Wobbly-Humour — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$3.35K

Unrealized P&L

-$575

Hit rate

100.0%

Resolved

Trades

420

lifetime

Volume

$112.4K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$268

Open exposure

$1.75K

1 position

First seen

2026-01-01

last 06-18 11:15

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Other

53% — —

Politics

36% 100% +$3,348

Crypto

8% — —

Sports

1% — —

Tech

1% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

23 active days in 12wk • peak 12 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (2) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Fed rate hike in 2026?	No		+3,678	$2,322	48¢	$1.7K	$-575	06-18 11:15

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	6	$19.4K	10,600	10,600	+0	open	—	05-18 00:46
US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?	23	$18.0K	9,532	14,291	-4,759	open	—	06-16 13:24
will there be another us government shutdown by january 31	128	$17.6K	23,340	26,540	-3,200	open	—	01-31 11:30
over 40m committed to the ranger public sale 819 688	10	$8.0K	3,211	5,511	-2,300	open	—	01-10 15:27
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?	15	$7.3K	12,836	7,962	+4,874	Yes	+$2,100	05-08 18:54
lighter market cap fdv 2b one day after launch 332	1	$5.4K	0	5,400	-5,400	open	—	01-01 10:53
over 60m committed to the ranger public sale 296 929 632	11	$4.6K	2,899	2,899	+0	open	—	01-10 17:07
Will Trump nominate Rick Rieder as the next Fed chair?	16	$3.4K	4,880	4,880	+0	open	—	01-30 00:08
Will Trump nominate Kevin Hassett as the next Fed chair?	27	$3.4K	12,660	15,221	-2,561	open	—	01-30 00:08
us x iran permanent peace deal by july 31 2026 831 252	11	$2.9K	2,300	1,843	+457	open	—	06-17 01:00
Ranger FDV above $15M one day after launch?	14	$2.8K	1,275	1,800	-525	open	—	01-11 15:33
Fed rate hike in 2026?	7	$2.3K	3,678	0	+3,678	open	—	06-18 11:15
will logan pauls psa 10 pokmon illustrator sale price be over 4 million	18	$2.2K	1,100	1,100	+0	open	—	01-17 11:45
will alex honnold free solo taipei 101	2	$2.1K	1,102	1,102	+0	open	—	01-25 02:10
Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?	14	$2.0K	1,475	1,475	+0	open	—	01-30 02:09
will anyone be charged over daycare fraud in minnesota	6	$1.9K	2,200	322	+1,878	open	—	01-07 15:52
will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by july 1 20260613193829179 129 881 748 432 345	5	$1.6K	2,300	0	+2,300	open	—	06-17 12:02
Will Manchester City win the 2025–26 English Premier League?	22	$1.6K	2,400	2,770	-370	open	—	03-01 17:17
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	7	$1.4K	990	990	+0	open	—	06-17 01:10
will israel nuke iran by january 31	2	$794	400	400	+0	open	—	01-12 00:47
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2026?	2	$776	800	800	+0	open	—	02-04 17:30
will logan pauls psa 10 pokmon illustrator sale price be over 8 million	6	$474	600	600	+0	open	—	01-07 02:01
Infinex FDV above $1B one day after launch?	2	$394	200	200	+0	open	—	01-15 03:07
over 20m committed to the ranger public sale 942	2	$384	200	200	+0	open	—	01-10 12:31
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?	14	$312	1,560	0	+1,560	Yes	+$1,248	03-01 15:08
will bitcoin reach 95k in january 2026	1	$218	382	0	+382	open	—	01-11 23:04
will logan pauls psa 10 pokmon illustrator sale price be over 7 million	7	$217	1,150	1,150	+0	open	—	01-25 13:53
will google have the best ai model at the end of march 2026 941	21	$215	500	500	+0	open	—	01-12 10:50
will logan pauls psa 10 pokmon illustrator sale price be over 6 million	2	$208	2,600	2,600	+0	open	—	01-25 04:34
us strikes iran by february 6 2026 242 933 289 312 673 611 155 294	1	$160	1,600	0	+1,600	open	—	02-01 04:20

