Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$5.91K

Unrealized P&L

-$19

Hit rate

6.7%

Resolved

2,117

Trades

15,195

lifetime

Volume

$313.9K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$21

Open exposure

$13

13 positions

First seen

2026-07-01

last 10-29 10:59

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 118 days

Categories

Other

58% 11% -$3,824

Politics

27% 6% -$1,607

Crypto

9% 14% -$108

Sports

4% 9% -$190

Tech

2% 2% -$176

Pop-Culture

0% 0% -$8

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

85 active days in 12wk • peak 261 trades/day

Open positions (13) Resolved markets (3) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
UAE x Saudi Arabia sever diplomatic relations in 2026?	Yes	+100	$5	4¢	$4	-$1	10-28 12:31
Hyperbeat FDV above $50M one day after launch?	Yes	+58	$6	6¢	$3	-$2	10-28 16:26
Extended FDV above $1B one day after launch?	Yes	+60	$5	4¢	$3	-$3	10-21 07:09
russia coup attempt in 2026	Yes	-100	$1	3¢	$-3	-$4	10-06 20:07
Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 2.5% or lower before 2027?	Yes	+4	$1	1¢	$0	-$1	10-27 16:19
Will 1 Fed rate hike happen in 2026?	No	+0	$4	80¢	$0	-$4	07-09 19:05
will jd vance visit ukraine by december 31 2026 20260729210126059	No	+0	$3	95¢	$0	-$3	08-22 10:17
Will the Democratic Party win the OH-07 House seat?	Yes	+0	$0	86¢	$0	+$0	08-02 02:21
Will Variational launch a token by December 31, 2026?	Yes	+0	$0	78¢	$0	$0	07-08 12:11
Will no listed leader be out before 2027?	No	+0	$0	32¢	$0	$0	07-08 10:12
Major meteor strike (10kt+) in 2026?	Yes	+0	$2	4¢	$0	-$2	07-09 22:18
Ink FDV above $1B one day after launch?	Yes	+0	$0	6¢	$0	$0	09-18 11:04
Will Fomo launch a token by December 31 2026?	Yes	+0	$0	4¢	$0	$0	10-15 14:45

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will FaZe win a Tier 1 event in 2026?	16	$1.2K	750	750	+0	open	—	10-28 15:57
Will Macky Sall be the next Secretary-General of the United Nations?	23	$1.1K	850	850	+0	open	—	10-23 20:57
Will the next Google Gemini Pro model added to the Arena Leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1480?	12	$869	475	475	+0	open	—	09-22 15:01
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $4.0T by December 31?	12	$756	500	500	+0	open	—	10-06 01:57
José Luis Rodríguez Zapatero sentenced to prison?	10	$751	400	400	+0	open	—	10-15 23:27
Will María Fernanda Espinosa be the next Secretary-General of the United Nations?	7	$721	400	400	+0	open	—	10-08 17:57
Will Mohammed bin Salman cease to be the de facto leader of Saudi Arabia by December 31, 2026?	10	$674	450	450	+0	open	—	10-08 17:47
Will Philadelphia Eagles win the 2027 NFL NFC Championship?	12	$628	490	490	+0	open	—	09-20 21:37
Will there be at least 10000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?	19	$626	561	561	+0	open	—	09-18 03:17
Ukraine election called by December 31, 2026?	10	$587	440	440	+0	open	—	10-20 13:17
Will China blockade Taiwan in 2026?	8	$576	400	400	+0	open	—	10-22 12:37
Will Donald Trump attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?	12	$575	533	533	+0	open	—	10-06 10:17
Will Ahmad Vahidi attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?	11	$574	380	380	+0	open	—	09-17 19:27
Will Trump recognize Somaliland before 2027?	21	$563	379	379	+0	open	—	09-22 09:57
LAPTOP listed on Upbit within 30 days of TGE?	6	$561	300	300	+0	No	-$18	10-07 19:27
Will Jean-Luc Mélenchon be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?	10	$552	294	294	+0	open	—	10-24 05:07
Epic Games IPO before 2027?	15	$546	524	524	+0	open	—	10-05 18:07
Will Detroit Lions win the 2027 NFL NFC Championship?	6	$545	300	300	+0	open	—	10-26 00:27
Yoon out of custody before 2027?	16	$528	750	750	+0	open	—	10-28 15:37
Will Marco Rubio attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?	6	$525	300	300	+0	open	—	10-19 14:34
Will Houston Astros win the 2026 American League Championship Series?	7	$505	278	278	+0	No	-$2	09-11 03:07
Will the Fed’s upper bound reach 4.5% or higher before 2027?	24	$504	429	429	+0	open	—	10-28 16:47
Metamask FDV above $700M one day after launch?	18	$501	393	393	+0	open	—	10-28 10:09
Ink FDV above $3B one day after launch?	15	$499	263	263	+0	open	—	10-24 11:27
Will Miami Hurricanes win the 2027 CFP National Championship?	8	$489	271	271	+0	open	—	10-06 22:37
will anthropics valuation hit low 800b by december 31 957 743	10	$482	315	315	+0	open	—	10-25 01:27
Will Joe Biden be arrested before 2027?	2	$477	250	250	+0	open	—	07-17 00:56
Weed rescheduled by December 31?	11	$476	330	330	+0	open	—	10-21 03:57
Will Dune: Messiah get the most Oscar nominations at the 99th Academy Awards?	11	$475	400	400	+0	open	—	10-19 15:07
Will the 2026 United Left primary for the 2027 French presidential election be canceled?	6	$467	250	250	+0	Yes	-$2	09-07 09:47

