Predict.fun FDV above $300M one day after launch?
open
Total volume
$64,433
$1,338 in 24h
Trades
448
Unique wallets
176
Liquidity
$49,198
Latest YES mid
70¢
Latest NO mid
30¢
End date
2028-01-01
First seen
2026-05-28
last 06-19 13:56
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
YES holders
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
SMI:
+11.6¢
(top1%: 80% YES on $4.6K
vs crowd: 68% YES on $27.8K)
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐋 Whale | 14 | $3.3K | $372 | +$2.9K |
| 🐬 Dolphin | 24 | $9.1K | $1.4K | +$7.7K |
| 🐟 Fish | 60 | $4.9K | $3.0K | +$1.9K |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 78 | $1.7K | $4.1K | $2.4K |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🎯 Top 1% | 4 | $3.6K | $933 | +$2.7K |
| 🏆 Top 5% | 21 | $6.0K | $172 | +$5.8K |
| ✅ Top 10% | 13 | $375 | $3 | +$372 |
| Median | 24 | $455 | — | +$455 |
| Below median | 20 | $380 | $410 | $30 |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 7 | $996 | $160 | +$836 |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 11 | $458 | $62 | +$396 |
| 💀 Bottom 1% | 5 | $1.3K | $296 | +$972 |
| unranked | 71 | $5.4K | $6.9K | $1.5K |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| (anonymous) 0x02c5…8356 | No | +13,904 | $3,754 | $3,754 | 17 | 06-04 13:48 |
| (anonymous) 0xc28f…ffed | No | +9,080 | $2,815 | $2,815 | 1 | 06-07 01:06 |
| Hospitable-Maestro 0x2061…8ec9 | No | +3,333 | $933 | $933 | 1 | 06-02 14:49 |
| Rusty-Fava 0x05ab…8145 | Yes | +2,997 | $2,033 | $2,033 | 11 | 06-11 18:00 |
| (anonymous) 0x654b…35e6 | Yes | +2,475 | $1,658 | $1,658 | 2 | 06-11 18:00 |
| Mediocre-Grabbag 0x5c6c…998f | Yes | +1,746 | $1,230 | $1,230 | 2 | 06-02 11:53 |
| (anonymous) 0x60d1…0c8f | No | +1,277 | $373 | $373 | 3 | 06-05 14:37 |
| Sparse-Cookie 0x5a21…9318 | No | +948 | $296 | $296 | 3 | 06-17 11:49 |
| Sad-Magic 0xac9a…2286 | Yes | +878 | $588 | $588 | 7 | 06-10 08:05 |
| Bewitched-Future 0x753f…89b2 | Yes | +724 | $500 | $500 | 1 | 06-02 08:53 |
| Married-Bikini 0xdce8…8663 | Yes | +546 | $366 | $366 | 7 | 06-18 23:03 |
| Vapid-Breakpoint 0xec41…1134 | Yes | +527 | $364 | $380 | 3 | 06-15 18:33 |
| (anonymous) 0xf0cf…4b66 | Yes | +505 | $353 | $353 | 4 | 06-18 13:49 |
| Jolly-Salt 0x0684…ba27 | Yes | +500 | $335 | $335 | 1 | 06-11 18:00 |
| Active-Hypothermia 0xc3cd…816c | Yes | +414 | $275 | $1,759 | 16 | 06-18 13:49 |
| Present-Lava 0x3e16…5026 | Yes | +360 | $241 | $454 | 9 | 06-18 13:49 |
| (anonymous) 0xb6ae…de4c | Yes | +300 | $198 | $198 | 1 | 06-01 12:11 |
| Pesky-Discovery 0x6da8…ec45 | Yes | +276 | $200 | $200 | 1 | 06-17 21:09 |
| Humming-Inventory 0xac9b…d4c5 | Yes | +252 | $158 | $6,856 | 5 | 06-11 18:00 |
