Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 1.75% or lower before 2027?
open
Total volume
$1,250
Trades
111
Unique wallets
28
Liquidity
$5,580
Latest YES mid
1¢
Latest NO mid
99¢
End date
2026-12-31
First seen
2026-05-31
last 07-27 20:06
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐋 Whale | 4 | $0 | $53 | $53 |
| 🐬 Dolphin | 11 | $7 | $208 | $202 |
| 🐟 Fish | 5 | $0 | $246 | $246 |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 8 | — | $79 | $79 |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🏆 Top 5% | 3 | $3 | $119 | $116 |
| ✅ Top 10% | 3 | $0 | $52 | $52 |
| Median | 1 | — | — | +— |
| Below median | 3 | $0 | $23 | $23 |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 3 | — | $1 | $1 |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 7 | $4 | $20 | $16 |
| unranked | 8 | — | $371 | $371 |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| (anonymous) 0xf17d…6f86 | No | +204 | $196 | $196 | 1 | 07-21 05:48 |
| (anonymous) 0xbada…d874 | No | +78 | $74 | $164 | 5 | 07-27 20:06 |
| Double-Valley 0xec82…6eaa | Yes | +53 | $3 | $3 | 1 | 06-03 11:47 |
| (anonymous) 0x2b35…8ad5 | No | +51 | $50 | $50 | 1 | 07-26 11:39 |
| Grim-Garage 0xa815…9cbe | Yes | +20 | $1 | $2 | 6 | 07-26 11:39 |
| Another-Exhaust 0x3231…24ae | No | +19 | $18 | $18 | 9 | 07-08 03:35 |
| Honest-Basil 0x765c…dbb6 | Yes | +13 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 07-26 11:39 |
| Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | Yes | +12 | $-0 | $1 | 3 | 07-27 20:06 |
| Unlucky-Comparison 0xd883…4fd7 | No | +2 | $2 | $2 | 2 | 06-07 00:50 |
| Kind-Senator 0x4b91…982d | Yes | +1 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 05-31 07:47 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-27 20:06:51 | (anonymous) 0xbada…d874 | No | SELL | 20 | 97¢ | $19 | 0x850fdf… |
| 07-27 20:06:51 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | Yes | SELL | 20 | 3¢ | $1 | 0x850fdf… |
| 07-26 11:39:24 | Honest-Basil 0x765c…dbb6 | Yes | BUY | 13 | 1¢ | $0 | 0xc78c84… |
| 07-26 11:39:24 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | Yes | BUY | 30 | 1¢ | $0 | 0xc78c84… |
| 07-26 11:39:24 | Grim-Garage 0xa815…9cbe | Yes | BUY | 8 | 1¢ | $0 | 0xc78c84… |
| 07-26 11:39:24 | (anonymous) 0x2b35…8ad5 | No | BUY | 51 | 99¢ | $50 | 0xc78c84… |
| 07-26 00:45:40 | (anonymous) 0xc3fc…484a | No | SELL | 9 | 98¢ | $9 | 0xdbc64d… |
| 07-26 00:45:40 | Grim-Garage 0xa815…9cbe | Yes | SELL | 9 | 2¢ | $0 | 0xdbc64d… |
| 07-26 00:45:36 | Bewitched-Auditorium 0x721a…9295 | Yes | SELL | 11 | 1¢ | $0 | 0xba32b2… |
| 07-26 00:45:36 | (anonymous) 0xc3fc…484a | No | SELL | 11 | 99¢ | $11 | 0xba32b2… |
