Wobbly-Humour — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$3.35K

Unrealized P&L

-$744

Hit rate

100.0%

Resolved

Trades

576

lifetime

Volume

$140.2K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$243

Open exposure

$3.66K

1 position

First seen

2026-01-01

last 07-09 20:39

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Other

54% — —

Politics

29% 100% +$3,348

Tech

9% — —

Crypto

6% — —

Sports

1% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

36 active days in 12wk • peak 37 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (2) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Fed rate hike in 2026?	No		+7,388	$4,401	50¢	$3.7K	$-744	07-07 20:05

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	6	$19.4K	10,600	10,600	+0	open	—	05-18 00:46
Fed rate hike in 2026?	68	$19.0K	24,630	15,842	+8,788	open	—	07-07 20:05
US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?	23	$18.0K	9,532	14,291	-4,759	open	—	06-16 13:24
will there be another us government shutdown by january 31	128	$17.6K	23,340	26,540	-3,200	open	—	01-31 11:30
will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by july 1 20260613193829179 129 881 748 432 345 931 774	72	$8.8K	10,147	10,147	+0	open	—	07-01 11:36
over 40m committed to the ranger public sale 819 688	10	$8.0K	3,211	5,511	-2,300	open	—	01-10 15:27
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?	15	$7.3K	12,836	7,962	+4,874	Yes	+$2,100	05-08 18:54
lighter market cap fdv 2b one day after launch 332	1	$5.4K	0	5,400	-5,400	open	—	01-01 10:53
over 60m committed to the ranger public sale 296 929 632	11	$4.6K	2,899	2,899	+0	open	—	01-10 17:07
will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by december 31 248 662 752 464 953	27	$3.9K	2,000	2,000	+0	open	—	06-30 18:00
Will Trump nominate Rick Rieder as the next Fed chair?	16	$3.4K	4,880	4,880	+0	open	—	01-30 00:08
Will Trump nominate Kevin Hassett as the next Fed chair?	27	$3.4K	12,660	15,221	-2,561	open	—	01-30 00:08
us x iran permanent peace deal by july 31 2026 831 252	11	$2.9K	2,300	1,843	+457	open	—	06-17 01:00
Ranger FDV above $15M one day after launch?	14	$2.8K	1,275	1,800	-525	open	—	01-11 15:33
will logan pauls psa 10 pokmon illustrator sale price be over 4 million	18	$2.2K	1,100	1,100	+0	open	—	01-17 11:45
will alex honnold free solo taipei 101	2	$2.1K	1,102	1,102	+0	open	—	01-25 02:10
Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?	14	$2.0K	1,475	1,475	+0	open	—	01-30 02:09
will anyone be charged over daycare fraud in minnesota	6	$1.9K	2,200	322	+1,878	open	—	01-07 15:52
Will Manchester City win the 2025–26 English Premier League?	22	$1.6K	2,400	2,770	-370	open	—	03-01 17:17
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	7	$1.4K	990	990	+0	open	—	06-17 01:10
will israel nuke iran by january 31	2	$794	400	400	+0	open	—	01-12 00:47
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2026?	2	$776	800	800	+0	open	—	02-04 17:30
will logan pauls psa 10 pokmon illustrator sale price be over 8 million	6	$474	600	600	+0	open	—	01-07 02:01
Infinex FDV above $1B one day after launch?	2	$394	200	200	+0	open	—	01-15 03:07
over 20m committed to the ranger public sale 942	2	$384	200	200	+0	open	—	01-10 12:31
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?	14	$312	1,560	0	+1,560	Yes	+$1,248	03-01 15:08
will bitcoin reach 95k in january 2026	1	$218	382	0	+382	open	—	01-11 23:04
will logan pauls psa 10 pokmon illustrator sale price be over 7 million	7	$217	1,150	1,150	+0	open	—	01-25 13:53
will google have the best ai model at the end of march 2026 941	21	$215	500	500	+0	open	—	01-12 10:50
will logan pauls psa 10 pokmon illustrator sale price be over 6 million	2	$208	2,600	2,600	+0	open	—	01-25 04:34

