Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 2.75% or lower before 2027?
open
Total volume
$6,283
$12 in 24h
Trades
191
Unique wallets
59
Liquidity
$18,942
Latest YES mid
5¢
Latest NO mid
95¢
End date
2026-12-31
First seen
2026-05-28
last 06-19 13:41
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
SMI:
-17.4¢
(top1%: 0% YES on $19
vs crowd: 17% YES on $3.5K)
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐋 Whale | 10 | $64 | $612 | $548 |
| 🐬 Dolphin | 15 | $124 | $529 | $405 |
| 🐟 Fish | 10 | $414 | $157 | +$257 |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 24 | $7 | $1.6K | $1.6K |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🎯 Top 1% | 3 | — | $19 | $19 |
| 🏆 Top 5% | 3 | $33 | — | +$33 |
| ✅ Top 10% | 2 | $12 | — | +$12 |
| Median | 4 | — | $196 | $196 |
| Below median | 7 | $10 | $25 | $16 |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 2 | $13 | — | +$13 |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 8 | $84 | $552 | $469 |
| 💀 Bottom 1% | 4 | $64 | $97 | $32 |
| unranked | 26 | $395 | $2.0K | $1.6K |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Downright-Goddess 0x16da…05c0 | Yes | +6,728 | $353 | $403 | 34 | 06-19 13:41 |
| (anonymous) 0xdec6…c1c5 | No | +901 | $851 | $851 | 1 | 06-06 14:22 |
| Late-Stepbrother 0x0aae…251c | No | +500 | $474 | $474 | 1 | 06-12 16:24 |
| Inconsequential-Platinum 0x5c0a…a2c3 | No | +265 | $251 | $724 | 3 | 06-17 20:54 |
| Inconsequential-Platinum 0x5c0a…a2c3 | Yes | +265 | $14 | $14 | 2 | 06-09 06:03 |
| (anonymous) 0x6af4…34aa | No | +75 | $71 | $71 | 4 | 06-11 12:51 |
| (anonymous) 0x6cdd…814d | No | +62 | $59 | $59 | 2 | 06-11 08:43 |
| Humming-Ram 0x372f…3b19 | No | +54 | $51 | $51 | 1 | 06-09 14:27 |
| (anonymous) 0xc0e8…3305 | No | +54 | $51 | $51 | 2 | 06-10 08:51 |
| (anonymous) 0x91e4…26cc | No | +54 | $51 | $51 | 1 | 06-17 08:05 |
| (anonymous) 0x61e9…d676 | No | +53 | $50 | $50 | 1 | 06-11 08:13 |
| (anonymous) 0x6236…4558 | No | +53 | $50 | $50 | 1 | 06-10 08:51 |
| (anonymous) 0x807c…e9ca | No | +53 | $50 | $50 | 1 | 06-10 08:51 |
| Snappy-Rooster 0xc602…7fc1 | Yes | +50 | $4 | $21 | 5 | 06-09 06:03 |
| (anonymous) 0xb3ca…1a85 | No | +50 | $47 | $47 | 1 | 06-17 20:54 |
| (anonymous) 0x94a5…4e99 | No | +50 | $47 | $47 | 1 | 06-17 08:05 |
| (anonymous) 0xe056…00cc | No | +50 | $47 | $47 | 1 | 06-17 20:54 |
| (anonymous) 0x9ebf…56cc | No | +42 | $40 | $40 | 1 | 06-17 08:05 |