| 07-26 00:45:12 | (anonymous) 0xbada…d874 | No | SELL | 21 | 99¢ | $21 | 0x9fcefa… |
| 07-26 00:45:12 | (anonymous) 0x624b…56f8 | Yes | SELL | 1 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x9fcefa… |
| 07-26 00:45:12 | (anonymous) 0xc3fc…484a | No | BUY | 20 | 99¢ | $20 | 0x9fcefa… |
| 07-25 19:19:09 | (anonymous) 0x624b…56f8 | Yes | SELL | 4 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x752a9e… |
| 07-25 19:19:09 | (anonymous) 0x184b…67b2 | No | SELL | 5 | 99¢ | $5 | 0x752a9e… |
| 07-25 19:19:07 | (anonymous) 0x624b…56f8 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x30fa10… |
| 07-25 19:19:07 | (anonymous) 0xbada…d874 | No | SELL | 5 | 99¢ | $5 | 0x30fa10… |
| 07-24 17:35:07 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | Yes | BUY | 2 | 1¢ | $0 | 0xc14406… |
| 07-24 17:35:07 | (anonymous) 0xc3fc…484a | Yes | SELL | 2 | 1¢ | $0 | 0xc14406… |
| 07-24 17:34:40 | (anonymous) 0xc3fc…484a | Yes | BUY | 2 | 3¢ | $0 | 0x11bfd5… |
| 07-24 17:34:40 | Grim-Garage 0xa815…9cbe | Yes | BUY | 3 | 3¢ | $0 | 0x11bfd5… |
| 07-24 17:34:40 | (anonymous) 0x624b…56f8 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 3¢ | $0 | 0x11bfd5… |
| 07-24 17:31:22 | Grim-Garage 0xa815…9cbe | Yes | BUY | 3 | 3¢ | $0 | 0x01624c… |
| 07-24 17:31:22 | (anonymous) 0x624b…56f8 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 3¢ | $0 | 0x01624c… |
| 07-24 17:31:22 | Downright-Goddess 0x16da…05c0 | No | SELL | 2 | 97¢ | $2 | 0x01624c… |
| 07-24 17:27:31 | (anonymous) 0x624b…56f8 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 3¢ | $0 | 0xd45b1f… |
| 07-24 17:27:31 | Downright-Goddess 0x16da…05c0 | No | SELL | 5 | 97¢ | $5 | 0xd45b1f… |
| 07-24 17:23:51 | Downright-Goddess 0x16da…05c0 | No | SELL | 6 | 97¢ | $6 | 0xe99e4f… |
| 07-24 17:23:51 | (anonymous) 0x624b…56f8 | Yes | SELL | 6 | 3¢ | $0 | 0xe99e4f… |
| 07-24 17:20:09 | Downright-Goddess 0x16da…05c0 | No | SELL | 7 | 97¢ | $7 | 0x6f509f… |
| 07-24 17:20:09 | (anonymous) 0x624b…56f8 | Yes | SELL | 7 | 3¢ | $0 | 0x6f509f… |
| 07-24 15:33:30 | Downright-Goddess 0x16da…05c0 | No | SELL | 6 | 97¢ | $5 | 0x22ad61… |
| 07-24 15:33:30 | (anonymous) 0x624b…56f8 | Yes | SELL | 6 | 3¢ | $0 | 0x22ad61… |
| 07-21 11:24:42 | (anonymous) 0xbada…d874 | No | BUY | 62 | 96¢ | $60 | 0x8de92f… |
| 07-21 11:24:42 | Punctual-Sand 0x21d0…ce91 | No | SELL | 62 | 96¢ | $60 | 0x8de92f… |
| 07-21 11:24:39 | (anonymous) 0x184b…67b2 | No | BUY | 2 | 96¢ | $1 | 0x898be3… |
| 07-21 11:24:39 | Punctual-Sand 0x21d0…ce91 | No | SELL | 2 | 96¢ | $1 | 0x898be3… |
| 07-21 11:24:37 | Punctual-Sand 0x21d0…ce91 | No | SELL | 62 | 96¢ | $60 | 0x4ed350… |
| 07-21 11:24:37 | (anonymous) 0xbada…d874 | No | BUY | 62 | 96¢ | $60 | 0x4ed350… |