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-29 11:57:16	Will Henrietta Modig Serrate be the next Regional Board Chair of Region Kronoberg?	Yes	SELL	100	88¢	$88	0x68a446…
10-29 11:37:16	Will Hyperliquid reach $120 by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	40	87¢	$35	0x31f073…
10-29 11:07:13	Will Dune: Part Three be delayed?	No	SELL	28	96¢	$27	0xc14987…
10-29 10:59:37	Will Dune: Part Three be delayed?	No	BUY	28	96¢	$27	0xf4b784…
10-29 10:51:16	Will Hyperliquid reach $120 by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	40	89¢	$36	0xc25a36…
10-29 10:37:16	Will Russia enter Mykhailivka by October 31?	Yes	SELL	60	2¢	$1	0x3a625f…
10-29 08:49:31	Another Iranian Ambassador expelled by October 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	20	5¢	$1	0xd7a95e…
10-29 08:47:16	Will AP call US House control by November 15, 11:59 PM?	No	SELL	1	6¢	$0	0xae667f…
10-29 08:47:08	Another Iranian Ambassador expelled by October 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	5¢	$1	0x5d642f…
10-29 08:44:02	Will AP call US House control by November 15, 11:59 PM?	No	BUY	1	7¢	$0	0xc39f52…
10-29 07:27:16	Will the lowest 2026 Great Salt Lake elevation be below 4,189.3 ft?	No	SELL	100	86¢	$86	0x6fbdd1…
10-29 07:17:20	Will Bitcoin hit $150k by March 31, 2027?	Yes	SELL	40	3¢	$1	0xebd374…
10-29 07:12:14	Will Bitcoin hit $150k by March 31, 2027?	Yes	BUY	40	7¢	$3	0x022d17…
10-29 05:01:08	israel x iran ceasefire continues through november 3	No	BUY	100	9¢	$9	0x46083c…
10-29 04:01:31	Will the lowest 2026 Great Salt Lake elevation be below 4,189.3 ft?	No	BUY	100	92¢	$92	0x3f48fd…
10-29 03:57:14	Will Democrats sweep the Kansas Senate and Governor elections?	No	SELL	40	77¢	$31	0xdcc5d1…
10-29 03:54:46	Will Democrats sweep the Kansas Senate and Governor elections?	No	BUY	40	80¢	$32	0x0afd30…
10-29 03:17:14	Will Lionel Messi win the 2026 MLS Golden Boot?	No	SELL	100	2¢	$2	0x7b2adb…
10-29 02:53:31	Will Lionel Messi win the 2026 MLS Golden Boot?	No	BUY	100	6¢	$6	0x7aa2f2…
10-29 02:28:23	Will an Independent Candidate win the 2026 Nebraska Senate election by 0%-3%?	No	SELL	100	87¢	$87	0x1e15bb…
10-29 02:28:20	Will an Independent Candidate win the 2026 Nebraska Senate election by 0%-3%?	No	BUY	100	87¢	$87	0xcda8fe…
10-29 02:10:19	Will Henrietta Modig Serrate be the next Regional Board Chair of Region Kronoberg?	Yes	BUY	100	93¢	$93	0x9cd8ff…
10-29 01:37:16	Will the Republican Party win the PA-09 House seat?	No	SELL	40	4¢	$2	0x160f3d…
10-29 01:34:53	Will the Republican Party win the PA-09 House seat?	No	BUY	40	5¢	$2	0x1d25c1…
10-29 01:07:16	Will AI-chip export licensing become law this year?	No	SELL	40	87¢	$35	0xe9e8d9…
10-29 01:06:29	US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 2?	No	SELL	100	6¢	$6	0xdbcbdd…
