Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$5.81K

Unrealized P&L

-$16

Hit rate

6.6%

Resolved

2,087

Trades

14,898

lifetime

Volume

$308.3K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$21

Open exposure

10 positions

First seen

2026-07-01

last 10-27 02:47

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 116 days

Categories

Other

58% 11% -$3,734

Politics

26% 6% -$1,594

Crypto

8% 14% -$108

Sports

4% 9% -$189

Tech

2% 2% -$176

Pop-Culture

0% 0% -$8

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

85 active days in 12wk • peak 261 trades/day

Open positions (10) Resolved markets (3) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
russia coup attempt in 2026	Yes	-100	$1	3¢	$-3	-$4	10-06 20:07
Extended FDV above $1B one day after launch?	Yes	+60	$5	5¢	$3	-$2	10-21 07:09
Will 1 Fed rate hike happen in 2026?	No	+0	$4	78¢	$0	-$4	07-09 19:05
will jd vance visit ukraine by december 31 2026 20260729210126059	No	+0	$3	95¢	$0	-$3	08-22 10:17
Will the Democratic Party win the OH-07 House seat?	Yes	+0	$0	89¢	$0	+$0	08-02 02:21
Will Variational launch a token by December 31, 2026?	Yes	+0	$0	80¢	$0	$0	07-08 12:11
Will no listed leader be out before 2027?	No	+0	$0	56¢	$0	$0	07-08 10:12
Major meteor strike (10kt+) in 2026?	Yes	+0	$2	4¢	$0	-$2	07-09 22:18
Ink FDV above $1B one day after launch?	Yes	+0	$0	7¢	$0	$0	09-18 11:04
Will Fomo launch a token by December 31 2026?	Yes	+0	$0	4¢	$0	$0	10-15 14:45

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Macky Sall be the next Secretary-General of the United Nations?	23	$1.1K	850	850	+0	open	—	10-23 20:57
Will FaZe win a Tier 1 event in 2026?	14	$1.0K	650	650	+0	open	—	10-13 16:13
Will the next Google Gemini Pro model added to the Arena Leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1480?	12	$869	475	475	+0	open	—	09-22 15:01
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $4.0T by December 31?	12	$756	500	500	+0	open	—	10-06 01:57
José Luis Rodríguez Zapatero sentenced to prison?	10	$751	400	400	+0	open	—	10-15 23:27
Will María Fernanda Espinosa be the next Secretary-General of the United Nations?	7	$721	400	400	+0	open	—	10-08 17:57
Will Mohammed bin Salman cease to be the de facto leader of Saudi Arabia by December 31, 2026?	10	$674	450	450	+0	open	—	10-08 17:47
Will Philadelphia Eagles win the 2027 NFL NFC Championship?	12	$628	490	490	+0	open	—	09-20 21:37
Will there be at least 10000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?	19	$626	561	561	+0	open	—	09-18 03:17
Ukraine election called by December 31, 2026?	10	$587	440	440	+0	open	—	10-20 13:17
Will China blockade Taiwan in 2026?	8	$576	400	400	+0	open	—	10-22 12:37
Will Donald Trump attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?	12	$575	533	533	+0	open	—	10-06 10:17
Will Ahmad Vahidi attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?	11	$574	380	380	+0	open	—	09-17 19:27
Will Trump recognize Somaliland before 2027?	21	$563	379	379	+0	open	—	09-22 09:57
LAPTOP listed on Upbit within 30 days of TGE?	6	$561	300	300	+0	No	-$18	10-07 19:27
Will Jean-Luc Mélenchon be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?	10	$552	294	294	+0	open	—	10-24 05:07
Epic Games IPO before 2027?	15	$546	524	524	+0	open	—	10-05 18:07
Will Detroit Lions win the 2027 NFL NFC Championship?	6	$545	300	300	+0	open	—	10-26 00:27
Will Marco Rubio attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?	6	$525	300	300	+0	open	—	10-19 14:34
Yoon out of custody before 2027?	14	$523	650	650	+0	open	—	10-17 06:07
Will Houston Astros win the 2026 American League Championship Series?	7	$505	278	278	+0	No	-$2	09-11 03:07
Ink FDV above $3B one day after launch?	15	$499	263	263	+0	open	—	10-24 11:27
Will the Fed’s upper bound reach 4.5% or higher before 2027?	20	$497	369	369	+0	open	—	10-22 19:27
Will Miami Hurricanes win the 2027 CFP National Championship?	8	$489	271	271	+0	open	—	10-06 22:37
will anthropics valuation hit low 800b by december 31 957 743	10	$482	315	315	+0	open	—	10-25 01:27
Will Joe Biden be arrested before 2027?	2	$477	250	250	+0	open	—	07-17 00:56
Weed rescheduled by December 31?	11	$476	330	330	+0	open	—	10-21 03:57
Will Dune: Messiah get the most Oscar nominations at the 99th Academy Awards?	11	$475	400	400	+0	open	—	10-19 15:07
Will the 2026 United Left primary for the 2027 French presidential election be canceled?	6	$467	250	250	+0	Yes	-$2	09-07 09:47
Will ZywOo reach 36 HLTV MVP awards by December 31, 2026?	6	$462	250	250	+0	open	—	09-27 23:47