| (anonymous) 0xc960…595e | Yes | +150 | $103 | $103 | 1 | 06-12 08:42 |
| Lanky-Monument 0xe9d5…6b9a | No | +146 | $42 | $42 | 1 | 06-02 12:00 |
| Imaginary-Synonym 0x60ee…548e | Yes | +145 | $100 | $100 | 1 | 06-12 05:47 |
| (anonymous) 0x8332…b8a5 | Yes | +110 | $77 | $77 | 1 | 06-12 16:32 |
| Kaleidoscopic-Bonsai 0x5d59…bdf3 | Yes | +100 | $72 | $72 | 1 | 06-13 16:24 |
| Twin-Ratio 0xde79…06ab | No | +100 | $28 | $28 | 1 | 06-17 21:09 |
| Weekly-Clarification 0x54a4…f169 | No | +95 | $24 | $24 | 2 | 06-04 22:00 |
| (anonymous) 0xfad9…aca8 | Yes | +74 | $51 | $51 | 2 | 06-07 15:23 |
| (anonymous) 0x8af6…bb84 | No | +70 | $18 | $18 | 5 | 06-14 15:42 |
| Naive-Waterwheel 0x10b2…4ceb | No | +63 | $20 | $20 | 2 | 06-17 11:49 |
| Spectacular-Ranger 0x6e6d…76f5 | Yes | +61 | $41 | $239 | 3 | 06-19 13:06 |
| (anonymous) 0xe86b…8357 | No | +60 | $19 | $19 | 1 | 06-10 13:36 |
| (anonymous) 0x925a…f115 | Yes | +26 | $17 | $17 | 1 | 06-01 12:44 |
| (anonymous) 0x2e31…c66d | No | +22 | $10 | $10 | 1 | 06-15 18:33 |
| Bogus-Counseling 0x8a93…82b5 | Yes | +22 | $15 | $15 | 1 | 06-09 10:32 |
| Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | Yes | +20 | $14 | $14 | 1 | 06-16 13:37 |
| (anonymous) 0x5ab4…50ac | Yes | +20 | $14 | $14 | 1 | 06-17 11:49 |
| Serpentine-Merchant 0x3d70…e9b0 | Yes | +20 | $15 | $15 | 1 | 06-04 18:54 |
| Spicy-Point 0xd8ae…e484 | Yes | +20 | $14 | $14 | 1 | 06-11 18:00 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06-19 13:56:16 | Shimmering-Action 0xaab6…607e | No | SELL | 20 | 30¢ | $6 | 0x97261c… |
| 06-19 13:56:16 | (anonymous) 0x0e53…dcde | Yes | SELL | 20 | 70¢ | $14 | 0x97261c… |
| 06-19 13:06:58 | (anonymous) 0xc97e…ea6f | No | SELL | 144 | 29¢ | $42 | 0xdb9f5e… |
| 06-19 13:06:58 | Spectacular-Ranger 0x6e6d…76f5 | Yes | SELL | 139 | 71¢ | $99 | 0xdb9f5e… |
| 06-19 13:06:58 | Treasured-Total 0xeab5…f570 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 71¢ | $4 | 0xdb9f5e… |
| 06-19 09:55:46 | Shimmering-Action 0xaab6…607e | No | SELL | 48 | 30¢ | $14 | 0xf9887e… |
| 06-19 09:55:46 | Treasured-Total 0xeab5…f570 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 70¢ | $4 | 0xf9887e… |
| 06-19 09:55:46 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | Yes | SELL | 43 | 70¢ | $30 | 0xf9887e… |
| 06-18 23:03:16 | Married-Bikini 0xdce8…8663 | Yes | BUY | 91 | 67¢ | $61 | 0x90e692… |
| 06-18 23:03:16 | (anonymous) 0xd212…d6f7 | Yes | SELL | 200 | 66¢ | $133 | 0x90e692… |
| 06-18 23:03:16 | Which-Portfolio 0x1af5…89ba | No | SELL | 109 | 34¢ | $37 | 0x90e692… |
| 06-18 14:59:25 | (anonymous) 0x601f…76ad | No | BUY | 2 | 27¢ | $0 | 0xa60ba8… |
| 06-18 14:59:25 | (anonymous) 0xd555…e788 | No | SELL | 2 | 27¢ | $0 | 0xa60ba8… |