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-09 20:39:19	fifwc fra mar 2026 07 09 team to advance	France	BUY	29	80¢	$23	0xeabed5…
07-07 20:05:01	Fed rate hike in 2026?	No	BUY	168	52¢	$87	0x5d32da…
07-07 20:03:14	Fed rate hike in 2026?	No	BUY	600	52¢	$312	0x1f1015…
07-07 20:02:14	Fed rate hike in 2026?	No	BUY	271	52¢	$141	0x7494c3…
07-03 20:13:20	Fed rate hike in 2026?	No	BUY	17	52¢	$9	0x6a18fe…
07-03 19:25:04	Fed rate hike in 2026?	No	BUY	40	52¢	$21	0x62b5df…
07-03 15:56:14	Fed rate hike in 2026?	No	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0xc8d3f1…
07-02 13:19:11	Fed rate hike in 2026?	No	BUY	6,000	50¢	$3,000	0xc68ec4…
07-02 12:33:31	Fed rate hike in 2026?	No	SELL	5,000	47¢	$2,350	0xd4810a…
07-02 12:27:44	Fed rate hike in 2026?	No	BUY	690	44¢	$304	0xe6c142…
07-02 12:20:19	Fed rate hike in 2026?	No	BUY	400	45¢	$180	0x188fbe…
07-01 22:10:50	Fed rate hike in 2026?	No	BUY	5,000	46¢	$2,300	0x7f9b83…
07-01 15:39:19	Fed rate hike in 2026?	No	SELL	1,127	47¢	$530	0xb8e9f1…
07-01 14:54:55	Fed rate hike in 2026?	No	SELL	19	47¢	$9	0xc77f26…
07-01 14:53:40	Fed rate hike in 2026?	No	SELL	9	47¢	$4	0x5ab508…
07-01 14:37:50	Fed rate hike in 2026?	No	SELL	6	47¢	$3	0xc04cd9…
07-01 14:26:11	Fed rate hike in 2026?	No	SELL	20	47¢	$10	0xe1d61f…
07-01 14:20:13	Fed rate hike in 2026?	No	SELL	106	47¢	$50	0x35e1a9…
07-01 14:05:52	Fed rate hike in 2026?	No	SELL	11	47¢	$5	0x08a952…
07-01 14:05:50	Fed rate hike in 2026?	No	SELL	11	47¢	$5	0xfc7973…
07-01 14:05:50	Fed rate hike in 2026?	No	SELL	11	47¢	$5	0xe4958e…
07-01 14:05:50	Fed rate hike in 2026?	No	SELL	11	47¢	$5	0x3c26f8…
07-01 14:05:49	Fed rate hike in 2026?	No	SELL	11	47¢	$5	0xdbbabf…
07-01 14:05:49	Fed rate hike in 2026?	No	SELL	11	47¢	$5	0xb9f541…
07-01 14:04:05	Fed rate hike in 2026?	No	SELL	8	47¢	$4	0xf986df…
07-01 14:03:53	Fed rate hike in 2026?	No	SELL	28	47¢	$13	0xf4b28e…
07-01 11:36:29	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by july 1 20260613193829179 129 881 748 432 345 931 774	Yes	SELL	1,249	95¢	$1,182	0xc29362…
06-30 18:00:50	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by december 31 248 662 752 464 953	Yes	SELL	1,823	97¢	$1,774	0x8f76f6…
06-30 17:22:49	Fed rate hike in 2026?	No	BUY	1,387	47¢	$652	0x0d64f6…
06-30 08:57:22	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by december 31 248 662	Yes	SELL	8	98¢	$8	0x05aa1c…
06-30 08:57:17	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by december 31 248 662	Yes	SELL	11	98¢	$10	0x06c439…
06-30 08:56:55	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by december 31 248 662	Yes	SELL	11	98¢	$10	0xe5b120…
06-30 08:49:59	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by december 31 248 662	Yes	SELL	3	98¢	$3	0xb5a58d…
06-30 08:46:50	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by december 31 248 662	Yes	SELL	11	98¢	$10	0x5e4f81…
06-30 08:46:19	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by december 31 248 662	Yes	SELL	4	98¢	$4	0x019583…
06-30 08:44:35	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by december 31 248 662	Yes	SELL	6	98¢	$6	0x56d040…
06-30 08:44:04	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by december 31 248 662	Yes	SELL	10	98¢	$10	0x56a9a6…
06-30 08:42:29	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by december 31 248 662	Yes	SELL	11	98¢	$10	0x125449…
06-30 08:41:56	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by december 31 248 662	Yes	SELL	11	98¢	$10	0xd922b1…
06-30 08:24:05	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by december 31 248 662	Yes	SELL	11	98¢	$10	0xa14fd0…
06-30 08:23:58	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by december 31 248 662	Yes	SELL	10	98¢	$10	0x5eaee5…
06-30 08:06:52	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by december 31 248 662	Yes	SELL	11	98¢	$10	0xc6b9c4…
06-30 07:51:05	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by december 31 248 662	Yes	SELL	5	98¢	$5	0x1cb168…
06-30 07:50:25	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by december 31 248 662	Yes	SELL	5	98¢	$5	0x2d761a…
