Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$3.74K

Unrealized P&L

-$51

Hit rate

4.0%

Resolved

2,356

Trades

14,460

lifetime

Volume

$201.6K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$14

Open exposure

$11

19 positions

First seen

2026-07-26

last 11-02 02:46

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 99 days

Categories

Other

57% 7% -$2,364

Politics

24% 3% -$1,028

Crypto

13% 3% -$65

Sports

2% 2% -$77

Tech

2% 2% -$197

Pop-Culture

0% 0% -$8

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

83 active days in 12wk • peak 505 trades/day

Open positions (19) Resolved markets (2) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will the next Google Gemini Pro model added to the Arena Leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1480?	Yes	+50	$50	12¢	$6	-$43	09-30 20:09
Extended FDV above $2B one day after launch?	Yes	+50	$4	2¢	$1	-$3	10-20 21:48
Will Donald Trump visit Ukraine by December 31, 2026?	Yes	+28	$2	4¢	$1	-$1	11-01 18:44
Will JD Vance visit Ukraine by December 31, 2026?	Yes	+20	$3	5¢	$1	-$2	11-01 18:43
Will Trump meet with Yoon Suk Yeol in 2026?	Yes	+50	$2	2¢	$1	-$1	10-27 20:55
Will there be another US government shutdown by January 31 and will the Democratic Party win the House in 2026?	Yes	+0	$0	94¢	$0	+$0	08-11 22:03
Will Republicans win Ohio, and lose Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, and Texas?	No	+0	$0	99¢	$0	+$0	10-28 09:58
Will Russia capture all of Lyman by December 31, 2026?	No	+0	$0	96¢	$0	+$0	08-30 20:46
Will Lebanon join the Abraham Accords before 2027?	No	+0	$0	94¢	$0	+$0	10-11 01:10
Will Trump recognize Somaliland before 2027?	No	+0	$0	93¢	$0	$0	10-26 01:37
SCOTUS accepts sports event contract case by December 31, 2026?	No	+0	$0	82¢	$0	+$0	09-07 16:45
Will Rafael Grossi attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?	Yes	+0	$1	24¢	$0	-$1	09-01 03:35
Will Badr bin Hamad Al Busaidi attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?	Yes	+0	$0	16¢	$0	$0	09-17 20:31
Will Kamala Harris announce a Presidential run before 2027?	Yes	+0	$0	6¢	$0	$0	10-26 23:31
Will Lebanon join the Abraham Accords before 2027?	Yes	+0	$0	6¢	$0	$0	10-26 09:37
Metamask FDV above $1B one day after launch?	Yes	+0	$0	5¢	$0	$0	09-19 12:36
Will the Democrats win the New Mexico governor race in 2026?	No	+0	$0	4¢	$0	$0	10-29 16:43
Will the U.S. invade Venezuela by December 31, 2026?	Yes	+0	$0	4¢	$0	+$0	10-15 07:02
Ukraine coup attempt by December 31, 2026?	Yes	+0	$0	3¢	$0	$0	10-26 18:40