| 06-18 13:49:07 | (anonymous) 0xf0cf…4b66 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 69¢ | $3 | 0xad4e45… |
| 06-18 13:49:07 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | Yes | BUY | 10 | 71¢ | $7 | 0xad4e45… |
| 06-18 13:49:07 | (anonymous) 0x601f…76ad | No | SELL | 10 | 29¢ | $3 | 0xad4e45… |
| 06-18 13:49:07 | Worthwhile-Sock 0x682c…17ae | No | SELL | 11 | 31¢ | $3 | 0xad4e45… |
| 06-18 13:49:07 | Treasured-Total 0xeab5…f570 | No | SELL | 10 | 32¢ | $3 | 0xad4e45… |
| 06-18 13:49:07 | Active-Hypothermia 0xc3cd…816c | Yes | BUY | 300 | 67¢ | $201 | 0xad4e45… |
| 06-18 13:49:07 | Married-Bikini 0xdce8…8663 | Yes | BUY | 209 | 67¢ | $140 | 0xad4e45… |
| 06-18 13:49:07 | Present-Lava 0x3e16…5026 | Yes | BUY | 100 | 69¢ | $69 | 0xad4e45… |
| 06-18 13:49:07 | Orange-Cynic 0x4ce3…2f6c | Yes | SELL | 943 | 68¢ | $642 | 0xad4e45… |
| 06-18 13:49:07 | (anonymous) 0xbfab…97af | No | SELL | 78 | 32¢ | $25 | 0xad4e45… |
| 06-18 03:57:43 | Happy-Spray 0x5d5f…e612 | No | SELL | 10 | 27¢ | $3 | 0x88d45c… |
| 06-18 03:57:43 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | Yes | SELL | 10 | 73¢ | $7 | 0x88d45c… |
| 06-17 21:09:38 | Pesky-Discovery 0x6da8…ec45 | Yes | BUY | 276 | 72¢ | $200 | 0xb2bc4b… |
| 06-17 21:09:38 | (anonymous) 0x601f…76ad | No | BUY | 10 | 30¢ | $3 | 0xb2bc4b… |
| 06-17 21:09:38 | Twin-Ratio 0xde79…06ab | No | BUY | 100 | 28¢ | $28 | 0xb2bc4b… |
| 06-17 21:09:38 | Treasured-Total 0xeab5…f570 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 71¢ | $4 | 0xb2bc4b… |
| 06-17 21:09:38 | Present-Lava 0x3e16…5026 | Yes | SELL | 40 | 74¢ | $30 | 0xb2bc4b… |
| 06-17 13:52:01 | (anonymous) 0xbfab…97af | No | SELL | 3 | 32¢ | $1 | 0x8f6748… |
| 06-17 13:52:01 | (anonymous) 0xe171…e065 | Yes | SELL | 17 | 69¢ | $12 | 0x8f6748… |
| 06-17 13:52:01 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | Yes | BUY | 14 | 69¢ | $10 | 0x8f6748… |
| 06-17 11:49:31 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | Yes | BUY | 28 | 69¢ | $19 | 0x623137… |
| 06-17 11:49:31 | Naive-Waterwheel 0x10b2…4ceb | No | BUY | 28 | 31¢ | $9 | 0x623137… |
| 06-17 11:49:28 | (anonymous) 0xf0cf…4b66 | Yes | BUY | 251 | 70¢ | $176 | 0xc4058b… |
| 06-17 11:49:28 | (anonymous) 0x5ab4…50ac | Yes | BUY | 20 | 69¢ | $14 | 0xc4058b… |
| 06-17 11:49:28 | Sparse-Cookie 0x5a21…9318 | No | BUY | 290 | 30¢ | $88 | 0xc4058b… |
| 06-17 11:49:28 | (anonymous) 0xbfab…97af | No | SELL | 19 | 32¢ | $6 | 0xc4058b… |
| 06-17 07:42:28 | (anonymous) 0xf0cf…4b66 | Yes | BUY | 49 | 70¢ | $34 | 0x7e16ad… |
| 06-17 07:42:28 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | Yes | SELL | 49 | 70¢ | $34 | 0x7e16ad… |
| 06-17 07:36:29 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | Yes | SELL | 8 | 71¢ | $6 | 0xbb2fc1… |