| Humming-Macaw 0xfc92…27c9 | Yes | +30 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-30 20:34 |
| Humming-Macaw 0xfc92…27c9 | No | +30 | $29 | $29 | 1 | 05-30 20:34 |
| Arctic-Kickoff 0xa667…ceb3 | No | +24 | $23 | $23 | 3 | 06-01 22:55 |
| Creamy-Geology 0xf524…8178 | Yes | +20 | $1 | $7 | 7 | 06-01 12:00 |
| (anonymous) 0xe63a…0679 | No | +19 | $18 | $18 | 1 | 06-19 13:41 |
| Vigilant-School 0x3cff…6fbd | No | +10 | $10 | $10 | 1 | 06-11 08:13 |
| Jumbo-Discharge 0x9070…e32c | Yes | +1 | $0 | $2 | 5 | 06-10 14:11 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06-19 13:41:04 | (anonymous) 0xe63a…0679 | No | BUY | 19 | 95¢ | $18 | 0x7f6d2a… |
| 06-19 13:41:04 | Downright-Goddess 0x16da…05c0 | Yes | BUY | 19 | 5¢ | $1 | 0x7f6d2a… |
| 06-17 20:54:28 | Downright-Goddess 0x16da…05c0 | Yes | SELL | 250 | 6¢ | $14 | 0xc4e3a5… |
| 06-17 20:54:28 | Inconsequential-Platinum 0x5c0a…a2c3 | No | SELL | 250 | 94¢ | $236 | 0xc4e3a5… |
| 06-17 20:54:26 | (anonymous) 0xe056…00cc | No | BUY | 50 | 95¢ | $47 | 0xd13c77… |
| 06-17 20:54:26 | Fruitful-Heroine 0x1e98…6345 | Yes | SELL | 100 | 5¢ | $5 | 0xd13c77… |
| 06-17 20:54:26 | Downright-Goddess 0x16da…05c0 | Yes | BUY | 550 | 5¢ | $30 | 0xd13c77… |
| 06-17 20:54:26 | Inconsequential-Platinum 0x5c0a…a2c3 | No | BUY | 250 | 95¢ | $236 | 0xd13c77… |
| 06-17 20:54:26 | Double-Valley 0xec82…6eaa | Yes | SELL | 100 | 5¢ | $5 | 0xd13c77… |
| 06-17 20:54:26 | (anonymous) 0xb3ca…1a85 | No | BUY | 50 | 95¢ | $47 | 0xd13c77… |
| 06-17 08:05:23 | Downright-Goddess 0x16da…05c0 | Yes | BUY | 146 | 5¢ | $8 | 0x77dcff… |
| 06-17 08:05:23 | (anonymous) 0x9ebf…56cc | No | BUY | 42 | 95¢ | $40 | 0x77dcff… |
| 06-17 08:05:23 | (anonymous) 0x94a5…4e99 | No | BUY | 50 | 95¢ | $47 | 0x77dcff… |
| 06-17 08:05:23 | (anonymous) 0x91e4…26cc | No | BUY | 54 | 95¢ | $51 | 0x77dcff… |
| 06-12 17:23:03 | Downright-Goddess 0x16da…05c0 | Yes | SELL | 12 | 5¢ | $1 | 0x9c69a5… |
| 06-12 17:23:03 | Closed-Rating 0x505e…affc | No | SELL | 12 | 95¢ | $12 | 0x9c69a5… |
| 06-12 16:24:37 | Glittering-Chaise 0x5c57…5b16 | No | SELL | 20 | 95¢ | $19 | 0xd9c970… |
| 06-12 16:24:37 | Kaleidoscopic-Outhouse 0xe457…5ab3 | Yes | SELL | 20 | 5¢ | $1 | 0xd9c970… |
| 06-12 16:24:34 | Late-Stepbrother 0x0aae…251c | No | BUY | 500 | 95¢ | $474 | 0x1fb933… |
| 06-12 16:24:34 | Glittering-Chaise 0x5c57…5b16 | No | SELL | 381 | 95¢ | $361 | 0x1fb933… |