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Ahmad Vahidi attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?	19	$667	420	420	+0	open	—	10-08 08:27
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $4.0T by December 31?	18	$664	450	450	+0	open	—	10-18 10:37
Metamask FDV above $2B one day after launch?	38	$569	490	490	+0	open	—	10-15 10:47
Metamask FDV above $100M one day after launch?	12	$535	307	307	+0	open	—	09-21 18:07
Will Faker win a Finals MVP Award at an international event in 2026?	29	$525	484	484	+0	open	—	11-01 07:21
Will Trump meet with Nick Fuentes in 2026?	15	$480	296	296	+0	open	—	08-31 12:37
Will China blockade Taiwan in 2026?	12	$476	300	300	+0	open	—	10-22 12:37
Ink FDV above $3B one day after launch?	14	$475	297	297	+0	open	—	10-24 11:27
Metamask FDV above $700M one day after launch?	14	$463	340	340	+0	open	—	10-28 10:17
Will the next Google Gemini Pro model added to the Arena Leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1480?	13	$457	290	240	+50	open	—	09-30 20:09
Will Macky Sall be the next Secretary-General of the United Nations?	17	$452	331	331	+0	open	—	10-20 02:27
Will Anthropic's market cap be between $1.5T and $1.75T at market close on IPO day?	9	$451	250	250	+0	open	—	10-13 02:17
Will Russia capture all of Kupiansk by December 31?	16	$449	386	386	+0	open	—	10-06 18:37
Will OpenSea launch a token by December 31, 2026?	20	$439	395	395	+0	open	—	10-29 00:17
Will Russia test a nuclear weapon by September 30 2026?	16	$437	371	371	+0	No	-$2	08-26 19:57
U.S. agrees to give Ukraine security guarantee by December 31?	10	$422	222	222	+0	open	—	10-20 17:47
Metamask FDV above $4B one day after launch?	21	$410	418	418	+0	open	—	10-27 11:07
Will Donald Trump attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?	18	$402	450	450	+0	open	—	10-16 09:37
Variational FDV above $4B one day after launch?	14	$398	308	308	+0	open	—	10-20 22:27
Hyperbeat FDV above $50M one day after launch?	16	$391	390	390	+0	open	—	10-31 20:37
Extended FDV above $2B one day after launch?	11	$390	300	250	+50	open	—	10-20 21:48
José Luis Rodríguez Zapatero sentenced to prison?	10	$389	250	250	+0	open	—	10-18 00:37
Pacifica FDV above $1B one day after launch?	10	$383	200	200	+0	open	—	09-02 16:57
Will Russia enter Sumy by December 31, 2026?	14	$383	349	349	+0	open	—	10-26 23:47
Puffpaw FDV above $400M one day after launch?	11	$380	261	261	+0	open	—	08-17 23:15
Will Predict.fun launch a token by September 30, 2026?	14	$379	400	400	+0	No	-$10	09-14 03:27
Will Kuwait recognize Israel by December 31?	7	$378	200	200	+0	open	—	11-01 14:17
Variational FDV above $5B one day after launch?	96	$377	216	216	+0	open	—	10-20 03:47
Will there be at least 10000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?	15	$374	273	273	+0	open	—	10-26 17:57
Will FaZe win a Tier 1 event in 2026?	12	$371	300	250	+50	open	—	11-02 03:40

