Wobbly-Humour — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$3.35K

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

100.0%

Resolved

Trades

668

lifetime

Volume

$174.8K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$262

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-01

last 08-22 10:53

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Other

60% — —

Politics

27% 100% +$3,348

Tech

7% — —

Crypto

5% — —

Sports

1% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

52 active days in 12wk • peak 37 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (2) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Fed rate hike in 2026?	110	$36.1K	39,991	39,733	+258	open	—	08-22 10:53
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	6	$19.4K	10,600	10,600	+0	open	—	05-18 00:46
US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?	23	$18.0K	9,532	14,291	-4,759	open	—	06-16 13:24
will there be another us government shutdown by january 31	128	$17.6K	23,340	26,540	-3,200	open	—	01-31 11:30
Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?	20	$11.2K	6,925	6,925	+0	open	—	08-11 08:08
will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by july 1 20260613193829179 129 881 748 432 345 931 774	72	$8.8K	10,147	10,147	+0	open	—	07-01 11:36
over 40m committed to the ranger public sale 819 688	10	$8.0K	3,211	5,511	-2,300	open	—	01-10 15:27
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?	15	$7.3K	12,836	7,962	+4,874	Yes	+$2,100	05-08 18:54
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	9	$5.8K	6,510	4,550	+1,960	open	—	08-18 05:39
lighter market cap fdv 2b one day after launch 332	1	$5.4K	0	5,400	-5,400	open	—	01-01 10:53
over 60m committed to the ranger public sale 296 929 632	11	$4.6K	2,899	2,899	+0	open	—	01-10 17:07
will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by december 31 248 662 752 464 953	27	$3.9K	2,000	2,000	+0	open	—	06-30 18:00
Will Trump nominate Rick Rieder as the next Fed chair?	16	$3.4K	4,880	4,880	+0	open	—	01-30 00:08
Will Trump nominate Kevin Hassett as the next Fed chair?	27	$3.4K	12,660	15,221	-2,561	open	—	01-30 00:08
us x iran permanent peace deal by july 31 2026 831 252	11	$2.9K	2,300	1,843	+457	open	—	06-17 01:00
Ranger FDV above $15M one day after launch?	14	$2.8K	1,275	1,800	-525	open	—	01-11 15:33
will logan pauls psa 10 pokmon illustrator sale price be over 4 million	18	$2.2K	1,100	1,100	+0	open	—	01-17 11:45
will alex honnold free solo taipei 101	2	$2.1K	1,102	1,102	+0	open	—	01-25 02:10
Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?	14	$2.0K	1,475	1,475	+0	open	—	01-30 02:09
will anyone be charged over daycare fraud in minnesota	6	$1.9K	2,200	322	+1,878	open	—	01-07 15:52
Will Manchester City win the 2025–26 English Premier League?	22	$1.6K	2,400	2,770	-370	open	—	03-01 17:17
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	7	$1.4K	990	990	+0	open	—	06-17 01:10
will israel nuke iran by january 31	2	$794	400	400	+0	open	—	01-12 00:47
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2026?	2	$776	800	800	+0	open	—	02-04 17:30
will logan pauls psa 10 pokmon illustrator sale price be over 8 million	6	$474	600	600	+0	open	—	01-07 02:01
Infinex FDV above $1B one day after launch?	2	$394	200	200	+0	open	—	01-15 03:07
over 20m committed to the ranger public sale 942	2	$384	200	200	+0	open	—	01-10 12:31
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?	14	$312	1,560	0	+1,560	Yes	+$1,248	03-01 15:08
russia x ukraine ceasefire by december 31 2026	1	$228	1,200	0	+1,200	open	—	08-16 12:08
will bitcoin reach 95k in january 2026	1	$218	382	0	+382	open	—	01-11 23:04