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-27 03:47:15	Will Toluca win the 2026 Liga MX Apertura?	No	SELL	100	88¢	$88	0xc674bf…
10-27 03:41:39	Will Toluca win the 2026 Liga MX Apertura?	No	BUY	100	89¢	$89	0x4a47c8…
10-27 02:47:20	Will Xiaomi be added to the Chinese Military Companies list by June 30, 2027?	Yes	SELL	40	16¢	$6	0x74c6a9…
10-27 01:07:20	New "Stranger Things" episode released by December 31?	Yes	SELL	40	2¢	$1	0x5cde57…
10-27 01:04:02	New "Stranger Things" episode released by December 31?	Yes	BUY	40	2¢	$1	0xa05db3…
10-27 00:47:15	Will United States host the 2028 Copa America?	No	SELL	30	7¢	$2	0x0dc5c1…
10-27 00:46:00	Will United States host the 2028 Copa America?	No	SELL	10	8¢	$1	0x0a4bd3…
10-27 00:44:45	Will United States host the 2028 Copa America?	No	BUY	40	8¢	$3	0xf086ee…
10-27 00:37:15	Houthis capture Taiz city by October 31?	No	SELL	100	91¢	$91	0xac712e…
10-27 00:37:15	Will Lisa Blunt Rochester vote "Yea" on the Clarity Act?	No	SELL	100	88¢	$88	0x7ebad9…
10-27 00:27:50	Will Lisa Blunt Rochester vote "Yea" on the Clarity Act?	No	BUY	100	94¢	$94	0xc6e3f4…
10-27 00:27:14	Ukraine lowers conscription age by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	2	93¢	$2	0xbc072c…
10-27 00:22:38	Ukraine lowers conscription age by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	2	94¢	$2	0xaa4004…
10-26 22:45:09	Will Kamala Harris announce a Presidential run before 2027?	Yes	SELL	40	6¢	$2	0xde6bc5…
10-26 22:43:18	Will Kamala Harris announce a Presidential run before 2027?	Yes	BUY	40	7¢	$3	0x1f15f5…
10-26 22:07:21	Will Mark Warner vote "Yea" on the Clarity Act?	Yes	SELL	100	7¢	$7	0x4eff05…
10-26 22:00:44	Will Mark Warner vote "Yea" on the Clarity Act?	Yes	BUY	100	8¢	$8	0x4bb5ce…
10-26 21:47:23	Will Guitarricadelafuente win Best Supporting Actor at the 99th Academy Awards?	No	SELL	40	72¢	$29	0x245354…
10-26 21:33:08	Houthis capture Taiz city by October 31?	No	BUY	100	97¢	$97	0x792a1d…
10-26 21:07:21	Will the Republicans win the South Carolina governor race in 2026?	No	SELL	40	3¢	$1	0x99bf63…
10-26 21:07:20	Will Bernie endorse James Talarico for TX-Sen by Nov 2 2026 ET?	Yes	SELL	4	7¢	$0	0xa27442…
10-26 21:07:20	Will the Democrats win the South Carolina governor race in 2026?	Yes	SELL	40	2¢	$1	0x95d286…
10-26 21:07:18	Will the Republican Party win the NC-14 House seat?	Yes	SELL	40	86¢	$34	0x7026eb…
10-26 21:07:18	Will the Democrats win the Michigan governor race in 2026?	No	SELL	100	6¢	$6	0x54ce96…
10-26 21:07:18	Will the Republicans win the Michigan governor race in 2026?	Yes	SELL	100	6¢	$6	0x1e5c6b…
10-26 21:06:42	Will Bernie endorse James Talarico for TX-Sen by Nov 2 2026 ET?	Yes	BUY	4	8¢	$0	0x33ae20…