| 07-21 05:48:46 | (anonymous) 0xf17d…6f86 | No | BUY | 204 | 96¢ | $196 | 0xe53357… |
| 07-21 05:48:46 | Punctual-Sand 0x21d0…ce91 | No | SELL | 204 | 96¢ | $196 | 0xe53357… |
| 07-20 12:50:27 | Punctual-Sand 0x21d0…ce91 | No | SELL | 25 | 96¢ | $24 | 0xb6126e… |
| 07-20 12:50:27 | Downright-Goddess 0x16da…05c0 | No | BUY | 25 | 96¢ | $24 | 0xb6126e… |
| 07-20 04:15:58 | (anonymous) 0xd414…6974 | No | SELL | 1 | 95¢ | $1 | 0x83fe5b… |
| 07-20 04:15:58 | Punctual-Sand 0x21d0…ce91 | No | BUY | 1 | 95¢ | $1 | 0x83fe5b… |
| 07-16 23:50:14 | (anonymous) 0xc71b…e265 | Yes | SELL | 25 | 4¢ | $1 | 0xaaa07c… |
| 07-16 23:50:14 | Punctual-Sand 0x21d0…ce91 | No | SELL | 25 | 96¢ | $24 | 0xaaa07c… |
| 07-14 04:40:07 | Creamy-Geology 0xf524…8178 | Yes | SELL | 33 | 4¢ | $1 | 0x555eef… |
| 07-14 04:40:07 | Punctual-Sand 0x21d0…ce91 | No | SELL | 9 | 96¢ | $9 | 0x555eef… |
| 07-14 04:40:07 | Sardonic-Cue 0x8a7b…782f | No | SELL | 24 | 96¢ | $23 | 0x555eef… |
| 07-08 03:35:13 | Another-Exhaust 0x3231…24ae | No | BUY | 2 | 96¢ | $2 | 0x7e122b… |
| 07-08 03:35:13 | Sardonic-Cue 0x8a7b…782f | No | SELL | 2 | 96¢ | $2 | 0x7e122b… |
| 07-08 03:29:46 | Sardonic-Cue 0x8a7b…782f | No | SELL | 2 | 96¢ | $2 | 0x6d1fcb… |
| 07-08 03:29:46 | Another-Exhaust 0x3231…24ae | No | BUY | 2 | 96¢ | $2 | 0x6d1fcb… |
| 07-08 03:22:52 | Another-Exhaust 0x3231…24ae | No | BUY | 2 | 96¢ | $2 | 0x82be1b… |
| 07-08 03:22:52 | Sardonic-Cue 0x8a7b…782f | No | SELL | 2 | 96¢ | $2 | 0x82be1b… |
| 07-08 03:08:55 | Sardonic-Cue 0x8a7b…782f | No | SELL | 2 | 96¢ | $2 | 0x7b2c70… |
| 07-08 03:08:55 | Another-Exhaust 0x3231…24ae | No | BUY | 2 | 96¢ | $2 | 0x7b2c70… |
| 07-08 03:04:13 | Sardonic-Cue 0x8a7b…782f | No | SELL | 2 | 96¢ | $2 | 0x57fd34… |
| 07-08 03:04:13 | Another-Exhaust 0x3231…24ae | No | BUY | 2 | 96¢ | $2 | 0x57fd34… |
| 07-08 02:51:37 | Another-Exhaust 0x3231…24ae | No | BUY | 2 | 96¢ | $2 | 0xb9ef90… |
| 07-08 02:51:37 | Sardonic-Cue 0x8a7b…782f | No | SELL | 2 | 96¢ | $2 | 0xb9ef90… |
| 07-08 02:35:56 | Another-Exhaust 0x3231…24ae | No | BUY | 2 | 96¢ | $2 | 0x06f62d… |
| 07-08 02:35:56 | Sardonic-Cue 0x8a7b…782f | No | SELL | 2 | 96¢ | $2 | 0x06f62d… |
| 07-08 02:22:47 | Sardonic-Cue 0x8a7b…782f | No | SELL | 2 | 96¢ | $2 | 0x2b1c65… |
| 07-08 02:22:47 | Another-Exhaust 0x3231…24ae | No | BUY | 2 | 96¢ | $2 | 0x2b1c65… |
| 07-08 02:10:23 | Another-Exhaust 0x3231…24ae | No | BUY | 2 | 96¢ | $2 | 0x146a97… |
| 07-08 02:10:23 | Sardonic-Cue 0x8a7b…782f | No | SELL | 2 | 96¢ | $2 | 0x146a97… |
| 07-07 14:35:04 | Punctual-Sand 0x21d0…ce91 | No | BUY | 53 | 95¢ | $50 | 0xdb28ca… |