10-29 01:03:35	Will AI-chip export licensing become law this year?	No	BUY	1	90¢	$1	0x8560dd…
10-29 01:03:35	Will AI-chip export licensing become law this year?	No	BUY	39	90¢	$35	0x3ecfb4…
10-29 00:38:59	U.S. Embassy in Damascus reopened by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	100	87¢	$87	0x54afe9…
10-29 00:31:13	us x iran ceasefire continues through november 2	No	BUY	100	6¢	$6	0xf56c28…
10-29 00:07:17	Will Utah Hockey Club be the 2027 NHL Western Conference Champion?	Yes	BUY	100	9¢	$9	0xe675e8…
10-28 23:17:13	Will PT win the most seats in the 2027 Tlaxcala Congress election?	Yes	SELL	21	4¢	$1	0xb111a2…
10-28 23:14:52	Will PT win the most seats in the 2027 Tlaxcala Congress election?	Yes	SELL	19	6¢	$1	0xc9341e…
10-28 23:14:47	Will PT win the most seats in the 2027 Tlaxcala Congress election?	Yes	BUY	21	6¢	$1	0xe50a1c…
10-28 23:14:47	Will PT win the most seats in the 2027 Tlaxcala Congress election?	Yes	BUY	19	6¢	$1	0x9cc028…
10-28 23:14:47	Will PT win the most seats in the 2027 Tlaxcala Congress election?	Yes	BUY	0	6¢	$0	0x0cb1a7…
10-28 23:07:16	Will Frank Lampard be the next head coach of the England national team?	Yes	SELL	40	0¢	$0	0xb06d8d…
10-28 23:02:20	Will Frank Lampard be the next head coach of the England national team?	Yes	BUY	40	10¢	$4	0x1cdcce…
10-28 22:57:17	Will any AI model reach 1600 Coding Arena Score by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	40	93¢	$37	0xabb036…
10-28 22:52:46	Will any AI model reach 1600 Coding Arena Score by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	14	93¢	$13	0x189f85…
10-28 22:52:46	Will any AI model reach 1600 Coding Arena Score by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	26	93¢	$24	0x158473…
10-28 22:17:13	Will the Republican Party win the TX-24 House seat?	No	SELL	40	5¢	$2	0xc89966…
10-28 22:14:32	Will the Republican Party win the TX-24 House seat?	No	BUY	40	5¢	$2	0x0faf92…
10-28 21:27:17	Will OpenAI be the second-best AI Agent Lab at the end of October 2026?	Yes	SELL	40	4¢	$2	0x82b565…
10-28 21:26:43	Anthropic IPO closing market cap above $2.75T?	Yes	SELL	20	8¢	$2	0x4048eb…
10-28 21:26:41	Anthropic IPO closing market cap above $2.75T?	Yes	BUY	20	8¢	$2	0xc58f34…
10-28 21:17:16	Klitschko out as Kyiv mayor by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	40	3¢	$1	0xb32f8b…
10-28 21:13:46	Klitschko out as Kyiv mayor by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	40	9¢	$4	0x5fbd24…
10-28 21:07:22	Will Tempo launch a token by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	5	95¢	$4	0x4343b7…
10-28 20:59:31	Will Democrats win exactly 9 House seats in Pennsylvania in the 2026 midterm elections?	Yes	BUY	40	18¢	$7	0xbd1955…
