Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$4.07K

Unrealized P&L

-$81

Hit rate

3.9%

Resolved

2,751

Trades

14,713

lifetime

Volume

$204.8K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$14

Open exposure

$37

29 positions

First seen

2026-07-26

last 11-05 01:47

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 103 days

Categories

Other

57% 6% -$2,568

Politics

24% 3% -$1,147

Crypto

13% 3% -$65

Sports

2% 2% -$77

Tech

2% 2% -$197

Pop-Culture

0% 0% -$12

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

83 active days in 12wk • peak 505 trades/day

Open positions (29) Resolved markets (2) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Lighter reach $8 before 2027?	No	+20	$22	88¢	$18	-$5	11-03 17:05
Will the next Google Gemini Pro model added to the Arena Leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1480?	Yes	+50	$50	9¢	$5	-$45	09-30 20:09
Discord IPO before 2027?	Yes	+50	$4	6¢	$3	-$1	11-04 20:27
Opensea FDV above $500M one day after launch?	Yes	+50	$9	5¢	$2	-$7	11-04 12:56
Will Rand Paul vote "Yea" on the Clarity Act?	Yes	+50	$3	4¢	$2	-$1	10-31 09:28
Will Base launch a token by December 31, 2026?	Yes	+50	$2	3¢	$1	-$1	11-04 03:14
Will Trump meet with Jair Bolsonaro in 2026?	Yes	+50	$3	2¢	$1	-$1	11-03 20:22
Will Trump meet with Yoon Suk Yeol in 2026?	Yes	+50	$2	2¢	$1	-$1	10-27 20:55
Will Donald Trump visit Ukraine by December 31, 2026?	Yes	+28	$2	3¢	$1	-$1	11-01 18:44
Will Donald Trump announce a presidential run before 2027?	Yes	+50	$2	2¢	$1	-$1	11-04 19:32
Will JD Vance visit Ukraine by December 31, 2026?	Yes	+20	$3	4¢	$1	-$2	11-01 18:43
Cilia Flores released from custody by December 31, 2026?	Yes	+20	$1	3¢	$1	$0	11-04 16:13
Opensea FDV above $3B one day after launch?	Yes	+30	$2	2¢	$1	-$1	11-04 10:33
will ansem flip pump by december 31 2026 20260702152126830	Yes	+20	$2	2¢	$0	-$1	11-03 14:39
Will Russia capture Oleksiievo-Druzhkivka by December 31, 2026?	No	+0	$0	94¢	$0	$0	10-09 10:33
Weed rescheduled by December 31?	No	+0	$2	89¢	$0	-$2	11-02 14:21
Will Trump recognize Somaliland before 2027?	No	+0	$0	95¢	$0	$0	10-26 01:37
Will Lebanon join the Abraham Accords before 2027?	No	+0	$0	95¢	$0	+$0	10-11 01:10
Will Russia capture all of Lyman by December 31, 2026?	No	+0	$0	95¢	$0	+$0	08-30 20:46
Will Ostium launch a token by December 31, 2026?	No	+0	$6	90¢	$0	-$6	11-04 20:48
SCOTUS accepts sports event contract case by December 31, 2026?	No	+0	$0	78¢	$0	+$0	09-07 16:45
Will Badr bin Hamad Al Busaidi attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?	Yes	+0	$0	16¢	$0	$0	09-17 20:31
Will Rafael Grossi attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?	Yes	+0	$1	16¢	$0	-$1	09-01 03:35
Will Sean Strickland be the UFC Middleweight Champion on December 31, 2026?	No	+0	$0	8¢	$0	$0	10-26 14:19
Will Lebanon join the Abraham Accords before 2027?	Yes	+0	$0	5¢	$0	$0	10-26 09:37
Metamask FDV above $1B one day after launch?	Yes	+0	$0	4¢	$0	$0	09-19 12:36
Ukraine coup attempt by December 31, 2026?	Yes	+0	$0	4¢	$0	$0	10-26 18:40
Will there be at least 12500 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?	Yes	+0	$0	3¢	$0	$0	11-04 11:20
Anduril Industries IPO before 2027?	Yes	+0	$2	1¢	$0	-$2	10-05 07:51