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-02 03:47:15	Will Carson Benge win the 2026 NL Rookie of the Year award?	No	SELL	20	88¢	$18	0x729d0d…
11-02 03:40:49	Will FaZe win a Tier 1 event in 2026?	Yes	BUY	50	8¢	$4	0x54bfd4…
11-02 03:40:40	Will Carson Benge win the 2026 NL Rookie of the Year award?	No	BUY	10	89¢	$9	0x460164…
11-02 03:40:40	Will Carson Benge win the 2026 NL Rookie of the Year award?	No	BUY	10	89¢	$9	0x215407…
11-02 03:37:19	Will Ted Cruz announce a presidential run before 2027?	No	SELL	0	90¢	$0	0xb0787c…
11-02 03:29:39	Will Ted Cruz announce a presidential run before 2027?	No	BUY	0	90¢	$0	0xb70ce0…
11-02 03:29:37	Will Ted Cruz announce a presidential run before 2027?	Yes	BUY	4	10¢	$0	0x8959a4…
11-02 02:46:58	Will OpenAI announce a tablet in 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	6¢	$1	0xa09e8d…
11-02 02:41:15	Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (HIGH) $62 in November?	Yes	BUY	20	6¢	$1	0x49437d…
11-02 01:54:21	Will Iraq recognize Israel by December 31?	Yes	SELL	50	4¢	$2	0x9db91b…
11-02 01:54:10	Ukraine agrees not to join NATO by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	20	3¢	$1	0xc4eab8…
11-02 01:53:58	Andy Burnham out as UK PM by December 31?	Yes	SELL	20	3¢	$1	0xac9dec…
11-01 22:27:22	Ostium FDV above $50M one day after launch?	No	SELL	50	93¢	$47	0x6234d8…
11-01 22:18:25	Ostium FDV above $50M one day after launch?	No	BUY	50	97¢	$48	0xe48a13…
11-01 21:17:49	Ukraine agrees not to join NATO before 2027?	Yes	BUY	20	4¢	$1	0x6b83e6…
11-01 20:57:25	Ink FDV above $2B one day after launch?	No	SELL	50	90¢	$45	0x7e0162…
11-01 20:50:15	Ink FDV above $2B one day after launch?	No	BUY	50	94¢	$47	0xedc577…
11-01 20:07:21	Will Dune: Part Three be delayed?	No	SELL	50	95¢	$48	0x1de418…
11-01 20:01:28	Will Dune: Part Three be delayed?	No	BUY	50	96¢	$48	0xf9d70f…
11-01 19:44:43	Dutch House of Representatives dissolved in 2026?	Yes	BUY	50	8¢	$4	0x5c5377…
11-01 18:44:03	Will Donald Trump visit Ukraine by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	8	7¢	$1	0xbc8d11…
11-01 18:43:42	Will Donald Trump visit Ukraine by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	7¢	$1	0xfcc4b2…
11-01 18:43:13	Will JD Vance visit Ukraine by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	10¢	$2	0x1984b9…
11-01 18:30:03	Will Jordan Bardella leave the National Rally by March 31, 2027?	Yes	BUY	12	7¢	$1	0x53c376…
11-01 17:54:03	Will Jordan Bardella announce their candidacy for the 2027 French presidential election in 2026?	Yes	SELL	50	3¢	$2	0xeefe76…
11-01 17:50:06	Will Jordan Bardella announce their candidacy for the 2027 French presidential election in 2026?	Yes	BUY	50	3¢	$2	0x10a043…
11-01 17:47:13	Will Rose Jackson be the next Premier of New South Wales?	No	SELL	20	85¢	$17	0x7ca4a9…
11-01 16:45:49	Will Will Venable win the 2026 AL Manager of the Year?	No	BUY	20	6¢	$1	0xd890ce…
11-01 16:11:01	Will Rose Jackson be the next Premier of New South Wales?	No	BUY	20	90¢	$18	0x6d08cf…
11-01 15:17:09	Will Excelsior be relegated from the 2026-27 Eredivisie?	No	BUY	20	91¢	$18	0x0d2b79…
11-01 14:17:52	Will Iraq recognize Israel by December 31?	Yes	BUY	50	4¢	$2	0xb96a91…
11-01 14:17:19	Will Syria recognize Israel by December 31?	Yes	SELL	50	3¢	$2	0xf48e20…
11-01 14:17:19	Will Kuwait recognize Israel by December 31?	No	SELL	50	97¢	$48	0xef1d6f…
11-01 14:17:06	Will Syria recognize Israel by December 31?	Yes	BUY	50	3¢	$2	0xeebfd1…