10-28 20:57:10	Will Tempo launch a token by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	5	96¢	$4	0x909089…
10-28 20:17:20	Will the USS George H.W. Bush be in CENTCOM on November 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	40	88¢	$35	0x03b517…
10-28 20:09:23	Will the USS George H.W. Bush be in CENTCOM on November 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	40	92¢	$37	0x203cf1…
10-28 20:07:14	Will Palantir Technologies Inc. (PLTR) hit (HIGH) $210 in October?	No	SELL	40	76¢	$30	0xedd80c…
10-28 19:56:04	Will Palantir Technologies Inc. (PLTR) hit (HIGH) $210 in October?	No	BUY	40	89¢	$36	0xc89c82…
10-28 19:27:16	Will Newcastle United be relegated from the 2026-27 Premier League?	Yes	SELL	35	10¢	$3	0xcd6e0c…
10-28 19:27:10	Will Newcastle United be relegated from the 2026-27 Premier League?	Yes	BUY	15	10¢	$2	0xbd728c…
10-28 19:27:10	Will Newcastle United be relegated from the 2026-27 Premier League?	Yes	BUY	20	10¢	$2	0x6abd59…
10-28 19:07:17	Will "Godzilla Minus Zero" score at least 90 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?	Yes	SELL	30	96¢	$29	0x26b8c8…
10-28 19:06:29	Will "Godzilla Minus Zero" score at least 90 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?	Yes	BUY	30	96¢	$29	0xa6b2a4…
10-28 18:37:16	Will the Democratic Party win the MI-05 House seat?	Yes	SELL	40	4¢	$1	0x2c2f3e…
10-28 18:28:53	Will the Democratic Party win the MI-05 House seat?	Yes	BUY	40	6¢	$2	0x3fbc76…
10-28 18:27:19	Eritrea invades Ethiopia by October 31?	Yes	SELL	40	1¢	$0	0xc87824…
10-28 18:27:19	Will the Democratic Party win the NY-03 House seat?	Yes	SELL	40	87¢	$35	0x0cd48b…
10-28 18:22:44	Eritrea invades Ethiopia by October 31?	Yes	BUY	40	5¢	$2	0x07c958…
10-28 18:18:43	Will the Democratic Party win the NY-03 House seat?	Yes	BUY	40	87¢	$35	0x655f08…
10-28 17:27:16	Will Nayib Bukele win the 2027 Salvadoran presidential election?	No	SELL	25	5¢	$1	0xe0f9e6…
10-28 17:26:23	Will Nayib Bukele win the 2027 Salvadoran presidential election?	No	BUY	25	6¢	$1	0x4537b1…
10-28 17:17:16	Will Cam Fowler win the 2026-27 James Norris Memorial Trophy?	Yes	SELL	38	2¢	$1	0xa9bf34…
10-28 17:17:16	Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Governor of Maryland be 2,450,000 or more?	No	SELL	40	83¢	$33	0x6261d9…
10-28 17:13:17	Will Cam Fowler win the 2026-27 James Norris Memorial Trophy?	Yes	BUY	14	2¢	$0	0xfb4040…
10-28 17:13:16	Will Cam Fowler win the 2026-27 James Norris Memorial Trophy?	Yes	BUY	24	2¢	$1	0x444f01…
10-28 17:10:46	Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Governor of Maryland be 2,450,000 or more?	No	SELL	20	87¢	$17	0xfa45df…
10-28 17:06:47	Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Governor of Maryland be 2,450,000 or more?	No	BUY	20	90¢	$18	0x14523b…