10-26 20:58:23	Will the Republican Party win the NC-14 House seat?	Yes	BUY	40	87¢	$35	0xf495c9…
10-26 20:57:15	Will Aisha Wahab win the CA-14 House seat?	No	SELL	10	6¢	$1	0xcca53e…
10-26 20:57:14	Will the Democrats win the South Carolina governor race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	40	5¢	$2	0x9610b9…
10-26 20:57:14	Will the Republicans win the South Carolina governor race in 2026?	No	BUY	40	4¢	$2	0x2feb9a…
10-26 20:52:03	Will the Democrats win the Michigan governor race in 2026?	No	BUY	100	7¢	$7	0xea9973…
10-26 20:52:03	Will the Republicans win the Michigan governor race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	100	6¢	$6	0x89bf46…
10-26 20:34:18	Will Aisha Wahab win the CA-14 House seat?	No	SELL	30	9¢	$3	0xc5899a…
10-26 20:27:20	Will Bezalel Smotrich be the next Israeli Minister of Finance?	Yes	SELL	50	6¢	$3	0x86518d…
10-26 20:27:20	Will the Republican Party win the NJ-04 House seat?	No	SELL	40	3¢	$1	0x6440ad…
10-26 20:25:26	Will the Republican Party win the NJ-04 House seat?	No	BUY	40	5¢	$2	0x82d428…
10-26 20:25:17	Will Bezalel Smotrich be the next Israeli Minister of Finance?	Yes	BUY	30	7¢	$2	0xf491fd…
10-26 20:25:17	Will Bezalel Smotrich be the next Israeli Minister of Finance?	Yes	BUY	20	7¢	$1	0x6b68f6…
10-26 20:22:33	Will Aisha Wahab win the CA-14 House seat?	No	BUY	40	8¢	$3	0x2a8de9…
10-26 20:17:17	Will the Republican Party win the GA-07 House seat?	No	SELL	40	7¢	$3	0xc9b257…
10-26 20:17:17	Will the Democratic Party win the GA-07 House seat?	Yes	SELL	40	7¢	$3	0x8f2187…
10-26 20:17:15	Will Adam Schiff be arrested before 2027?	No	SELL	86	93¢	$80	0xc953d1…
10-26 20:16:47	Will the Democratic Party win the GA-07 House seat?	Yes	BUY	40	8¢	$3	0x8387c5…
10-26 20:16:47	Will the Republican Party win the GA-07 House seat?	No	BUY	40	8¢	$3	0x593383…
10-26 19:55:14	Will Pete Buttigieg announce a Presidential run before 2028?	No	BUY	40	19¢	$8	0xfdfc37…
10-26 19:17:17	Screwworm National Emergency declared by October 31?	Yes	SELL	40	1¢	$0	0xd13c9d…
10-26 19:08:41	Screwworm National Emergency declared by October 31?	Yes	BUY	40	4¢	$2	0x08c162…
10-26 18:57:15	Will Mark Kelly announce a Presidential run before 2027?	Yes	SELL	37	8¢	$3	0x9cb380…
10-26 18:47:20	Ukraine coup attempt by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	40	2¢	$1	0x87ae57…
10-26 18:43:11	Will João Pedro (Chelsea) be the top goalscorer of the 2026-27 Premier League season?	Yes	BUY	100	5¢	$5	0xeae4e5…
10-26 18:39:08	Will Mark Kelly announce a Presidential run before 2027?	Yes	BUY	37	10¢	$4	0x06014e…
10-26 18:38:29	Ukraine coup attempt by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	40	5¢	$2	0x313175…
10-26 18:28:48	Will Guitarricadelafuente win Best Supporting Actor at the 99th Academy Awards?	No	BUY	40	89¢	$35	0x951797…