| 07-07 14:35:04 | Decent-Bias 0x514a…dad1 | No | SELL | 53 | 95¢ | $50 | 0xdb28ca… |
| 06-21 09:43:32 | Fruitful-Heroine 0x1e98…6345 | Yes | SELL | 1 | 5¢ | $0 | 0x755764… |
| 06-21 09:43:32 | Wilted-Employ 0x1a96…9797 | No | SELL | 1 | 95¢ | $1 | 0x755764… |
| 06-21 09:42:43 | Sardonic-Cue 0x8a7b…782f | No | SELL | 1 | 96¢ | $1 | 0x3245f7… |
| 06-21 09:42:43 | Wilted-Employ 0x1a96…9797 | No | BUY | 1 | 96¢ | $1 | 0x3245f7… |
| 06-20 09:40:46 | Downright-Goddess 0x16da…05c0 | No | SELL | 21 | 95¢ | $20 | 0x74c84f… |
| 06-20 09:40:46 | Fruitful-Heroine 0x1e98…6345 | Yes | SELL | 21 | 5¢ | $1 | 0x74c84f… |
| 06-18 08:15:40 | Grim-Garage 0xa815…9cbe | Yes | SELL | 5 | 5¢ | $0 | 0x60d0cb… |
| 06-18 08:15:40 | (anonymous) 0x7e33…fe0b | No | SELL | 5 | 95¢ | $5 | 0x60d0cb… |
| 06-18 08:14:59 | (anonymous) 0x7e33…fe0b | No | BUY | 5 | 96¢ | $5 | 0xdddfd0… |
| 06-18 08:14:59 | Sardonic-Cue 0x8a7b…782f | No | SELL | 5 | 96¢ | $5 | 0xdddfd0… |
| 06-13 12:03:13 | Grim-Garage 0xa815…9cbe | Yes | BUY | 21 | 5¢ | $1 | 0x6cb455… |
| 06-13 12:03:13 | Downright-Goddess 0x16da…05c0 | No | BUY | 21 | 95¢ | $20 | 0x6cb455… |
| 06-13 09:26:13 | Creamy-Geology 0xf524…8178 | Yes | BUY | 13 | 5¢ | $1 | 0x34fdea… |
| 06-13 09:26:13 | Strong-Visual 0x168f…9e00 | Yes | SELL | 13 | 5¢ | $1 | 0x34fdea… |
| 06-13 09:26:04 | (anonymous) 0xf8f2…96cf | Yes | SELL | 60 | 5¢ | $3 | 0x124ef7… |
| 06-13 09:26:04 | Strong-Visual 0x168f…9e00 | Yes | BUY | 13 | 5¢ | $1 | 0x124ef7… |
| 06-13 09:26:04 | Punctual-Sand 0x21d0…ce91 | No | SELL | 22 | 95¢ | $21 | 0x124ef7… |
| 06-13 09:26:04 | Downright-Goddess 0x16da…05c0 | No | SELL | 25 | 95¢ | $24 | 0x124ef7… |
| 06-12 03:57:34 | Punctual-Sand 0x21d0…ce91 | No | BUY | 1 | 94¢ | $1 | 0x5c8ca3… |
| 06-12 03:57:34 | Twin-Detention 0x7f82…c446 | No | SELL | 1 | 94¢ | $1 | 0x5c8ca3… |
| 06-09 10:21:37 | Quarterly-Humidity 0xd6fa…4f2d | No | SELL | 0 | 94¢ | $0 | 0xb94f0a… |
| 06-09 10:21:37 | Bewitched-Auditorium 0x721a…9295 | Yes | SELL | 0 | 6¢ | $0 | 0xb94f0a… |
| 06-07 00:50:12 | Twin-Detention 0x7f82…c446 | No | SELL | 1 | 93¢ | $1 | 0x12d070… |
| 06-07 00:50:12 | Unlucky-Comparison 0xd883…4fd7 | No | BUY | 1 | 93¢ | $1 | 0x12d070… |
| 06-07 00:49:52 | Punctual-Sand 0x21d0…ce91 | No | SELL | 1 | 95¢ | $1 | 0xd9bd33… |
| 06-07 00:49:52 | Twin-Detention 0x7f82…c446 | No | BUY | 1 | 95¢ | $1 | 0xd9bd33… |
| 06-07 00:48:31 | Punctual-Sand 0x21d0…ce91 | No | SELL | 1 | 95¢ | $1 | 0x49853f… |
| 06-07 00:48:31 | Twin-Detention 0x7f82…c446 | No | BUY | 1 | 95¢ | $1 | 0x49853f… |
| 06-07 00:45:55 | Twin-Detention 0x7f82…c446 | No | SELL | 1 | 93¢ | $1 | 0xbd6006… |
| 06-07 00:45:55 | Unlucky-Comparison 0xd883…4fd7 | No | BUY | 1 | 93¢ | $1 | 0xbd6006… |