| 06-17 07:36:29 | (anonymous) 0x601f…76ad | No | SELL | 8 | 29¢ | $2 | 0xbb2fc1… |
| 06-16 16:41:34 | Married-Bikini 0xdce8…8663 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 67¢ | $3 | 0x70ca32… |
| 06-16 16:41:34 | (anonymous) 0x532c…8b34 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 67¢ | $3 | 0x70ca32… |
| 06-16 16:41:25 | (anonymous) 0x601f…76ad | No | BUY | 8 | 28¢ | $2 | 0x8a0558… |
| 06-16 16:41:25 | (anonymous) 0xf528…7e5b | Yes | SELL | 5 | 72¢ | $4 | 0x8a0558… |
| 06-16 16:41:25 | Treasured-Total 0xeab5…f570 | Yes | SELL | 0 | 72¢ | $0 | 0x8a0558… |
| 06-16 16:41:25 | (anonymous) 0x532c…8b34 | No | SELL | 14 | 28¢ | $4 | 0x8a0558… |
| 06-16 15:18:28 | (anonymous) 0x532c…8b34 | No | BUY | 8 | 33¢ | $3 | 0x6fd1b0… |
| 06-16 15:18:28 | Married-Bikini 0xdce8…8663 | Yes | BUY | 8 | 67¢ | $5 | 0x6fd1b0… |
| 06-16 13:58:58 | (anonymous) 0x532c…8b34 | No | BUY | 6 | 33¢ | $2 | 0x54d57e… |
| 06-16 13:58:58 | Married-Bikini 0xdce8…8663 | Yes | BUY | 6 | 67¢ | $4 | 0x54d57e… |
| 06-16 13:37:50 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | Yes | BUY | 20 | 68¢ | $14 | 0xfcb0e4… |
| 06-16 13:37:50 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | Yes | BUY | 14 | 68¢ | $10 | 0xfcb0e4… |
| 06-16 13:37:50 | Naive-Waterwheel 0x10b2…4ceb | No | BUY | 35 | 32¢ | $11 | 0xfcb0e4… |
| 06-16 13:37:47 | Treasured-Total 0xeab5…f570 | No | SELL | 9 | 32¢ | $3 | 0xf03343… |
| 06-16 13:37:47 | (anonymous) 0x532c…8b34 | No | SELL | 7 | 28¢ | $2 | 0xf03343… |
| 06-16 13:37:47 | Sparse-Cookie 0x5a21…9318 | No | BUY | 320 | 30¢ | $97 | 0xf03343… |
| 06-16 13:37:47 | Daring-Liquor 0x33db…417a | No | SELL | 141 | 33¢ | $47 | 0xd1562e… |
| 06-16 13:37:47 | Sparse-Cookie 0x5a21…9318 | No | BUY | 337 | 33¢ | $111 | 0xd1562e… |
| 06-16 13:37:47 | Spectacular-Ranger 0x6e6d…76f5 | Yes | BUY | 190 | 70¢ | $133 | 0xf03343… |
| 06-16 13:37:47 | Present-Lava 0x3e16…5026 | Yes | BUY | 100 | 69¢ | $69 | 0xf03343… |
| 06-16 13:37:47 | Treasured-Total 0xeab5…f570 | No | SELL | 1 | 32¢ | $0 | 0xd1562e… |
| 06-16 13:37:47 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | Yes | BUY | 5 | 71¢ | $4 | 0xf03343… |
| 06-16 13:37:47 | Married-Bikini 0xdce8…8663 | Yes | BUY | 195 | 67¢ | $130 | 0xd1562e… |
| 06-16 13:27:25 | (anonymous) 0x2e31…c66d | Yes | SELL | 7 | 71¢ | $5 | 0x49fa65… |
| 06-16 13:27:25 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | Yes | BUY | 7 | 71¢ | $5 | 0x49fa65… |
| 06-16 12:29:21 | (anonymous) 0x2e31…c66d | Yes | BUY | 7 | 72¢ | $5 | 0x196e62… |
| 06-16 12:29:21 | (anonymous) 0x532c…8b34 | No | BUY | 7 | 28¢ | $2 | 0x196e62… |
| 06-16 12:17:39 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | Yes | SELL | 5 | 73¢ | $4 | 0x013739… |