06-30 07:46:59	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by december 31 248 662	Yes	SELL	0	98¢	$0	0x3d7954…
06-30 07:46:38	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by december 31 248 662	Yes	SELL	10	98¢	$10	0x61c73f…
06-30 07:45:19	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by december 31 248 662	Yes	SELL	2	98¢	$2	0x3ea603…
06-30 07:44:56	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by december 31 248 662	Yes	SELL	0	98¢	$0	0xa95a20…
06-30 07:41:53	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by december 31 248 662	Yes	SELL	5	98¢	$5	0x9e8179…
06-30 07:41:26	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by december 31 248 662	Yes	SELL	5	98¢	$5	0x612814…
06-30 07:41:07	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by december 31 248 662	Yes	SELL	11	98¢	$10	0x08be9b…
06-30 07:40:41	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by december 31 248 662	Yes	SELL	11	98¢	$10	0xc37a6e…
06-30 07:36:40	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by december 31 248 662	Yes	SELL	3	98¢	$3	0xe6c81b…
06-30 07:35:40	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by december 31 248 662	Yes	SELL	5	98¢	$5	0x57e413…
06-27 15:58:05	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by december 31 248 662	Yes	BUY	2,000	97¢	$1,944	0xc3877c…
06-27 00:34:46	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by july 1 20260613193829179 129 881 748 432 345 931 774	Yes	SELL	192	46¢	$88	0x6bc7f6…
06-27 00:33:23	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by july 1 20260613193829179 129 881 748 432 345 931 774	Yes	SELL	80	46¢	$37	0x5da184…
06-27 00:06:49	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by july 1 20260613193829179 129 881 748 432 345 931 774	Yes	SELL	115	46¢	$53	0x21b108…
06-27 00:05:23	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by july 1 20260613193829179 129 881 748 432 345 931 774	Yes	SELL	387	45¢	$174	0xe44990…
06-26 23:40:10	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by july 1 20260613193829179 129 881 748 432 345 931 774	Yes	SELL	872	44¢	$384	0x653674…
06-26 22:39:50	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by july 1 20260613193829179 129 881 748 432 345 931 774	Yes	SELL	204	47¢	$96	0xc5e317…
06-26 21:44:46	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by july 1 20260613193829179 129 881 748 432 345 931 774	Yes	SELL	400	30¢	$120	0xf0d4ab…
06-26 17:54:58	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by july 1 20260613193829179 129 881 748 432 345 931 774	Yes	BUY	97	30¢	$29	0xb53ec5…
06-26 17:52:46	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by july 1 20260613193829179 129 881 748 432 345 931 774	Yes	BUY	20	30¢	$6	0xd2a607…
06-26 17:31:32	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by july 1 20260613193829179 129 881 748 432 345 931 774	Yes	BUY	14	30¢	$4	0xcb2616…
06-26 17:27:10	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by july 1 20260613193829179 129 881 748 432 345 931 774	Yes	BUY	26	30¢	$8	0x295ad4…
06-26 17:16:02	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by july 1 20260613193829179 129 881 748 432 345 931 774	Yes	BUY	143	30¢	$43	0xb76aaf…
06-26 17:07:59	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by july 1 20260613193829179 129 881 748 432 345 931 774	Yes	BUY	100	30¢	$30	0x64e9b0…
06-25 20:20:11	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by july 1 20260613193829179 129 881 748 432 345 931 774	Yes	BUY	700	40¢	$280	0xd9c061…
06-25 18:34:47	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by july 1 20260613193829179 129 881 748 432 345 931 774	Yes	BUY	800	47¢	$376	0x8979ed…
06-25 13:50:01	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by july 1 20260613193829179 129 881 748 432 345 931 774	Yes	BUY	206	51¢	$105	0xc3f1b8…
06-25 13:49:38	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by july 1 20260613193829179 129 881 748 432 345 931 774	Yes	BUY	204	51¢	$104	0xe77a40…
06-25 13:42:17	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by july 1 20260613193829179 129 881 748 432 345 931 774	Yes	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0xeb1021…
