Realized P&L
-$2.27K
Unrealized P&L
+$160
Hit rate
20.0%
Resolved
3
Trades
15,909
lifetime
Volume
$958.6K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$60
Open exposure
$3.63K
24 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 07-20 02:18
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 3 days
Categories
Other
55%
Sports
29%
Politics
17% 67% $-2,275
Tech
0%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
66 active days in 12wk • peak 348 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30? No -1,721 $-1,596 98¢ $-1680 $-84 06-06 11:09
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? No +353 $236 94¢ $334 +$98 07-17 17:03
Will Barack Obama announce a Presidential run before 2027? No -335 $-327 98¢ $-327 +$0 07-20 02:18
Will Republicans lose a seat in the US Senate for any state Trump won in 2024? Yes +330 $240 86¢ $285 +$46 07-16 17:20
Fed rate hike in 2026? Yes +400 $202 58¢ $234 +$32 07-19 02:59
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? No -211 $-195 96¢ $-202 $-7 07-01 02:51
Will Mitch McConnell step down from the Senate before his term ends? Yes +300 $120 36¢ $108 $-12 07-16 15:15
Trump out as President before 2027? Yes -900 $-90 $-68 +$23 07-18 21:37
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? Yes +1,500 $79 $65 $-14 07-01 14:54
Will Oprah Winfrey announce a Presidential run before 2027? No -65 $-60 94¢ $-62 $-2 06-11 21:32
Fed Rate Hike by July 2026 Meeting? No +58 $34 94¢ $54 +$20 07-19 08:29
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? Yes +400 $40 11¢ $42 +$2 06-14 21:21
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? No +45 $-17 90¢ $40 +$57 06-14 21:40
Will Robert F. Kennedy Jr. announce a presidential run before 2027? Yes -568 $-34 $-29 +$6 06-25 14:49
Will Erika Kirk announce a presidential run before 2027? No -30 $-28 94¢ $-28 +$0 06-02 12:29
Will Donald Trump announce a presidential run before 2027? No -14 $-14 94¢ $-13 +$1 06-26 14:34
Will Democrats win all "core four" senate races? Yes +22 $-13 56¢ $12 +$25 07-14 13:00
Will Oprah Winfrey announce a Presidential run before 2027? Yes +225 $16 $12 $-3 06-21 23:06
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? Yes +222 $13 $12 $-1 07-17 17:03
Will Trump visit Greenland by December 31? No +10 $8 90¢ $9 +$1 06-03 05:14
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026? Yes +80 $-2 11¢ $8 +$10 07-18 14:08
Will Hunter Biden announce a Presidential run before 2027? Yes +100 $4 $6 +$2 06-11 22:05
Fed Rate Hike by September 2026 Meeting? Yes +2 $1 44¢ $1 +$0 06-28 19:22
Fed Rate Hike by October 2026 Meeting? No +0 $40 52¢ $0 $-40 07-04 21:02