Frightening-Rainmaker 0x43fdf2…6759d3
← all wallets
Realized P&L
—
Unrealized P&L
-$25
Hit rate
—
Resolved
0
Trades
1,695
lifetime
Volume
$43.1K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$25
Open exposure
$323
16 positions
First seen
2026-01-09
last 07-20 18:50
Equity curve
Not enough resolved markets yet to plot a curve.
Categories
Other
46% — —
Sports
28% — —
Politics
13% — —
Tech
11% — —
Crypto
2% — —
Pop-Culture
1% — —
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
53 active days in 12wk • peak 103 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Hong Wang win the 2026 Fields Medal? Yes +80 $78 99¢ $79 +$1 07-18 14:09
Will John Pardon win the 2026 Fields Medal? Yes +80 $77 98¢ $78 +$2 07-18 21:10
Will inflation reach more than 4.5% in 2026? No +50 $38 76¢ $38 $-0 07-17 16:12
Will François Hollande be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election? No +50 $38 68¢ $34 $-4 07-15 21:06
Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026? No -50 $-29 52¢ $-26 +$3 07-12 05:10
Will any AI model reach 1560 Coding Arena Score by December 31, 2026? Yes -40 $1 62¢ $-25 $-25 07-06 11:58
Arc FDV above $5B one day after launch? No -20 $-16 84¢ $-17 $-0 06-17 12:00
Will Russia enter Sloviansk by December 31, 2026? Yes +30 $5 18¢ $6 +$0 07-19 23:59
Will any AI model reach 1600 Coding Arena Score by December 31, 2026? Yes -50 $-9 10¢ $-5 +$5 07-06 06:00
Will Lovable announce bankruptcy before 2027? No +5 $5 91¢ $5 $-0 07-20 14:13
Romanian PM Bolojan out by December 31? No +80 $4 5¢ $4 +$0 07-20 15:04
Will Trump meet with Nick Fuentes in 2026? Yes +60 $2 4¢ $2 $-0 07-18 07:16
Will Barack Obama announce a Presidential run before 2027? Yes +80 $3 2¢ $2 $-1 07-18 04:51
Will Laurent Wauquiez be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election? Yes -40 $-1 4¢ $-1 $-0 06-04 12:00
Will Sarah Huckabee Sanders announce a presidential run before 2027? Yes +60 $5 2¢ $1 $-4 07-16 11:48
Will OpenAI be acquired before 2027? No +0 $-0 94¢ $0 +$0 06-09 14:15