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Ahmad Vahidi attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?	19	$667	420	420	+0	open	—	10-08 08:27
Metamask FDV above $2B one day after launch?	40	$666	540	540	+0	open	—	11-02 20:47
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $4.0T by December 31?	18	$664	450	450	+0	open	—	10-18 10:37
Metamask FDV above $100M one day after launch?	14	$540	357	357	+0	open	—	11-03 22:28
Will Faker win a Finals MVP Award at an international event in 2026?	29	$525	484	484	+0	open	—	11-01 07:21
Extended FDV above $2B one day after launch?	14	$488	350	350	+0	open	—	11-03 03:38
Pacifica FDV above $1B one day after launch?	13	$480	286	250	+36	open	—	11-04 17:02
Will Trump meet with Nick Fuentes in 2026?	15	$480	296	296	+0	open	—	08-31 12:37
Will China blockade Taiwan in 2026?	12	$476	300	300	+0	open	—	10-22 12:37
Ink FDV above $3B one day after launch?	14	$475	297	297	+0	open	—	10-24 11:27
Metamask FDV above $700M one day after launch?	14	$463	340	340	+0	open	—	10-28 10:17
Will the next Google Gemini Pro model added to the Arena Leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1480?	13	$457	290	240	+50	open	—	09-30 20:09
Will Macky Sall be the next Secretary-General of the United Nations?	17	$452	331	331	+0	open	—	10-20 02:27
Will Anthropic's market cap be between $1.5T and $1.75T at market close on IPO day?	9	$451	250	250	+0	open	—	10-13 02:17
Will Russia capture all of Kupiansk by December 31?	16	$449	386	386	+0	open	—	10-06 18:37
Will OpenSea launch a token by December 31, 2026?	20	$439	395	395	+0	open	—	10-29 00:17
Will Russia test a nuclear weapon by September 30 2026?	16	$437	371	371	+0	No	-$2	08-26 19:57
U.S. agrees to give Ukraine security guarantee by December 31?	10	$422	222	222	+0	open	—	10-20 17:47
Metamask FDV above $4B one day after launch?	21	$410	418	418	+0	open	—	10-27 11:07
Will Donald Trump attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?	20	$404	470	470	+0	open	—	11-03 22:27
Variational FDV above $4B one day after launch?	14	$398	308	308	+0	open	—	10-20 22:27
Hyperbeat FDV above $50M one day after launch?	16	$391	390	390	+0	open	—	10-31 20:37
José Luis Rodríguez Zapatero sentenced to prison?	12	$391	300	300	+0	open	—	11-03 22:27
Will Russia enter Sumy by December 31, 2026?	14	$383	349	349	+0	open	—	10-26 23:47
Puffpaw FDV above $400M one day after launch?	11	$380	261	261	+0	open	—	08-17 23:15
Felix Protocol FDV above $100M one day after launch?	10	$380	250	250	+0	open	—	11-05 01:47
Will Predict.fun launch a token by September 30, 2026?	14	$379	400	400	+0	No	-$10	09-14 03:27
Will Kuwait recognize Israel by December 31?	7	$378	200	200	+0	open	—	11-01 14:17
Variational FDV above $5B one day after launch?	96	$377	216	216	+0	open	—	10-20 03:47
Will there be at least 10000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?	17	$376	293	293	+0	open	—	11-04 05:19

