Frozen-Car — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$2.27K

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

20.0%

Resolved

Trades

16,337

lifetime

Volume

$975.5K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$60

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-01

last 08-10 12:45

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 3 days

Categories

Other

54% — —

Sports

29% — —

Politics

17% 67% $-2,275

Tech

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

77 active days in 12wk • peak 348 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (1) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
russia x ukraine ceasefire by march 31 2026	444	$43.5K	34,579	32,663	+1,917	open	—	03-06 21:04
Crude Oil all time high by April 30?	301	$42.2K	26,980	16,342	+10,638	open	—	04-30 16:13
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in April?	234	$32.1K	28,961	22,342	+6,619	open	—	04-30 16:46
russia x ukraine ceasefire by january 31 2026	122	$28.4K	30,489	27,024	+3,465	open	—	01-25 02:50
fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after january 2026 meeting	160	$23.3K	30,341	18,467	+11,874	open	—	01-19 17:14
will there be no change in fed interest rates after the march 2026 meeting	224	$21.8K	25,692	30,153	-4,461	open	—	02-22 09:01
will the fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the march 2026 meeting	242	$21.3K	30,419	22,729	+7,690	open	—	02-24 06:02
will arizona win the 2026 ncaa tournament	658	$19.8K	28,735	18,769	+9,966	open	—	04-05 01:12
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	126	$18.4K	21,646	15,009	+6,637	open	—	06-13 20:17
Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?	97	$16.6K	15,005	13,189	+1,817	open	—	04-23 18:10
will there be another us government shutdown by january 31	55	$16.5K	16,315	2,909	+13,406	open	—	02-03 20:16
will michigan win the 2026 ncaa tournament	321	$14.0K	13,406	13,444	-38	open	—	04-07 03:17
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?	149	$12.7K	13,370	13,172	+198	Yes	$-2,348	03-28 22:41
Will Ken Paxton win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?	227	$10.9K	9,659	10,141	-482	open	—	04-23 06:02
will duke win the 2026 ncaa tournament	381	$9.5K	17,012	13,942	+3,070	open	—	03-30 01:41
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	267	$9.3K	7,110	5,821	+1,289	open	—	07-01 14:54
Will Mexico reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?	65	$8.4K	6,608	2,864	+3,744	open	—	07-05 22:11
Starmer out by February 28, 2026?	378	$8.4K	93,212	84,303	+8,909	open	—	02-28 23:22
will james talarico be the democratic nominee for senate in texas	216	$7.9K	12,237	7,919	+4,318	open	—	03-02 00:25
will the phoenix suns make the nba playoffs 557	172	$7.6K	5,076	4,801	+275	open	—	04-17 04:12
Will John Cornyn win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?	153	$7.5K	7,040	8,496	-1,457	open	—	04-21 13:52
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?	49	$7.3K	5,665	4,699	+966	open	—	08-10 01:46
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30?	34	$7.0K	7,346	3,257	+4,089	open	—	06-04 22:28
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 in April?	166	$6.5K	24,206	9,527	+14,680	open	—	04-30 22:55
will illinois win the 2026 ncaa tournament	139	$6.2K	5,913	5,198	+715	open	—	04-04 20:37
us x venezuela military engagement by december 31 391 819 722 945 174 285 817 971 353 859 836 598 255 382 192 983	40	$5.9K	4,072	1,822	+2,250	open	—	01-04 01:24
fifwc bra nor 2026 07 05 btts	50	$5.6K	8,804	3,439	+5,365	open	—	07-05 20:51
no change in fed interest rates after january 2026 meeting	111	$5.4K	15,682	13,572	+2,110	open	—	01-21 18:11
Will Morocco reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?	19	$5.2K	5,316	398	+4,918	open	—	07-09 18:17
will houston win the 2026 ncaa tournament	130	$5.2K	6,475	3,886	+2,589	open	—	03-27 03:24

