Realized P&L
+$10.5K
Unrealized P&L
-$78
Hit rate
63.0%
Resolved
1,296
Trades
57,775
lifetime
Volume
$3.34M
lifetime
Avg / trade
$58
Open exposure
$193.1K
30 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 10-29 21:59
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 158 days
Categories
Other
43%
58%
-$9,437
Sports
33%
67%
+$24,128
Politics
25%
57%
-$4,201
Tech
0%
50%
+$2
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
84 active days in 12wk
• peak 924 trades/day
| Market | Trades | Volume USD | Bought | Sold | Net shares | Resolution | P&L | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House | 518 | $49.8K | 33,826 | 54,171 | -20,345 | open | — | 10-29 22:48 |
| Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026? | 280 | $47.0K | 39,816 | 33,167 | +6,649 | open | — | 10-29 17:53 |
| russia x ukraine ceasefire by march 31 2026 | 444 | $43.5K | 34,579 | 32,663 | +1,917 | No | +$301 | 03-06 21:04 |
| Crude Oil all time high by April 30? | 301 | $42.2K | 26,980 | 16,342 | +10,638 | No | +$534 | 04-30 16:13 |
| Will Donald Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | 242 | $35.4K | 16,182 | 20,043 | -3,861 | open | — | 06-11 07:06 |
| Will the Republicans win the Michigan Senate race in 2026? | 353 | $33.2K | 26,769 | 23,899 | +2,870 | open | — | 10-29 22:53 |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in April? | 234 | $32.1K | 28,961 | 22,342 | +6,619 | No | -$908 | 04-30 16:46 |
| russia x ukraine ceasefire by january 31 2026 | 122 | $28.4K | 30,489 | 27,024 | +3,465 | No | +$86 | 01-25 02:50 |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30? | 187 | $28.4K | 28,862 | 21,425 | +7,437 | No | +$120 | 06-13 20:17 |
| Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals? | 233 | $27.9K | 22,339 | 13,998 | +8,341 | No | +$1,875 | 06-14 00:28 |
| 2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House | 257 | $26.1K | 30,815 | 34,512 | -3,697 | open | — | 10-29 19:33 |
| Will Argentina win Group J in the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | 96 | $25.4K | 20,841 | 7,256 | +13,585 | Yes | -$31 | 06-23 04:45 |
| fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after january 2026 meeting | 160 | $23.3K | 30,341 | 18,467 | +11,874 | No | -$165 | 01-19 17:14 |
| will there be no change in fed interest rates after the march 2026 meeting | 224 | $21.8K | 25,692 | 30,153 | -4,461 | Yes | -$366 | 02-22 09:01 |
| Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? | 351 | $21.6K | 17,310 | 12,304 | +5,006 | open | — | 07-01 14:54 |
| will the fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the march 2026 meeting | 242 | $21.3K | 30,419 | 22,729 | +7,690 | No | +$27 | 02-24 06:02 |
| Will the Republicans win the Ohio Senate race in 2026? | 164 | $20.3K | 16,460 | 15,178 | +1,282 | open | — | 10-29 22:37 |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting? | 203 | $20.1K | 18,338 | 13,258 | +5,080 | Yes | -$614 | 07-29 03:08 |
| will arizona win the 2026 ncaa tournament | 658 | $19.8K | 28,735 | 18,769 | +9,966 | No | -$786 | 04-05 01:12 |
| Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? | 200 | $19.3K | 20,350 | 12,927 | +7,423 | open | — | 10-29 17:56 |
| Will the Kansas City Chiefs win the 2027 NFL league championship? | 205 | $18.9K | 16,512 | 25,639 | -9,127 | open | — | 10-02 04:01 |
| Will the Los Angeles Rams win the 2027 NFL league championship? | 390 | $18.6K | 23,919 | 42,845 | -18,925 | open | — | 10-18 22:24 |
| Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals? | 175 | $18.5K | 14,907 | 13,747 | +1,160 | Yes | +$1,169 | 06-14 00:21 |
| 2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, R House | 135 | $17.9K | 18,579 | 5,798 | +12,781 | open | — | 10-29 22:32 |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30? | 97 | $16.6K | 15,005 | 13,189 | +1,817 | No | +$83 | 04-23 18:10 |
| will there be another us government shutdown by january 31 | 55 | $16.5K | 16,315 | 2,909 | +13,406 | Yes | +$171 | 02-03 20:16 |
| Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? | 73 | $16.4K | 13,226 | 12,101 | +1,125 | open | — | 10-11 09:25 |
| Will the Republicans win the Iowa Senate race in 2026? | 219 | $16.1K | 18,609 | 17,809 | +800 | open | — | 10-29 22:41 |
| 2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D House | 88 | $15.9K | 12,525 | 17,774 | -5,250 | open | — | 10-28 23:19 |
| Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026? | 169 | $15.5K | 10,869 | 14,424 | -3,555 | open | — | 10-29 19:11 |
| Wallet | Shared markets | Overlap volume | Overlap trades | Last seen |
|---|---|---|---|---|
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