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-05 02:22:00	Will Mark Warner vote "Yea" on the Clarity Act?	Yes	SELL	49	8¢	$4	0xa53da8…
11-05 02:21:58	Will Mark Warner vote "Yea" on the Clarity Act?	Yes	BUY	49	8¢	$4	0x811113…
11-05 01:47:15	Felix Protocol FDV above $100M one day after launch?	No	SELL	50	94¢	$47	0x70033a…
11-05 01:46:48	Felix Protocol FDV above $100M one day after launch?	No	BUY	50	97¢	$48	0x58c2b7…
11-05 01:39:55	Will Trinidad Chambliss win the 2026 Heisman Trophy?	No	SELL	26	91¢	$24	0x6acda8…
11-05 01:34:25	Will Trinidad Chambliss win the 2026 Heisman Trophy?	No	BUY	26	91¢	$24	0x24eedf…
11-05 01:31:27	Will Josh Hawley vote "Yea" on the Clarity Act?	Yes	BUY	50	5¢	$2	0xd7ab79…
11-05 01:27:21	Will Thom Tillis vote "Yea" on the Clarity Act?	Yes	SELL	20	8¢	$2	0xde0174…
11-05 01:27:19	Will Thom Tillis vote "Yea" on the Clarity Act?	Yes	BUY	20	8¢	$2	0x3ad675…
11-05 01:16:10	Nawrocki out by December 31?	Yes	BUY	50	4¢	$2	0x73a8c9…
11-05 01:04:19	Will Kamala Harris announce a Presidential run before 2027?	Yes	SELL	40	4¢	$2	0x98a5e0…
11-05 01:04:09	Will Gabriel Attal advance to the second round of the next French presidential election?	Yes	SELL	25	5¢	$1	0xcee5b4…
11-05 01:03:58	Will Hunter Biden announce a Presidential run before 2027?	Yes	SELL	50	4¢	$2	0x698ef3…
11-05 01:03:46	Will Tempo launch a token by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	50	2¢	$1	0xea3e83…
11-05 01:03:36	Alexandre de Moraes out as Brazil Supreme Court Justice?	Yes	SELL	20	3¢	$1	0x185139…
11-05 00:54:27	Will Amazon have a #1 AI model by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	3¢	$1	0xebd99b…
11-05 00:51:24	US x China agree to pace the AI frontier in 2026?	No	SELL	50	96¢	$48	0xfa2b36…
11-05 00:50:57	US x China agree to pace the AI frontier in 2026?	No	BUY	50	96¢	$48	0x5db180…
11-05 00:50:36	Will Microsoft have the #1 AI model at the end of January 2027?	Yes	BUY	20	8¢	$2	0x30c971…
11-05 00:48:51	Will JetBlue Airways announce bankruptcy before 2027?	Yes	SELL	20	5¢	$1	0xb14517…
11-05 00:48:34	Will JetBlue Airways announce bankruptcy before 2027?	Yes	BUY	20	5¢	$1	0xaf9c14…
11-04 22:27:18	Will Trump pardon Diddy before 2027?	Yes	SELL	5	5¢	$0	0x14c9fe…
11-04 20:48:34	Will Ostium launch a token by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	5	90¢	$5	0x5d7915…
11-04 20:48:31	Will Ostium launch a token by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	5	89¢	$5	0xeac34c…
11-04 20:27:06	Discord IPO before 2027?	Yes	BUY	50	6¢	$3	0x283845…
11-04 19:32:27	Will Donald Trump announce a presidential run before 2027?	Yes	BUY	50	4¢	$2	0x5fae14…
11-04 19:30:12	Will Hunter Biden announce a Presidential run before 2027?	Yes	BUY	50	4¢	$2	0x9837a9…
11-04 19:16:24	Dutch House of Representatives dissolved in 2026?	Yes	BUY	50	5¢	$2	0x6b45c2…
11-04 19:07:16	Will Google be the third-best AI lab at the end of December 2026?	No	SELL	20	84¢	$17	0x110b06…
11-04 18:57:18	Will Lighter reach $10 before 2027?	No	SELL	20	90¢	$18	0xaabfc1…
11-04 18:52:43	Will Lighter reach $10 before 2027?	No	BUY	20	95¢	$19	0x0ef96f…
11-04 17:49:36	Will Élisabeth Borne announce their candidacy for the 2027 French presidential election in 2026?	Yes	BUY	46	6¢	$3	0x47e5d4…
11-04 17:49:16	Will Élisabeth Borne announce their candidacy for the 2027 French presidential election in 2026?	Yes	BUY	50	6¢	$3	0xc4edba…
11-04 17:47:16	Will Avigdor Lieberman be the next Israeli Minister of Finance?	No	SELL	50	90¢	$45	0xbb1be3…
11-04 17:42:04	Will Teddy Riner be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?	Yes	SELL	50	4¢	$2	0xb70109…
