Fed rate hike in 2026?
open
Total volume
$231,813
$5,752 in 24h
Trades
2,311
Unique wallets
541
Liquidity
$48,010
Latest YES mid
55¢
Latest NO mid
45¢
End date
2026-12-09
First seen
2026-05-28
last 06-09 22:54
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
YES holders
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
SMI:
+27.8¢
(top1%: 78% YES on $5.8K
vs crowd: 50% YES on $169.9K)
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐋 Whale | 33 | $29.2K | $25.5K | +$3.6K |
| 🐬 Dolphin | 72 | $7.8K | $29.0K | $21.2K |
| 🐟 Fish | 111 | $40.2K | $7.2K | +$33.0K |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 325 | $8.2K | $22.8K | $14.6K |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🎯 Top 1% | 9 | $4.5K | $1.3K | +$3.2K |
| 🏆 Top 5% | 32 | $2.5K | $9.2K | $6.7K |
| ✅ Top 10% | 30 | $1.9K | $3.4K | $1.6K |
| Median | 44 | $1.6K | $1.2K | +$349 |
| Below median | 100 | $2.2K | $5.1K | $2.9K |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 28 | $591 | $3.2K | $2.6K |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 35 | $3.3K | $7.8K | $4.6K |
| 💀 Bottom 1% | 17 | $27.5K | $21.3K | +$6.1K |
| unranked | 246 | $41.3K | $31.9K | +$9.4K |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Grubby-Mall 0xa309…4cf2 | Yes | +58,385 | $30,032 | $30,032 | 144 | 06-09 17:53 |
| Fabulous-Online 0x3a8a…7699 | Yes | +49,517 | $23,237 | $27,023 | 86 | 06-08 03:17 |
| Hideous-Racer 0xc8ab…6418 | No | +21,856 | $10,806 | $18,073 | 101 | 06-09 22:54 |
| (anonymous) 0x59f1…a693 | No | +14,553 | $7,383 | $7,383 | 1 | 06-06 15:38 |
| (anonymous) 0xcc32…92d2 | No | +10,630 | $4,890 | $4,890 | 1 | 06-08 19:43 |
| (anonymous) 0xb458…d89e | No | +7,714 | $4,500 | $4,500 | 2 | 06-05 14:06 |
| Accomplished-Technique 0x9ffe…8edd | Yes | +6,744 | $2,253 | $2,253 | 11 | 06-03 06:16 |
| Roasted-Spokesman 0x2054…533e | Yes | +6,593 | $3,428 | $3,428 | 6 | 06-05 21:43 |
| (anonymous) 0x4842…41a0 | No | +6,396 | $3,000 | $3,000 | 2 | 06-08 11:33 |
| Rusty-Tactile 0x2478…2e62 | Yes | +6,277 | $2,562 | $3,176 | 9 | 06-09 03:21 |
| Wise-Kindness 0xfa8f…d61b | No | +6,208 | $3,708 | $3,708 | 11 | 06-09 16:24 |
| Favorable-Conduct-Leverage 0xd331…733c | No | +3,433 | $1,864 | $1,864 | 26 | 06-09 03:38 |
| (anonymous) 0x94da…2bf1 | No | +3,100 | $1,685 | $1,685 | 16 | 06-08 08:36 |
| Helpful-Canopy 0x7c15…c9db | No | +3,028 | $1,897 | $1,897 | 3 | 06-06 19:59 |