| 06-12 16:24:34 | Downright-Goddess 0x16da…05c0 | Yes | BUY | 99 | 5¢ | $5 | 0x1fb933… |
| 06-12 16:24:34 | Kaleidoscopic-Outhouse 0xe457…5ab3 | Yes | BUY | 20 | 5¢ | $1 | 0x1fb933… |
| 06-11 22:14:43 | Mammoth-Hop 0x95dc…4b45 | No | SELL | 12 | 95¢ | $12 | 0xcc8ca7… |
| 06-11 22:14:43 | Downright-Goddess 0x16da…05c0 | Yes | SELL | 12 | 5¢ | $1 | 0xcc8ca7… |
| 06-11 12:51:55 | Kaleidoscopic-Outhouse 0xe457…5ab3 | No | SELL | 20 | 95¢ | $19 | 0x14536f… |
| 06-11 12:51:55 | Downright-Goddess 0x16da…05c0 | Yes | SELL | 20 | 5¢ | $1 | 0x14536f… |
| 06-11 12:51:42 | (anonymous) 0x6af4…34aa | No | BUY | 27 | 95¢ | $26 | 0x61e34f… |
| 06-11 12:51:42 | Kaleidoscopic-Outhouse 0xe457…5ab3 | No | BUY | 20 | 95¢ | $19 | 0x61e34f… |
| 06-11 12:51:42 | Downright-Goddess 0x16da…05c0 | Yes | BUY | 47 | 5¢ | $2 | 0x61e34f… |
| 06-11 12:10:13 | (anonymous) 0x6af4…34aa | No | BUY | 20 | 95¢ | $19 | 0x09f041… |
| 06-11 12:10:13 | Foolhardy-Highway 0x25f4…f88e | No | SELL | 20 | 95¢ | $19 | 0x09f041… |
| 06-11 08:43:15 | Kaleidoscopic-Outhouse 0xe457…5ab3 | No | SELL | 20 | 95¢ | $19 | 0x25578d… |
| 06-11 08:43:15 | (anonymous) 0x6af4…34aa | No | BUY | 20 | 95¢ | $19 | 0x25578d… |
| 06-11 08:43:04 | Those-Socks 0x5c8b…e998 | No | SELL | 70 | 95¢ | $66 | 0x76ccd5… |
| 06-11 08:43:04 | (anonymous) 0x6af4…34aa | No | BUY | 8 | 95¢ | $8 | 0x76ccd5… |
| 06-11 08:43:04 | (anonymous) 0x6cdd…814d | No | BUY | 42 | 95¢ | $40 | 0x76ccd5… |
| 06-11 08:43:04 | Kaleidoscopic-Outhouse 0xe457…5ab3 | No | BUY | 20 | 95¢ | $19 | 0x76ccd5… |
| 06-11 08:13:49 | (anonymous) 0x6cdd…814d | No | BUY | 20 | 95¢ | $19 | 0xaf252c… |
| 06-11 08:13:49 | Kaleidoscopic-Outhouse 0xe457…5ab3 | No | SELL | 20 | 95¢ | $19 | 0xaf252c… |
| 06-11 08:13:40 | Foolhardy-Highway 0x25f4…f88e | No | BUY | 20 | 95¢ | $19 | 0xb23ac7… |
| 06-11 08:13:40 | Vigilant-School 0x3cff…6fbd | No | BUY | 10 | 95¢ | $10 | 0xb23ac7… |
| 06-11 08:13:40 | Downright-Goddess 0x16da…05c0 | Yes | BUY | 173 | 5¢ | $9 | 0xb23ac7… |
| 06-11 08:13:40 | Those-Socks 0x5c8b…e998 | No | BUY | 70 | 95¢ | $66 | 0xb23ac7… |
| 06-11 08:13:40 | Kaleidoscopic-Outhouse 0xe457…5ab3 | No | BUY | 20 | 95¢ | $19 | 0xb23ac7… |
| 06-11 08:13:40 | (anonymous) 0x61e9…d676 | No | BUY | 53 | 95¢ | $50 | 0xb23ac7… |
| 06-10 14:12:40 | Downright-Goddess 0x16da…05c0 | Yes | BUY | 7 | 5¢ | $0 | 0xbe6244… |
| 06-10 14:12:40 | Kaleidoscopic-Outhouse 0xe457…5ab3 | Yes | SELL | 7 | 5¢ | $0 | 0xbe6244… |