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
08-22 10:53:57	Fed rate hike in 2026?	No	BUY	38	45¢	$17	0x812058…
08-22 10:24:19	Fed rate hike in 2026?	No	BUY	18	45¢	$8	0x881c42…
08-22 10:16:39	Fed rate hike in 2026?	No	BUY	2	45¢	$1	0xa67e95…
08-22 09:23:10	Fed rate hike in 2026?	No	BUY	2	45¢	$1	0x171ddf…
08-22 09:15:42	Fed rate hike in 2026?	No	BUY	2	45¢	$1	0xbc1cc4…
08-22 08:40:00	Fed rate hike in 2026?	No	BUY	2	45¢	$1	0x4f9e85…
08-22 08:36:19	Fed rate hike in 2026?	No	BUY	22	45¢	$10	0xf0165a…
08-22 08:25:10	Fed rate hike in 2026?	No	BUY	74	45¢	$33	0x9f98a2…
08-20 04:37:27	will ethereum reach 3000 by december 31 2026 from june 8	Yes	BUY	74	36¢	$27	0x107eb6…
08-19 18:00:52	Fed rate hike in 2026?	No	BUY	100	51¢	$51	0xb96944…
08-18 05:39:58	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	SELL	2,660	83¢	$2,208	0xa5da91…
08-17 07:44:21	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	BUY	40	83¢	$34	0xbcc614…
08-17 07:41:01	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	BUY	60	83¢	$49	0x69fcf4…
08-16 12:08:03	russia x ukraine ceasefire by december 31 2026	Yes	BUY	1,200	19¢	$228	0x18db1b…
08-14 19:15:07	Fed rate hike in 2026?	No	SELL	2,100	51¢	$1,071	0x141528…
08-14 12:02:04	Fed rate hike in 2026?	No	BUY	2,100	48¢	$1,008	0xe68522…
08-13 18:36:48	Fed rate hike in 2026?	No	SELL	1,877	47¢	$882	0x4b9b56…
08-13 18:13:57	Fed rate hike in 2026?	No	SELL	1,667	47¢	$783	0xcc94ef…
08-13 17:29:18	Fed rate hike in 2026?	No	SELL	7	47¢	$3	0xcbf8ef…
08-13 16:38:28	Fed rate hike in 2026?	No	SELL	2,949	47¢	$1,386	0xf46312…
08-11 08:08:15	Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?	No	SELL	1,050	78¢	$819	0xa3c1c6…
08-08 14:09:31	will max miller drop out of the oh 07 race by august 30 20260806192928808	Yes	BUY	252	35¢	$88	0x2ebf63…
08-07 17:05:15	Fed rate hike in 2026?	No	BUY	6,000	47¢	$2,820	0xc687d6…
08-07 16:42:43	Fed rate hike in 2026?	No	BUY	100	48¢	$48	0x93af65…
08-07 12:33:19	Fed rate hike in 2026?	No	SELL	3,395	41¢	$1,392	0x4c8869…
08-07 07:25:51	Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?	No	BUY	1,400	86¢	$1,204	0x5c0b97…
08-07 04:06:03	Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?	No	SELL	940	87¢	$818	0xc90ff4…
08-07 02:11:34	Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?	No	SELL	313	86¢	$270	0x7de873…
08-06 12:40:11	Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?	No	BUY	229	84¢	$193	0x64e1b6…
08-06 08:38:29	Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?	No	SELL	162	84¢	$136	0x35216d…
08-05 18:32:56	Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?	No	BUY	200	84¢	$168	0xef1e4f…
08-05 18:25:48	Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?	No	BUY	2,400	85¢	$2,040	0x47876a…
08-05 17:54:30	Fed rate hike in 2026?	No	BUY	100	36¢	$36	0xeb5e80…
08-05 16:09:42	Fed rate hike in 2026?	No	BUY	13	36¢	$5	0x0612dd…
08-05 15:24:51	Fed rate hike in 2026?	No	BUY	14	36¢	$5	0x6664e0…
08-05 15:23:26	Fed rate hike in 2026?	No	BUY	1,562	36¢	$562	0x7ed8bf…