11-04 17:41:31	Will Teddy Riner be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?	Yes	BUY	50	4¢	$2	0x898920…
11-04 17:41:16	Will Jean-Luc Mélenchon be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?	No	BUY	50	6¢	$3	0x5658eb…
11-04 17:40:03	Will Jean-Luc Mélenchon be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?	No	BUY	50	6¢	$3	0x18510e…
11-04 17:36:12	Will Tunisia recognize Israel by December 31?	Yes	BUY	50	4¢	$2	0x66648b…
11-04 17:28:36	Will Avigdor Lieberman be the next Israeli Minister of Finance?	No	BUY	50	93¢	$46	0x6798fe…
11-04 17:02:24	Pacifica FDV above $1B one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	36	4¢	$1	0xa536a0…
11-04 16:22:09	Alexandre de Moraes out as Brazil Supreme Court Justice?	Yes	BUY	20	5¢	$1	0x03326f…
11-04 16:13:57	Cilia Flores released from custody by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	5¢	$1	0x4434b0…
11-04 16:12:12	Opensea FDV above $1B one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	50	4¢	$2	0x543a99…
11-04 16:07:22	Opensea FDV above $1B one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	50	4¢	$2	0x10f406…
11-04 15:38:46	Will Trump pardon Steve Bannon before 2027?	Yes	BUY	5	6¢	$0	0xe7b9c6…
11-04 15:30:07	Will Raphaël Glucksmann advance to the second round of the next French presidential election?	Yes	BUY	50	7¢	$3	0xe50142…
11-04 15:26:12	Will Elise Stefanik announce a presidential run before 2027?	Yes	BUY	20	5¢	$1	0x7f0eda…
11-04 15:16:09	Will Don Lemon announce a presidential run before 2027?	Yes	BUY	20	6¢	$1	0x3c9d4d…
11-04 15:13:16	Will J.D. Vance announce a presidential run before 2027?	Yes	BUY	50	3¢	$2	0x1da9ec…
11-04 15:12:07	Will Marco Rubio announce a presidential run before 2027?	Yes	BUY	50	4¢	$2	0x393adf…
11-04 15:11:27	Will John Thune announce a presidential run before 2027?	Yes	BUY	20	4¢	$1	0x7eb0a8…
11-04 14:27:19	Will Tucker Carlson announce a presidential run before 2027?	No	SELL	50	93¢	$46	0xa5e1c2…
11-04 14:22:16	Will Tucker Carlson announce a presidential run before 2027?	No	BUY	50	96¢	$48	0x6600da…
11-04 13:20:54	Will Mark Kelly announce a Presidential run before 2027?	Yes	BUY	20	10¢	$2	0xd4d572…
11-04 12:56:31	Opensea FDV above $500M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	50	6¢	$3	0xffad46…
11-04 12:03:10	Will Trump visit Gaza in 2026?	No	SELL	40	94¢	$38	0xcbca06…
11-04 12:01:10	Will Trump visit Gaza in 2026?	No	BUY	20	94¢	$19	0xd6ada1…
11-04 11:58:52	Will Trump visit Gaza in 2026?	No	BUY	20	94¢	$19	0xe2ebd2…
11-04 11:37:22	Will Trump rename an ocean by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	20	4¢	$1	0xa535f9…
11-04 11:31:30	Will Trump rename an ocean by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	4¢	$1	0x00791f…
11-04 11:28:13	Will Trump pardon Diddy before 2027?	Yes	SELL	15	5¢	$1	0xd9b0cd…
11-04 11:27:15	Will Sarah Knafo advance to the second round of the next French presidential election?	No	SELL	50	90¢	$45	0xc551ec…
11-04 11:20:06	Will there be at least 12500 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?	Yes	SELL	20	3¢	$1	0xae41bb…
11-04 10:33:15	Opensea FDV above $3B one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	20	3¢	$1	0xb9eca3…
11-04 10:32:12	Will Gabriel Attal advance to the second round of the next French presidential election?	Yes	BUY	25	6¢	$2	0xf619da…
11-04 10:30:10	Will Tempo launch a token by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	50	3¢	$1	0x07a383…
