:44:17 | Active-Hypothermia 0xc3cd…816c | Yes | BUY | 300 | 77¢ | $231 | 0xe146fa… |
| 07-02 16:38:58 | (anonymous) 0x8af6…bb84 | No | SELL | 70 | 21¢ | $15 | 0xafc707… |
| 07-02 16:38:58 | Rusty-Fava 0x05ab…8145 | No | BUY | 70 | 21¢ | $15 | 0xafc707… |
| 07-02 13:13:19 | Kaleidoscopic-Outhouse 0xe457…5ab3 | No | SELL | 30 | 21¢ | $6 | 0xbf9a22… |
| 07-02 13:13:19 | Rusty-Fava 0x05ab…8145 | No | BUY | 30 | 21¢ | $6 | 0xbf9a22… |
| 07-02 13:13:16 | (anonymous) 0x777f…c451 | Yes | BUY | 233 | 78¢ | $182 | 0x47080e… |
| 07-02 13:13:16 | Treasured-Total 0xeab5…f570 | No | BUY | 15 | 22¢ | $3 | 0x47080e… |
| 07-02 13:13:16 | Kaleidoscopic-Outhouse 0xe457…5ab3 | No | BUY | 30 | 22¢ | $7 | 0x47080e… |
| 07-02 13:13:16 | Present-Lava 0x3e16…5026 | Yes | SELL | 188 | 78¢ | $147 | 0x47080e… |
| 07-02 09:33:02 | Present-Lava 0x3e16…5026 | Yes | SELL | 6 | 78¢ | $5 | 0x07a1b7… |
| 07-02 09:33:02 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | No | SELL | 6 | 22¢ | $1 | 0x07a1b7… |
| 07-01 16:36:50 | Treasured-Total 0xeab5…f570 | Yes | SELL | 4 | 79¢ | $3 | 0x9a08a5… |
| 07-01 16:36:50 | (anonymous) 0xc135…21b0 | No | SELL | 98 | 21¢ | $21 | 0x9a08a5… |
| 07-01 16:36:50 | Rusty-Fava 0x05ab…8145 | No | BUY | 95 | 21¢ | $20 | 0x9a08a5… |
| 07-01 10:09:16 | Shimmering-Action 0xaab6…607e | No | SELL | 1 | 23¢ | $0 | 0x531a85… |
| 07-01 10:09:16 | (anonymous) 0x9161…08a6 | Yes | SELL | 1 | 77¢ | $1 | 0x531a85… |
| 07-01 10:00:19 | (anonymous) 0x9161…08a6 | Yes | BUY | 1 | 79¢ | $1 | 0xa4e449… |
| 07-01 10:00:19 | Treasured-Total 0xeab5…f570 | Yes | SELL | 1 | 79¢ | $1 | 0xa4e449… |
| 06-30 09:03:52 | Rusty-Fava 0x05ab…8145 | No | BUY | 274 | 22¢ | $60 | 0xb84274… |
| 06-30 09:03:52 | (anonymous) 0x8332…b8a5 | Yes | BUY | 250 | 78¢ | $195 | 0xb84274… |
| 06-30 09:03:52 | Worthwhile-Sock 0x682c…17ae | No | SELL | 14 | 22¢ | $3 | 0xb84274… |
| 06-30 02:41:29 | Unsightly-Young 0x2c1a…42d8 | Yes | SELL | 6 | 79¢ | $5 | 0xf1d2e4… |
| 06-30 02:41:29 | Warlike-Shoemaker 0x4eb6…5e8a | No | SELL | 21 | 21¢ | $4 | 0xf1d2e4… |
| 06-30 02:41:29 | Treasured-Total 0xeab5…f570 | Yes | SELL | 15 | 79¢ | $12 | 0xf1d2e4… |
| 06-30 02:35:59 | (anonymous) 0x1692…0b9c | Yes | SELL | 99 | 77¢ | $76 | 0xa1c6f0… |
| 06-30 02:35:59 | Shimmering-Action 0xaab6…607e | No | SELL | 99 | 23¢ | $23 | 0xa1c6f0… |
| 06-29 23:18:49 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | No | SELL | 20 | 23¢ | $5 | 0x62bce5… |
| 06-29 23:18:49 | Worthwhile-Sock 0x682c…17ae | No | SELL | 0 | 23¢ | $0 | 0x62bce5… |
| 06-29 23:18:49 | Warlike-Shoemaker 0x4eb6…5e8a | No | BUY | 21 | 23¢ | $5 | 0x62bce5… |
| 06-29 23:18:10 | Warlike-Shoemaker 0x4eb6…5e8a | No | SELL | 20 | 22¢ | $4 | 0x637003… |
| 06-29 23:18:10 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | No | BUY | 20 | 22¢ | $4 | 0x637003… |
| 06-29 22:51:11 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | No | SELL | 6 | 23¢ | $1 | 0x5b201c… |
| 06-29 22:51:11 | Warlike-Shoemaker 0x4eb6…5e8a | No | BUY | 21 | 23¢ | $5 | 0x5b201c… |
| 06-29 22:51:11 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | No | SELL | 15 | 23¢ | $4 | 0x5b201c… |