08-05 15:22:59	Fed rate hike in 2026?	No	BUY	100	36¢	$36	0xa40bdd…
08-05 15:22:57	Fed rate hike in 2026?	No	BUY	270	36¢	$97	0xdfe8c8…
08-05 15:22:57	Fed rate hike in 2026?	No	BUY	420	36¢	$151	0x3adce6…
08-05 07:43:21	Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?	No	SELL	677	82¢	$555	0xe0d76c…
08-05 04:22:02	Fed rate hike in 2026?	No	BUY	500	37¢	$185	0x1c7d67…
08-05 04:19:02	Fed rate hike in 2026?	No	BUY	16	37¢	$6	0x81a0fd…
08-05 04:08:56	Fed rate hike in 2026?	No	BUY	16	37¢	$6	0x1518c4…
08-05 01:59:59	Fed rate hike in 2026?	No	BUY	384	37¢	$142	0xc0efa0…
08-04 14:13:56	Fed rate hike in 2026?	No	SELL	3,076	36¢	$1,107	0x53be1d…
08-04 14:12:00	Fed rate hike in 2026?	No	SELL	3,076	35¢	$1,077	0x88fdcb…
08-04 13:31:09	Fed rate hike in 2026?	No	SELL	2,051	34¢	$697	0xe43c1e…
08-01 15:16:42	Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?	No	BUY	26	68¢	$17	0x1b44c4…
07-31 16:09:24	Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?	No	BUY	98	76¢	$74	0x558c1c…
07-31 16:06:12	Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?	No	BUY	104	76¢	$79	0x3f9498…
07-31 15:48:50	Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?	No	BUY	1,126	76¢	$856	0xcd6ca7…
07-31 13:25:30	Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?	No	SELL	1,342	76¢	$1,020	0xc56fb2…
07-30 05:06:50	Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?	No	BUY	42	71¢	$30	0xd993a8…
07-25 23:57:33	Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?	No	BUY	1,243	65¢	$808	0x3812c5…
07-25 23:38:42	Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?	No	BUY	57	65¢	$37	0xd9ad06…
07-23 06:38:45	Fed rate hike in 2026?	No	BUY	108	32¢	$35	0x8b0f65…
07-21 06:28:07	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	Yes	BUY	1,827	25¢	$457	0x362ddf…
07-21 06:27:45	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	Yes	BUY	133	25¢	$33	0x6c5d3e…
07-20 14:26:21	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	Yes	SELL	1,890	26¢	$491	0x264fc1…
07-20 13:16:52	will the next google gemini pro model be released by july 31 2026 20260601225410822	Yes	SELL	0	18¢	$0	0x82c3e9…
07-20 11:34:00	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	Yes	BUY	1,890	22¢	$416	0x41b940…
07-20 00:46:36	will the next google gemini pro model be released by july 31 2026 20260601225410822	Yes	SELL	5	18¢	$1	0x8f2991…
07-20 00:09:13	will the next google gemini pro model be released by july 31 2026 20260601225410822	Yes	SELL	1	18¢	$0	0x8589be…
07-19 20:13:39	will the next google gemini pro model be released by july 31 2026 20260601225410822	Yes	SELL	10	18¢	$2	0x258d9f…
07-19 18:59:45	will the next google gemini pro model be released by july 31 2026 20260601225410822	Yes	SELL	42	18¢	$8	0xb2d103…
07-19 16:55:39	will the next google gemini pro model be released by july 31 2026 20260601225410822	Yes	BUY	9	16¢	$1	0x8d5b0d…
07-19 05:00:07	will the next google gemini pro model be released by july 31 2026 20260601225410822	Yes	BUY	118	16¢	$18	0x5ab9ab…