| Monstrous-Dew 0x5b63…11a4 | No | +2,304 | $922 | $922 | 1 | 06-08 04:02 |
| Powerless-Listing 0xce53…834b | No | +2,013 | $964 | $3,607 | 45 | 06-08 13:57 |
| Heavy-Gentleman 0x7e01…63be | No | +2,000 | $921 | $921 | 4 | 06-09 12:53 |
| Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71 | Yes | +1,949 | $1,100 | $1,596 | 11 | 06-08 13:18 |
| (anonymous) 0x27d8…0309 | No | +1,940 | $961 | $961 | 1 | 06-05 17:59 |
| Informal-Expertise 0x4b8c…9e5d | Yes | +1,937 | $1,065 | $1,065 | 5 | 06-09 22:12 |
| Colorful-Province 0x2d8d…778d | No | +1,896 | $872 | $872 | 1 | 06-09 22:54 |
| (anonymous) 0xfc91…31eb | Yes | +1,750 | $662 | $662 | 1 | 06-03 01:21 |
| Weird-Freedom 0xeca0…e8f8 | Yes | +1,750 | $856 | $856 | 2 | 06-07 22:33 |
| Weird-Freedom 0xeca0…e8f8 | No | +1,750 | $880 | $880 | 2 | 06-07 22:00 |
| (anonymous) 0xc545…dc80 | No | +1,739 | $800 | $800 | 1 | 06-09 02:38 |
| Smart-Bun 0x077e…06d2 | No | +1,730 | $848 | $848 | 1 | 06-07 22:00 |
| Elegant-Staff 0x2458…f8e7 | Yes | +1,531 | $499 | $499 | 10 | 06-02 22:10 |
| (anonymous) 0x2407…db9a | No | +1,412 | $628 | $628 | 3 | 06-08 09:14 |
| Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71 | No | +1,359 | $675 | $2,366 | 23 | 06-07 22:00 |
| Unwritten-Skiing 0x0074…81b1 | No | +1,302 | $910 | $910 | 1 | 05-31 02:28 |
| Biodegradable-Seaside 0x33dc…bb81 | No | +1,300 | $884 | $884 | 1 | 05-30 15:04 |
| Natural-Gear 0xd52b…5c72 | Yes | +1,300 | $653 | $653 | 7 | 06-05 17:59 |
| Indelible-Vitamin 0x2bc7…e411 | No | +1,271 | $800 | $800 | 9 | 06-07 22:00 |
| Dependable-Rostrum 0x8a4c…2c4c | Yes | +1,199 | $596 | $596 | 10 | 06-06 15:39 |
| Untidy-Rim 0x3c6d…00b0 | Yes | +1,172 | $450 | $450 | 1 | 05-31 21:27 |
| NoSteinNoGate 0xff7c…b233 | Yes | +1,095 | $558 | $558 | 7 | 06-06 04:40 |
| Unsightly-Puma 0x978e…80bc | Yes | +1,040 | $572 | $572 | 14 | 06-09 12:35 |
| kwerty 0xb559…5e7c | Yes | +1,021 | $400 | $400 | 3 | 06-03 06:30 |
| Vital-Beat 0x7650…fac1 | No | +1,000 | $460 | $460 | 1 | 06-08 15:11 |
| Natural-Vacation 0xa8c6…44e8 | No | +1,000 | $450 | $450 | 5 | 06-09 22:11 |
| Unnatural-Cephalopod 0x202b…971a | No | +892 | $540 | $540 | 5 | 06-04 15:42 |
| Entire-Proximal 0x484c…ccb6 | No | +866 | $571 | $571 | 1 | 06-01 14:37 |
| Paltry-Emitter 0x5aed…e7bb | Yes | +814 | $439 | $439 | 3 | 06-08 19:43 |
| Harmful-Eyelash 0x1cd0…4516 | No | +782 | $409 | $409 | 2 | 06-06 16:12 |
| Hurtful-Wagon 0x0a38…f931 | No | +780 | $364 | $364 | 6 | 06-08 18:41 |