11-04 10:29:21	Opensea FDV above $3B one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	50	4¢	$2	0x4de1be…
11-04 09:01:15	Will "Choosin Texas – Ella Langley" be the top song in the US for 2026?	No	BUY	20	9¢	$2	0x3564f4…
11-04 08:53:46	Will Kamala Harris announce a Presidential run before 2027?	Yes	BUY	20	5¢	$1	0x6af261…
11-04 08:53:18	Will Kamala Harris announce a Presidential run before 2027?	Yes	BUY	20	5¢	$1	0x55cfce…
11-04 08:37:15	Crypto Market Structure legislation becomes law in 2026?	Yes	SELL	50	11¢	$5	0x2133ed…
11-04 07:18:22	Will Delphine Batho be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?	Yes	BUY	50	9¢	$4	0x632022…
11-04 07:17:36	Will Ségolène Royal be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?	Yes	BUY	50	4¢	$2	0x3f8972…
11-04 07:16:46	Will Élisabeth Borne be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?	Yes	BUY	50	7¢	$3	0x42aabb…
11-04 06:59:48	Will Aminu Abdussalam Gwarzo win the 2027 Kano State gubernatorial election?	No	BUY	20	90¢	$18	0xfc2e3f…
11-04 06:51:22	Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez announce a Presidential run before 2027?	Yes	SELL	13	7¢	$1	0xbe56c2…
11-04 06:47:21	Kraken IPO by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	20	93¢	$19	0x927030…
11-04 06:45:57	Kraken IPO by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	20	95¢	$19	0xf82637…
11-04 06:06:07	Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez announce a Presidential run before 2027?	Yes	SELL	7	7¢	$0	0xdbb0dc…
11-04 05:47:15	Will Jon Ossoff announce a Presidential run before 2027?	Yes	SELL	20	3¢	$1	0xdf4751…
11-04 05:46:46	Will Jon Ossoff announce a Presidential run before 2027?	Yes	BUY	20	3¢	$1	0x248665…
11-04 05:20:27	Will a hurricane make landfall in Hawaii before 2027?	Yes	SELL	50	4¢	$2	0x4bc2a3…
11-04 05:20:18	Hu Jintao public appearance by December 31?	Yes	SELL	20	2¢	$0	0x555424…
11-04 05:20:04	Jimmy Lai released by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	20	2¢	$0	0x4adc84…
11-04 05:19:52	Will Xi Jinping purge Zhao Leji in 2026?	Yes	SELL	20	2¢	$0	0x2594ce…
11-04 05:19:43	Fannie Mae IPO before 2027?	Yes	SELL	50	2¢	$1	0x5dce21…
11-04 05:19:30	Will OpenAI rename itself to OpenSI?	Yes	SELL	16	3¢	$0	0x437b8e…
11-04 05:19:21	Will there be at least 10000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?	Yes	SELL	20	4¢	$1	0xe5fbe8…
11-04 05:19:13	Will Afghanistan recognize Israel by December 31?	Yes	SELL	44	2¢	$1	0x6d7d8b…
11-04 05:19:06	Will Islam Makhachev be ranked first in the UFC Pound-For-Pound Rankings at the end of 2026?	Yes	SELL	20	87¢	$17	0x00a01c…
11-04 04:48:34	Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez announce a Presidential run before 2027?	Yes	BUY	20	7¢	$1	0x93171a…
11-04 04:37:21	Will Anthropic be the third-best AI lab at the end of December 2026?	No	SELL	20	84¢	$17	0x5afe0c…
11-04 04:37:21	Opensea FDV above $2B one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	50	4¢	$2	0x17a756…
11-04 04:20:37	Will Tom Homan be arrested before 2027?	Yes	BUY	20	8¢	$2	0xfdbde0…
11-04 04:14:09	Will Anthropic be the third-best AI lab at the end of December 2026?	No	BUY	20	89¢	$18	0xbf72d3…
11-04 03:38:54	Will Google be the third-best AI lab at the end of December 2026?	No	BUY	20	89¢	$18	0x17e47f…
11-04 03:14:39	Will OpenAI rename itself to OpenSI?	Yes	BUY	16	4¢	$1	0x2ee47d…
11-04 03:14:07	Will Base launch a token by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	50	3¢	$2	0x9106a4…
11-04 01:47:16	Will Scarlett Johansson rank in Google’s Top 5 Most Searched People of 2026?	No	SELL	20	93¢	$19	0x12fa6c…