Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 1.75% or lower before 2027?
open
Total volume
$167
Trades
31
Unique wallets
14
Liquidity
$5,580
Latest YES mid
4¢
Latest NO mid
96¢
End date
2026-12-31
First seen
2026-05-31
last 06-13 12:03
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐋 Whale | 1 | — | $1 | $1 |
| 🐬 Dolphin | 5 | $6 | $2 | +$4 |
| 🐟 Fish | 4 | $0 | $43 | $43 |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 4 | — | $54 | $54 |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🏆 Top 5% | 1 | $3 | — | +$3 |
| ✅ Top 10% | 2 | $0 | $1 | $1 |
| Median | 1 | — | — | +— |
| Below median | 1 | — | $3 | $3 |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 2 | — | — | +— |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 4 | $4 | $2 | +$2 |
| unranked | 3 | — | $95 | $95 |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Double-Valley 0xec82…6eaa | Yes | +53 | $3 | $3 | 1 | 06-03 11:47 |
| Decent-Bias 0x514a…dad1 | No | +53 | $50 | $50 | 1 | 06-03 11:47 |
| Creamy-Geology 0xf524…8178 | Yes | +33 | $2 | $2 | 2 | 06-13 09:26 |
| Grim-Garage 0xa815…9cbe | Yes | +21 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 06-13 12:03 |
| Downright-Goddess 0x16da…05c0 | No | +21 | $20 | $67 | 3 | 06-13 12:03 |
| Unlucky-Comparison 0xd883…4fd7 | No | +2 | $2 | $2 | 2 | 06-07 00:50 |
| Kind-Senator 0x4b91…982d | Yes | +1 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 05-31 07:47 |
| (anonymous) 0xd414…6974 | No | +1 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-31 07:47 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06-13 12:03:13 | Downright-Goddess 0x16da…05c0 | No | BUY | 21 | 95¢ | $20 | 0x6cb455… |
| 06-13 12:03:13 | Grim-Garage 0xa815…9cbe | Yes | BUY | 21 | 5¢ | $1 | 0x6cb455… |
| 06-13 09:26:13 | Strong-Visual 0x168f…9e00 | Yes | SELL | 13 | 5¢ | $1 | 0x34fdea… |
| 06-13 09:26:13 | Creamy-Geology 0xf524…8178 | Yes | BUY | 13 | 5¢ | $1 | 0x34fdea… |
| 06-13 09:26:04 | Punctual-Sand 0x21d0…ce91 | No | SELL | 22 | 95¢ | $21 | 0x124ef7… |
| 06-13 09:26:04 | (anonymous) 0xf8f2…96cf | Yes | SELL | 60 | 5¢ | $3 | 0x124ef7… |
| 06-13 09:26:04 | Downright-Goddess 0x16da…05c0 | No | SELL | 25 | 95¢ | $24 | 0x124ef7… |
| 06-13 09:26:04 | Strong-Visual 0x168f…9e00 | Yes | BUY | 13 | 5¢ | $1 | 0x124ef7… |
| 06-12 03:57:34 | Twin-Detention 0x7f82…c446 | No | SELL | 1 | 94¢ | $1 | 0x5c8ca3… |
| 06-12 03:57:34 | Punctual-Sand 0x21d0…ce91 | No | BUY | 1 | 94¢ | $1 | 0x5c8ca3… |
| 06-09 10:21:37 | Quarterly-Humidity 0xd6fa…4f2d | No | SELL | 0 | 94¢ | $0 | 0xb94f0a… |
| 06-09 10:21:37 | Bewitched-Auditorium 0x721a…9295 | Yes | SELL | 0 | 6¢ | $0 | 0xb94f0a… |
| 06-07 00:50:12 | Twin-Detention 0x7f82…c446 | No | SELL | 1 | 93¢ | $1 | 0x12d070… |
| 06-07 00:50:12 | Unlucky-Comparison 0xd883…4fd7 | No | BUY | 1 | 93¢ | $1 | 0x12d070… |
| 06-07 00:49:52 | Punctual-Sand 0x21d0…ce91 | No | SELL | 1 | 95¢ | $1 | 0xd9bd33… |
| 06-07 00:49:52 | Twin-Detention 0x7f82…c446 | No | BUY | 1 | 95¢ | $1 | 0xd9bd33… |
| 06-07 00:48:31 | Punctual-Sand 0x21d0…ce91 | No | SELL | 1 | 95¢ | $1 | 0x49853f… |
| 06-07 00:48:31 | Twin-Detention 0x7f82…c446 | No | BUY | 1 | 95¢ | $1 | 0x49853f… |
| 06-07 00:45:55 | Unlucky-Comparison 0xd883…4fd7 | No | BUY | 1 | 93¢ | $1 | 0xbd6006… |
| 06-07 00:45:55 | Twin-Detention 0x7f82…c446 | No | SELL | 1 | 93¢ | $1 | 0xbd6006… |
| 06-07 00:45:31 | Twin-Detention 0x7f82…c446 | No | BUY | 1 | 95¢ | $1 | 0x68a3ae… |
| 06-07 00:45:31 | Punctual-Sand 0x21d0…ce91 | No | SELL | 1 | 95¢ | $1 | 0x68a3ae… |
| 06-06 19:10:36 | Punctual-Sand 0x21d0…ce91 | No | SELL | 5 | 95¢ | $5 | 0x21fc68… |
| 06-06 19:10:36 | Strong-Visual 0x168f…9e00 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 5¢ | $0 | 0x21fc68… |
| 06-06 19:09:07 | Downright-Goddess 0x16da…05c0 | No | BUY | 25 | 94¢ | $24 | 0xc50665… |
| 06-06 19:09:07 | Creamy-Geology 0xf524…8178 | Yes | BUY | 20 | 6¢ | $1 | 0xc50665… |
| 06-06 19:09:07 | Strong-Visual 0x168f…9e00 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 6¢ | $0 | 0xc50665… |
| 06-03 11:47:08 | Double-Valley 0xec82…6eaa | Yes | BUY | 53 | 5¢ | $3 | 0xd15b7d… |
| 06-03 11:47:08 | Decent-Bias 0x514a…dad1 | No | BUY | 53 | 95¢ | $50 | 0xd15b7d… |
| 05-31 07:47:04 | Kind-Senator 0x4b91…982d | Yes | BUY | 1 | 5¢ | $0 | 0xe38a4f… |
| 05-31 07:47:04 | (anonymous) 0xd414…6974 | No | BUY | 1 | 95¢ | $1 | 0xe38a4f… |