10-26 18:16:26	Will there be another US government shutdown by January 31 and will the Republican Party win the House in 2026?	Yes	SELL	16	8¢	$1	0x563cd9…
10-26 18:14:06	Will there be another US government shutdown by January 31 and will the Republican Party win the House in 2026?	Yes	BUY	16	7¢	$1	0x419941…
10-26 17:57:18	Will the Fed Pause-Pause-Hike in the next three decisions (Oct-Dec-Jan)?	No	SELL	100	85¢	$85	0x394186…
10-26 17:55:00	Will the Fed Pause-Pause-Hike in the next three decisions (Oct-Dec-Jan)?	No	BUY	100	89¢	$89	0xc7e033…
10-26 17:47:26	Will UNI reach $15.50 by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	5	88¢	$4	0x0d4afa…
10-26 17:45:59	Will UNI reach $15.50 by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	15	89¢	$13	0xdc3000…
10-26 17:45:57	Will UNI reach $15.50 by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	20	89¢	$18	0xf884a2…
10-26 16:17:15	Will "Godzilla Minus Zero" score at least 98 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?	Yes	SELL	60	4¢	$3	0x602a5d…
10-26 16:10:47	Will "Godzilla Minus Zero" score at least 98 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?	Yes	BUY	60	5¢	$3	0x68ee52…
10-26 15:47:33	Extended FDV above $800M one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	60	6¢	$4	0xd5c096…
10-26 15:40:24	Extended FDV above $800M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	60	6¢	$4	0xa7c65d…
10-26 15:37:21	Will Russia capture Novyi Donbas by October 31?	Yes	SELL	54	4¢	$2	0xdc21b2…
10-26 15:31:41	Will Adam Schiff be arrested before 2027?	No	BUY	86	96¢	$83	0x9580a3…
10-26 15:27:30	Will Russia capture Novyi Donbas by October 31?	Yes	SELL	6	6¢	$0	0x14cbd4…
10-26 15:27:17	Will the USS George Washington depart CENTCOM by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	20	87¢	$17	0xe8ffba…
10-26 15:27:15	Will the Republican Party win the TN-05 House seat?	Yes	SELL	40	86¢	$34	0xdf1ebb…
10-26 15:27:15	Will the Democratic Party win the TN-05 House seat?	No	SELL	23	87¢	$20	0x07bf3e…
10-26 15:24:03	Will the Democratic Party win the TN-05 House seat?	No	BUY	23	91¢	$21	0x942938…
10-26 15:23:56	Will the Republican Party win the TN-05 House seat?	Yes	BUY	40	89¢	$36	0xc9a709…
10-26 15:23:39	Will Russia capture Novyi Donbas by October 31?	Yes	BUY	60	6¢	$4	0x89fa15…
10-26 15:21:36	Will the USS George Washington depart CENTCOM by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	89¢	$18	0x07e370…
10-26 14:58:47	Will the Sweden Democrats (SD) be in the next Swedish government?	No	SELL	43	93¢	$40	0x8a32d5…
10-26 14:57:15	Will an Independent win the Montana Senate race in 2026?	Yes	SELL	34	7¢	$2	0xfed1ef…
10-26 14:56:36	Will the Sweden Democrats (SD) be in the next Swedish government?	No	BUY	43	93¢	$40	0x8d452e…