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-18 11:15:16	Fed rate hike in 2026?	No	BUY	576	44¢	$253	0x57c640…
06-18 11:10:55	Fed rate hike in 2026?	No	BUY	9	44¢	$4	0xd0fa08…
06-18 10:29:13	Fed rate hike in 2026?	No	BUY	2	44¢	$1	0x6f5201…
06-18 10:29:11	Fed rate hike in 2026?	No	BUY	13	44¢	$6	0x374afc…
06-17 12:33:32	Fed rate hike in 2026?	No	BUY	800	71¢	$568	0xbc9955…
06-17 12:02:28	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by july 1 20260613193829179 129 881 748 432 345	Yes	BUY	22	56¢	$12	0xba09e9…
06-17 12:00:11	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by july 1 20260613193829179 129 881 748 432 345	Yes	BUY	400	56¢	$224	0xd53bd6…
06-17 11:59:38	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by july 1 20260613193829179 129 881 748 432 345	Yes	BUY	78	56¢	$44	0x9dc91b…
06-17 05:20:10	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by july 1 20260613193829179 129 881 748 432 345	Yes	BUY	500	65¢	$325	0x7e3190…
06-17 01:10:55	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	665	100¢	$664	0x18d14d…
06-17 01:00:56	us x iran permanent peace deal by july 31 2026 831 252	Yes	SELL	744	100¢	$742	0x0eefd1…
06-16 18:13:29	Fed rate hike in 2026?	No	BUY	678	64¢	$434	0x240169…
06-16 13:24:10	US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	1,324	100¢	$1,322	0xda18d1…
06-15 23:00:28	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by july 1 20260613193829179 129 881 748 432 345	Yes	BUY	1,300	76¢	$988	0xe4eb88…
06-15 21:53:42	Fed rate hike in 2026?	No	BUY	1,600	66¢	$1,056	0xa56f41…
06-15 14:45:51	us x iran permanent peace deal by july 31 2026 831 252	Yes	SELL	19	98¢	$19	0x7655c5…
06-15 14:43:55	us x iran permanent peace deal by july 31 2026 831 252	Yes	SELL	120	98¢	$118	0xd93fd1…
06-15 14:43:28	us x iran permanent peace deal by july 31 2026 831 252	Yes	SELL	120	98¢	$118	0x4df872…
06-15 14:42:28	us x iran permanent peace deal by july 31 2026 831 252	Yes	SELL	4	98¢	$4	0x87be53…
06-14 23:03:27	US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	1,046	98¢	$1,025	0xb8c783…
06-14 23:01:48	us x iran permanent peace deal by july 31 2026 831 252	Yes	SELL	246	97¢	$239	0xa62e18…
06-14 23:01:12	us x iran permanent peace deal by july 31 2026 831 252	Yes	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0xc45e09…
06-14 22:58:06	US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	19	97¢	$18	0x255bac…
06-14 22:58:03	US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	766	97¢	$743	0x703027…
06-14 22:42:52	US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	530	96¢	$509	0xde57ea…
06-14 22:42:15	US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	58	96¢	$56	0x901779…
06-14 09:40:19	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	50¢	$3	0xddbc24…
06-14 09:39:10	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	238	50¢	$119	0xf0f980…
06-14 09:37:15	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	50¢	$10	0x911b7e…
06-14 09:36:06	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	77	50¢	$38	0x72fade…
06-14 06:58:55	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	325	51¢	$166	0x6a8515…
06-13 17:06:49	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	650	60¢	$390	0x630839…
06-13 16:47:10	us x iran permanent peace deal by july 31 2026 831 252	Yes	SELL	587	67¢	$394	0x4acd48…
06-13 06:41:57	us x iran permanent peace deal by july 31 2026 831 252	Yes	BUY	1,300	54¢	$702	0x1d4cb9…
06-12 19:16:15	us x iran permanent peace deal by july 31 2026 831 252	Yes	BUY	995	54¢	$537	0x39e882…
06-12 19:15:24	us x iran permanent peace deal by july 31 2026 831 252	Yes	BUY	5	54¢	$3	0x217616…
06-12 14:18:15	US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	74¢	$7	0x7c0da3…
06-11 14:54:55	US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	1,390	71¢	$987	0x67dde1…
06-11 14:52:58	US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	1,854	70¢	$1,297	0x518102…
06-10 19:09:30	US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	940	66¢	$620	0x255b07…
06-10 15:50:48	US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	909	68¢	$618	0x247793…
06-09 16:40:36	US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	3,720	69¢	$2,567	0x3bc215…
06-09 14:53:49	US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	3,663	70¢	$2,564	0x6efe2b…
06-02 21:49:40	US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	35	72¢	$25	0x4393e2…
05-31 21:00:14	US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1,800	74¢	$1,332	0xa834a6…
05-31 20:53:21	US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	1,831	74¢	$1,355	0xb98021…
05-29 14:30:47	US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	917	77¢	$706	0xf389ac…
05-28 14:15:40	US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	493	78¢	$385	0xc158eb…
05-28 14:15:38	US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	7	78¢	$5	0x8fedd1…
05-28 14:15:33	US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	400	78¢	$312	0xb1c201…