| (anonymous) 0xf22b…7eab | No | +703 | $503 | $767 | 14 | 06-08 08:16 |
| (anonymous) 0xd9a6…127a | No | +645 | $297 | $297 | 1 | 06-08 22:31 |
| Pointless-Duster 0xf170…3d12 | Yes | +488 | $200 | $200 | 1 | 06-03 23:39 |
| (anonymous) 0x809b…3c98 | Yes | +418 | $226 | $226 | 4 | 06-09 21:59 |
| (anonymous) 0xd4d4…e115 | Yes | +410 | $226 | $226 | 1 | 06-09 16:26 |
| Outlying-Wasabi 0xcc7c…1d18 | Yes | +401 | $215 | $885 | 14 | 06-08 11:34 |
| Attentive-Numeric 0x20ee…f8fa | Yes | +400 | $200 | $200 | 1 | 06-05 15:22 |
| Wilted-Burden-Survivor 0xd8d5…8935 | Yes | +400 | $216 | $546 | 4 | 06-09 16:26 |
| Forsaken-Meridian 0x91d7…0dfc | Yes | +395 | $143 | $143 | 1 | 06-01 20:06 |
| Sparse-Traffic 0x54e1…9d5a | Yes | +394 | $158 | $165 | 6 | 06-08 06:14 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06-09 22:54:28 | Colorful-Province 0x2d8d…778d | No | BUY | 1,896 | 46¢ | $872 | 0xce45fd… |
| 06-09 22:54:28 | Known-Mom 0xf2d1…9261 | No | SELL | 2 | 46¢ | $1 | 0xce45fd… |
| 06-09 22:54:28 | Hideous-Racer 0xc8ab…6418 | No | SELL | 1,894 | 46¢ | $871 | 0xce45fd… |
| 06-09 22:12:25 | Treasured-Total 0xeab5…f570 | No | BUY | 25 | 45¢ | $11 | 0x50e2e5… |
| 06-09 22:12:25 | (anonymous) 0x56d1…83ea | Yes | SELL | 250 | 55¢ | $137 | 0x50e2e5… |
| 06-09 22:12:25 | Secondary-Legislator 0xf9c0…62b2 | No | BUY | 131 | 45¢ | $59 | 0x50e2e5… |
| 06-09 22:12:25 | Informal-Expertise 0x4b8c…9e5d | Yes | BUY | 537 | 55¢ | $295 | 0x50e2e5… |
| 06-09 22:12:25 | Hideous-Racer 0xc8ab…6418 | No | BUY | 116 | 45¢ | $52 | 0x50e2e5… |
| 06-09 22:12:25 | Essential-Signature 0x449b…57be | No | BUY | 15 | 45¢ | $7 | 0x50e2e5… |
| 06-09 22:12:10 | (anonymous) 0x3647…5205 | No | BUY | 431 | 45¢ | $194 | 0x354649… |
| 06-09 22:12:10 | Secondary-Legislator 0xf9c0…62b2 | No | BUY | 69 | 45¢ | $31 | 0x354649… |
| 06-09 22:12:10 | Informal-Expertise 0x4b8c…9e5d | Yes | BUY | 500 | 55¢ | $275 | 0x354649… |
| 06-09 22:11:15 | Natural-Vacation 0xa8c6…44e8 | No | BUY | 384 | 45¢ | $173 | 0x042d98… |
| 06-09 22:11:15 | (anonymous) 0x3647…5205 | No | BUY | 16 | 45¢ | $7 | 0x042d98… |
| 06-09 22:11:15 | Informal-Expertise 0x4b8c…9e5d | Yes | BUY | 400 | 55¢ | $220 | 0x042d98… |
| 06-09 22:08:22 | Informal-Expertise 0x4b8c…9e5d | Yes | BUY | 400 | 55¢ | $220 | 0x54d21b… |
| 06-09 22:08:22 | Natural-Vacation 0xa8c6…44e8 | No | BUY | 400 | 45¢ | $180 | 0x54d21b… |