10-26 14:50:08	Will an Independent win the Montana Senate race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	24	7¢	$2	0x7fe944…
10-26 14:50:06	Will an Independent win the Montana Senate race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	7¢	$1	0xcf9863…
10-26 14:37:23	Will Ra'am win exactly 7 seats in the 2026 Knesset elections?	No	SELL	40	75¢	$30	0x7c64c1…
10-26 14:22:08	Will Ryan Posselt win the next Hobart mayoral election?	Yes	BUY	2	6¢	$0	0x399e95…
10-26 14:17:42	Will "Whalefall" be nominated for Best Original Score at the 99th Academy Awards?	Yes	BUY	49	11¢	$5	0x53db8c…
10-26 13:57:15	Will Taylor Swift's daily YouTube view count hit 25M in October?	Yes	SELL	100	2¢	$2	0x25e5c6…
10-26 13:51:20	Will Taylor Swift's daily YouTube view count hit 25M in October?	Yes	BUY	100	4¢	$4	0xe7865f…
10-26 13:47:17	Will "Fatherland" be nominated for Best Picture at the 99th Academy Awards?	No	SELL	40	90¢	$36	0x18a66e…
10-26 13:37:17	Jimmy Lai released by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	40	94¢	$38	0x8d19f6…
10-26 13:36:39	Will "Fatherland" be nominated for Best Picture at the 99th Academy Awards?	No	BUY	38	94¢	$36	0xfb30b3…
10-26 13:36:38	Will "Fatherland" be nominated for Best Picture at the 99th Academy Awards?	No	BUY	2	94¢	$2	0xae41bc…
10-26 13:27:23	Will Russia enter Sumy by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	60	3¢	$2	0x555753…
10-26 13:25:06	Jimmy Lai released by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	40	94¢	$38	0xdbc024…
10-26 13:23:36	Will Russia enter Sumy by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	60	4¢	$2	0x6a0647…
10-26 13:21:36	Will Glean's valuation hit (HIGH) $12.5B by December 31?	No	SELL	28	94¢	$26	0xc4443d…
10-26 13:19:23	Will Glean's valuation hit (HIGH) $12.5B by December 31?	No	BUY	28	94¢	$26	0x9bc32e…
10-26 13:09:56	Will The Democrats win less than 6% of the vote in the 2026 Knesset elections?	No	BUY	40	84¢	$34	0xad28ed…
10-26 13:00:36	Will Ra'am win exactly 7 seats in the 2026 Knesset elections?	No	BUY	40	88¢	$35	0xcb3102…
10-26 11:57:14	Will Lake Powell's minimum elevation be at least 3,500 but below 3,510 ft?	No	SELL	100	84¢	$84	0x9466df…
10-26 11:49:00	Will Lake Powell's minimum elevation be at least 3,500 but below 3,510 ft?	No	BUY	100	91¢	$91	0xc4110f…
10-26 11:47:15	Will "La Nieve" from The Black Ball be nominated for Best Original Song at the 99th Academy Awards?	No	SELL	50	10¢	$5	0x74f41c…
10-26 11:47:15	Will PVEM win the most seats in the 2027 Colima Congress election?	No	SELL	40	85¢	$34	0x5cb28a…
10-26 11:47:08	Will "La Nieve" from The Black Ball be nominated for Best Original Song at the 99th Academy Awards?	No	SELL	50	12¢	$6	0xfa5e70…