| 06-10 14:11:24 | Kaleidoscopic-Outhouse 0xe457…5ab3 | Yes | BUY | 7 | 5¢ | $0 | 0x45d54b… |
| 06-10 14:11:24 | Jumbo-Discharge 0x9070…e32c | Yes | SELL | 7 | 5¢ | $0 | 0x45d54b… |
| 06-10 12:35:42 | Kaleidoscopic-Outhouse 0xe457…5ab3 | Yes | SELL | 20 | 5¢ | $1 | 0xb069ff… |
| 06-10 12:35:42 | Downright-Goddess 0x16da…05c0 | Yes | BUY | 20 | 5¢ | $1 | 0xb069ff… |
| 06-10 12:35:30 | Downright-Goddess 0x16da…05c0 | Yes | BUY | 55 | 5¢ | $3 | 0x1484f8… |
| 06-10 12:35:30 | Strong-Visual 0x168f…9e00 | Yes | SELL | 55 | 5¢ | $3 | 0x1484f8… |
| 06-10 12:35:28 | Fruitful-Heroine 0x1e98…6345 | Yes | BUY | 100 | 5¢ | $5 | 0x5cb0be… |
| 06-10 12:35:28 | Double-Valley 0xec82…6eaa | Yes | BUY | 100 | 5¢ | $5 | 0x5cb0be… |
| 06-10 12:35:28 | Jumbo-Discharge 0x9070…e32c | Yes | BUY | 8 | 5¢ | $0 | 0x5cb0be… |
| 06-10 12:35:28 | Strong-Visual 0x168f…9e00 | Yes | SELL | 345 | 5¢ | $17 | 0x5cb0be… |
| 06-10 12:35:28 | Downright-Goddess 0x16da…05c0 | Yes | BUY | 136 | 5¢ | $7 | 0x5cb0be… |
| 06-10 12:35:25 | Kaleidoscopic-Outhouse 0xe457…5ab3 | Yes | BUY | 20 | 5¢ | $1 | 0x0d34c5… |
| 06-10 12:35:25 | (anonymous) 0xb50a…a2b8 | No | SELL | 57 | 95¢ | $54 | 0x0d34c5… |
| 06-10 12:35:25 | Limited-Blame 0xdce7…f553 | Yes | SELL | 1,452 | 5¢ | $73 | 0x0d34c5… |
| 06-10 12:35:25 | Downright-Goddess 0x16da…05c0 | Yes | BUY | 975 | 5¢ | $49 | 0x0d34c5… |
| 06-10 12:35:25 | Strong-Visual 0x168f…9e00 | Yes | BUY | 400 | 5¢ | $20 | 0x0d34c5… |
| 06-10 08:51:09 | (anonymous) 0x807c…e9ca | No | BUY | 53 | 95¢ | $50 | 0xae23dd… |
| 06-10 08:51:09 | Terrible-Ordinary 0x0a6d…1d0a | Yes | SELL | 54 | 5¢ | $3 | 0xae23dd… |
| 06-10 08:51:09 | Downright-Goddess 0x16da…05c0 | Yes | BUY | 188 | 5¢ | $10 | 0xae23dd… |
| 06-10 08:51:09 | (anonymous) 0xc0e8…3305 | No | BUY | 28 | 95¢ | $27 | 0xae23dd… |
| 06-10 08:51:09 | (anonymous) 0x6236…4558 | No | BUY | 53 | 95¢ | $50 | 0xae23dd… |
| 06-09 14:27:22 | (anonymous) 0xc0e8…3305 | No | BUY | 26 | 95¢ | $25 | 0x5b058c… |
| 06-09 14:27:22 | Snappy-Rooster 0xc602…7fc1 | No | SELL | 80 | 95¢ | $76 | 0x5b058c… |
| 06-09 14:27:22 | Humming-Ram 0x372f…3b19 | No | BUY | 54 | 95¢ | $51 | 0x5b058c… |
| 06-09 06:03:49 | Snappy-Rooster 0xc602…7fc1 | No | BUY | 80 | 95¢ | $76 | 0x0acefe… |
| 06-09 06:03:49 | Inconsequential-Platinum 0x5c0a…a2c3 | Yes | BUY | 128 | 5¢ | $7 | 0x4b0054… |