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
08-10 13:30:12	will the washington wizards make the 2027 nba playoffs 20260708210742402	No	BUY	10	71¢	$7	0x387b55…
08-10 12:45:46	Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?	Yes	BUY	37	6¢	$2	0x980ca8…
08-10 04:07:00	Will the Cincinnati Bengals make the 2027 NFL Playoffs?	Yes	BUY	50	62¢	$31	0x681687…
08-10 04:06:52	Will the Cincinnati Bengals make the 2027 NFL Playoffs?	Yes	BUY	100	62¢	$62	0x9ffd05…
08-10 01:46:37	Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?	No	SELL	225	95¢	$214	0x07cfb6…
08-10 01:46:37	Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?	Yes	BUY	308	5¢	$15	0x07cfb6…
08-10 00:50:13	will the utah jazz make the 2027 nba playoffs 20260708210742401	No	BUY	15	62¢	$9	0xc6455f…
08-10 00:26:48	will the washington wizards make the 2027 nba playoffs 20260708210742402	No	SELL	61	75¢	$46	0x8311a3…
08-10 00:26:40	will the washington wizards make the 2027 nba playoffs 20260708210742402	No	SELL	19	75¢	$14	0xad568c…
08-10 00:26:40	will the washington wizards make the 2027 nba playoffs 20260708210742402	No	SELL	62	75¢	$47	0x2697fc…
08-09 16:10:58	will republicans win any senate or governors election in a biden trump state	No	BUY	120	33¢	$40	0x8c2a49…
08-09 06:59:55	will the memphis grizzlies make the 2027 nba playoffs 20260708210742387	Yes	BUY	120	12¢	$14	0xcf3f84…
08-09 05:20:04	Will Trump visit Greenland by December 31?	Yes	BUY	9	11¢	$1	0xc52e69…
08-08 17:37:07	Will the Miami Dolphins make the 2027 NFL Playoffs?	No	BUY	20	91¢	$18	0xbbfed8…
08-08 17:27:16	Will the Miami Dolphins make the 2027 NFL Playoffs?	No	BUY	20	91¢	$18	0x636268…
08-08 17:27:12	Will the Miami Dolphins make the 2027 NFL Playoffs?	No	BUY	20	91¢	$18	0x2b2d93…
08-08 17:20:31	Will the Tampa Bay Buccaneers make the 2027 NFL Playoffs?	No	BUY	24	58¢	$14	0xe17e07…
08-08 15:59:33	tyler robinson convicted of homicide	Yes	SELL	298	40¢	$119	0x354c4c…
08-07 19:01:31	Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?	Yes	BUY	256	6¢	$15	0x4f2b3f…
08-07 18:58:01	Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?	Yes	BUY	7	6¢	$0	0x3a7e01…
08-07 17:39:15	Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	6¢	$0	0x0cdf2d…
08-07 15:36:10	Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	6¢	$0	0xfe1c5f…
08-07 15:35:24	Will Zohran Mamdani announce a Presidential run before 2027?	No	SELL	6	98¢	$6	0x64b738…
08-07 15:27:16	Will Barack Obama announce a Presidential run before 2027?	No	SELL	4	99¢	$3	0x50c23d…
08-07 15:25:12	will the orlando magic make the 2027 nba play in tournament 20260708212312787	No	BUY	18	55¢	$10	0x021828…
08-07 11:25:40	Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	6¢	$0	0x678f3c…
08-07 11:21:19	Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?	Yes	BUY	227	6¢	$14	0x020a37…
08-07 05:44:25	Will Republicans lose a seat in the House of Representatives in any state Trump won in 2024?	No	SELL	14	3¢	$0	0x692078…
08-07 05:43:55	Will Republicans lose a seat in the House of Representatives in any state Trump won in 2024?	No	SELL	26	2¢	$1	0x30c6ec…
08-07 03:16:42	Will Republicans lose a seat in the US Senate for any state Trump won in 2024?	Yes	SELL	27	89¢	$24	0x7467b8…
08-07 00:24:26	Will the Baltimore Ravens make the 2027 NFL Playoffs?	No	BUY	610	23¢	$140	0x04b2f7…
08-06 21:32:38	Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?	Yes	SELL	65	7¢	$5	0x6912e4…
08-06 21:20:38	Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?	Yes	SELL	215	7¢	$15	0xcf2052…