| 06-09 22:03:30 | Informal-Expertise 0x4b8c…9e5d | Yes | BUY | 100 | 55¢ | $55 | 0x20ab84… |
| 06-09 22:03:30 | Natural-Vacation 0xa8c6…44e8 | No | BUY | 100 | 45¢ | $45 | 0x20ab84… |
| 06-09 21:59:37 | Treasured-Total 0xeab5…f570 | No | SELL | 10 | 46¢ | $5 | 0x990d15… |
| 06-09 21:59:37 | General-Pathogenesis 0x6149…8d2c | Yes | SELL | 455 | 54¢ | $245 | 0x990d15… |
| 06-09 21:59:37 | Hideous-Racer 0xc8ab…6418 | No | SELL | 106 | 46¢ | $49 | 0x990d15… |
| 06-09 21:59:37 | (anonymous) 0x3647…5205 | Yes | BUY | 20 | 54¢ | $11 | 0x990d15… |
| 06-09 21:59:37 | (anonymous) 0x809b…3c98 | Yes | BUY | 238 | 54¢ | $129 | 0x990d15… |
| 06-09 21:59:37 | Vicious-Bowl 0x5042…f296 | Yes | BUY | 80 | 54¢ | $43 | 0x990d15… |
| 06-09 21:40:19 | Instructive-Patience 0x63b4…ee12 | Yes | SELL | 6 | 54¢ | $3 | 0x72900f… |
| 06-09 21:40:19 | (anonymous) 0x809b…3c98 | Yes | BUY | 6 | 54¢ | $3 | 0x72900f… |
| 06-09 21:34:24 | Natural-Vacation 0xa8c6…44e8 | No | BUY | 100 | 45¢ | $45 | 0xef8211… |
| 06-09 21:34:24 | Thankful-Larch-Terracotta 0x37a1…54ab | Yes | BUY | 100 | 55¢ | $55 | 0xef8211… |
| 06-09 21:08:57 | Robust-Fox 0xdc17…c4ab | Yes | SELL | 10 | 54¢ | $5 | 0x2bd7f3… |
| 06-09 21:08:57 | (anonymous) 0x809b…3c98 | Yes | BUY | 10 | 54¢ | $5 | 0x2bd7f3… |
| 06-09 20:15:21 | Muddy-Longitude 0x983c…0454 | No | SELL | 16 | 45¢ | $7 | 0x6eecc1… |
| 06-09 20:15:21 | Natural-Vacation 0xa8c6…44e8 | No | BUY | 16 | 45¢ | $7 | 0x6eecc1… |
| 06-09 19:13:30 | Gripping-Dungarees 0xf7cc…2506 | No | SELL | 6 | 45¢ | $3 | 0x85f8b4… |
| 06-09 19:13:30 | Testy-Operator 0x80a4…22cc | Yes | SELL | 6 | 55¢ | $3 | 0x85f8b4… |
| 06-09 19:02:49 | Probable-Darkness 0xd654…0a18 | No | SELL | 10 | 45¢ | $5 | 0x0ddaba… |
| 06-09 19:02:49 | Testy-Operator 0x80a4…22cc | Yes | SELL | 10 | 55¢ | $6 | 0x0ddaba… |
| 06-09 18:45:18 | (anonymous) 0xbecc…f560 | No | SELL | 51 | 46¢ | $24 | 0xe64578… |
| 06-09 18:45:18 | (anonymous) 0x809b…3c98 | Yes | BUY | 164 | 54¢ | $89 | 0xe64578… |
| 06-09 18:45:18 | (anonymous) 0x0443…2221 | Yes | BUY | 200 | 54¢ | $108 | 0xe64578… |
| 06-09 18:45:18 | Ringed-Shallows 0x82bc…7a78 | Yes | SELL | 415 | 54¢ | $224 | 0xe64578… |
| 06-09 18:19:43 | Active-Capitalism 0x9fa1…5b92 | Yes | BUY | 20 | 55¢ | $11 | 0x022ee5… |
| 06-09 18:19:43 | Known-Mom 0xf2d1…9261 | Yes | SELL | 20 | 55¢ | $11 | 0x022ee5… |
| 06-09 17:53:06 | (anonymous) 0xce88…3be9 | Yes | SELL | 9 | 54¢ | $5 | 0xb88428… |