| 06-09 06:03:49 | Downright-Goddess 0x16da…05c0 | Yes | SELL | 128 | 5¢ | $7 | 0x4b0054… |
| 06-09 06:03:49 | Snappy-Rooster 0xc602…7fc1 | Yes | SELL | 57 | 5¢ | $3 | 0x0acefe… |
| 06-09 06:03:49 | Inconsequential-Platinum 0x5c0a…a2c3 | Yes | BUY | 137 | 5¢ | $7 | 0x0acefe… |
| 06-09 06:03:48 | Wrathful-Row 0x56c9…0d9e | No | SELL | 690 | 95¢ | $653 | 0xadaadf… |
| 06-09 06:03:48 | Rude-Ecology 0x7ac4…4f44 | Yes | SELL | 100 | 5¢ | $5 | 0xadaadf… |
| 06-09 06:03:48 | Snappy-Rooster 0xc602…7fc1 | Yes | SELL | 30 | 5¢ | $2 | 0xadaadf… |
| 06-09 06:03:48 | Charming-Grape 0xac4a…bf1e | Yes | SELL | 20 | 5¢ | $1 | 0xadaadf… |
| 06-09 06:03:48 | Obedient-Population 0x6c37…d40f | Yes | SELL | 160 | 5¢ | $8 | 0xadaadf… |
| 06-09 06:03:48 | Kind-Senator 0x4b91…982d | Yes | SELL | 100 | 5¢ | $5 | 0xadaadf… |
| 06-09 06:03:48 | Inconsequential-Platinum 0x5c0a…a2c3 | No | BUY | 265 | 95¢ | $251 | 0xadaadf… |
| 06-09 06:03:48 | Fruitful-Heroine 0x1e98…6345 | Yes | SELL | 15 | 5¢ | $1 | 0xadaadf… |
| 06-08 04:33:10 | Fruitful-Heroine 0x1e98…6345 | Yes | SELL | 1 | 5¢ | $0 | 0xf2b8d9… |
| 06-08 04:33:10 | Twin-Detention 0x7f82…c446 | No | SELL | 1 | 95¢ | $1 | 0xf2b8d9… |
| 06-07 16:33:34 | Fruitful-Heroine 0x1e98…6345 | Yes | BUY | 15 | 5¢ | $1 | 0x785e05… |
| 06-07 16:33:34 | (anonymous) 0x30b8…fbf3 | Yes | SELL | 15 | 5¢ | $1 | 0x785e05… |
| 06-07 16:32:58 | Fruitful-Heroine 0x1e98…6345 | Yes | BUY | 1 | 5¢ | $0 | 0xbb83f1… |
| 06-07 16:32:58 | Twin-Detention 0x7f82…c446 | No | BUY | 1 | 95¢ | $1 | 0xbb83f1… |
| 06-07 16:26:10 | Jumbo-Discharge 0x9070…e32c | Yes | SELL | 15 | 5¢ | $1 | 0x62da8e… |
| 06-07 16:26:10 | (anonymous) 0x30b8…fbf3 | Yes | BUY | 15 | 5¢ | $1 | 0x62da8e… |
| 06-06 14:22:15 | (anonymous) 0xdec6…c1c5 | No | BUY | 901 | 94¢ | $851 | 0x9adbd5… |
| 06-06 14:22:15 | Obedient-Population 0x6c37…d40f | Yes | BUY | 100 | 6¢ | $6 | 0x9adbd5… |
| 06-06 14:22:15 | Jumbo-Discharge 0x9070…e32c | Yes | BUY | 7 | 6¢ | $0 | 0x9adbd5… |
| 06-06 14:22:15 | Downright-Goddess 0x16da…05c0 | Yes | BUY | 764 | 6¢ | $42 | 0x9adbd5… |
| 06-06 14:22:15 | Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71 | No | SELL | 22 | 94¢ | $21 | 0x9adbd5… |
| 06-05 00:00:30 | Frightening-Rainmaker 0x43fd…59d3 | No | SELL | 40 | 94¢ | $37 | 0x7b6454… |
| 06-05 00:00:30 | Obedient-Population 0x6c37…d40f | Yes | SELL | 40 | 6¢ | $3 | 0x7b6454… |
| 06-03 22:05:46 | Square-Ore 0x7d58…462d | No | SELL | 25 | 94¢ | $24 | 0x272229… |