Realized P&L
Unrealized P&L
+$49
Hit rate
Resolved
0
Trades
798
lifetime
Volume
$20.1K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$25
Open exposure
$269
15 positions
First seen
2026-01-09
last 06-30 12:52
Equity curve
Not enough resolved markets yet to plot a curve.
Categories
Other
33%
Sports
32%
Tech
16%
Politics
15%
Crypto
4%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
33 active days in 12wk • peak 54 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Fed rate cut by July 2026 meeting? No +50 $49 98¢ $49 +$0 06-29 16:19
Will Beyoncé perform at the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final halftime show? No +50 $47 93¢ $46 $-1 06-29 23:52
Will SZA perform at the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final halftime show? No +40 $38 98¢ $39 +$1 05-29 18:28
Will any AI model reach 1550 Math Arena Score by December 31, 2026? No +50 $34 57¢ $28 $-6 06-29 00:12
Will Travis Scott perform at the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final halftime show? No +22 $21 97¢ $21 +$0 05-29 16:01
Will Moonshot AI’s Kimi K3 model be released by June 30, 2026? No +20 $20 98¢ $20 +$0 06-24 01:48
Will any AI model reach 1560 Coding Arena Score by December 31, 2026? Yes +50 $36 39¢ $20 $-16 06-23 17:28
Will the U.S. invade Venezuela by December 31, 2026? No +20 $18 94¢ $19 +$0 06-27 05:04
Arc FDV above $5B one day after launch? No -20 $-16 88¢ $-18 $-1 06-17 12:00
Will US unemployment reach at least 5.5% in 2026? No +5 $5 87¢ $4 $-1 06-28 00:00
Will Laurent Wauquiez be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election? Yes -40 $-1 $-2 $-0 06-04 12:00
GPT-5.6 released by June 30, 2026? Yes -100 $-78 $-1 +$77 06-15 12:00
Will the federal gas tax be suspended by June 30, 2026? Yes +100 $2 $1 $-1 06-14 23:52
Will Taylor Swift perform at the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final halftime show? No +1 $4 97¢ $1 $-3 05-29 09:27
Will OpenAI be acquired before 2027? No +0 $-0 93¢ $0 +$0 06-09 14:15