07-19 04:54:46	will the next google gemini pro model be released by july 31 2026 20260601225410822	Yes	BUY	74	16¢	$12	0xb5b3ee…
07-19 00:43:40	will the next google gemini pro model be released by july 31 2026 20260601225410822	Yes	BUY	361	16¢	$56	0xf663f6…
07-18 21:18:13	will the next google gemini pro model be released by july 31 2026 20260601225410822	Yes	BUY	50	16¢	$8	0xd40bf6…
07-18 21:18:13	will the next google gemini pro model be released by july 31 2026 20260601225410822	Yes	BUY	50	16¢	$8	0x0cd7fe…
07-18 21:18:12	will the next google gemini pro model be released by july 31 2026 20260601225410822	Yes	BUY	266	16¢	$41	0x4d30e2…
07-18 17:28:42	will the next google gemini pro model be released by july 28 2026	Yes	BUY	5	5¢	$0	0x2e3709…
07-18 10:28:46	will the next google gemini pro model be released by july 31 2026 20260601225410822	Yes	BUY	25	16¢	$4	0x87fc5b…
07-18 07:05:46	will the next google gemini pro model be released by july 31 2026 20260601225410822	Yes	BUY	5	16¢	$1	0xd1ea5b…
07-18 05:51:13	will the next google gemini pro model be released by july 31 2026 20260601225410822	Yes	BUY	20	16¢	$3	0xb4ab9e…
07-17 17:12:28	Fed rate hike in 2026?	No	BUY	416	48¢	$200	0xb71da1…
07-17 13:56:19	Fed rate hike in 2026?	No	SELL	1,097	49¢	$537	0x9109a0…
07-16 22:13:34	fifwc fra eng 2026 07 18 team to advance	France	BUY	20	64¢	$13	0x6c63ed…
07-16 11:17:16	Fed rate hike in 2026?	No	SELL	400	49¢	$196	0x3dc183…
07-16 04:27:19	Fed rate hike in 2026?	No	BUY	386	49¢	$189	0xbacd39…
07-14 15:57:22	Fed rate hike in 2026?	No	BUY	2,197	47¢	$1,033	0x4c40fc…
07-14 14:06:29	Fed rate hike in 2026?	No	SELL	1,857	48¢	$891	0x88939c…
07-14 13:54:50	Fed rate hike in 2026?	No	SELL	21	48¢	$10	0xb85a52…
07-14 13:53:11	Fed rate hike in 2026?	No	SELL	319	48¢	$153	0xbb78d9…
07-11 15:10:41	fifwc nor eng 2026 07 11 team to advance	England	BUY	62	64¢	$40	0x94867e…
07-09 20:39:19	fifwc fra mar 2026 07 09 team to advance	France	BUY	29	80¢	$23	0xeabed5…
07-07 20:05:01	Fed rate hike in 2026?	No	BUY	168	52¢	$87	0x5d32da…
07-07 20:03:14	Fed rate hike in 2026?	No	BUY	600	52¢	$312	0x1f1015…
07-07 20:02:14	Fed rate hike in 2026?	No	BUY	271	52¢	$141	0x7494c3…
07-03 20:13:20	Fed rate hike in 2026?	No	BUY	17	52¢	$9	0x6a18fe…
07-03 19:25:04	Fed rate hike in 2026?	No	BUY	40	52¢	$21	0x62b5df…
07-03 15:56:14	Fed rate hike in 2026?	No	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0xc8d3f1…
07-02 13:19:11	Fed rate hike in 2026?	No	BUY	6,000	50¢	$3,000	0xc68ec4…
07-02 12:33:31	Fed rate hike in 2026?	No	SELL	5,000	47¢	$2,350	0xd4810a…
07-02 12:27:44	Fed rate hike in 2026?	No	BUY	690	44¢	$304	0xe6c142…
07-02 12:20:19	Fed rate hike in 2026?	No	BUY	400	45¢	$180	0x188fbe…
07-01 22:10:50	Fed rate hike in 2026?	No	BUY	5,000	46¢	$2,300	0x7f9b83…
07-01 15:39:19	Fed rate hike in 2026?	No	SELL	1,127	47¢	$530	0xb8e9f1…
07-01 14:54:55	Fed rate hike in 2026?	No	SELL	19	47¢	$9	0xc77f26…