11-01 14:16:21	Will Kuwait recognize Israel by December 31?	No	BUY	50	97¢	$48	0xb56640…
11-01 13:37:21	StandX FDV above $1B one day after launch?	No	SELL	50	97¢	$48	0x9352f4…
11-01 13:37:03	StandX FDV above $1B one day after launch?	No	BUY	50	97¢	$48	0x16c19f…
11-01 13:04:13	Will Trump recognize Somaliland before 2027?	Yes	SELL	19	8¢	$2	0x6cb309…
11-01 13:04:07	Will Trump recognize Somaliland before 2027?	Yes	BUY	19	8¢	$2	0xc72cf5…
11-01 12:38:13	Gemini Carbon released by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	50	4¢	$2	0xc6d3d4…
11-01 12:37:16	Will Russia capture Kupiansk by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	50	90¢	$45	0xde7ac8…
11-01 12:32:51	Will Russia capture Kupiansk by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	50	91¢	$46	0x7dddc8…
11-01 11:49:46	Klitschko out as Kyiv mayor by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	2¢	$0	0xc2a3b4…
11-01 10:17:24	Will Trump meet with Aleksandr Lukashenko in 2026?	No	SELL	50	84¢	$42	0xdeb7f7…
11-01 09:04:39	Andy Burnham out as UK PM by December 31?	Yes	BUY	20	4¢	$1	0xe37ca3…
11-01 07:21:03	Will Faker win a Finals MVP Award at an international event in 2026?	No	SELL	50	97¢	$49	0x062d21…
11-01 07:20:13	Will Faker win a Finals MVP Award at an international event in 2026?	No	BUY	50	98¢	$49	0x1122f6…
11-01 05:46:58	Will the OpenAI spy be accused of working for Meta by December 31?	Yes	BUY	50	4¢	$2	0x75bb9d…
11-01 05:15:16	Will the OpenAI spy be accused of working for Israel by December 31?	Yes	BUY	50	4¢	$2	0x1ba207…
11-01 04:57:22	Metamask FDV above $300M one day after launch?	No	SELL	50	90¢	$45	0xd7341f…
11-01 04:49:22	Metamask FDV above $300M one day after launch?	No	BUY	50	95¢	$48	0xd35408…
11-01 03:27:18	Will Trump meet with Changpeng Zhao in 2026?	No	SELL	50	90¢	$45	0xdf92c8…
11-01 02:57:01	Will Trump meet with Aleksandr Lukashenko in 2026?	No	BUY	50	89¢	$44	0x9fcc9d…
11-01 02:56:18	Will Trump meet with Changpeng Zhao in 2026?	No	BUY	50	96¢	$48	0xeaab40…
11-01 02:22:09	Will Democrats win the Minnesota Governor election and Republicans win the Minnesota Senate election?	Yes	SELL	20	6¢	$1	0x7a4d6c…
11-01 02:21:46	Will Democrats win the Minnesota Governor election and Republicans win the Minnesota Senate election?	Yes	BUY	20	6¢	$1	0xb5adcf…
11-01 01:15:27	Will Beto O’Rourke announce a Presidential run before 2027?	Yes	SELL	40	3¢	$1	0xd91c51…
11-01 01:15:07	Will Elon Musk announce a presidential run before 2027?	Yes	SELL	20	1¢	$0	0x65bf4d…
11-01 01:14:52	Gavin Newsom 2028 presidential odds leader on November 30?	Yes	SELL	50	3¢	$1	0xe3b7f2…
11-01 01:14:36	Will Carson Benge win the 2026 NL Rookie of the Year award?	Yes	SELL	16	6¢	$1	0x7e922e…
11-01 01:14:19	Will Trump pardon Elon Musk before 2027?	Yes	SELL	20	3¢	$1	0x550bea…
11-01 01:14:12	Will Lighter reach $8 before 2027?	Yes	SELL	20	4¢	$1	0x2b575a…
11-01 01:14:06	Will Trump visit Greenland by December 31?	Yes	SELL	50	5¢	$2	0xa50b33…
11-01 01:14:00	Will Pakistan recognize Israel by December 31?	Yes	SELL	48	4¢	$2	0x64f08e…
11-01 00:26:13	Will Trump visit Greenland by December 31?	Yes	BUY	50	6¢	$3	0xce3a12…
11-01 00:07:22	Will "Toy Story 5" be nominated for Best Adapted Screenplay at the 99th Academy Awards?	No	SELL	20	89¢	$18	0xf0e357…
11-01 00:04:48	Will "Toy Story 5" be nominated for Best Adapted Screenplay at the 99th Academy Awards?	No	BUY	20	93¢	$19	0xc5fa5f…