| 06-16 12:17:39 | (anonymous) 0x532c…8b34 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 73¢ | $4 | 0x013739… |
| 06-16 11:32:46 | Grizzled-Strudel 0xb980…73b0 | Yes | SELL | 27 | 70¢ | $19 | 0xef8317… |
| 06-16 11:32:46 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | Yes | BUY | 27 | 70¢ | $19 | 0xef8317… |
| 06-16 11:32:27 | Spectacular-Ranger 0x6e6d…76f5 | Yes | BUY | 10 | 70¢ | $7 | 0xf7bd01… |
| 06-16 11:32:27 | Treasured-Total 0xeab5…f570 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 70¢ | $4 | 0xf7bd01… |
| 06-15 20:20:16 | (anonymous) 0x2e31…c66d | Yes | SELL | 35 | 67¢ | $23 | 0x17c11c… |
| 06-15 20:20:16 | (anonymous) 0x9474…5091 | No | SELL | 15 | 33¢ | $5 | 0x17c11c… |
| 06-15 20:20:16 | Daring-Liquor 0x33db…417a | No | SELL | 19 | 33¢ | $6 | 0x17c11c… |
| 06-15 18:33:24 | Vapid-Breakpoint 0xec41…1134 | Yes | BUY | 27 | 53¢ | $14 | 0x1ddd4c… |
| 06-15 18:33:24 | (anonymous) 0x2e31…c66d | No | BUY | 22 | 47¢ | $10 | 0x1ddd4c… |
| 06-15 18:33:24 | Treasured-Total 0xeab5…f570 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 54¢ | $3 | 0x1ddd4c… |
| 06-15 18:23:04 | (anonymous) 0x2e31…c66d | Yes | SELL | 27 | 56¢ | $15 | 0x46a082… |
| 06-15 18:23:04 | Grizzled-Strudel 0xb980…73b0 | Yes | BUY | 27 | 56¢ | $15 | 0x46a082… |
| 06-15 18:23:03 | (anonymous) 0x2e31…c66d | Yes | SELL | 5 | 56¢ | $3 | 0xb47419… |
| 06-15 18:23:03 | Treasured-Total 0xeab5…f570 | No | SELL | 5 | 44¢ | $2 | 0xb47419… |
| 06-15 17:38:39 | (anonymous) 0x2e31…c66d | Yes | BUY | 22 | 74¢ | $16 | 0xa73ba2… |
| 06-15 17:38:39 | Rusty-Fava 0x05ab…8145 | No | BUY | 22 | 26¢ | $6 | 0xa73ba2… |
| 06-15 14:59:54 | Untidy-Online 0x40c5…72b9 | Yes | BUY | 13 | 71¢ | $9 | 0xaf9aaf… |
| 06-15 14:59:54 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | Yes | SELL | 33 | 71¢ | $23 | 0xaf9aaf… |
| 06-15 14:59:54 | Wet-Bungalow 0xc797…5508 | Yes | BUY | 20 | 71¢ | $14 | 0xaf9aaf… |
| 06-14 21:42:55 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | Yes | BUY | 34 | 71¢ | $24 | 0x1ab188… |
| 06-14 21:42:55 | Separate-Posterior 0x8b33…3134 | Yes | SELL | 34 | 71¢ | $24 | 0x1ab188… |
| 06-14 17:27:07 | Instructive-Lab 0x178c…6ce8 | Yes | SELL | 50 | 71¢ | $35 | 0x73d310… |
| 06-14 17:27:07 | (anonymous) 0x5713…a086 | No | SELL | 5 | 30¢ | $2 | 0x73d310… |
| 06-14 17:27:07 | Treasured-Total 0xeab5…f570 | No | SELL | 5 | 29¢ | $1 | 0x73d310… |
| 06-14 17:27:07 | Blond-Roof 0x38e3…7503 | Yes | BUY | 20 | 71¢ | $14 | 0x73d310… |
| 06-14 17:27:07 | Golden-Caramel 0x2123…eb85 | Yes | BUY | 20 | 71¢ | $14 | 0x73d310… |
| 06-14 15:42:27 | Instructive-Lab 0x178c…6ce8 | Yes | BUY | 8 | 74¢ | $6 | 0xddddb6… |
| 06-14 15:42:27 | (anonymous) 0x8af6…bb84 | No | BUY | 8 | 26¢ | $2 | 0xddddb6… |