08-06 20:50:39	Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?	Yes	SELL	54	7¢	$4	0x4c74ac…
08-06 20:41:14	Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?	Yes	SELL	1	7¢	$0	0x498c81…
08-06 20:29:17	Will the New England Patriots make the 2027 NFL Playoffs?	Yes	BUY	9	61¢	$6	0xf00305…
08-06 20:20:42	Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?	Yes	SELL	54	7¢	$4	0x442528…
08-06 18:27:17	Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?	Yes	SELL	81	7¢	$6	0x171a4e…
08-06 12:56:50	Will Republicans lose a seat in the House of Representatives in any state Trump won in 2024?	No	BUY	40	6¢	$2	0x92534c…
08-06 12:18:17	Will Republicans lose a seat in the House of Representatives in any state Trump won in 2024?	No	BUY	4	7¢	$0	0xf5e424…
08-06 12:17:32	Will Republicans lose a seat in the House of Representatives in any state Trump won in 2024?	No	BUY	26	7¢	$2	0xc681f2…
08-06 12:17:17	Will Republicans lose a seat in the House of Representatives in any state Trump won in 2024?	No	BUY	5	7¢	$0	0xaf2761…
08-06 04:32:30	will the charlotte hornets make the 2027 nba playoffs 20260708210742376	No	BUY	20	64¢	$13	0x0024b0…
08-05 20:53:03	Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?	Yes	SELL	431	7¢	$30	0xb7d501…
08-05 18:01:32	will the phoenix suns make the 2027 nba play in tournament 20260708212312789	Yes	BUY	14	47¢	$7	0xad1b1a…
08-05 16:38:30	will the portland trail blazers make the 2027 nba play in tournament 20260708212312790	Yes	BUY	5	40¢	$2	0xa1423b…
08-05 16:00:03	will the orlando magic make the 2027 nba playoffs 20260708210742394	No	BUY	9	43¢	$4	0xc43ab5…
08-05 14:23:26	Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	6¢	$0	0x4ef9b6…
08-05 14:10:08	Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?	Yes	BUY	9	6¢	$1	0x5500d7…
08-05 14:08:51	Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?	Yes	BUY	7	6¢	$0	0xb91a7d…
08-05 14:07:26	Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?	Yes	BUY	12	6¢	$1	0x35e498…
08-05 14:06:56	Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?	Yes	BUY	12	6¢	$1	0x955adf…
08-05 13:46:06	Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?	Yes	BUY	21	6¢	$1	0xfd06ca…
08-05 13:43:39	Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	6¢	$0	0x6429b0…
08-05 13:07:17	will the utah jazz make the 2027 nba playoffs 20260708210742401	No	BUY	115	63¢	$72	0x226f7e…
08-05 12:52:47	Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?	Yes	BUY	9	6¢	$1	0x05df36…
08-05 12:25:32	Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?	Yes	BUY	6	6¢	$0	0xc92b80…
08-05 11:39:32	will the portland trail blazers make the 2027 nba play in tournament 20260708212312790	Yes	BUY	5	40¢	$2	0xf3d233…
08-05 01:27:27	Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	6¢	$0	0xb3d65e…
08-05 01:27:24	Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	6¢	$0	0xce680f…
08-05 00:10:59	Will Republicans lose a seat in the US Senate for any state Trump won in 2024?	Yes	BUY	133	86¢	$114	0xe73784…
08-04 21:11:44	Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?	Yes	BUY	3	6¢	$0	0x384201…
08-04 16:18:26	Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	6¢	$0	0x9f2fa6…
08-04 16:16:47	Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?	Yes	BUY	52	6¢	$3	0x43bddc…
08-04 16:10:27	Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	6¢	$0	0xcfbda5…
08-04 14:38:47	Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?	Yes	BUY	190	6¢	$11	0x06bdfb…