10-31 23:47:16	Major meteor strike (10kt+) in 2026?	No	SELL	20	89¢	$18	0x377589…
10-31 23:35:57	Major meteor strike (10kt+) in 2026?	No	BUY	20	94¢	$19	0x9e0723…
10-31 23:35:57	Major meteor strike (10kt+) in 2026?	No	BUY	0	94¢	$0	0x5f309c…
10-31 22:43:19	Will Pakistan recognize Israel by December 31?	Yes	SELL	1	5¢	$0	0x97fe0f…
10-31 22:42:45	Will Pakistan recognize Israel by December 31?	Yes	SELL	1	5¢	$0	0xcd2e50…
10-31 22:42:39	Will Pakistan recognize Israel by December 31?	Yes	SELL	0	5¢	$0	0xb88657…
10-31 22:01:57	France accuses foreign country of provoking unrest by November 30?	Yes	SELL	20	6¢	$1	0xc922c1…
10-31 21:07:19	Will Raphaël Glucksmann advance to the second round of the next French presidential election?	No	SELL	50	89¢	$45	0x877b2c…
10-31 21:06:13	Will Trump pardon Ghislaine Maxwell before 2027?	No	SELL	20	95¢	$19	0xf0819a…
10-31 21:04:15	Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $5.0T by December 31?	Yes	SELL	48	3¢	$2	0xbdb5a2…
10-31 21:04:07	Will Trump pardon Ghislaine Maxwell before 2027?	No	BUY	20	95¢	$19	0x7f7c3f…
10-31 21:04:04	Will Raphaël Glucksmann advance to the second round of the next French presidential election?	No	BUY	50	90¢	$45	0xc3cb47…
10-31 20:58:09	Will Lighter reach $8 before 2027?	Yes	BUY	20	5¢	$1	0xfdefc5…
10-31 20:47:18	Will Sean Strickland be the UFC Middleweight Champion on December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	10	90¢	$9	0xedd1e4…
10-31 20:45:30	France accuses foreign country of provoking unrest by November 30?	Yes	BUY	20	6¢	$1	0x5462af…
10-31 20:37:33	Will Sean Strickland be the UFC Middleweight Champion on December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	93¢	$9	0x9fe6ba…
10-31 20:37:15	Hyperbeat FDV above $50M one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	50	7¢	$4	0x188087…
10-31 20:19:52	Will Nuevas Ideas (NI) win the most seats in the 2027 Salvadoran legislative election?	No	BUY	50	6¢	$3	0xb3ce28…
10-31 19:45:09	Will Beto O’Rourke announce a Presidential run before 2027?	Yes	BUY	20	5¢	$1	0x57003c…
10-31 19:44:24	Will Beto O’Rourke announce a Presidential run before 2027?	Yes	BUY	20	5¢	$1	0xfdf7fc…
10-31 18:41:03	Will Kim Kardashian announce a Presidential run before 2027?	Yes	BUY	20	5¢	$1	0x894d4d…
10-31 18:40:31	Will Kim Kardashian announce a Presidential run before 2027?	Yes	BUY	20	5¢	$1	0xe40668…
10-31 18:17:16	Will MicroStrategy announce bankruptcy before 2027?	No	SELL	20	93¢	$19	0xf12894…
10-31 18:14:25	Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $5.0T by December 31?	Yes	SELL	2	3¢	$0	0x0db02d…
10-31 18:05:40	Will MicroStrategy announce bankruptcy before 2027?	No	BUY	20	94¢	$19	0x9cada3…
10-31 17:17:13	Will Mike Lee vote "Yea" on the Clarity Act?	No	SELL	50	94¢	$47	0x48bf78…
10-31 17:07:24	Will Raphael Warnock vote "Yea" on the Clarity Act?	No	SELL	50	92¢	$46	0x7323e7…
10-31 16:59:07	Will Pakistan recognize Israel by December 31?	Yes	BUY	50	5¢	$2	0x4bfae0…
10-31 16:57:40	Will Mike Lee vote "Yea" on the Clarity Act?	No	BUY	50	94¢	$47	0x5e18ef…
10-31 16:57:24	Will Raphael Warnock vote "Yea" on the Clarity Act?	No	BUY	50	93¢	$46	0xb4ec19…
10-31 16:27:19	Weed rescheduled by December 31?	No	SELL	12	90¢	$11	0x98e623…
10-31 16:26:27	Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $5.0T by December 31?	Yes	BUY	50	3¢	$2	0x9ba84b…
10-31 16:25:10	Weed rescheduled by December 31?	No	BUY	12	91¢	$11	0x1f0ed6…