06-25 13:35:31	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by july 1 20260613193829179 129 881 748 432 345 931 774	Yes	BUY	298	51¢	$152	0xb3e592…
06-25 13:35:11	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by july 1 20260613193829179 129 881 748 432 345 931 774	Yes	BUY	90	51¢	$46	0x0de850…
06-24 23:06:55	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by july 1 20260613193829179 129 881 748 432 345 931 774	Yes	SELL	0	56¢	$0	0x35b21d…
06-24 23:05:50	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by july 1 20260613193829179 129 881 748 432 345 931 774	Yes	SELL	300	56¢	$168	0xce0a0d…
06-24 23:05:50	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by july 1 20260613193829179 129 881 748 432 345 931 774	Yes	SELL	107	56¢	$60	0x306b5b…
06-24 23:05:49	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by july 1 20260613193829179 129 881 748 432 345 931 774	Yes	SELL	692	56¢	$388	0x07f919…
06-24 21:15:31	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by july 1 20260613193829179 129 881 748 432 345 931 774	Yes	BUY	977	55¢	$538	0x939b5e…
06-24 21:05:07	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by july 1 20260613193829179 129 881 748 432 345 931 774	Yes	BUY	38	55¢	$21	0xa6e295…
06-24 21:04:32	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by july 1 20260613193829179 129 881 748 432 345 931 774	Yes	BUY	6	55¢	$3	0xb47018…
06-24 21:04:26	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by july 1 20260613193829179 129 881 748 432 345 931 774	Yes	BUY	44	55¢	$24	0xf89088…
06-24 21:04:26	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by july 1 20260613193829179 129 881 748 432 345 931 774	Yes	BUY	29	55¢	$16	0xe7d846…
06-24 21:04:26	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by july 1 20260613193829179 129 881 748 432 345 931 774	Yes	BUY	5	55¢	$3	0x580818…
06-24 21:04:25	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by july 1 20260613193829179 129 881 748 432 345 931 774	Yes	BUY	1	55¢	$1	0x4d800b…
06-24 18:57:01	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by july 1 20260613193829179 129 881 748 432 345	Yes	BUY	67	59¢	$40	0xe4fa5e…
06-24 18:48:55	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by july 1 20260613193829179 129 881 748 432 345	Yes	BUY	27	59¢	$16	0x85e613…
06-24 18:41:04	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by july 1 20260613193829179 129 881 748 432 345	Yes	BUY	24	59¢	$14	0x216f64…
06-24 18:40:28	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by july 1 20260613193829179 129 881 748 432 345	Yes	BUY	18	59¢	$11	0xe97b48…
06-24 18:40:16	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by july 1 20260613193829179 129 881 748 432 345	Yes	BUY	25	59¢	$15	0x99a722…
06-24 18:35:04	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by july 1 20260613193829179 129 881 748 432 345	Yes	BUY	8	59¢	$5	0x2bfb21…
06-24 18:34:49	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by july 1 20260613193829179 129 881 748 432 345	Yes	BUY	431	59¢	$254	0x1528e4…
06-24 16:05:31	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by july 1 20260613193829179 129 881 748 432 345	Yes	SELL	608	20¢	$122	0x71669b…
06-24 16:05:26	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by july 1 20260613193829179 129 881 748 432 345	Yes	SELL	8	20¢	$2	0x0eb8d2…
06-24 16:05:25	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by july 1 20260613193829179 129 881 748 432 345	Yes	SELL	2,516	20¢	$503	0x65685d…
06-24 15:03:56	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by july 1 20260613193829179 129 881 748 432 345	Yes	SELL	117	20¢	$23	0x5cf8d5…
06-24 14:57:20	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by july 1 20260613193829179 129 881 748 432 345	Yes	SELL	100	20¢	$20	0xfa6d47…
06-24 14:44:11	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by july 1 20260613193829179 129 881 748 432 345	Yes	SELL	100	20¢	$20	0xce7774…
06-24 14:43:22	Fed rate hike in 2026?	No	SELL	2,303	43¢	$990	0x347fc8…