08-04 14:38:36	Will Erika Kirk announce a presidential run before 2027?	No	SELL	32	96¢	$31	0x7eb018…
08-04 14:38:29	Will Barack Obama announce a Presidential run before 2027?	No	SELL	113	99¢	$112	0x75e893…
08-04 14:36:54	Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?	Yes	BUY	67	6¢	$4	0x838746…
08-04 13:44:14	Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?	Yes	BUY	65	6¢	$4	0x7af9ab…
08-04 13:12:29	Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?	Yes	SELL	346	7¢	$24	0xae8988…
08-04 11:33:26	Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	6¢	$0	0x221892…
08-04 11:17:11	Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?	Yes	SELL	11	7¢	$1	0xd17bfa…
08-04 11:16:54	Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?	Yes	BUY	11	6¢	$1	0xe4e968…
08-04 09:48:18	Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?	Yes	SELL	43	7¢	$3	0x81dabb…
08-04 09:09:14	Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?	Yes	SELL	1	7¢	$0	0xde71a2…
08-04 09:01:30	Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?	Yes	SELL	79	7¢	$6	0xa30559…
08-04 09:00:51	Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?	Yes	SELL	50	7¢	$4	0x8e4de0…
08-04 09:00:18	Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?	Yes	BUY	18	6¢	$1	0xcfeab7…
08-04 08:58:26	Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?	Yes	SELL	70	7¢	$5	0xb63cbe…
08-04 06:47:41	will the la clippers make the 2027 nba playoffs 20260708210742385	Yes	SELL	2	11¢	$0	0x782d0b…
08-04 06:47:41	will the la clippers make the 2027 nba playoffs 20260708210742385	No	BUY	120	88¢	$106	0x782d0b…
08-04 06:47:35	will the la clippers make the 2027 nba playoffs 20260708210742385	Yes	SELL	30	11¢	$3	0x165c6c…
08-04 03:50:39	will the sacramento kings make the 2027 nba playoffs 20260708210742398	No	SELL	50	97¢	$48	0x38d39b…
08-04 01:19:05	will the washington wizards make the 2027 nba playoffs 20260708210742402	No	BUY	20	71¢	$14	0x47ad51…
08-04 00:56:32	will the milwaukee bucks make the 2027 nba playoffs 20260708210742389	No	BUY	9	90¢	$8	0xd2af05…
08-04 00:53:30	will the utah jazz make the 2027 nba playoffs 20260708210742401	No	BUY	5	63¢	$3	0x77fe06…
08-04 00:51:47	will the minnesota timberwolves make the 2027 nba playoffs 20260708210742390	Yes	BUY	5	84¢	$4	0xb9f03f…
08-04 00:50:48	will the sacramento kings make the 2027 nba playoffs 20260708210742398	No	SELL	88	97¢	$86	0xe66d95…
08-03 23:48:45	will the la clippers make the 2027 nba playoffs 20260708210742385	Yes	SELL	1	11¢	$0	0xff3e09…
08-03 23:48:20	will the minnesota timberwolves make the 2027 nba playoffs 20260708210742390	Yes	BUY	10	84¢	$9	0x81af49…
08-03 23:33:09	will the sacramento kings make the 2027 nba playoffs 20260708210742398	No	SELL	20	97¢	$19	0xcab5b7…
08-03 23:23:51	Trump out as President before 2027?	Yes	SELL	400	7¢	$28	0x9e42cd…
08-03 22:58:15	will the washington wizards make the 2027 nba play in tournament 20260708212312795	No	BUY	2	68¢	$2	0xd2165d…
08-03 21:46:47	Trump out as President before 2027?	Yes	SELL	2	7¢	$0	0x3ae6b1…
08-03 20:34:06	Trump out as President before 2027?	Yes	SELL	10	7¢	$1	0xa4d832…
08-03 20:12:09	Trump out as President before 2027?	Yes	SELL	2	7¢	$0	0x9fc2f0…
08-03 16:59:00	Trump out as President before 2027?	Yes	SELL	71	7¢	$5	0xbc45ed…
08-03 16:07:54	Trump out as President before 2027?	Yes	SELL	71	7¢	$5	0xb9d70c…
08-03 13:31:44	will the phoenix suns make the 2027 nba playoffs 20260708210742396	No	BUY	55	47¢	$26	0x0a550a…