05-28 09:02:48	US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	910	77¢	$701	0x715ab6…
05-18 00:46:01	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	No	SELL	3,400	96¢	$3,257	0xec1bfd…
05-16 12:58:20	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	No	BUY	3,400	96¢	$3,247	0xd1191e…
05-15 04:21:12	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	No	SELL	3,600	94¢	$3,384	0x282187…
05-14 11:33:03	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	No	BUY	3,600	93¢	$3,348	0x533c31…
05-13 02:43:36	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	No	SELL	3,600	93¢	$3,348	0x292602…
05-10 13:25:06	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	No	BUY	3,600	77¢	$2,772	0xa0abfa…
05-08 18:54:37	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?	Yes	BUY	100	56¢	$56	0xcf5500…
05-08 18:53:29	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?	Yes	BUY	1,590	62¢	$986	0xa90651…
05-08 18:53:20	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?	Yes	BUY	810	62¢	$502	0xcc133f…
05-08 15:30:26	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?	Yes	SELL	2,806	30¢	$842	0x7493e1…
05-06 18:44:08	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?	Yes	BUY	5,180	28¢	$1,450	0x0342dd…
04-29 17:21:26	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?	Yes	SELL	5,156	28¢	$1,444	0xe7c5a9…
03-18 04:27:19	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?	Yes	BUY	9	36¢	$3	0xac15bf…
03-02 06:16:35	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?	Yes	BUY	153	37¢	$57	0xa192bf…
03-02 06:08:57	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?	Yes	BUY	30	37¢	$11	0x077dea…
03-02 06:02:13	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?	Yes	BUY	2,471	37¢	$914	0xc54900…
03-01 17:17:05	Will Manchester City win the 2025–26 English Premier League?	Yes	SELL	1,258	39¢	$491	0xc5c6e0…
03-01 16:50:55	Will Manchester City win the 2025–26 English Premier League?	Yes	SELL	12	39¢	$5	0xc172d7…
03-01 16:50:21	Will Manchester City win the 2025–26 English Premier League?	Yes	SELL	142	39¢	$55	0xd90559…
03-01 16:45:27	Will Manchester City win the 2025–26 English Premier League?	Yes	SELL	190	39¢	$74	0x3f8a68…
03-01 16:45:23	Will Manchester City win the 2025–26 English Premier League?	Yes	SELL	20	39¢	$8	0x0ce528…
03-01 16:38:35	Will Manchester City win the 2025–26 English Premier League?	Yes	SELL	150	39¢	$58	0x05964d…
03-01 16:31:51	Will Manchester City win the 2025–26 English Premier League?	Yes	SELL	159	39¢	$62	0xeba0b7…
03-01 15:08:47	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0xbdf56b…
03-01 15:08:03	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	20¢	$0	0xad8cff…
03-01 15:06:59	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	20¢	$0	0xef9788…
03-01 14:40:43	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	550	20¢	$110	0xb701c9…
03-01 14:39:17	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	20¢	$0	0x562f2b…
03-01 14:35:47	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	20¢	$0	0xc105f9…
03-01 14:32:03	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	20¢	$0	0xdfea66…
03-01 14:29:43	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	20¢	$0	0x510f9f…
03-01 14:27:37	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	20¢	$0	0x4f68d6…
03-01 14:26:29	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	20¢	$0	0x59fe72…
03-01 14:22:49	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	20¢	$0	0x56af01…
03-01 14:22:09	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	20¢	$0	0xf6e497…
03-01 14:14:53	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	20¢	$0	0xac64f0…
03-01 14:11:57	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	989	20¢	$198	0xab6dc6…
02-27 10:23:11	Will Manchester City win the 2025–26 English Premier League?	Yes	SELL	400	37¢	$148	0x368bfd…
02-27 09:28:05	Will Manchester City win the 2025–26 English Premier League?	Yes	SELL	6	37¢	$2	0x38aafa…
02-27 09:27:49	Will Manchester City win the 2025–26 English Premier League?	Yes	SELL	90	37¢	$33	0x4a8a06…
02-26 12:23:30	Will Manchester City win the 2025–26 English Premier League?	Yes	SELL	76	37¢	$28	0xb5428e…
02-26 12:11:58	Will Manchester City win the 2025–26 English Premier League?	Yes	SELL	9	37¢	$3	0x4d94bd…
02-26 11:54:44	Will Manchester City win the 2025–26 English Premier League?	Yes	SELL	130	37¢	$48	0x5202ba…
02-26 11:49:14	Will Manchester City win the 2025–26 English Premier League?	Yes	SELL	22	37¢	$8	0x88544f…
02-26 10:46:02	Will Manchester City win the 2025–26 English Premier League?	Yes	SELL	54	37¢	$20	0xf70a76…
02-26 10:34:46	Will Manchester City win the 2025–26 English Premier League?	Yes	SELL	16	37¢	$6	0xf74495…
02-26 10:01:14	Will Manchester City win the 2025–26 English Premier League?	Yes	SELL	5	37¢	$2	0x902cd4…
02-26 09:26:48	Will Manchester City win the 2025–26 English Premier League?	Yes	SELL	11	37¢	$4	0x95a4d6…
02-26 09:18:48	Will Manchester City win the 2025–26 English Premier League?	Yes	SELL	21	37¢	$8	0x25b37f…