10-28 17:06:23	Will OpenAI be the second-best AI Agent Lab at the end of October 2026?	Yes	BUY	40	91¢	$36	0xc0842a…
10-28 17:05:46	Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Governor of Maryland be 2,450,000 or more?	No	BUY	40	90¢	$36	0x3a51e4…
10-28 16:47:19	Will the Fed’s upper bound reach 4.5% or higher before 2027?	Yes	SELL	20	4¢	$1	0xb8a98d…
10-28 16:45:13	Will the Fed’s upper bound reach 4.5% or higher before 2027?	Yes	SELL	40	6¢	$2	0xa41956…
10-28 16:45:11	Will the Fed’s upper bound reach 4.5% or higher before 2027?	Yes	BUY	20	6¢	$1	0x708ece…
10-28 16:44:32	Will the Fed’s upper bound reach 4.5% or higher before 2027?	Yes	BUY	40	6¢	$2	0x662ffe…
10-28 16:37:16	Pete Hegseth impeached by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	40	79¢	$32	0xf85fc6…
10-28 16:35:11	Pete Hegseth impeached by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	40	87¢	$35	0xc45d60…
10-28 16:26:16	Hyperbeat FDV above $50M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	58	7¢	$4	0xbfad2a…
10-28 16:17:22	Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.75T by December 31?	Yes	SELL	30	3¢	$1	0x66cdb1…
10-28 16:17:20	Will Coinbase Global, Inc. (COIN) hit (HIGH) $225 in October?	Yes	SELL	40	1¢	$0	0xa3076e…
10-28 16:15:26	Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.75T by December 31?	Yes	SELL	70	6¢	$4	0x3aa017…
10-28 16:08:47	Will Coinbase Global, Inc. (COIN) hit (HIGH) $225 in October?	Yes	BUY	40	3¢	$1	0x69c413…
10-28 15:57:23	Will FaZe win a Tier 1 event in 2026?	No	SELL	100	92¢	$92	0xd5be86…
10-28 15:56:49	Will FaZe win a Tier 1 event in 2026?	No	BUY	100	94¢	$94	0xab03a9…
10-28 15:37:17	Yoon out of custody before 2027?	Yes	SELL	100	2¢	$2	0x726cc4…
10-28 15:30:04	Yoon out of custody before 2027?	Yes	BUY	100	2¢	$2	0x55ff5f…
10-28 15:27:14	Will the Republican Party win the AL-05 House seat?	No	SELL	20	5¢	$1	0x550d58…
10-28 15:22:29	Will the Republican Party win the AL-05 House seat?	No	BUY	20	5¢	$1	0x372bf9…
10-28 15:07:16	Republican House odds hit 12% by October 31?	Yes	SELL	80	6¢	$5	0x784c7e…
10-28 15:04:31	Republican House odds hit 12% by October 31?	Yes	BUY	80	8¢	$6	0x7e2c9d…
10-28 14:47:14	Will there be at least 5500 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?	No	SELL	21	4¢	$1	0xdf1ff4…
10-28 14:37:20	Republican Senate odds dip to 25% by October 31?	Yes	SELL	100	1¢	$1	0xb28f3f…
10-28 14:32:32	Will there be at least 5500 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?	No	SELL	39	9¢	$4	0x0476c5…
10-28 14:14:47	Will François Asselineau advance to the second round of the next French presidential election?	Yes	BUY	100	4¢	$4	0xfe67ec…
10-28 14:03:08	Will there be at least 5500 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?	No	BUY	20	9¢	$2	0xc46876…