| 06-09 17:53:06 | Grubby-Mall 0xa309…4cf2 | Yes | BUY | 9 | 54¢ | $5 | 0xb88428… |
| 06-09 17:52:13 | Jurica 0x2ab3…d47c | No | BUY | 9 | 45¢ | $4 | 0x5a24b5… |
| 06-09 17:52:13 | (anonymous) 0xce88…3be9 | Yes | BUY | 9 | 55¢ | $5 | 0x5a24b5… |
| 06-09 17:27:37 | (anonymous) 0x610a…c83b | No | SELL | 0 | 45¢ | $0 | 0xca1df5… |
| 06-09 17:27:37 | Jurica 0x2ab3…d47c | No | BUY | 0 | 45¢ | $0 | 0xca1df5… |
| 06-09 16:26:31 | (anonymous) 0xd4d4…e115 | Yes | BUY | 410 | 55¢ | $226 | 0x6b9b36… |
| 06-09 16:26:31 | Wilted-Burden-Survivor 0xd8d5…8935 | Yes | SELL | 300 | 55¢ | $165 | 0x6b9b36… |
| 06-09 16:26:31 | Treasured-Total 0xeab5…f570 | Yes | SELL | 1 | 55¢ | $0 | 0x6b9b36… |
| 06-09 16:26:31 | Jurica 0x2ab3…d47c | No | BUY | 109 | 45¢ | $49 | 0x6b9b36… |
| 06-09 16:25:10 | Unusual-Animal 0xe24a…07db | No | BUY | 82 | 46¢ | $38 | 0x68e2be… |
| 06-09 16:25:10 | Grubby-Mall 0xa309…4cf2 | Yes | BUY | 82 | 54¢ | $44 | 0x68e2be… |
| 06-09 16:24:03 | Grubby-Mall 0xa309…4cf2 | Yes | BUY | 1,087 | 54¢ | $587 | 0xf060e3… |
| 06-09 16:24:03 | Wise-Kindness 0xfa8f…d61b | No | BUY | 1,087 | 46¢ | $500 | 0xf060e3… |
| 06-09 15:47:00 | Experienced-Reality 0x951c…1654 | Yes | BUY | 9 | 55¢ | $5 | 0xccab5d… |
| 06-09 15:47:00 | Treasured-Total 0xeab5…f570 | Yes | SELL | 9 | 55¢ | $5 | 0xccab5d… |
| 06-09 15:46:01 | Grubby-Mall 0xa309…4cf2 | Yes | BUY | 10 | 54¢ | $5 | 0x8b7eb9… |
| 06-09 15:46:01 | Experienced-Reality 0x951c…1654 | Yes | SELL | 10 | 54¢ | $5 | 0x8b7eb9… |
| 06-09 15:04:55 | (anonymous) 0xa86b…a5ec | No | BUY | 20 | 46¢ | $9 | 0xc6049c… |
| 06-09 15:04:55 | Grubby-Mall 0xa309…4cf2 | Yes | BUY | 20 | 54¢ | $11 | 0xc6049c… |
| 06-09 14:55:10 | Grubby-Mall 0xa309…4cf2 | Yes | BUY | 11 | 54¢ | $6 | 0x7eacde… |
| 06-09 14:55:10 | Exciting-Bacon 0x8e38…1a4a | Yes | SELL | 11 | 54¢ | $6 | 0x7eacde… |
| 06-09 14:51:18 | (anonymous) 0xd3c1…128f | No | BUY | 22 | 46¢ | $10 | 0xbf09f4… |
| 06-09 14:51:18 | Grubby-Mall 0xa309…4cf2 | Yes | BUY | 22 | 54¢ | $12 | 0xbf09f4… |
| 06-09 14:39:24 | Hideous-Racer 0xc8ab…6418 | No | BUY | 500 | 45¢ | $225 | 0x6091bb… |
| 06-09 14:39:24 | (anonymous) 0xc3ea…10b2 | No | SELL | 500 | 45¢ | $225 | 0x6091bb… |
| 06-09 14:34:45 | Grubby-Mall 0xa309…4cf2 | Yes | BUY | 1 | 54¢ | $1 | 0x0af780… |
| 06-09 14:34:45 | Fixed-Digit 0x7ed0…8230 | Yes | SELL | 1 | 54¢ | $1 | 0x0af780… |
| 06-09 14:34:43 | Grubby-Mall 0xa309…4cf2 | Yes | BUY | 1 | 54¢ | $1 | 0xe46767… |
| 06-09 14:34:43 | Fixed-Digit 0x7ed0…8230 | Yes | SELL | 1 | 54¢ | $1 | 0xdc4482… |
| 06-09 14:34:43 | Grubby-Mall 0xa309…4cf2 | Yes | BUY | 1 | 54¢ | $1 | 0xace708… |
| 06-09 14:34:43 | Fixed-Digit 0x7ed0…8230 | Yes | SELL | 1 | 54¢ | $1 | 0xe46767… |
| 06-09 14:34:43 | Grubby-Mall 0xa309…4cf2 | Yes | BUY | 1 | 54¢ | $1 | 0xdc4482… |
| 06-09 14:34:43 | Fixed-Digit 0x7ed0…8230 | Yes | SELL | 1 | 54¢ | $1 | 0xace708… |
| 06-09 14:34:42 | Grubby-Mall 0xa309…4cf2 | Yes | BUY | 1 | 54¢ | $1 | 0x9c774a… |
| 06-09 14:34:42 | Fixed-Digit 0x7ed0…8230 | Yes | SELL | 1 | 54¢ | $1 | 0x9c774a… |
| 06-09 14:34:40 | Fixed-Digit 0x7ed0…8230 | Yes | SELL | 1 | 54¢ | $1 | 0x964f31… |
| 06-09 14:34:40 | Grubby-Mall 0xa309…4cf2 | Yes | BUY | 1 | 54¢ | $1 | 0x964f31… |
| 06-09 14:34:39 | Grubby-Mall 0xa309…4cf2 | Yes | BUY | 1 | 54¢ | $1 | 0xb5a191… |
| 06-09 14:34:39 | Fixed-Digit 0x7ed0…8230 | Yes | SELL | 1 | 54¢ | $1 | 0x324fe2… |
| 06-09 14:34:39 | Grubby-Mall 0xa309…4cf2 | Yes | BUY | 1 | 54¢ | $1 | 0x324fe2… |
| 06-09 14:34:39 | Fixed-Digit 0x7ed0…8230 | Yes | SELL | 1 | 54¢ | $1 | 0xb5a191… |
| 06-09 14:31:49 | Grubby-Mall 0xa309…4cf2 | Yes | BUY | 1 | 54¢ | $1 | 0xc18a22… |
| 06-09 14:31:49 | Fixed-Digit 0x7ed0…8230 | Yes | SELL | 1 | 54¢ | $1 | 0xc18a22… |
| 06-09 14:31:12 | Grubby-Mall 0xa309…4cf2 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 54¢ | $3 | 0x0f80dc… |
| 06-09 14:31:12 | Fixed-Digit 0x7ed0…8230 | No | BUY | 5 | 46¢ | $2 | 0x0f80dc… |
| 06-09 14:18:12 | Grubby-Mall 0xa309…4cf2 | Yes | BUY | 10 | 54¢ | $5 | 0x981f07… |
| 06-09 14:18:12 | Fixed-Digit 0x7ed0…8230 | Yes | SELL | 10 | 54¢ | $5 | 0x981f07… |
| 06-09 14:18:10 | Fixed-Digit 0x7ed0…8230 | Yes | SELL | 10 | 54¢ | $5 | 0x8c1cf2… |
| 06-09 14:18:10 | Grubby-Mall 0xa309…4cf2 | Yes | BUY | 10 | 54¢ | $5 | 0x8c1cf2… |
| 06-09 14:18:09 | Fixed-Digit 0x7ed0…8230 | Yes | SELL | 10 | 54¢ | $5 | 0xafe749… |
| 06-09 14:18:09 | Grubby-Mall 0xa309…4cf2 | Yes | BUY | 10 | 54¢ | $5 | 0xafe749… |
| 06-09 14:08:00 | Grubby-Mall 0xa309…4cf2 | Yes | BUY | 50 | 54¢ | $27 | 0x306693… |
| 06-09 14:08:00 | Fixed-Digit 0x7ed0…8230 | Yes | SELL | 50 | 54¢ | $27 | 0x306693… |
| 06-09 13:57:51 | (anonymous) 0xd3c1…128f | No | BUY | 22 | 46¢ | $10 | 0x4d3262… |
| 06-09 13:57:51 | Grubby-Mall 0xa309…4cf2 | Yes | BUY | 22 | 54¢ | $12 | 0x4d3262… |
| 06-09 13:57:48 | (anonymous) 0x0c67…1142 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 55¢ | $3 | 0x6510e6… |